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X > SEC Filings for X > Form 10-K on 15-Feb-2013All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-K for UNITED STATES STEEL CORP


15-Feb-2013

Annual Report


Item 7. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The following discussion should be read in conjunction with the Consolidated Financial Statements and related notes that appear elsewhere in this document.

Certain sections of Management's Discussion and Analysis include forward-looking statements concerning trends or events potentially affecting the businesses of U. S. Steel. These statements typically contain words such as "anticipates," "believes," "estimates," "expects" or similar words indicating that future outcomes are not known with certainty and are subject to risk factors that could cause these outcomes to differ significantly from those projected. In accordance with "safe harbor" provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, these statements are accompanied by cautionary language identifying important factors, though not necessarily all such factors, that could cause future outcomes to differ materially from those set forth in forward-looking statements. For discussion of risk factors affecting the businesses of U. S. Steel see "Item 1A - Risk Factors" and "Supplementary Data - Disclosures About Forward-Looking Statements."

Overview

According to the World Steel Association's latest published statistics, U. S. Steel was the thirteenth largest steel producer in the world in 2011. We believe we are currently the largest integrated steel producer headquartered in North America, one of the largest integrated flat-rolled producers in Central Europe and the largest tubular producer in North America. U. S. Steel has a broad and diverse mix of products and customers. U. S. Steel uses iron ore, coal, coke, steel scrap, zinc, tin and other metallic additions to produce a wide range of flat-rolled and tubular steel products, concentrating on value-added steel products for customers with demanding technical applications in the automotive, appliance, container, industrial machinery, construction and oil, gas and petrochemical industries. In addition to our facilities in the United States, U. S. Steel has significant operations in Canada through U. S. Steel Canada (USSC) and in Europe through U. S. Steel Košice (USSK), located in Slovakia. U. S. Steel's financial results are primarily determined by the combined effects of shipment volume, selling prices, production costs and product mix. While the operating results of our various businesses are affected by a number of business-specific factors (see "Item 1. Business - Steel Industry Background and Competition"), the primary drivers for U. S. Steel are general economic conditions in North America, Europe and, to a lesser extent, other steel-consuming regions; the levels of worldwide steel production and consumption; pension and other benefits costs; and raw materials (iron ore, coal, coke, steel scrap, zinc, tin and other metallic additions) and energy (natural gas and electricity) costs.

U. S. Steel's long-term success depends on our ability to earn a competitive return on capital employed by implementing our strategy to be a world leader in safety and environmental stewardship; to continue to increase our value-added product mix; to further expand our global business platform; to maintain a strong capital structure and liquidity position; to continue to improve our reliability and cost competitiveness; and to attract and retain a diverse and talented workforce. For a fuller description of our strategy, see "Item 1. Business Description - Business Strategy." Some of the other key issues which are impacting the global steel industry, including U. S. Steel, are the level of unfunded pension and other benefits obligations; the degree of industry consolidation; the impact of production and consumption of steel in China and other developing countries; and the levels of steel imports into the markets we serve.

Critical Accounting Estimates

Management's discussion and analysis of U. S. Steel's financial condition and results of operations is based upon U. S. Steel's financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with accounting standards generally accepted in the United States (U.S. GAAP). The preparation of these financial statements requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at year-end and the reported amount of revenues and expenses during the year. Management regularly evaluates these estimates, including those related to employee benefits liabilities and assets held in trust relating to such liabilities; the carrying value of property, plant and equipment; goodwill and intangible assets; valuation allowances for receivables, inventories and deferred income tax assets; liabilities for deferred income taxes, potential tax deficiencies, environmental obligations and potential litigation claims and


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settlements. Management's estimates are based on historical experience, current business and market conditions, and various other assumptions that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results may differ materially from current expectations under different assumptions or conditions.

Management believes that the following are the more significant judgments and estimates used in the preparation of the financial statements.

Inventories - LIFO (last-in, first-out) is the predominant method of inventory costing for inventories in the United States and FIFO (first-in, first-out) is the predominant method used in Canada and Europe. The LIFO method of inventory costing was used for 56 percent and 54 percent of consolidated inventories at December 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011, respectively. Changes in U.S. GAAP rules or tax law, such as the elimination of the LIFO method of accounting for inventories, could negatively affect our profitability and cash flow.

