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JWN > SEC Filings for JWN > Form 10-Q on 9-Jun-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for NORDSTROM INC


9-Jun-2009

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
(Amounts in millions except per share and per square foot amounts)
The following discussion should be read in conjunction with the Management's Discussion and Analysis section of our 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Commission on March 23, 2009.
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION CAUTIONARY STATEMENT Certain statements in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q contain "forward-looking" statements (as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) that involve risks and uncertainties, including anticipated financial results, use of cash and liquidity, growth, store openings and trends in our operations. Actual future results and trends may differ materially from historical results or current expectations depending upon various factors including, but not limited to:
• the impact of deteriorating economic and market conditions and the resulting impact on consumer spending patterns
• our ability to respond to the business environment and fashion trends
• our ability to safeguard our brand and reputation
• our ability to effectively manage inventory
• efficient and proper allocation of our capital resources
• successful execution of our store growth strategy including the timely completion of construction associated with newly planned stores, relocations and remodels, all of which may be impacted by the financial health of third parties
• our compliance with applicable banking and related laws and regulations impacting our ability to extend credit to our customers
• trends in personal bankruptcies and bad debt write-offs
• availability and cost of credit
• changes in interest rates
• disruptions in our supply chain
• our ability to maintain our relationships with vendors and developers who may be experiencing economic difficulties
• the geographic location of our stores
• our ability to maintain our relationships with our employees and to effectively train and develop our future leaders
• our compliance with information security and privacy laws and regulations, employment laws and regulations and other laws and regulations applicable to the company
• successful execution of our technology strategy
• successful execution of our multi-channel strategy
• risks related to fluctuations in world currencies
• weather conditions and hazards of nature that affect consumer traffic and consumers' purchasing patterns
• the effectiveness of planned advertising, marketing and promotional campaigns
• our ability to control costs
• timing and amounts of any share repurchases by the company

These and other factors, including those factors described in Part I, "Item 1A. Risk Factors" in our Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2009 and in Part II, "Item 1A. Risk Factors" on page 26 of this report, could affect our financial results and trends and cause actual results and trends to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements we may provide. As a result, while we believe there is a reasonable basis for the forward-looking statements, you should not place undue reliance on those statements. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events, new information or future circumstances. This discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.

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Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations
(Continued) (Amounts in millions except per share and per square foot amounts)
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Overview

                                                              First Quarter
                                                             2009       2008
          Net earnings                                     $   81     $  119
          Net earnings as a percentage of total revenues     4.5%       6.1%
          Earnings per diluted share                       $ 0.37     $ 0.54

For the quarter ended May 2, 2009, earnings were $81, or $0.37 per diluted share, compared with earnings of $119, or $0.54 per diluted share for the quarter ended May 3, 2008. Included in the 2009 first quarter results was a benefit of approximately $12, or $0.06 per diluted share, related to the closure of our 2007 federal tax return audit. For the first quarter of 2009, overall business trends were consistent with our plan and we maintained our discipline with respect to inventory and expenses. As a result, our performance was in line with our planned sales and better than our planned earnings. While the retail portion of our business is less volatile, recent trends have shown deterioration in our credit business as delinquency rates continue to increase. Key highlights of the first quarter include:
• Total net sales for the quarter ended May 2, 2009 decreased 9.2% due to same-store sales decreases, partially offset by the addition of stores. For the quarter, total company same-store sales decreased 13.2%, compared with a 6.5% same-store sales decline last year. Although full-line same-store sales decreased, Rack delivered an increase in same-store sales of 1.2%.

• Gross profit, as a percentage of net sales, decreased 215 basis points compared with last year's first quarter. Approximately half of the decline was due to the impact of fixed buying and occupancy costs as a percentage of reduced sales, with the remaining decline due to reduced merchandise margins as a percentage of net sales. During the first quarter of 2009, we continued to maintain inventory levels that were consistent with current sales trends.

• Retail selling, general and administrative expenses decreased $46 compared to the prior year, inclusive of $17 in expenses in 2009 from stores opened since the first quarter of 2008. We opened six full-line stores and ten Nordstrom Rack stores since the first quarter of 2008, increasing our retail square footage by 5.7%.

• Credit selling, general and administrative expenses increased $42 compared with last year's first quarter due to higher levels of bad debt.

• For the 2009 fiscal year, we currently expect earnings per diluted share in the range of $1.25 to $1.50, increased from the previous range of $1.10 to $1.40.

