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| FAST > SEC Filings for FAST > Form 10-Q on 18-Oct-2012 | All Recent SEC Filings |
18-Oct-2012
Quarterly Report
The following is management's discussion and analysis of certain significant factors which have affected our financial position and operating results during the periods included in the accompanying consolidated financial statements. (Dollar amounts are stated in thousands except for per share amounts and where otherwise noted.)
BUSINESS AND OPERATIONAL OVERVIEW:
Fastenal is a North American leader in the wholesale distribution of industrial
and construction supplies. We distribute these supplies through a network of
approximately 2,600 company owned stores. Most of our customers are in the
manufacturing and non-residential construction markets. The manufacturing market
includes both original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and maintenance and repair
operations (MRO). The non-residential construction market includes general,
electrical, plumbing, sheet metal, and road contractors. Other users of our
product include farmers, ranchers, truckers, railroads, mining companies,
federal, state, and local governmental entities, schools, and certain retail
trades. Geographically, our stores and customers are primarily located in North
America.
In the past decade, we have experienced periods of inflation and deflation
related to steel prices (this is meaningful to our business because
approximately 50% of our sales consist of some type of fastener - nuts, bolts,
screws, etc. - most of which are made of steel). In the period from 2003 to the
fall of 2008, we experienced inflation in steel prices, this was most pronounced
in 2008. In the fourth quarter of 2008, and throughout much of 2009, we
experienced deflation in steel prices. When the swings are dramatic, this can
hurt our gross margins because we are selling expensive inventory on the shelf
at declining prices. This hurt our gross margins in 2009. The drop in energy
costs (this is meaningful to our business because we are a store based
distributor with a large trucking fleet) over the same period provided some
relief, but it was small in comparison to the impact of the steel deflation. The
deflation of 2009 ended and these conditions normalized and allowed our gross
margins to recover into a more normal range beginning in 2010. (See later
discussion on gross margins.)
Similar to previous quarters, we have included comments regarding several
aspects of our business:
(1) Monthly sales changes, sequential trends, and end market performance
- a recap of our recent sales trends and some insight into the
activities with different end markets.
(2) Growth drivers of our business - a recap of how we grow our business.
(3) Profit drivers of our business - a recap of how we increase our profits.
(4) Statement of earnings information - a recap of the components of our income statement.
(5) Operational working capital, balance sheet, and cash flow - a recap of the operational working capital utilized in our business, and the related cash flow.
While reading these items, it is helpful to appreciate several aspects of our
marketplace: (1) it's big, the North American marketplace for industrial
supplies is estimated to be in excess of $160 billion per year (and we have
expanded beyond North America), (2) no company has a significant portion of this
market, (3) many of the products we sell are individually inexpensive, (4) when
our customer needs something quickly or unexpectedly our local store is a quick
source, and (5) the cost to manage and procure these products can be
significant, and (6) the cost to move these products, many of which are bulky,
can also be significant.
Our motto is Growth through Customer Service. This is important given the points
noted above. We believe in efficient markets - to us, this means we can grow our
market share if we provide the greatest value to the customer. We believe our
ability to grow is amplified if we can service our customer at the closest
economic point of contact.
The concept of growth is simple, find more customers every day and increase your
activity with them. However, execution is hard work. First, we recruit service
minded individuals to support our customers and their business. Second, we
operate in a decentralized fashion to help identify the greatest value for our
customers. Third, we build a great machine behind the store to operate
efficiently and to help identify new business solutions. Fourth, we do these
things every day. Finally, we strive to generate strong profits; these profits
produce the cash flow necessary to fund the growth and to support the needs of
our customers.
SALES GROWTH:
Net sales and growth rates in net sales were as follows:
Nine-month period Three-month period
2012 2011 2012 2011
Net sales $ 2,376,342 2,069,055 $ 802,577 726,742
Percentage change 14.9 % 22.0 % 10.4 % 20.4 %
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The increase in net sales in the first nine months of 2012 and 2011 came
primarily from higher unit sales. Our growth in net sales was impacted by
inflationary price changes in our products, but the impact was limited. Our
growth in net sales was not meaningfully impacted by the introduction of new
products or services, with one exception, our FAST SolutionsSM (industrial
vending) initiative did stimulate faster growth (discussed later in this
document). The higher unit sales resulted primarily from increases in sales at
older store locations (discussed below and again later in this document) and to
a lesser degree the opening of new store locations in the last several years.