Equity Method Investments - Investments in entities over which U. S. Steel has significant influence are accounted for using the equity method of accounting and are carried at U. S. Steel's share of net assets plus loans, advances and our share of earnings less distributions. Differences in the basis of the investment and the underlying net asset value of the investee, if any, are amortized into earnings over the remaining useful life of the associated assets.

Income from investees includes U. S. Steel's share of income from equity method investments, which is generally recorded a month in arrears, except for significant and unusual items which are recorded in the period of occurrence. Gains or losses from changes in ownership of unconsolidated investees are recognized in the period of change. Intercompany profits and losses on transactions with equity investees have been eliminated in consolidation subject to lower of cost or market inventory adjustments.

U. S. Steel evaluates impairment of its equity method investments whenever circumstances indicate that a decline in value below carrying value is other than temporary. Under these circumstances, we would adjust the investment down to its estimated fair value, which then becomes its new carrying value.

Pensions and Other Benefits - The recording of net periodic benefit costs for defined benefit pensions and other benefits is based on, among other things, assumptions of the expected annual return on plan assets, discount rate, escalation or other changes in retiree health care costs and plan participation levels. Changes in the assumptions or differences between actual and expected changes in the present value of liabilities or assets of U. S. Steel's plans could cause net periodic benefit costs to increase or decrease materially from year to year as discussed below.

U. S. Steel's investment strategy for its U.S. pension and other benefits plan assets provides for a diversified mix of public equities, high quality bonds and selected smaller investments in private equities, investment trusts and partnerships, and timber and mineral interests. For its U.S. Pension and Other Benefits plans, U. S. Steel has a target allocation for plan assets of 60 percent and 70 percent in equities, respectively, with the balance primarily invested in corporate bonds, Treasury bonds and government-backed mortgages. U. S. Steel believes that returns on equities over the long term will be higher than returns from fixed-income securities as actual historical returns from U. S. Steel's trusts have shown. Returns on bonds tend to offset some of the short-term volatility of stocks. Both equity and fixed-income investments are made across a broad range of industries and companies to provide protection against the impact of volatility in any single industry as well as company specific developments. U. S. Steel will use a 7.75 percent assumed rate of return on assets for the development of net periodic cost for the main defined benefit pension plan and domestic OPEB plans in 2013. This 2013 assumed rate of return is the same as the rate of return used for 2012 domestic expense and was determined by taking into account the intended asset mix and some moderation of the historical premiums that fixed-income and equity investments have yielded above government bonds. Actual returns since the inception of the plans have exceeded this 7.75 percent rate and while recent annual returns have been volatile, it is U. S. Steel's expectation that rates will achieve this level in future periods.

For USSC defined benefit pension plans, U. S. Steel's investment strategy is similar to its strategy for U.S. plans, whereby the Company seeks a diversified mix of large and mid-cap equities, high quality corporate and


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government bonds and selected smaller investments with a target allocation for plan assets of 65 percent equities. U. S. Steel will use a 7.25 percent assumed rate of return on assets for the development of net periodic costs for the USSC defined benefit expense in 2013. The 2013 assumed rate of return is the same as the rate of return used for 2012 USSC expense.

To determine the discount rate used to measure our pension and other benefit obligations, certain corporate bond rates are utilized for both U.S. GAAP and funding purposes. As a result of lower interest rates at December 31, 2012 and the continued volatility in the financial markets, U. S. Steel decreased the discount rate used to measure both domestic pension and other benefits obligations to 3.75 percent from 4.5 percent. The discount rate reflects the current rate at which we estimate the pension and other benefits liabilities could be effectively settled at the measurement date. In setting the domestic rates, we utilize several AAA and AA corporate bond rates as an indication of interest rate movements and levels. For Canadian benefit plans, a discount rate was selected through a similar review process using Canadian bond rates and indices and at December 31, 2012, U. S. Steel decreased the discount rate to 3.75 percent from 4.5 percent for its Canadian-based pension and other benefits.