Retail Stores, Direct and Other Segments
Summary
Our Retail Stores segment includes our full-line and Rack stores; our Direct
segment includes our online store; and our Other segment includes our product
development group and corporate center operations. The following table
summarizes the combined results of our Retail Stores, Direct and Other segments
for the quarter ended May 2, 2009 compared with the quarter ended May 3, 2008:

                                                                               First Quarter
                                                               2009                                      2008
                                                  Amount          % of net sales2           Amount          % of net sales2
Net sales                                       $  1,706                 100.0 %          $  1,879                 100.0 %
Cost of sales and related buying and
occupancy costs                                   (1,095 )               (64.2 %)           (1,170 )               (62.2 %)

Gross profit1                                        611                  35.8 %               709                  37.8 %
Selling, general and administrative
expenses                                            (447 )               (26.2 %)             (493 )               (26.2 %)

Earnings before interest and income taxes            164                   9.6 %               216                  11.5 %

1 Gross profit
is
calculated
as net sales
less Retail
Stores,
Direct and
Other
segments
cost of
sales and
related
buying and
occupancy
costs.

2 Subtotals
and totals
may not foot
due to
rounding.

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Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations
(Continued) (Amounts in millions except per share and per square foot amounts)
Net Sales

                                                          First Quarter
                                                        2009           2008
          Net sales                                    $  1,706      $ 1,879
          Net sales decrease                              (9.2% )      (3.8% )
          Total company same-store sales decrease        (13.2% )      (6.5% )

Total net sales for the first quarter decreased 9.2% over the same period in the prior year as the consumer environment continued to be challenging, with decreases at our full-line stores offset by increases for our Rack stores. Same-store sales for our full-line stores decreased 16.5%. The largest decreases came in men's wear, designer apparel and men's shoes, which were below the full-line same-store sales average. We have seen the decline in men's apparel and shoes correspond with the economic downturn. In 2009, consumers continue to be conservative with their spending, which impacted the results of our designer category. Merchandise categories with results above the same-store sales average included junior women's apparel and cosmetics. Our merchants continue to work with our vendors to provide a balanced and compelling merchandise offering to our customers.
Regionally, the Northwest, California and the Northeast experienced same-store sales below the full-line store average.
Our Rack channel delivered a 1.2% same-store sales increase for the quarter ended May 2, 2009. These results were driven by growth in shoes and women's apparel categories. Shoes benefited from the sales of junior women's footwear, while women's apparel was led by trend tops.
Sales for our Direct channel were approximately flat for the quarter ended May 2, 2009 compared with the same period last year.
We expect full year 2009 same-store sales to decrease in the range of 10% to 15%.
Gross Profit

                                                First Quarter
                                             2009          2008
                     Gross profit           $   611       $   709
                     Gross profit rate1       35.8%         37.8%

1 Gross profit rate is calculated as gross profit divided by net sales.

                                                       First Quarter
                                                     2009         2008
              Average inventory per square foot    $ 48.62      $ 53.00
              Inventory turnover rate1                5.08         5.05


1 Inventory
  turnover
  rate is
  calculated
  as the
  trailing
  12 months
  cost of
  sales and
  related
  buying and
  occupancy
  costs (for
  all
  segments)
  divided by
  5-quarter
  average
  inventory.

Retail gross profit decreased $98 for the first quarter of 2009 compared with the first quarter of 2008 while our retail gross profit rate deteriorated 200 basis points for the quarter. Our gross profit rate is made up of both merchandise margin and buying and occupancy costs. The impact of our fixed buying and occupancy costs as a percentage of reduced sales drove approximately half of the decrease in our gross profit rate. Our merchandise margin drove the remaining decrease, as lower initial markups and an unfavorable merchandise mix were partially offset by lower markdowns.
Our inventory turnover rate was consistent with last year, while our average inventory per square foot decreased 8.3% compared with the quarter ended May 3, 2008. Continued efforts to align inventory levels with lower demand resulted in lower average inventory per square foot.
Based on our performance for the first quarter of 2009, we currently expect our retail gross profit rate for the full year 2009 to decrease 130 to 200 basis points from 2008 levels.

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Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations
(Continued) (Amounts in millions except per share and per square foot amounts)
Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

                                                             First Quarter
                                                           2009        2008
          Selling, general and administrative expenses   $   447     $   493
          Selling, general and administrative rate1        26.2%       26.2%

1 Selling,
general and
administrative
rate is
calculated as
selling,
general and
administrative
expenses for
our Retail
Stores, Direct
and Other
segments as a
percentage of
net sales.

