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| AGNC > SEC Filings for AGNC > Form 10-Q on 10-May-2012 | All Recent SEC Filings |
10-May-2012
Quarterly Report
• Financial Condition
• Results of Operations
• Liquidity and Capital Resources
• Forward-Looking Statements
EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW
American Capital Agency Corp. ("AGNC", the "Company", "we", "us" and "our") was
organized on January 7, 2008 and commenced operations on May 20, 2008 following
the completion of our initial public offering. Our common stock is traded on The
NASDAQ Global Select Market under the symbol "AGNC". We are externally managed
by American Capital AGNC Management, LLC (our "Manager"), an affiliate of
American Capital, Ltd. ("American Capital").
We operate so as to qualify to be taxed as a real estate investment trust
("REIT") under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the "Internal
Revenue Code"). As such, we are required to distribute annually 90% of our
taxable net income. As long as we qualify as a REIT, we will generally not be
subject to U.S. federal or state corporate taxes on our taxable net income to
the extent that we distribute all of our annual taxable net income to our
stockholders. It is our intention to distribute 100% of our taxable income,
after application of available tax attributes, within the limits prescribed by
the Internal Revenue Code, which may extend into the subsequent taxable year.
We earn income primarily from investing on a leveraged basis in agency
mortgage-backed securities. These investments consist of residential mortgage
pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations ("CMOs") for
which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by government-sponsored
entities, such as the Federal National Mortgage Association ("Fannie Mae") and
the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation ("Freddie Mac"), or by a U.S.
Government agency, such as the Government National Mortgage Association ("Ginnie
Mae") (collectively referred to as "GSEs"). We may also invest in agency
debenture securities issued by Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae or the Federal Home Loan
Bank ("FHLB"). We refer to agency mortgage-backed securities and agency
debenture securities collectively as "agency securities" and we refer to the
specific investment securities in which we invest as our "investment portfolio".
Our principal objective is to preserve our net book value (also referred to as "net asset value", "NAV" and "stockholders' equity") while generating attractive risk-adjusted returns for distribution to our stockholders through regular quarterly dividends from the combination of our net interest income and net realized gains and losses on our investments and hedging activities. We fund our investments primarily through short-term borrowings structured as repurchase agreements.
Our Investment Strategy
Our investment strategy is designed to:
• manage an investment portfolio consisting of agency mortgage-backed
securities, agency debenture securities and other limited investments
entered into for hedging purposes that seeks to generate attractive
risk-adjusted returns;
• capitalize on discrepancies in the relative valuations in the agency securities market;
• manage financing, interest and prepayment rate risks;
• preserve our net book value;
• provide regular quarterly distributions to our stockholders;
• qualify as a REIT; and
• remain exempt from the requirements of the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended (the "Investment Company Act").
The size and composition of our investment portfolio depends on investment
strategies implemented by our Manager, the availability of investment capital
and overall market conditions, including the availability of attractively priced
investments and suitable financing to appropriately leverage our investment
portfolio. Market conditions are influenced by, among other things, current
levels of and expectations for future levels of, interest rates, mortgage
prepayments, market liquidity, housing prices, unemployment rates, general
economic conditions, government participation in the mortgage market, evolving
regulations or legal settlements that impact servicing practices or other
mortgage related activities.
Trends and Recent Market Impacts
Movements in interest rates impact the value of our securities and the amount of
income we can generate from our portfolio of investments. Accordingly, one of
the primary goals of our hedging activities is to protect our net asset value
against significant fluctuations due to market risks, including interest rate
and prepayment risk. We utilize a variety of strategies to aid us in this
objective, which are summarized in Notes 3 and 6 of the accompanying financial
statements.
The table below summarizes interest rates and prices of generic, fixed rate,
agency MBS as of March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011.
Interest Rate/Security Price (1) December 31, 2011 March 31, 2012 Change (bps) LIBOR Rate: 1-Month 0.30% 0.24% -0.06 3-Month 0.58% 0.47% -0.11 U.S. Treasury Security Rate: 2-Year U.S. Treasury 0.24% 0.33% +0.09 5-Year U.S. Treasury 0.83% 1.04% +0.21 10-Year U.S. Treasury 1.88% 2.21% +0.33 Interest Rate Swap Rate: 2-Year Swap 0.73% 0.58% -0.15 5-Year Swap 1.22% 1.27% +0.05 10-Year Swap 2.03% 2.29% +0.26 30-Year Fixed Rate MBS Price 3.5% 102.88 102.72 -0.16 4.0% 105.03 104.86 -0.17 4.5% 106.42 106.38 -0.04 5.0% 108.03 108.03 0.00 15-Year Fixed Rate MBS Price 3.0% 103.28 103.56 +0.28 3.5% 104.58 104.92 +0.34 4.0% 105.50 106.00 +0.50 4.5% 106.59 107.20 +0.61 ________________________ |
Our Manager views maintaining a portfolio of securities with favorable
prepayment characteristics (such as lower loan balance and HARP securities) and
lower coupons as critical to returns in the current market and to maintaining
reasonable performance in a variety of potential market scenarios. A summary of
our MBS portfolio composition as of March 31, 2012 is included below under
Financial Condition. As of March 31, 2012, our agency MBS portfolio had a
weighted average coupon of 3.99%, compared to 4.23% as of December 31, 2011. The
table below summarizes the constant prepayment rates ("CPR") for our portfolio
and for the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac fixed rate universe for the quarter ended
March 31, 2012.
