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UPS > SEC Filings for UPS > Form 10-Q on 7-Aug-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC


7-Aug-2009

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Revenue, Volume and Revenue Per Piece

The following tables set forth information showing the change in revenue,
average daily package volume, and average revenue per piece, both in dollars or
amounts and in percentage terms:



                                                     Three Months Ended
                                                          June 30,                   Change
                                                      2009          2008         $             %
Revenue (in millions):
U.S. Domestic Package:
Next Day Air                                       $     1,315    $  1,648    $   (333 )     (20.2 )%
Deferred                                                   652         789        (137 )     (17.4 )
Ground                                                   4,822       5,277        (455 )      (8.6 )

Total U.S. Domestic Package                              6,789       7,714        (925 )     (12.0 )
International Package:
Domestic                                                   478         622        (144 )     (23.2 )
Export                                                   1,677       2,145        (468 )     (21.8 )
Cargo                                                       91         181         (90 )     (49.7 )

Total International Package                              2,246       2,948        (702 )     (23.8 )
Supply Chain & Freight:
Forwarding and Logistics                                 1,183       1,635        (452 )     (27.6 )
Freight                                                    507         596         (89 )     (14.9 )
Other                                                      104         108          (4 )      (3.7 )

Total Supply Chain & Freight                             1,794       2,339        (545 )     (23.3 )

Consolidated                                       $    10,829    $ 13,001    $ (2,172 )     (16.7 )%


                                                                                 #
Average Daily Package Volume (in thousands):
U.S. Domestic Package:
Next Day Air                                             1,180       1,183          (3 )      (0.3 )%
Deferred                                                   879         878           1         0.1
Ground                                                  10,406      10,999        (593 )      (5.4 )

Total U.S. Domestic Package                             12,465      13,060        (595 )      (4.6 )
International Package:
Domestic                                                 1,079       1,127         (48 )      (4.3 )
Export                                                     740         798         (58 )      (7.3 )

Total International Package                              1,819       1,925        (106 )      (5.5 )

Consolidated                                            14,284      14,985        (701 )      (4.7 )%

Operating days in period                                    64          64

                                                                                 $
Average Revenue Per Piece:
U.S. Domestic Package:
Next Day Air                                       $     17.41    $  21.77    $  (4.36 )     (20.0 )%
Deferred                                                 11.59       14.04       (2.45 )     (17.5 )
Ground                                                    7.24        7.50       (0.26 )      (3.5 )
Total U.S. Domestic Package                               8.51        9.23       (0.72 )      (7.8 )
International Package:
Domestic                                                  6.92        8.62       (1.70 )     (19.7 )
Export                                                   35.41       42.00       (6.59 )     (15.7 )
Total International Package                              18.51       22.46       (3.95 )     (17.6 )
Consolidated                                       $      9.78    $  10.93    $  (1.15 )     (10.5 )%


Table of Contents

                  UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

        MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND

                             RESULTS OF OPERATIONS



                                                     Six Months Ended
                                                         June 30,                  Change
                                                     2009         2008         $             %
Revenue (in millions):
U.S. Domestic Package:
Next Day Air                                       $   2,696    $  3,286    $   (590 )     (18.0 )%
Deferred                                               1,345       1,594        (249 )     (15.6 )
Ground                                                 9,697      10,569        (872 )      (8.3 )

Total U.S. Domestic Package                           13,738      15,449      (1,711 )     (11.1 )
International Package:
Domestic                                                 942       1,205        (263 )     (21.8 )
Export                                                 3,363       4,167        (804 )     (19.3 )
Cargo                                                    181         335        (154 )     (46.0 )

Total International Package                            4,486       5,707      (1,221 )     (21.4 )
Supply Chain & Freight:
Forwarding and Logistics                               2,380       3,198        (818 )     (25.6 )
Freight                                                  961       1,109        (148 )     (13.3 )
Other                                                    202         213         (11 )      (5.2 )

Total Supply Chain & Freight                           3,543       4,520        (977 )     (21.6 )

Consolidated                                       $  21,767    $ 25,676    $ (3,909 )     (15.2 )%


