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FNM > SEC Filings for FNM > Form 10-Q on 6-Aug-2009All Recent SEC Filings

Show all filings for FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION FANNIE MAE | Request a Trial to NEW EDGAR Online Pro

Form 10-Q for FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION FANNIE MAE


6-Aug-2009

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

We have been under conservatorship, with the Federal Housing Finance Agency ("FHFA") acting as conservator, since September 6, 2008. As conservator, FHFA succeeded to all rights, titles, powers and privileges of the company, and of any shareholder, officer or director of the company with respect to the company and its assets. The conservator has since delegated specified authorities to our Board of Directors and has delegated to management the authority to conduct our day-to-day operations. We describe the rights and powers of the conservator, the provisions of our agreements with the U.S. Department of Treasury ("Treasury"), and changes to our business, liquidity, corporate structure, business strategies and objectives since conservatorship in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008 ("2008 Form 10-K") in "Part I-Item 1-Business" and in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2009 ("First Quarter 2009 Form 10-Q") in "Part I-Item 2-Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations-Executive Summary."

You should read this Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations ("MD&A") in conjunction with our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and related notes, and the more detailed information contained in our 2008 Form 10-K. This discussion contains forward-looking statements that are based upon management's current expectations and are subject to significant uncertainties and changes in circumstances. Our actual results may differ materially from those included in these forward-looking statements due to a variety of factors including, but not limited to, those described in this report in "Part II-Item 1A-Risk Factors" and in our 2008 Form 10-K in "Part I-Item 1A-Risk Factors."

Please also refer to our 2008 Form 10-K in "Part I-Item 7-MD&A-Glossary of Terms Used in This Report" for an explanation of terms we use in this report.

INTRODUCTION

Fannie Mae is a government-sponsored enterprise ("GSE") that was chartered by Congress in 1938. Fannie Mae has a public mission to support liquidity and stability in the secondary mortgage market, where existing mortgage loans are purchased and sold. We securitize mortgage loans originated by lenders in the primary mortgage market into mortgage-backed securities that we refer to as Fannie Mae MBS, which can then be bought and sold in the secondary mortgage market. We also participate in the secondary mortgage market by purchasing mortgage loans (often referred to as "whole loans") and mortgage-related securities, including our own Fannie Mae MBS, for our mortgage portfolio. In addition, we make other investments that increase the supply of affordable housing. Under our charter, we may not lend money directly to consumers in the primary mortgage market. Although we are a corporation chartered by the U.S. Congress, and although our conservator is a U.S. government agency and Treasury owns our senior preferred stock and a warrant to purchase our common stock, the U.S. government does not guarantee, directly or indirectly, our securities or other obligations.


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Our Mission

In connection with our public mission to support liquidity and stability in the secondary mortgage market, and in addition to the investments we undertake to increase the supply of affordable housing, FHFA, as our conservator, and the Obama Administration have given us an important role in addressing housing and mortgage market conditions. As we discuss below in "Our Business Objectives and Strategy," "Homeowner Assistance Initiatives" and "Providing Mortgage Market Liquidity," pursuant to our mission, we are concentrating our efforts on keeping people in their homes and preventing foreclosures while continuing to support liquidity and stability in the secondary mortgage market.

Our Business Objectives and Strategy

Our Board of Directors and management consult with our conservator in establishing our strategic direction, taking into consideration our role in addressing housing and mortgage market conditions, and FHFA has approved our business objectives.

We face a variety of different, and potentially conflicting, objectives, including:

• providing liquidity, stability and affordability in the mortgage market;

• immediately providing additional assistance to the mortgage market and to the struggling housing market;

• limiting the amount of the investment Treasury must make under our senior preferred stock purchase agreement with Treasury in order to eliminate a net worth deficit;

• returning to long-term profitability; and

• protecting the interests of the taxpayers.

We therefore regularly consult with and receive direction from our conservator on how to balance these objectives. Our pursuit of our mission creates conflicts in strategic and day-to-day decision-making that could hamper achievement of some or all of these objectives. Our financial results are likely to suffer, at least in the short term, as we expand our efforts to assist the mortgage market, thereby increasing the amount of funds that Treasury is required to provide to us and further limiting our ability to return to long-term profitability.