Annualized Monthly Constant Prepayment Rates
(1) January 2012 February 2012 March 2012 AGNC portfolio 8% 8% 12% Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac fixed rate universe (2) 23% 22% 24% ________________________ |
2. Source: JP Morgan.
As of March 31, 2012, the weighted average projected prepayment rate on our investment portfolio was 9%, a decrease from 14% as of December 31, 2011. The decrease in our average projected prepayment rate estimate was primarily due to a combination of the increase in interest rates during the three months ended March 31, 2012, changes in our portfolio composition during the period and changes in our underlying prepayment model assumptions to reflect prepayment behaviors observed in the current market.
FINANCIAL CONDITION
As of March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011, our investment portfolio consisted
of $80.6 billion and $54.7 billion, respectively, of agency mortgage-backed
securities ("agency MBS"). The following tables summarize certain
characteristics of our agency MBS investment portfolio as of March 31, 2012 and
December 31, 2011 (dollars in millions):
March 31, 2012
March
Weighted Average 2012
Agency MBS Classified as Projected
Available-for-Sale Amortized Amortized Life CPR
("AFS") Par Value Cost Cost Basis Fair Value Coupon Yield (1) (2)
AFS Investments By
Issuer:
Fannie Mae $ 55,938 $ 58,526 104.6% $ 59,085 3.88% 3.09% 9%
Freddie Mac 19,746 20,666 104.7% 20,998 4.02% 2.95% 12%
Ginnie Mae 302 317 105.0% 320 3.78% 1.71% 17%
Total / Weighted Average
AFS Securities $ 75,986 $ 79,509 104.6% $ 80,403 3.92% 3.04% 9%
AFS Investments By
Security Type:
Fixed-Rate
? 15-Year
Lower Loan Balance (3) $ 17,245 $ 17,909 103.8% $ 18,404 3.74% 2.81% 10%
HARP (4) 1,120 1,165 104.0% 1,193 3.80% 2.89% 9%
Other (2009-2012 Vintage)
(5) 7,416 7,768 104.7% 7,790 3.64% 2.28% 15%
Other (Pre 2009 Vintage)
(5) 74 78 105.2% 78 4.30% 2.35% 15%
Total ? 15-Year 25,855 26,920 104.1% 27,465 3.71% 2.66% 12%
Total 20-Year: 5,429 5,628 103.7% 5,687 3.64% 2.99% 7%
30-Year:
Lower Loan Balance (3) 11,463 12,142 105.9% 12,191 4.09% 3.25% 7%
HARP (4) 14,445 15,235 105.5% 15,378 4.14% 3.36% 7%
Other (2009-2012 Vintage) 15,055 15,666 104.1% 15,689 3.87% 3.27% 8%
Other (Pre 2009 Vintage) 1,164 1,248 107.2% 1,265 5.31% 3.50% 17%
Total 30-Year 42,127 44,291 105.1% 44,523 4.06% 3.30% 8%
Total Fixed-Rate 73,411 76,839 104.7% 77,675 3.91% 3.06% 9%
Adjustable-Rate 2,357 2,446 103.8% 2,500 4.19% 2.70% 19%
CMO 218 224 102.9% 228 3.95% 2.81% 15%
Total / Weighted Average $ 75,986 $ 79,509 104.6% $ 80,403 3.92% 3.04% 9%
March 31, 2012
March
Underlying Weighted Average 2012
Unamortized Projected
Agency MBS Remeasured at Principal Amortized Life CPR
Fair Value Through Earnings Balance Cost Fair Value Coupon Yield (1) (2)
Interest-Only Strips
Fannie Mae $ 636 $ 82 $ 80 5.57% 6.84% 26%
Freddie Mac 394 64 53 5.55% 11.94% 17%
Principal-Only Strips
Fannie Mae 37 33 34 -% 3.80% 20%
Total / Weighted Average $ 1,067 $ 179 $ 167 5.37% 8.12% 22%
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2. Weighted average projected life CPR based on forward rate assumptions as of March 31, 2012.
