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TRH > SEC Filings for TRH > Form 10-Q on 9-Nov-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for TRANSATLANTIC HOLDINGS INC


9-Nov-2009

Quarterly Report

Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations ("MD&A") September 30, 2009

Throughout this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiaries (collectively "TRH") presents its operations in the way it believes will be most meaningful. TRH's unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses ("LAE") net of related reinsurance recoverable ("net loss reserves") are included in this MD&A and presented in accordance with principles prescribed or permitted by insurance regulatory authorities as these are standard measures in the insurance and reinsurance industries.

Financial Statements

The following discussion refers to the consolidated financial statements of TRH as of September 30, 2009 and December 31, 2008 and for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2009 and 2008, which are presented elsewhere herein. Financial data discussed below have been affected by certain transactions between TRH and related parties. (See Note 7 of Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements ("Note 7") and Note 12 of Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements ("Note 12").)

Executive Overview

The operations of Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. (the "Company") are conducted principally by its three major operating subsidiaries - Transatlantic Reinsurance Company® ("TRC"), Trans Re Zurich ("TRZ") and Putnam Reinsurance Company ("Putnam") - and are managed based on its geographic segments. Through its operations on six continents, TRH offers reinsurance capacity on both a treaty and facultative basis - structuring programs for a full range of property and casualty products, with an emphasis on specialty lines, which may exhibit greater volatility of results over time than most other lines. Such capacity is offered through reinsurance brokers and, to a lesser extent, directly to domestic and foreign insurance and reinsurance entities.

TRH conducts its business and assesses performance through segments organized along geographic lines. The Domestic segment principally includes financial data from branches in the United States except Miami, as well as revenues and expenses of the Company (including interest expense on the Company's senior notes) and stock-based compensation expense. Data from the London and Paris branches and from TRZ are reported in the aggregate as International - Europe and considered as one segment due to operational and regional similarities. Data from the Miami (which serves Latin America and the Caribbean), Toronto, Hong Kong and Tokyo branches are grouped as International - Other and represents the aggregation of segments that are generally not material.

TRH's operating strategy emphasizes product and geographic diversification as key elements in managing its level of risk concentration. TRH seeks to focus on more complex risks within the casualty and property lines and adjusts its mix of business to take advantage of market opportunities. Over time, TRH has most often capitalized on market opportunities when they arise by strategically expanding operations in an existing location or opening a branch or representative office in new locations. TRH's operations serving international markets leverage TRH's product knowledge, worldwide resources and financial strength, typically utilizing indigenous management and staff with a thorough knowledge of local markets and product characteristics.

Casualty lines have comprised approximately 71% and 69% of TRH's net premiums written in the first nine months 2009 and 2008, respectively, while property lines comprised the balance. In addition, treaty reinsurance totaled approximately 97% of net premiums written in each of the first nine months of 2009 and 2008 with the balance representing facultative accounts. Business written by international branches has represented approximately 47% and 51% of net premiums written in the first nine months of 2009 and 2008, respectively. (See Operational Review for detailed period to period comparisons of such measures.)

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Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. and Subsidiaries MD&A - Continued
September 30, 2009

TRH's major sources of revenues are net premiums earned for reinsurance risks undertaken and income from investments. The great majority of TRH's investments are in fixed maturity securities held to maturity and available for sale. In general, premiums are received significantly in advance of related claims payments.

Secondary Public Offering of the Company's Common Stock by American International Group, Inc. ("AIG", and collectively with its subsidiaries, the "AIG Group")

On June 10, 2009, AIG and American Home Assurance Company ("AHAC"), a wholly owned subsidiary of AIG, consummated the secondary public offering (the "Offering") of 29.9 million issued and outstanding shares of the common stock of the Company owned by AIG and AHAC. TRH did not receive any proceeds from the Offering. As a result of the Offering, TRH is no longer considered a "controlled company" pursuant to the corporate governance listing standards of the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") and will no longer be able to avail itself of the exemptions from certain of the NYSE's corporate governance listing standards applicable to controlled companies (subject to the rules of the NYSE permitting a phase-in period for compliance with such corporate governance listing standards). According to the Form 13F filed on August 14, 2009 by AIG, as of June 30, 2009, the AIG Group had sole voting authority on 9.3 million shares of the Company's common stock, representing approximately 14.0% of the Company's outstanding shares as of September 30, 2009.

