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GES > SEC Filings for GES > Form 10-K on 31-Mar-2010All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-K for GUESS INC


31-Mar-2010

Annual Report


ITEM 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.

General

Unless the context indicates otherwise, when we refer to "we," "us" or the "Company" in this Form 10-K, we are referring to Guess?, Inc. and its subsidiaries on a consolidated basis.

Business Segments

The Company's businesses are grouped into four reportable segments for management and internal financial reporting purposes: retail, wholesale, European and licensing. Information relating to these segments is summarized in Note 15 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. Management evaluates segment performance based primarily on revenue and earnings from operations. The Company believes this segment reporting reflects how its business segments are managed and each segment's performance is evaluated. The retail segment includes the Company's retail operations in North America. The wholesale segment includes the wholesale operations in North America and our Asian operations. The European segment includes both wholesale and retail operations in Europe and the Middle East. The licensing segment includes the worldwide licensing operations of the Company. The segment operating results exclude corporate overhead costs, which consist of shared costs of the organization. These costs are presented separately and generally include, among other things, the following unallocated corporate costs: information technology, human resources, accounting and finance, global advertising and marketing, executive compensation, facilities and legal.

We acquired Focus Europe S.r.l. ("Focus"), our former licensee for GUESS by MARCIANO products in Europe, the Middle East and Asia, in December 2006, and its Spanish subsidiary ("Focus Spain") in October 2007. We also acquired BARN S.r.l. ("Barn"), our former kids licensee in Europe, in January 2008. Each of these entities is reported in our European segment. G by GUESS is a relatively new retail brand concept that was launched in early fiscal 2008 and is included in our retail segment. Our South Korea and China businesses, which we have operated directly since January 2007 and April 2007, respectively, are also relatively new businesses for us and are reported in our wholesale segment. Our international jewelry license agreement, which expired in December 2009, was not renewed as the Company decided to directly operate this business going forward. Beginning in January 2010, the operating results of our international jewelry business are included in our European segment. Prior to that date, we recorded the related royalty income in our licensing segment.

Products

We derive our net revenue from the sale of GUESS?, GUESS by MARCIANO and G by GUESS men's and women's apparel, and our licensees' products through our worldwide network of retail stores, wholesale customers and distributors, as well as our on-line sites. We also derive royalty revenues from worldwide licensing activities.

Recent Global Economic Developments

The state of the global economy negatively impacted our results in fiscal 2010. When economic conditions deteriorated in the latter part of 2008, we reacted quickly by adjusting our short-term goals to focus on protecting our liquidity, strong balance sheet position, and the integrity of our brands. As a result, we limited our store expansion in North America and managed both inventories and costs carefully. While we believe conditions have become more stable and predictable, unfavorable macroeconomic conditions may continue to have a negative effect on our business.

The deterioration in the global economic environment has also resulted in significant volatility in the global currency markets. Since the majority of our international operations are conducted in currencies other than the U.S. dollar (primarily the euro, the Canadian dollar and the Korean won), currency


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fluctuations can have a significant impact on the translation of our international revenues and earnings into U.S. dollar amounts. During the first half of fiscal 2010, the U.S. dollar strengthened against these three currencies versus the comparable prior year period, unfavorably impacting the translation of our international revenues and earnings during that period. However, in the second half of fiscal 2010, the U.S. dollar weakened against these currencies versus the comparable prior year period, positively impacting the translation of our international revenues and earnings during that period.

In addition, some of our transactions that occur in Europe, Canada and South Korea are denominated in U.S. dollars, Swiss francs and British pounds exposing them to exchange rate fluctuations when converted to their local currencies. These transactions include U.S. dollar denominated purchases of merchandise, U.S. dollar and British pound intercompany liabilities and certain operating expenses denominated in Swiss francs. Fluctuations in exchange rates can impact the profitability of our foreign operations and reported earnings and are largely dependent on the transaction timing and magnitude during the period that the currency fluctuates. The Company enters into derivative financial instruments to manage exchange risk on certain foreign currency transactions. However, the Company does not hedge all transactions denominated in foreign currency.

