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Form 10-Q for MOLSON COORS BREWING CO


4-Aug-2009

Quarterly Report


ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations ("MD&A") is provided as a supplement to, and should be read in conjunction with, our audited consolidated financial statements, the accompanying notes, and the MD&A included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 28, 2008, as well as our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes included in this Form 10-Q. Due to the seasonality of our operating results, quarterly financial results are not an appropriate basis from which to project annual results.

Effective July 1, 2008, Molson Coors Brewing Company ("MCBC") and SABMiller plc ("SABMiller") combined the U.S. and Puerto Rico operations of their respective subsidiaries, Coors Brewing Company ("CBC") and Miller Brewing Company ("Miller"). In connection with the closing of the joint venture transaction, each of MCBC, CBC, SABMiller and Miller have entered into an Amended and Restated Operating Agreement (the "LLC Operating Agreement"). The LLC Operating Agreement is the primary operating document governing the joint venture, MillerCoors LLC ("MillerCoors").

Beginning in the third quarter of 2008, the results and financial position of U.S. operations, which has historically comprised substantially all of our U.S. reporting segment was, in all material respects, prospectively deconsolidated from MCBC. In the third quarter of 2008 and prospectively, our interest in the new combined operations have been accounted for under the equity method of accounting. Our equity investment in MillerCoors represents our U.S. reporting segment from July 1, 2008 forward.

BUSINESS OVERVIEW

Financial Highlights

    The following second quarter highlights summarize components of our
condensed consolidated summary of operations for the thirteen and twenty-six
weeks ended June 28, 2009 and June 29, 2008. See "RESULTS OF OPERATIONS" below
for further analysis of our reportable segment results (In millions, except
percentages and per share data).

                          Thirteen weeks ended                     Twenty-six weeks ended
                         June 28,      June 29,                    June 28,       June 29,
                           2009          2008       % change         2009           2008       % change
Volume in hectoliters        5.005        13.679        (63.4 )%         8.901       24.388        (63.5 )%
Net sales                $   798.9     $ 1,757.4        (54.5 )%  $    1,357.9    $ 3,114.0        (56.4 )%
Income attributable
to MCBC from
continuing
operations, net of
tax                      $   187.3     $    91.8        104.0 %   $      266.9    $   135.1         97.6 %
Diluted income
attributable to MCBC
per share from
continuing operations    $    1.01     $    0.49        106.1 %   $       1.44    $    0.73         97.3 %


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Consolidated Global Volumes including Proportionate Share of Equity Investments'

volume

                             Thirteen Weeks Ended                       Thirteen Weeks Ended
                          June 28,        June 29,                     June 28,      June 29,
                            2009            2008         % change        2009          2008       % change
                                                 (In millions, except percentages)
                           Actual       Pro forma(1)                    Actual       Reported
Volume in hectoliters:
  Reported financial
  volume                       5.005            5.408         (7.5 )%       5.005       13.679        (63.4 )%
  Royalty volume               0.077            0.067         14.9 %        0.077        0.067         14.9 %

Owned volume                   5.082            5.475         (7.2 )%       5.082       13.746        (63.0 )%
  Proportionate share
  of equity investment
  sales-to-retail(2)           8.451            8.509         (0.7 )%       8.451        0.099          N/M

Total MCBC worldwide
beer volume                   13.533           13.984         (3.2 )%      13.533       13.845         (2.3 )%


º N/M
º = Not meaningful

º (1)
º Reflects the elimination of the U.S. segment volume reported for the thirteen weeks ended June 29, 2008.

º (2)
º Reflects the addition of MCBC proportionate share of equity method subsidiaries sales-to-retail for the periods presented adjusted for comparable trading days, if applicable.

                           Twenty-six Weeks Ended                        Twenty-six Weeks Ended
                          June 28,        June 29,                      June 28,        June 29,
                            2009            2008         % change         2009            2008        % change
                                                   (In millions, except percentages)
                           Actual       Pro forma(1)                     Actual         Reported
Volume in
hectoliters:
  Reported financial
  volume                       8.901            9.609         (7.4 )%        8.901          24.388        (63.5 )%
  Royalty volume               0.128            0.120          6.7 %         0.128           0.120          6.7 %

Owned volume                   9.029            9.729         (7.2 )%        9.029          24.508        (63.2 )%
  Proportionate share
  of equity
  investment
  sales-to-retail(2)          15.021           15.057         (0.2 )%       15.021           0.144          N/M

Total MCBC worldwide
beer volume                   24.050           24.786         (3.0 )%       24.050          24.652         (2.4 )%


º N/M
º = Not meaningful

º (1)
º Reflects the elimination of the U.S. segment volume reported for the twenty-six weeks ended June 29, 2008.

