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CVH > SEC Filings for CVH > Form 10-K on 27-Feb-2013All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-K for COVENTRY HEALTH CARE INC


27-Feb-2013

Annual Report


Item 7: Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations
The following discussion should be read in conjunction with the accompanying audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto.
This Item 7 contains forward-looking statements as described in Part I. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties described in Part I, Item 1A, "Risk Factors," of this Form 10-K. The organization of our Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations is as follows:
• Executive-Level Overview

• Critical Accounting Policies

• New Accounting Standards

• Acquisitions

• Membership

• Results of Continuing Operations

• Liquidity and Capital Resources

• Other Disclosures

Executive-Level Overview
General Operations
We are a diversified national managed health care company based in Bethesda, Maryland, dedicated to delivering high-quality health care solutions at an affordable price. Coventry provides a full portfolio of risk and fee-based products including Medicare and Medicaid programs, group and individual health insurance, workers' compensation solutions, and network rental services. Through our Commercial Products, Government Programs, and Workers' Compensation reportable segments, which we also refer to as "Divisions," we provide a full range of risk and fee-based managed care products and services to a broad cross section of individuals, employer and government-funded groups, government agencies, and other insurance carriers and administrators. Summary of 2012 Performance
• On August 20, 2012, announced that Coventry and Aetna entered into a definitive agreement pursuant to which Aetna will acquire Coventry in a transaction valued at $7.3 billion, including the assumption of Coventry debt.

• Operating revenues of $14.1 billion, an increase of 15.8% from the prior year.

• Total membership of 5,362,000, an increase of 597,000 members from the prior year, driven by growth across the Company's Government Programs business in Medicare Advantage Coordinated Care Plans ("Medicare Advantage CCP"), Medicare Part D, and Medicaid.

• Increased MA-CCP Star ratings, as publicly released by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) on October 13, 2012.

• Selling, general and administrative expense as a percentage of total revenue was 14.7 %, compared to 16.5% in the prior year.

• Cash flows from operations of $470.6 million.

• Debt to capital ratio of 25.1%, a decrease of 3.6% from the prior year.

• Diluted earnings per share of $3.52.

• Repurchased 9.9 million shares for $328.0 million during the year.

Proposed Merger
On August 19, 2012, we, Aetna Inc. ("Aetna") and Jaguar Merger Subsidiary, Inc. ("Merger Sub") entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger, pursuant to which, subject to the satisfaction or waiver of certain conditions, Merger Sub will be merged with and into us, with the Company surviving the merger as a wholly-owned subsidiary of Aetna (the "Merger"). A copy of the Agreement and Plan of Merger was filed as Exhibit 2.1 to our Current Report on Form 8-K on August 20, 2012. We subsequently entered into Amendment No. 1 and Amendment No. 2 to the Agreement and Plan of Merger, which were filed as Exhibit 2.1 to our Current Reports on Form 8-K filed on October 23, 2012 and November 13, 2012, respectively. As used herein, the "Merger Agreement" means the Agreement and Plan of Merger, by and among Coventry, Aetna and Merger Sub, as amended. Under the terms of the Merger Agreement, our shareholders will receive $27.30 in cash, without interest, and 0.3885 of an Aetna common share for each share of our common stock. The total transaction was estimated at $7.3 billion, including the assumption of our debt, based on the closing price of Aetna common shares on August 17, 2012.
On November 21, 2012, our stockholders voted at the stockholder special meeting to approve the adoption of the Merger Agreement. Of the 104,941,398 shares voting at the special meeting of stockholders, more than 99% voted in favor of the adoption