Long-Term Growth Strategy

Despite the recent economic conditions, our key long-term strategies remain unchanged. Global expansion continues to be the cornerstone of our growth strategy. Our combined revenues outside of the U.S. and Canada currently represent approximately 45% of the total Company's revenues, compared to 21% in 2005. We expect this trend to continue as we expand both in Europe and Asia. Expanding our retail business across the globe is another important part of our growth strategy. We see opportunities to increase the number of GUESS? branded retail stores in Europe, as we expand outside of Italy, and also in North America, where we see opportunities particularly with our newer store concepts. We will continue to regularly evaluate and implement initiatives that we believe will build brand equity, grow our business and enhance profitability.

Our North American retail growth strategy is to increase retail sales and profitability by expanding our network of retail stores and improving the productivity and performance of existing stores. We will continue to emphasize our new G by GUESS store concept and our accessories business. This includes greater focus on our accessories line in our existing stores and the expansion of our GUESS? Accessories store concept. We plan to open 52 retail stores across all concepts in the U.S. and Canada during fiscal 2011.

In Europe, we will continue to focus on growing our business in the countries where our brand is well known but under penetrated. The Company is also planning to expand the number of directly operated GUESS? retail stores in Europe. We and our partners plan to continue our international expansion in Europe by opening 85 retail stores in fiscal 2011.

The Company's capital expenditures for the full fiscal year 2011 are planned at approximately $180 million (before deducting estimated lease incentives of approximately $10 million), which includes key money investments for new European stores. The planned capital expenditures are primarily for retail store expansion in the U.S. and Canada, store remodeling programs, expansion of our European retail business and infrastructure, investments in information systems, expansion of our Asian business, and other infrastructure improvements.

Other

The Company operates on a 52/53-week fiscal year calendar, which ends on the Saturday nearest to January 31 of each year. Fiscal years 2010, 2009 and 2008 all included 52 weeks.


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The Company reports National Retail Federation ("NRF") calendar comparable store sales on a quarterly basis for our full-price retail and factory outlet stores in the U.S. and Canada. A store is considered comparable after it has been open for 13 full months. If a store remodel results in a square footage change of more than 15%, or involves a relocation or a change in store concept, the store is removed from the comparable store base until it has been opened at its new size, in its new location or under its new concept for 13 full months.

Executive Summary

The Company

Net earnings attributable to Guess?, Inc. was $242.8 million, or diluted earnings of $2.61 per common share, for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to net earnings attributable to Guess?, Inc. of $213.6 million, or diluted earnings of $2.25 per common share, for the year ended January 31, 2009. The fiscal 2010 and 2009 results included the unfavorable impact of long-lived asset impairment charges of $4.7 million before taxes (or $0.03 per diluted share) and $24.4 million before taxes (or $0.16 per diluted share), respectively. The asset impairment charges reflected the write-down of the asset base for a number of our retail stores primarily as a result of adverse retail conditions arising from the deterioration in the global economic environment.

During the first quarter ended May 2, 2009, the Company adopted authoritative guidance issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (the "FASB") which requires unvested share-payment awards that contain rights to receive non-forfeitable dividends or dividend equivalents to be included in the two-class method of computing earnings per share. The adoption negatively impacted diluted earnings per common share by approximately $0.03 per share for each of the years ended January 30, 2010, January 31, 2009 and February 2, 2008. Refer to Note 16 of the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information.

Total net revenue increased 1.7% to $2,128.5 million for the year ended January 30, 2010, from $2,093.4 million in the prior year. Despite the difficult economic environment, our European, retail and wholesale segments all increased revenues in the current year, while royalty revenues were lower in our licensing business. Currency translation fluctuations relating to all our foreign operations unfavorably impacted net revenue in fiscal 2010 by $47.0 million, driven mostly by the impact of fluctuations in the euro when translating revenues from our European segment.

Gross margin (gross profit as a percentage of total net revenues) increased slightly to 44.2% for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to 44.1% in the prior year. Overall, the higher product margins in our retail and wholesale segments were offset by occupancy deleverage in our European and retail segments as a result of a larger mix of European retail stores and negative comparable store sales.

