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AVTR > SEC Filings for AVTR > Form 10-Q on 10-Aug-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for AVATAR HOLDINGS INC


10-Aug-2009

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations (dollars in thousands except share and per share data) The following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included elsewhere in this Form 10-Q.
In the preparation of our financial statements, we apply United States generally accepted accounting principles. The application of generally accepted accounting principles may require management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the financial statements and accompanying results. For a description of our accounting policies, refer to Avatar Holdings Inc.'s 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Certain statements discussed under the caption "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" and elsewhere in this Form 10-Q constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of results to differ materially from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks, uncertainties and other important factors include, among others: the continuing decline in value and the instability of the financial markets; disruption of the credit markets and reduced availability and more stringent financing requirements for commercial and residential mortgages of all types; the number of investor and speculator resale homes for sale and homes in foreclosure in our communities and in the geographic areas in which we develop and sell homes; the increasing level of unemployment; the decline in net worth and/or of income of potential buyers; the decline in consumer confidence; the successful implementation of Avatar's business strategy; shifts in demographic trends affecting demand for active adult and primary housing; the level of immigration and migration into the areas in which we conduct real estate activities; Avatar's access to financing; geopolitical risks; changes in, or the failure or inability to comply with, government regulations; and other factors as are described in Avatar's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including under the caption "Risk Factors" included in Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2008. Active adult homes are intended for occupancy by at least one person 55 years or older.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
We are engaged in the business of real estate operations in Florida and Arizona. Our residential community development activities have been adversely affected in both markets, bringing development in our active adult and primary residential communities to approaching a stand still. We also engage in other real estate activities, such as the operation of amenities, the sale for third-party development of commercial and industrial land and the operation of a title insurance agency, which activities have also been adversely affected by the current economic downturn.


Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations (dollars in thousands except share and per share data) - continued EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - continued
Our primary business strategy continues to be the development of lifestyle communities, including active adult and primary residential communities, as well as the development and construction of housing on scattered lots. However, due to the significant deterioration in the economy and the residential real estate business, we have increased our focus on maintaining the integrity of our balance sheet through preservation of capital, sustaining liquidity and reduction of overhead. Our development activities have been and will continue to be minimal as we work through the negative impacts on the homebuilding industry. While we have curtailed our homebuilding operations, our business is still capital intensive and requires or may require expenditures for land and infrastructure development, housing construction, and funding of operating deficits or providing working capital, as well as potential new acquisition and development opportunities.
It is our intention to continue to monetize our inventory of unsold homes and many of our model homes in anticipation of introducing new homes across many of our product lines. Many of these new products will consist of smaller and less amenitized houses to enable us to sell homes at lower price points when the market recovers. In the areas in which our developments are located, we believe that for the foreseeable future there may be significant demand for smaller and less amenitized homes than in prior years.
We continue to defer the introduction of new housing products or recommencing developing activities in our existing communities until such times as we believe that our markets would enable us to construct and sell new houses at an acceptable profit.
We continue to focus on acquiring real estate or real estate related assets as the fallout from the deleverging of the economy continues to adversely affect real estate values. We have analyzed a substantial number of residential real estate properties in Florida which we believe could represent opportunities to acquire real estate, or debt secured by real estate, at a substantial discount to its intrinsic value. To date we have seen very few properties that we believe would present such desirable investment or development/redevelopment opportunities at the pricing offered. However, we believe we are approaching a window in which these opportunities will become available. We have an experienced residential real estate development group which is able to expeditiously underwrite portfolios of Florida residential real estate ranging from large undeveloped/unentitled parcels of land to finished lots, and acquire these properties or the debt secured by these properties from financial institutions or others. Our cash position and our ability to plan, permit, develop, and sell land, as well as to design, permit and build out highly amenitized residential communities enables us to have a competitive advantage in buying such properties over financial buyers, and developers not having extensive experience in Florida. However, we compete for opportunities to acquire real estate or real estate related assets and there can be no assurance that we will identify and be able to acquire appropriate assets or that any such assets we were to acquire would result in a desirable return on our investment. Land Inventory
Our land inventory consists primarily of real estate in the states of Florida and Arizona. As of June 30, 2009, we owned more than 16,500 acres of developed, partially developed or developable residential, commercial and industrial land. Some portion of this land may be developed as roads, retention ponds, parks, school sites, community amenities or for other similar uses.
Within Florida and Arizona we also own more than 15,000 acres of preserves, wetlands, open space and other land that at this time are not developable, permitable and/or economically feasible to develop, but may at some future date have an economic value for preservation or conservation purposes.


Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations (dollars in thousands except share and per share data) - continued
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - continued
Land Inventory - continued
   Following is a breakdown of our land holdings (not including our housing
inventory) as of June 30, 2009:

                                                           Estimated Planned Lots/Units Remaining (1)
      Acquisition              Contract                             Partially                                            Book
          Date                   Date            Developed          Developed           Raw(2)          Total            Value
Residential
Osceola County, Florida
Pre-1980                                                200                  -            2,200           2,400        $   5,198
1999-2001                                               500                700                -           1,200           45,248
2003                            2002-2003                 -                  -            1,000           1,000            7,880
2004                            2002-2003                 -                  -            1,400           1,400           19,307
2006                            2002-2003                 -                  -            1,600           1,600           19,280

Total Osceola County                                    700                700            6,200           7,600           96,913


Polk County, Florida
Pre-1980                                                900              1,000            2,400           4,300           21,369
2003                            2002-2003               900                  -              100           1,000           32,670
2004                            2002-2003                 -                  -            2,500           2,500           19,966
2005                                 2004               200                  -              300             500            5,987

Total Polk County                                     2,000              1,000            5,300           8,300           79,992

Martin County, Florida
1981-1987                                                75                  -              200             275            6,828

Palm Beach County, Florida(3)
2005                                 2003                 -                  -              100             100            6,680

Hillsborough County, Florida
2002                                                    170                  -                -             170            1,631

Hernando County, Florida
2004-2005                            2003                 -                  5                -               5               30

Collier County, Florida
Pre-1980                                                 50                  -                -              50              191

Highlands County, Florida
Pre-1980                                                 40                  -               40              80              108

Santa Cruz County (Rio Rico), Arizona
Pre-1980 600 300 3,700 4,600 10,211

Total Residential 3,635 2,005 15,540 21,180 $ 202,584


Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations (dollars in thousands except share and per share data) - continued
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - continued
Land Inventory - continued

             Acquisition               Contract           Estimated        Book
                 Date                    Date               Acres         Value
         Commercial/Industrial/Institutional
         Florida
         Pre-1980                                              1,300     $  7,430
         2004 (4)                               2004             300       14,765
         2005 (4)                               2004             400       15,541

         Total Florida                                         2,000       37,736

         Arizona
         Pre-1980                                                200          267


         Total Commercial/Industrial/Institutional             2,200     $ 38,003


         Other
         Preserves, wetlands, open space
         Pre-1980                                                  -     $  3,175
         Other                                                     -        4,856

         Total Other                                               -     $  8,031

(1) Estimated planned lots/units are based on historical densities for our land. New projects may ultimately be developed into more or less than the number of lots/units stated.

(2) We anticipate that with respect to our inventory of undeveloped land, new lots developed over the next several years are likely to be develop at a greater density per acre than the density per acre we have undertaken over the past several years. We anticipate evolving market demand for smaller and/or more affordable homes. Accordingly, the number of lots we ultimately develop per acre from our inventory of raw land may exceed the units set forth in this schedule.

(3) Units represent approximately 300,000 square feet of planned condominium-type residential units.

(4) During the 4th quarter 2008, our plans for this property changed from developing it as single family housing to permitting as commercial/industrial/institutional.


Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations (dollars in thousands except share and per share data) - continued EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - continued
During the six months ended June 30, 2009, our homebuilding results reflect the difficult conditions in our Florida and Arizona housing markets characterized by record levels of homes available for sale and diminished buyer confidence. The number of foreclosure sales as well as investor-owned units for sale; the tightening of mortgage underwriting standards; the number of foreclosures, pending foreclosures and mortgage defaults; the availability of significant discounts; the difficulty of potential purchasers in selling their existing homes at prices they are willing to accept; the significant amount of standing inventory and competition continue to adversely affect both the number of homes we are able to sell and the prices at which we are able to sell them. As a result, our communities continue to experience low traffic, significant discounts, low margins, and continued high delinquencies on homeowner association and club membership dues. In addition, our business is affected to some extent by the seasonality of home sales which are generally higher during the months of November through April in the geographic areas in which we conduct our business. Our profits on the sale of homes continue to decline as we offer lower prices and higher discounts to meet competitive pricing and declining demand. During the six months ended June 30, 2009, most of our sales contracts have been signed at selling prices that have resulted or will result in losses upon closing when factoring in operating costs such as sales and marketing and divisional overhead. During the six and three months ended June 30, 2009, we recorded impairment charges of $1,228 and $798, respectively, for housing communities relating to homes completed or under construction. We believe that housing market conditions will continue to be difficult and may deteriorate further during 2009. Demand for, and values of, commercial, industrial and other land has decreased significantly.
While the level and duration of the downturn cannot currently be predicted, we anticipate that these conditions will continue to have an adverse effect on our operations during 2009. We anticipate such operating losses for 2009 will be greater than such losses incurred during 2008. We believe that we have sufficient available cash to fund these losses for 2009.
We have taken steps to decrease operating expenses including the consolidation of field operations and a reduction of staff. Since December 31, 2005, we reduced our headcount by 60% to 234 full-time and part-time employees
(almost half of whom are support staff for amenity operations and maintenance)
from 585 full-time and part-time employees.
We continue to manage Avatar and its assets for the long-term benefit of our shareholders. We remain focused on maintaining sufficient liquidity. We continue to carefully manage our inventory levels through curtailing land development, reducing home starts and reducing prices of completed homes. Our strategy also includes the monetization of commercial and industrial land and other assets, and the possible sale of certain residential land to bring forward future cash flows that would otherwise constitute long-term developments.


Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations (dollars in thousands except share and per share data) - continued
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
   The following table provides a comparison of certain financial data related
to our operations for the six and three months ended June 30, 2009 and 2008:

                                                      Six Months                        Three Months
                                                 2009             2008             2009             2008
Operating income (loss):
Primary residential
Revenues                                      $   11,840        $  21,873        $   6,304        $  12,068
Expenses                                          16,099           26,273            8,665           14,202

Segment operating loss                            (4,259 )         (4,400 )         (2,361 )         (2,134 )

Active adult communities
Revenues                                          17,676           21,331           11,478            9,706
Expenses                                          19,929           22,812           12,299           11,164

Segment operating loss                            (2,253 )         (1,481 )           (821 )         (1,458 )

Commercial and industrial and other land
sales
Revenues                                           2,064            9,562              239            2,134
Expenses                                              77              455               30               97

Segment operating income                           1,987            9,107              209            2,037

Other operations
Revenues                                             531              890              303              328
Expenses                                             426              942              209              465

Segment operating income (loss)                      105              (52 )             94             (137 )


Operating income (loss)                           (4,420 )          3,174           (2,879 )         (1,692 )

Unallocated income (expenses):
Interest income                                      378            1,650              179              636
Gain on repurchase of 4.50% Notes                  1,783                -              418                -
Equity loss from unconsolidated entities            (148 )           (462 )            (86 )           (413 )
General and administrative expenses               (9,011 )        (10,983 )         (4,344 )         (5,846 )
Interest expense                                  (3,550 )         (1,396 )         (1,713 )           (869 )
Other real estate expenses                        (3,785 )         (4,596 )         (1,222 )         (3,034 )
Impairment of the Poinciana Parkway                 (448 )              -             (130 )              -

Loss before income taxes                         (19,201 )        (12,613 )         (9,777 )        (11,218 )
Income tax benefit                                   830            4,820                -            4,297

Net loss                                        ($18,371 )        ($7,793 )        ($9,777 )        ($6,921 )


Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations (dollars in thousands except share and per share data) - continued
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS - continued
   Data from closings for the single-family primary residential and active adult
homebuilding segments for the six and three months ended June 30, 2009 and 2008
is summarized as follows:

                                     Number of                     Average Price
                                       Units        Revenues         Per Unit
         For the six months ended June 30,
         2009
         Primary residential                 56     $  10,255     $           183
         Active adult communities            48        11,800     $           246