U. S. Steel reviews its own actual historical rate experience and expectations of future health care cost trends to determine the escalation of per capita health care costs under U. S. Steel's benefit plans. About two thirds of our costs for the domestic United Steelworkers (USW) participants' retiree health benefits in the Company's main domestic benefit plan are limited to a per capita dollar maximum calculation based on 2006 base year actual costs incurred under the main U. S. Steel benefit plan for USW participants (the "Cost Cap"). The full effect of the Cost Cap was deferred in the 2012 Labor Agreements until 2015. After 2015, the Company's costs for a majority of USW retirees and their dependents are expected to remain fixed with the application of the cost cap and as a result, the cost impact of health care escalation on the Company is projected to be limited for this group (See Footnote 16 to the Consolidated Financial Statements). For measurement of its domestic retiree medical plans where health care cost escalation is applicable, U. S. Steel has assumed an initial escalation rate of 7.0 percent for 2013. This rate is assumed to decrease gradually to an ultimate rate of 5.0 percent in 2017 and remain at that level thereafter. For measurement of its Canadian retiree medical plans, U. S. Steel has assumed an initial escalation rate of 6.0 percent for 2013. This rate is assumed to decrease gradually to an ultimate rate of 5.0 percent in 2017 and remain at that level thereafter.

Net periodic pension cost, including multiemployer plans, is expected to total approximately $385 million in 2013 compared to $412 million in 2012. The decrease in expected expense in 2013 is primarily due to the natural maturation of our pension plans and a higher market related value of assets partially offset by a decrease in the discount rate. Total other benefits costs in 2013 are expected to be approximately $55 million, compared to $100 million in 2012. The decrease in expected expense in 2013 is primarily a result of the changes negotiated as part of the 2012 Labor Agreements.

A sensitivity analysis of the projected incremental effect of a hypothetical one percentage point change in the significant assumptions used in the pension and other benefits calculations is provided in the following table:

                                                                  Hypothetical Rate
                                                                 Increase  (Decrease)
(In millions)                                                   1%                 (1%)
Expected return on plan assets
Incremental (decrease) increase in:
Net periodic pension costs for 2013                         $      (103 )       $      103
Discount rate
Incremental (decrease) increase in:
Net periodic pension & other benefits costs for 2013        $       (58 )       $       53
Pension & other benefits obligations at December 31, 2012   $    (1,425 )       $    1,654
Health care cost escalation trend rates
Incremental increase (decrease) in:
Service and interest costs components                       $        11         $       (9 )

Changes in the assumptions for expected annual return on plan assets and the discount rate used for accounting purposes do not impact the funding calculations used to derive minimum funding requirements for the pension


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plans. However, the discount rates required for minimum funding purposes are also based on corporate bond related indices and as such, the same general sensitivity concepts as above can be applied to increases or decreases to the funding obligations of the plans assuming the same hypothetical rate changes. (See Note 16 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for a discussion regarding legislation enacted in July 2012 that impacts the discount rate used for funding purposes.) For further cash flow discussion see "Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Financial Condition, Cash Flows and Liquidity - Liquidity."

Goodwill and identifiable intangible assets- Goodwill represents the excess of the cost over the fair value of acquired identifiable tangible and intangible assets and liabilities assumed from businesses acquired. Goodwill is tested for impairment at the reporting unit level annually in the third quarter and whenever events or circumstances indicate the carrying value may not be recoverable. The evaluation of impairment involves comparing the estimated fair value of the associated reporting unit to its carrying value, including goodwill. We have two reporting units that hold nearly all of our goodwill: our Flat-rolled reporting unit and our Texas Operations reporting unit, which is part of our Tubular operating segment.

On January 1, 2012, U. S. Steel adopted ASU 2011-08 which provides the option of performing a qualitative assessment before performing the first step of the two-step impairment test (see Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements). U. S. Steel completed its annual goodwill impairment evaluation during the third quarter of 2012 and determined, on the basis of a number of economic, cost, market and other qualitative factors, including consideration of certain factors from the 2011 annual goodwill impairment evaluation, there was no indication of goodwill impairment for any of the reporting units.