                                                                               #
Average Daily Package Volume (in thousands):
U.S. Domestic Package:
Next Day Air                                           1,185       1,191          (6 )      (0.5 )%
Deferred                                                 890         894          (4 )      (0.4 )
Ground                                                10,495      11,069        (574 )      (5.2 )

Total U.S. Domestic Package                           12,570      13,154        (584 )      (4.4 )
International Package:
Domestic                                               1,088       1,114         (26 )      (2.3 )
Export                                                   752         788         (36 )      (4.6 )

Total International Package                            1,840       1,902         (62 )      (3.3 )

Consolidated                                          14,410      15,056        (646 )      (4.3 )%

Operating days in period                                 127         128

                                                                               $
Average Revenue Per Piece:
U.S. Domestic Package:
Next Day Air                                       $   17.91    $  21.55    $  (3.64 )     (16.9 )%
Deferred                                               11.90       13.93       (2.03 )     (14.6 )
Ground                                                  7.28        7.46       (0.18 )      (2.4 )
Total U.S. Domestic Package                             8.61        9.18       (0.57 )      (6.2 )
International Package:
Domestic                                                6.82        8.45       (1.63 )     (19.3 )
Export                                                 35.21       41.31       (6.10 )     (14.8 )
Total International Package                            18.42       22.07       (3.65 )     (16.5 )
Consolidated                                       $    9.86    $  10.80    $  (0.94 )      (8.7 )%


Table of Contents

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The following table sets forth information showing the change in UPS Freight's less-than-truckload revenue, shipments, and weight hauled, both in dollars or amounts and in percentage terms:

                                                     Three Months Ended
                                                          June 30,                  Change
                                                      2009         2008          $            %
LTL revenue (in millions)                          $      471    $     564    $   (93 )     (16.5 )%
LTL revenue per LTL hundredweight                  $    17.27    $   19.28    $ (2.01 )     (10.4 )%
LTL shipments (in thousands)                            2,611        2,660        (49 )      (1.9 )%
LTL shipments per day (in thousands)                     40.8         41.6       (0.8 )      (1.9 )%
LTL gross weight hauled (in millions of pounds)         2,728        2,925       (197 )      (6.7 )%
LTL weight per shipment                                 1,045        1,099        (54 )      (4.9 )%
Operating days in period                                   64           64




                                                        Six Months Ended
                                                            June 30,                 Change
                                                         2009        2008         $            %
LTL revenue (in millions)                             $      895    $ 1,048    $  (153 )     (14.6 )%
LTL revenue per LTL hundredweight                     $    17.28    $ 18.85    $ (1.57 )      (8.3 )%
LTL shipments (in thousands)                               4,954      5,057       (103 )      (2.0 )%
LTL shipments per day (in thousands)                        39.0       39.5       (0.5 )      (1.3 )%
LTL gross weight hauled (in millions of pounds)            5,177      5,559       (382 )      (6.9 )%
LTL weight per shipment                                    1,045      1,099        (54 )      (4.9 )%
Operating days in period                                     127        128

Operating Profit and Operating Margin

The following tables set forth information showing the change in operating
profit, both in dollars (in millions) and in percentage terms, as well as the
operating margin for each reporting segment:



                                         Three Months Ended
                                              June 30,                    Change
                                       2009             2008           $           %
     Reporting Segment
     U.S. Domestic Package           $     476       $      899      $ (423 )    (47.1 )%
     International Package                 293              407        (114 )    (28.0 )%
     Supply Chain & Freight                126              148         (22 )    (14.9 )%

     Consolidated Operating Profit   $     895       $    1,454      $ (559 )    (38.4 )%


                                         Three Months Ended
                                              June 30,
                                       2009             2008
     Reporting Segment
     U.S. Domestic Package                 7.0 %           11.7 %
     International Package                13.0 %           13.8 %
     Supply Chain & Freight                7.0 %            6.3 %
     Consolidated Operating Margin         8.3 %           11.2 %


Table of Contents

                  UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

        MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND

                             RESULTS OF OPERATIONS



                                        Six Months Ended
                                            June 30,                   Change
                                        2009         2008           $            %
      Reporting Segment
      U.S. Domestic Package           $    860      $ 1,858      $   (998 )    (53.7 )%
      International Package                587          828          (241 )    (29.1 )%
      Supply Chain & Freight               166          261           (95 )    (36.4 )%

