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| GLRE > SEC Filings for GLRE > Form 10-K on 19-Feb-2013 | All Recent SEC Filings |
19-Feb-2013
Annual Report
References to "we," "us," "our," "our company," or "the Company" refer to Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. ("GLRE") and its wholly-owned subsidiaries, Greenlight Reinsurance, Ltd, ("Greenlight Re"), Greenlight Reinsurance Ireland, Ltd. ("GRIL") and Verdant Holding Company, Ltd. ("Verdant"), unless the context dictates otherwise. References to our "Ordinary Shares" refers collectively to our Class A Ordinary Shares and Class B Ordinary Shares.
The following is a discussion and analysis of our results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2012, 2011 and 2010 and financial condition as of December 31, 2012 and 2011. The following discussion should be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements and accompanying notes, which appear elsewhere in this filing.
General
We are a Cayman Islands headquartered global specialty property and casualty reinsurer with a reinsurance and investment strategy that we believe differentiates us from most of our competitors. Our goal is to build long-term shareholder value by selectively offering customized reinsurance solutions, in markets where capacity and alternatives are limited, which we believe will yield favorable long-term returns on equity.
We aim to complement our underwriting results with a non-traditional investment approach in order to achieve higher rates of return over the long term than reinsurance companies that employ more traditional, fixed-income investment strategies. We manage our investment portfolio according to a value-oriented philosophy, in which we take long positions in perceived undervalued securities and short positions in perceived overvalued securities.
Because we employ an opportunistic underwriting philosophy, period-to-period comparisons of our underwriting results may not be meaningful. In addition, our historical investment results may not necessarily be indicative of future performance. Due to the nature of our reinsurance and investment strategies, our operating results will likely fluctuate from period to period.
Outlook and Trends
We believe the reinsurance industry in general has been, and for the foreseeable
future will remain, over capitalized. Over the past year there has been an
influx of new capital for peak zone catastrophe risk from alternative capital
market participants such as hedge funds, pension funds and other fixed income
bond managers. Additionally, we believe that the slowdown in worldwide economic
activity continues to weaken the overall demand for property and casualty
insurance and, accordingly, reinsurance.
Notwithstanding the foregoing, the over capitalization of the reinsurance
industry may be countered by the introduction of more stringent capital
requirements in the industry (particularly in Europe), the recalibration of
catastrophe risk models to reflect recent catastrophic activity and a sustained
low interest rate environment. We believe the introduction of Solvency II for
European insurers and reinsurers may create a demand for capital and/or
reinsurance solutions for some smaller and less diversified companies. The
persistent low interest rate environment has reduced the earnings of many
insurance and reinsurance companies and we believe, the continuation of low
interest rates, coupled with the reduction of prior years' reserve redundancies,
could cause the industry to adopt overall higher pricing.
We believe we are currently in a gradually hardening insurance market, but due
to the poor economic conditions and industry over capitalization, rate increases
will not significantly exceed loss trends. The reinsurance industry remains over
capitalized and competitive with many sectors continuing to operate at levels
which we believe are economically irrational. However, significant price
increases could occur if financial and credit markets experience adverse shocks
that result in the loss of capital of insurers and reinsurers, or if there are
major catastrophic events, especially in North America.
Currently our reinsurance portfolio is principally concentrated in four areas:
Florida homeowners; U.S. employer health stop loss; catastrophe retrocession and
private passenger automobile. While each of these areas is competitive, we
believe we are supporting programs with good risk adjusted returns due in part
to improving loss experience or rate increases that are in excess of loss
trends. In particular, the Florida homeowners' insurance market continues to
experience rate increases coupled with the positive impact of state legislation
addressing sinkhole fraud. However, we anticipate the reinsurance pricing in
this market becoming competitive. Property catastrophe retrocession pricing
remained stable during the January renewal season despite alternative
reinsurance capacity continuing to increase in this part of the market limiting
new business opportunities. Employer stop loss and private passenger automobile
are stable at what we believe are profitable levels.
