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TRST > SEC Filings for TRST > Form 10-Q on 2-Nov-2012All Recent SEC Filings

Show all filings for TRUSTCO BANK CORP N Y

Form 10-Q for TRUSTCO BANK CORP N Y


2-Nov-2012

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Forward-looking Statements
Statements included in this report and in future filings by TrustCo Bank Corp NY ("TrustCo" or the "Company") with the Securities and Exchange Commission, in TrustCo's press releases, and in oral statements made with the approval of an authorized executive officer, which are not historical or current facts, are "forward-looking statements" made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from historical earnings and those presently anticipated or projected. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of such words as may, will, should, could, would, estimate, project, believe, intend, anticipate, plan, seek, expect and similar expressions. TrustCo wishes to caution readers not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made.

In addition to the factors described under Item 1A, Risk Factors, the following important factors, among others, in some cases have affected and in the future could affect TrustCo's actual results, and could cause TrustCo's actual financial performance to differ materially from that expressed in any forward-looking statement:

Credit risk,

The effects of and changes in trade, monetary and fiscal policies and laws, including interest rate policies of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, inflation, interest rates, market and monetary fluctuations.

Competition,

The effect of changes in financial services laws and regulations (including laws concerning taxation, banking and securities).

Real estate and collateral values,

Changes in accounting policies and practices as may be adopted by the bank regulatory agencies, Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") or the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board,

Changes in local market areas and general business and economic trends, and

The matters described under the heading "Risk Factors" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011 and in our subsequent securities filings.

The foregoing list should not be construed as exhaustive, and the Company disclaims any obligation to subsequently revise any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of such statements or to reflect the occurrence of anticipated or unanticipated events.


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Following this discussion is the table "Distribution of Assets, Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity: Interest Rates and Interest Differential" which gives a detailed breakdown of TrustCo's average interest earning assets and interest bearing liabilities for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2012 and 2011.

Introduction
The review that follows focuses on the factors affecting the financial condition and results of operations of TrustCo during the three-month and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2012, with comparisons to the corresponding periods in 2011 as applicable. Net interest margin is presented on a fully taxable equivalent basis in this discussion. The consolidated interim financial statements and related notes, as well as the 2011 Annual Report to Shareholders should be read in conjunction with this review. Amounts in prior period consolidated interim financial statements are reclassified whenever necessary to conform to the current period's presentation.

Financial markets were generally strong during the third quarter of 2012. For the third quarter, the S&P 500 Index was up 5.8% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 4.3%. Credit markets continued to show significant volatility during the quarter, although somewhat less than what occurred in the second quarter. The volatility, which was mostly in the longer term part of the yield curve, occurred during the course of the quarter; comparisons of period-end rates show much less movement. Shorter term rates ended the quarter at levels near where they started. The table below illustrates the range of these movements for both short term and longer term rates. The target Fed Funds range remained unchanged at zero to 0.25% during the third quarter. Spreads of certain asset classes, including agency securities and mortgage-backed securities, declined relative to the Treasury curve, at least partly due to the influence of buying by the Federal Reserve Bank.

               3 Month         2 Year         5 Year        10 Year
             Yield (%)      Yield (%)      Yield (%)      Yield (%)
End of Q1         0.07           0.33           1.04           2.23
Peak              0.11           0.36           1.05           2.30
Trough            0.07           0.25           0.62           1.47
End of Q2         0.09           0.33           0.72           1.67

End of Q2         0.09           0.33           0.72           1.67
Peak              0.12           0.31           0.83           1.88
Trough            0.08           0.22           0.56           1.43
End of Q3         0.10           0.23           0.62           1.65

Underlying national economic conditions remain subdued, with persistent issues in regard to unemployment and continued high levels of financial leverage in some sectors. While there have been some encouraging economic reports, conditions are generally thought to have trended flat to down. Although there has been some improvement in recent months, the housing market remains troubled and issues regarding home foreclosures remain prominent topics of discussion in the media and within government. Federal, state and municipal budget deficits and debt levels have received significant political and media attention, and sovereign fiscal issues in a number of European nations, as well as slowing economies in both Europe and China have caused significant uncertainty in financial markets worldwide and created concern that this weakness will put new pressure on the United States.


