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AIG > SEC Filings for AIG > Form 10-Q on 7-Aug-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP INC


7-Aug-2009

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations is designed to provide the reader a narrative with respect to American International Group, Inc.'s (AIG's) operations, financial condition and liquidity and certain other significant matters.

Index Page

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information 88 Overview 89 Completed and Proposed Transactions in the Second Quarter of 2009 92 Debt 100 Results of Operations 110 Consolidated Results 111 Segment Results 117 General Insurance Operations 118 Liability for unpaid claims and claims adjustment expense 123 Life Insurance & Retirement Services Operations 131 Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs and Sales Inducement Assets 146 Financial Services Operations 148 Asset Management Operations 154 Other Operations 156 Critical Accounting Estimates 159 Investments 182 Investment Strategy 183 Other-Than-Temporary Impairments 192 Risk Management 196 Overview 197 Credit Risk Management 197 Insurance Risk Management 199

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information

This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and other publicly available documents may include, and AIG's officers and representatives may from time to time make, projections and statements which may constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These projections and statements are not historical facts but instead represent only AIG's belief regarding future events, many of which, by their nature, are inherently uncertain and outside AIG's control. These projections and statements may address, among other things:

• the outcome of the recently completed and proposed transactions with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY) and the United States Department of the Treasury (Department of the Treasury);

• the number, size, terms, cost and timing of dispositions and their potential effect on AIG's businesses, financial condition, results of operations, cash flows and liquidity (and AIG at any time and from time to time may change its plans with respect to the sale of one or more businesses);

• AIG's exposures to subprime mortgages, monoline insurers and the residential and commercial real estate markets;

• the separation of AIG's businesses from AIG parent company;

• AIG's ability to retain and motivate its employees; and

• AIG's strategy for customer retention, growth, product development, market position, financial results and reserves.


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It is possible that AIG's actual results and financial condition will differ, possibly materially, from the anticipated results and financial condition indicated in these projections and statements. Factors that could cause AIG's actual results to differ, possibly materially, from those in the specific projections and statements include:

• a failure of the completed transactions with the FRBNY or the Department of the Treasury to achieve their desired objectives;

• a failure to complete the proposed transactions with the FRBNY;

• developments in global credit markets; and

• such other factors as discussed throughout this Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and in Part II, Item 1A. Risk Factors of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, in Part II, Item 1A. Risk Factors of AIG's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2009, and in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors of the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008.

AIG is not under any obligation (and expressly disclaims any obligation) to update or alter any projection or other statement, whether written or oral, that may be made from time to time, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

In addition to reviewing AIG's results for the three- and six-month periods ended June 30, 2009, this Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (MD&A) supplements and updates the information and discussion included in the Annual Report on Form 10-K of AIG for the year ended December 31, 2008 (including the Form 10-K/A (Amendment No. 1) filed on April 30, 2009) (the 2008 Form 10-K) and the revised financial information reflecting the adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (FAS) No. 160, "Noncontrolling Interests in Consolidated Financial Statements, an amendment of ARB No. 51" (FAS 160), included in AIG's Current Report on Form 8-K filed on June 29, 2009 (such revised financial information and the financial statements included in the 2008 Form 10-K, collectively, the 2008 Financial Statements), to reflect developments in or affecting AIG's business to date during 2009. Throughout this MD&A, AIG presents its operations in the way it believes will be most meaningful. Statutory underwriting profit
(loss) is presented in accordance with accounting principles prescribed by insurance regulatory authorities because these are standard measures of performance used in the insurance industry and thus allow more meaningful comparisons with AIG's insurance competitors. AIG also uses cross-references to additional information included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and in the 2008 Form 10-K to assist readers seeking related information on a particular subject.

Overview

Operations

AIG identifies its operating segments by product line, consistent with its management structure. These segments are General Insurance, Life Insurance & Retirement Services, Financial Services and Asset Management. Through these operating segments, AIG provides insurance, financial and investment products and services to both businesses and individuals in more than 130 countries and jurisdictions.