Selling, general and administrative expenses for our Retail Stores, Direct and Other segments decreased 9%, or $46 compared to last year's first quarter. Lower variable expenses as well as fixed cost savings drove a decrease of approximately $63, which was partially offset by $17 in expenses for the six full-line and ten Rack stores opened since the first quarter of 2008. Retail square footage increased 1.2, or 5.7% since the first quarter of 2008. Variable expenses decreased consistent with the decrease in sales. Fixed cost reductions were primarily in services purchased, advertising and labor.
We currently anticipate our retail selling, general and administrative expenses to decrease $100 to $200 for 2009.
Credit Segment
The Nordstrom credit card products are designed to grow retail sales and customer relationships by providing superior payment products, services and loyalty benefits. We believe that owning our credit card business allows us to fully integrate our rewards program with our retail stores and provide superior service to our customers, thus deepening our relationship with them and driving higher levels of customer loyalty. Each card enables participation in the Nordstrom Fashion Rewardsฎ program, through which customers accumulate points based on their level of spending (two points per dollar spent at Nordstrom and one point per dollar spent outside of Nordstrom stores). Upon reaching two thousand points, customers receive twenty dollars in Nordstrom Notesฎ, which can be redeemed for goods or services in our stores. As customers increase their level of spending they receive additional benefits, including rewards such as complimentary shipping and alterations in our retail stores. We believe the Fashion Rewards program, including these additional rewards, helps drive sales in our Retail Stores and Direct segments.

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Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
(Continued) (Amounts in millions except per share and per square foot amounts)
The table below illustrates a detailed view of the operational results of our Credit segment, consistent with the segment disclosure provided in the notes to the condensed consolidated financial statements. In order to view the total economic contribution of our credit card program, intercompany merchant fees are also included in the table below. Intercompany merchant fees represent the estimated intercompany income of our credit business from the usage of our cards in the Retail Stores and Direct segments. To encourage the use of Nordstrom cards in our stores, the Credit segment does not charge the Retail Stores and Direct segments an intercompany interchange merchant fee. On a consolidated basis, we avoid these costs which would be incurred if our customers used third-party cards.

                                                                         First Quarter
                                                                      2009             2008
Finance charge revenue                                             $     64          $   51
Interchange                                                              16              16
Late fees and other revenue                                               6               3

Total credit card revenues                                               86              70
Interest expense                                                        (10 )           (13 )

Net credit card income                                                   76              57
Cost of sales - loyalty program                                         (12 )            (9 )
Selling, general and administrative expenses                            (92 )           (50 )

Total expense                                                          (104 )           (59 )

Credit card charge to earnings before income taxes, as
presented in segment disclosure                                         (28 )            (2 )

Intercompany merchant fees                                               10              10

Total credit card (charge) contribution                            $    (18 )        $    8


Average accounts receivable investment (assuming 80% of
accounts receivable is funded with debt)                           $    402          $  357
Credit card (charge) contribution, net of tax, as a
percentage of average accounts receivable investment1                (10.8% )          5.6%


1 Based on annualized
  first quarter credit
  card
  (charge) contribution,
  net of tax

Net Credit Card Income
Credit card revenues include finance charges, interchange fees, late and other fees. The majority of our credit accounts have finance charge rates that vary with changes in the prime rate. Interchange fees are earned from the use of Nordstrom VISA credit cards at merchants outside of Nordstrom.
Credit card revenues increased from $70 in the first quarter of 2008 to $86 in the first quarter of 2009 due to the change in our credit card terms that were implemented in the fourth quarter of 2008 and growth in our accounts receivable balance.
Based on results for the first quarter of 2009 as well as the previously implemented increases in annual percentage rate terms, we expect our credit card revenues for 2009 to increase $75 to $80.
Interest expense is assigned to the Credit segment proportionate to the amount of debt estimated to fund our credit card receivables, which assumes a mix of 80% debt and 20% equity. The average accounts receivable investment metric included in the table above represents our best estimate of the amount of capital for our credit card program that is financed by equity. As a means of assigning comparable cost of capital for our credit card business, we believe it is important to maintain a capital structure similar to other financial institutions. Based on our research, we have found that debt as a percentage of credit card receivables for other credit card companies ranges from 70% to 90%. We believe that debt equal to 80% of our credit card receivables is appropriate given our overall capital structure goals.
Interest expense decreased to $10 in the first quarter of 2009 from $13 in the first quarter of 2008 due to declining variable interest rates, partially offset by higher average borrowings.