The growth in net sales at the older store locations was due to the growth
drivers of our business (discussed later in this document), and in the case of
2011, the moderating impacts of the recessionary environment. The change in
currencies in foreign countries (primarily Canada) relative to the United States
dollar lowered our daily sales growth rate by 0.3 % in the first nine months of
2012 and increased our daily sales growth rate by 0.9% in the first nine months
of 2011. The change in currencies in foreign countries (primarily Canada)
relative to the United States dollar lowered our daily sales growth rate by 0.2%
in the third quarter of 2012 and increased our daily sales growth by 0.9% in the
third quarter of 2011.
Our sales growth of 10.4% in the third quarter of 2012 was impacted by the loss
of one business day versus the prior year (63 days versus 64). Our sales growth
adjusted to a daily basis was 12.2% in the third quarter of 2012; the calendar
change also impacted the sales by store age table below.
The stores opened greater than two years represent a consistent 'same store'
view of our business (store sites opened as follows: 2012 group - opened 2010
and earlier, and 2011 group - opened 2009 and earlier). However, the impact of
the economy is best reflected in the growth performance of our stores opened
greater than five years (store sites opened as follows: 2012 group - opened 2007
and earlier, and 2011 group - opened 2006 and earlier) and opened greater than
ten years (store sites opened as follows: 2012 group - opened 2002 and earlier,
and 2011 group - opened 2001 and earlier). These two groups of stores are more
cyclical due to the increased market share they enjoy in their local markets.
The daily sales change for each of these groups was as follows:
Nine-month period Three-month period
2012 2011 2012 2011
Store Age
Opened greater than 2 years 12.6 % 18.0 % 9.0 % 16.8 %
Opened greater than 5 years 11.6 % 17.2 % 8.1 % 15.6 %
Opened greater than 10 years 9.9 % 14.9 % 6.6 % 13.2 %
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Note: The age groups above are measured as of the last day of each respective calendar year.
SALES BY PRODUCT LINE:
The mix of sales from the original fastener product line and from the other
product lines was as follows:
Nine-month period Three-month period
2012 2011 2012 2011
Fastener product line 44.4 % 47.3 % 43.5 % 46.5 %
Other product lines 55.6 % 52.7 % 56.5 % 53.5 %
100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %
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MONTHLY SALES CHANGES, SEQUENTIAL TRENDS, AND END MARKET PERFORMANCE
Note - Daily sales are defined as the sales for the period divided by the number
of business days (in the United States) in the period.
This section focuses on three distinct views of our business - monthly sales
changes, sequential trends, and end market performance. The first discussion
regarding monthly sales changes provides a good mechanical view of our business
based on the age of our stores. The second discussion provides a framework for
understanding the sequential trends (that is, comparing a period to the
immediately preceding period) in our business. Finally, we believe the third
discussion regarding end market performance provides insight into activities
with our various types of customers.
MONTHLY SALES CHANGES:
All company sales - During the months in 2012, 2011, and 2010, all of our
selling locations, when combined, had daily sales growth rates of (compared to
the comparable month in the preceding year):
Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.
2012 21.3 % 20.0 % 19.3 % 17.3 % 13.1 % 14.0 % 12.1 % 12.0 % 12.9 %
2011 18.8 % 21.5 % 22.8 % 23.2 % 22.6 % 22.5 % 22.4 % 20.0 % 18.8 % 21.4 % 22.2 % 21.2 %
2010 2.4 % 4.4 % 12.1 % 18.6 % 21.1 % 21.1 % 24.4 % 22.1 % 23.5 % 22.4 % 17.9 % 20.9 %
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The growth in the first three months of 2012 generally continued the relative
strength we saw in 2011 and in most of 2010. The April to June 2012 time frame
experienced a reduction in our daily sales growth rate as the market we sell
into slowed (see further discussion in sequential trends and end market
performance). This slow down continued into the July to September 2012 time
frame. The change in currencies in foreign countries (primarily Canada) relative
to the United States dollar lowered our daily sales growth rate by 0.3% during
the first nine months of 2012 (this lowered growth in the first, second, and
third quarters was 0.1%, 0.4%, and 0.2% respectively). This was a sharp contrast
to 2011 and 2010, when changes in foreign currencies increased our growth in the
first nine months by 0.9% and 0.3%, respectively.
Stores opened greater than two years - Our stores opened greater than two years
(store sites opened as follows: 2012 group - opened 2010 and earlier, 2011 group
- opened 2009 and earlier, and 2010 group - opened 2008 and earlier) represent a
consistent 'same-store' view of our business. During the months in 2012, 2011,
and 2010, the stores opened greater than two years had daily sales growth rates
of (compared to the comparable month in the preceding year):
Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.