Pursuant to our mission, we currently are concentrating our efforts on keeping people in their homes and preventing foreclosures. We also are continuing our significant role in the secondary mortgage market through our guaranty business. These efforts are intended to support liquidity and affordability in the mortgage market, while we also work to implement foreclosure prevention programs. Currently, one of the principal ways in which we are pursuing these efforts is through our participation in the Obama Administration's Making Home Affordable Program. We provide an update on our participation in the Making Home Affordable Program below.

Concentrating our efforts on keeping people in their homes and preventing foreclosures while continuing to be active in the secondary mortgage market, rather than concentrating solely on returning to long-term profitability, is likely to contribute, at least in the short term, to additional financial losses and declines in our net worth. Continuing deterioration in the housing and mortgage markets, along with the continuing deterioration in our book of business and the costs associated with these efforts pursuant to our mission, will increase the amount of funds that Treasury is required to provide to us. In turn, these factors put additional pressure on our ability to return to long-term profitability. If, however, the Making Home Affordable Program is successful in reducing foreclosures and keeping borrowers in their homes, it may benefit the overall housing market and help in reducing our long-term credit losses.


Obama Administration Financial Regulatory Reform Plan

In June 2009, the Obama Administration announced a comprehensive financial regulatory reform plan. The Administration's white paper describing the plan notes that "[w]e need to maintain the continued stability and strength of the GSEs during these difficult financial times." Although the white paper does not include proposals for reform of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Home Loan Bank system, the Administration has stated that it expects to provide its recommendations in February 2010. See "Legislative and Regulatory Matters-Obama Administration Financial Regulatory Reform Plan and Congressional Hearing" for more information, including a list of possible reform options for the GSEs outlined in the Administration's white paper.

Housing and Mortgage Market and Economic Conditions

The U.S. residential mortgage market continued to deteriorate in the second quarter of 2009, which adversely affected our financial condition and results of operations. While housing activity, as measured by sales, stabilized in the second quarter of 2009, the number of mortgage delinquencies and mortgage foreclosures continued to increase.

We estimate that home prices on a national basis declined in the first quarter of 2009, but increased slightly in the second quarter of 2009, resulting in an estimated home price decline of 2.2% for the first half of 2009. Although the increase in home prices in the second quarter of 2009 was broad-based, with increases in approximately 75% of large metropolitan statistical areas, the second quarter typically is the highest growth quarter of the year because it is the peak home buying season. Accordingly, as described in "Outlook," we believe that home prices will decline from current levels in the second half of 2009. We estimate that home prices on a national basis have declined by 16.1% from their peak in the third quarter of 2006. Our home price estimates are based on preliminary data and are subject to change as additional data become available.

The economic recession that began in December 2007 continued in the second quarter. The U.S. gross domestic product, or GDP, declined by 1.0% in the second quarter of 2009, compared with a decline of 6.4% in the first quarter of 2009. The U.S. has lost a net total of 6.46 million jobs since the start of the recession. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported successive increases in the unemployment rate in each month of the second quarter, reaching 9.5% in June. High levels of unemployment and severe declines in home prices have contributed to a continued increase in residential mortgage delinquencies.

The number of single-family unsold homes in inventory increased in the second quarter of 2009 as compared to the first quarter, and the supply of homes as measured by the inventory/sales ratio remains high. In addition, we believe there are a considerable number of foreclosed homes that are not yet on the market, as well as a large number of seriously delinquent loans that will be foreclosed upon. These homes are likely to contribute to a significant increase in the market supply of single-family homes in the future.

The National Association of Realtors reported in June 2009 that existing home sales increased in the second quarter of 2009 to roughly the same level they were in the fourth quarter of 2008. Although affordability measures have risen dramatically as home prices have declined from their peak, the limited availability of conventional financing for many potential homebuyers, low consumer confidence and adverse economic conditions have kept purchase activity at historically low levels. However, on a seasonally adjusted basis, single-family housing starts, new home sales, and existing home sales were all higher in June of this year than in March.

In addition, multifamily housing fundamentals are under increasing stress, reflecting broader unfavorable economic conditions, including higher unemployment and severely restricted capital. These conditions are negatively affecting multifamily property level cash flows, vacancy rates and rent levels. Property values are declining due to both the downward pressure on cash flows and the higher premium required by investors. In addition, as some multifamily loans begin reaching maturity during the next several years, some portion of those loans may be exposed to refinancing risk.

