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| TSCO > SEC Filings for TSCO > Form 10-Q on 2-Nov-2009 | All Recent SEC Filings |
2-Nov-2009
Quarterly Report
General
The following discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with our
Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 27, 2008. The
following discussion and analysis also contains certain historical and
forward-looking information. The forward-looking statements included herein are
made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation
Reform Act of 1995 (the "Act"). All statements, other than statements of
historical facts, which address activities, events or developments that we
expect or anticipate will or may occur in the future, including such things as
estimated results of operations in future periods, future capital expenditures
(including their amount and nature), business strategy, expansion and growth of
our business operations and other such matters are forward-looking statements.
These forward-looking statements may be affected by certain risks and
uncertainties, any one, or a combination of which could materially affect the
results of our operations. To take advantage of the safe harbor provided by the
Act, we are identifying certain factors that could cause actual results to
differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statements,
whether oral or written.
Our business is highly seasonal. Historically, our sales and profits have been
the highest in the second and fourth fiscal quarters of each year due to the
sale of seasonal products. Unseasonable weather, excessive precipitation,
drought, and early or late frosts may also affect our sales. We believe,
however, that the impact of severe weather conditions is somewhat mitigated by
the geographic dispersion of our stores.
We experience our highest inventory and accounts payable balances during our
first fiscal quarter each year for purchases of seasonal products in
anticipation of the spring selling season and again during our third fiscal
quarter in anticipation of the winter selling season.
As with any business, many aspects of our operations are subject to influences
outside our control. These factors include general economic conditions affecting
consumer spending, the timing and acceptance of new products in the stores, the
mix of goods sold, purchase price volatility (including inflationary and
deflationary pressures), the ability to increase sales at existing stores, the
ability to manage growth and identify suitable locations and negotiate favorable
lease agreements on new and relocated stores, the availability of favorable
credit sources, capital market conditions in general, failure to open new stores
in the manner currently contemplated, the impact of new stores on our business,
competition, weather conditions, the seasonal nature of our business, effective
merchandising initiatives and marketing emphasis, the ability to retain vendors,
reliance on foreign suppliers, the ability to attract, train and retain
qualified employees, product liability and other claims, potential legal
proceedings, management of our information systems, effective tax rate changes
and results of examination by taxing authorities, and the ability to maintain an
effective system of internal control over financial reporting. We discuss in
greater detail risk factors relating to our business in Item 1A of our Annual
Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 27, 2008. Forward-looking
statements are based on our knowledge of our business and the environment in
which we operate, but because of the factors listed above or other factors,
actual results could differ materially from those reflected by any
forward-looking statements. Consequently, all of the forward-looking statements
made are qualified by these cautionary statements and there can be no assurance
that the actual results or developments anticipated will be realized or, even if
substantially realized, that they will have the expected consequences to or
effects on our business and operations. Readers are cautioned not to place undue
reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date
hereof. We undertake no obligation to release publicly any revisions to these
forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date
hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Results of Operations
Fiscal Three Months (Third Quarter) and Nine Months Ended September 26, 2009 and
September 27, 2008
Net sales increased 1.9% to $747.7 million for the third quarter of 2009 from
$733.9 million for the third quarter of 2008. Net sales increased 6.2% to
$2.34 billion for the first nine months of fiscal 2009 from $2.21 billion for
the first nine months of fiscal 2008. The net sales increase for the third
quarter resulted primarily from the addition of new stores partially offset by a
same-store sales decline of 5.1%. The net sales increase for the first nine
months of fiscal 2009 was primarily the result of new store openings partially
offset by a 1.7% decrease in same-store sales. Our third quarter same-store
sales decline resulted primarily from softness in sales of seasonal big-ticket
items and difficult comparisons due to strong sales of hurricane-related
merchandise and seasonal heating products in the prior year's quarter. The
decline was partially offset by continued strong sales in core consumable
categories, including animal and pet-related products, as well as repair and
replacement parts.