If business conditions deteriorate or other factors have an adverse effect on our qualitative and quantitative estimates, inclusive of discounted future cash flows or assumed growth rates, or if we experience a sustained decline in our market capitalization, future assessments of goodwill for impairment may result in impairment charges.

U. S. Steel has determined that certain acquired intangible assets have indefinite useful lives. These assets are reviewed for impairment annually in the third quarter and whenever events or circumstances indicate the carrying value may not be recoverable.

On January 1, 2012, U. S. Steel adopted ASU 2012-02, which provides the option of allowing companies to perform a qualitative assessment to determine whether further impairment testing of indefinite-lived intangible assets is necessary, similar in approach to the goodwill impairment assessment noted above. U. S. Steel completed its evaluation of its indefinite lived water rights during the third quarter of 2012 and determined on the basis of qualitative factors, there was no indication of impairment.

Identifiable intangible assets with finite lives are amortized on a straight-line basis over their estimated useful lives and are reviewed for impairment whenever events or circumstances indicate that the carrying value may not be recoverable.

Long-lived assets - U. S. Steel evaluates long-lived assets, including property, plant and equipment and finite-lived intangible assets for impairment whenever changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amounts of those productive assets exceed their projected undiscounted cash flows. We evaluate the impairment of long-lived assets at the asset group level.

Taxes - U. S. Steel records a valuation allowance to reduce deferred tax assets to the amount that is more likely than not to be realized. A full valuation allowance was recorded for both our Canadian and Serbian deferred tax assets primarily due to cumulative losses in these jurisdictions in recent years. Accordingly, losses in Canada and Serbia do not generate a tax benefit for accounting purposes. On January 31, 2012, U. S. Steel sold USSS and the Serbian deferred tax asset and the offsetting valuation allowance were removed in connection with the sale. If evidence changes and it becomes more likely than not that the Company will realize the Canadian deferred tax asset, the valuation allowance would be partially or fully reversed. Likewise, should U. S. Steel determine that it would not be able to realize all or part of our deferred tax assets in the future, an adjustment to the valuation allowance for deferred tax assets would be charged to income tax expense in the period such determination was made. U. S. Steel expects to generate future taxable income to realize the benefits of our net deferred tax assets.


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U. S. Steel makes no provision for deferred U.S. income taxes on undistributed foreign earnings because as of December 31, 2012, it remained management's intention to continue to indefinitely reinvest such earnings in foreign operations. See Note 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. Undistributed foreign earnings at December 31, 2012 amounted to approximately $2.7 billion. If such earnings were not indefinitely reinvested, a U.S. deferred tax liability of approximately $800 million would have been required.

U. S. Steel records liabilities for potential tax deficiencies. These liabilities are based on management's judgment of the risk of loss for items that have been or may be challenged by taxing authorities. In the event that U. S. Steel were to determine that tax-related items would not be considered deficiencies or that items previously not considered to be potential deficiencies could be considered potential tax deficiencies (as a result of an audit, court case, tax ruling or other authoritative tax position), an adjustment to the liability would be recorded through income in the period such determination was made.

Environmental Remediation - U. S. Steel provides for remediation costs and penalties when the responsibility to remediate is probable and the amount of associated costs is reasonably determinable. Remediation liabilities are accrued based on estimates of known environmental exposures and are discounted in certain instances. U. S. Steel regularly monitors the progress of environmental remediation. Should studies indicate that the cost of remediation is to be more than previously estimated, an additional accrual would be recorded in the period in which such determination was made. As of December 31, 2012, the total accrual for environmental remediation was $203 million, excluding liabilities related to asset retirement obligations. Due to uncertainties inherent in remediation projects, it is possible that total remediation costs for active matters may exceed the accrued liability by as much as 15 to 30 percent.

Segments

U. S. Steel has three reportable operating segments: Flat-rolled Products (Flat-rolled), U. S. Steel Europe (USSE) and Tubular Products (Tubular). The results of several operating segments that do not constitute reportable segments are combined and disclosed in the Other Businesses category.

