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RWT > SEC Filings for RWT > Form 10-Q on 8-May-2012All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for REDWOOD TRUST INC


8-May-2012

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Introduction

Redwood Trust, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, is a financial institution that seeks to invest in real estate related assets that have the potential to provide attractive cash flows over a long period of time and support our goal of distributing attractive levels of dividends to our stockholders. For tax purposes, we are structured as a real estate investment trust (REIT). We are able to pass through substantially all of our earnings generated at our REIT to our stockholders without paying income tax at the corporate level. We pay income tax on the REIT taxable income we retain and on the income we earn at our taxable subsidiaries. Redwood was incorporated in the State of Maryland on April 11, 1994, and commenced operations on August 19, 1994. Our executive offices are located at One Belvedere Place, Suite 300, Mill Valley, California 94941.

References herein to "Redwood," the "company," "we," "us," and "our" include Redwood Trust, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries, unless the context otherwise requires. Financial information concerning our business is set forth in "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations," the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto, and the supplemental financial information, which is included in Part I, Items 1 and 2 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

Our website can be found at www.redwoodtrust.com. We make available, free of charge through the investor information section of our website, access to our annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K, and amendments to those reports filed or furnished pursuant to
Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as well as proxy statements, as soon as reasonably practicable after we electronically file such material with, or furnish it to, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). We also make available, free of charge, access to our charters for our Audit Committee, Compensation Committee, and Corporate Governance and Nominating Committee, our Corporate Governance Standards, and our Code of Ethics governing our directors, officers, and employees. Within the time period required by the SEC and the New York Stock Exchange, we will post on our website any amendment to the Code of Ethics and any waiver applicable to any executive officer, director, or senior officer (as defined in the Code). In addition, our website includes information concerning purchases and sales of our equity securities by our executive officers and directors, as well as disclosure relating to certain non-GAAP and financial measures (as defined in the SEC's Regulation G) that we may make public orally, telephonically, by webcast, by broadcast, or by similar means from time to time. Through the commercial section of our website, we also disclose information about our origination or acquisition of new commercial loans and other commercial investments, generally within five business days of origination or acquisition. We believe that this information may be of interest to investors in Redwood, although we may not always disclose on our website each new commercial loan or other new commercial investment we originate or acquire (or we may not disclose them on our website within the five business day period described above) due to, among other reasons, confidentiality obligations to the borrowers of those loans or counterparties to those investments. The information on our website is not part of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

Our Investor Relations Department can be contacted at One Belvedere Place, Suite 300, Mill Valley, CA 94941, Attn: Investor Relations, telephone (866) 269-4976.

Cautionary Statement

This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and the documents incorporated by reference herein contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve numerous risks and uncertainties. Our actual results may differ from our beliefs, expectations, estimates, and projections and, consequently, you should not rely on these forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Forward-looking statements are not historical in nature and can be identified by words such as "anticipate," "estimate," "will," "should," "expect," "believe," "intend," "seek," "plan" and similar expressions or their negative forms, or by references to strategy, plans, or intentions. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, including, among other things, those described in Part II, Item 1A of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and those described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2011, under the caption "Risk Factors." Other risks, uncertainties, and factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected may be described from time to time in reports we


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file with the SEC, including reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.