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of the Merger Agreement, which represented approximately 78% of our total outstanding shares of common stock as of the October 15, 2012 record date. The consummation of the Merger is subject to customary closing conditions, including, among others, the absence of certain legal impediments to the consummation of the Merger, the receipt of specified governmental consents and approvals, the early termination or expiration of the waiting period under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvement Act of 1976, and, subject to certain exceptions, the accuracy of representations and warranties made by us and Aetna, respectively, and compliance by us and Aetna with their respective obligations under the Merger Agreement. The Merger is not expected to close until mid-2013. Operating Revenue and Products
We operate health plans, insurance companies, managed care services companies and workers' compensation services companies and generate our operating revenues from premiums and fees for a broad range of managed care and management service products. Managed care premiums for our commercial risk products, for which we assume full underwriting risk, can vary. For example, premiums for our preferred provider organization ("PPO") and point of service ("POS") products are typically lower than our health maintenance organization ("HMO") premiums due to medical underwriting and higher deductibles and co-payments that are typically required of the PPO and POS members. Managed care premium rates for our government programs, Medicare and state-sponsored managed Medicaid, are largely established by governmental regulatory agencies. These government products are offered in select markets where we believe we can achieve profitable growth based upon favorable reimbursement levels, provider costs and regulatory approaches.
Revenue for our management services products ("non-risk") is generally derived from a fixed administrative fee, provided on a predetermined contractual basis or on a percentage-of-savings basis, for access to our health care provider networks and health care management services, for which we do not assume underwriting risk. The management services we provide typically include health care provider network management, clinical management, pharmacy benefit management ("PBM"), bill review, claims repricing, claims processing, utilization review and quality assurance. Operating Expenses
We incur medical costs related to our products for which we assume underwriting risk. Our medical costs include medical claims paid under contractual relationships with a wide variety of providers and capitation arrangements. Medical costs also include an estimate of claims incurred but not reported. We maintain provider networks that furnish health care services through contractual arrangements with physicians, hospitals and other health care providers. Prescription drug benefits are provided through a formulary comprised of an extensive list of drugs. Drug prices are negotiated at discounted rates through a national pharmacy benefit manager. Drug costs for our risk products are included in medical costs.
We have capitation arrangements for certain ancillary health care services, such as laboratory services and, in some cases, physician and radiology services. A small percentage of our membership is covered by global capitation arrangements. Under the typical arrangement, the provider receives a fixed percentage of premiums to cover costs of all medical care or of the specified ancillary services provided to the capitated members. Under some professional or other capitation arrangements, physicians may also receive additional compensation from risk sharing and other incentive arrangements. Capitation arrangements limit our exposure to the risk of increasing medical costs but expose us to risk as to the adequacy of the financial and medical care resources of the provider organization. We are ultimately responsible for the coverage of our members pursuant to the customer agreements. To the extent a provider organization faces financial difficulties or otherwise is unable to perform its obligations under the capitation arrangements, we may be required to perform such obligations. Consequently, we may have to incur costs in excess of the amounts we would otherwise have to pay under the original global or ancillary capitation through our contracted network arrangements. Medical costs associated with capitation arrangements made up approximately 9.0% of our total medical costs for the year ended December 31, 2012.
We have established systems to monitor the availability, appropriateness and effectiveness of the patient care provided to our members by our network providers. We collect utilization data in each of our markets that we use to analyze over-utilization or under-utilization of services and assist our health plans in arranging for appropriate care for their members and improving patient outcomes in a cost efficient manner. Medical directors also monitor the utilization of diagnostic services. Each health plan collects data showing each physician's utilization profile for diagnostic tests, specialty referrals and hospitalization and presents such data to the health plan's physicians. The medical directors monitor these results in an effort to ensure the use of medically appropriate, cost-effective services.