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The pace of bank failures has declined from 2011, with just 43 failures through the end of the third quarter. Most closures have been the result of capital and asset quality problems, rather than the liquidity issues that resulted in the failures and near-failures of some of the largest financial institutions in the world during the initial phase of the financial crisis. The 2008 through early 2010 period saw unprecedented intervention by governments in markets and the financial services industry as the United States saw the two largest bank failures in its history in 2008, as well as failures of other major financial institutions, forced mergers and massive government bailouts. The United States Government responded to these events with legislation, including the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, which authorized the Troubled Asset Relief Program ("TARP"), and the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2010 ("ARRA"), more commonly known as the economic stimulus or economic recovery package, which was intended to stimulate the economy and provide for extensive infrastructure, energy, health and education needs. In addition, the Federal Reserve Board ("FRB"), implemented a variety of major initiatives, including a sharp easing of monetary policy and direct intervention in a number of financial markets, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation ("FDIC"), the Treasury Department and other bank regulatory agencies also instituted a wide variety of programs. The FRB has lowered its expectations for near term economic recovery in the United States and many economists have done the same. The overhang of significant loan and asset quality problems, as well as uncertainty regarding the eventual need for the FRB to move away from its easy money policy and the need for the FRB and other elements of the government to withdraw various supporting mechanisms remain concerns for both the economy and financial markets. It is not clear how aggressive the government will be in unwinding some of the programs that are now in place, if any of those programs are to be unwound at all. Given current conditions, it does not seem likely that there will be any attempt to unwind these in the near term. More recently, the FRB has attempted to influence the shape of the yield curve by selling shorter term bonds and buying longer term bonds, with a goal of reducing longer term interest rates, and has indicated that additional actions may be necessary.

The federal government, primarily through the Treasury Department and the federal banking agencies, is also implementing the financial reform bill, the "Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act" (the "Dodd-Frank Act."), which has had and will likely continue to have a significant impact on the financial services industry. Regulatory changes that have been implemented to date have reduced interchange revenue level that banks previously earned. In June 2012, the Board of Governors of the FRB approved notices of proposed rulemaking ("NPRs") to, among other things, implement the Basel III minimum capital requirements and capital conservation buffer. Final rules are expected to be published jointly by the Federal Reserve, the FDIC and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency after each agency has completed its approval process. If approved in their current form, the NPRs would be effective over a phased-in period from 2013 to 2019. We are in the process of evaluating the impact of the proposed rules on the Company and the Bank.


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TrustCo believes that its long-term focus on traditional banking services has enabled the Company to avoid significant impact from asset quality problems and that the Company's strong liquidity and solid capital positions have allowed the Company to continue to conduct business in a manner consistent with its past practice. TrustCo has not engaged in the types of high risk loans and investments that have led to the widely reported problems in the industry. Nevertheless, the Company has experienced an increase in nonperforming loans, although management believes the level remains manageable. While the Company does not expect to see a significant change in the inherent risk of loss in its loan portfolios at September 30, 2012, should general housing prices and other economic measures, such as unemployment, in the Company's market areas deteriorate, the Company may experience an increase in the level of credit risk and in the amount of its classified and nonperforming loans.

