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PETD > SEC Filings for PETD > Form 10-Q on 8-May-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for PETROLEUM DEVELOPMENT CORP


8-May-2009

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

SPECIAL NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This periodic report contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of
Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 regarding our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in and incorporated by reference into this report are forward-looking statements. Words such as expects, anticipates, intends, plans, believes, seeks, estimates and similar expressions or variations of such words are intended to identify forward-looking statements herein, which include statements of estimated oil and natural gas production and reserves, drilling plans, future cash flows, anticipated liquidity, anticipated capital expenditures and our management's strategies, plans and objectives. However, these are not the exclusive means of identifying forward-looking statements herein. Although forward-looking statements contained in this report reflect our good faith judgment, such statements can only be based on facts and factors currently known to us. Consequently, forward-looking statements are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties, including risks and uncertainties incidental to the exploration for, and the acquisition, development, production and marketing of, natural gas and oil, and actual outcomes may differ materially from the results and outcomes discussed in the forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward looking statements include, but are not limited to:

· changes in production volumes, worldwide demand, and commodity prices for oil and natural gas;

· the timing and extent of our success in discovering, acquiring, developing and producing natural gas and oil reserves;

· our ability to acquire leases, drilling rigs, supplies and services at reasonable prices;

· the availability and cost of capital to us;

· risks incident to the drilling and operation of natural gas and oil wells;

· future production and development costs;

· the availability of sufficient pipeline and other transportation facilities to carry our production and the impact of these facilities on price;

· the effect of existing and future laws, governmental regulations and the political and economic climate of the United States of America;

· the effect of natural gas and oil derivatives activities;

· conditions in the capital markets; and

· losses possible from pending or future litigation.

Further, we urge you to carefully review and consider the cautionary statements made in this report, our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, and our other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") and public disclosures. We caution you not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this report. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements in order to reflect any event or circumstance occurring after the date of this report or currently unknown facts or conditions or the occurrence of unanticipated events.


Index

Results of Operations

Summary of Operations

The following table sets forth selected information regarding our results of
operations, including production volumes, oil and gas sales, average sales
prices received, average sales price including realized derivative gains and
losses, average lifting cost, other operating income and expenses for the three
months ended March 31, 2009, or first quarter 2009, and the three months ended
March 31, 2008, or first quarter 2008.


                                                             Summary Operating Results
                                                            Three Months Ended March 31,
                                                         2009            2008          Change
Production (1)
Oil (Bbls)                                                343,884         255,452          34.6 %
Natural gas (Mcf)                                       9,090,261       6,946,822          30.9 %
Natural gas equivalent (Mcfe) (2)                      11,153,565       8,479,534          31.5 %

Oil and Gas Sales (in thousands)
Oil sales                                            $     12,989     $    20,727         -37.3 %
Gas sales                                                  29,334          50,919         -42.4 %
Provision for underpayment of gas sales                    (2,581 )             -             *
Total oil and gas sales                              $     39,742     $    71,646         -44.5 %

Realized Gain (Loss) on Derivatives, net (in
thousands)
Oil derivatives                                      $      7,294     $    (1,306 )           *
Natural gas derivatives                                    29,332          (1,105 )           *
Total realized gain (loss) on derivatives, net       $     36,626     $    (2,411 )           *

Average Sales Price (excluding realized
gains/losses on derivatives)
Oil (per Bbl)                                        $      37.77     $     81.14         -53.5 %
Natural gas (per Mcf)                                $       3.23     $      7.33         -55.9 %
Natural gas equivalent (per Mcfe)                    $       3.79     $      8.45         -55.1 %

Average Sales Price (including realized
gains/losses on derivatives)
Oil (per Bbl)                                        $      58.98     $     76.03         -22.4 %
Natural gas (per Mcf)                                $       6.45     $      7.17         -10.0 %
Natural gas equivalent (per Mcfe)                    $       7.08     $      8.16         -13.3 %

Average Lifting Cost per Mcfe (3)                    $       0.93     $      1.13         -17.7 %

Other Operating Income (4) (in thousands)
Natural gas marketing activities                     $        511     $     1,204         -57.6 %
Oil and gas well drilling                            $         48     $     3,005         -98.4 %

Costs and Expenses (in thousands)
Exploration expense                                  $      5,643     $     4,283          31.8 %
General and administrative expense                   $     12,094     $     9,823          23.1 %
Depreciation, depletion and amortization             $     34,344     $    21,131          62.5 %

Interest Expense (in thousands)                      $      8,383     $     4,932          70.0 %

* Percentage change not meaningful or equal to or greater than 250% Amounts may not calculate due to rounding



(1) Production is net and determined by multiplying the gross production volume of properties in which we have an interest by the percentage of the leasehold or other property interest we own.