In connection with the Offering, TRH entered into a Master Separation Agreement (the "MSA") with AIG and AHAC on May 28, 2009. The MSA sets forth TRH's agreements with AIG and AHAC regarding the orderly separation of TRH from AIG, AHAC and their subsidiaries (the "Separation") and governs certain aspects of TRH's relationship with AIG, AHAC and their subsidiaries on a going forward basis, including their waiver of certain rights they may have under intercompany agreements and insurance agreements.

In connection with the Offering, TRH also entered into (a) a transition services agreement (the "TSA") with AIG, (b) a stockholders agreement (the "Stockholders Agreement") with AIG and AHAC and (c) a registration rights agreement (the "Registration Rights Agreement") with AIG and AHAC. The TSA sets forth TRH's agreements with AIG regarding the provision by AIG, AHAC and their subsidiaries of limited services to TRH for a specified period of time following the Separation. The Stockholders Agreement provides AIG and AHAC with certain information and consent rights and will subject AIG, AHAC, and their respective subsidiaries, affiliates, officers and directors to certain standstill provisions. Additionally, pursuant to the Stockholders Agreement, AIG, AHAC and their subsidiaries are subject to voting and transfer restrictions covering their shares of the Company's common stock. The Registration Rights Agreement provides AIG and AHAC with registration rights relating to any shares of the Company's common stock held by them. AIG and AHAC may require TRH to register under the Securities Act of 1933 all or a portion of these shares. The registration rights are subject to certain limitations, including TRH's right to temporarily suspend the registration of shares.

TRH is a party to numerous contracts, agreements, licenses, permits, authorizations and other arrangements (the "Applicable Arrangements and Authorizations") that contain provisions giving counterparties certain rights (including, in some cases, termination rights) in the event of a change in control of the Company or its subsidiaries.

In the second half of 2008, the AIG Group, which then owned approximately 59% of the Company's common stock, experienced an unprecedented strain on its liquidity. This strain led to a series of transactions between AIG and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (the "NY Fed") and the U.S. Department of the Treasury. The transactions that the AIG Group has entered into with the NY Fed and/or the Offering may be deemed to have constituted a change in control of TRH under a significant portion of TRH's reinsurance agreements.

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Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. and Subsidiaries MD&A - Continued
September 30, 2009

If a change in control occurs, cedants may be permitted to cancel contracts on a cut-off or run-off basis, and TRH may be required to provide collateral to secure premium and reserve balances or be required to cancel and commute the contract, subject to an agreement between the parties that may be settled in arbitration. If the contract is cancelled on a cut-off basis, TRH may be required to return unearned premiums, net of commissions.

Whether a ceding company would have cancellation rights in connection with the Offering depends upon the language of its agreement with TRH. Whether a ceding company exercises any cancellation rights it has would depend on, among other factors, such ceding company's views with respect to the prevailing market conditions, the pricing and availability of replacement reinsurance coverage and TRH's ratings. As of September 30, 2009, no cedants have notified TRH of their intention to exercise any cancellation rights they may have as a result of the Offering.

Based upon the facts and circumstances known to TRH as of the date of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, TRH does not believe that the exercise of rights, if any, accruing to counterparties as a result of the transactions that the AIG Group has entered into with the NY Fed, will have a material impact on TRH. If, however, these actions, individually or collectively, or the Offering are deemed a change in control under the Applicable Arrangements and Authorizations, TRH's business may be materially adversely affected. The exercise of cancellation rights following a change in control could materially impact TRH's financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.