We believe that we are well positioned to compete for frequency business due to
our increasing market recognition, the development of strategic relationships
and Greenlight Re's "A (Excellent)" rating by A.M. Best. The over capitalization
of the market is not uniform. There are a number of insurers and reinsurers that
have suffered and continue to suffer from capacity issues. We continue to assess
the possibility of partnering with these companies.
We expect our investment portfolio will continue to be conservatively postured
for 2013, with a net long position of 38.5% as of December 31, 2012. The
investment environment improved in 2012 as market prices reflected reduced
concern about economic uncertainty, particularly towards the end of the year.
However, the U.S. economy slowed, with the fourth quarter GDP turning negative,
and corporate earnings growth all but stopped. Equity markets in the U.S. and
Europe are volatile due to slowing economic growth and concerns about the
sustainability of monetary and fiscal policies. Given the investment
environment, we anticipate, for the foreseeable future, to continue holding a
combination of a significant position in gold, macro positions in the form of
options on higher interest rates and foreign exchange rates, short positions in
sovereign debt and sovereign credit default swaps.
We intend to continue monitoring market conditions to position ourselves to
participate in future under-served or capacity-constrained markets as they arise
and intend to offer products that we believe will generate favorable returns on
equity over the long term. Accordingly, our underlying results and product line
concentrations in any given period may not be indicative of our future results
of operations.
Segments
We manage our business on the basis of one operating segment, property and casualty reinsurance, in accordance with the qualitative and quantitative criteria established by U.S. GAAP. Within the property and casualty reinsurance segment, we analyze our underwriting operations using two categories:
? frequency business; and
? severity business.
Frequency business is generally characterized as contracts containing a potentially large number of small losses emanating from multiple events. Clients generally buy this protection to increase their own underwriting capacity and typically select a reinsurer based upon the reinsurer's financial strength, service and expertise. We expect the results of frequency business to be less volatile than those of severity business from period to period due to greater predictability. We also expect that over time the profit margins and return on equity of our frequency business will be lower than those of our severity business.
Severity business is generally characterized as contracts with the potential for significant losses emanating from one event or multiple events. Clients generally buy this protection to remove volatility from their balance sheets, and accordingly, we expect the results of severity business to be volatile from period to period. However, over the long term, we also expect that our severity business will generate higher profit margins and return on equity than those of our frequency business.
Revenues
We derive our revenues from two principal sources:
? premiums from reinsurance on property and casualty business assumed; and ? income from investments.
Premiums from reinsurance on property and casualty business assumed are directly related to the number, type and pricing of contracts we write. For financial reporting purposes, we earn premiums over the contract period in proportion to the period of risk covered.
Income from our investments is primarily comprised of interest income, dividends, net realized gains and losses, and changes in unrealized gains and losses on investment securities. We also derive interest income from money market funds and notes receivable.
In addition, we may from time to time derive other income from gains on deposit accounted contracts, fees generated from advisory services provided by Verdant and fees relating to early termination of contracts.
Expenses
Our expenses consist primarily of the following:
? underwriting losses and loss adjustment expenses;
? acquisition costs;
? investment-related expenses; and
? general and administrative expenses.
Loss and loss adjustment expenses are a function of the amount and type of reinsurance contracts we write and of the loss experience of the underlying coverage. As described below, loss and loss adjustment expenses are based on an actuarial analysis of the estimated losses, including losses incurred during the period and changes in estimates from prior periods. Depending on the nature of the contract, loss and loss adjustment expenses may be paid over a period of years.
Acquisition costs consist primarily of brokerage fees, ceding commissions, premium taxes, profit commissions, letters of credit fees, federal excise tax, and other direct expenses we incur that are directly related to underwriting reinsurance contracts. We amortize deferred acquisition costs over the related contract term.
Investment-related expenses primarily consist of interest expense on borrowings, dividend expense on short sales, management fees and performance compensation that we pay to our investment advisor. We net these expenses against investment income in our consolidated financial statements.