In addition, the natural flight to quality that occurs in financial crises as investors focus on the safest possible investments, cuts in targeted interest rates and liquidity injections by the Federal government have all served to reduce yields available on both short term liquidity (Fed Funds and other short term investments) as well as the low risk types of securities typically invested in by the Company. During the quarter, the slope of the yield curve remained positive; however the slope continued to decline, on average, compared to the second quarter. The slope of the curve, as measured by the difference between the 10 year Treasury and the 2 year Treasury, averaged 1.38% in the third quarter of 2012, compared to 1.54% during the second quarter and 1.75% in the first quarter. The slope did improve slightly late in the third quarter. The slope of the yield curve is generally better for mortgage lenders profitability when it is steeper. The future course of interest rates is subject to significant uncertainty, as various indicators are providing contradicting signals. For example, future changes in the FRB's quantitative easing and related programs or gains in the level of economic activity could potentially lead to potentially higher rates. Potentially offsetting these issues is that Treasuries continue to be viewed as a safe haven by many investors around the world, with their demand serving to dampen or completely outweigh any upward pressure on yields. Finally, the Dodd-Frank Act creates additional uncertainty for the Company and the Bank. This law significantly changes the current bank regulatory structure and affects the lending, deposit, investment, trading and operating activities of financial institutions and their holding companies.

The level of home foreclosures nationally remains an area of significant political and media interest. Problems such as instances of foreclosures where the paperwork or process may not have met legal requirements have created significant legal and public relations problems for banks and other mortgage lenders. Much of this has been related to mortgages that were sold one or more times, and in many cases were eventually securitized. The changes of ownership and the securitization process may have contributed to the reported errors. Also recently, efforts by mortgage servicers and secondary market purchasers of mortgage loans to require mortgage originators to repurchase troubled loans have also increased. TrustCo's mortgage loan portfolio consists of loans it and its employees have originated and serviced. Files with the relevant documents are retained and monitored by staff members on Bank premises. As a result, management believes the Company is unlikely to be significantly affected by errors in foreclosing on its mortgage loans. In addition, because TrustCo generally originates loans to be held in its portfolio, the exposure that can come with being forced to buy back nonperforming loans that have been sold is limited.


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Overview
TrustCo recorded net income of $9.8 million, or $0.104 of diluted earnings per share for the three months ended September 30, 2012, as compared to net income of $9.2 million or $0.100 of diluted earnings per share in the same period in 2011.

For the first nine-months of 2012, TrustCo recorded net income of $27.7 million, or $0.296 of diluted earnings per share, as compared to net income of $24.4 million or $0.296 of diluted earnings per share in the same period in 2011.

For both the three and nine-month periods, earnings per share comparisons to prior periods are impacted by the additional shares issued in July of 2011, although the impact on the three-month period is nominal.

The primary factors accounting for the change in net income for three and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2012 as compared to the prior year were:

An increase in the average balance of interest earning assets of $206.3 million to $4.28 billion for the third quarter of 2012 compared to the same period in 2011, and an increase of $292.4 million to $4.25 billion for the first nine months of 2012 as compared to the prior year.

An increase in the average balance of interest bearing liabilities of $157.9 million to $3.71 billion for the third quarter of 2012 as compared to 2011, and an increase of $200.64 million to $3.70 billion in the first nine months of 2012 compared to the prior year.

A decrease in taxable equivalent net interest margin for the third quarter of 2012 to 3.21% from 3.38% in the prior year. The decline in the margin was partly offset by the beneficial impact of the increase in average earning assets, resulting in a decrease of $69 thousand in taxable equivalent net interest income in the third quarter of 2012 compared to the third quarter of 2011. For the first nine months of 2012, the margin declined 22 basis points to 3.20%.

A decrease in the provision for loan losses to $2.9 million in the third quarter of 2012 from $5.1 million in the third quarter of 2011. For the first nine months of 2012, the provision was $5.6 million less than for the first nine months of 2011.

An increase of $508 thousand in net gains on securities transactions and $421 thousand in customer service fees for the third quarter of 2012 as compared to same period in 2011.

An increase of $1.6 million in noninterest expense for the third quarter of 2012 as compared to 2011.


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Asset/Liability Management
The Company strives to generate its earnings capabilities through a mix of core deposits funding a prudent mix of earning assets. Additionally, TrustCo attempts to maintain adequate liquidity and reduce the sensitivity of net interest income to changes in interest rates to an acceptable level while enhancing profitability both on a short-term and long-term basis.