º (2)
º Reflects the addition of MCBC proportionate share of equity method subsidiaries sales-to-retail for the periods presented adjusted for comparable trading days, if applicable.

During the first and second quarters of 2009, our results reflect the adoption of hectoliters as our standard global volume measure and as a result prior period information presented has been adjusted to reflect this change. Worldwide beer volume is composed of our financial volume, royalty volume and proportionate share of equity investment sales-to-retail. Financial volume represents owned beer brands sold to unrelated external customers within our geographical markets. Royalty beer volume consists of product produced and sold by third parties under various license and contract-brewing agreements. Equity investment sales-to-retail volume represents the company's ownership percentage share of volume in its subsidiaries accounted for under the equity method, including MillerCoors and Modelo Molson Imports, L.P.


Table of Contents

Second quarter 2009 highlights

These improved results were driven by cost control initiatives and front-line price management, underpinned by well-executed strategic initiatives. Our ability to build long-term brand value, manage costs, and generate increased cash flows has delivered these favorable results. Meanwhile, tougher markets, poor weather and our strong pricing stance led to a 3.2% decline in our worldwide beer volume volumes, though within this Coors Light grew volumes by 3%. We also faced continuing cost inflation and unfavorable foreign currency movements. The U.K. beer industry continued to post poor volume figures, and there was increasing evidence in both the U.S. and Canadian markets of some consumers moving to "enhanced value propositions"-that is, looking for value in brands, package configurations and channels.

Regional highlights:

º •
º In our Canada business, net pricing grew as price increases in all major markets were partially offset by higher promotional discounting across Canada.

º •
º In the U.K. business, the pretax profit grew substantially through price increases in all major channels and extensive cost reductions.

º •
º MillerCoors continued to achieve double-digit bottom-line growth in the U.S., driven by cost synergy delivery, pricing increases, and lower marketing general and administrative spending.

MCBC cost savings initiatives

We achieved approximately $32 million and $50 million of cost savings during the second quarter and first half of 2009, respectively, as part of our three-year, $250 million Resources for Growth ("RFG") cost savings program. These cost savings include our 42% of RFG cost savings initiatives that were achieved by MillerCoors, which equaled $3 million and $6 million in the second quarter and first half of 2009, respectively. Savings from the RFG program during the past two and a half years total $229 million.

MillerCoors integration and cost synergy initiatives

MillerCoors accelerated synergy delivery timing, realizing $60 million in the second quarter, bringing the total for the first half of 2009 to $110 million. By the end of calendar year 2009, MillerCoors expects to achieve a total of $260 million in synergies, surpassing its original forecast of $225 million. While the timing of synergy delivery has accelerated, MillerCoors' $500 million synergy goal is unchanged.

Income taxes

Our effective tax rate for the second quarter of 2009 was approximately 20%. We anticipate that our 2009 full-year effective tax rate will be in the range of 10% to 14%. Our anticipated full-year rate is lower than our previous guidance due to adjustments in our intercompany financing to reflect recent changes in the global interest-rate environment.

Discontinued operations

Discontinued operations are associated with the formerly-owned Kaiser business in Brazil. See Part I-Financial Statements, Item 1 Note 8 "DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS" and Note 17 "COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES" for discussions of the nature of amounts recognized in the Discontinued Operations section of the condensed consolidated statements of operations, which consists primarily of amounts associated with indemnity obligations to the owners of Kaiser related to purchased tax credits and other tax, civil and labor issues.