3. Lower loan balance securities represent pools backed by a maximum original loan balance of ? $150 thousand. Our lower loan balance securities had a weighted average original loan balance of $101 million and $108 million for 15-year and 30-year securities, respectively, as of March 31, 2012.
4. HARP securities are defined as pools backed by100% refinance loans with loan-to-values ("LTV") ? 80% and ? 125%. Our HARP securities had a weighted average LTV of 95% and 92% for 15-year and 30-year securities, respectively, as of March 31, 2012.
5. Other 15-year securities include a total of $954 million of securities backed by loans with original loan balances ? $175 thousand.
December 31, 2011
December
Weighted Average 2011
Projected
Agency MBS Classified Amortized Amortized Life CPR
as AFS Par Value Cost Cost Basis Fair Value Coupon Yield (1) (2)
AFS Investments By
Issuer:
Fannie Mae $ 37,232 $ 38,891 104.5% $ 39,567 4.07% 3.02% 14%
Freddie Mac 13,736 14,342 104.4% 14,664 4.21% 3.16% 14%
Ginnie Mae 258 270 104.7% 273 3.74% 1.71% 25%
Total / Weighted AFS
Securities $ 51,226 $ 53,503 104.4% $ 54,504 4.11% 3.05% 14%
AFS Investments By
Security Type:
Fixed-Rate
? 15-Year:
Lower Loan Balance (3) $ 16,033 $ 16,626 103.7% $ 17,027 3.81% 2.84% 12%
HARP (4) 1,160 1,208 104.2% 1,235 3.93% 2.87% 12%
Other (5) 1,814 1,873 103.2% 1,898 3.54% 2.58% 15%
Total ? 15-Year 19,007 19,707 103.7% 20,160 3.79% 2.82% 13%
Total 20-Year: 5,462 5,659 103.6% 5,710 3.71% 2.72% 16%
30-Year:
Lower Loan Balance (3) 4,577 4,847 105.9% 4,927 4.48% 3.40% 11%
HARP (4) 11,676 12,318 105.5% 12,591 4.48% 3.50% 11%
Other (2009-2011
Vintage) 6,987 7,307 104.6% 7,380 4.24% 3.17% 15%
Other (Pre 2009
Vintage) 655 697 106.3% 715 5.59% 3.37% 25%
Total 30-Year 23,895 25,169 105.3% 25,613 4.44% 3.38% 12%
Total Fixed-Rate 48,364 50,535 104.5% 51,483 4.10% 3.09% 13%
Adjustable-Rate 2,627 2,725 103.7% 2,774 4.29% 2.58% 32%
CMO 235 243 103.1% 247 3.74% 1.69% 29%
Total / Weighted
Average $ 51,226 $ 53,503 104.4% $ 54,504 4.11% 3.05% 14%
December 31, 2011
December
Underlying Weighted Average 2011
Agency MBS Remeasured at Unamortized Projected
Fair Value Through Principal Amortized Life CPR
Earnings Balance Cost Fair Value Coupon Yield (1) (2)
Interest-Only Strips
Fannie Mae $ 687 $ 90 $ 86 5.55% 6.62% 31%
Freddie Mac 453 66 56 5.48% 10.35% 25%
Principal-Only Strips
Fannie Mae 40 35 37 -% 5.40% 31%
Total / Weighted Average $ 1,180 $ 191 $ 179 5.33% 7.70% 29%
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2. Weighted average projected life CPR based on forward rate assumptions as of December 31, 2011.
3. Lower loan balance securities represent pools backed by a maximum original loan balance of ? $150 thousand. Our lower loan balance securities had a weighted average original loan balance of $102 thousand and $108 thousand for 15-year and 30-year securities, respectively, as of December 31, 2011.
4. HARP securities are defined as pools backed by100% refinance loans with LTVs ? 80% and ? 125%. Our HARP securities had a weighted average LTV of 98% and 97% for 15-year and 30-year securities, respectively, as of December 31, 2011.
5. Other 15-year securities include $687 million of securities backed by loans with original loan balances ? $175 thousand.
Interest-only agency MBS strips represent the right to receive a specified portion of the contractual interest flows of the underlying unamortized principal balance ("UPB" or "par value") of specific agency CMO securities. Principal-only agency MBS strips represent the right to receive contractual principal flows of the UPB of specific agency CMO securities. As of March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011, the combined weighted average yield of our agency MBS portfolio was 3.06% and 3.07%, respectively.