         Total                              104     $  22,055     $           212


         2008
         Primary residential                 82     $  20,603     $           251
         Active adult communities            53        14,929     $           282

         Total                              135     $  35,532     $           263


         For the three months ended June 30,
         2009
         Primary residential                 34     $   5,571     $           164
         Active adult communities            36         8,728     $           242

         Total                               70     $  14,299     $           204


         2008
         Primary residential                 46     $  11,294     $           246
         Active adult communities            24         6,761     $           282

         Total                               70     $  18,055     $           258


Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations (dollars in thousands except share and per share data) - continued
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS - continued
   Data from contracts signed for the single-family primary residential and
active adult homebuilding segments for the six and three months ended June 30,
2009 and 2008 is summarized as follows:

                                         Gross Number                                   Contracts                                   Average
                                         of Contracts                                 Signed, Net of                               Price Per
                                            Signed             Cancellations          Cancellations           Dollar Value            Unit
For the six months ended June 30,
2009
Primary residential                                108                    (19 )                    89        $       14,506        $      163
Active adult communities                            41                     (8 )                    33                 6,690        $      203

Total                                              149                    (27 )                   122        $       21,196        $      174


2008
Primary residential                                105                    (41 )                    64        $       16,700        $      261
Active adult communities                            83                    (28 )                    55                13,553        $      246

Total                                              188                    (69 )                   119        $       30,253        $      254


For the three months ended June 30,
2009
Primary residential                                 60                    (10 )                    50        $        7,555        $      151
Active adult communities                            18                     (3 )                    15                 3,303        $      220

Total                                               78                    (13 )                    65        $       10,858        $      167


2008
Primary residential                                 48                    (20 )                    28        $        7,564        $      270
Active adult communities                            47                     (9 )                    38                10,416        $      274

Total                                               95                    (29 )                    66        $       17,980        $      272

Backlog for the single-family primary residential and active adult homebuilding segments as of June 30, 2009 and 2008 is summarized as follows:

                                     Number of       Dollar       Average Price
                                       Units         Volume         Per Unit
         As of June 30,
         2009
         Primary residential                 49     $  8,853     $           181
         Active adult communities            25        6,367     $           255

         Total                               74     $ 15,220     $           206


         2008
         Primary residential                 54     $ 17,159     $           318
         Active adult communities            77       22,693     $           295

         Total                              131     $ 39,852     $           304


Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations (dollars in thousands except share and per share data) - continued RESULTS OF OPERATIONS - continued
The number of net housing contracts signed during the six months ended June 30, 2009 compared to the same period in 2008 increased 2.5% and decreased 1.5% for the three months ended June 30, 2009. The dollar value of housing contracts signed for the six and three months ended June 30, 2009 declined by 29.9% and 39.6%, respectively. The decline in the dollar value of housing contracts signed for the six and three months ended June 30, 2009 continues to reflect the weak market for new residences in the geographic areas where our communities are located. Our communities are located in areas of Florida and Arizona where there is an excess of units for sale, including foreclosures and assets being sold by lenders, and an increasing use of various sales incentives by residential builders in our markets, including Avatar. During the six and three months ended June 30, 2009, cancellations of previously signed contracts totaled 27 and 13 compared to 69 and 29 during the six and three months ended June 30, 2008, respectively. As a percentage of the gross number of contracts signed, this represents 18.1% and 16.7%, respectively.
As of June 30, 2009, our inventory of unsold (speculative) homes, both completed and under construction, was 119 units compared to 233 units as of December 31, 2008. As of June 30, 2009, approximately 91% of unsold homes were completed compared to approximately 88% as of December 31, 2008.
During the six months ended June 30, 2009 compared to the same period in 2008, the number of homes closed decreased by 23.0%. Revenues from homes closed for the six and three months ended June 30, 2009 decreased by 37.9% and 20.8%, respectively. We anticipate that we will close in excess of 80% of the homes in backlog as of June 30, 2009 during the subsequent 12-month period, subject to cancellations by purchasers prior to scheduled delivery dates. We do not anticipate a meaningful improvement in our markets in the near term. . . .

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