Statements regarding the following subjects, among others, are forward-looking by their nature: (i) our statements relating to opportunities to invest in residential securities, our belief that there will continue to be sufficient market liquidity for the types of residential securities investments that we are financing in part with short-term debt, our statement that, as the private mortgage market recovers and private securitization activity increases, we expect our portfolio of residential securities investments will shift back to predominantly unlevered investments in more credit sensitive subordinate securities; and our statements relating to how we might use various types of debt financing to finance residential securities investments in the future; (ii) our statements relating to the activities we engage in that we include in our references to our mortgage banking activities, including our statements relating to our future level of investment in mortgage servicing rights and the profitability of such investments, future sales of whole loans (other than through securitization transactions) and the profitability of such sales, and our expectation that these activities will be an ongoing source of income for us in the future; (iii) any statements relating to our competitive position and our ability to compete in the future, including our ability to effectively compete to acquire residential securities and residential mortgage loans and our ability to compete to originate and acquire commercial debt investments; (iv) our statements relating to our future investment strategy and our ability to find investments with attractive risk return profiles, including, without limitation, statements relating to our efforts to acquire residential mortgage loans, make commercial loans, and make investments in residential securities in the secondary market; (v) our statement that our goal for 2012 is to invest a total of approximately $400 million of equity capital in third-party residential mortgage-backed securities, new Sequoia residential mortgage-backed securities, and commercial loans; (vi) our statement that we continue to target the purchase of $2 billion of residential mortgage loans in 2012, our statements relating to acquiring residential mortgage loans that we have identified for purchase or plan to purchase, including the amount of such loans that we planned to purchase or have identified for purchase at March 31, 2012 and April 30, 2012, and our statement that it is our intent to finance our residential mortgage loans held for sale primarily through the use of warehouse lines of credit; (vii) statements relating to future residential loan securitization and sale transactions, the timing of the completion of those future transactions, and the number and size of those transactions we expect to complete in 2012 and future periods, which future transactions may not be completed when planned or at all, and, more generally, statements regarding the likelihood and timing of, and our participation in, future transactions of these types and our ability to finance residential loan acquisitions through the execution of these types of transactions, and the profitability of these transactions; (viii) our statement that we expect to recover an aggregate of $6 million of negative net assets (or equity) that relate to ten Sequoia securitization entities in future periods upon the retirement or deconsolidation of those entities; (ix) our statements relating to the cash flows we expect to receive from our investments; (x) our statements relating to our estimate of our available investment capacity (including that we estimate our available investment capacity was $183 million at March 31, 2012) and our statement that we believe this level of investment capacity should be sufficient for investment activity we expect over the next two quarters; (xi) any statements relating to future market and economic conditions and the future volume of transactions in those markets, including, without limitation, future conditions in the residential and commercial real estate markets and related financing markets (e.g., the CMBS market), and the related potential opportunities for our residential and commercial businesses;
(xii) our beliefs about, and our outlook for, the future direction of housing market fundamentals, including, without limitation, home prices, household formation and demand for housing, delinquency rates, foreclosure rates, prepayment rates, inventory of homes for sale, and mortgage interest rates and their potential impact on our business and results of operations; (xiii) our beliefs about the future direction of commercial real estate fundamentals and statements regarding the competitive landscape for, and availability of, financing for commercial real estate and our beliefs about whether trends in these areas are positive for our business (including our statements that we believe that mezzanine lending opportunities will continue to drive our commercial investment activity for the next few quarters); (xiv) our statements relating to the future potential competitive advantages of our commercial origination and investment platform, including that this platform could potentially generate fees and other income by originating and distributing senior mortgage loans to a wide network of investors, and our statement that our plan for our commercial platform includes developing appropriate financing sources; (xv) our statements that we expect an increase in our commercial investment activity in the second quarter of 2012, that we believe we are still on pace to originate between $200 and $300 million in commercial loans in 2012;
(xvi) our statement that part of our plan for the commercial business includes developing appropriate financing alternatives with various counterparties that could take the form of repurchase facilities, warehouse lines, and non-recourse securitized financing; (xvii) our expectations regarding credit reserves, credit losses, the adequacy of credit support, and impairments and their impact on our investments (including as compared to our original expectations and credit reserve levels) and the timing of losses and impairments, and statements that the amount of credit reserves we designate are adequate or may require changes in the future; (xviii) any statements relating to our expectations regarding future interest income and net interest income, future earnings, future earnings volatility, and future trends in operating expenses and the factors that may affect those trends, including that we expect the level of operating expense in the second quarter of 2012 to be similar to the level of operating expense in the first quarter of 2012; (ixx) our expectations and estimates relating to tax accounting and our anticipation of additional credit losses for tax purposes in future periods (and, in particular, our statement that, for tax purposes, we expect an additional $130 million of credit losses on securities to be realized over time).


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Important factors, among others, that may affect our actual results include:
general economic trends, the performance of the housing, commercial real estate, mortgage, credit, and broader financial markets, and their effects on the prices of earning assets and the credit status of borrowers; federal and state legislative and regulatory developments, and the actions of governmental authorities, including those affecting the mortgage industry or our business; our exposure to credit risk and the timing of credit losses within our portfolio; the concentration of the credit risks we are exposed to, including due to the structure of assets we hold and the geographical concentration of real estate underlying assets we own; our exposure to adjustable-rate and negative amortization mortgage loans; the efficacy and expense of our efforts to manage or hedge credit risk, interest rate risk, and other financial and operational risks; changes in credit ratings on assets we own and changes in the rating agencies' credit rating methodologies; changes in interest rates; changes in mortgage prepayment rates; the availability of assets for purchase at attractive prices and our ability to reinvest cash we hold; changes in the values of assets we own; changes in liquidity in the market for real estate securities and loans; our ability to finance the acquisition of real estate-related assets with short-term debt; the ability of counterparties to satisfy their obligations to us; our involvement in securitization transactions, the profitability of those transactions, and the risks we are exposed to in engaging in securitization transactions; exposure to claims and litigation, including litigation arising from our involvement in securitization transactions; whether we have sufficient liquid assets to meet short-term needs; our ability to successfully compete and retain or attract key personnel; our ability to adapt our business model and strategies to changing circumstances; changes in our investment, financing, and hedging strategies and new risks we may be exposed to if we expand our business activities; exposure to environmental liabilities and the effects of global climate change; failure to comply with applicable laws and regulations; our failure to maintain appropriate internal controls over financial reporting and disclosure controls and procedures; the impact on our reputation that could result from our actions or omissions or from those of others; changes in accounting principles and tax rules; our ability to maintain our status as a REIT for tax purposes; limitations imposed on our business due to our REIT status and our status as exempt from registration under the Investment Company Act of 1940; decisions about raising, managing, and distributing capital; and other factors not presently identified.

