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GPS > SEC Filings for GPS > Form 10-Q on 9-Sep-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for GAP INC


9-Sep-2009

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.

Forward-Looking Statements

This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q contains forward-looking statements within the "safe harbor" provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than those that are purely historical are forward-looking statements. Words such as "expect," "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "plan," "project," and similar expressions also identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding: (i) expected amortization expense for intangible assets; (ii) expected share repurchases from members of the Fisher family; (iii) the decrease in unrecognized tax benefits and the impact on financial statements; (iv) intentions with respect to undistributed earnings of foreign subsidiaries; (v) the maximum potential amount of future lease payments under assigned leases; (vi) the impact of losses under contractual indemnifications; (vii) the maximum exposure and cash collateralized balance for the Company's reinsurance pool in future periods; (viii) the outcome of proceedings, lawsuits, disputes and claims; (ix) cash balances and cash flows being sufficient to support operations, capital expenditures, and dividends; (x) improving our sales trend; (xi) focus on return on invested capital;
(xii) maintaining focus on cost management and inventory discipline;
(xiii) generating strong free cash flow and returning excess cash to shareholders; (xiv) effective tax rate for fiscal 2009; (xv) capital expenditures in fiscal 2009; (xvi) store openings and closings in fiscal 2009;
(xvii) net square footage change in fiscal 2009; (xviii) dividends in fiscal 2009; and (xix) share repurchases in the third quarter of fiscal 2009.

Because these forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, there are important factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. These factors include, without limitation, the following: the risk that the adoption of new accounting pronouncements will impact future results; the risk that we will be unsuccessful in gauging fashion trends and changing consumer preferences; the risk that changes in general economic conditions, consumer confidence, or consumer spending patterns will have a negative impact on our financial performance or strategies; the highly competitive nature of our business in the United States and internationally and our dependence on consumer spending patterns, which are influenced by numerous other factors; the risk that we will be unsuccessful in identifying and negotiating new store locations and renewing leases for existing store locations effectively; the risk that comparable store sales and margins will experience fluctuations; the risk that we will be unsuccessful in implementing our strategic, operating and people initiatives; the risk that adverse changes in our credit ratings may have a negative impact on our financing costs, structure and access to capital in future periods; the risk that changes to our information technology systems may disrupt our operations; the risk that trade matters, events causing disruptions in product shipments from China and other foreign countries, or an inability to secure sufficient manufacturing capacity may disrupt our supply chain or operations; the risk that our efforts to expand internationally through franchising and similar arrangements may not be successful and could impair the value of our brands; the risk that acts or omissions by our third party vendors, including a failure to comply with our code of vendor conduct, could have a negative impact on our reputation or operations; the risk that changes in the regulatory or administrative landscape could adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations; the risk that we do not repurchase some or all of the shares we anticipate purchasing pursuant to our repurchase program; and the risk that we will not be successful in defending various proceedings, lawsuits, disputes, claims, and audits; any of which could impact net sales, expenses, and/or planned strategies. Additional information regarding factors that could cause results to differ can be found in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2009 and our other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Future economic and industry trends that could potentially impact net sales and profitability are difficult to predict. These forward-looking statements are based on information as of September 9, 2009 and we assume no obligation to publicly update or revise our forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that any projected results expressed or implied therein will not be realized.

We suggest that this document be read in conjunction with Management's Discussion and Analysis included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2009.

Our Business

We are a global specialty retailer offering clothing, accessories, and personal care products for men, women, children, and babies under the Gap, Old Navy, Banana Republic, Piperlime, and Athleta brands. We operate wholly owned stores in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Ireland, and Japan. We also have franchise agreements with unaffiliated franchisees to operate Gap and Banana Republic stores in many other countries around the world. Under these agreements, third parties operate or will operate stores that sell apparel, purchased from us, under our brand names. In addition, our U.S. customers can shop online at gap.com, oldnavy.com, bananarepublic.com, piperlime.com, and athleta.com. Most of the products sold under our brand names are designed by us and manufactured by independent sources. We also sell products that are designed and manufactured by branded third parties.


Table of Contents

We identify our operating segments based on the way we manage and evaluate our business activities. Beginning in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2008, we have two reportable segments: Stores and Direct.

Overview

Financial highlights include:

• Net sales for the second quarter of fiscal 2009 were $3.2 billion, down 7 percent compared with $3.5 billion for the second quarter of fiscal 2008. Comparable store sales decreased 8 percent compared with a decrease of 10 percent for the second quarter of fiscal 2008.

