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TLYS > SEC Filings for TLYS > Form 10-Q on 4-Dec-2012All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for TILLY'S, INC.


4-Dec-2012

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The following discussion and analysis of the financial condition and results of our operations should be read together with the financial statements and related notes of Tilly's, Inc. included in Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and with our audited financial statements and the related notes included in our Registration Statement on Form S-1, as amended (File No. 333-175299), which was declared effective on May 3, 2012. As used in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, except where the context otherwise requires or where otherwise indicated, the terms "company", "World of Jeans & Tops", "we", "our", "us" and "Tilly's" refer to Tilly's, Inc. and its subsidiary.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties, as well as assumptions that, if they never materialize or prove incorrect, could cause our results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. The statements contained in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q that are not purely historical are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"). Forward-looking statements are often identified by the use of words such as, but not limited to, "anticipate", "believe", "can", "continue", "could", "estimate", "expect", "intend", "may", "plan", "project", "seek", "should", "target", "will", "would" and similar expressions or variations intended to identify forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the beliefs and assumptions of our management based on information currently available to management. These forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, including the risks and uncertainties described under the section titled "Risk Factors" in our Registration Statement on Form S-1, as amended (File No. 333-175299), those identified in this "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations", and elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Moreover, we operate in an evolving environment. New risk factors and uncertainties emerge from time to time and it is not possible for our management to predict all risk factors and uncertainties, nor can we assess the impact of all factors on our business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. We qualify all of our forward-looking statements by these cautionary statements.

Overview

Tilly's is a fast-growing destination specialty retailer of West Coast inspired apparel, footwear and accessories. We believe we bring together an unparalleled selection of the most sought-after brands rooted in action sports, music, art and fashion. Our West Coast heritage dates back to 1982 when Hezy Shaked and Tilly Levine opened our first store in Orange County, California. As of October 27, 2012, we operated 161 stores, averaging 7,900 square feet, in 27 states. We also sell our products through our e-commerce website, www.tillys.com (the information available at our website address is not incorporated by reference into this report).


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Our growth and operating results reflect initiatives taken by our management team as well as our customers' increasing awareness of our brand and merchandise assortment as we have expanded our presence in both existing and new markets. We increased net sales $17.6 million, or 16%, to $124.9 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 from $107.3 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 29, 2011. Our comparable store sales increased 1.9% for the thirteen weeks ended October 29, 2012, which followed a 10.7% increase for the full fiscal year 2011 and a 5.1% increase for the thirteen weeks ended July 28, 2012. Since the beginning of fiscal 2007, we have increased our store count more than two and a half times, from 61 stores to 161 stores as of October 27, 2012.

As of October 27, 2012, we have added 21 net new stores in fiscal year 2012 and plan to add seven additional net stores by the end of the year. We plan net new store growth at an annual rate of approximately 15% for the next several years thereafter. We expect to fund this store expansion through our cash on hand and cash flows from operations.

We believe our business strategy will continue to offer significant opportunity, but it also presents risks and challenges. These risks and challenges include, but are not limited to, that we may not be able to effectively identify and respond to changing fashion trends and customer preferences, that we may not be able to find desirable locations for new stores and that we may not be able to effectively manage our future growth. In addition, our financial results can be expected to be directly impacted by trends in the general economy. A decline in consumer spending or a substantial increase in product costs due to commodity cost increases or general inflation could lead to a reduction in our sales as well as greater margin pressure as costs may not be able to be passed on to consumers and the competitive environment could become more highly promotional. See "Risk Factors" in the company's Registration Statement on Form S-1, as amended (File No. 333-175299), for other important factors that could adversely impact us and our results of operations.

On May 2, 2012, all four shareholders of World of Jeans & Tops contributed all of their equity interests in World of Jeans & Tops to Tilly's, Inc. in exchange for shares of Tilly's, Inc. Class B common stock on a one-for-one basis. In addition, World of Jeans & Tops terminated its "S" Corporation status and became a "C" Corporation. These events are collectively referred to as the "Reorganization." As a result of the Reorganization, World of Jeans & Tops became a wholly owned subsidiary of Tilly's, Inc.

On May 3, 2012, we completed an initial public offering, or IPO, in which we issued and sold 7,600,000 shares of Class A common stock at a price of $15.50 per share, less underwriting discounts and offering expenses payable by us, a portion of which was reimbursed by the underwriters. Certain of our stockholders also sold 1,600,000 shares of Class A common stock in the IPO at a price of $15.50 per share. We did not receive any of the proceeds from the sale of stock by our stockholders. As a result of the IPO, we raised net proceeds of approximately $107 million, after deducting the underwriting discount of $8.7 million and related fees and expenses of approximately $2.5 million. On May 9, 2012, we used $84.0 million of the net proceeds from the IPO to pay in full the principal amount of notes representing World of Jeans & Tops' undistributed taxable income. These notes were issued to the former shareholders of World of


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Jeans & Tops in connection with the Reorganization and all payments were made to trusts related to Hezy Shaked, Tilly Levine and their children. We intend to use the remaining net proceeds from the sale of shares by us for working capital and other general corporate purposes. The amounts and timing of any expenditures will vary depending on the amount of cash generated by our operations, competitive and technological developments and the rate of growth of our business.