TrustCo's results are affected by a variety of factors including competitive and economic conditions in the specific markets in which the Company operates and more generally in the national economy, financial market conditions and the regulatory environment. Each of these is dynamic and changes in any area can have an impact on TrustCo's results. Included in the Annual Report to Shareholders for the year ended December 31, 2011 is a description of the effect interest rates had on the results for the year 2011 compared to 2010. Many of the same market factors discussed in the 2011 Annual Report continued to have a significant impact on the third quarter and year-to-date results for 2012.

TrustCo competes with other financial service providers based upon many factors including quality of service, convenience of operations, and rates paid on deposits and charged on loans. In the experience of management, the absolute level of interest rates, changes in interest rates and customers' expectations with respect to the direction of interest rates have a significant impact on the volume of loan and deposit originations in any particular period.

Interest rates have a significant impact on the operations and financial results of all financial services companies. One of the most important interest rates used to implement national economic policy is the "Federal Funds" rate. This is the interest rate utilized within the banking system for overnight borrowings for institutions with the highest credit rating. The Federal Funds target rate decreased from 4.25% at the beginning of 2008 to a target range of 0.00% to 0.25% by the end of 2008. The target range has not been changed since. The FRB has also stated that it intends to hold rates at low levels in order to support growth. As noted in minutes of the FRB Board of Governors released on October 24, 2012, the FRB continues to see the need for monetary actions to keep rates low and "currently anticipates that exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate are likely to be warranted at least through mid-2015."

Traditionally interest rates on bank deposit accounts are heavily influenced by the Federal Funds rate. Deposit rates continued to decline in the third quarter of 2012 relative to prior periods, but at a slower pace as rates reach extremely low levels. Please refer to the statistical disclosures in the table below entitled "Distribution of Assets, Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity: Interest Rates and Interest Differential."

The interest rate on the 10 year Treasury bond and other long-term interest rates has a significant influence on the rates for new residential real estate loans. The Federal Reserve Board has attempted to influence rates on mortgage loans by means other than targeting a lower Federal Funds rate, including direct intervention in the mortgage-backed securities market through purchasing these securities in an attempt to raise prices and reduce yields. Eventually, management believes, the FRB will have to unwind these positions by selling mortgage-backed securities, which would likely have the opposite effect, putting upward pressure on rates, although other factors may mitigate this pressure. These changes in interest rates have an effect on the Company relative to the interest income on loans, securities and Federal Funds sold and other short term instruments, as well as on interest expense on deposits and borrowings.


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The principal loan product for TrustCo is residential real estate loans. As noted above, residential real estate loans and longer-term investments are most affected by the changes in longer term market interest rates such as the 10 year Treasury. Also, as noted previously, the 10 year Treasury yield, while fluctuating during the quarter, is at a very low level relative to historical yields.

Interest rates on new residential real estate loan originations are also influenced by the rates established by secondary market participants such as Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. Because TrustCo is a portfolio lender and does not generally sell loans into the secondary market, the Company establishes rates that management determines are appropriate in light of the long-term nature of residential real estate loans while remaining competitive with the secondary market rates. Financial market volatility and the problems faced by the financial services industry have lessened the influence of the secondary market; however, various programs initiated by arms of the Federal government have had an impact on rate levels for certain products. Most importantly, a government goal of keeping mortgage rates low has been supported by targeted buying of certain securities, thus supporting prices and constraining yields, as noted above.

The Federal Funds sold portfolio and other short term investments are affected primarily by changes in the Federal Funds target rate. Also, changes in interest rates have an effect on the recorded balance of the securities available for sale portfolio, which is recorded at fair value. Generally, as interest rates increase the fair value of these securities will decrease.

Interest rates generally remained below historic norms on both short term and longer term investments. As noted, deposit costs have generally continued to decline over the third quarter of 2012, although the rate of decline has slowed.