• Our Direct sales for the second quarter of fiscal 2009 increased 17 percent to $224 million, compared with $191 million for the second quarter of fiscal 2008. Our Direct reportable segment includes all online sales and, beginning September 2008, Athleta online and catalog sales.

• Gross margin for the second quarter of fiscal 2009 was 39.7 percent compared with 38.2 percent for the second quarter of fiscal 2008.

• Operating margin for the second quarter of fiscal 2009 was 11.6 percent compared with 10.7 percent for the second quarter of 2008.

• Net income for the second quarter of fiscal 2009 was $228 million, or $0.33 per share on a diluted basis, compared with $229 million, or $0.32 per share on a diluted basis for the second quarter of fiscal 2008.

• During the first half of fiscal 2009, we generated free cash flow of $589 million compared with free cash flow of $354 million for the first half of fiscal 2008. Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities less purchases of property and equipment. For a reconciliation of free cash flow, a non-GAAP financial measure, from a GAAP financial measure, see the Liquidity and Capital Resources section.

• As of August 1, 2009, cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments were $2.1 billion with no debt outstanding. We believe our cash balances and cash flows from operations will be sufficient to fund our business operations, capital expenditures, and the payment of dividends for the foreseeable future.

Our business and financial priorities for fiscal 2009 are as follows:

• Consistently delivering product that aligns with our target customers with an overall objective of improving our sales trend;

• Improving customer experience and continuing to invest in our business with a focus on return on invested capital;

• Maintaining a focus on cost management and inventory discipline; and

• Generating strong free cash flow and returning excess cash to shareholders.

Results of Operations

Net Sales

Net Sales by Brand, Region, and Reportable Segment

Net sales primarily consist of retail sales, online sales, wholesale and franchise revenues, and shipping fees received from customers for delivery of merchandise. Outlet retail sales are reflected within the respective results of each brand.

We identify our operating segments based on the way we manage and evaluate our business activities. Beginning in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2008, we have two reportable segments: Stores and Direct.


Table of Contents

Net sales by brand, region, and reportable segment are as follows:

($ in millions)                                                                 Banana
13 Weeks Ended August 1, 2009                  Gap           Old Navy          Republic          Other (3)         Total
U.S. (1)                                     $   808        $    1,147        $      483        $        -        $ 2,438
Canada                                            70                90                33                 -            193
Europe                                           154                -                  6                  6           166
Asia                                             173                -                 28                 11           212
Other regions                                     -                 -                 -                  12            12

Total Stores reportable segment                1,205             1,237               550                 29         3,021
Direct reportable segment (2)                     57                96                26                 45           224

Total                                        $ 1,262        $    1,333        $      576        $        74       $ 3,245

Sales Growth (Decline)                           (10 )%             (4 )%            (13 )%              61 %          (7 )%

($ in millions)                                                                 Banana
13 Weeks Ended August 2, 2008                  Gap           Old Navy          Republic          Other (3)         Total
U.S. (1)                                     $   919        $    1,195        $      562        $        -        $ 2,676
Canada                                            80               103                37                 -            220
Europe                                           185                -                  6                  7           198
Asia                                             160                -                 25                 12           197
Other regions                                     -                 -                 -                  17            17

Total Stores reportable segment                1,344             1,298               630                 36         3,308
Direct reportable segment (2)                     59                92                30                 10           191

Total                                        $ 1,403        $    1,390        $      660        $        46       $ 3,499

Sales Growth (Decline)                            (1 )%            (13 )%              2 %               84 %          (5 )%

($ in millions)                                                                 Banana
26 Weeks Ended August 1, 2009                  Gap           Old Navy          Republic          Other (3)         Total
U.S. (1)                                     $ 1,584        $    2,257        $      929        $        -        $ 4,770
Canada                                           128               162                62                 -            352
Europe                                           289                -                 11                 13           313
Asia                                             344                -                 51                 23           418
Other regions                                     -                 -                 -                  28            28

Total Stores reportable segment                2,345             2,419             1,053                 64         5,881
Direct reportable segment (2)                    133               212                57                 89           491

Total                                        $ 2,478        $    2,631        $    1,110        $       153       $ 6,372

Sales Growth (Decline)                           (11 )%             (4 )%            (12 )%              74 %          (7 )%

($ in millions)                                                                 Banana
26 Weeks Ended August 2, 2008                  Gap           Old Navy          Republic          Other (3)         Total
U.S. (1)                                     $ 1,818        $    2,336        $    1,066        $        -        $ 5,220
Canada                                           157               198                71                 -            426
Europe                                           357                -                 11                 12           380
Asia                                             328                -                 46                 23           397
Other regions                                     -                 -                 -                  33            33

Total Stores reportable segment                2,660             2,534             1,194                 68         6,456
Direct reportable segment (2)                    135               209                63                 20           427

Total                                        $ 2,795        $    2,743        $    1,257        $        88       $ 6,883

Sales Growth (Decline)                            (1 )%            (13 )%              3 %               87 %          (5 )%

(1) U.S. includes the United States and Puerto Rico.