AIG's subsidiaries serve commercial, institutional and individual customers through an extensive property-casualty and life insurance and retirement services network. AIG's Financial Services businesses include commercial aircraft and equipment leasing, capital markets operations and consumer finance, both in the United States and abroad. AIG also provides asset management services to institutions and individuals.

Consideration of AIG's Ability to Continue as a Going Concern

In the 2008 Form 10-K, management disclosed the conditions and events that led management to conclude that AIG would have adequate liquidity to finance and operate AIG's businesses, execute its asset disposition plan and repay its obligations for at least the next twelve months. At that time, the United States government issued the following statement referring to the March 2009 agreements in principle and other transactions they expected to


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American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries

undertake with AIG (many of which were subsequently undertaken) to strengthen its capital position, enhance its liquidity, reduce its borrowing costs and facilitate AIG's asset disposition program.

"The steps announced today provide tangible evidence of the U.S. government's commitment to the orderly restructuring of AIG over time in the face of continuing market dislocations and economic deterioration. Orderly restructuring is essential to AIG's repayment of the support it has received from U.S. taxpayers and to preserving financial stability. The U.S. government is committed to continuing to work with AIG to maintain its ability to meet its obligations as they come due."

In connection with the preparation of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, management assessed whether AIG had the ability to continue as a going concern. In making this assessment, AIG considered:

• The commitment of the FRBNY and the Department of the Treasury to the orderly restructuring of AIG and their commitment to continuing to work with AIG to maintain its ability to meet its obligations as they come due;

• AIG's liquidity-related actions and plans to stabilize its businesses and repay the debt outstanding under the facility (the FRBNY Facility) provided by the FRBNY under the Credit Agreement, dated as of September 22, 2008 (as amended, the FRBNY Credit Agreement), between AIG and the FRBNY;

• The level of AIG's realized and unrealized losses and the negative impact of these losses in shareholders' equity and on the capital levels of AIG's insurance subsidiaries;

• The substantial resolution of the liquidity issues surrounding the multi-sector super senior credit default swap portfolio of AIG Financial Products Corp. and AIG Trading Group, Inc. and their respective subsidiaries (collectively, AIGFP) and the U.S. securities lending program;

• The additional capital provided to AIG by the Department of the Treasury;

• The proposed transactions contemplated by the Purchase Agreement, dated as of June 25, 2009, between AIG, American International Reinsurance Company, Limited (AIRCO) and the FRBNY (the AIA Purchase Agreement) and the Purchase Agreement, dated as of June 25, 2009, between AIG and the FRBNY (the ALICO Purchase Agreement);

• The planned sales of significant subsidiaries;

• The continuing liquidity issues in AIG's businesses and AIG's actions to address such issues; and

• The substantial risks to which AIG is subject.

See Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in the 2008 Form 10-K, Notes 1 and 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the discussion below for further details on these items.

In considering these items, management made significant judgments and estimates with respect to the potentially adverse financial and liquidity effects of AIG's risks and uncertainties. Management also assessed other items and risks arising in AIG's businesses and made reasonable judgments and estimates with respect thereto. After consideration, management believes that it will have adequate liquidity to finance and operate AIG's businesses and continue as a going concern for at least the next twelve months.

It is possible that the actual outcome of one or more of management's plans could be materially different or that one or more of management's significant judgments or estimates about the potential effects of the risks and uncertainties could prove to be materially incorrect or that the proposed transactions discussed below are not consummated. If one or more of these possible outcomes is realized, AIG may need additional U.S. government support to meet its obligations as they come due.


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                             American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries


Capital Resources and Liquidity

Liquidity

Liquidity Position

At July 29, 2009, AIG had outstanding net borrowings under the FRBNY Facility of
$40.0 billion, with a remaining borrowing capacity of $20.0 billion, and accrued
compounding interest and fees totaled $4.8 billion.