As of March 31, 2009, the latest date for which information was available, the amount of U.S. residential mortgage debt outstanding was estimated by the Federal Reserve to be approximately $11.9 trillion, including


$11.0 trillion of single-family mortgages. Total U.S. residential mortgage debt outstanding decreased by 0.2% in the first quarter of 2009 on an annualized basis, compared with an increase of 2.7% in the first quarter of 2008. Our mortgage credit book of business, which consists of the mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities we hold in our investment portfolio, Fannie Mae MBS held by third parties and other credit enhancements that we provide on mortgage assets, was $3.1 trillion as of March 31, 2009, or approximately 26.3% of total U.S. residential mortgage debt outstanding. See "Part I-Item 1A-Risk Factors" of our 2008 Form 10-K for a description of risks to our business associated with the housing market downturn and continued home price declines.

Summary of Our Financial Results and Condition for the Second Quarter and First Six Months of 2009

Our financial results and condition for the second quarter and first six months of 2009 were adversely affected by the ongoing deterioration in the housing and mortgage markets, the economic recession and rising unemployment.

Consolidated Results of Operations

Quarterly Results

We recorded a net loss of $14.8 billion and a diluted loss per share of $2.67 for the second quarter of 2009. Our net loss was driven by significant credit-related expenses, which totaled $18.8 billion in the second quarter, and more than offset our net revenues of $5.6 billion generated from net interest income and guaranty fee income, and $823 million in fair value gains.

In comparison, we recorded a net loss of $23.2 billion and a diluted loss per share of $4.09 for the first quarter of 2009, which was primarily due to credit-related expenses of $20.9 billion, other-than-temporary impairment losses of $5.7 billion and fair value losses of $1.5 billion, which more than offset our net revenues of $5.2 billion. Our net loss of $2.3 billion and diluted loss per share of $2.54 for the second quarter of 2008 reflected credit-related expenses of $5.3 billion that more than offset our net revenues of $4.0 billion and $517 million in fair value gains.

The $8.4 billion decrease in our net loss for the second quarter of 2009 from the first quarter of 2009 was driven principally by: a substantial decrease in other-than-temporary impairment, a significant portion of which was attributable to a change in the accounting standard relating to the assessment of other-than-temporary impairment; a reduction in credit-related expenses; and a shift to fair value gains from fair value losses in the first quarter of 2009.

The $12.5 billion increase in our net loss for the second quarter of 2009 from the second quarter of 2008 was driven principally by a $13.4 billion increase in credit-related expenses that more than offset a $1.7 billion increase in net interest income.

Year-to-Date Results

We recorded a net loss attributable to Fannie Mae of $37.9 billion and a diluted loss per share of $6.76 for the first six months of 2009, driven primarily by credit-related expenses of $39.7 billion and other-than-temporary impairment of $6.4 billion that more than offset our net revenues of $10.8 billion. In comparison, we recorded a net loss attributable to Fannie Mae of $4.5 billion and a diluted loss per share of $5.11 for the first six months of 2008, driven primarily by $8.6 billion in credit-related expenses and $3.9 billion in fair value losses that more than offset our net revenues of $7.7 billion.

The $33.4 billion increase in our net loss for the first six months of 2009 from the first six months of 2008 was driven principally by a $31.1 billion increase in credit-related expenses, coupled with a $5.8 billion increase in other-than-temporary impairment, that more than offset a $3.2 billion increase in net interest income and a $3.2 billion decrease in fair value losses.


Credit Overview

Table 1 below presents information about the credit performance of mortgage
loans in our single-family guaranty book of business for each quarter of 2008
and the first two quarters of 2009, illustrating the worsening trend in
performance throughout 2008 and continuing in the first half of 2009.

Table 1: Credit Statistics, Single-Family Guaranty Book of Business(1)


                                                        2009                                                   2008
                                         Q2 YTD          Q2            Q1          Full Year         Q4           Q3           Q2           Q1
                                                                                  (Dollars in millions)