This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q may contain statistics and other data that in some cases have been obtained from or compiled from information made available by servicers and other third-party service providers.

Redwood invests in, finances, and manages real estate assets. We seek to invest in assets that have the potential to generate sufficient long-term cash flow returns to support our goal of distributing an attractive level of dividends per share to shareholders over time.

We primarily invest in residential mortgage loans, commercial loans and other forms of commercial real estate financing, and in securities collateralized by real estate loans (which are securities issued in securitization transactions and which are also referred to as mortgage-backed securities). Our investments in residential mortgage loans are generally made with a view towards securitizing those loans through a Sequoia securitization entity or selling those loans to third parties. Our investments in commercial loans are generally held for investment and not secured by real property. The mortgage-backed securities we typically invest in include senior securities, which are those interests in a mortgage securitization that generally have the first right to cash flows and are generally last to absorb losses, and subordinate securities, which are those interests in a mortgage securitization that generally have the last right to cash flows and are generally first in line to absorb losses. Some of the securities we invest in are re-REMIC support securities, which are securities that are generally created through the resecuritization of senior mortgage-backed securities. Re-REMIC support securities are subordinate to, and provide credit support for, the senior re-REMIC securities issued in a resecuritization. We also invest in other assets, securities, and instruments that are related to residential and commercial real estate.

Securities collateralized by residential mortgage loans, which we also refer to as residential securities, that we invest in are generally acquired by us from third parties or by retaining mortgage-backed securities issued by Sequoia securitization trusts, which are securitization entities we sponsor. The process of sponsoring a Sequoia securitization includes the acquisition of residential loans, which are originated by third parties and generally funded


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with equity and short-term debt while being accumulated for securitization, the transfer of a pool of those loans to a Sequoia securitization entity, and the structuring and issuance by the Sequoia securitization entity of mortgage-backed securities collateralized by that pool of loans. Senior securities issued by Sequoia securitization entities are generally issued to third parties, while some or all of the subordinate securities issued by these entities are generally retained by us. From time to time we may also invest in senior interest-only ("IO") securities issued by a Sequoia securitization entity. These IO securities receive interest payments (but no principal payments) related to securitized residential mortgage loans.

Our investments in commercial loans and other forms of commercial real estate financing generally result from our origination of subordinate financing for commercial real estate. Subordinate financing for commercial real estate can take the form of mezzanine loans or subordinate mortgage loans and can also take the form of preferred equity interests in special purpose entities that own commercial real estate. In addition to directly originating commercial loans and directly providing preferred equity financing, we may invest in commercial loans and financing originated by others (including through ownership of commercial mortgage-backed securities). We refer to our commercial mezzanine loans and preferred equity investments collectively as commercial loans.

Our primary source of income is net interest income from our investments in real-estate related assets of the types described above. This net interest income consists of the interest income we earn from our investments less the interest expenses we incur on borrowed funds and other liabilities. We assume a range of risks in our investments and the level of risk is influenced by the manner in which we finance our purchases of, and derive income from, our investments.

Throughout our history we have sponsored other investment entities that include a private limited partnership fund that we managed, the Redwood Opportunity Fund, LP (the Fund), as well as Acacia securitization entities, certain of which we continue to manage. The Fund was invested in real estate securities and the Acacia entities are primarily invested in a variety of real estate related assets. We are not currently seeking to sponsor other entities like the Fund or the Acacia securitization entities. During the third quarter of 2011, we engaged in a resecuritization transaction (the Resecuritization) primarily for the purpose of obtaining permanent non-recourse financing on a portion of our residential securities portfolio. Many of the entities we have sponsored or managed are currently, or have been historically, recorded on our consolidated balance sheets for financial reporting purposes based upon applicable accounting guidance set forth by Generally Accepted Accounting Principles in the United States ("GAAP"). However, each of these securitization entities is independent of Redwood and of each other and the assets and liabilities are not owned by and are not legal obligations of ours, although we are exposed to certain financial risks associated with our role as the sponsor or manager of these entities.

For tax purposes, we are structured as a REIT. As a REIT, we are able to pass through substantially all of our earnings to our stockholders without paying income tax at the corporate level. We pay income tax on the REIT taxable income we retain and on the income we earn at our taxable subsidiaries.

