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| TIVO > SEC Filings for TIVO > Form 10-Q on 30-Nov-2012 | All Recent SEC Filings |
30-Nov-2012
Quarterly Report
You should read the following discussion and analysis in conjunction with the
condensed consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes included
in this report and our most recent annual report on Form 10-K filed on March 23,
2012, the sections entitled "Risk Factors" in Item 1A of our most recent annual
report on Form 10-K and Part II, Item 1A of this quarterly report, as well as
other cautionary statements and risks described elsewhere in this report and our
most recent annual report on Form 10-K filed on March 23, 2012 before deciding
to purchase, sell or hold our common stock.
Company Overview
We are a leading provider of software, technology, in-home, and
outside-of-the-home cloud-based video solutions, which are included in such
products as DVRs, non-DVR set-top boxes (STBs) and other consumer electronic
applications and devices, such as the tablet. The TiVo service redefines home
entertainment by providing consumers with an easy intuitive way to record,
watch, and control television. We offer features such as Season Pass®
recordings, integrated search (including content from both traditional linear
television, cable VOD, and broadband sources in one user interface), WishList®
searches, access to cable VOD, the ability to transfer content amongst our DVRs
and non-DVR STBs and to other consumer electronics devices, access to broadband
video content, TiVo Online/Mobile Scheduling and applications on third-party
devices such as tablet computers and smartphones (such as iPads, iPhones, and
Android phones and tablets). As of October 31, 2012, there were approximately
2.9 million subscriptions to the TiVo service through our TiVo-Owned and MSO
businesses. In our TiVo-Owned business, we distribute the TiVo DVR through
consumer electronics retailers and through our on-line store at TiVo.com.
Additionally, in our MSO business, we generate service and/or hardware revenues
by providing the TiVo service on MSO provisioned DVRs and non-DVR STBs through
agreements with leading satellite and cable television service providers and
broadcasters. We also generate technology revenues through engineering
professional services in connection with the development and deployment of the
TiVo service to our MSO customers.
Additionally, we generate advertising and audience research and measurement
revenues by providing innovative advertising and audience measurement solutions
for the television industry. We recently acquired a data analytics company, TRA
Global, Inc. on July 18, 2012, which we have renamed TiVo Research and
Analytics, Inc. (or TRA). We believe this acquisition is strategic for our data
analytics business, establishes new revenue enhancing opportunities, and
bolsters our ability to provide unique insights to an industry increasingly
seeking alternative ways to measure audience behavior.
We have and continue to engage in significant intellectual property litigation
with certain television service and technology providers in the United States to
protect our technology from infringement. To date, we have received cash and
future payment commitments totaling over $1 billion from intellectual property
litigation, including a lawsuit we settled with Verizon Communications, Inc. for
at least $250.4 million, during the quarter ended October 31, 2012. We have
recorded the portion that related to past infringement as litigation proceeds in
the quarter in which the settlements occurred, and the amounts related to future
use are recognized by us as technology revenues from the licensing of our
technology over the remaining term of the license. We currently have additional
intellectual property litigation pending against Motorola, Cisco, and Time
Warner Cable.
Executive Overview
Fiscal year 2013
In the remainder of the fiscal year ending January 31, 2013, we plan to continue
to focus on our efforts to build leading advanced television products, enter
into new distribution relationships, engage in development work for existing
distribution customers, and continue deployment activities for our existing
distribution customers. Additionally, we have been and plan to continue to
actively protect our intellectual property. We will continue to focus on the
following priorities:
•We expect to continue our efforts to increase our subscription base by adding
new subscriptions through our TiVo-Owned direct and retail sales with the roll
out of our new products, as well as our mass distribution partnerships both in
the U.S. and internationally. Our installed base of MSO subscriptions had strong
growth in the quarter ended October 31, 2012. We expect this new trend of growth
in our MSO subscription base to continue through rest of fiscal year 2013 and
into next year with the continued contributions from current deployments and the
expected future deployment of additional distribution deals. However, this
growth in our installed base of MSO subscriptions will likely be slightly offset
by further declines in our TiVo-Owned subscription base.
•We believe that our investments in research and development are critical to
remaining competitive and being a leader in advanced television solutions that
go beyond the DVR. Therefore, we expect our annual research and development
spending in fiscal year 2014 to continue to be significant but to be at lower
levels than compared to the fiscal year ended January 31, 2013 as we continue to
launch and pursue new technological and product developments such as the
continued development of whole-home and multi-screen offerings which include
non-DVR STBs and software solutions that extend the TiVo experience to personal
computers, tablets, and mobile devices, increasing our operational capacity to
handle increased operator deployments, and gaining more efficiency in our
distribution efforts.