As of the end of each period:
Serious delinquency rate(2)                  3.94 %        3.94 %        3.15 %          2.42 %       2.42 %       1.72 %       1.36 %       1.15 %
On-balance sheet nonperforming
loans(3)                                $  26,300     $  26,300     $  23,145     $    20,484     $ 20,484     $ 14,148     $ 11,275     $ 10,947
Off-balance sheet nonperforming
loans(4)                                $ 144,183     $ 144,183     $ 121,378     $    98,428     $ 98,428     $ 49,318     $ 34,765     $ 23,983
Combined loss reserves(5)               $  54,152     $  54,152     $  41,082     $    24,649     $ 24,649     $ 15,528     $  8,866     $  5,140
Foreclosed property inventory (number
of properties)(6)                          62,615        62,615        62,371          63,538       63,538       67,519       54,173       43,167
During the period:
Loan modifications (number of
loans)(7)                                  29,130        16,684        12,446          33,388        6,313        5,291       10,229       11,555
HomeSaver Advance problem loan
workouts (number of loans)(8)              32,093        11,662        20,431          70,967       25,788       27,278       16,749        1,152
Foreclosed property acquisitions
(number of properties)(9)                  57,469        32,095        25,374          94,652       20,998       29,583       23,963       20,108
Single-family credit-related
expenses (10)                           $  38,721     $  18,391     $  20,330     $    29,725     $ 11,917     $  9,215     $  5,339     $  3,254
Single-family credit losses(11)         $   5,766     $   3,301     $   2,465     $     6,467     $  2,197     $  2,164     $  1,249     $    857

(1) The single-family guaranty book of business consists of single-family mortgage loans held in our mortgage portfolio, single-family Fannie Mae MBS held in our mortgage portfolio, single-family Fannie Mae MBS held by third parties, and other credit enhancements that we provide on single-family mortgage assets. It excludes non-Fannie Mae mortgage-related securities held in our investment portfolio for which we do not provide a guaranty.

(2) Calculated based on number of conventional single-family loans that are three or more months past due and loans that have been referred to foreclosure but not yet foreclosed upon, divided by the number of loans in our conventional single-family guaranty book of business. We include all of the conventional single-family loans that we own and those that back Fannie Mae MBS in the calculation of the single-family serious delinquency rate.

(3) Represents the total amount of nonaccrual loans, troubled debt restructurings, and first-lien loans associated with unsecured HomeSaver Advance loans including troubled debt restructurings and HomeSaver Advance first-lien loans on accrual status. A troubled debt restructuring is a restructuring of a mortgage loan in which a concession is granted to a borrower experiencing financial difficulty. Prior to the fourth quarter of 2008, we generally classified loans as nonperforming when the payment of principal or interest on the loan was three months or more past due. In the fourth quarter of 2008, we began classifying loans as nonperforming at an earlier stage in the delinquency cycle, generally when the payment of principal or interest on the loan is two months or more past due.

(4) Represents unpaid principal balance of nonperforming loans in our outstanding and unconsolidated Fannie Mae MBS held by third parties, including first-lien loans associated with unsecured HomeSaver Advance loans that are not seriously delinquent. Prior to the fourth quarter of 2008, we generally classified loans as nonperforming when the payment of principal or interest on the loan was three months or more past due. In the fourth quarter of 2008, we began classifying loans as nonperforming at an earlier stage in the delinquency cycle, generally when the payment of principal or interest on the loan is two months or more past due. Loans have been classified as nonperforming according to the classification standard in effect at the time the loan became a nonperforming loan, and prior periods have not been revised to reflect changes in classification.

(5) Consists of the allowance for loan losses for loans held for investment in our mortgage portfolio and reserve for guaranty losses related to both loans backing Fannie Mae MBS and loans that we have guaranteed under long-term standby commitments.


(6) Reflects the number of single-family foreclosed properties we held in inventory as of the end of each period. Includes properties we acquired through deeds in lieu of foreclosure.

(7) Modifications are granted for borrowers experiencing financial difficulty and include troubled debt restructurings as well as other modifications to the terms of the loan. A troubled debt restructuring of a mortgage loan is a restructuring in which a concession is granted to the borrower. It is the only form of modification in which we agree to accept less than the full original contractual principal and interest amount due under the loan, although other resolutions and modifications may result in our receiving the full amount due, or certain installments due, under the loan over a period of time that is longer than the period of time originally provided for under the terms of the loans.

(8) Represents number of first-lien loans associated with unsecured HomeSaver Advance loans.

(9) Includes deeds in lieu of foreclosure.

(10) Consists of the provision for credit losses and foreclosed property expense.

(11) Consists of (a) charge-offs, net of recoveries and (b) foreclosed property expense; adjusted to exclude the impact of SOP 03-3 and HomeSaver Advance fair value losses for the reporting period. Interest forgone on single-family nonperforming loans in our mortgage portfolio is not reflected in our credit losses total. In addition, we exclude other-than-temporary impairment losses resulting from deterioration in the credit quality of our mortgage-related securities and accretion of interest income on single-family loans subject to Statement of Position No. 03-3, Accounting for Certain Loans or Debt Securities Acquired in a Transfer ("SOP 03-3"), from credit losses. See "Consolidated Results of Operations-Credit-Related Expenses-Provision Attributable to SOP 03-3 and HomeSaver Advance Fair Value Losses" for a discussion of SOP 03-3.

