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NWLI > SEC Filings for NWLI > Form 10-Q on 9-Nov-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for NATIONAL WESTERN LIFE INSURANCE CO


9-Nov-2009

Quarterly Report


ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a "safe harbor" for forward-looking statements. Certain information contained herein or in other written or oral statements made by or on behalf of National Western Life Insurance Company ("Company") or its subsidiaries is or may be viewed as forward-looking. Although the Company has taken appropriate care in developing any such information, forward-looking information involves risks and uncertainties that could significantly impact actual results. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, matters described in the Company's SEC filings such as exposure to market risks, anticipated cash flows or operating performance, future capital needs, and statutory or regulatory related issues. However, the Company, as a matter of policy, does not make any specific projections as to future earnings, nor does it endorse any projections regarding future performance that may be made by others. Whether or not actual results differ materially from forward-looking statements may depend on numerous foreseeable and unforeseeable events or developments. Also, the Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future developments, or otherwise.

Management's discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations ("MD&A") of National Western Life Insurance Company for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2009 follows. This discussion should be read in conjunction with the Company's condensed consolidated financial statements and related notes beginning on page 3 of this report.

Overview

The Company provides life insurance products on a global basis for the savings and protection needs of policyholders and annuity contracts for the asset accumulation and retirement needs of contractholders both domestically and internationally. The Company accepts funds from policyholders or contractholders and establishes a liability representing future obligations to pay the policy or contractholders and their beneficiaries. To ensure the Company will be able to pay these future commitments, the funds received as premium payments and deposits are invested in high quality investments, primarily fixed income securities.

Due to the business of accepting funds to pay future obligations in later years, the underlying economics and relevant factors affecting the life insurance industry include the following:

Ÿ level of premium revenues collected

††† persistency of policies and contracts

Ÿ returns on investments

††† investment credit quality

Ÿ levels of policy benefits and costs to acquire business

††† effect of interest rate changes on revenues and investments including asset and liability matching

Ÿ adequate levels of capital and surplus

The Company monitors these factors continually as key business indicators. The discussion that follows in this Item includes these indicators and presents information useful to an overall understanding of the Company's business performance in 2009, incorporating required disclosures in accordance with the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Insurance Operations - Domestic

The Company is currently licensed to do business in all states except for New York. Products marketed are annuities, universal life insurance, fixed-indexed annuities and fixed-indexed universal life, and traditional life insurance, which include both term and whole life products. The Company's domestic sales have historically been more heavily weighted toward annuity products, which include single and flexible premium deferred annuities, single premium immediate annuities, and fixed-indexed annuities. Most of these annuities can be sold as tax qualified or nonqualified products. At September 30, 2009, the Company maintained approximately 119,000 annuity policies in force.


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The Company markets and distributes its domestic products primarily through independent national marketing organizations ("NMOs"). These NMOs assist the Company in recruiting, contracting, and managing independent agents. The Company currently has approximately 6,500 independent agents contracted. Roughly 29% of these contracted agents have submitted policy applications to the Company in the past twelve months.

Insurance Operations - International

The Company's international operations focus on foreign nationals in upper socioeconomic classes. Insurance products are issued primarily to residents of countries in Central and South America, the Caribbean, Eastern Europe, Asia and the Pacific Rim. Issuing policies to residents of countries in these different regions provides diversification that helps to minimize large fluctuations that could arise due to various economic, political, and competitive pressures that may occur from one country to another. Products issued to international residents are almost entirely universal life and traditional life insurance products. However, certain annuity and investment contracts are also available. At September 30, 2009, the Company had approximately 71,900 international life insurance policies in force representing approximately $15.8 billion in face amount of coverage.

International applications are submitted by independent contractor consultants and broker-agents. The Company has approximately 4,200 independent international consultants and brokers currently contracted, 43% of which have submitted policy applications to the Company in the past twelve months.

There are some inherent risks of accepting international applications which are not present within the domestic market that are reduced substantially by the Company in several ways. As previously described, the Company accepts applications from foreign nationals in upper socioeconomic classes who have substantial financial resources. This targeted customer base coupled with the Company's conservative underwriting practices have historically resulted in claims experience, due to natural causes, similar to that in the United States. The Company minimizes exposure to foreign currency risks by requiring payment of premiums, claims and other benefits almost entirely in United States dollars. The Company's over forty years of experience with the international products and its longstanding independent consultant and broker-agents relationships further serve to minimize risks.