2012 18.8 % 17.1 % 16.8 % 14.5 % 10.1 % 11.1 % 9.1 % 8.6 % 9.8 % 2011 16.0 % 18.4 % 19.4 % 19.6 % 19.2 % 19.1 % 18.7 % 16.5 % 15.2 % 18.0 % 18.5 % 17.5 % 2010 0.6 % 2.3 % 9.6 % 16.3 % 18.5 % 18.3 % 21.3 % 19.2 % 19.8 % 18.8 % 14.1 % 16.8 % |
Stores opened greater than five years - The impact of the economy, over time, is
best reflected in the growth performance of our stores opened greater than five
years (store sites opened as follows: 2012 group - opened 2007 and earlier, 2011
group - opened 2006 and earlier, and 2010 group - opened 2005 and earlier). This
group is more cyclical due to the increased market share they enjoy in their
local markets. During the months in 2012, 2011, and 2010, the stores opened
greater than five years had daily sales growth rates of (compared to the
comparable month in the preceding year):
Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.
2012 17.4 % 15.8 % 15.7 % 13.7 % 9.0 % 10.2 % 8.3 % 7.9 % 8.5 % 2011 15.3 % 17.9 % 19.2 % 19.1 % 17.9 % 18.2 % 17.3 % 15.2 % 14.5 % 17.0 % 17.4 % 16.9 % 2010 -2.1 % -0.5 % 7.4 % 14.9 % 17.3 % 16.2 % 19.8 % 18.2 % 18.9 % 17.9 % 13.2 % 16.0 % |
SEQUENTIAL TRENDS:
We find it helpful to think about the monthly sequential changes in our business
using the analogy of climbing a stairway - This stairway has several predictable
landings where there is a pause in the sequential gain (i.e. April, July, and
October to December), but generally speaking, climbs from January to
October. The October landing then establishes the benchmark for the start of the
next year.
History has identified these landings in our business cycle. They generally
relate to months with impaired business days (certain holidays). The first
landing centers on Easter, which alternates between March and April (Easter
occurred in April in 2012, 2011, and 2010), the second landing centers on July
4th, and the third landing centers on the approach of winter with its seasonal
impact on primarily our construction business and with the Christmas / New Year
holidays. The holidays we noted impact the trends because they either move from
month-to-month or because they move around during the week.
The table below shows the pattern to our sequential change in our daily
sales. The line labeled 'Past' is an historical average of our sequential daily
sales change for the period 1998 to 2003. We chose this time frame because it
had similar characteristics, a weaker industrial economy in North America, and
could serve as a benchmark for a possible trend line. The '2012', '2011', and
'2010' lines represent our actual sequential daily sales changes. The '12Delta',
'11Delta', and '10Delta' lines indicate the difference between the 'Past' and
the actual results in the respective year.
Cumulative change
Jan.(1) Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. from Jan. to Sept.
Past 0.9 % 3.3 % 2.9 % -0.3 % 3.4 % 2.8 % -2.3 % 2.6 % 2.6 % -0.7 % 15.9 %
2012 -0.3 % 0.5 % 6.4 % -0.8 % 0.5 % 2.5 % -2.7 % 1.3 % 4.3 % 12.5 %
12Delta -1.2 % -2.8 % 3.5 % -0.5 % -2.9 % -0.3 % -0.4 % -1.3 % 1.7 % -3.4 %
2011 -0.2 % 1.6 % 7.0 % 0.9 % 4.3 % 1.7 % -1.0 % 1.4 % 3.4 % 0.7 % 20.8 %
11Delta -1.1 % -1.7 % 4.1 % 1.2 % 0.9 % -1.1 % 1.3 % -1.2 % 0.8 % 1.4 % 4.9 %
2010 2.9 % -0.7 % 5.9 % 0.6 % 4.8 % 1.7 % -1.0 % 3.5 % 4.5 % -1.5 % 20.8 %
10Delta 2.0 % -4.0 % 3.0 % 0.9 % 1.4 % -1.1 % 1.3 % 0.9 % 1.9 % -0.8 % 4.9 %
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(1) The January figures represent the percentage change from the previous October, whereas the remaining figures represent the percentage change from the previous month.