•We will continue our efforts to protect our technological innovations and
intellectual property. As a result, we expect to continue to incur significant
litigation expenses for our ongoing patent infringement lawsuits, which include
litigation with Motorola, Cisco, and Time Warner Cable.
•We expect to continue our development efforts under our existing MSO deployment
agreements. As part of these arrangements, we typically receive some payments
upfront and a portion over time that is a recoupment of costs to develop. As
such, to the extent that our development costs exceed upfront development fees
from such arrangements, but such development costs are recoverable through
future guaranteed service fees from these MSOs, we will defer such development
costs and start expensing them in our Statement of Operations later upon
deployment with the MSO. As of October 31, 2012, we have deferred costs of
approximately $30.2 million related to development work, largely related to
Virgin, ONO, and Charter. However, despite the deferral of these development
costs, we do incur cash outflows associated with these development efforts
resulting in potentially higher cash usage in the near term. Also for
international MSOs, when related revenues from service fees are received, they
are first recognized as technology revenues until the previously deferred costs
of development of such arrangements are expensed. This recognition of such
associated service fees as technology revenues also negatively impacts the
average revenue per subscription ("ARPU") for MSOs' metric until such service
fees are later recognized as service revenues, as further discussed below under
Key Business Metrics. As a result, we face the risk of unexpected losses if we
were forced to recognize these deferred costs early if we don't successfully
complete the developments and deployments with the MSO partners or these
partners default on future guaranteed service fees or are otherwise able to
terminate their contracts with us.
Key Business Metrics
Management periodically reviews certain key business metrics in order to
evaluate our operations, allocate resources, and drive financial performance in
our business. Management monitors these metrics together and not individually as
it does not make business decisions based upon any single metric.
Subscriptions. Management reviews this metric, and believes it may be useful to
investors, in order to evaluate our relative position in the marketplace and to
forecast future potential service revenues. Below is a table that details the
change in our subscription base during the last eight quarters. The TiVo-Owned
lines refer to subscriptions sold directly or indirectly by TiVo to consumers
who have TiVo-enabled DVRs and for which TiVo incurs acquisition costs. The MSO
lines refer to subscriptions sold to consumers by MSOs such as DIRECTV, Virgin
Media, Cableuropa S.A.U. ("ONO"), RCN, Grande, and Suddenlink, among others, and
for which TiVo
expects to incur little or no acquisition costs. Additionally, we provide a breakdown of the percent of TiVo-Owned subscriptions for which consumers pay recurring fees as opposed to a one-time prepaid product lifetime fee.
Three Months Ended
Oct 31 Jul 31 Apr 30 Jan 31 Oct 31 Jul 31 Apr 30 Jan 31
(Subscriptions in thousands) 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011
TiVo-Owned Subscription
Gross Additions: 30 28 24 32 30 25 27 60
Subscription Net
Additions/(Losses):
TiVo-Owned (15 ) (23 ) (29 ) (26 ) (30 ) (43 ) (58 ) (55 )
MSOs 240 253 235 260 147 10 (30 ) (168 )
Total Subscription Net
Additions/(Losses) 225 230 206 234 117 (33 ) (88 ) (223 )
Cumulative Subscriptions:
TiVo-Owned 1,042 1,057 1,080 1,109 1,135 1,165 1,208 1,266
MSOs 1,898 1,658 1,405 1,170 910 763 753 783
Total Cumulative
Subscriptions 2,940 2,715 2,485 2,279 2,045 1,928 1,961 2,049
Fully Amortized Active
Lifetime Subscriptions 208 221 238 253 270 286 307 310
% of TiVo-Owned Cumulative
Subscriptions paying
recurring fees 54 % 54 % 55 % 55 % 56 % 57 % 57 % 56 %
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We define a "subscription" as a contract referencing a TiVo-enabled DVR for
which (i) a consumer has committed to pay for the TiVo service and (ii) service
is not canceled. We count product lifetime subscriptions in our subscription
base until both of the following conditions are met: (i) the period we use to
recognize product lifetime subscription revenues ends; and (ii) the related DVR
has not made contact to the TiVo service within the prior six month period.
Product lifetime subscriptions past this period which have not called into the
TiVo service for six months are not counted in this total. Prior to November 1,
2011 we amortized all product lifetime subscriptions over a 60 month period.