Net borrowings outstanding and remaining available amount that can be borrowed
under the FRBNY Facility were as follows:


                                                               Inception Through
                                                          December 31,       June 30,         Increase
                                                              2008             2009          (Decrease)
                                                                          (In millions)

Net borrowings:
Loans to AIGFP for collateral postings, GIA and other
debt maturities                                          $       46,997      $  50,847      $      3,850
AIGFP repayments to AIG                                          (4,093 )       (7,939 )          (3,846 )
Capital contributions and loans to insurance
companies(a)                                                     20,850         23,233             2,383
Repayment of obligations to securities lending program            3,160          3,160                 -
Repayment of intercompany loans                                   1,528          1,528                 -
Contributions to AIGCFG subsidiaries(b)                           1,672          1,215              (457 )
Loans to ILFC                                                         -          1,700             1,700
Debt payments                                                     2,109          3,474             1,365
Funding of equity interest in ML III                              5,000          5,000                 -
Repayment from the proceeds of the issuance of
Series D Preferred Stock and common stock warrant               (40,000 )      (40,000 )               -
Other(c)                                                           (423 )       (2,218 )          (1,795 )

Net borrowings                                                   36,800         40,000             3,200

Total FRBNY Facility                                             60,000         60,000                 -

Remaining available amount                                       23,200         20,000            (3,200 )

Net borrowings                                                   36,800         40,000             3,200
Accrued compounding interest and fees(d)                          3,631          4,816             1,185

Total balance outstanding                                $       40,431      $  44,816      $      4,385

(a) Includes securities lending activities.

(b) Includes repayments and sales of subsidiaries.

(c) Includes repayments with proceeds from the CPFF and tax refunds.

(d) Excludes interest payable of $8 million and $5 million at December 31, 2008 and June 30, 2009, respectively, which was included in Other liabilities.

On April 17, 2009, AIG entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with the Department of the Treasury, pursuant to which the Department of the Treasury will provide an amount up to $29.835 billion (the Department of the Treasury Commitment) in exchange for increases in the liquidation preference of AIG's Series F Fixed Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, par value $5.00 per share (the AIG Series F Preferred Stock), so long as (i) AIG is not a debtor in a pending case under Title 11 of the United States Code; and (ii) the AIG Credit Facility Trust, a trust established for the sole benefit of the United States Treasury (Trust) (or any successor entity established for the sole benefit of the United States Treasury) and the Department of the Treasury, in the aggregate, "beneficially own" more than 50 percent of the aggregate voting power of AIG's voting securities. Upon drawings under this commitment, the liquidation preference of the AIG Series F Preferred Stock increases proportionately.


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A summary of drawdown activity and available amount under the Department of the Treasury Commitment were as follows:

                                                                       Inception Through
                                                                         June 30, 2009
                                                                         (In millions)

Initial drawdown for capital contribution to Domestic Life &
Retirement Services companies                                         $             1,150

Total drawdowns                                                                     1,150


Original availability under commitment                                $            29,835
Total drawdowns                                                                    (1,150 )

Remaining available amount                                            $            28,685

On August 6, 2009, AIG delivered a notice of an additional drawdown of approximately $2.1 billion under the Department of Treasury Commitment. AIG expects to receive the funds on August 13, 2009.

Additional details regarding liquidity sources are included in Liquidity of Parent and Subsidiaries below.

Completed and Proposed Transactions in the Second Quarter of 2009

See Notes 1 and 8 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for information regarding the following transactions that were consummated in April 2009:

• Exchange of AIG Series D Preferred Stock for AIG's Series E Fixed Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, par value $5.00 per share (AIG Series E Preferred Stock);

• Issuance of AIG Series F Preferred Stock and the entry into the Department of the Treasury Commitment; and

• Amendment No. 3 to the FRBNY Credit Agreement which, among other things, removed the minimum 3.5 percent London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) borrowing rate floor.