(2) A ratio of energy content of natural gas and oil (six Mcf of natural gas equals one Bbl of oil) was used to obtain a conversion factor to convert oil production into equivalent Mcf of natural gas.

(3) Lifting costs represent oil and gas operating expenses which exclude production taxes.

(4) Includes revenues and operating expenses.


Index

During first quarter 2009, we experienced the continuation of dramatic declines in oil and natural gas commodity prices from late July of last year. Last year was marked with a series of unprecedented events: oil and natural gas prices soared to near record highs through July; then, in the midst of U.S. credit turmoil and a worldwide economic slump, in December, oil prices fell to their lowest in four years and natural gas prices dropped by almost half. While we certainly felt the impact of these events, we believe that we were successful in managing our operations in such a manner that we were able to minimize the negative impacts. As production increased to 11.2 Bcfe for first quarter 2009 compared to 8.5 Bcfe for first quarter 2008, an increase of 31.5%, our average sales price declined $4.66 per Mcfe. However, our derivative position eased the impact of the fall in oil and natural gas prices. Our realized derivative gains for first quarter 2009 of $36.6 million added an average of $3.29 per Mcfe produced during first quarter 2009, somewhat easing the dramatic drop in prices. At March 31, 2009, we estimate the net fair value of our open derivative positions, excluding the derivative positions attributed to our affiliated partnerships, to be $104.5 million. See the Liquidity and Capital Resources discussion below for the steps we are taking in this uncertain economic environment.

Depressed commodity prices for first quarter 2009 as compared to the higher prices in first quarter 2008 were the primary contributors to the $66 million change in oil and gas price risk management. Of the $66 million change, $57.5 million was related to the change in unrealized gains and losses on derivative instruments. Unrealized gains and losses are non-cash items and these non-cash charges to our consolidated statement of operations will continue to fluctuate with the fluctuation in commodity prices until the positions mature or are closed, at which time they will become realized or cash items. While the required accounting treatment for derivatives that do not qualify for hedge accounting treatment under FAS No. 133 may result in significant swings in operating results over the life of the derivatives, the combination of the settled derivative contracts and the revenue received from the oil and gas sales at delivery are expected to result in a more predictable cash flow stream than would the sales contracts without the associated derivatives.

The table below, which demonstrates the volatility in the markets' projected commodity prices, sets forth the average NYMEX and CIG prices for the next 24 months (forward curve) from the selected dates.

                             December 31,      June 30,       December 31,       March 31,
    Commodity      Index        2007             2008             2008             2009

    Natural gas:   NYMEX   $          8.12     $   12.52     $         6.62     $      5.44
                   CIG                6.78          8.86               4.49            4.15
    Oil:           NYMEX             90.79        140.15              57.49           59.35

Oil and Gas Sales Activity

The following tables set forth oil and natural gas production and sales activity
by area.


                                               Three Months Ended March 31,
                                             2009            2008         Change
         Production
         Oil (Bbls)
         Rocky Mountain Region                341,357         253,533        34.6 %
         Appalachian Basin                      1,704           1,096        55.5 %
         Michigan Basin                           823             823         0.0 %
         Total                                343,884         255,452        34.6 %
         Natural gas (Mcf)
         Rocky Mountain Region              7,828,763       5,599,765        39.8 %
         Appalachian Basin                    975,681         967,620         0.8 %
         Michigan Basin                       285,817         379,437       -24.7 %
         Total                              9,090,261       6,946,822        30.9 %
         Natural gas equivalent (Mcfe)
         Rocky Mountain Region              9,876,905       7,120,963        38.7 %
         Appalachian Basin                    985,905         974,196         1.2 %
         Michigan Basin                       290,755         384,375       -24.4 %
         Total                             11,153,565       8,479,534        31.5 %


Index

                                                                         Three Months Ended March 31,
                                                                      2009             2008         Change
Average Sales Price (excluding realized derivative gains/losses)
Oil (per Bbl)
Rocky Mountain Region                                              $    37.78       $    81.08         -53.4 %
Appalachian Basin                                                       37.06            88.71         -58.2 %
Michigan Basin                                                          36.90            96.03         -61.6 %
Weighted average price                                                  37.77            81.14         -53.5 %
Natural gas (per Mcf)
Rocky Mountain Region                                              $     2.95       $     7.13         -58.6 %
Appalachian Basin                                                        5.04             8.41         -40.1 %
Michigan Basin                                                           4.24             7.63         -44.4 %
Weighted average price                                                   3.23             7.33         -55.9 %
Natural gas equivalent (per Mcfe)
Rocky Mountain Region                                              $     3.65       $     8.49         -57.0 %
Appalachian Basin                                                        5.04             8.45         -40.4 %
Michigan Basin                                                           4.26             7.74         -45.0 %
Weighted average price                                                   3.79             8.45         -55.1 %

While our production increased to 11.2 Bcfe for first quarter 2009 from 8.5 Bcfe for first quarter 2008, our oil and gas sales revenue decreased $31.9 million quarter-to-quarter, primarily due to the dramatic decline in commodity prices, partially offset by increased volumes. Approximately $39.5 million of the decrease in revenue was due to pricing, offset in part by increased production, which contributed $10.1 million. The decrease in oil and gas sales revenue was offset by realized derivative gains for first quarter 2009 of $36.6 million, see Oil and Gas Price Risk Management, Net discussion below.