While TrustCo has been affected somewhat by aspects of the overall changes in financial markets, it has not been affected to the degree the mortgage crisis affected some banks and financial institutions in the United States. Generally, the crisis revolved around actual and future levels of delinquencies and defaults on mortgage loans, in many cases arising, in management's view, from lenders with overly liberal underwriting standards, changes in the types of mortgage loans offered, significant upward resets on adjustable rate loans and fraud, among other factors. The Company utilizes a traditional underwriting process in evaluating loan applications, and since originated loans are retained in portfolio there is a strong incentive to be conservative in making credit decisions. For additional information concerning TrustCo's loan portfolio and non-performing loans, please refer to the discussions under "Loans" and "Nonperforming Assets," respectively. Further, the Company does not rely on borrowed funds to support its assets and maintains a very significant level of liquidity on the asset side of the balance sheet. These characteristics provide the Company with increased flexibility and stability during periods of market disruption.


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A fundamental component of TrustCo's strategy has been to grow customer relationships and the deposits and loans that are part of those relationships. The Company has significant capacity to grow its balance sheet given its existing infrastructure. The Company expects that growth to be profitable. The current interest rate environment has narrowed the margin on incremental balance sheet expansion. While the Company has not changed its fundamental long term strategy in regard to utilizing its excess capacity, management continually evaluates changing conditions and may seek to limit growth or reduce the size of the balance sheet if its analysis indicates that doing so would be beneficial in the short term. In line with this view, balance sheet expansion did slow in the third quarter as compared to recent quarters.

For the third quarter of 2012, the net interest margin was 3.21%, down 17 basis points versus the prior year quarter. The quarterly results reflect the following significant factors:

The average balance of federal funds sold and other short-term investments decreased by $69.8 million while the average yield was down 1 basis point to 25 basis points. The decrease in the average balance reflects the investment of cash into available-for-sale securities and the continued generation of loans.

The average balance of securities available for sale and held-to-maturity securities increased by $138.6 million and the average yield decreased to 2.03% for the third quarter of 2012 compared to 2.77% for the same period in 2011. Within the total securities portfolio, the available-for-sale portfolio increased by $165.1 million, while the held-to-maturity portfolio decreased by $26.5 million.

The average loan portfolio grew by $134.7 million to $2.59 billion and the average yield decreased 36 basis points to 4.96% in the third quarter of 2012 compared to the same period in 2011. The decline in the average yield primarily reflects the decline in market interest rates on new loan originations as older, higher rate loans pay down.

The average balance of interest bearing liabilities (primarily deposit accounts) increased $157.9 million and the average rate paid decreased 23 basis points to 0.49% in the third quarter of 2012 compared to the same period in 2011. The decline in the rates paid on interest bearing liabilities reflects the decline in market interest rates and changes in competitive conditions.

During the third quarter of 2012, the Company continued to focus on its strategy to expand the loan portfolio by offering competitive interest rates as the rate environment changed. Management believes the TrustCo residential real estate loan product is very competitive compared to local and national competitors. As noted, the widespread disruptions in the mortgage market as a result of the financial crisis have not had a significant impact on TrustCo, partly because the Company has not originated the types of loans that have been responsible for many of the problems causing the disruptions as well as the fact that housing prices in the Company's primary market of the Capital Region of New York have not experienced the declines realized in other areas of the country. The withdrawal from the market of some of the troubled lenders that did focus on subprime and similar loans slightly improved competitive conditions for the type of residential mortgage loans focused on by TrustCo; however, competition remains strong.


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The strategy on the funding side of the balance sheet continues to be to attract deposit customers to the Company based upon a combination of service, convenience and interest rate. The Company has periodically offered attractive long-term deposit rates as part of a strategy to lengthen deposit lives. However, the decline in deposit costs, which initially lagged the decline in the Federal Funds target rate, has continued since the Federal Funds target was stabilized in late 2008.

Earning Assets
Total average interest earning assets increased from $4.07 billion in the third quarter of 2011 to $4.28 billion in the same period of 2012 with an average yield of 4.01% in 2011 and 3.64% in 2012. Interest income on average earning assets declined from $40.9 million in the third quarter of 2011 to $38.9 million . . .

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