Table of Contents

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Canada Segment Results of Operations

Our Canada segment consists primarily of Molson's beer business, including the production and sale of the Molson brands, Coors Light, and other licensed brands in Canada. Effective, January 1, 2008, Molson and Grupo Modelo, S.A.B. de C.V. established a joint venture, Modelo Molson Imports, L.P. ("MMI"), to import, distribute, and market the Modelo beer brand portfolio across all Canadian provinces and territories. MMI is accounted for using the equity method. The Canada segment also includes our arrangements related to the distribution of beer in Ontario and in Western Canada, Brewers' Retail, Inc. ("BRI") and Brewers' Distributor Ltd. ("BDL"), respectively. BRI was a consolidated joint venture through February 28, 2009. As of March 1, 2009, we deconsolidated BRI, and prospectively began accounting for BRI results under the equity method as a result of the reduction in our BRI ownership interest following Labatt's acquisition of Lakeport Brewing in Ontario and the resulting increase in their relative ownership interest in BRI. Also included in the Canada results is BDL, a joint venture accounted for under the equity method.

                              Thirteen Weeks Ended                 Twenty-Six Weeks Ended
                       June 28,    June 29,                  June 28,    June 29,
                         2009        2008       % change       2009        2008       % change
                                          (In millions, except percentages)
  Volume in
  hectoliters              2.402       2.475         (2.9 )%     4.165       4.242         (1.8 )%

  Net sales             $  471.0    $  532.6        (11.6 )%  $  795.7    $  916.2        (13.2 )%
  Cost of goods sold      (231.1 )    (258.5 )      (10.6 )%    (418.5 )    (474.7 )      (11.8 )%

      Gross profit         239.9       274.1        (12.5 )%     377.2       441.5        (14.6 )%
  Marketing, general
  and administrative
  expenses                (103.8 )    (117.1 )      (11.4 )%    (187.3 )    (223.7 )      (16.3 )%
  Special items, net        (0.9 )      (0.5 )        N/M         (9.0 )      (1.9 )        N/M

      Operating
      income               135.2       156.5        (13.6 )%     180.9       215.9        (16.2 )%
  Other income
  (expense), net             1.2        (2.6 )        N/M          5.5         0.7          N/M

      Earnings
      before income
      taxes             $  136.4    $  153.9        (11.4 )%  $  186.4    $  216.6        (13.9 )%


N/M = Not meaningful

Foreign currency impact on results

The Canadian dollar ("CAD") depreciated versus the U.S. dollar ("USD") resulting in an approximate $18 million decrease to USD earnings before income taxes on a quarter over quarter basis during the second quarter. During the comparable twenty-six week periods for 2009 and 2008, the CAD also declined versus the USD, resulting in a $28 million decrease to USD earnings before income taxes.

Volume and net sales

With the formation of MillerCoors, the revenues and production costs of MCBC products sold by Molson in Canada for U.S. distribution, which were previously treated as inter-company sales and eliminated upon consolidation, are now included in Canada segment results. However, the sales volume continues to be eliminated from our Canada results, as this volume is now reported by MillerCoors. These changes will impact the first and second quarters as we cycle prior year results that do not reflect this treatment. To provide more comparable results, we will provide year-over-year changes that exclude the reporting effects in Canada of deconsolidating BRI in March 2009 and setting up MillerCoors in 2008.

Our Canada segment sales volume was 2.4 million hectoliters in the second quarter of 2009, down 2.9% from a year ago while our Canada sales to retail ("STR"), for the calendar quarter ended


Table of Contents

June 30, 2009 decreased 0.5% versus the prior year. The variance between STR and sales volume was driven by differences in reporting periods (calendar versus fiscal, primarily driven by the July 1st Canada Day holiday within our fiscal calendar), along with a decrease in retail inventories of import beer. STRs of Molson's strategic brands, which represent more than 85% of our Canada volume, increased almost 2%, while sales of our other brands declined at a double-digit rate. Strategic brand changes were led by high-single-digit growth of Coors Light and growth of Rickard's. Molson Canadian volumes declined at a mid-single-digit rate versus the prior comparable period.

Comparable net sales per hectoliter increased 2.6% in local currency in the second quarter, driven by favorable net pricing, led by price increases across all major markets and improved sales mix, partially offset by continued discounting activity.

