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USU > SEC Filings for USU > Form 10-Q on 31-Jul-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for USEC INC


31-Jul-2009

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The following discussion should be read in conjunction with, and is qualified in its entirety by reference to, the consolidated condensed financial statements and related notes set forth in Part I, Item 1 of this report as well as the risks and uncertainties presented in the annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008.
Overview
USEC, a global energy company, is a leading supplier of low enriched uranium ("LEU") for commercial nuclear power plants. LEU is a critical component in the production of nuclear fuel for reactors to produce electricity. We:
• supply LEU to both domestic and international utilities for use in about 150 nuclear reactors worldwide,

• are deploying what we anticipate will be the world's most advanced uranium enrichment technology, known as the American Centrifuge,

• are the exclusive executive agent for the U.S. government under a nuclear nonproliferation program with Russia, known as Megatons to Megawatts,

• perform contract work for the U.S. Department of Energy ("DOE") and its contractors at the Paducah and Portsmouth gaseous diffusion plants ("GDPs"), and

• provide transportation and storage systems for spent nuclear fuel and provide nuclear and energy consulting services.

Low Enriched Uranium
LEU consists of two components: separative work units ("SWU") and uranium. SWU is a standard unit of measurement that represents the effort required to transform a given amount of natural uranium into two components: enriched uranium having a higher percentage of U235 and depleted uranium having a lower percentage of U235. The SWU contained in LEU is calculated using an industry standard formula based on the physics of enrichment. The amount of enrichment deemed to be contained in LEU under this formula is commonly referred to as the SWU component and the quantity of natural uranium used in the production of LEU under this formula is referred to as its uranium component.
We produce or acquire LEU from two principal sources. We produce about half of our supply of LEU at the Paducah GDP in Paducah, Kentucky. Under the Megatons to Megawatts program, we acquire the remainder of our LEU supply from Russia under a contract, which we refer to as the Russian Contract, to purchase the SWU component of LEU recovered from dismantled nuclear weapons from the former Soviet Union for use as fuel in commercial nuclear power plants.
The Paducah GDP requires a large amount of electric power, and prices for electricity and related fuel have been very volatile during the past year. During non-summer months of 2009, we expect to purchase power from TVA at a level of approximately 2,000 megawatts. We have a fixed-price contract that sets the base price for most of the power we purchase, but our costs fluctuate above or below the base contract price based on fuel and purchased power costs incurred by TVA. This fuel cost adjustment increased our power cost over the base contract price by about 4% in the first six months of 2009, compared to 15% in 2008 and 8% in 2007. Fuel cost adjustments in a given period are based in part on TVA's estimates as well as revisions of estimates for electric power delivered in prior periods. Volatility in power prices and TVA's cost of fuel continue, which results in uncertainty in our financial projections.