SALES

Life Insurance

The following table sets forth information regarding the Company's life insurance sales activity as measured by annualized first year premiums. While the figures shown below are in accordance with industry practice and represent the amount of new business sold during the periods indicated, they are considered a non-GAAP financial measure. The Company believes sales are a measure of distribution productivity and are a leading indicator of future revenue trends. However, revenues are driven by sales in prior periods as well as in the current period and therefore, a reconciliation of sales to revenues is not meaningful or determinable.

                                      September 30,              September 30,
                                   Three Months Ended          Nine Months Ended
                                   2009           2008         2009          2008
                                                   (In thousands)

           International:
           Universal life        $   3,490         2,346         5,316        5,988
           Traditional life            759         1,404         3,051        4,137
           Equity-indexed life       3,259         5,396        12,061       16,829
                                     7,508         9,146        20,428       26,954
           Domestic:
           Universal life              170         2,848           604        5,780
           Traditional life             39            45           112          116
           Equity-indexed life         383           833         1,910        4,057
                                       592         3,726         2,626        9,953

           Totals                $   8,100        12,872        23,054       36,907


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Life insurance sales as measured by annualized first year premiums declined 37% in the third quarter of 2009 as compared to the third quarter of 2008 and declined by the same percentage for the first nine months of 2009 compared to the same period in 2008. Both of the Company's life insurance lines of business, international and domestic, posted decreases over the comparable results in 2008 with international sales 18% and 24% lower for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2009, respectively, and domestic life sales down 84% and 74% for the same three and nine month periods.

Management has placed considerable emphasis on building domestic life insurance sales over the past several years as a strategic focus for future growth. This focus was partially in response to comments from outside rating agencies who expressed a preference for a greater proportion of overall Company earnings to derive from the life insurance line of business. The Company's domestic operations have historically been more heavily skewed toward annuity sales than life insurance sales. The Company spent the greater part of 2003 and 2004 revamping its domestic life operations by changing the way it contracts distribution for life business, eliminating products and distribution that had not contributed significantly to earnings, and creating new and competitive products. A single premium universal life ("SPUL") product was launched at the end of 2003 beginning a diversification of the Company's product portfolio away from smaller dollar face amount policies. The Company released its first fixed equity-indexed universal life ("EIUL") product for its domestic markets at the end of 2005 and this product has subsequently accounted annually for 40% to 70% of domestic life insurance sales.

The Company developed hybrids of the initial EIUL and SPUL products, combining features, and discontinued the marketing of smaller premium and volume life insurance policies. As a result, the Company attracted new independent distributors with access to customers purchasing larger face amounts of insurance per policy. During the latter part of 2008, the Company's internal checking and monitoring procedures detected potential instances of rebating in certain domestic geographic markets and instituted commission caps and other preventive procedures to discourage this practice. Although not illegal in these markets, the practice of rebating is particularly prone to large face amount policies not renewing premium payments beyond the initial year of the policy. The Company's actions discouraged sales of larger face amounts resulting in lower sales levels and amounts of insurance per policy as shown below.

                                               Average New Policy Face Amount
                                               Domestic            International

     Year ended December 31, 2004                   101,700               234,500
     Year ended December 31, 2005                   137,900               245,900
     Year ended December 31, 2006                   315,800               254,700
     Year ended December 31, 2007                   416,800               251,000
     Year ended December 31, 2008                   455,200               272,000
     Nine months ended September 30, 2009           191,900               307,000

In addition to the action taken above by the Company, the U.S. economic climate has had a significant impact upon life insurance sales industry wide. The financial burdens associated with the current climate evidenced by loss of employment, higher debt levels, a reduction in wealth through home and financial holdings declines in value, and a higher propensity to save versus spending have resulted in dramatically reduced purchases of life insurance in 2009.

The Company's international life business consists of applications submitted from residents in various regions outside of the United States, the volume of which typically varies based upon changes in the socioeconomic climates of these regions. Historically, the Company has experienced a simultaneous combination of rising and declining sales from residents in various countries; however, the appeal of the Company's dollar-denominated life insurance products overcomes many of the local and national difficulties. In the "financial crisis" economic climate of the past 18 to 24 months, individuals in countries outside of the United States have become increasingly leery of the U.S. economy and the stability of financial institutions and markets. These concerns have manifested in the past several quarters via reduced international sales.

Applications submitted from residents of Latin America and the Pacific Rim perennially have comprised the majority of the Company's international life insurance sales. Over the past few years, new sales efforts were directed toward the sale of a traditional endowment form of life insurance product for residents of Eastern European and the Commonwealth of Independent States (former Soviet Union). While these territories initially demonstrated solid growth potential recent activity has been more muted. As noted previously, the Company's international sales by geographic market tend to fluctuate with the socio and economic climates in these regions. The Company's mix of international sales by geographic region is as follows.