How We Assess the Performance of Our Business

In assessing the performance of our business, we consider a variety of performance and financial measures. The key indicators of the financial condition and operating performance of our business are net sales, comparable store sales, gross profit, selling, general and administrative expenses and operating income.

Net Sales

Net sales reflect revenue from the sale of our merchandise at store locations as well as sales of merchandise through our e-commerce store, which is reflected in sales when the merchandise is received by the customer. Net sales also include shipping and handling fees for e-commerce shipments that have been delivered to the customer. Net sales are net of returns on sales during the period as well as an estimate of returns expected in the future stemming from current period sales. Revenue from the sale of gift cards is deferred and not included in net sales until the gift cards are used to purchase merchandise. However, over time, the redemption of some gift cards becomes remote (referred to as gift card breakage). Revenue from estimated gift card breakage is also included in net sales.

Our business is seasonal and as a result our revenues fluctuate from quarter to quarter. In addition, our revenues in any given quarter can be affected by a number of factors including the timing of holidays and weather patterns. The third and fourth quarters of the fiscal year, which include the back-to-school and holiday sales seasons, have historically produced stronger sales and disproportionately stronger operating results than have the first two quarters of the fiscal year.

Comparable Store Sales

A store is included in comparable store sales when it has been open at least 12 full fiscal months as of the end of the current reporting period. A remodeled or relocated store is included in comparable store sales, both during and after construction, if the square footage of the store was not changed by more than 20% and the store was not closed for more than five days in any fiscal month. Comparable store sales include sales through our e-commerce store, but exclude e-commerce shipping and handling fee revenue. Some of our competitors and other retailers may calculate comparable or "same store" sales differently than we do. As a result, data regarding our comparable store sales may not be comparable to similar data made available by other retailers.


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Measuring the change in year-over-year comparable store sales allows us to evaluate how our store base is performing. Numerous factors affect our comparable store sales, including:

• overall economic trends;

• our ability to identify and respond effectively to consumer preferences and fashion trends;

• competition;

• the timing of our releases of new and seasonal styles;

• changes in our product mix;

• pricing;

• the level of customer service that we provide in stores;

• our ability to source and distribute products efficiently;

• calendar shifts of holiday or seasonal periods;

• the number and timing of store openings and the relative proportion of new stores to mature stores; and

• the timing and success of promotional and advertising efforts.

Opening new stores is an important part of our growth strategy and we expect a significant percentage of our net sales during this growth period to come from non-comparable store sales. Accordingly, comparable store sales are only one element we use to assess the success of our business.

Gross Profit

Gross profit is equal to our net sales less our cost of goods sold. Cost of goods sold reflects the direct cost of purchased merchandise as well as buying, distribution and occupancy costs. Buying costs include compensation expense for our internal buying organization. Distribution costs include all inbound freight costs as well as costs for receiving, processing, warehousing and shipping of merchandise to or from our distribution center, to our e-commerce customers and between store locations. Occupancy costs include the rent, common area maintenance, utilities, property taxes, security, and depreciation costs of all store locations. These costs are significant and can be expected to continue to increase as our company grows. The components of our reported cost of goods sold may not be comparable to those of other retail companies.


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We regularly analyze the components of gross profit as well as gross profit as a percentage of net sales. Specifically we look at the initial markup on purchases, markdowns and reserves, shrinkage, buying costs, distribution costs and occupancy costs. Any inability to obtain acceptable levels of initial markups, a significant increase in our use of markdowns or a significant increase in inventory shrinkage or inability to generate sufficient sales leverage on the buying, distribution and occupancy components of cost of goods sold could have an adverse impact on our gross profit and results of operations.

Gross profit is also impacted by shifts in the proportion of sales of proprietary branded products compared to third-party branded products as well as by sales mix shifts within and between brands and between major product categories such as between guys' and juniors' apparel, footwear or accessories. A substantial shift in the mix of products could have a material impact on our results of operations. In addition, gross profit and gross profit as a percent of sales have historically been higher in the third and fourth quarters of the fiscal year, as these periods include the back-to-school and winter holiday selling seasons. This reflects that various costs, including occupancy costs, generally do not increase in proportion to the seasonal sales increase.