Selling, general and administrative ("SG&A") expenses decreased 1.9% to $582.7 million for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to $593.8 million in the prior year. The decrease was driven by lower asset impairment charges on our retail stores and lower marketing expenses as compared to the prior year. The Company also benefited from the favorable impact of the stronger dollar versus the prior year when translating SG&A expenses for our foreign operations into U.S. dollars. The decrease was partially offset by higher store selling expenses in Europe to support our retail expansion in Europe, as well as higher performance-based and other compensation related expenses. SG&A expense as a percentage of revenues ("SG&A rate") improved by 100 basis points to 27.4% for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to the prior year. The net impact of the asset impairment charges in the current and prior fiscal year accounted for all of this improvement.

Earnings from operations increased 9.1% to $358.8 million for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to $328.8 million in the prior year. Operating margin increased 120 basis points to 16.9% for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to 15.7% in the prior year due primarily to the lower SG&A rate.


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Currency translation fluctuations relating to all our foreign operations unfavorably impacted earnings from operations by $7.8 million.

Other income, net, (including interest income and expense) totaled $3.1 million for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to other expense, net, of $10.0 million in the prior year. The net gain for the year ended January 30, 2010 included mark-to-market gains related to our insurance policy investments, partially offset by mark-to-market losses related to the revaluation of foreign currency forward contracts and other foreign currency transactions. Other expense, net, for the year ended January 31, 2009 primarily resulted from the decline in value of insurance policy investments and other non-operating assets.

Our effective income tax rate decreased 70 basis points to 31.9% for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to 32.6% in the prior year, primarily due to a higher proportion of earnings in lower tax jurisdictions.

The Company had $502.1 million in cash and cash equivalents as of January 30, 2010, up $208.0 million, compared to $294.1 million as of January 31, 2009. Total debt, including capital lease obligations, as of January 30, 2010 was $16.5 million, down $22.1 million from $38.6 million as of January 31, 2009. Accounts receivable increased by $27.3 million, or 10.4%, to $289.6 million at January 30, 2010, compared to $262.3 million at January 31, 2009. The accounts receivable balance at January 30, 2010 included a positive translation impact of approximately $18.9 million due to currency fluctuations compared to the prior year end. Inventory increased by $6.5 million, or 2.7%, to $246.2 million as of January 30, 2010, compared to $239.7 million as of January 31, 2009.

Retail

Our retail segment, comprising North American full-priced retail stores, factory outlet stores and e-commerce, generated net sales of $983.9 million during the year ended January 30, 2010, an increase of $5.9 million, or 0.6%, from $978.0 million in the prior year. The slight increase was driven by a larger store base, which represented a net 5.6% increase in average square footage compared to the year ended January 31, 2009, partially offset by a decline in comparable store sales of 4.5%, which included an unfavorable translation impact of currency fluctuations for our Canadian retail stores compared to the prior year. Retail earnings from operations increased by $39.1 million, or 42.0%, to $132.3 million for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to $93.2 million in the prior year. In addition, the operating margin increased by 390 basis points to 13.4% for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to 9.5% for the year ended January 31, 2009. The increase in both earnings from operations and operating margin was driven by lower asset impairment charges, improved product margins, and lower SG&A expenses, partially offset by higher occupancy costs. The lower asset impairment charges in the retail segment of $3.7 million during the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to $23.3 million during the year ended January 31, 2009, favorably impacted operating margin by 200 basis points.

In the year, we opened 18 new stores in the U.S. and Canada and closed 11 stores. At January 30, 2010, we operated 432 stores in the U.S. and Canada, comprised of 191 full-priced GUESS? retail stores, 107 GUESS? factory outlet stores, 52 GUESS by MARCIANO stores, 44 G by GUESS stores and 38 GUESS? Accessories stores. This compares to 425 stores as of January 31, 2009.