As shown in Table 1 above, we continued to experience deterioration in the credit performance of mortgage loans in our guaranty book of business throughout the second quarter of 2009, reflecting the ongoing impact of the adverse conditions in the housing market, as well as the economic recession and rising unemployment. See "Housing and Mortgage Market and Economic Conditions" above for more detailed information regarding these conditions. We expect these conditions to continue to adversely affect our credit results in 2009 and into 2010.

We increased our single-family loss reserves to $54.2 billion as of June 30, 2009, or 31.76% of the amount of our single-family nonperforming loans, from $41.1 billion as of March 31, 2009, or 28.43% of the amount of our nonperforming loans, and $24.6 billion as of December 31, 2008, or 20.73% of the amount of our nonperforming loans. The increase in our loss reserves in the second quarter and first six months of 2009 reflected the continued deterioration in the overall credit performance of loans in our guaranty book of business, as evidenced by the significant increase in delinquent, seriously delinquent and nonperforming loans. In addition, our average loss severity, or average initial charge-off per default, increased as a result of the decline in home prices during the first half of 2009. We recorded a lower provision for credit losses in the second quarter of 2009 than in the first quarter of 2009, however, due to a slower rate of increase in both our estimated default rate and average loss severity as compared with the prior quarter.

We are experiencing increases in delinquency and default rates for our entire guaranty book of business, including on loans with fewer risk layers. Risk layering is the combination of risk characteristics that could increase the likelihood of default, such as higher loan-to-value ratios, lower FICO credit scores, higher debt-to-income ratios and adjustable-rate mortgages. This general deterioration in our guaranty book of business is a result of the stress on a broader segment of borrowers due to the rise in unemployment and the decline in home prices. Certain loan categories continue to contribute disproportionately to the increase in nonperforming loans and credit losses for the second quarter and first six months of 2009. These categories include: loans on properties in the Midwest, California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada; loans originated in 2006 and 2007; and loans related to higher-risk product types, such as Alt-A loans. The term "Alt-A loans" generally refers to mortgage loans that can be underwritten with reduced or alternative documentation than that required for a full documentation mortgage loan but may also include other alternative product features. In reporting our credit exposure, we classify mortgage loans as Alt-A if the lenders that delivered the mortgage loans to us classified the loans as Alt-A based on documentation or other product features. See "Risk Management-Credit Risk Management-Mortgage Credit Risk Management-Mortgage Credit Book of Business" for more detailed information on the risk profile and the performance of the loans in our mortgage credit book of business.

Current market and economic conditions have also adversely affected the liquidity and financial condition of many of our institutional counterparties, particularly mortgage insurers and mortgage servicers, which has


significantly increased the risk to our business of defaults by these counterparties due to bankruptcy or receivership, lack of liquidity, insufficient capital, operational failure or other reasons. See "Risk Management-Credit Risk Management-Institutional Counterparty Credit Risk Management" for more information about our institutional counterparty credit risk.

Consolidated Balance Sheet

Total assets of $911.4 billion as of June 30, 2009 decreased by $1.0 billion, or 0.1%, from December 31, 2008. Total liabilities of $922.0 billion decreased by $5.6 billion, or 0.6%, from December 31, 2008. Total Fannie Mae stockholders' deficit decreased by $4.6 billion during the first six months of 2009, to a deficit of $10.7 billion as of June 30, 2009 from a deficit of $15.3 billion as of December 31, 2008. The decrease in total Fannie Mae stockholders' deficit was attributable to the $34.2 billion in funds received from Treasury under the senior preferred stock purchase agreement, $5.9 billion in unrealized gains on available-for-sale securities and a $3.0 billion reduction in our accumulated deficit to reverse a portion of our deferred tax asset valuation allowance in conjunction with our April 1, 2009 adoption of the new accounting guidance for assessing other-than-temporary impairment, partially offset by our net loss attributable to Fannie Mae of $37.9 billion for the first six months of 2009.

Our mortgage credit book of business increased to $3.2 trillion as of June 30, 2009, from $3.1 trillion as of December 31, 2008 as our market share of mortgage-related securities issuance remained high and new business acquisitions . . .

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