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

Our selling, general and administrative, or SG&A, expenses are comprised of store selling expenses and corporate-level general and administrative expenses. Store selling expenses include store and regional support costs, including personnel, advertising and debit and credit card processing costs, e-commerce processing costs and store supplies costs. General and administrative expenses include the payroll and support costs of corporate functions such as executive management, legal, accounting, information systems, human resources and other centralized services. Store selling expenses generally vary proportionately with net sales and store growth. In contrast, general and administrative expenses are generally not directly proportional to net sales and store growth, but will be expected to increase over time to support the needs of our growing company. SG&A expenses as a percentage of net sales are usually higher in lower volume periods and lower in higher volume periods.

The components of our SG&A expenses may not be comparable to those of other retailers. We expect that our SG&A expenses will increase in future periods due to our continuing store growth and in part due to additional legal, accounting, insurance and other expenses we expect to continue to incur as a result of being a public company. Among other things, we expect that compliance with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 and related rules and regulations will result in significant incremental legal, accounting and other overhead costs.

Our stock-based awards granted prior to our IPO contained a performance condition wherein, if they were vested, they only became exercisable upon the consummation of an IPO of our common stock. Therefore, no stock-based compensation expense was recognized by us prior to the consummation of our IPO. Accordingly, the Company recognized $7.6 million of compensation expense relating to these awards on May 3, 2012, the date of our IPO.


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Operating Income

Operating income equals gross profit less SG&A expenses. Operating income excludes interest income, interest expense and income taxes. Operating income percentage measures operating income as a percentage of our net sales.

                             Results of Operations

The following tables summarize key components of our unaudited results of
operations for the periods indicated, both in dollars and as a percentage of our
net sales.



                                              Thirteen Weeks Ended                Thirty-Nine Weeks Ended
                                         October 27,        October 29,       October 27,         October 29,
                                            2012               2011               2012               2011
                                                                    (in thousands)
Statements of Income Data:
Net sales                               $     124,895      $     107,304      $    326,521       $     277,695
Cost of goods sold                             83,087             71,446           223,150             189,910

Gross profit                                   41,808             35,858           103,371              87,785
Selling, general and administrative
expenses                                       27,940             23,514            86,795              66,915

Operating income                               13,868             12,344            16,576              20,870
Interest expense, net                              42                 49                46                 150

Income before income taxes                     13,826             12,295            16,530              20,720
Income tax provision                            4,532                140             2,478                 236

Net income                              $       9,294      $      12,155      $     14,052       $      20,484

Percentage of Net Sales:
Net sales                                       100.0 %            100.0 %           100.0 %             100.0 %
Cost of goods sold                               66.5 %             66.6 %            68.3 %              68.4 %

Gross profit                                     33.5 %             33.4 %            31.7 %              31.6 %
Selling, general and administrative
expenses                                         22.4 %             21.9 %            26.6 %              24.1 %

Operating income                                 11.1 %             11.5 %             5.1 %               7.5 %
Interest income, net                              0.0 %              0.0 %             0.0 %               0.0 %

Income before income taxes                       11.1 %             11.5 %             5.1 %               7.5 %
Income tax provision                              3.7 %              0.2 %             0.8 %               0.1 %

Net income                                        7.4 %             11.3 %             4.3 %               7.4 %

Pro Forma Data (1):
Historical income before income taxes   $      13,826      $      12,295      $     16,530       $      20,720
Pro forma income tax provision                  5,530              4,918             6,612               8,288

Pro forma net income                    $       8,296      $       7,377      $      9,918       $      12,432

(1) The pro forma data for both periods presented gives effect to an adjustment for income tax expense as if we had been a "C" Corporation at an assumed combined federal, state and local effective tax rate of 40%, which approximates our statutory income tax rate.


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The following table presents store operating data for the periods indicated:

                                             Thirteen Weeks Ended                  Thirty-Nine Weeks Ended
                                       October 27,         October 29,         October 27,         October 29,
                                           2012                2011                2012                2011
Store Operating Data:
Stores operating at end of period               161                 134                 161                 134
Comparable store sales change (1)               1.9 %               8.5 %               3.6 %              13.4 %
Total square feet at end of period        1,272,247           1,044,260           1,272,247           1,044,260
Average net sales per store (in
thousands) (2)                         $        705        $        730        $      1,950        $      1,947
Average net sales per square foot
(2)                                    $         90        $         94        $        249        $        251
E-commerce revenues (in thousands)
(3)                                    $     12,924        $     11,073        $     33,650        $     27,459

(1) E-commerce sales contributed 2.0% and 2.3% to the comparable store sales increase for the thirteen week periods ended October 27, 2012 and October 29, 2011, respectively. E-commerce sales contributed 2.1% and 2.2% to the comparable store sales increase for the thirty-nine week periods ended October 27, 2012 and October 29, 2011, respectively.