American Centrifuge Plant Update
We have been developing and demonstrating a highly efficient uranium enrichment gas centrifuge technology that we call the American Centrifuge. We have a construction and operating license issued by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission and have been deploying this technology since May 2007 in the American Centrifuge Plant ("ACP") being built in Piketon, Ohio. As of June 30, 2009 we had spent approximately $1.5 billion on the ACP and had operated centrifuges as part of our Lead Cascade test program for over 235,000 machine hours, giving us the data and expertise to begin the transition to commercial operation. We had also secured customer commitments to purchase over half of the initial, planned output of the American Centrifuge Plant. However, we need additional financing to complete the plant.
In July 2008, we applied to the DOE Loan Guarantee Program as the path for obtaining $2 billion in U.S. government guaranteed debt financing for the American Centrifuge Plant. Areva, a company majority owned by the French government, also applied for U.S. government guaranteed financing under this program for a proposed plant in the United States and its application is also being considered by DOE. During the first quarter of 2009, we began steps to conserve cash and reduced the planned escalation of project construction and machine manufacturing activities until we gained greater clarity on potential funding for the project through the DOE Loan Guarantee Program.
We have been in discussions with DOE regarding our loan guarantee application and DOE was aware that action on our application was needed in the short term to avoid our having to take further action to slow spending, which would include at least a partial demobilization of the project. In a press release on July 28, 2009, DOE encouraged USEC to withdraw its application for loan guarantee funding for ACP. DOE stated that "[t]his would allow USEC to work over the next 12-18 months to continue research, development, and testing to resolve the technology issues facing ACP without hurting the chances of USEC to secure approval for a loan guarantee in the future." We strongly disagree with DOE's statements and are pursuing further discussions with DOE regarding our loan guarantee application. However, we have initiated the process of demobilizing the project as we evaluate our strategic options for the future of the project. This evaluation will include reviews of scope and scale of the plant, the deployment of machines over a longer time period, alternate financing approaches, and the cost and feasibility of demobilizing and remobilizing at a later date.
The American Centrifuge project was expected to support over 8,000 direct and indirect jobs as manufacturers and construction firms added new employees across the United States. Instead, we have initiated steps to demobilize workers involved in machine part manufacturing and construction of the ACP. This involves coordinated efforts with our strategic suppliers, and their contractors, to lay off workers involved in the project. Specifically, the demobilization is expected to involve layoffs of contract craft workers employed at the Piketon site, along with workers at various manufacturing sites in several states providing equipment and components to be installed in the machine or as elements of the plant infrastructure, as well as USEC employees at Piketon and Oak Ridge. Our initial estimate is that nearly 2,000 contractor and USEC employees directly involved in the project will be laid off in the near term.
In May 2009, we announced that we signed a memorandum of understating with Babcock & Wilcox Technical Services Group, Inc, a unit of Babcock & Wilcox, to form a joint venture that would provide integrated manufacturing and assembly of centrifuge machines for the ACP. Discussions regarding the creation of our joint venture will be deferred until the future course of the project can be determined.
We are currently in the process of formulating our demobilization plan and it will continue to evolve. Design work for the engineering, procurement and construction scope of the ACP is approximately 80% complete. However, construction work is expected to be suspended or significantly curtailed. We currently expect to continue the Lead Cascade test program, including the initial AC100 cascade,


and to continue our efforts to improve machine performance and to reduce the cost of manufacturing the machine through design engineering, however these efforts could be at a reduced level or could be suspended.
In 2002, USEC and DOE signed an agreement (such agreement, as amended, the "2002 DOE-USEC Agreement") in which we and DOE made long-term commitments directed at resolving issues related to the stability and security of the domestic uranium enrichment industry. The 2002 DOE-USEC Agreement contains specific project milestones relating to the American Centrifuge Plant. The last four milestones were amended in January 2009 to replace milestones that were not aligned with our deployment schedule for the American Centrifuge Plant. The first of the new milestones requires that we secure firm financing commitment(s) by November 2009 for the construction of the commercial American Centrifuge Plant with an annual capacity of approximately 3.5 million SWU per year. USEC previously disclosed and communicated to DOE at the time the milestones were amended that our ability to meet the remaining milestones was dependent on our obtaining a commitment for a loan guarantee from DOE in the timeframe needed. If we are not able to obtain a loan guarantee commitment from DOE in the timeframe needed, we would not expect to be able to meet the November 2009 financing milestone or subsequent milestones related to commercial plant operations. The 2002 DOE-USEC Agreement provides that if a delaying event beyond the control and without the fault or negligence of USEC occurs which would affect our ability to meet a milestone, DOE and USEC will jointly meet to discuss in good faith possible adjustments to the milestones as appropriate to accommodate the delaying event.
The ACP was expected to provide the United States with a domestically owned and operated source of low enriched uranium for a growing fleet of nuclear power plants. America's fleet of nuclear reactors provide the vast majority of the electric power that create no greenhouse gases and expansion of that fleet is essential to meeting more stringent regulations intended to curb climate change. Without the ACP, the United States could be entirely dependent upon enrichment provided by enterprises controlled by foreign governments or using foreign technology. The government's action also potentially affects national security and the influence that the United States can bring to efforts to enforce nonproliferation of nuclear weapons.
Revenue from Sales of SWU and Uranium Revenue from our LEU segment is derived primarily from:
• sales of the SWU component of LEU,

• sales of both the SWU and uranium components of LEU, and

• sales of uranium.

