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Quotes & Info
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| WCN > SEC Filings for WCN > Form 8-K on 21-Feb-2013 | All Recent SEC Filings |
21-Feb-2013
Regulation FD Disclosure
During our earnings conference call on February 21, 2013, we highlighted the following outlook for the first quarter and full year 2013.
(Dollar amounts are approximations)
For the first quarter of the year, we estimate our revenue to be between $448 million to $450 million. We estimate organic growth to be between 0.5% and 1%, with the components as follows: net pricing growth to be a little over 3%, volume growth to be between negative 2% and negative 2.5%, and recycling, intermodal and other growth to be slightly negative. Operating income before depreciation, amortization and accretion expense is estimated to be between $143 million and $144 million, reflecting a margin of about 32%. Depreciation and amortization expense is estimated to be almost 13% of revenue. Amortization of intangibles expense is estimated to be almost $6.5 million, or about $0.03 per diluted share. Operating income is estimated to be about 19% of revenue. We expect net interest expense to be approximately $19.2 million. We expect our effective tax rate to be about 39.2%. Noncontrolling interests expense is estimated to be $250,000. We expect our fully diluted share count to be approximately 124 million shares.
For the full year, in addition to the outlook provided in our Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 20, 2013, we expect organic growth to be between positive 2% and 2.5%, with the components as follows: net pricing to be around 3%, volume growth to be between negative 0.5% and negative 1%, and recycling, intermodal and other growth to be flat to slightly down at current commodity prices. Our operating income before depreciation, amortization and accretion expense is estimated to be approximately 34.5% of revenue. Free cash flow is estimated to be a little more than $300 million. We expect our leverage ratio, as defined in our credit facility, to improve to below 3x by the end of 2013.
These estimates assume no change in the current economic environment and exclude the impact of any additional acquisitions that may close during the year, potential newly permitted E&P waste facilities, expensing of any acquisition-related transaction costs and any remaining costs incurred in connection with the relocation of our corporate headquarters from California to Texas, including a charge for the write-down of our prior corporate office lease.
Operating income before depreciation, amortization and accretion is considered a non-GAAP financial measure, and is provided supplementally because it is widely used by investors as a performance and valuation measure in the solid waste industry. Management uses operating income before depreciation, amortization and accretion as one of the principal measures to evaluate and monitor the ongoing financial performance of our operations. We define operating income before depreciation, amortization and accretion as operating income, plus depreciation and amortization expense, plus closure and post-closure accretion expense, plus or minus any gain or loss on disposal of assets. This measure is not a substitute for, and should be used in conjunction with, GAAP financial measures. Other companies may calculate this measure differently.
Free cash flow, a non-GAAP financial measure, is provided supplementally because it is widely used by investors as a valuation and liquidity measure in the solid waste industry. Management uses free cash flow as one of the principal measures to evaluate and monitor the ongoing financial performance of the Company's operations. Waste Connections defines free cash flow as net cash provided by operating activities, plus proceeds from disposal of assets, plus or minus change in book overdraft, plus excess tax benefit associated with equity-based compensation, less capital expenditures for property and equipment and distributions to noncontrolling interests. This measure is not a substitute for, and should be used in conjunction with, GAAP liquidity or financial measures. Other companies may calculate free cash flow differently.
Certain statements contained in this report are forward-looking in nature,
including statements related to: expected operating performance; expected
roll-off activity, recycled commodity prices and E&P activity; expected
contribution from recently completed acquisitions; expected 2013 financial
results, capital expenditures and outlook; expected retention rates from core
price increases; the Company's ability to finance acquisitions and newly
permitted E&P waste facilities, and the impact of the relocation of the
Company's corporate headquarters from Folsom, California to The Woodlands,
Texas. These statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking
terminology such as "believes," "expects," "may," "will," "should," or
"anticipates," or the negative thereof or comparable terminology, or by
discussions of strategy. Factors that could cause actual results to differ from
those projected include, but are not limited to, the following: (1) our
acquisitions may not be successful, which may reduce the anticipated benefit
from acquired businesses; (2) a portion of our growth and future financial
performance depends on our ability to integrate acquired businesses into our
organization and operations; (3) our indebtedness could adversely affect our
financial condition and limit our financial flexibility;(4) competition for
acquisition candidates, consolidation within the waste industry and economic and
market conditions may limit our ability to grow through acquisitions; (5) Our
industry is highly competitive and includes larger and better capitalized
companies, companies with lower prices, return expectations or other advantages,
and governmental service providers which could adversely affect our ability to
compete and operating results; (6) we may lose contracts through competitive
bidding, early termination or governmental action; (7) price increases may not
be adequate to offset the impact of increased costs or may cause us to lose
volume; (8) economic downturns adversely affect operating results; (9) our
results are vulnerable to economic conditions and seasonal factors affecting the
regions in which we operate; (10) the E&P waste disposal business depends on oil
and gas prices and the level of drilling and production activity in the basins
in which we operate;(11) our E&P waste business is dependent upon the
willingness of our customers to outsource their waste management activities;
(12) changes in laws or government regulations regarding hydraulic fracturing
could increase our customers' costs of doing business and reduce oil and gas
production by our customers, which could adversely impact our business; (13) our
E&P waste business could be adversely affected by changes in laws regulating E&P
waste; (14) we may be subject in the normal course of business to judicial,
administrative or other third party proceedings that could interrupt or limit
our operations, require expensive remediation, result in adverse judgments,
settlements or fines and create negative publicity; (15) increases in the price
of diesel fuel may adversely affect our collection business and reduce our
operating margins; (16) increases in labor and disposal and related
transportation costs could impact our financial results; (17) efforts by labor
unions could divert management attention and adversely affect operating results;
(18) we could face significant withdrawal liability if we withdraw from
participation in one or more multiemployer pension plans in which we participate
and the accrued pension benefits are not fully funded; (19) increases in
insurance costs and the amount that we self-insure for various risks could
reduce our operating margins and reported earnings; ; (20) each business that we
acquire or have acquired may have liabilities or risks that we fail or are
unable to discover, including environmental liabilities; (21) liabilities for
environmental damage may adversely affect our financial condition, business and
earnings; (22) our accruals for our landfill site closure and post-closure costs
may be inadequate; (23) the financial soundness of our customers could affect
our business and operating results; (24) we depend significantly on the services
of the members of our senior, regional and district management team, and the
departure of any of those persons could cause our operating results to suffer;
(25) our decentralized decision-making structure could allow local managers to
make decisions that adversely affect our operating results; (26) we may incur
charges related to capitalized expenditures of landfill development projects,
which would decrease our earnings; (27) because we depend on railroads for our
intermodal operations, our operating results and financial condition are likely
to be adversely affected by any reduction or deterioration in rail service;
(28)our financial results could be adversely affected by impairments of goodwill
or indefinite-lived intangibles; (29) our financial results are based upon
estimates and assumptions that may differ from actual results; (30) the adoption
of new accounting standards or interpretations could adversely affect our
financial results; (31) pending or future litigation or governmental proceedings
could result in material adverse consequences, including judgments or
settlements; and (32) if we are not able to develop and protect intellectual
property, or if a competitor develops or obtains exclusive rights to a
breakthrough technology, our financial results may suffer. These risks and
uncertainties, as well as others, are discussed in greater detail in our filings
with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our most recent Annual
Report on Form 10-K. There may be additional risks of which we are not presently
aware or that we currently believe are immaterial which could have an adverse
impact on our business. We make no commitment to revise or update any
forward-looking statements in order to reflect events or circumstances that may
change.
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