We opened 17 new stores and relocated one store during the third quarter of 2009
compared to 20 new store openings and no relocations or closures during the
prior year's third quarter. During the first nine months of 2009, we opened 58
new stores, relocated two stores and closed one store compared to 70 new store
openings and no relocations or closures during the first nine months of 2008. We
operated 912 stores at September 26, 2009 compared to 834 stores at
September 27, 2008.
The following chart indicates the average percentage of sales represented by
each of our major product categories during the third quarter and first nine
months of fiscal 2009 and 2008:
Three months ended Nine months ended
September 26, September 27, September 26, September 27,
2009 2008 2009 2008
Product Category:
Livestock and Pet 41 % 37 % 40 % 37 %
Seasonal Products 21 23 23 25
Hardware and Tools 15 16 14 14
Clothing and Footwear 7 7 7 7
Truck, Trailer and Towing 9 9 9 9
Agricultural 7 8 7 8
Total 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 %
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Gross margin for the third quarter and the first nine months of fiscal 2009 was
$246.0 million and $749.3 million, respectively. This represents an increase of
12.8% and 12.3%, respectively, over the comparable periods of the prior year.
Gross margin, as a percent of sales, was 32.9% for the third quarter of fiscal
2009 compared to 29.8% for the comparable period in fiscal 2008. The improvement
in gross margin rate for the quarter resulted from a decrease in the LIFO
provision, reduced transportation costs and effective markdown management.
The decrease in the LIFO charge of $8.7 million for the quarter is attributed to
deflation or lower inflation in certain product categories and changes in
product mix. The LIFO provision is dependent upon a combination of expected
year-end inventory levels and mix, as well as the expected year-end inflation
rate for the various product categories. We continue to project a LIFO charge
for the full year, despite various cost reductions in certain product
categories, because we anticipate an increase in certain key products with
higher inflation indices. The increase is driven by our store base expansion and
a commitment to better in-stocks on key items. As a result, we are adding
merchandise that has higher inflation indices than the existing Company
averages, and this creates a LIFO provision even as inflation moderates and
inventory per store declines.
The reduced transportation costs resulted primarily from lower fuel costs and to
a lesser extent improved transportation efficiencies. The improved markdown
management results from our continued inventory reduction initiative through
efforts to clear seasonal product and certain merchandise that will not be
carried into future periods. For the first nine months of fiscal 2009, the gross
margin rate was 32.0% compared to 30.2% for the first nine months of 2008,
largely due to the same reasons.
Costs incurred at our distribution centers for receiving, warehousing and
preparing product for delivery are expensed as incurred and are included in
selling, general and administrative expenses in the Consolidated Statements of
Income. Because the Company does not include these costs in cost of sales, the
Company's gross margin may not be comparable to other retailers that include
these costs in the calculation of gross margin. Distribution center costs were
approximately $14.8 million and $13.4 million for the third quarter of fiscal
2009 and 2008, respectively, and they were approximately $43.7 million and
$39.6 million for the first nine months of fiscal 2009 and 2008, respectively.
Selling, general and administrative ("SG&A") expenses increased 180 basis points
to 25.9% of sales in the third quarter of fiscal 2009 from 24.1% of sales in the
third quarter of fiscal 2008. This third quarter increase as a percent of sales
was primarily attributable to the deleveraging related to the same-store sales
decrease and, to a lesser extent, an increase in our sales tax audit expense as
several states have initiated sales tax audits and an increase in incentive
compensation expense related to the Company's favorable results in the current
year. SG&A expenses for the first nine months of fiscal 2009 increased 60 basis
points to 24.5% of sales from 23.9% in the first nine months of fiscal 2008,
primarily due to less sales leverage and increased incentive compensation
expense.
Depreciation and amortization expense increased 10 basis points to 2.2% of sales
in the third quarter of fiscal 2009 from 2.1% in the third quarter of fiscal
2008. As a percent of sales, depreciation and amortization expense increased 10
basis points to 2.1% in the first nine months of fiscal 2009 from 2.0% in the
first nine months of fiscal 2008. The increases were related directly to new
store growth and capital costs for infrastructure and technology.