Wholesale

Wholesale segment revenue increased by $3.8 million, or 1.3%, to $300.0 million for the year ended January 30, 2010, from $296.2 million in the prior year. This increase was driven by higher sales in our Asian business, partially offset by lower sales in our North American wholesale business. Wholesale earnings from operations increased by $5.5 million, or 12.1%, to $51.0 million for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to $45.5 million in the prior year. Operating margin increased by 160 basis points to 17.0% for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to 15.4% for the year ended January 31,


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2009. The operating margin expansion was primarily driven by product margin improvements and SG&A expense leverage in Asia compared to the prior year.

Europe

In Europe, revenues increased by $28.2 million, or 3.9%, to $747.2 million for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to $719.0 million in the prior year. The increase was primarily driven by higher sales in the retail business and sales from our new international jewelry business, partially offset by the unfavorable translation impact to revenues due to changes in foreign currency exchange rates. At January 30, 2010, we directly operated 84 stores in Europe compared to 61 stores at January 31, 2009. Earnings from operations from our European segment increased by $4.6 million, or 2.7%, to $173.2 million for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to $168.6 million in the prior year. Operating margin decreased 30 basis points to 23.2% for the year ended January 30, 2010, compared to 23.5% for the prior year. The decline resulted from higher occupancy costs, given our retail expansion in the region, mostly offset by a lower SG&A rate.

Licensing

Our licensing royalty revenues decreased by $2.9 million, or 2.9%, to $97.4 million, compared to $100.3 million in the prior year. Earnings from operations for the year ended January 30, 2010, were essentially flat at $86.6 million, compared to $86.4 million in the prior year.

Corporate Overhead

Corporate overhead expenses increased by $19.4 million, or 29.9%, to $84.3 million for the year ended January 30, 2010, from $64.9 million in the same prior year period. The increase was driven by higher performance-based and other compensation related expenses, and higher professional fees, partially offset by lower brand marketing expenses.

Global Store Count

In the year, together with our partners, we opened 161 new stores worldwide, including 90 stores in Europe and the Middle East, 45 stores in Asia, 18 stores in the U.S. and Canada and 8 stores in Central and South America. Together with our partners we closed 63 stores worldwide, including 22 stores in Europe and the Middle East, 29 stores in Asia, 11 stores in the U.S. and Canada and 1 store in Central and South America.

We ended fiscal 2010 with 1,210 stores worldwide, comprised as follows:

                                                    Directly
   Region                       Total Stores     Operated Stores     Licensee Stores
   United States and Canada               432                 432                   -
   Europe and the Middle East             388                  84                 304
   Asia                                   335                  28                 307
   Other                                   55                  13                  42

   Total                                1,210                 557                 653

These stores exclude 229 concessions operated by us and our partners located primarily in South Korea and Greater China because of their smaller store size in relation to our standard international store size. Of the 778 stores located outside of the U.S. and Canada, 557 were GUESS? stores, 176 were GUESS? Accessories stores and 45 were GUESS by MARCIANO stores.


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Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

The Consolidated Financial Statements are prepared in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the U.S., which require management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of the assets and liabilities and disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities as of the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenue and expenses during the reporting period. Management bases its estimates and judgments on its historical experience and other relevant factors, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Management evaluates its estimates and judgments on an ongoing basis including those related to the valuation of inventories, accounts receivable allowances, sales return allowances, loyalty accrual, the useful life of assets for depreciation, restructuring expense and accruals, evaluation of impairment, recoverability of deferred taxes, workers compensation accruals, litigation accruals, pension obligations and stock-based compensation.

The Company believes that the following significant accounting policies involve a higher degree of judgment and complexity. In addition to the accounting policies mentioned below, see Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for other significant accounting policies.

Accounts receivable reserves

In the normal course of business, the Company grants credit directly to certain wholesale customers after a credit analysis is performed based on financial and other criteria. Accounts receivable are recorded net of an allowance for doubtful accounts. The Company maintains allowances for doubtful accounts for estimated losses that result from the inability of its wholesale customers to make their required payments. The Company bases its allowances on analysis of the aging of accounts receivable at the date of the financial statements, assessments of historical collection trends, an evaluation of the impact of current economic conditions and whether the Company has obtained credit insurance or other guarantees.