Business Update - First Quarter 2012

We had a productive first quarter of 2012. For the quarter, we generated attractive economic returns and reported GAAP earnings of $0.37 per share, some of which was driven by our accounting elections related to our residential business. We paid a first quarter dividend of $0.25 per share, while REIT taxable income was $0.13 per share. As discussed in the Cash and Cash Equivalents section of this Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, our cash from loans, securities, and investments of $74 million in the first quarter of 2012 was in excess of the $50 million of combined interest on debt, dividends, and cash operating expenses we paid during the quarter.

We invested $136 million of equity capital during the first quarter of 2012 to acquire $311 million of investments (and used $175 million of short-term debt in financing for new investments). Market conditions were generally favorable during the first quarter, allowing us to recover much of the market value declines we saw in our securities portfolio during the fourth quarter of 2011. Operationally, we expanded the scale and capabilities of our residential business. Our commercial business, while continuing to make opportunistic investments, is evolving towards the broader based lending platform we envisioned.


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Our GAAP book value increased to $12.22 per share in the first quarter of 2012 from $11.36 per share at the end of the fourth quarter of 2011. The following table displays the changes in GAAP book value per share for the three months ended March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011.

Table 1 Changes in GAAP Book Value per Share



                                                           Three Months Ended
 (In Dollars, per share basis)                 March 31, 2012            December 31, 2011
 Beginning book value per share              $             11.36        $             12.22
 Net income (loss)                                          0.37                     (0.03)
 Dividends                                                (0.25)                     (0.25)
 Unrealized gains (losses) on hedges                        0.18                     (0.03)
 Unrealized gains (losses) on securities                    0.52                     (0.56)
 Other, net                                                 0.04                       0.01

 Ending Book Value per Share                 $             12.22        $             11.36

Investment and Portfolio Sales Activity

During the first quarter of 2012, we focused much of our efforts on efficiently deploying excess capital at attractive returns while growing our residential and commercial businesses. Highlights of the quarter included investments in two new Sequoia securitizations, four newly originated commercial loans and one commercial loan acquisition, and additional secondary investments in more liquid senior securities that were largely financed through repurchase facilities. The following table summarizes our investment activity for the first quarter of 2012 and the fourth quarter of 2011.

Table 2 Quarterly Investment Activity



                                                 Three Months Ended
   (In Millions)                     March 31, 2012            December 31, 2011
   Residential investments
   New Sequoia RMBS               $                  61       $                -
   Third-Party RMBS                                 223                         38
   Short-term debt                                (175)                       (15)

   Net residential investments                      109                         23
   Commercial investments                            27                         60

   Net Capital Invested           $                 136       $                 83

Our overall investment pace for the first quarter is on pace to meet our objective of investing approximately $400 million of equity capital in third-party Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS), new Sequoia RMBS, and commercial loans during 2012. In addition to new investment acquisition activity, we sold $53 million of third-party RMBS for GAAP gains of $6 million.

Residential Loan Business

We continued to make steady progress growing our residential mortgage loan business in the first quarter of 2012, which was highlighted by the two securitizations of residential mortgage loans that we completed; one in January of $416 million and the other in March of $328 million. Our GAAP gains on these two securitizations totaled $7 million, while our economic gains (which take into account our hedging costs) were closer to $4 million. Contributing to the profitability of the transactions was a combination of tighter credit spreads on the senior securities issued, lower subordination levels, and lower hedging costs.

The securitization transaction we completed in March included two important features that are reflective of a more mature, fully functioning securitization market. First, six weeks prior to the transaction, we entered into an agreement with the underwriter of the transaction to sell forward the underlying triple-A securities. This reduced our


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hedging timeframe and costs and enabled us to lock in credit spreads. We are hopeful that we can replicate this type of agreement for future transactions. Second, the underwriter structured the triple-A tranche to create three different time tranched triple-A securities. We believe this refinement tailors cash flows and yields to meet different senior investor needs, thus improving liquidity for triple-A securities. It is also notable that the average mortgage rate charged to prime borrowers in this transaction was only about 50 basis points higher than the mortgage rate a borrower could obtain on a government-backed conforming balance loan. The pre-crisis historical average was a spread of approximately 25 basis points. While we are not yet back to the historical spread levels, the trend is encouraging, especially considering the fact that we are the only repeat RMBS issuer since the financial crisis.

In anticipation of our next securitization, at March 31, 2012, we held $301 million of residential loans and had identified another $282 million that we plan to purchase. At April 30, 2012, we held $331 million and had identified another $394 million that we plan to purchase. We currently expect our next securitization to occur late in the second quarter or possibly early in the third quarter. While our residential loan business continues to face headwinds . . .

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