The Flat-rolled segment includes the operating results of U. S. Steel's North American integrated steel mills and equity investees involved in the production of slabs, rounds, strip mill plates, sheets and tin mill products, as well as all iron ore and coke production facilities in the United States and Canada. These operations primarily serve North American customers in the service center, conversion, transportation (including automotive), construction, container, and appliance and electrical markets. Flat-rolled supplies steel rounds and hot-rolled bands to Tubular.

Flat-rolled has annual raw steel production capability of 24.3 million tons. Raw steel production was 19.1 million tons in 2012, 18.6 million tons in 2011 and 18.4 million tons in 2010. Raw steel production averaged 78 percent of capability in 2012, 77 percent of capability in 2011 and 76 percent of capability in 2010.

The USSE segment includes the operating results of USSK, U. S. Steel's integrated steel mill and coke and other production facilities in Slovakia. Prior to January 31, 2012, the USSE segment also included USSS, U. S. Steel's integrated steel mill and other facilities in Serbia, and an equity investee, which were sold on January 31, 2012 (see Note 4 to the Consolidated Financial Statements). USSE primarily serves customers in the European construction, service center, conversion, container, transportation (including automotive), appliance and electrical, and oil, gas and petrochemical markets. USSE produces and sells slabs, sheet, strip mill plate, tin mill products and spiral welded pipe, as well as heating radiators and refractory ceramic materials.

Subsequent to January 31, 2012, USSE's annual steel capacity is 5.0 million tons. Prior to that date, USSE had annual raw steel production capability of 7.4 million tons. USSE's raw steel production was 4.5 million tons in 2012, 5.6 million tons in 2011 and 6.1 million tons in 2010. USSE's raw steel production averaged 87 percent of capability in 2012, 76 percent of capability in 2011 and 82 percent of capability in 2010.

The Tubular segment includes the operating results of U. S. Steel's tubular production facilities, located primarily in the United States, and equity investees in the United States and Brazil. These operations produce and sell seamless and electric resistance welded (ERW) steel casing and tubing (commonly known as oil country tubular goods or OCTG), standard and line pipe and mechanical tubing and primarily serve customers in the oil, gas and petrochemical markets. Tubular's annual production capability is 2.8 million tons.


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All other U. S. Steel businesses not included in reportable segments are reflected in Other Businesses. These businesses include transportation services (railroad and barge operations) and real estate operations.

For further information, see Note 3 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.

Net Sales

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Net Sales by Segment



(Dollars in millions, excluding intersegment sales)       2012             2011             2010
Flat-rolled                                             $ 12,908         $ 12,367         $ 10,848
USSE                                                       2,949            4,306            3,989
Tubular                                                    3,283            3,034            2,403

Total sales from reportable segments                      19,140           19,707           17,240
Other Businesses                                             188              177              134

Net sales                                               $ 19,328         $ 19,884         $ 17,374

Management's analysis of the percentage change in net sales for U. S. Steel's reportable business segments is set forth in the following tables:

Year Ended December 31, 2012 versus Year Ended December 31, 2011

                                       Steel Products(a)
                                                                                                         Net
                 Volume            Price           Mix            FX(b)            Other                Change
  Flat-rolled          4 %             -2 %           0 %              0 %              2 %                   4 %
  USSE               -21 %             -4 %          -1 %             -6 %              0 %                 -32 %
  Tubular              4 %              4 %           0 %              0 %              0 %                   8 %

(a) Excludes intersegment sales

(b) Foreign currency translation effects

The increase in sales for the Flat-rolled segment primarily reflected increased shipments (increase of 465 thousand net tons) partially offset by lower average realized prices (decrease of $9 per net ton). The decrease in sales for the European segment primarily reflected decreased shipments (decrease of 1.1 million net tons) primarily due to the sale of USSS, lower average realized euro-based prices (decrease of €30 per net ton) and the strengthening of the U.S. dollar versus the euro in 2012 compared to 2011. The increase in sales for the Tubular segment resulted primarily from higher average realized prices (increase of $75 per net ton) and increased shipments (increase of 74 thousand net tons) as a result of increased drilling activity.


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Year Ended December 31, 2011 versus Year Ended December 31, 2010

                                       Steel Products(a)
                                                                                                         Net
. . .
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