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UFCS > SEC Filings for UFCS > Form 10-Q on 10-May-2012All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for UNITED FIRE GROUP INC


10-May-2012

Quarterly Report


ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This report may contain forward-looking statements about our operations, anticipated performance and other similar matters. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a safe harbor under the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 for forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements are not historical facts and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expected and/or projected. Such forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts and projections about our company, the industry in which we operate, and beliefs and assumptions made by management. Words such as "expect(s)," "anticipate(s)," "intend(s)," "plan(s)," "believe(s)," "continue(s)," "seek(s)," "estimate(s)," "goal(s)," "target(s)," "forecast(s)," "project(s)," "predict(s)," "should," "could," "may," "will continue," "might," "hope," "can" and other words and terms of similar meaning or expression in connection with a discussion of future operations, financial performance or financial condition, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed in such forward-looking statements. Information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements is contained in Part II Item 1A, "Risk Factors" of this document. Among the factors that could cause our actual outcomes and results to differ are:

• The frequency and severity of claims, including those related to catastrophe losses, and the impact those claims have on our loss reserve adequacy.

• Developments in the domestic and global financial markets that could affect our investment portfolio and financing plans.

• The calculation and recovery of deferred policy acquisition costs ("DAC").

• The valuation of pension and other postretirement benefit obligations.

• Our relationship with our agencies and agents.

• Our relationship with our reinsurers.

• The financial strength rating of our reinsurers.

• Changes in industry trends and significant industry developments.

• Our exposure to international catastrophes through our assumed reinsurance program.

• Governmental actions, policies and regulations, including, but not limited to, domestic health care reform, financial services regulatory reform, corporate governance, new laws or regulations or court decisions interpreting existing laws and regulations or policy provisions.

• NASDAQ policies or regulations relating to corporate governance and the cost to comply.

These are representative of the risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that could cause actual outcomes and results to differ materially from what is expressed in forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this report or as of the date they are made. Except as required under the federal securities laws and the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission, we do not have any intention or obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.


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CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
Critical accounting estimates are defined as those that are representative of significant judgments and uncertainties and that potentially may result in materially different results under different assumptions and conditions. We base our discussion and analysis of our results of operations and financial condition on the amounts reported in our Consolidated Financial Statements, which we have prepared in accordance with GAAP. As we prepare these Consolidated Financial Statements, we must make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities; the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements; and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses for the reporting period. We evaluate our estimates on an ongoing basis. We base our estimates on historical experience and on other assumptions that we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances. Actual results could differ from those estimates. Our critical accounting estimates are: the valuation of investments; the valuation of reserves for losses, claims, and loss settlement expenses and the related valuation of reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses; the valuation of reserves for future policy benefits; the calculation of the deferred policy acquisition costs asset; the recoverability of goodwill and other intangible assets; and the valuation of pension and postretirement benefit obligations. These critical accounting estimates are more fully described in our Management's Discussion and Analysis of Results of Operations and Financial Condition presented in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011.

INTRODUCTION

The purpose of the Management's Discussion and Analysis is to provide an understanding of our results of operations and consolidated financial position. Our Management's Discussion and Analysis should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements and related notes, including those in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011. When we provide information on a statutory basis, we label it as such, otherwise, all other data is presented in accordance with GAAP.

This discussion and analysis is presented in these sections:

• Our Business

• Consolidated Financial Highlights

• Results of Operations for Property and Casualty Insurance, Life Insurance and Investment Portfolio

• Liquidity and Capital Resources

• Measurement of Results

OUR BUSINESS

Founded in 1946 as United Fire & Casualty Company we provide insurance protection for individuals and businesses through several regional companies. We are licensed as a property and casualty insurer in 43 states plus the District of Columbia and are represented by more than 1,300 independent agencies. Our life insurance subsidiary is licensed in 35 states and is represented by more than 900 independent agencies.

Segments

We operate two business segments, each with a wide range of products:

• property and casualty insurance, which includes commercial insurance, personal insurance, surety bonds and assumed insurance; and

• life insurance, which includes deferred and immediate annuities, universal life products and traditional life (primarily single premium whole life insurance) products.


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We manage these business segments separately, as they generally do not share the same customer base, and each has different products, pricing, and expense structures.

For the three-month period ended March 31, 2012, property and casualty business accounted for 90.9 percent of our net premiums earned, of which 89.4 percent was generated from commercial lines. Life insurance business made up 9.1 percent of our net premiums earned, of which 66.8 percent was generated from traditional life insurance products.

Pooling Arrangement

All of our property and casualty insurance subsidiaries, with the exception of Texas General Indemnity Company, are members of an intercompany reinsurance pooling arrangement. The insurance entities of Mercer Insurance Group participated in their own pooling arrangement in 2011, which was in place when we acquired Mercer Insurance Group on March 28, 2011. Effective January 1, 2012, one pooling arrangement covers all participating insurance subsidiaries of United Fire Group, Inc. Pooling arrangements permit the participating companies to rely on the capacity of the entire pool's capital and surplus, rather than being limited to policy exposures of a size commensurate with each participant's own surplus level.

Geographic Concentration

For the three-month period ended March 31, 2012, more than half of our property and casualty direct premiums were written in Iowa, Texas, California, New Jersey, and Missouri, and over three-fourths of our life insurance premiums, excluding annuities, were written in Iowa, Nebraska, Illinois, Wisconsin, and Minnesota.

Segment Revenue and Expense

We evaluate segment profit or loss based upon operating and investment results. Segment profit or loss described in the following sections of the Management's Discussion and Analysis is reported on a pre-tax basis. Additional segment information is presented in Part I, Item 1, Note 6 "Segment Information" to the unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements.
Our primary sources of revenue are premiums and investment income. Major categories of expenses include losses and loss settlement expenses, changes in reserves for future policy benefits, operating expenses and interest on policyholders' accounts.
Profit Factors
The profitability of our company is influenced by many factors, including price, competition, economic conditions, interest rates, catastrophic events and other natural disasters, man-made disasters, state regulations, court decisions, and changes in the law. Unless a connection between future increased extreme weather events and climate change is ultimately proven true, management believes that climate change considerations will not have a material impact on our profitability.
How We Achieve Profitability
To manage these risks and uncertainties, we seek to achieve consistent profitability through strong agency relationships, exceptional customer service, fair and prompt claims handling, disciplined underwriting, superior loss control services, and effective and efficient use of technology.


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CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
                                                       Three Months Ended March 31,
(In Thousands)                                         2012          2011(1)        %
Revenues
Net premiums earned                               $   161,503       $ 114,204     41.4  %
Investment income, net of investment expenses          29,146          27,063      7.7
Net realized investment gains                           2,794           2,653      5.3
Other income                                              256             156     64.1
                                                  $   193,699       $ 144,076     34.4  %

Benefits, Losses and Expenses
Losses and loss settlement expenses               $    91,484       $  76,182     20.1  %
Future policy benefits                                 10,138           8,182     23.9
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs      34,551          26,046     32.7
Other underwriting expenses                            21,994          16,057     37.0
Interest on policyholders' accounts                    10,656          10,670     (0.1 )
                                                  $   168,823       $ 137,137     23.1  %

Income before income taxes                        $    24,876       $   6,939    NM(2)
Federal income tax expense                              5,692           1,129    NM(2)
Net income                                        $    19,184       $   5,810    230.2  %

(1) The information presented for 2011 includes Mercer Insurance Group's results after the March 28, 2011 acquisition date.
(2) Not meaningful

The following is a summary of our financial performance for the three-month period ended March 31, 2012:

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