Interest expense increased 10 basis points to 0.1% of sales in the third quarter
of 2009 from 0.0% in the third quarter of fiscal 2008. For the first nine months
of fiscal 2009, interest expense decreased to $1.1 million compared to
$1.7 million for the comparable period in fiscal 2008. The year-to-date
improvement is primarily due to a lower average outstanding balance on our
credit facility, and a lower weighted-average interest rate.
Our effective income tax rate decreased to 37.8% in the third quarter and first
nine months of fiscal 2009 compared with 39.3% and 38.8% for the third quarter
and the first nine months of fiscal 2008, respectively, largely due to certain
federal tax credits and the estimated favorable impact of other permanent tax
differences on the revised full year taxable income.
As a result of the foregoing factors, net income for the third quarter of fiscal
2009 increased 38.5% to $22.0 million compared to $15.9 million in the third
quarter of fiscal 2008. Net income for the first nine months of fiscal 2009
increased 34.9% to $77.2 million from $57.2 million in the first nine months of
the prior year. Net income, as a percent of sales, increased 70 basis points to
2.9% for the third quarter of fiscal 2009 compared to 2.2% in the third quarter
of fiscal 2008. For the first nine months of fiscal 2009, net income as a
percent of sales increased 70 basis points to 3.3%, compared to 2.6% for the
first nine months of fiscal 2008. Net income per diluted share for the third
quarter of fiscal 2009 increased to $0.60 from $0.43 and, for the first nine
months of fiscal 2009, increased to $2.11 from $1.52. Outstanding shares were
reduced as a result of repurchases under our share repurchase program.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
In addition to normal operating expenses, our primary ongoing cash requirements
are for store expansion and remodeling programs, including inventory purchases
and technology upgrades. Our primary ongoing sources of liquidity are funds
provided from operations, commitments available under our revolving credit
agreement and normal trade credit.
At September 26, 2009, we had working capital of $374.0 million, which was a $90.8 million increase and an $86.5 million increase compared to December 27, 2008 and September 27, 2008, respectively. The shifts in working capital were primarily attributable to changes in the following components of current assets and current liabilities (in millions):
September 26, December 27, September 27,
2009 2008 Variance 2008 Variance
Current assets:
Cash and cash
equivalents $ 94.9 $ 37.0 $ 57.9 $ 16.4 $ 78.5
Inventories 704.0 603.4 100.6 703.1 0.9
Prepaid expenses and
other current assets 40.4 41.9 (1.5 ) 40.7 (0.3 )
Deferred income taxes 11.4 1.7 9.7 2.9 8.5
850.7 684.0 166.7 763.1 87.6
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable 356.8 286.8 70.0 366.1 (9.3 )
Other accrued expenses 119.5 113.5 6.0 108.0 11.5
Current portion of
capital lease obligation 0.4 0.5 (0.1 ) 0.5 (0.1 )
Income tax currently
payable - - - 1.0 (1.0 )
476.7 400.8 75.9 475.6 1.1
Working capital $ 374.0 $ 283.2 $ 90.8 $ 287.5 $ 86.5
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The increase in inventories since year-end resulted primarily from normal
seasonal purchases as well as the purchase of additional inventory for new
stores. These increases were offset by a decrease in average inventory per store
due to planned initiatives to reduce inventory levels coupled with more
aggressive clearance efforts. The increase in accounts payable resulted from the
increase in inventories.