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                                              Nine Months Ended September 30,
                                               2009                     2008
    Percentage of International Sales:
    Latin America                                    74.5 %                   70.3 %
    Pacific Rim                                      18.7                     17.9
    Eastern Europe                                    6.8                     11.8

    Totals                                          100.0 %                  100.0 %

Year-to-date, the Company has recorded sales to residents outside of the United States in over thirty different countries with Brazil (22%), Taiwan (18%), and Colombia (10%) making up the largest markets.

The table below sets forth information regarding the Company's life insurance in force for each date presented.

                                   Insurance In Force as of September 30,
                                       2009                      2008
                                              ($ in thousands)
        Universal life:
        Number of policies                   67,220                    71,170
        Face amounts            $         7,621,240                 7,981,090

        Traditional life:
        Number of policies                   47,630                    49,940
        Face amounts            $         2,280,650                 2,018,640

        Fixed-indexed life:
        Number of policies                   27,690                    28,040
        Face amounts            $         6,425,170                 6,449,450

        Rider face amounts      $         2,123,380                 2,187,710

        Total life insurance:
        Number of policies                  142,540                   149,150
        Face amounts            $        18,450,440                18,636,890

Annuities

The following table sets forth information regarding the Company's annuity sales
activity as measured by single and annualized first year premiums. Similar to
life insurance sales, these figures are considered a non-GAAP financial measure
but are shown in accordance with industry practice and depict the Company's
sales productivity.

                                  Three Months Ended September 30,             Nine Months Ended September 30,
                                     2009                   2008                 2009                   2008
                                                                 (In thousands)

Fixed-indexed annuities        $         134,166                51,069              357,505                208,056
Other deferred annuities                  96,961                36,760              202,034                 81,316
Immediate annuities                        6,485                 1,633               15,781                  4,239

Totals                         $         237,612                89,462              575,320                293,611


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Annuity sales for the third quarter of 2009 were 166% higher than the comparable period in 2008 and increased 96% for the nine months ended September 30, 2009 versus the same period in 2008. Since 2003, when the Company achieved nearly $1.2 billion in sales, annuity new business had been trending lower due to a combination of declining interest rates, investors returning to alternative investment vehicles, rating agency concerns regarding the percentage of new business derived from the annuity line of business, and the Company managing its targeted levels of risk and statutory capital and surplus. In addition, during a large portion of the past several years the interest rate yield curve has either been inverted (shorter term rates higher than longer term rates) or relatively flat. In such an interest rate environment, consumers tend toward short term investment vehicles such as bank certificates of deposits rather than longer term choices which include fixed rate annuities.

The recessionary contraction and financial market crisis that began in the latter half of 2007 impacted many annuity carriers in the industry. Losses from investment impairments as well as equity exposure through variable annuity product offerings crippled the capital position of numerous insurers and limited their ability to write new business. The Company's substantial capital position achieved through ongoing operating profitability and limited investment loss exposure positioned it to write additional levels of annuity new business. The sales increase in the first nine months of 2009 over the first nine months of 2008 is indicative of the Company's enhanced competitive position in the marketplace. In addition, during the second quarter of 2009 the Company received a rating increase from A.M. Best to "A" (Excellent) further advancing the attractiveness of the Company's product offerings. Management has performed analyses of the capital strain associated with incrementally higher levels of annuity new business and determined that the Company's capital position is more than sufficient to handle increased sales activity.

The Company's mix of annuity sales tends to shift with interest rate levels and the relative performance of the equity market. Over the past several years, sales of fixed-indexed products have consistently accounted for more than one-half of all annuity sales and were 62% of annuity activity during the first nine months of 2009. For all fixed-indexed products, the Company purchases over the counter options to hedge the equity return feature. The options are purchased relative to the issuance of the annuity contracts in such a manner to minimize timing risk. Generally, the index return during the indexing period (if the underlying index increases) becomes a component in a formula (set forth in the annuity), the result of which is credited as interest to contract holders electing the index formula crediting method at the beginning of the indexing period. The formula result can never be less than zero with these products. The Company does not deliberately mismatch or under hedge for the equity feature of the products. Fixed-indexed products also provide the contractholder the alternative to elect a fixed interest rate crediting option. With the performance of the equity markets over the past two years, an increasing percentage of fixed-indexed contractholders have elected this crediting option.

The level of annuity sales volume the past several years has required a greater level of asset/liability analysis. The Company monitors its asset/liability matching within the self-constraints of desired capital levels and risk tolerance. Despite the amounts of new business, the Company's capital level remains substantially above industry averages and regulator targets.

The following table sets forth information regarding annuities in force for each date presented.