Effective November 1, 2011, we have extended the period we use to recognize
product lifetime subscription revenues from 60 months to 66 months for product
lifetime subscriptions where we have not recognized all of the related deferred
revenue as of the reassessment date. We are not aware of any uniform standards
for defining subscriptions and caution that our presentation may not be
consistent with that of other companies. Additionally, the subscription fees
that our MSOs pay us are typically based upon a specific contractual definition
of a subscriber or subscription which may not be consistent with how we define a
subscription for our reporting purposes nor be representative of how such
subscription fees are calculated and paid to us by our MSOs. Our MSOs
subscription data is based in part on reporting from our third-party MSO
partners.
TiVo-Owned subscriptions declined by 15,000 subscriptions during the three
months ended October 31, 2012, as compared to a decrease of 30,000 in the same
prior year period. This improvement was primarily driven by decreased churn.
TiVo-Owned installed subscription base decreased to approximately 1.0 million
subscriptions as of October 31, 2012 as compared to approximately 1.1 million as
of October 31, 2011. We believe this decrease in total TiVo-Owned subscriptions
was largely due to continued pressure on subscription gross additions resulting
from increased competition from DVRs distributed by cable and satellite
companies as we continued to have fewer TiVo-Owned subscription gross additions
than we had TiVo-Owned subscription cancellations. Despite our efforts to
improve TiVo-Owned net additions, we expect current trends will likely continue
and that we will experience further declines in our TiVo-Owned subscription base
in fiscal year 2013.
Our MSO installed subscription base increased by 240,000 subscriptions to
approximately 1.9 million subscriptions as of October 31, 2012. The increase in
subscriptions is due to subscription growth from partners such as Virgin Media,
RCN, Suddenlink, ONO, Grande, and others. We expect this growth to continue.
TiVo-Owned Churn Rate per Month. Management reviews this metric, and believes it
may be useful to investors, in order to evaluate our ability to retain existing
TiVo-Owned subscriptions (including both monthly and product lifetime
subscriptions) by providing services that are competitive in the market.
Management believes factors such as service enhancements, service commitments,
higher customer satisfaction, and improved customer support may improve this
metric. Conversely, management believes factors such as increased competition,
lack of competitive service features such as high definition television
recording capabilities in our older model DVRs or access to certain digital
television channels or MSO Video On Demand services, as well as increased price
sensitivity and installation and CableCARDTM technology limitations, may cause
our TiVo-Owned Churn Rate per month to increase.
We define the TiVo-Owned Churn Rate per month as the total TiVo-Owned subscription cancellations in the period divided by the Average TiVo-Owned subscriptions for the period (including both monthly and product lifetime subscriptions), which then is divided by the number of months in the period. We calculate Average TiVo-Owned subscriptions for the period by adding the average TiVo-Owned subscriptions for each month and dividing by the number of months in the period. We calculate the average TiVo-Owned subscriptions for each month by adding the beginning and ending subscriptions for the month and dividing by two. We are not aware of any uniform standards for calculating churn and caution that our presentation may not be consistent with that of other companies. The following table presents our TiVo-Owned Churn Rate per month information:
Three Months Ended
(Subscriptions in Oct 31, Jul 31, Apr 30, Jan 31, Oct 31, Jul 31, Apr 30, Jan 31,
thousands) 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011
Average TiVo-Owned
subscriptions 1,050 1,068 1,095 1,122 1,149 1,188 1,238 1,296
TiVo-Owned
subscription
cancellations (45 ) (51 ) (53 ) (58 ) (60 ) (68 ) (85 ) (115 )
TiVo-Owned Churn Rate
per month (1.4 )% (1.6 )% (1.6 )% (1.7 )% (1.7 )% (1.9 )% (2.3 )% (3.0 )%
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Included in our TiVo-Owned Churn Rate per month are those product lifetime
subscriptions that have both reached the end of the revenue recognition period
and whose DVRs have not contacted the TiVo service within the prior six months.
Conversely, we do not count as churn product lifetime subscriptions that have
not reached the end of the revenue recognition period, regardless of whether
such subscriptions continue to contact the TiVo service. TiVo-Owned Churn Rate
per month was (1.4)% and (1.7)% for the quarters ended October 31, 2012 and
2011, respectively.
We expect churn to be lower on a percentage basis and on an absolute basis in
the fiscal year ending January 31, 2013 as compared to the fiscal year ended
January 31, 2012 as a result of a decrease in inactive product lifetime
subscriptions and as high definition subscriptions, which tend to have a lower
churn rate than standard definition subscriptions, become a larger portion of
our base.