Operations provided net cash of $111.0 million and $143.9 million in the first
nine months of fiscal 2009 and fiscal 2008, respectively. The $32.9 million
decrease in net cash provided in 2009 over 2008 is primarily due to changes in
the following operating activities (in millions):
Nine months ended
September 26, September 27,
2009 2008 Variance
Net income $ 77.2 $ 57.2 $ 20.0
Depreciation and amortization 48.8 44.7 4.1
Inventories and accounts payable (30.6 ) 40.7 (71.3 )
Stock compensation expense 9.2 9.2 -
Prepaid expenses and other current assets 3.0 1.7 1.3
Other accrued expenses 6.0 (7.6 ) 13.6
Income taxes currently payable (1.6 ) (4.1 ) 2.5
Other, net (1.0 ) 2.1 (3.1 )
Net cash provided by operations $ 111.0 $ 143.9 $ (32.9 )
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Cash flows from operating activities continue to provide the primary source of
our liquidity. The decrease in net cash provided by operations in the first nine
months of fiscal 2009 compared with the first nine months of fiscal 2008 was
primarily due to changes in inventory levels and timing of payments. As a result
of the same store sales decrease in the third quarter the inventory turns
declined from the prior year period. Slower inventory turns combined with more
timely payments on accounts payable to capture payment discounts have resulted
in a decline in financed inventory from 48.4% to 44.9%, resulting in a lower
accounts payable increase relative to inventory. (The calculated financed
inventory assumes FIFO inventory, excludes inventory in-transit, and includes
gross book overdrafts in accounts payable.) This decrease was partially offset
by the strong net income performance in 2009 and an increase in accrued expenses
related to incentive compensation.
Investing activities used $49.4 million and $68.6 million in the first nine
months of fiscal 2009 and fiscal 2008, respectively. The majority of this cash
requirement relates to our capital expenditures.
Capital expenditures for the first nine months of fiscal 2009 and fiscal 2008 were as follows (in millions):
Nine months ended
September 26, September 27,
2009 2008
New/relocated stores and stores not yet opened $ 26.5 $ 30.3
Information technology 11.4 9.9
Existing stores 10.0 7.6
Distribution center capacity and improvements 1.3 12.4
Other 0.2 0.1
Existing store properties acquired from lessor - 8.5
$ 49.4 $ 68.8
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The above table reflects 58 new stores in the first nine months of fiscal 2009,
compared to 70 new stores during the first nine months of fiscal 2008.
Financing activities used $3.8 million and $72.1 million in the first nine
months of fiscal 2009 and fiscal 2008, respectively. This decrease in net cash
used is largely due to more repayments than borrowings under the Senior Credit
Facility in the prior year and less repurchases of common stock under our share
repurchase program.
We are party to a Senior Credit Facility with Bank of America, N.A., as agent
for a lender group, which provides for borrowings up to $350 million (with
sublimits of $75 million and $20 million for letters of credit and swingline
loans, respectively). The Credit Agreement has an Increase Option for
$150 million (subject to additional lender group commitments). We had
approximately $323.8 million available for future borrowings, net of outstanding
letters of credit, under our Credit Agreement at September 26, 2009.
The Credit Agreement is unsecured and matures in February 2012, with proceeds
expected to be used for working capital, capital expenditures and share
repurchases. Borrowings bear interest at either the bank's base rate or LIBOR
plus an additional amount ranging from 0.35% to 0.90% per annum, adjusted
quarterly based on our performance (0.50% at September 26, 2009 and
September 27, 2008). We are also required to pay a commitment fee ranging from
0.06% to 0.18% per annum for unused capacity (0.10% at September 26, 2009 and
September 27, 2008). The agreement requires quarterly compliance with respect to
fixed charge coverage and leverage ratios.
The Credit Agreement requires quarterly compliance with respect to two material
covenants: a fixed charge coverage ratio and a leverage ratio. The fixed charge
coverage ratio principally compares earnings before interest, taxes,
depreciation, amortization, stock compensation and rent expense ("consolidated
EBITDAR") to the sum of interest paid and rental expense (excluding
straight-line rent). The leverage ratio principally compares total debt plus
rental expense (excluding straight-line rent) multiplied by a factor of six to
consolidated EBITDAR. The Credit Agreement also contains certain other
restrictions regarding additional indebtedness, capital expenditures, business
operations, guarantees, investments, mergers, consolidations and sales of
assets, transactions with subsidiaries or affiliates, and liens. We were in
compliance with all covenants at September 26, 2009.