Our Canada segment sales volume was 4.2 million hectoliters in the first half of 2009, down 1.8% from a year ago. Our Canada STRs, for the first half ended June 30, 2009 decreased, 1.5% versus a year ago. STRs of Molson's strategic brands increased almost 1%, while sales of our non-supported brands declined. Strategic brand changes were led by high-single digit growth of Coors Light and growth of Carling. Partner import brands and Molson Canadian volumes declined versus the prior comparable period.

Comparable net sales per hectoliter increased 2.3% in local currency in the first half, driven by favorable net pricing, led by price increases across all major markets and improved sales mix, partially offset by continued discounting activity.

Total Canadian beer industry STRs increased an estimated 1.8% and 0.5% in the calendar second quarter and first half of 2009, respectively. Our estimated Canada market share decreased about 0.9 of a share point in the second quarter of 2009 and about 0.8 of a share point in the first half versus a year ago.

Cost of goods sold

Cost of goods sold per hectoliter increased 1.7% for the second quarter of 2009 and 2.1% for the first half of 2009 on a comparable basis in local currency. The second quarter and first half increases were due to the net effect of three factors:

º •
º Commodity, packaging material, distribution and other cost of goods sold input costs which increased approximately 2.5%, for the second quarter and the first half,

º •
º These inflationary increases were partially offset by savings from our RFG initiatives.

º •
º An increase of approximately 2% and 1.8%, for the second quarter and first half, respectively, was due to ongoing product mix shifts,

Marketing, general and administrative expenses

Comparable marketing, selling, general and administrative expense decreased 1% in the second quarter of 2009 and 3.3% in the first half of 2009 in local currency driven by lower overhead costs. Also, during the first half of 2009 we incurred less long-term incentive compensation expense versus a year earlier.

Special items, net

The Canada segment recognized $0.9 million of special items in the second quarter of 2009 and $9.0 million in the first half of 2009 related to costs associated with the Montreal brewery employee pension curtailment and severance, and the ongoing Edmonton brewery closure and restructuring expenses. See Part I-Financial Statements, Item 1 Note 6 "UNUSUAL OR INFREQUENT ITEMS" to the condensed consolidated financial statements for further discussion.


Table of Contents

United States Segment Results of Operations

During the first two quarters of 2008, the United States ("U.S.") segment produced, marketed and sold the Coors portfolio of brands in the United States and Puerto Rico and included the results of the Rocky Mountain Metal Corporation and Rocky Mountain Bottle Corporation, which were consolidated joint ventures. The U.S. segment also included sales of Molson products in the United States. As of July 1, 2008, MillerCoors began operations. The results and financial position of our U.S. segment operations were prospectively deconsolidated upon contribution to the joint venture, and our interest in MillerCoors is being accounted for and reported by us under the equity method of accounting. This means that 42% of the net income reported by MillerCoors is reported on the MCBC income statement as "Equity income in MillerCoors" (after being adjusted for basis difference amortization, accounting policy differences, and share based compensation). MillerCoors' revenue and expense do not directly appear on our income statement. Similarly, 42% of MillerCoors' cash distributions appear on our statement of cash flows as "Distributions from MillerCoors" and the individual components of MillerCoors' cash flow do not appear on our statement of cash flows. Thus, while our equity investment in MillerCoors represents our U.S. operating segment from and after July 1, 2008, our discussion of its results of operations are not addressed and do not reflect MillerCoors' financial statements and results of operations. See Part I-Financial Statements, Item 1 Note 1 "BASIS OF PRESENTATION," regarding the MillerCoors joint venture.

                              Thirteen Weeks Ended                       Twenty-Six Weeks Ended
                                       June 29,
                      June 28, 2009      2008      % change    June 28, 2009     June 29, 2008    % change
                                               (In millions, except percentages)
Volume in
hectoliters                        -       8.271   N/M                      -            14.779     N/M

Net sales              $           -    $  841.8   N/M          $           -    $      1,491.8     N/M
Cost of goods sold                 -      (514.4 ) N/M                      -            (907.3 )   N/M

    Gross profit                   -       327.4   N/M                      -             584.5     N/M
Marketing, general
and administrative
expenses                           -      (214.6 ) N/M                      -            (412.2 )   N/M
Special items, net                 -       (77.3 ) N/M                      -             (69.3 )   N/M
Equity income in
MillerCoors                    134.1           -   N/M                  231.2                 -     N/M