     Consolidated Results

     The following table summarizes TRH's revenues, income (loss) before income
taxes and net income (loss) for the periods indicated:


                                            Three Months Ended                   Nine Months Ended
                                              September 30,                        September 30,
                                     --------------------------------    ---------------------------------
                                       2009         2008      Change       2009         2008       Change
                                     ---------    --------    -------    ---------    ---------    -------
                                                             (dollars in millions)

Revenues                             $ 1,137.9    $  979.8       16.1 %  $ 3,287.5    $ 3,182.4        3.3 %
Income (loss) before income taxes        196.1      (153.7 )        -        424.0         98.4      330.8
Net income (loss)                        153.3      (107.5 )        -        340.8         97.9      248.2

Revenues for the third quarter of 2009 increased compared to the same period in the prior year principally due to increased realized net capital gains (losses). Revenues for the first nine months of 2009 increased compared to the same prior year period principally due to lower realized net capital losses, partially offset by a decrease in net premiums earned. Realized net capital gains (losses) increased in the 2009 periods compared to the respective 2008 periods primarily due to lower other-than-temporary impairment ("OTTI") write-downs in the 2009 periods and realized net capital gains on sales and redemptions of securities in the 2009 periods compared to realized net capital losses on sales and redemptions of securities in the 2008 periods. The decrease in net premiums earned in the first nine months emanated from International - Europe operations and includes the impact of changes in foreign currency exchange rates compared to the U.S. dollar. In general, changes in net premiums earned between periods are influenced by prevailing market conditions, strategic decisions by TRH's management in recent periods and changes in foreign currency exchange rates.

The third quarter and first nine months of 2009 includes an estimated reduction of net catastrophe costs incurred of ($3.2) million and ($3.1) million, respectively, related to events occurring in prior years. The third quarter and first nine months of 2008 includes pre-tax net catastrophe costs of $146.1 million and $143.8 million, respectively, principally related to Hurricane Ike. Catastrophe costs include losses and related reinstatement premiums, the details of which can be found in Note 8 of Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements ("Note 8"). Reinstatement premiums may arise on both assumed and ceded business as a result of contractual provisions found in certain catastrophe excess-of-loss reinsurance contracts that require additional premium to be paid in the event of a loss to reinstate coverage for the remaining portion of the contract period. Net assumed (ceded) reinstatement premiums serve to increase (decrease) net premiums written and earned.

- 33 -


Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. and Subsidiaries MD&A - Continued
September 30, 2009

Income (loss) before income taxes and net income (loss) increased in the third quarter and first nine months of 2009 as compared to the same 2008 periods principally as a result of increased underwriting profit and increased realized net capital gains (losses). The increase in underwriting profit is primarily due to decreased catastrophe costs in the 2009 periods.

Underwriting profit (loss) is defined as net premiums earned less net losses and LAE incurred, net commissions and other underwriting expenses, plus
(minus) the increase (decrease) in deferred acquisition costs. (See Operational Review for further discussion.)

Market Conditions and General Trends

The market conditions in which TRH operates have historically been cyclical, experiencing cycles of price erosion followed by rate strengthening as a result of catastrophes or other significant losses that affect the overall capacity of the industry to provide coverage. For several years, the reinsurance market has been characterized by significant competition worldwide in most lines of business. Additionally, TRH is exposed to the operating cycles of primary insurers as the rates charged by, and the policy terms associated with, primary insurance agreements may affect the rates charged by, and the policy terms associated with, reinsurance agreements, particularly for pro rata reinsurance business.

Following improvements in the U.S. property marketplace after significant catastrophe losses in 2004 and 2005, additional capacity entered the reinsurance market in the form of new companies in Bermuda as well as the entrance of capacity from the capital markets via sidecars, catastrophe bonds and other derivative products. The entrance of the new capacity slowly eroded property insurance and reinsurance rates through the first half of 2008, although the marketplace remained generally favorable.

During the second half of 2008, however, the global credit and financial crisis began to significantly impact the insurance and reinsurance markets. First, many alternative reinsurance solutions (such as sidecars) were terminated or not renewed. Second, the impairment of insurance company balance sheets meant historical risk levels in many cases now represented a higher than desired percentage of surplus. Third, Hurricane Ike produced one of the highest insured losses from a natural peril event despite being only a category 2 storm. These changes produced an increase in demand for traditional reinsurance from insurance companies as they could not raise capital by issuing debt; did not want to issue equity at depressed stock prices; and lost the ability to access the capital markets for alternative reinsurance solutions. In addition, many reinsurers, affected by similar issues, could not maintain the levels of capacity that they had in recent years to take on risk.