(2) U.S. only. The Direct reportable segment includes Athleta beginning September 2008.

(3) Other includes our wholesale business and franchise business for the Stores reportable segment. For the Direct reportable segment, other includes Piperlime and, beginning September 2008, Athleta.


Table of Contents

Comparable Store Sales

The percentage change in comparable store sales by brand and region and for
total Company are as follows:



                                                 13 Weeks Ended                      26 Weeks Ended
                                           August 1,         August 2,         August 1,         August 2,
                                             2009              2008              2009              2008
Gap North America                                (10 )%             (6 )%            (11 )%             (6 )%
Old Navy North America                            (4 )%            (16 )%             (4 )%            (17 )%
Banana Republic North America                    (15 )%             (6 )%            (14 )%             (5 )%
International                                     (5 )%             (6 )%             (5 )%             (5 )%
The Gap, Inc.                                     (8 )%            (10 )%             (8 )%            (11 )%

Only wholly owned stores are included in the calculation of comparable store sales. The comparable store sales calculation excludes sales from our Direct reportable segment and our wholesale and franchise businesses. Outlet comparable store sales are reflected within the respective results of each brand.

A store is included in comparable store sales ("Comp") when it has been open for at least 12 months and the selling square footage has not changed by 15 percent or more within the past year. A store is included in Comp on the first day it has comparable prior year sales. Stores in which the selling square footage has changed by 15 percent or more as a result of a remodel, expansion, or reduction are excluded from Comp until the first day they have comparable prior year sales. Current year foreign exchange rates are applied to both current year and prior year Comp store sales to achieve a consistent basis for comparison.

A store is considered non-comparable ("Non-comp") when it has been open for less than 12 months or it has changed its selling square footage by 15 percent or more within the past year.

A store is considered "Closed" if it is temporarily closed for three or more full consecutive days or is permanently closed. When a temporarily closed store reopens, the store will be placed in the Comp/Non-comp status it was in prior to its closure. If a store was in Closed status for three or more days in the prior year then the store will be in Non-comp status for the same days in the following year.

Store Count and Square Footage Information

Net sales per average square foot are as follows:



                                                    13 Weeks Ended                  26 Weeks Ended
                                               August 1,      August 2,       August 1,       August 2,
                                                  2009           2008           2009             2008
Net sales per average square foot (1)          $       76     $       82     $       148     $        161

(1) Excludes net sales associated with the Direct reportable segment and our wholesale and franchise businesses.


Table of Contents

Store count, openings, closings, and square footage for our wholly owned stores are as follows:

                                         January 31, 2009         26 Weeks Ended August 1, 2009                     August 1, 2009
                                            Number of         Number of Stores     Number of Stores        Number of            Square Footage
                                         Store Locations           Opened               Closed          Store Locations         (in millions)
Gap North America                                   1,193                    4                   18               1,179                   11.7
Gap Europe                                            173                    6                   -                  179                    1.5
Gap Asia                                              113                    3                   -                  116                    1.1
Old Navy North America                              1,067                    2                    7               1,062                   20.0
Banana Republic North America                         573                    8                    2                 579                    4.9
Banana Republic Asia                                   27                   -                    -                   27                    0.2
Banana Republic Europe                                  3                   -                    -                    3                     -

Total                                               3,149                   23                   27               3,145                   39.4

Decrease from January 31, 2009                                                                                     (0.1 )%                (0.3 )%

                                         February 2, 2008         26 Weeks Ended August 2, 2008                     August 2, 2008
                                            Number of         Number of Stores     Number of Stores        Number of            Square Footage
                                         Store Locations           Opened               Closed          Store Locations         (in millions)
Gap North America                                   1,249                    7                   26               1,230                   12.1
Gap Europe                                            173                    4                    8                 169                    1.5
Gap Asia                                              110                    5                    4                 111                    1.0
Old Navy North America                              1,059                   15                    8               1,066                   20.1
Banana Republic North America                         555                   19                    6                 568                    4.8
Banana Republic Asia                                   21                    4                   -                   25                    0.1
Banana Republic Europe                                 -                     1                   -                    1                     -

Total                                               3,167                   55                   52               3,170                   39.6

Increase from February 2, 2008                                                                                      0.1 %                   -  %

Outlet stores are reflected in each of the respective brands. We also have franchise agreements with unaffiliated franchisees to operate Gap and Banana Republic stores in Asia, Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East. There were 133 and 99 franchise stores open as of August 1, 2009 and August 2, 2008, respectively.

