| Where the Big Money's Flowing Now If
there was an overriding factor moving the stock market
last Thursday, it
was crude oil. The
price of a barrel plunged 4.9% as commodities traders
saw winter
stockpiles of crude and heating oil expand rapidly.
After peaking at about $55
a barrel in late October, oil prices had swooned 22.3% by Thursday's close. The
decline had an immediate effect on energy stocks, which
sold off broadly.
But one of the industries investors shifted their money
into was
airlines, which suddenly saw a major portion of
their operating costs —
fuel — precipitate. And so it was that two of the 10
stocks to which the big
money moved into last Thursday were airline stocks,
both on volume more than
three times their average. These
types of volume surges can mean only one thing: Institutional
investors grabbed handfuls of shares, their action
revealed by the relatively
heavy trading that took place. Another
area of strength Thursday was technology, where a chip
designer and
a data-storage company met enthusiastic buying. Stocks
that went public this year have also acted generally
well. From that
group, we found three stocks making the list of 10
stocks rising on unusually
heavy trading: the chip company, an innovator in wound
treatment and a firm
that manages and invests in the booming real estate market. A
casual observer of the stock market might dismiss airlines
(figuring the
industry is trashed) or IPOs (just because they haven't
been around the market
long). But when the stock market keeps sending a stock
higher on heavy volume,
it's hard to argue with the tidal wave of institutional
demand. Investors would
do well to let go of their own instincts and watch what the market is signaling). Why
'Big Money' Moves Are Critical The
moves of mutual funds, insurance firms,
hedge funds and other institutional investors carry
extra weight in the stock
market. That's why Investor's Business Daily's "Where
The Big Money's
Flowing" was designed to help detect institutions' moves. Institutions
trade in large sums of money and large blocks of shares,
dwarfing the action of individual investors. An institutional
purchase or
sale of a stock usually means thousands of shares and
millions of dollars
moving the stock. Moreover, an institution must commit
itself to spend days,
weeks or even months to fulfill its goal. That's
called accumulation, and it is one of the most important
signs that
a stock is likely to keep moving higher. Because the
accumulation takes place
over prolonged periods, it's probable the stock will
make a significant
advance thanks to those institutional traders who are buying. IBD
tracks unusually high volume moves each day in "Where
The Big
Money's Flowing." Placed next to the paper's stock
tables, this screen
has signaled the earliest stages of most leading stocks'
price surges. It is
also helpful in detecting early signs of distress in
a stock. When
institutions start pulling money away from a stock,
they also create a
heavy-volume wake that's reflected in “Where The Big
Money's Flowing”, only
on the "down" side of the list. By
comparison, the most-active lists on most newspapers
and financial Web
sites merely give the stocks with the largest amount
of shares traded. The
mega-capitalization stocks usually dominate these lists,
and they offer no
help at all in determining which stocks had unusual volume spikes. On
IBD's Web site, www.investors.com,
a similar table with a similar name
("Where The Big Money's Flowing Now") is
updated throughout the
trading session. Back
to the Special Edition: 10 Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume. |