Through the first nine months of 2009, trends in reinsurance rates have been inconsistent, with rates increasing, staying level or deteriorating depending on the line of business or region. Additionally, improvements in general economic conditions in recent months and the strengthening of primary insurers' balance sheets recently has had an overall moderating effect on reinsurance rates, as insurers have greater capacity to retain risk and increased access to capital market alternatives to reinsurance compared to late 2008.

Rates, terms and conditions on specialty casualty lines were uneven but overall have been satisfactory. Certain lines, like financial institution D&O in the U.S. and Europe, have shown significant rate increases, while others, like physicians' medical malpractice, have been flat or have shown occasional decreases. In other casualty lines, adverse industry loss experience has benefited rates, terms and conditions in offshore energy, marine and aviation lines, while rates in general liability, umbrella and auto liability lines have remained flat or deteriorated.

In property lines, some catastrophe-exposed regions, particularly in peak zones, have seen significant rate increases in the first half of 2009 which leveled off in the third quarter. The lack of significant catastrophe losses through the first nine months of 2009 will likely lead to some pressure on reinsurance rates going forward. However, overall this business should remain attractively priced through the January 1, 2010 renewal period. Non-catastrophe exposed property business has seen some pockets of rate firming in the U.S. and Europe, but other markets, like Asia and U.S. regional business, remain competitive.

- 34 -


Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. and Subsidiaries MD&A - Continued
September 30, 2009

The existence of favorable or improving market conditions in certain regions and lines of business does not necessarily translate into ultimate pricing adequacy for business written under such conditions. In addition, there can be no assurance that these favorable or improving conditions will occur or remain in effect in the future.

Starting in mid-2007 and continuing through 2009, the U.S. residential mortgage market and the global credit and financial markets have been experiencing serious disruptions, although recently certain improvements have been evident. TRH's operating results and financial condition have been adversely affected and may continue to be adversely affected by this disruption (see Disruption in Global Credit and Financial Markets).

Further information relating to items discussed in this Executive Overview may be found throughout MD&A.

Critical Accounting Estimates

This discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations is based on TRH's condensed consolidated financial statements which have been prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States ("GAAP"). The preparation of these financial statements requires the use of estimates and judgments that affect the reported amounts and related disclosures. TRH relies on historical experience and on various other assumptions that it believes to be reasonable, under the circumstances, to make judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results may differ materially from these estimates.

TRH believes its most critical accounting estimates are those with respect to loss reserves, fair value measurements of certain financial assets, OTTI of investments, premium revenues and deferred acquisition costs, as they require management's most significant exercise of judgment on both a quantitative and qualitative basis in the preparation of TRH's condensed consolidated financial statements and footnotes. The accounting estimates that result require the use of assumptions about certain matters that are highly uncertain at the time of estimation. To the extent actual experience differs from the assumptions used, TRH's results of operations and financial condition would be affected, possibly materially. A discussion of these most critical accounting estimates follows:

(a) Loss Reserves

Estimates of loss reserves take into account TRH's assumptions with respect to many factors that will affect ultimate loss costs but are not yet known. The ultimate process by which actual carried reserves are determined considers not only actuarial estimates but a myriad of other factors. Such factors, both internal and external, which contribute to the variability and unpredictability of loss costs, include trends relating to jury awards, social inflation, medical inflation, worldwide economic conditions, tort reforms, court interpretations of coverages, the regulatory environment, underlying policy pricing, terms and conditions and claims handling, among others. In addition, information gathered through underwriting and claims audits is also considered. To the extent that these assumptions underlying the loss reserve estimates are significantly incorrect, ultimate losses may be materially different from the estimates included in the financial statements and may materially and adversely affect results of operations and financial condition. The impact of those differences is reflected in the period they become known.

The reserving process is inherently difficult and subjective, especially in view of changes in the legal and tort environment which impact the development of loss reserves, and therefore quantitative techniques frequently have to be supplemented by subjective considerations and managerial judgment. In addition, trends that have affected development of liabilities in the past may not necessarily occur or affect development to the same degree in the future.