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We incur cost of sales expense for prescription drugs provided by our workers' compensation pharmacy benefit manager, durable medical equipment and for the independent medical examinations performed by physicians on injured workers. These costs are associated with fee-based products.
Our selling, general and administrative expenses consist primarily of salaries and related costs for personnel involved in the administration of services we offer as well as commissions paid to brokers and agents who assist in the sale of our products. To a lesser extent, our selling, general and administrative expenses include other administrative and facility costs needed to provide these administrative services. We operate regional service centers that perform claims processing, premium billing and collection, enrollment and customer service functions. Our regional service centers enable us to take advantage of economies of scale, implement standardized management practices and capitalize on the benefits of our integrated information technology systems. Cash Flows
We generate cash through operations. As a profitable company in an industry that is not capital equipment intensive, we have generally not needed to use external financing to fund operations. Our primary use of cash is to pay medical claims. Any excess cash has been historically used for acquisitions, repayment of debt, dividends to shareholders, and common stock repurchases. Critical Accounting Policies
We consider the accounting policies described below critical in preparing our consolidated financial statements. Critical accounting policies are ones that require difficult, subjective or complex judgments, often as a result of the need to make estimates about the effect of matters that are inherently uncertain. The judgments and uncertainties affecting the application of these policies include significant estimates and assumptions made by us using information available at the time the estimates are made. Actual results could differ materially from those estimates.
Revenue Recognition
Managed care premiums are recorded as revenue in the month in which members are entitled to service. Premiums are based on both a per subscriber contract rate and the number of subscribers in our records at the time of billing. Premium billings are generally sent to employers in the month preceding the month of coverage. Premium billings may be subsequently adjusted to reflect changes in membership as a result of retroactive terminations, additions or other changes. Due to early timing of the premium billing, we are able to identify in the current month the retroactive adjustments included on two subsequent months' billings. Current period revenues are adjusted to reflect these retroactive adjustments.
Based on information received subsequent to generating premium billings, historical trends, bad debt write-offs and the collectibility of specific accounts, we estimate, on a monthly basis, the amount of bad debt and future membership retroactivity and adjust our revenue and allowances accordingly. As of December 31, 2012, we maintained allowances for retroactive billing adjustments of approximately $17.5 million, compared with approximately $19.7 million at December 31, 2011. We also maintained allowances for doubtful accounts of approximately $3.3 million and $4.7 million as of December 31, 2012 and 2011, respectively. The decrease from the prior year is primarily due to fewer Commercial risk members in 2012. The calculation for these allowances is based on a percentage of the gross accounts receivable with the allowance percentage increasing for older receivables.
We receive premium payments from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services ("CMS") on a monthly basis for our Medicare membership to provide healthcare benefits to our Medicare members. Premiums are fixed (subject to retroactive risk adjustment) on an annual basis by contracts with CMS. Membership and category eligibility are periodically reconciled with CMS and can result in adjustments to revenue. CMS uses a risk adjustment model that incorporates the use of hierarchical condition category ("HCC") codes to determine premium payments to health plans. We estimate risk adjustment revenues based on the individual member diagnosis data (risk scores) submitted to CMS. Changes in revenue from CMS resulting from the periodic changes in risk adjustment scores for our membership are recognized when the amounts become determinable and the collectibility is reasonably assured.
CMS periodically performs audits and may seek return of premium payments made to us if risk adjustment factors are not properly supported by underlying medical record data. We estimate and may record reserves for CMS audits, when necessary, based on information available at the time the estimates are made. The judgments and uncertainties affecting the application of these policies include, among other things, significant estimates related to the amount of HCC revenue subject to audit, anticipated error rates, sample methodologies, confidence intervals, enrollee selection, and payment error extrapolation methodology. Certain of the Company's health plans may be selected for audit. Although we may establish reserves for our exposure to the risk adjustment data validation ("RADV") audits, actual results could differ materially from those estimates.