The majority of our customers are domestic and international utilities that operate nuclear power plants, with international sales constituting approximately 30% of revenue from our LEU segment in 2008. Our agreements with electric utilities are primarily long-term, fixed-commitment contracts under which our customers are obligated to purchase a specified quantity of SWU from us or long-term requirements contracts under which our customers are obligated to purchase a percentage of their SWU requirements from us. Under requirements contracts, a customer only makes purchases when its reactor has requirements. The timing of requirements is associated with reactor refueling outages. Our agreements for uranium sales are generally shorter-term, fixed-commitment contracts.
Our revenues and operating results can fluctuate significantly from quarter to quarter, and in some cases, year to year. Customer demand is affected by, among other things, reactor operations, maintenance and the timing of refueling outages. Utilities typically schedule the shutdown of their reactors for refueling to coincide with the low electricity demand periods of spring and fall. Thus, some reactors are scheduled for annual or two-year refuelings in the spring or fall, or for 18-month cycles alternating between both seasons. Customer payments for the SWU component of LEU


typically average approximately $15 million per order. As a result, a relatively small change in the timing of customer orders for LEU due to a change in a customer's refueling schedule may cause operating results to be substantially above or below expectations. Customer requirements and orders are more predictable over the longer term, and we believe our performance is best measured on an annual, or even longer, business cycle. Our revenue could be adversely affected by actions of the NRC or nuclear regulators in foreign countries issuing orders to modify, delay, suspend or shut down nuclear reactor operations within their jurisdictions.
Our financial performance over time can be significantly affected by changes in prices for SWU and uranium. The long-term SWU price indicator, as published by TradeTech, LLC in Nuclear Market Review, is an indication of base-year prices under new long-term enrichment contracts in our primary markets. Since our backlog includes contracts awarded to us in previous years, the average SWU price billed to customers typically lags behind the current price indicators by several years. Following are TradeTech's long-term SWU price indicator, the long-term price for uranium hexafluoride ("UF6"), as calculated by USEC using indicators published in Nuclear Market Review, and TradeTech's spot price indicator for UF6:

                                               June 30,     December 31,     June 30,
                                                 2009           2008           2008
      Long-term SWU price indicator ($/SWU)   $ 165.00      $    159.00     $ 152.00
      UF6:
      Long-term price composite ($/KgU)         182.09           195.15       234.34
      Spot price indicator ($/KgU)              137.00           140.00       163.00

A substantial portion of our earnings and cash flows in recent years has been derived from sales of uranium, including uranium generated by underfeeding the production process at the Paducah GDP. We may also purchase uranium from suppliers in connection with specific customer contracts, as we have in the past. Underfeeding is a mode of operation that uses or feeds less uranium but requires more SWU in the enrichment process, which requires more electric power. In producing the same amount of LEU, we vary our production process to underfeed uranium based on the economics of the cost of electric power relative to the prices of uranium and enrichment. Spot market prices for uranium declined in the past year, reducing the value of underfeeding the enrichment process to obtain uranium for resale. Given supply and demand conditions in the spot uranium market, we see fewer opportunities for near-term spot sales. We will continue to monitor and optimize the economics of our production based on the cost of power and market conditions for SWU and uranium.
We supply uranium to the Russian Federation for the LEU we receive under the Russian Contract. We replenish our uranium inventory with uranium supplied by customers under our contracts for the sale of SWU and through underfeeding our production process.
Under the terms of many uranium sale agreements, title to uranium is transferred to the customer and we receive payment under normal credit terms without physically delivering the uranium to the customer. The recognition of revenue and earnings for such uranium sales is deferred until LEU associated with such uranium is physically delivered to the customer rather than at the time title to uranium transfers to the customer. The timing of revenue recognition for uranium sales is uncertain.
Revenue from U.S. Government Contracts We perform and earn revenue from contract work for DOE and DOE contractors at the Paducah and Portsmouth GDPs, including a contract for maintenance of the Portsmouth GDP in cold shutdown. DOE and USEC have periodically extended the Portsmouth GDP cold shutdown contract, most recently through August 31, 2009. DOE has announced its intention to negotiate a sole-source