The stated contractual final maturity of the mortgage loans underlying our
agency MBS portfolio ranges up to 40 years. As of March 31, 2012 and
December 31, 2011, the weighted average final contractual maturity of our agency
MBS portfolio was 24 and 23 years, respectively.
The actual maturities of agency MBS are generally shorter than their stated
contractual maturities primarily as a result of prepayments of principal of the
underlying mortgages. The weighted average expected maturity of our agency MBS
portfolio was 7.2 and 3.5 years as of March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011,
respectively. In determining the estimated weighted average years to maturity of
our agency MBS and the yield on our agency MBS, we have assumed a weighted
average CPR over the remaining projected life of our agency MBS portfolio of 9%
as of March 31, 2012 and 14% as of December 31, 2011. We amortize or accrete
premiums and discounts associated with purchases of our agency MBS into interest
income over the estimated life of our securities based on actual and projected
CPRs, using the effective yield method. Since the weighted average cost basis of
our agency MBS portfolio was 104.8% of par value as of March 31, 2012, slower
actual and projected prepayments can have a meaningful positive impact on our
asset yields, while faster actual or projected prepayments can have a meaningful
negative impact on our asset yields.
The following table summarizes our agency MBS classified as available-for-sale,
at fair value, according to their estimated weighted average life
classifications as of March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011 (dollars in
millions):
March 31, 2012 December 31, 2011
Estimated Weighted Average Weighted Weighted
Life of Agency MBS Amortized Average Amortized Average
Classified as AFS Fair Value Cost Coupon Fair Value Cost Coupon
Less than or equal to 1 year $ 2 $ 2 4.00% $ 283 $ 274 4.75%
Greater than 1 year and less
than or equal to 3 years 629 614 4.20% 16,697 16,475 4.10%
Greater than 3 years and
less than or equal to 5
years 22,287 21,740 3.99% 34,667 33,934 4.10%
Greater than 5 years 57,485 57,153 3.89% 2,857 2,820 4.15%
Total $ 80,403 $ 79,509 3.92% $ 54,504 $ 53,503 4.11%
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The weighted average life of our interest-only agency MBS strips was 4.2 and 2.3
years as of March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011, respectively and the weighted
average life of our principal-only agency MBS strips was 4.1 and 2.3 years as of
March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011, respectively.
As of March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011, we held pass-through agency MBS
collateralized by ARMs and hybrid ARMs with coupons linked to various indices.
The following tables detail the characteristics of our ARM and hybrid ARM agency
MBS portfolio by index as of March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011 (dollars in
millions):
March 31, 2012 December 31, 2011
Twelve-Month Twelve-Month
Six-Month One-Year One-Year Treasury Six-Month One-Year One-Year Treasury
Libor Libor Treasury Average Libor Libor Treasury Average
Weighted average
term to next reset
(months) 32 75 49 25 33 75 45 26
Weighted average
margin 1.59 % 1.79 % 1.59 % 1.83 % 1.59 % 1.79 % 1.72 % 1.83 %
Weighted average
annual period cap 1.09 % 2.00 % 1.14 % 1.00 % 1.08 % 2.00 % 1.31 % 1.00 %
Weighted average
lifetime cap 10.59 % 9.17 % 9.03 % 10.04 % 10.59 % 9.25 % 9.25 % 10.07 %
Principal amount $ 89 $ 1,737 $ 349 $ 182 $ 95 $ 1,967 $ 366 $ 199
Percentage of
investment portfolio
at par value 0.12 % 2.29 % 0.46 % 0.24 % 0.19 % 3.84 % 0.71 % 0.38 %
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The following table details the number of months to the next reset for our pass-through agency MBS collateralized by ARMs and hybrid ARMs as of March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011 (dollars in millions):
March 31, 2012 December 31, 2011
Average Average
Fair Value % Total Reset Fair Value % Total Reset
Less than 1 year $ 27 1 % 4 $ 29 1 % 6
Greater than or equal to 1
year and less than 2 years 126 5 % 16 156 6 % 17
Greater than or equal to 2
years and less than 3 years 329 13 % 28 397 14 % 28
Greater than or equal to 3
years and less than 5 years 436 17 % 51 479 17 % 48
Greater than or equal to 5
years 1,582 64 % 83 1,713 62 % 85
Total / Weighted Average $ 2,500 100 % 66 $ 2,774 100 % 66
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As of March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011, we did not have investments in agency debenture securities.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with our interim consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto. The tables below present our condensed consolidated balance sheets as of March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011 and our consolidated statements of comprehensive income and key statistics for the three months ended March 31, 2012 and 2011:
($ in millions, except per share amounts)
March 31, 2012 December 31, 2011
(unaudited)
. . .
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