Subscription Acquisition Cost or SAC. Management reviews this metric, and
believes it may be useful to investors, in order to evaluate trends in the
efficiency of our marketing programs and subscription acquisition strategies. We
define SAC as our total TiVo-Owned acquisition costs for a given period divided
by TiVo-Owned subscription gross additions for the same period. We define total
acquisition costs as sales and marketing, subscription acquisition costs less
net TiVo-Owned related hardware revenues (defined as TiVo-Owned related gross
hardware revenues less rebates, revenue share and market development funds paid
to retailers) plus TiVo-Owned related cost of hardware revenues. The sales and
marketing, subscription acquisition costs line item includes advertising
expenses and promotion-related expenses directly related to subscription
acquisition activities, but does not include expenses related to advertising
sales. We do not include third-parties' subscription gross additions, such as
MSOs' gross additions with TiVo subscriptions, in our calculation of SAC because
we typically incur limited or no acquisition costs for these new subscriptions,
and so we also do not include MSOs' sales and marketing, subscription
acquisition costs, hardware revenues, or cost of hardware revenues in our
calculation of TiVo-Owned SAC. We are not aware of any uniform standards for
calculating total acquisition costs or SAC and caution that our presentation may
not be consistent with that of other companies.
Three Months Ended
Oct 31, Jul 31, Apr 30, Jan 31, Oct 31, Jul 31, Apr 30, Jan 31,
2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011
(In thousands, except SAC)
Subscription Acquisition Costs
Sales and marketing,
subscription acquisition costs $ 1,560 $ 2,372 $ 1,257 $ 1,320 $ 2,398 $ 2,441 $ 1,233 $ 2,214
Hardware revenues (21,072 ) (11,129 ) (13,261 ) (16,428 ) (12,970 ) (11,580 ) (6,915 ) (14,436 )
Less: MSOs'-related hardware
revenues 13,051 6,696 9,268 11,641 8,998 8,079 2,765 4,431
Cost of hardware revenues 23,434 14,431 18,471 20,368 16,817 13,401 8,853 24,702
Less: MSOs'-related cost of
hardware revenues (11,841 ) (5,399 ) (10,159 ) (9,412 ) (6,351 ) (6,019 ) (1,795 ) (3,298 )
Total Acquisition Costs 5,132 6,971 5,576 7,489 8,892 6,322 4,141 13,613
TiVo-Owned Subscription Gross
Additions 30 28 24 32 30 25 27 60
Subscription Acquisition Costs
(SAC) $ 171 $ 249 $ 232 $ 234 $ 296 $ 253 $ 153 $ 227
Twelve Months Ended
Oct 31, Jul 31, Apr 30, Jan 31, Oct 31, Jul 31, Apr 30, Jan 31,
2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011
(In thousands, except SAC)
Subscription Acquisition
Costs
Sales and marketing,
subscription acquisition
costs $ 6,509 $ 7,347 $ 7,416 $ 7,392 $ 8,286 $ 7,286 $ 6,211 $ 8,169
Hardware revenues (61,890 ) (53,788 ) (54,239 ) (47,893 ) (45,901 ) (42,463 ) (40,364 ) (51,618 )
Less: MSOs'-related hardware
revenues 40,656 36,603 37,986 31,483 24,273 18,691 12,213 14,885
Cost of hardware revenues 76,704 70,087 69,057 59,439 63,773 60,522 58,667 69,033
Less: MSOs'-related cost of
hardware revenues (36,811 ) (31,321 ) (31,941 ) (23,577 ) (17,463 ) (13,730 ) (8,933 ) (11,296 )
Total Acquisition Costs 25,168 28,928 28,279 26,844 32,968 30,306 27,794 29,173
TiVo-Owned Subscription
Gross Additions 114 114 111 114 142 147 154 160
Subscription Acquisition
Costs (SAC) $ 221 $ 254 $ 255 $ 235 $ 232 $ 206 $ 180 $ 182
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As a result of the seasonal nature of our subscription growth in the past, total
acquisition costs have varied significantly during the year. Management
primarily reviews the SAC metric on an annual basis due to the timing difference
between our recognition of promotional program expense and the subsequent
addition of the related subscriptions. For example, we have historically
experienced increased TiVo-Owned subscription gross additions during the fourth
quarter; however, sales and marketing, subscription acquisition activities occur
throughout the year.
During the three months ended October 31, 2012, our total acquisition costs were
$5.1 million, a decrease of $3.8 million, as compared to the same prior year
period primarily due to lower hardware margin loss which was largely driven by
lower per unit hardware loss as a higher percentage of consumers purchased
higher end units which have lower or no hardware subsidy. Additionally, we
decreased our sales and marketing subscription acquisition spending by $838,000
during the quarter ended October 31, 2012 as compared to the same prior year
period. This decrease in total acquisition costs for the quarter resulted in a
decrease in SAC of $125 for the three months ended October 31, 2012 as compared
to the same prior year period.