General and administrative expenses consist primarily of salaries and benefits and related costs, including costs associated with our incentive compensation plan, bonuses and stock compensation expenses. General and administrative expenses also include professional fees, travel and entertainment, information technology, rent and other general operating expenses.
For stock option expenses, we calculate compensation cost using the Black-Scholes option pricing model and expense stock options over their vesting period, which is typically three years. For restricted stock awards, we calculate compensation cost using the grant date fair value of each award and expense the stock awards over their vesting period, which is typically three years.
Critical Accounting Policies
Our consolidated financial statements contain certain amounts that are inherently subjective in nature and have required management to make assumptions and best estimates to determine reported values. If certain factors, including those described in ''Risk Factors'', cause actual events or results to differ materially from our underlying assumptions or estimates, there could be a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition or liquidity. We believe that the following accounting policies affect the more significant estimates used in the preparation of our consolidated financial statements. The descriptions below are summarized and have been simplified for clarity. A more detailed description of our significant accounting policies as well as recently issued accounting standards is included in Note 2 to the consolidated financial statements.
Premium Revenues and Risk Transfer. Our property and casualty reinsurance premiums are recorded as premiums written based upon contract terms and information received from ceding companies and their brokers. For excess of loss reinsurance contracts, premiums are typically stated as a percentage of the subject premiums written by the client, subject to a minimum and deposit premium. The minimum and deposit premium is typically based on an estimate of subject premiums expected to be written by the client during the contract term. The minimum and deposit premium is reported initially as premiums written and adjusted, if necessary, in subsequent periods once the actual subject premium is known. For catastrophe contracts that contractually require the payment of a reinstatement premium equal to or greater than the original premium upon the occurrence of a full limit loss, the reinstatement premiums are earned over the original contract period. Reinstatement premiums that are contractually calculated on a pro-rata basis of the original premiums, are earned over the remaining coverage period.
For each quota share or proportional property and casualty reinsurance contract we underwrite, our client estimates gross premiums written at inception of the contract. We generally account for such premiums using our best estimates and then adjust our estimates based on actual reports provided by our client and based on our expectations of industry developments. As the contract progresses, we monitor actual premiums received in conjunction with correspondence from the client in order to refine our estimate. Variances from initial gross premiums written estimates can be greater for quota share contracts than for excess of
loss contracts. All premiums on quota share contracts are earned over the coverage period. Unearned premiums consist of the unexpired portion of reinsurance provided.
At the inception of each of our reinsurance contracts, we receive premium estimates from the client, which, together with historical and industry data, we use to estimate what we believe will be the ultimate premium payable pursuant to each contract. We receive actual premiums written by each client as the client reports the actual results of the underlying insurance writings to us on a monthly or quarterly basis (depending on the terms of the contract). We book the actual premiums written when we receive them from our client. Each reporting period we estimate the amount of premiums that are written for stub periods that have not yet been reported. For example, for December year-end we may have to estimate December premiums ceded under certain contracts since the client may not be required to report the actual results to us until after we have filed our financial statements. Typically, premium estimates are only used for unreported stub periods, which accounts for a small percentage of our reported premiums written. We believe that estimating premiums written for these stub periods is standard reinsurance industry practice.
We are able to confirm the accuracy and completeness of premiums reported by our clients by either reviewing the client's statutory filings and/or performing an audit of the client, as per the terms of the contract. Discrepancies between premiums being ceded and reported under a contract are, in our experience, rare. To date, we have not had any material discrepancy in premiums being reported by a client that required a dispute resolution process.
We account for reinsurance contracts in accordance with U.S. GAAP. Assessing whether or not a reinsurance contract meets the conditions for risk transfer requires judgment. The determination of risk transfer is critical to reporting premiums written and is based, in part, on the use of actuarial and pricing models and assumptions. If we determine that a reinsurance contract does not transfer sufficient risk, or if a contract provides retroactive reinsurance coverage, we use deposit accounting. Any losses on such contracts are charged to earnings immediately and recorded in the consolidated statements of income as other expense. Any gains relating to such contracts are deferred and amortized over the estimated remaining settlement period. All such deferred gains are included in reinsurance balances payable in the consolidated balance sheets. Amortized gains are recorded in the consolidated statements of income as other income.