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We contract with the United States Office of Personnel Management ("OPM") and with various federal employee organizations to provide health insurance benefits under the Federal Employees Health Benefits Program ("FEHBP"). These contracts are subject to government regulatory oversight by the Office of the Inspector General ("OIG") of OPM, which performs periodic audits of these benefit program activities to ensure that contractors meet their contractual obligations with OPM. For our managed care contracts, the OIG conducts periodic audits to, among other things, verify that premiums established under its contracts are in compliance with community rating requirements under the FEHBP. The OPM may seek premium refunds or institute other sanctions against health plans that participate in the managed care contract program. For our experience-rated plans, the OIG focuses on the appropriateness of contract charges, the effectiveness of claims processing, financial and cost accounting systems, and the adequacy of internal controls to ensure proper contract charges and benefit payments. The OIG may seek refunds of costs charged under these contracts or institute other sanctions against our health plans. These audits are generally a number of years in arrears. We estimate and record reserves for audit and other contract adjustments for both our managed care contracts and our experience rated plans based on appropriate guidelines and historical results. Any differences between actual results and estimates are recorded in the year the audits are finalized.
Effective in 2011, as required by the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, as amended by the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010 (collectively, "PPACA"), commercial health plans with medical loss ratios ("MLRs") on fully insured products are required to issue rebates to policyholders if the actual loss ratio falls below the target. The mandated minimum MLR targets for health plans (as calculated under the definitions in PPACA and related regulations), such that the percentage of health coverage premium revenue spent on health care medical costs and quality improvement expenses, are set at 85% for large employer groups, 80% for small employer groups and 80% for individuals, subject to state-specific exceptions. The potential for and size of the rebates are measured by regulated subsidiary, state and market segment (individual, small group and large group). Accordingly, for 2011 and 2012, we have recorded a rebate estimate in the "accounts payable and other accrued liabilities" line in the accompanying balance sheet and as contra-revenue in "managed care premiums" in the accompanying statements of operations. We estimate the rebate liability based on judgments and estimated information, including utilization, unit cost trends, quality improvement costs, and product pricing, features and benefits. If actual experience varies from our estimates or future regulatory guidance differs from our current judgments, the actual rebate liability could differ from our estimates. Medical Claims Expense and Liabilities
Medical liabilities consist of actual claims reported but not paid and estimates of health care services incurred but not reported. Medical liabilities estimates are developed using actuarial principles and assumptions that consider, among other things, historical claims payment patterns, provider reimbursement changes, historical utilization trends, current levels of authorized inpatient days, other medical cost inflation factors, membership levels, benefit design changes, seasonality, demographic mix change and other relevant factors. We employ a team of actuaries that have developed, refined and used the same set of reserve models over the past several years. These reserve models do not calculate separate amounts for reported but not paid and incurred but not reported, but rather a single estimate of medical claims liabilities. These reserve models make use of both historical claim payment patterns as well as emerging medical cost trends to project our best estimate of claim liabilities. Within these models, historical data of paid claims is formatted into claim triangles which compare claim incurred dates to the claim payment dates. This information is analyzed to create "completion factors" that represent the average percentage of total incurred claims that have been paid through a given date after being incurred. Completion factors are applied to claims paid through the financial statement date to estimate the ultimate claim expense incurred for the current period.
For the more recent incurred months, the percentage of claims paid to claims incurred in those months is generally low. As a result, the completion factor methodology is less reliable for such months. For that reason, incurred claims for recent months are not projected solely from historical completion and payment patterns. Instead, they are projected by estimating the claims expense for those months based upon recent claims expense levels and health care trend levels, or "trend factors." As these months mature over time, the two estimates (completion factor and trend) are blended with completion factors being used exclusively for older months.
Actuarial estimates of claim liabilities are then determined by subtracting the actual paid claims from the estimate of the ultimate incurred claims. Actuarial standards of practice generally require the actuarially developed medical claims estimates to cover obligations under an assumption of moderately adverse conditions. Adverse conditions are situations in which the actual claims are expected to be higher than the otherwise estimated value of such claims. In many situations, the claims paid amount experienced will be less than the estimate that satisfies the actuarial standards of practice. Medical claims liabilities are recorded at an amount we estimate to be appropriate. Adjustments of prior years' estimates may result in additional medical costs or, as we experienced during the last several years, a reduction in medical costs in the period an adjustment was made. Our reserve models have historically developed



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favorably suggesting that the accrued liabilities calculated from the models were more than adequate to cover our ultimate liability for unpaid claims. We believe that this favorable development has been a result of good communications between our health plans and our actuarial staff regarding medical utilization, mix of provider rates and other components of medical cost trend. The following table presents the components of the change in medical claims liabilities for the years ended December 31, 2012, 2011 and 2010, respectively (in thousands).