                                     Annuities In Force as of September 30,
                                         2009                      2008
                                                ($ in thousands)

       Fixed-indexed annuities
       Number of policies                      35,540                    32,910
       GAAP annuity reserves      $         2,226,450                 1,987,660

       Other deferred annuities
       Number of policies                      67,940                    70,760
       GAAP annuity reserves      $         2,343,040                 2,353,300

       Immediate annuities
       Number of policies                      15,510                    14,200
       GAAP annuity reserves      $           378,170                   302,520

       Total annuities
       Number of policies                     118,990                   117,870
       GAAP annuity reserves      $         4,947,660                 4,643,480


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Critical Accounting Policies

Accounting policies discussed below are those considered critical to an understanding of the Company's financial statements.

Impairment of Investment Securities. The Company's accounting policy requires that a decline in the value of a security below its amortized cost basis be evaluated to determine if the decline is other-than-temporary. The primary factors considered in evaluating whether a decline in value for fixed income and equity securities is other-than-temporary include: (a) the length of time and the extent to which the fair value has been less than cost, (b) the reasons for the decline in value (credit event, interest rate related, credit spread widening), (c) the overall financial condition as well as the near-term prospects of the issuer, (d) whether the debtor is current on contractually obligated principal and interest payments, and (e) whether the Company has the intent to sell, or if it is more likely than not that it will be required to sell, the investment prior to a market price recovery. In addition, certain securitized financial assets with contractual cash flows are evaluated periodically by the Company to update the estimated cash flows over the life of the security. If the Company determines that the fair value of the securitized financial asset is less than its carrying amount and there has been a decrease in the present value of the estimated cash flows since the previous purchase or prior impairment, then an other-than-temporary impairment charge is recognized. The Company would recognize impairment of securities due to non credit related events in earnings only if it had the intent to sell or believes that is more likely than not that it will be required to sell the securities prior to market price recovery or maturity. When a security is deemed to be impaired, the portion of the impairment that is deemed to be credit is charged to the income statement and the cost basis of the investment is reduced. The portion of the impairment that is deemed to be non-credit is charged to other comprehensive income (loss). Once an impairment charge has been recorded, the fair value of the impaired investment becomes its new cost basis and the Company continues to review the other-than-temporarily impaired security for appropriate valuation on an ongoing basis. However, the new cost basis of an impaired security is not adjusted for subsequent increases in estimated fair value.

Deferred Acquisition Costs ("DAC"). The Company is required to defer certain policy acquisition costs and amortize them over future periods. These costs include commissions and certain other expenses that vary with and are primarily associated with acquiring new business. The deferred costs are recorded as an asset commonly referred to as deferred policy acquisition costs. The DAC asset balance is subsequently charged to income over the lives of the underlying contracts in relation to the anticipated emergence of revenue or profits. Actual revenue or profits can vary from Company estimates resulting in increases or decreases in the rate of amortization. The Company does regular evaluations to determine if actual experience or other evidence suggests that earlier estimates should be revised. Assumptions considered significant include surrender and lapse rates, mortality, expense levels, investment performance, and estimated interest spread. Should actual experience dictate that the Company change assumptions regarding the emergence of future revenues or profits (commonly referred to as "unlocking"), the Company would record a charge or credit to bring its DAC balance to the level it would have been if using the new assumptions from the inception date of each policy.

DAC is also subject to periodic recoverability and loss recognition testing. These tests ensure that the present value of future contract-related cash flows will support the capitalized DAC balance to be amortized in the future. The present value of these cash flows, less the benefit reserve, is compared with the unamortized DAC balance and if the DAC balance is greater, the deficiency is charged to expense as a component of amortization and the asset balance is reduced to the recoverable amount.

Deferred Sales Inducements. Costs related to sales inducements offered on sales to new customers, principally on investment type contracts and primarily in the form of additional credits to the customer's account value or enhancements to interest credited for a specified period, which are beyond amounts currently being credited to existing contracts, are deferred and recorded as other assets. All other sales inducements are expensed as incurred and included in interest credited to contract holders' funds. Deferred sales inducements are amortized to income using the same methodology and assumptions as DAC, and are included in interest credited to contract holders' funds. Deferred sales inducements are periodically reviewed for recoverability.


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Future Policy Benefits. Because of the long-term nature of insurance contracts, the Company is liable for policy benefit payments many years into the future. The liability for future policy benefits represents estimates of the present value of the Company's expected benefit payments, net of the related present value of future net premium collections. For traditional life insurance contracts, this is determined by standard actuarial procedures, using assumptions as to mortality (life expectancy), morbidity (health expectancy), persistency, and interest rates, which are based on the Company's experience with similar products. The assumptions used are those considered to be . . .

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