    Operating
    income                     134.1        35.5   277.7%               231.2             103.0    124.5%
Other income, net                  -        (0.1 ) N/M                      -               2.3     N/M

    Earnings
    before income
    taxes              $       134.1    $   35.4   278.8%       $       231.2    $        105.3    119.6%


N/M = Not meaningful


Table of Contents

The results of operations for MillerCoors for the three and six months ended June 30, 2009, and pro forma results of operations for the three and six month periods ended June 30, 2008 are as follows:

                        For the three months ended                        For the six months ended
                     June 30, 2009     June 30, 2008     % change     June 30, 2009      June 30, 2008     % change
                         Actual          Pro Forma                        Actual           Pro Forma
                                                    (In millions, except percentages)
Volumes in
hectoliters                  22.938            23.326         (1.7 )%         41.360             42.117         (1.8 )%

Sales                 $     2,499.4     $     2,469.7          1.2 %   $     4,505.1     $      4,416.8          2.0 %
Excise taxes                 (362.7 )          (365.7 )       (0.8 )%         (652.5 )           (660.4 )       (1.2 )%

    Net sales               2,136.7           2,104.0          1.6 %         3,852.6            3,756.4          2.6 %
Cost of goods sold         (1,302.3 )        (1,259.8 )        3.4 %        (2,352.2 )         (2,276.8 )        3.3 %

    Gross profit              834.4             844.2         (1.2 )%        1,500.4            1,479.6          1.4 %
Marketing, general
and administrative
expenses                     (500.6 )          (561.2 )      (10.8 )%         (942.4 )         (1,047.1 )      (10.0 )%
Special items, net            (20.4 )          (104.8 )        N/M             (30.8 )           (116.1 )        N/M

    Operating
    income                    313.4             178.2         75.9 %           527.2              316.4         66.6 %
Other (expense)
income, net                    (0.2 )             2.2          N/M              (0.7 )              4.8          N/M

    Income before
    income taxes              313.2             180.4         73.6 %           526.5              321.2         63.9 %
Income tax expense             (2.5 )               -          N/M              (4.6 )                -          N/M

    Net income                310.7             180.4         72.2 %           521.9              321.2         62.5 %
Less: Net income
attributable to
noncontrolling
interests                      (5.8 )            (5.8 )        0.0 %           (11.0 )            (10.0 )       10.0 %

    Net Income
    attributable
    to MillerCoors    $       304.9     $       174.6         74.6 %   $       510.9     $        311.2         64.2 %


N/M = Not meaningful

The unaudited pro forma combined financial information has been derived from the historical financial results of the respective U.S. businesses of MCBC and Miller, giving effect to the MillerCoors transaction and other related adjustments, described below. These pro forma results are not necessarily indicative of the results of operations that would have been achieved had the MillerCoors transaction taken place at the beginning of the pro forma period, and do not purport to be indicative of future operating results.


Table of Contents

                                MILLERCOORS, LLC
            UNAUDITED PRO FORMA CONDENSED COMBINED INCOME STATEMENT
                    For the Three Months Ended June 30, 2008

                                 MCBC's U.S.      Miller's U.S.
                                  Business           Business                              MillerCoors
                               Contributed to     Contributed to      Pro Forma             Pro Forma
                                 MillerCoors       MillerCoors       Adjustments             Results
                                                    (In millions)
Net sales                       $        841.8    $       1,261.5    $        0.7     C    $    2,104.0
Cost of goods sold                      (514.4 )           (757.3 )          11.1     C
                                                                              0.8     D        (1,259.8 )

   Gross profit                          327.4              504.2            12.6                 844.2
Marketing, general and
administrative                          (214.6 )           (308.2 )           3.7     C
                                                                            (14.9 )   A
                                                                            (27.3 )   D
                                                                              0.1     B          (561.2 )
Special items                            (77.3 )            (27.5 )             -                (104.8 )

   Operating income                       35.5              168.5           (25.8 )               178.2
Interest, net                                -                0.2                                   0.2
Other, net                                (0.1 )             17.4           (15.3 )   C             2.0

   Pretax income                          35.4              186.1           (41.1 )               180.4
Income tax expense                           -                  -               -                     -

   Net income                             35.4              186.1           (41.1 )               180.4
Less: Net income
. . .
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