(2) E-commerce sales, e-commerce shipping fee revenue and gift card breakage are excluded from net sales in deriving average net sales per store and average net sales per square foot.

(3) E-commerce revenues include e-commerce sales and e-commerce shipping fee revenue.

Thirteen Weeks Ended October 27, 2012 Compared to Thirteen Weeks Ended October 29, 2011

Net Sales

Net sales increased $17.6 million, or 16%, to $124.9 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 from $107.3 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 29, 2011. A portion of this increase was due to net sales of $15.7 million from stores open in the third quarter of fiscal 2012 that were not open during the same period last year. Net sales also increased due to a comparable store net sales increase of 1.9%, or $1.9 million, in the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 compared to the thirteen weeks ended October 29, 2011. This comparable sales increase was due to higher net sales through our e-commerce store. The comparable store sales increase was in guys' and juniors' apparel and accessories, offset by lower net sales of boys' and girls' apparel and slightly lower net sales of footwear. There were 130 comparable brick-and-mortar stores and 31 non-comparable brick-and-mortar stores open as of October 27, 2012.

Net sales from our e-commerce store, including shipping fees, increased $1.9 million, or 17%, to $12.9 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 from $11.1 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 29, 2011 due to increased traffic.

Gross Profit

Gross profit increased $5.9 million, or 17%, to $41.8 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 from $35.9 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 29, 2011. As a percentage of net sales, gross profit was 33.5% and 33.4% for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 and October 29, 2011, respectively. This improvement in gross profit as a percentage of


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net sales was driven by an increase of 0.2% of sales in retail product margin, reflecting improved initial margins over the third fiscal quarter of 2011 and markdowns at a similar rate to sales as in the third fiscal quarter of 2011. The improvement in gross profit was partially offset by buying, distribution and occupancy costs which increased 0.1% as a percentage of net sales compared to the third fiscal quarter of 2011, reflecting these costs increasing more quickly than the rate of increase in comparable store sales.

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

SG&A expenses increased $4.4 million, or 19%, to $27.9 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 from $23.5 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 29, 2011. As a percentage of net sales, SG&A expenses were 22.4% and 21.9% for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 and October 29, 2011, respectively.

Store selling expenses increased $2.7 million, or 17%, to $18.8 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 from $16.1 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 29, 2011. As a percentage of net sales, store selling expenses were 15.1% and 15.0% for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 and October 29, 2011, respectively.

The following contributed to the increase in store selling expenses as a percentage of net sales:

• store and regional payroll, payroll benefits and related personnel costs increased $2.0 million, or 0.2% as a percentage of net sales, as these costs increased more quickly than sales;

• marketing costs increased $0.6 million, or 0.1% as a percentage of net sales, primarily resulting from increased distribution of catalog mailings, increased support of our e-commerce business and more new store grand openings than in the prior year; and

• supplies and other field support costs increased $0.1 million, but decreased 0.2% as a percentage of net sales, as these costs increased more slowly than sales.

General and administrative expenses increased $1.7 million, or 23%, to $9.1 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 from $7.4 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 29, 2011. As a percentage of net sales, general and administrative expenses were 7.3% and 6.9% for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 and October 29, 2011, respectively.

The following contributed to the increase in general and administrative expenses as a percentage of net sales:

• stock-based compensation expense of $0.7 million, or 0.5% of net sales, which commenced upon the completion of our IPO in May 2012 and therefore was not included in the fiscal 2011 results;


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• payroll, payroll benefits and related costs for corporate office personnel remained constant, but decreased 0.8% as a percentage of net sales, as these costs increased more slowly than sales reflecting payroll growth slower than net sales and incentive pay accruals below fiscal 2011 levels; and

• depreciation, legal and other office expenses, as well as incremental costs in the third quarter of 2012 as a result of becoming a public company during the second quarter of 2012, increased $1.0 million, or 0.7% as a percentage of net sales.

Operating Income (Loss)

Operating income increased $1.5 million, or 12%, to $13.9 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 from $12.3 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 29, 2011. As a percentage of net sales, operating income was 11.1% and 11.5% for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 and October 29, 2011, respectively. The decrease in operating income as a percentage of net sales was due to the factors noted above.

Interest Expense, Net

Net interest expense was $42,000 and $49,000 for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 and October 29, 2011, respectively. Interest income mainly represents interest income earned on cash balances and on tenant construction allowances due from landlords. Interest expense reflects interest paid on a capital lease of our corporate office and distribution center as well as costs related to maintaining our unused line of credit bank facility.

Income Tax Provision

The income tax provision increased $4.4 million, to $4.5 million for the thirteen weeks ended October 27, 2012 from $0.1 million for the thirteen weeks . . .

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