                                                 2012            2011            2010
Medical liabilities, beginning of year       $ 1,308,507     $ 1,237,690     $ 1,605,407
Acquisitions (1)                                  50,261               -          71,548
Reported Medical Costs
Current year                                  10,984,974       9,163,009       8,507,460
Prior year development                          (131,200 )      (121,607 )      (241,513 )
Total reported medical costs                  10,853,774       9,041,402       8,265,947
Claim Payments
Payments for current year                      9,721,411       7,953,744       7,491,891
Payments for prior year                        1,070,398         989,783       1,185,476
Total claim payments                          10,791,809       8,943,527       8,677,367
Change in Part D Related Subsidy Liabilities      (1,819 )       (27,058 )       (27,845 )
Medical liabilities, end of year             $ 1,418,914     $ 1,308,507     $ 1,237,690
Supplemental Information:
Prior year development (2)                           1.5 %           1.5 %           2.2 %
Current year paid percent (3)                       88.5 %          86.8 %          88.1 %

(1) Acquisition balances represent medical liabilities of the acquired company as of the applicable acquisition date.

(2) Prior year reported medical costs in the current year as a percentage of prior year reported medical costs.

(3) Current year claim payments as a percentage of current year reported medical costs.

The negative medical cost amounts noted as "prior year development" are favorable adjustments for claim estimates being settled for amounts less than originally anticipated. As noted above, these favorable developments from original estimates occur due to changes in medical utilization, mix of provider rates and other components of medical cost trends. Medical claim liabilities are generally paid within several months of the member receiving service from the provider. Accordingly, the 2012 prior year development relates almost entirely to claims incurred in calendar year 2011.
The significant favorable / (unfavorable) factors driving the overall favorable prior year development for 2012 include:
• Lower than anticipated medical cost increases of $70.9 million.

• Lower than anticipated large claim liabilities of $32.0 million.

• Higher than expected completion factors of $24.3 million.

• Lower than anticipated other specific case liabilities of $5.3 million.

Prior year development experienced in 2012 was more favorable compared to amounts experienced in 2011. The higher 2012 favorable development is primarily due to lower than expected medical cost trends for Commercial Risk and Medicare Advantage business at the end of 2011.
The change in Medicare Part D related subsidy liabilities identified in the table above represents subsidy amounts received from CMS for reinsurance, coverage gap and for cost sharing related to low income individuals. These subsidies are recorded in medical liabilities and we do not recognize premium revenue or claims expense for these subsidies.
Within the reserve setting methodologies for inpatient and non-inpatient services, we use certain assumptions. For inpatient services, authorized days are used for utilization factors, while cost trend assumptions are incorporated into per diem amounts. The per diem estimates reflect anticipated effects of changes in reimbursement structure and severity mix. For non-inpatient services, a composite trend assumption is applied which reflects anticipated changes in cost per service, provider contracts, utilization and other factors.



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Changes in the completion factors, trend factors and utilization factors can have a significant effect on the claim liability. The following example (in thousands, except percentages) provides the estimated effect to our December 31, 2012 unpaid claims liability assuming hypothetical changes in the completion, trend, and inpatient day factors. While we believe the selection of factors and ranges provided are reasonable, certain factors and actual results may differ.

            Completion Factor                          Claims Trend Factor                         Inpatient Day Factor
                                                (Decrease)
    (Decrease)            Increase             Increase in             Increase            (Decrease)              Increase
   Increase in          (Decrease) in             Claims             (Decrease) in         Increase in           (Decrease) in
    Completion          Unpaid Claims             Trend              Unpaid Claims          Inpatient            Unpaid Claims
      Factor             Liabilities              Factor              Liabilities             Days                Liabilities
       1.0  %        $        (67,316 )             (4.0 )%       $       (74,078 )             (3.0 )%      $           (9,026 )
       0.7  %        $        (45,252 )             (2.5 )%       $       (46,299 )             (2.0 )%      $           (6,017 )
       0.3  %        $        (22,365 )             (1.0 )%       $       (18,520 )             (1.0 )%      $           (3,009 )
      (0.3 )%        $         22,516                1.0  %       $        18,520                1.0  %      $            3,009
      (0.7 )%        $         45,875                2.5  %       $        46,299                2.0  %      $            6,017
      (1.0 )%        $         68,702                4.0  %       $        74,078                3.0  %      $            9,026

We also establish premium deficiency reserves, if required, for the probability that anticipated future health care costs and contract maintenance costs under our existing provider contracts will exceed anticipated future premiums and reinsurance recoveries, if any, on those contracts. For purposes of premium deficiency reserves, contracts are grouped in a manner consistent with our . . .

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