extension of the cold shutdown contract through September 30, 2010. Continuation of U.S. government contracts is subject to DOE funding and Congressional appropriations. Revenue from U.S. government contracts is based on allowable costs determined under government cost accounting standards. Allowable costs include direct costs as well as allocations of indirect plant and corporate overhead costs and are subject to audit by the Defense Contract Audit Agency. Also refer to "DOE Contract Services Matter" in note 10 to the consolidated condensed financial statements. Revenue from the U.S. government contracts segment includes revenue from our subsidiary NAC International Inc. ("NAC").
Cost of Sales
Cost of sales for SWU and uranium is based on the amount of SWU and uranium sold and delivered during the period and is determined by a combination of inventory levels and costs, production costs, and purchase costs. We produce about one-half of our SWU supply at the Paducah GDP. Production costs consist principally of electric power, labor and benefits, long-term depleted uranium disposition cost estimates, materials, depreciation and amortization, and maintenance and repairs. The quantity of uranium that is added to uranium inventory from underfeeding is accounted for as a byproduct of the enrichment process. Production costs are allocated to the uranium added to inventory based on the net realizable value of the uranium, and the remainder of production costs is allocated to SWU inventory costs. Under the monthly moving average inventory cost method that we use, an increase or decrease in production or purchase costs will have an effect on inventory costs and cost of sales over current and future periods.
We purchase about one-half of our SWU supply under the Russian Contract. We have agreed to purchase approximately 5.5 million SWU each calendar year for the remaining term of the Russian Contract through 2013. Prices are determined using a discount from an index of international and U.S. price points, including both long-term and spot prices. A multi-year retrospective view of the index is used to minimize the disruptive effect of short-term market price swings. Increases in these price points in recent years have resulted in increases to the index used to determine prices under the Russian Contract. The pricing methodology under the Russian Contract for deliveries in 2010 through 2013 was amended in February 2009 and the amendment was subsequently approved by the U.S. and Russian governments. The new pricing methodology is intended to enhance the stability of future pricing for both parties through a formula that combines a different mix of price points and other pricing elements. We expect that prices paid under the Russian Contract, as amended, will continue to increase year over year, and that the total amount paid to the Russian Federation for the SWU component of the LEU delivered under the Russian Contract over the 20 year term of the contract will substantially exceed $8 billion by the time the contract is completed in 2013. Officials of the Russian government have announced that Russia will not extend the Russian Contract or the government-to-government agreement it implements, beyond 2013. Accordingly, we do not anticipate that we will purchase Russian SWU under the Megatons to Megawatts program after 2013.
We provide for the remainder of our supply mix from the Paducah GDP. The gaseous diffusion process uses significant amounts of electric power to enrich uranium. Costs for electric power are approximately 70-75% of production costs at the Paducah GDP. We purchase most of the electric power for the Paducah GDP under a power purchase agreement with TVA that expires May 31, 2012. The base price under the TVA power contract increases moderately based on a fixed, annual schedule, and is subject to a fuel cost adjustment provision to reflect changes in TVA's fuel costs, purchased power costs, and related costs. The impact of the fuel cost adjustment has been negative for USEC, imposing an average increase over base contract prices of about 4% in the first six months of 2009, compared to 15% in 2008 and 8% in 2007. Fuel cost adjustments in a given period are based in part on TVA's estimates as well as revisions of estimates for electric power delivered in prior periods. The impact of future fuel cost adjustments, which is substantially influenced by coal and purchased power prices and hydroelectric power availability, is uncertain and our cost of power


could fluctuate in the future above or below the agreed increases in the base energy price. We expect the fuel cost adjustment to continue to cause our purchase cost to remain above base contract prices, but the impact is uncertain given volatile energy prices.
We store depleted uranium generated from our operations at the Paducah and Portsmouth GDPs and accrue estimated costs for its future disposition. We anticipate that we will send most or all of our depleted uranium to DOE for disposition unless a more economic disposal option becomes available. DOE is constructing facilities at the Paducah and Portsmouth GDPs to process large quantities of depleted uranium owned by DOE. Under federal law, DOE would also process our depleted uranium if we provided it to DOE for disposal. If we were to dispose of our depleted uranium in this way, we would be required to reimburse DOE for the related costs of disposing of our depleted uranium, including our pro rata share of DOE's capital costs. Processing DOE's depleted uranium is expected to take about 25 years. The timing of the disposal of our depleted uranium has not been determined. The long-term liability for depleted uranium disposition is dependent upon the volume of depleted uranium that we generate and estimated processing, transportation and disposal costs. Our estimate of the unit disposal cost is based primarily on estimated cost data obtained from DOE without consideration given to contingencies or reserves, and was increased by 9% in the second quarter of 2009. The NRC requires that we guarantee the disposition of our depleted uranium with financial assurance (refer to "Liquidity and Capital Resources - Financial Assurance and Related Liabilities"). Our estimate of the unit disposition cost for accrual purposes is approximately 30% less than the unit disposition cost for financial assurance purposes, which includes contingencies and other potential costs as required by the NRC. Our estimated cost and accrued liability, as well as financial assurance we provide for the disposition of depleted uranium, are subject to change as additional information becomes available.
Advanced Technology Costs - American Centrifuge Costs relating to the American Centrifuge technology are charged to expense or capitalized based on the nature of the activities and estimates and judgments involving the completion of project milestones. Costs relating to the demonstration of American Centrifuge technology are charged to expense as incurred. Demonstration costs historically have included NRC licensing of the American Centrifuge Demonstration Facility in Piketon, Ohio, engineering activities, and assembling and testing of centrifuge machines and equipment at centrifuge test facilities located in Oak Ridge, Tennessee and at the American Centrifuge Demonstration Facility.
Expenditures related to American Centrifuge technology for the six months ended June 30, 2009 and 2008, as well as cumulative expenditures as of June 30, 2009, follow (in millions):