      Consolidated Operating Profit   $  1,613      $ 2,947      $ (1,334 )    (45.3 )%


                                        Six Months Ended
                                            June 30,
                                        2009         2008
      Reporting Segment
      U.S. Domestic Package                6.3 %       12.0 %
      International Package               13.1 %       14.5 %
      Supply Chain & Freight               4.7 %        5.8 %
      Consolidated Operating Margin        7.4 %       11.5 %

U.S. Domestic Package Operations

U.S. domestic package revenue decreased $925 million, or 12.0%, for the quarter ($1.711 billion, or 11.1%, year-to-date), due to a 4.6% decrease in average daily package volume and a 7.8% decrease in revenue per piece (4.4% and 6.2%, respectively, year-to-date).

Ground volume declined 5.4% during the quarter (5.2% year-to-date), primarily as a result of weakness in the U.S. economy. Continued declines in industrial production and retail sales have reduced overall demand in the U.S. small package market, resulting in decreased package volume in our domestic package operations. The Next Day Air volume decline of 0.3% and Deferred air volume increase of only 0.1% (declines of 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively, year-to-date) were also impacted by the economic recession. The decline in air volume was partially mitigated by market share gains, as a result of the recent departure of a competitor in the U.S. market.

The decrease in overall revenue per piece of 7.8% resulted primarily from lower fuel surcharge rates, lower package weights, and unfavorable shifts in product
mix. Next Day Air and Deferred revenue per piece decreased 20.0% and 17.5%, respectively (16.9% and 14.6%, respectively, year-to-date), and were negatively affected by an approximate 24% decline in the fuel surcharge rate for air products (discussed further below). Additionally, the revenue per piece decline for our air products was impacted by lower average package weights and a mix shift toward lower yielding products, reflecting the economic recession in the United States. Ground revenue per piece decreased 3.5% (2.4% year-to-date), primarily due to a lower fuel surcharge rate. The factors decreasing revenue per piece for our ground and air products were partially offset by an increase in base rates that took effect during the first quarter.

In October 2008, we announced a base rate increase and a change in the fuel surcharge that took effect on January 5, 2009. We increased the base rates 6.9% on UPS Next Day Air, UPS 2nd Day Air, and UPS 3 Day Select, and 5.9% on UPS Ground. Other pricing changes included a $0.10 increase in the residential surcharge, and an increase of $0.10 in the delivery area surcharge on both residential and commercial services to certain ZIP codes. These rate changes are customary and occur on an annual basis.


Table of Contents

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

We also modified the fuel surcharge on domestic air services by reducing the index used to determine the fuel surcharge by 2%. This fuel surcharge continues to be based on the U.S. Energy Department's Gulf Coast spot price for a gallon of kerosene-type jet fuel. Based on published rates, the average fuel surcharge on domestic air products was 0.34% in the second quarter of 2009, a decrease from the 24.27% in the second quarter of 2008, due to the significant decrease in jet fuel prices, in addition to the 2% reduction in the index. On a year-to-date basis, the average fuel surcharge on domestic air products declined to 2.00% in 2009 from 21.55% in 2008. The ground fuel surcharge rate continues to fluctuate based on the U.S. Energy Department's On-Highway Diesel Fuel Price. Based on published rates, the average fuel surcharge on domestic ground products decreased to 2.51% in the second quarter of 2009 from 7.48% in the second quarter of 2008, due to significantly lower diesel fuel prices. On a year-to-date basis, the average fuel surcharge on domestic ground products decreased to 3.04% in 2009 from 6.82% in 2008. Total domestic fuel surcharge revenue, net of the impact of hedging, decreased by $512 million in the second quarter of 2009 compared with the same period of 2008 ($775 million year-to-date), primarily due to the lower fuel surcharge rates discussed above, as well as the decline in volume for our air and ground products.