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Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. and Subsidiaries MD&A - Continued
September 30, 2009

While this process is difficult and subjective for ceding companies, the inherent uncertainties of estimating loss reserves are even greater for reinsurers, due primarily to the longer-term nature of much reinsurance business, the diversity of development patterns among different types of reinsurance treaties or facultative contracts, the necessary reliance on the ceding companies for information regarding reported claims and differing reserving practices among ceding companies, which are subject to change without notice. Nevertheless, data received from cedants is subjected to audits periodically by TRH claims and underwriting personnel, to help ensure that reported data is supported by proper documentation and conforms to contract terms, and is analyzed, as appropriate, by TRH underwriting and actuarial personnel. Such analysis often includes a detailed review of reported data to assess the underwriting results of reinsurance assumed and to explain any significant departures from expected performance. Over time, reported loss information is ultimately corroborated when such information eventually attains paid status.

Standard actuarial methodologies employed to estimate ultimate losses incorporate the inherent "lag" from the time claims are reported to the cedant to when the cedant reports the claims to the reinsurer. Certain actuarial methodologies may be more appropriate than others in instances where this "lag" may not be consistent from period to period. Consequently, additional actuarial judgment is employed in the selection of methodologies to best incorporate the potential impact of this situation.

Generally, for each line of business, significant actuarial judgments are made with respect to the following factors used in the loss reserve setting process:

• Loss trend factors are used to establish expected loss ratios ("ELRs") for subsequent accident years based on the projected loss ratios for prior accident years. Provisions for inflation and social inflation (e.g., awards by judges and juries which progressively increase in size at a rate exceeding that of general inflation) and trends in court interpretations of coverage are among the factors which must be considered.

• ELRs for the latest accident years generally reflect the ELRs from prior accident years adjusted for the loss trend (see Loss trend factors discussion), as well as the impact of rate level changes and other quantifiable factors. For certain longer tail lines of business that are typically lower frequency, higher severity classes, such as excess medical malpractice and D&O, ELRs are often utilized for the last several accident years.

• Loss development factors are used to arrive at the ultimate amount of losses incurred for each accident year based on reported loss information. These factors, which are initially calculated based on historical loss development patterns (i.e., the emergence of reported losses over time relative to the ultimate losses to be paid) are then adjusted for current trends.

During the loss settlement period, which can be many years in duration, additional facts regarding individual claims and trends usually become known. As these facts and trends emerge, it usually becomes necessary to refine and adjust the loss reserves upward or downward and even then the ultimate net liability may be materially different from the revised estimates. There is potential for significant variation in the development of loss reserves when actual costs differ from those costs implied by the use of the assumptions employed in the reserve setting process. This is particularly true for assumed reinsurance of long-tail casualty classes. Among the most critical assumptions are those made for ELRs and loss development factors.

- 36 -


Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. and Subsidiaries MD&A - Continued
September 30, 2009

The actuarial methods that TRH employs to determine the appropriate loss reserves for short tail lines of business are the same as those employed for longer-tail lines. However, the judgments that are made with regard to factors such as loss trends, ELRs and loss development factors for shorter-tail lines generally have much less of an effect on the determination of the loss reserve amount than when those same judgments are made regarding longer-tailed lines of business. In contrast to the longer-tailed lines of business, reported losses for the shorter-tailed classes, such as the property lines of business (e.g., fire and homeowners multiple peril) and certain marine and energy classes, generally reach the ultimate level of incurred losses in a relatively short period of time. Rather than having to rely on assumptions regarding ELRs and loss development factors for many accident years for a given line, these assumptions are generally only relevant for the most recent accident year or two. Therefore, these assumptions tend to be less critical and the reserves calculated pursuant to these assumptions are subject to less variability for the shorter-tailed lines of business.

The characteristics of each line of business are considered in the reserving process. TRH's major lines of business are discussed below:

• Other Liability: The key components of the other liability line of business are excess casualty, D&O and E&O.

º Excess Casualty: The vast majority of this class consists of domestic . . .

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