                                                                                         Cumulative
                                                            Six Months Ended               as of
                                                                June 30,                  June 30,
                                                          2009            2008              2009
Amount expensed as part of advanced technology
costs                                                   $    61.9        $  51.2        $      604.0
Amount capitalized as part of property, plant and
equipment (A)                                               227.8          202.1               872.1
Prepayments to suppliers for services not yet
performed                                                     0.2            5.9                24.9

Total ACP expenditures, including accruals (B)          $   289.9        $ 259.2        $    1,501.0

(A) Cumulative
capitalized
costs as of
June 30, 2009
include
interest of
$36.4 million.

(B) Total
expenditures
are all
American
Centrifuge
costs
including, but
not limited
to,
demonstration
facility,
licensing
activities,
commercial
plant
facility,
program
management,
interest
related costs
and accrued
asset
retirement
obligations
capitalized.
This includes
$29.0 million
of accruals at
June 30, 2009.


Capitalized centrifuge costs are recorded in property, plant and equipment as part of construction work in progress. Of the costs capitalized to date, approximately 60% relate to the American Centrifuge Plant in Piketon, Ohio and 40% relate to machine manufacturing and assembly efforts primarily occurring in Oak Ridge, Tennessee. Capitalized costs relating to the American Centrifuge technology include NRC licensing of the American Centrifuge Plant, engineering activities, construction of AC100 centrifuge machines, process and support equipment, leasehold improvements and other costs directly associated with the commercial plant.
In addition, included in other long-term assets are approximately $1.3 million for deferred financing costs related to the DOE Loan Guarantee Program, such as loan guarantee application fees paid to DOE and third-party costs. Deferred financing costs will be amortized over the life of the loan or, if USEC determines that it will not receive a loan, charged to expense.
The continued capitalization of American Centrifuge costs is subject to ongoing review and successful project completion. During the second half of 2007, we moved from a demonstration phase to a commercial plant phase in which significant expenditures are capitalized based on management's judgment that the technology has a high probability of commercial success and meets internal targets related to physical control, technical achievement and economic viability. If conditions change and deployment were no longer probable, costs that were previously capitalized would be charged to expense.
As previously discussed under "- Overview - American Centrifuge Plant Update" we have initiated the process of demobilizing the American Centrifuge project as we evaluate our strategic options. This evaluation will include reviews of scope and scale of the plant, the deployment of machines over a longer period, alternate financing approaches, and the cost and feasibility of demobilizing and remobilizing at a later date. Based on a probability-weighted analysis, we believe that future cash flows from ACP will exceed our capital investment. Since we believe our capital investment is fully recoverable, no impairment for costs previously capitalized is anticipated at this time. We will continue to evaluate this assessment as conditions change.
For a discussion regarding financing for the American Centrifuge project, see "Management's Discussion and Analysis - Liquidity and Capital Resources." Risks and uncertainties related to the financing, construction and deployment of the American Centrifuge Plant are described in Item 1A, "Risk Factors" of our 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Advanced Technology Costs - MAGNASTOR™ Advanced technology costs also include research and development efforts undertaken for NAC, relating primarily to its new generation MAGNASTOR . . .

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