AIA Purchase Agreement

On June 25, 2009, AIG and AIRCO entered into the AIA Purchase Agreement with the FRBNY pursuant to which the FRBNY will purchase preferred equity interests in a newly-formed special purpose vehicle in exchange for a reduction of $16 billion in the outstanding balance of the FRBNY Facility and the maximum amount available to be borrowed thereunder (provided the maximum amount available under the FRBNY Facility will not be less than $25 billion as a result of such reduction).

ALICO Purchase Agreement

On June 25, 2009, AIG entered into the ALICO Purchase Agreement with the FRBNY pursuant to which the FRBNY will purchase preferred equity interests in a newly-formed special purpose vehicle in exchange for a reduction of $9 billion in the outstanding balance of the FRBNY Facility and the maximum amount available to be borrowed thereunder (provided the maximum amount available under the FRBNY Facility will not be less than $25 billion as a result of such reduction).

Amortization of Prepaid Commitment Asset

Any permanent reduction in the FRBNY Facility will result in accelerated amortization of a portion of the prepaid commitment asset. Therefore, AIG anticipates that the consummation of each of the AIA Purchase Agreement and the ALICO Purchase Agreement will result in accelerated amortization of the prepaid commitment asset at the time that the senior interests are transferred to the FRBNY, currently expected to occur no earlier than the fourth quarter of 2009. Acceleration of the amortization will result in a pre-tax charge to earnings which could aggregate to approximately $5.0 billion.


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American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries

Life Insurance Securitizations

On March 2, 2009, AIG and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System announced their intent to enter into transactions pursuant to which the FRBNY will purchase embedded value securitization notes issued by newly-formed SPVs to be repaid with the net cash flows from designated blocks of existing life insurance policies. The proceeds of the notes would be applied in settlement of a portion of the outstanding balance of the FRBNY Facility and would reduce the maximum amount to be borrowed thereunder (provided the maximum amount available under the FRBNY Facility will not be less than $25 billion as a result of such reduction). The amount of the FRBNY Facility reduction will be based on the proceeds received and will also result in accelerated amortization of a portion of the prepaid commitment asset. The SPVs are expected to be consolidated by AIG.

See Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on these transactions.

AIG's Strategy for Stabilization and Repayment of its Obligations as They Come Due

Future Cash Requirements

The following table shows the maturing debt of AIG and its subsidiaries for the
next four quarters:


                              Third        Fourth       First        Second
                             Quarter      Quarter      Quarter      Quarter
                               2009         2009         2010         2010        Total
                                                    (In millions)

        AIG                  $      4     $  1,000     $    888     $      -     $  1,892
        AIG MIP                     -            -          500            -          500
        AIGFP                   2,092        1,183          891          423        4,589
        ILFC(a)                 1,199        2,998          738        1,473        6,408
        AGF(b)(c)               3,209        1,661          739          591        6,200
        Other subsidiaries        169          294          219          206          888

        Total                $  6,673     $  7,136     $  3,975     $  2,693     $ 20,477

(a) International Lease Finance Corporation.

(b) American General Finance, Inc.

(c) On July 9, 2009, AGF converted the $2.45 billion of loans that AGF had previously drawn on its 364-Day Syndicated Facility into one-year term loans. These termed-out loans must be repaid by July 9, 2010.

In addition, at July 29, 2009, AIG affiliates had $10.7 billion of commercial paper outstanding under the CPFF, all of which matures in October 2009. This includes $3.4 billion issued by AIG Funding, Inc. (AIG Funding). If AIG's short-term ratings are downgraded, AIG may lose access to the CPFF and would be required to find other sources to fund the maturing commercial paper.