We believe that our existing cash balances, expected cash flow from future
operations, borrowings available under our Credit Agreement, and normal trade
credit will be sufficient to fund our operations and capital expenditure needs,
including store openings and renovations, over the next several years.
Share Repurchase Program
We have a Board-approved share repurchase program which provides for repurchase
of up to $400 million of common stock, exclusive of any fees, commissions, or
other expenses related to such repurchases, through December 2011. The
repurchases may be made from time to time on the open market or in privately
negotiated transactions. The timing and amount of any shares repurchased under
the program will depend on a variety of factors, including price, corporate and
regulatory requirements, capital availability, and other market conditions.
Repurchased shares will be held in treasury. The program may be limited or
terminated at any time without prior notice.
We repurchased 19,407 and 464,812 shares under the share repurchase program
during the third quarter of 2009 and 2008, respectively. The total cost of the
share repurchases was $0.9 million and $14.7 million during the third quarter of
2009 and 2008, respectively. We repurchased 321,030 and 1,280,205 shares under
the share repurchase program during the first nine months of 2009 and 2008,
respectively. The total cost of the share repurchases was $10.8 million and
$42.5 million during the first nine months of 2009 and 2008, respectively. As of
September 26, 2009, we had remaining authorization under the share repurchase
program of $185.5 million exclusive of any fees, commissions, or other expenses.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
Our off-balance sheet arrangements are limited to operating leases and
outstanding letters of credit. Leasing buildings and equipment for retail stores
and offices rather than acquiring these significant assets allows us to utilize
financial capital to operate the business rather than maintain assets. Letters
of credit allow us to purchase inventory in a timely manner.
Significant Contractual Obligations and Commercial Commitments
We had commitments for new store construction projects totaling approximately
$0.7 million at September 26, 2009. There has been no material change in our
contractual obligations and commercial commitments other than in the ordinary
course of business since the end of fiscal 2008.
Significant Accounting Policies and Estimates
Our discussion and analysis of our financial position and results of operations
are based upon our consolidated financial statements, which have been prepared
in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United
States. The preparation of these financial statements requires us to make
informed estimates and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets,
liabilities, revenues and expenses and related disclosure of contingent assets
and liabilities. Significant accounting policies, including areas of critical
management judgments and estimates, have primary impact on the following
financial statement areas:
• Revenue recognition and sales returns
• Inventory valuation (including LIFO)
• Share-based payments
• Self-insurance reserves
• Sales tax audit reserve
• Tax contingencies
• Goodwill
• Long-lived assets
See the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 27, 2008 for a discussion of our critical accounting policies. Our financial position and/or results of operations may be materially different when reported under different conditions or when using different assumptions in the application of such policies. In the event estimates or assumptions prove to be different from actual amounts, adjustments are made in subsequent periods to reflect more current information. Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
We are exposed to changes in interest rates primarily from the Credit Agreement.
The Credit Agreement bears interest at either the bank's base rate (2.35% and
5.00% at September 26, 2009 and September 27, 2008, respectively) or LIBOR
(0.25% and 3.43% at September 26, 2009 and September 27, 2008, respectively)
plus an additional amount ranging from 0.35% to 0.90% per annum, adjusted
quarterly, based on our performance (0.50% at September 26, 2009 and
September 27, 2008). We are also required to pay, quarterly in arrears, a
commitment fee ranging from 0.06% to 0.18% based on the daily average unused
portion of the Credit Agreement (0.10% at September 26, 2009 and September 27,
2008). See Note 9 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements included
herein for further discussion regarding the Credit Agreement.
Although we cannot determine the full effect of inflation and deflation on our operations, we believe our sales and results of operations are affected by both. We are subject to market risk with respect to the pricing of certain products and services, which include, among other items, steel, grain, petroleum, corn, soybean and other commodities as well as transportation services. Therefore, we may experience both inflationary and deflationary pressure on product cost, which may impact consumer demand and, as a result, sales and gross margin. Our strategy is to reduce or mitigate the effects of purchase price volatility . . .
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