U.S. Domestic Package operating profit decreased $423 million, or 47.1%, in the second quarter of 2009 compared with the same period in 2008 ($998 million, or 53.7%, year-to-date). Operating profit in 2009 was adversely impacted by the U.S. economic recession, decreased network efficiencies due to the decline in volume, changes in package characteristics, and a shift in product mix away from our premium services. Additionally, year-to-date operating profit was adversely impacted by a $181 million impairment charge on our McDonnell-Douglas DC-8-71 and DC-8-73 aircraft fleets in the first quarter of 2009 (discussed further in the "Operating Expenses" section).

International Package Operations

International Package revenue declined $702 million, or 23.8%, for the quarter ($1.221 billion, or 21.4%, year-to-date), primarily as a result of a 5.5% decline in package volume and a 17.6% decrease in total revenue per piece (3.3% and 16.5%, respectively, year-to-date).

Export volume declined 7.3% for the quarter (4.6% year-to-date), primarily due to weakness in the Asia and U.S. export lanes, as the worldwide economic recession and slowdown in world trade more than offset market share gains. Transborder export volume was relatively stronger within the European Union and North American trade areas. Non-U.S. domestic volume decreased 4.3% for the quarter (2.3% year-to-date). Both export and non-U.S. domestic package volume were adversely affected by the timing of the Easter holiday.

Overall revenue per piece decreased 17.6% for the quarter (16.5% year-to-date), primarily as a result of foreign currency exchange rate movements, decreased fuel surcharge rates, and shifts in product mix. Export revenue per piece decreased 15.7% for the quarter (14.8% year-to-date), largely due to the adverse impact of currency exchange rates, lower fuel surcharge rates, and the relatively stronger volume performance of lower revenue per piece transborder products, but was partially offset by base rate increases that took effect in the first quarter of 2009. Domestic revenue per piece decreased 19.7% for the quarter (19.3% year-to-date), and was primarily caused by adverse currency exchange rate fluctuations (currency-adjusted domestic revenue per piece only declined 4.4% for the quarter), as well as the impact of lower fuel surcharge rates. Total average revenue per piece decreased 11.4% for the quarter on a currency-adjusted basis (10.5% year-to-date), and the overall quarterly change in segment revenue was negatively affected by $193 million due to currency fluctuations, net of hedging activity ($365 million year-to-date).


Table of Contents

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

On January 5, 2009, we increased the base rates 6.9% for international shipments originating in the United States (Worldwide Express, Worldwide Express Plus, UPS Worldwide Expedited and UPS International Standard service). Rate changes for shipments originating outside the U.S. are made throughout the year and vary by geographic market.

Additionally, we modified the fuel surcharge on certain U.S.-related international air services by reducing the index used to determine the fuel surcharge by 2%. The fuel surcharge for products originating outside the United States continues to be indexed to fuel prices in our different international regions, depending upon where the shipment takes place. Total international fuel surcharge revenue decreased by $250 million in the second quarter ($390 million year-to-date), due to lower fuel surcharge rates caused by decreased fuel prices as well as a decrease in international air volume.

International Package operating profit decreased $114 million, or 28.0%, in the second quarter of 2009 compared with the same period of 2008 ($241 million, or 29.1%, year-to-date). The decline in operating profit was affected by decreased network efficiencies resulting from volume declines, a shift in product mix away from our premium services, and volume declines in some of the longer export trade lanes. The change in operating profit was negatively affected by $10 million during the quarter due to currency exchange rate fluctuations, net of hedging activity (positively affected by $2 million year-to-date).

Supply Chain & Freight Operations

Supply Chain & Freight revenue decreased $545 million, or 23.3%, for the quarter ($977 million, or 21.6%, year-to-date). Forwarding and logistics revenue decreased $452 million, or 27.6%, for the quarter ($818 million, or 25.6%, year-to-date), and was impacted by weakness in demand for freight forwarding due to global economic weakness and declines in international trade. Forwarding revenue declined in all major transportation modes, including domestic and international air freight and ocean freight, and was impacted by lower volumes, lower fuel surcharges, and lower security and other accessorial charges. Additionally, the overall change in forwarding and logistics revenue was negatively affected by $53 million during the quarter ($126 million year-to-date) due to the strengthening of the U.S. Dollar against foreign currencies.