Net Sales Discussion

Our net sales for the second quarter of fiscal 2009 decreased $254 million, or 7 percent, compared with the prior year comparable period due to a decrease in net sales of $287 million related to our Stores reportable segment offset by an increase in net sales of $33 million related to our Direct reportable segment.

• For the Stores reportable segment, our net sales for the second quarter of fiscal 2009 decreased $287 million, or 9 percent, compared with the prior year comparable period. The decrease was primarily due to a decline in net sales at all of our brands and the unfavorable impact of foreign exchange of $39 million. The foreign exchange impact is the translation impact if net sales for the second quarter of fiscal 2008 were translated at exchange rates applicable during the second quarter of fiscal 2009.

• For the Direct reportable segment, our net sales for the second quarter of fiscal 2009 increased $33 million, or 17 percent, compared with the prior year comparable period. The increase was primarily due to the incremental sales related to the acquisition of Athleta in September 2008.

Our net sales for the first half of fiscal 2009 decreased $511 million, or 7 percent, compared with the prior year comparable period due to a decrease in net sales of $575 million related to our Stores reportable segment offset by an increase in net sales of $64 million related to our Direct reportable segment.

• For the Stores reportable segment, our net sales for the first half of fiscal 2009 decreased $575 million, or 9 percent, compared with the prior year comparable period. The decrease was primarily due to a decline in net sales across all of our brands and the unfavorable impact of foreign exchange of $111 million. The foreign exchange impact is the translation impact if net sales for the first half of fiscal 2008 were translated at exchange rates applicable during the first half of fiscal 2009.

• For the Direct reportable segment, our net sales for the first half of fiscal 2009 increased $64 million, or 15 percent, compared with the prior year comparable period. The increase was primarily due to the incremental sales related to the acquisition of Athleta in September 2008.


Table of Contents

Cost of Goods Sold and Occupancy Expenses

Cost of goods sold and occupancy expenses include:

• the cost of merchandise;

• inventory shortage and valuation adjustments;

• freight charges;

• costs associated with our sourcing operations, including payroll and related benefits;

• production costs;

• insurance costs related to merchandise; and

• rent, occupancy, depreciation, amortization, common area maintenance, real estate taxes, and utilities related to our store operations, distribution centers, and certain corporate functions.

The classification of these expenses varies across the retail industry.

As a general business practice, we review our inventory levels in order to identify slow-moving merchandise and broken assortments (items no longer in stock in a sufficient range of sizes) and use markdowns to clear the majority of this merchandise.

                                                  13 Weeks Ended                      26 Weeks Ended
                                            August 1,         August 2,         August 1,         August 2,
($ in millions)                               2009              2008              2009              2008
Cost of goods sold and occupancy
expenses                                   $     1,957       $     2,161       $     3,845       $     4,203
Gross profit                               $     1,288       $     1,338       $     2,527       $     2,680
Cost of goods sold and occupancy
expenses as a percentage of net sales             60.3 %            61.8 %            60.3 %            61.1 %
Gross margin                                      39.7 %            38.2 %            39.7 %            38.9 %

Cost of goods sold and occupancy expenses decreased $204 million, or 1.5 percentage points as a percentage of net sales, in the second quarter of fiscal 2009 compared with the prior year comparable period. Cost of goods sold decreased 2.1 percentage points as a percentage of net sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2009 compared with the prior year comparable period. Occupancy expenses increased 0.6 percentage points as a percentage of net sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2009 compared with the prior year comparable period.

• For the Stores reportable segment, cost of goods sold and occupancy expenses as a percentage of net sales decreased 1.1 percentage points in the second quarter of fiscal 2009 compared with the prior year comparable period. Cost of goods sold decreased 2.0 percentage points as a percentage of net sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2009 compared with the prior year comparable period. The decrease was driven primarily by reduced cost of merchandise from our cost management efforts and a decrease in selling at markdown. Occupancy expenses increased 0.9 percentage points as a percentage of net sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2009 compared with the prior year comparable period. The increase was driven primarily by lower sales related to comparable stores.

• For the Direct reportable segment, cost of goods sold and occupancy expenses as a percentage of net sales decreased 3.6 percentage points in the second quarter of fiscal 2009 compared with the prior year comparable period. Cost of goods sold decreased 4.3 percentage points as a percentage of net sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2009 compared with the prior year comparable period. The decrease was driven primarily by reduced cost of merchandise. Occupancy expenses, consisting primarily of depreciation . . .

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