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Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
(Continued) (Amounts in millions except per share and per square foot amounts)
Cost of Sales
Cost of sales includes the estimated cost of Nordstrom Notes that will be issued and redeemed under our Fashion Rewards program. The increase in cost of sales expense to $12 in the first quarter of 2009 compared with $9 in the first quarter in 2008 was primarily due to a Nordstrom Fashion Rewards triple point event held for Nordstrom cardholders in the first quarter of 2009. This event replaced a Nordstrom Fashion Rewards event in 2008 that began in late April and extended into May last year.
Credit Selling, General and Administrative Expenses Selling, general and administrative expenses for our credit segment are made up of operational and marketing expenses and bad debt. These expenses are summarized in the following table:

                                                                   First Quarter
                                                                  2009       2008
     Operational and marketing expense                          $   25     $   24
     Bad debt expense                                               67         26

     Total credit selling, general and administrative expense   $   92     $   50

Operational and marketing expenses, which are incurred to support and service our credit card products, remained relatively constant at $25 for the first quarter of 2009 compared with $24 for the first quarter of 2008. This reflects expenses that are relatively fixed when compared to portfolio growth and our continued focus on controlling expenses.
Bad debt expense increased to $67 in the first quarter of 2009 from $26 in the first quarter of 2008 due to increased delinquencies and write-offs reflecting current consumer credit trends, as well as reserves for higher projected losses inherent in the receivables portfolio as of May 2, 2009.
The following table illustrates the activity in the allowance for doubtful accounts for the first quarter of 2009 and 2008:

                                                                         First Quarter
                                                                     2009             2008
Allowance at beginning of period                                   $   138          $   73
Bad debt provision                                                      67              26
Net write-offs                                                         (44 )           (23 )

Allowance at end of period                                         $   161          $   76


Allowance as a percentage of accounts receivable                      8.0%            4.3%
Bad debt provision as a percentage of average accounts
receivable1                                                          13.3%            5.8%
Net write-offs as a percentage of average accounts
receivable2                                                           8.7%            4.9%

1 Based upon annualized first quarter bad debt provision.

2 Based upon annualized first quarter net write-offs.

We increased our allowance for doubtful accounts by $23 during the first quarter of 2009 due to our expectations around future write-offs. We experienced an increase in delinquencies in the first quarter and believe they are a key indicator that write-offs will continue to be elevated through the remainder of 2009. We currently expect our credit selling, general and administrative expenses to increase $35 to $45 for 2009, due to rising unemployment rates, which we believe leads to higher delinquencies and ultimately higher write-offs. We continue to take actions to reduce our risk exposure by tightening underwriting and account management standards. However, additional deterioration in the overall economic environment, including continued deterioration in the labor market, could cause delinquencies to increase beyond our current expectations, resulting in additional bad debt expense.

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Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations
(Continued) (Amounts in millions except per share and per square foot amounts)
Total Company Results
Income Tax Expense

                                                First Quarter
                                              2009        2008
                       Income tax expense   $    34     $    77
                       Effective tax rate     29.4%       39.3%

Our effective tax rate decreased to 29.4% for the first quarter of 2009, from 39.3% for the same period in 2008. The decrease was due to a benefit of approximately $12, or $0.06 per diluted share, included in the 2009 first quarter results related to the closure of our 2007 federal tax return audit. Including the impact of this settlement, we expect our effective tax rate to be between 36.5% and 37.0% for 2009.
Seasonality
Our business, like that of other retailers, is subject to seasonal fluctuations. Our Anniversary Sale in July, the holidays in December, and our Half-yearly sales events typically result in higher sales in the second and fourth quarters of our fiscal years. Accordingly, results for any quarter are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be achieved for a full fiscal year.

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Table of Contents

Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
(Continued) (Amounts in millions except per share and per square foot amounts)
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) (Non-GAAP financial measure) We define Return on Invested Capital as follows:

                           Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
                  ROIC =
                                   Average Invested Capital



Numerator = NOPAT                       Denominator = Average Invested Capital

Net Earnings                            Average total assets
+ Income tax expense                    - Average non-interest-bearing current
                                        liabilities
+ Interest expense, net                 - Average deferred property incentives

= EBIT                                  + Average estimated asset base of
                                        capitalized operating leases

+ Rent expense                          = Average invested capital

- Estimated depreciation on
capitalized operating leases

= Net operating profit
- Estimated income tax expense

= NOPAT

We believe that ROIC is a useful financial measure for investors in evaluating our operating performance for the periods presented. When read in conjunction with our net earnings and total assets and compared to return on assets, it provides investors with a useful tool to evaluate our ongoing operations and our management of assets from period to period. Over the past several years, we have incorporated ROIC into our key financial metrics, and since 2005 have used it as an executive incentive measure. Our research has shown historically that overall . . .

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