UPS Freight revenue declined $89 million, or 14.9%, for the quarter ($148 million, or 13.3%, year-to-date), primarily due to lower fuel surcharge rates and a decline in average daily LTL shipments. Total LTL weight per shipment declined 4.9% for the quarter and year-to-date periods, reflecting the weak LTL market and the ongoing economic recession in the United States in 2009. Average LTL shipments per day also declined 1.9% for the quarter (1.3% year-to-date), as market share gains were more than offset by the impact of the weak economy.

LTL revenue per hundredweight decreased 10.4% for the quarter (8.3% year-to-date), primarily as a result of the lower fuel surcharge rates, as total fuel surcharge revenue declined $70 million for the quarter ($113 million year-to-date) primarily resulting from lower diesel fuel prices. However, this decline was partially offset by an increase in base prices that took effect in the first quarter of 2009. On January 5, 2009, UPS Freight increased minimum charge, LTL, and TL rates an average of 5.9%, covering non-contractual shipments in the United States and Canada.

The other businesses within Supply Chain & Freight, which include our retail franchising business and our financial business, experienced a decline in revenue of 3.7% during the quarter (5.2% year-to-date). This decline in revenue was primarily in our financial business, and was impacted by lower interest rates and decreased loan volume.


Table of Contents

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Operating profit for the Supply Chain & Freight segment decreased by $22 million, or 14.9%, for the quarter ($95 million, or 36.4%, year-to-date), primarily due to lower operating profit in the forwarding and logistics business and our UPS Freight unit. The lower operating profit in the forwarding and logistics business was impacted by the weak demand for forwarding services. However, the operating margin in this business experienced only a small decline as costs were reduced commensurate with the decline in revenues. Our UPS Freight unit experienced breakeven results for the second quarter, but operating losses in the year-to-date period. The decline in operating profits for these two businesses were partially offset by a net increase in combined operating income for all of our other businesses in this segment. This net increase was primarily driven by a gain on sale of substantially all of our international Mail Boxes Etc operations during the quarter. The change in operating profit for the segment was also negatively affected by $4 million in the quarter ($12 million year-to-date) due to the strengthening of the U.S. Dollar against foreign currencies.

Operating Expenses

Consolidated operating expenses decreased by $1.613 billion, or 14.0%, for the quarter ($2.575 billion, or $11.3%, year-to-date), of which approximately $232 million ($481 million year-to-date) was due to currency fluctuations in our International Package and Supply Chain & Freight segments.

Compensation and benefits expense decreased by $192 million, or 2.9%, for the quarter ($360 million, or 2.8%, year-to-date), and was impacted by several items. A large component of this decrease was related to employee payroll costs, as union labor hours declined approximately 7% as a result of lower U.S. Domestic Package volume, and management payroll declined as a result of a reduction in the total number of management employees through attrition combined with a wage freeze. Benefits expense increased slightly due to higher employee health and welfare program costs, which were impacted by higher union contribution rates, and increased pension expense. Pension expense increases resulted from higher union contribution rates for multiemployer pension plans, combined with increased interest costs, a decrease in our expected return on plan assets and the amortization of actuarial losses for company-sponsored plans (see Note 6) to the unaudited consolidated financial statements. The increase in interest costs was impacted by changes in discount rates, while the decrease in expected return on plan assets and the actuarial losses were primarily due to the negative asset returns experienced in 2008.

The expense associated with our self-insurance accruals for workers' compensation claims was $13 million less than the second quarter of 2008 ($36 million less year-to-date). Insurance reserves are established for estimates of the loss that we will ultimately incur on reported claims, as well as estimates of claims that have been incurred but not yet reported. Recorded balances are based on reserve levels, which incorporate historical loss experience and judgments about the present and expected levels of cost per claim. The lower expense reflects reduced labor hours combined with favorable claims experience, which results from a strong internal safety program, including initiatives to decrease accident frequencies and continuous improvement in claims management.

Repairs and maintenance expense declined $30 million, or 9.9%, for the quarter ($52 million, or 8.7%, year-to-date), largely due to reduced vehicle maintenance expense resulting from a reduction in miles driven. Depreciation and . . .

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