Costs associated with customer markdowns are recorded as a reduction to revenues, and are included in the allowance for accounts receivable. Historically, these markdown allowances resulted from seasonal negotiations with the Company's wholesale customers, as well as historical trends and the evaluation of the impact of economic conditions. During fiscal 2008, the Company renegotiated its arrangements with its major customers in the U.S. to fix the percentage of sales that will be expensed as markdown allowances. The negotiation of a fixed rate allows the Company to process credit memos against the outstanding balance immediately which has resulted in a reduction of our outstanding markdown allowance accrual.

Sales returns reserves

The Company accrues for estimated sales returns in the period in which the related revenue is recognized. To recognize the financial impact of sales returns, the Company estimates the amount of goods that will be returned based on historical experience and reduces sales and cost of sales accordingly based on historical return experience. The Company's policy allows retail customers a 30 day period to return merchandise following the date of sale. Substantially all of these returns are considered to be resalable at a price that exceeds the cost of the merchandise.

Inventory reserves

Inventories are valued at the lower of cost (weighted average method) or market. The Company continually evaluates its inventories by assessing slow moving product as well as prior seasons' inventory. Market value of aged inventory is estimated based on historical sales trends for each product line category, the impact of market trends, an evaluation of economic conditions and the value of current orders relating to the future sales of this type of inventory. The Company closely monitors its off-price sales to ensure the actual results closely match initial estimates. Estimates are regularly updated based upon this continuing review.


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Valuation of goodwill, intangible and other long-lived assets

The Company assesses the impairment of its long-lived assets (i.e., goodwill, intangible assets and property and equipment), which requires the Company to make assumptions and judgments regarding the carrying value of these assets on an annual basis, or more frequently if events or changes in circumstances indicate that the assets might be impaired. An asset is considered to be impaired if the Company determines that the carrying value may not be recoverable based upon its assessment of the asset's ability to continue to generate income from operations and positive cash flow in future periods or if significant changes in the Company's strategic business objectives and utilization of the assets occurred. If the assets (other than goodwill) are assessed to be recoverable, they are depreciated or amortized over the periods benefited. If the assets are considered to be impaired, an impairment charge is recognized representing the amount by which the carrying value of the assets exceeds the fair value of those assets. Fair value is determined based upon the discounted cash flows derived from the underlying asset. We use various assumptions in determining current fair market value of these assets, including future expected cash flows and discount rates. Future expected cash flows for store assets are based on management's estimates of future cash flows over the remaining lease period or expected life, if shorter. If actual results are not consistent with our assumptions and judgments used in estimating future cash flows and asset fair values, we may be exposed to future impairment losses that could be material to our results of operations. See Notes 1 and 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further discussion.

Pension benefit plan actuarial assumptions

The Company's pension obligations and related costs are calculated using actuarial concepts, within the authoritative guidance framework. The discount rate is an important element of expense and/or liability measurement. We evaluate this critical assumption annually which enables us to state expected future payments for benefits as a present value on the measurement date. Refer to Note 10 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for Supplemental Executive Retirement Plan related information.

Litigation reserves

Estimated amounts for claims that are probable and can be reasonably estimated are recorded as liabilities in our consolidated balance sheet. The likelihood of a material change in these estimated reserves would be dependent on new claims as they may arise and the expected favorable or unfavorable outcome of each claim. As additional information becomes available, the Company assesses the potential liability related to new claims and existing claims and revises estimates as appropriate. As new claims arise, such revisions in estimates of the potential liability could materially impact the results of operations and financial position.

Share-based compensation

Effective January 1, 2006, the Company adopted the fair value recognition provisions of authoritative guidance using the modified prospective transition method. Under this method, compensation cost recognized after January 1, 2006 includes: (a) compensation expense for all share-based payments granted prior to, but not yet vested as of December 31, 2005, based on the grant date fair value and (b) compensation expense for all share-based payments granted on or after January 1, 2006, based on the grant date fair value estimated in accordance with authoritative guidance. The fair value of each stock option is estimated on the grant date using the Black-Scholes option-pricing model with the following weighted-average assumptions used for new grants. The risk-free interest rate is based on the U.S. Treasury yield curve in effect for the . . .

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