A graph of the sequential daily sales change pattern discussed above, starting
with a base of '100' in the previous October and ending with the next October,
would be as follows:
Several observations stand out while viewing the 2012 sequential pattern: (1) The direction of the historical sequential pattern (increased daily sales on a sequential basis in February, March, May, June, August, and September and decreased daily sales on a sequential basis in April and July) has played out each month; however, the cumulative growth in the daily sales from January to September has fallen short of the benchmark figure and of the actual results in 2011 and 2010. (2) The magnitude of the February and May '12Delta' of approximately -2.8% was similar. This fact, as well as the choppiness of the year in general, has caused us to approach the year with a conservative tone. (3) The weakness in the first eight months of 2012 was amplified by changes in foreign currencies (primarily Canada) relative to the U.S. dollar.
END MARKET PERFORMANCE:
Fluctuations in end market business - The sequential trends noted above were
directly linked to fluctuations in our end markets. To place this in perspective
- approximately 50% of our business has historically been with customers engaged
in some type of manufacturing. The daily sales to these customers grew in the
first, second, third, and fourth quarters (when compared to the same quarter in
the previous year), and for the year, as follows:
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual
2012 20.3 % 15.8 % 14.0 %
2011 15.5 % 18.5 % 18.3 % 21.0 % 20.0 %
2010 15.7 % 29.8 % 30.6 % 17.7 % 22.4 %
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Our manufacturing business consists of two subsets: the industrial production
business (this is business where we supply products that become part of the
finished goods produced by our customers) and the maintenance portion (this is
business where we supply products that maintain the facility or the equipment of
our customers engaged in manufacturing). The industrial business is more
fastener centered, while the maintenance portion is represented by all product
categories.
In the second and third quarters of 2012, the decrease in the rate of growth was
more pronounced in our industrial production business. This is in sharp contrast
to the first quarter of 2012 where the growth was more pronounced in the
industrial production business, a trend that had also existed in 2011 and
2010. The first quarter and prior quarters were a direct counter to the 2009
contraction, which was more severe in our industrial production business and
less severe in the maintenance portion of our manufacturing business.
The best way to understand the change in our industrial production business is
to examine the results in our fastener product line. In the first three months
of 2012, the daily sales growth in our fastener product line was approximately
15.4%. This dropped to 10.5%, 6.1%, and 8.6% in April, May, and June,
respectively, and averaged 6.0% in the third quarter. By contrast, the best way
to understand the change in the maintenance portion of the manufacturing
business is to examine the results in our non-fastener product lines. In the
first three months of 2012, the daily sales growth in our non-fastener business
was approximately 25.1%. This dropped to 24.4%, 19.0%, and 19.6% in April, May,
and June, respectively, and averaged 18.0% in the third quarter.
The patterns related to the industrial production business, as noted above, are
influenced by the movements noted in the Purchasing Manufacturers Index ('PMI')
published by the Institute for Supply Management (http://www.ism.ws/), which is
a composite index of economic activity in the manufacturing sector. The PMI in
2012, 2011, and 2010 was as follows:
Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.
2012 54.1 52.4 53.4 54.8 53.5 49.7 49.8 49.6 51.5 2011 59.9 59.8 59.7 59.7 54.2 55.8 51.4 52.5 52.5 51.8 52.2 53.1 2010 56.7 55.8 59.3 59.0 58.8 56.0 55.7 57.4 56.4 57.0 58.0 57.3 |
Our non-residential construction customers have historically represented 20% to
25% of our business. The daily sales to these customers grew or contracted in
the first, second, third, and fourth quarters (when compared to the same quarter
in the previous year), and for the year, as follows:
A graph of the sequential daily sales trends to these two end markets in 2012,
2011, and 2010, starting with a base of '100' in the previous October and ending
with the next October, would be as follows:
GROWTH DRIVERS OF OUR BUSINESS
We grow by continuously adding customers and by increasing the activity with
each customer. We believe this growth is enhanced by our close proximity to our
customers, which allows us to provide a range of services and product
availability that our competitors can't easily match. Historically, we expanded
our reach by opening stores at a very fast pace. These openings were initially
in the United States, but expanded beyond the United States beginning in the mid
1990's.