Investments. Our investments in debt and equity securities that are classified as "trading securities" are carried at fair value in accordance with U.S. GAAP. The fair values of the listed equities are derived based on the last reported price on the balance sheet date as reported by a recognized exchange. The fair values of listed equities that have restrictions on sale or transfer which expire within one year, are determined by adjusting the observed market price of the equity using a liquidity discount based on observable market inputs. The fair values of debt instruments are generally derived based on the average of multiple market maker or broker quotes which are considered to be binding. Where quotes are not available, debt instruments are valued using cash flow models using assumptions and estimates that may be subjective and non-observable.
The fair values of our investments in commodities are based on the commodity's last reported price on the balance sheet date as reported by a recognized commodities exchange. Our investments in private and unlisted equity securities and limited partnerships are all carried at fair value, based on broker or market maker quotes, or based on management's assumptions developed from available information, using the services of our investment advisor including the most recent net asset values obtained from the managers of those underlying investments. Investments in private equity funds are valued based on unadjusted net asset values reported by the funds' managers.
For securities classified as "trading securities" and "other investments", any realized and unrealized gains or losses are determined on the basis of specific identification method (by reference to cost or amortized cost, as appropriate) and included in net investment income in the consolidated statements of income.
Financial contracts which include total return swaps, credit default swaps, options, futures and other derivative instruments are recorded at their fair value with any unrealized gains and losses included in net investment income in the consolidated statements of income. Fair values on total return swaps are based on the underlying security's fair value which is obtained from closing prices on a recognized exchange (for equity or commodity swaps), or from market makers or broker quotes. Fair values for credit default swaps trading in an active market are based on market maker or broker quotes taking into account credit spreads on identical contracts. Our exchange traded option contracts are recorded at fair value based on quoted prices in active markets. For over the counter ("OTC") options and exchange traded options where a quoted price in an active market is not available, we obtain multiple market maker quotes to determine the fair values. Fair values for other derivative instruments are determined based on multiple broker or market maker quotes taking into account the liquidity and the availability of an active market for the derivative.
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves. Our loss and loss adjustment expense
reserves are comprised of:
? case reserves resulting from claims notified to us by our clients;
? incurred but not reported ("IBNR") losses; and
? estimated loss adjustment expenses.
Case reserves are provided by our clients, and IBNR losses are estimated each reporting period based on a contract by contract review of all data available to us for each individual contract. Each of our reinsurance contracts is unique and the methods and estimates we use vary depending on the facts and circumstances of each contract. The resulting total loss reserves, including IBNR loss reserves, are the sum of each loss reserve estimated on a contract by contract basis.
We establish reserves for contracts based on estimates of the ultimate cost of all losses including IBNR. These estimated ultimate reserves are based on our own actuarial estimates derived from reports received from ceding companies, industry data and historical experience. These estimates are periodically reviewed and adjusted when necessary. Since reserves are estimates, the setting of appropriate reserves is an inherently uncertain process. Our estimates are based upon actuarial and statistical projections and on our assessment of currently available data, predictions of future developments and estimates of future trends and other factors. The final settlement of losses may vary, perhaps materially, from the reserves initially established and periodically adjusted. All adjustments to the estimates are recorded in the period in which they are determined. Under U.S. GAAP we are not permitted to establish loss reserves, which include case reserves and IBNR loss reserves, until the occurrence of an event which may give rise to a claim. As a result, only loss reserves applicable to losses incurred up to the reporting date are established, with no allowance for the establishment of loss reserves to account for expected future loss events.
For natural peril exposed business we generally establish loss reserves based on loss payments and case reserves reported by our clients when, and if, received. We then add our estimates for IBNR losses to the case reserves. To establish our IBNR loss estimates, in addition to the loss information and estimates communicated by ceding companies, we use industry information, knowledge of the business written and management's judgment.