AIG expects to meet these obligations primarily through borrowings from the FRBNY Facility and the cash flows from, and the disposition of, assets supporting these obligations. Additional liquidity is also available under the Department of Treasury Commitment. Debt maturities for the Matched Investment Program (MIP) are expected to be funded through cash flows generated from invested assets (principal and interest) as well as the sale or financing of the asset portfolios in the program. Approximately $3.3 billion of AIGFP's debt maturities through June 30, 2010 are fully collateralized with assets backing the corresponding liabilities. It is expected that AGF and ILFC will require support from AIG, in addition to their cash flows from operations and proceeds from potential asset sales and securitizations, to meet their existing obligations. AIG intends to provide such support through August 15, 2010 to the extent that asset sales, securitizations and/or other transactions are not sufficient.

In the first six months of 2009, AIG made capital contributions of $2.4 billion to certain of its Domestic Life Insurance & Retirement Services companies. Approximately $1.2 billion of this amount was funded through drawdowns under the Department of the Treasury Commitment. If a substantial portion of the Domestic Life Insurance & Retirement Services bond portfolio diminishes significantly in value or suffers adverse credit events, AIG may need to provide additional capital support for these operations.


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American International Group, Inc. and Subsidiaries

AIG made capital contributions of $641 million to its Commercial Insurance companies in the first six months of 2009, all of which was returned as a dividend to AIG in July 2009. In addition, in connection with the sale by a Commercial Insurance subsidiary of a portion of its common stock of Transatlantic Holdings, Inc. (Transatlantic), AIG made a capital contribution of $91 million in the second quarter of 2009 to that company.

AIG also made a $600 million capital contribution to AGF (through AIG Capital Corporation) during the first six months of 2009, and AGF loaned $800 million to AIG parent under a demand note.

AIG has developed certain plans (described below), some of which have already been implemented, to provide stability to its businesses and to provide for the timely repayment of the FRBNY Facility; other plans are still being formulated.

Asset Disposition Plan

AIG has revised its asset disposition plans over the last nine months to take into account the deterioration of global market conditions. AIG's current asset disposition plan is to maximize the value of its businesses over a longer time frame. AIG continually reassesses its disposition plans and may revise its disposition plans at any time and from time to time.

Sales of Businesses and Specific Asset Dispositions

Sales of Businesses

Dispositions of certain businesses will be subject to regulatory approval. Proceeds from these dispositions, to the extent they do not represent capital of AIG's insurance subsidiaries required for regulatory or ratings purposes, are contractually required to be applied toward the repayment of the FRBNY Facility as mandatory prepayments.

During the first six months of 2009 and through July 31, 2009, AIG entered into agreements to sell or completed the sale of operations and assets, excluding AIGFP assets, that had aggregate assets and liabilities with carrying values of $31.2 billion and $23.8 billion, respectively, at June 30, 2009 or the date of sale or in the case of Transatlantic, deconsolidation. Aggregate net proceeds from these sale transactions are expected to be approximately $8.0 billion. These transactions are expected to generate approximately $4.6 billion of aggregate net cash proceeds to repay outstanding borrowings on, and reduce the amount of, the FRBNY Facility, after taking into account taxes, transaction expenses and capital required to be retained for regulatory or ratings purposes. Gains and losses recorded in connection with the disposals of businesses include estimates that are subject to subsequent adjustment. Based on the transactions thus far, AIG does not believe that such adjustments will be material to future results of operations or cash flows.

These transactions included the following:

• On June 10, 2009, AIG closed a public offering of 29.9 million shares of Transatlantic common stock owned by AIG for aggregate proceeds of $1.1 billion. At the close of the public offering, AIG retained 13.9 percent of Transatlantic's outstanding shares of common stock. As a result, AIG deconsolidated Transatlantic, which resulted in a $1.4 billion reduction in Noncontrolling interest, a component of Total equity.

• On July 1, 2009, AIG closed the sale of its U.S. auto insurance business, 21st Century Insurance Group. This operation had total assets and . . .

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