In our first ten years of being public (1987 to 1997), we opened stores at a
rate approaching 30% per year. In the next ten years, we opened stores at an
annual rate of approximately 10% to 15% and, over the last five years, at a rate
of approximately 3% to 8% (we currently expect approximately 85 stores in 2012,
or approximately 3.3%). As we gained proximity to more customers, we continued
to diversify our growth drivers - this was done to provide existing store
personnel with more tools to grow their business organically - the results of
this are reflected in our earlier discussion on sales growth at stores opened
greater than five years. In the early 1990's, we began to expand our product
lines, and we added new product knowledge to our bench. This was our first big
effort to diversify our growth drivers. The next step began in the mid to late
1990's when we began to add sales personnel with certain specialties or
focus. This began with our National Accounts group in 1995, and, over time, has
expanded to include individuals dedicated to: (1) sales related to our internal
manufacturing division, (2) government sales, (3) internet sales, (4) specific
products (most recently metal working), and (5) FAST SolutionsSM (industrial
vending). Another step occurred at our sales locations (this includes Fastenal
stores as well as strategic account stores and in-plant locations) and at our
distribution centers, and began with a targeted merchandising and inventory
placement strategy that included our 'Customer Service Project' approximately
ten years ago and our 'Master Stocking Hub' initiative approximately five years
ago. This strategy allowed us to better target where to stock certain products
(local store, regional distribution center, master stocking hub, or supplier)
and allowed us to improve our fulfillment and our ability to serve a broader
range of customers.
Our FAST SolutionsSM (industrial vending) operation is a rapidly expanding
component of our business. We believe industrial vending is the next logical
chapter in the Fastenal story, we also believe it has the potential to be
transformative to industrial distribution, and that we have a 'first mover'
advantage. We are investing aggressively to maximize this advantage. At our
investor day in May 2011, we discussed our progress with industrial vending. In
addition to our discussion regarding progress, we discussed our goals with the
rollout of the industrial vending machines. One of the goals we identified
related to our rate of 'machine signings' (the first category below) - our goal
was simple, sign 2,500+ machines per quarter (or an annualized run rate of
10,000 machines). In 2012, we hit our annual goal of 10,000 machines during
July, and the momentum has continued as we finished the third quarter. We intend
to continue our aggressive push with industrial vending in 2013 and, to this
end, expect to open approximately 50 - 100 stores in 2013, or an annual rate of
new store openings of 2% to 4%. In addition, during 2012 we developed plans to
(1) reinvigorate our fastener growth and to (2) improve the performance (growth)
at under performing locations.
The following table includes some statistics regarding our industrial vending
business:
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Number of vending machines in 2012 4,568 4,669 5,334
contracts signed during the period1 2011 1,405 2,107 2,246 2,084
2010 257 420 440 792
Cumulative machines installed2 2012 9,798 13,036 17,013
2011 2,659 3,867 5,642 7,453
2010 892 1,184 1,515 1,925
Percent of total net sales to 2012 17.8 % 20.8 % 23.2 %
customers with vending machines3 2011 8.9 % 10.5 % 13.1 % 15.7 %
2010 3.4 % 4.6 % 6.1 % 7.5 %
Daily sales growth to customers 2012 33.9 % 34.3 % 32.9 %
with vending machines4 2011 50.6 % 43.9 % 42.5 % 40.7 %
2010 37.4 % 54.0 % 56.4 % 60.2 %
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1 This represents the gross number of machines signed during the quarter, not the number of contracts.
2 This represents the number of machines installed and dispensing product on the last day of the quarter.
3 The percentage of total sales (vended and traditional) to customers currently using a vending solution.
4 The growth in total sales (vended and traditional) to customers currently using a vending solution compared to the
comparable period in the preceding year.
We are pleased with the increases in the number of vending machine contracts
signed, and with our ability to install machines. We increased our installed
machine base by 3,977 machines (17,013 versus 13,036) in the third quarter of
2012, by 1,775 machines (5,642 versus 3,867) in the third quarter of 2011, and
by 331 machines (1,515 versus 1,184) in the third quarter of 2010.
PROFIT DRIVERS OF OUR BUSINESS
We grow our profits by continuously working to grow sales and to improve our
relative profitability. We also grow our profits by allowing our inherent
profitability to shine through - we refer to this as the 'pathway to
profit'. The distinction is important.
We achieve improvements in our relative profitability by increasing our gross
margin, by structurally lowering our operating expenses, or both. We advance on
the 'pathway to profit' by increasing the average store size (measured in terms
of monthly sales), and by allowing the changing store mix to improve our
profits. This is best explained by comparing the varying profitability of our
'traditional' stores in the table below. The average store size for the group,
and the average age, number of stores, and pre-tax earnings data by store size
for the third quarter of 2012, 2011, and 2010, respectively, were as follows:
. . .
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