During the twelve months ended October 31, 2012 our total acquisition costs were
$25.2 million, a decrease of $7.8 million compared to the same prior year
period. TiVo's sales and marketing, subscription acquisition costs decreased by
$1.8 million, as compared to the same prior year period due to lower incentives
for our retailers and less aggressive upfront pricing on TiVo boxes to
consumers, which was combined with $6.0 million lower hardware gross margin loss
as a higher percentage of consumers purchased higher end units which have lower
or no hardware subsidy. The decrease in SAC of $11 for the twelve months ended
October 31, 2012 as compared to the same prior year period was largely a result
of a decrease in total acquisition costs during the period offset by a lower
number of TiVo-Owned subscription gross additions.
Average Revenue Per Subscription or ARPU. Management reviews this metric, and
believes it may be useful to investors, in order to evaluate the potential of
TiVo to generate revenues from its subscription base through a variety of
sources, including service fees, advertising, and audience research measurement.
You should not use ARPU as a substitute for measures of financial performance
calculated in accordance with GAAP. Management believes it is useful to consider
this metric excluding the costs associated with rebates, revenue share, and
other payments to channel because of the discretionary and varying nature of
these expenses and because management believes these expenses, which are
included in hardware revenues, net, are more appropriately monitored as part of
SAC.
We are not aware of any uniform standards for calculating ARPU and caution that
our presentation may not be consistent with that of other companies. The
inclusion of advertising and audience research measurement revenues in our
service revenues has the effect of increasing ARPU above the amounts that are
directly attributable to subscription fees received. As such, future revenue
estimates based on estimates of future subscription numbers and current ARPU
numbers may not be accurate. For example, with the acquisition of TRA in July
2012, expected future growth in our audience research measurement revenues from
the acquisition of TRA will have the effect of further increasing this effect on
the TiVo-Owned ARPU per month, where all TRA related revenues are reflected. The
inclusion of product lifetime subscriptions that have both reached the end of
the revenue recognition period and whose DVRs have contacted the TiVo service
within the prior six months has the effect of decreasing ARPU as these
fully-amortized, active subscriptions no longer generate service revenues yet
are included in the denominator of the TiVo-Owned ARPU calculation.
Furthermore, ARPU for our MSOs may not be directly comparable to the service
fees we receive from these partners on a per subscription basis as the fees that
our MSOs pay us may be based upon a specific contractual definition of a
subscriber or subscription which may not be consistent with how we define a
subscription for our reporting purposes or be representative of how such
subscription fees are calculated and paid to us by our MSOs. Additionally, our
MSO ARPU per month is impacted by the fact that certain of our deployment
agreements may include provisions that affect the aggregate services fees paid
to us. For example, an agreement that includes contractual minimums may result
in a higher than expected MSOs ARPU if such fixed minimum fee is spread over a
small number of subscriptions. Additionally, ARPU for our MSO subscriptions may
not be reflective of revenues received by TiVo as in certain cases the cost of
development for such MSO customer may be deferred on our condensed consolidated
balance sheet until later when related revenues from service fees are received
and are first recognized as Technology revenues by us until the previously
deferred costs of development are fully expensed. This recognition of service
fees as Technology revenues will have the effect of lowering ARPU for certain of
our MSO subscriptions until such costs of development are fully expensed even
though such MSO subscriptions are included in the denominator of the MSO ARPU
calculation.
We calculate ARPU per month for TiVo-Owned subscriptions by subtracting
MSOs'-related service revenues (which includes MSOs' subscription service
revenues and MSOs'-related advertising and audience research measurement
revenues) from our total reported net service revenues and dividing the result
by the number of months in the period. We then divide the resulting average
service revenue by Average TiVo-Owned subscriptions for the period, calculated
as described above for churn rate. The following table shows this calculation:
Three Months Ended
TiVo-Owned Average Revenue Oct 31, Jul 31, Apr 30, Jan 31, Oct 31, Jul 31, Apr 30, Jan 31,
per Subscription 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011
(In thousands, except ARPU)
Total Service revenues 35,228 32,302 30,621 31,578 32,413 34,016 33,334 34,453
Less: MSOs'-related service
revenues (7,526 ) (5,326 ) (3,929 ) (4,472 ) (4,087 ) (4,371 ) (3,962 ) (4,294 )
TiVo-Owned-related service
revenues 27,702 26,976 26,692 27,106 28,326 29,645 29,372 30,159
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