For most of the contracts we write, our risk exposure is limited by the fact that the contracts have defined limits of liability. Once the loss limit for a contract has been reached, we have no further exposure to additional losses from that contract. However, certain contracts, particularly quota share contracts that relate to first dollar exposure, may not contain aggregate limits.
For all non-natural peril business, we initially reserve every individual contract to the expected loss and loss expense ratio that we calculated when we originally priced the business. In our pricing analysis, we typically utilize a significant amount of information both from the individual client and from industry data. Where practical, we compare historic reserving data that we receive from our client, if any, to publicly available financial statements of the client in an effort to identify, confirm and monitor the accuracy and completeness of the data. We require each of our clients to provide loss information for each reporting period, which, depending on the contract, could be monthly or quarterly. The loss information required depends on the terms and conditions of each contract and may include many years of history. Depending on the type of business underwritten, we are entitled to receive client and industry information on historical paid losses, incurred losses, number of open claims, number of closed claims, number of total claims, listings of individual large losses, earned premiums, policy count, policy limits underwritten, exposure information and rate change information. We may also receive information by class or subclass of business. If we do not receive reserving data from a client, we rely on industry data, as well as the judgment and experience of our underwriters and actuaries.
We rely more on client and industry data than our own data to identify unusual trends requiring changes in reserve estimates. Each reinsurance contract is different and the degree to which we rely on client data versus our own data varies greatly from contract to contract. The extent to which we rely on client data for reserve setting purposes depends upon the availability of historical loss data from the client and our judgment as to how reliable we believe the client's historic loss performance is compared to its current book of business. We may from time to time supplement client data with industry and competitor information where we deem appropriate. Where available, we also receive relevant actuarial reports from the client. We supplement this information with subjective information on each client, which may include management experience, competitor information, meetings with the client and supplementary industry research and data.
Generally, we obtain regular updates of premium and loss related information for the current period and historical periods, which we utilize to update our initial expected loss and loss expense ratio. There may be a time lag from when claims are reported to our client and when our client reports the claims to us. This time lag may impact our loss reserve estimates from period to period. Client reports, whether due monthly or quarterly, have set reporting dates of when they are due to us (for example, fifteen days after month end). As such, the time lag in the client's reporting depends upon the terms of the specific
contract. The timing of the reporting requirements is designed so that we
receive premium and loss information as soon as practicable once the client has
closed its books. Accordingly, there should be a short lag in such reporting.
Additionally, most of our contracts that have the potential for large single
event losses have provisions that such loss notification needs to be received
immediately upon the occurrence of an event. Once we receive this updated
information we use a variety of standard actuarial methods in our analysis each
quarter. Such methods may include:
? Paid Loss Development Method. We estimate ultimate losses by calculating
past paid loss development factors and applying them to exposure periods
with further expected paid loss development. The paid loss development
method assumes that losses are paid in a consistent pattern. It provides
an objective test of reported loss projections because paid losses contain
no reserve estimates. For many coverages, claim payments are made very
slowly and it may take years for claims to be fully reported and settled.
? Reported Loss Development Method. We estimate ultimate losses by
calculating past reported loss development factors and applying them to
exposure periods with further expected reported loss development. Since
reported losses include payments and case reserves, changes in both of
these amounts are incorporated in this method. This approach provides a
larger volume of data to estimate ultimate losses than paid loss methods.
Thus, reported loss patterns may be less varied than paid loss patterns,
especially for coverage that have historically been paid out over a long
period of time but for which claims are reported relatively early and case
loss reserve estimates have been established.
? Expected Loss Ratio Method. We estimate ultimate losses under the expected
loss ratio method, by multiplying earned premiums by an expected loss
ratio. We select the expected loss ratio using industry data, historical
company data and our professional judgment. We use this method for lines
of business and contracts where there are no historical losses or where
past loss experience is not credible.
? Bornhuetter-Ferguson Paid Loss Method. We estimate ultimate losses by
modifying expected loss ratios to the extent paid losses experienced to
date differ from what would have been expected to have been paid based
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