Oil and Natural Gas Pricing. Financial results depend upon many factors, particularly the price of oil and natural gas and our ability to market our production effectively. Oil and natural gas prices have been among the most volatile of all commodity prices. These price variations have a material impact on our financial results. Oil and natural gas prices also vary by region and locality, depending upon the distance to markets, and the supply and demand relationships in that region or locality. This can be especially true in the Rocky Mountain Region. The combination of increased drilling activity and the lack of local markets have resulted in a local market oversupply situation from time to time. Like most producers in the region, we rely on major interstate pipeline companies to construct these facilities to increase pipeline capacity, rendering the timing and availability of these facilities beyond our control. Oil pricing is also driven strongly by supply and demand relationships.

The price we receive for a large portion of the natural gas produced in the Rocky Mountain Region is based on a market basket of prices, which generally includes gas sold at CIG prices as well as gas sold at Mid-Continent or other nearby region prices. The CIG Index, and other indices for production delivered to other Rocky Mountain pipelines, has historically been less than the price received for natural gas produced in the eastern regions, which is NYMEX based.

Although 86.1% of our natural gas production for first quarter 2009 is produced in the Rocky Mountain Region, much of our Rocky Mountain natural gas pricing is based upon other indices in addition to CIG. The table below identifies the pricing basis of our oil and natural gas sales based on production for first quarter 2009. The pricing basis is the index that most closely relates to the price under which our oil and natural gas is sold.

                                 Energy Market Exposure
                       For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2009
                                                                           Percent of
 Area                    Pricing Basis                        Commodity     Production

 Piceance/Wattenberg     Colorado Interstate Gas (CIG)           Gas              37%
 Colorado/North Dakota   NYMEX                                   Oil              18%
 Piceance                San Juan Basin/Southern California      Gas              16%
 NECO                    Mid Continent (Panhandle Eastern)       Gas              12%
 Appalachian             NYMEX                                   Gas               9%
 Wattenberg              Colorado Liquids                        Gas               4%
 Michigan                Mich-Con/NYMEX                          Gas               3%
 Other                   Other                                 Gas/Oil             1%
                                                                                 100%


Index

Oil and Gas Production and Well Operations Costs. Oil and gas production and well operations cost includes our lifting cost, production taxes, the cost to operate wells and pipelines for our affiliated partnerships and other third parties (whose income is included in well operations and pipeline income) and certain production and engineering staff related overhead costs.

                                                Three Months Ended March 31,
                                                  2009                 2008
                                                       (in thousands)

      Lifting cost, excluding production
      taxes                                  $       10,321       $        9,610
      Production taxes                                1,913                5,015
      Costs for well operations segment               1,643                1,362
      Overhead and other production
      expenses                                        2,339                2,145
      Total oil and gas production and
      well operations cost                   $       16,216       $       18,132

Lifting Costs. Lifting costs per Mcfe, excluding production taxes which fluctuate with oil and natural gas prices, decreased 17.7% to $0.93 per Mcfe for first quarter 2009 from $1.13 per Mcfe for first quarter 2008. The decrease is primarily due to a 31.5% increase in production, which allows us to spread the fixed portion of our production costs over an increased volume, thereby lowering the per unit cost. Additionally, lower oil and natural gas prices have also put pressure on oil and gas service providers to reduce their rates, for which we have started seeing the benefits. We expect a downward trend to continue until commodity prices rebound.

Production Taxes. Production taxes decreased $3.1 million or 61.9% to $1.9 million. This decrease is primarily related to the 40.9% decrease in oil and gas sales along with a decrease of $1.1 million in our estimated 2008 taxes.

Oil and Gas Price Risk Management, Net


                                                    Three Months Ended March 31,
                                                      2009                 2008
                                                           (in thousands)
  Oil and gas price risk management, net:
  Realized gain (loss)
  Oil                                            $        7,294       $       (1,306 )
  Natural gas                                            29,332               (1,105 )
  Total realized gain, net                               36,626               (2,411 )
  Reclassification of realized (gains) losses
  included in prior periods unrealized                  (30,193 )                351
  Unrealized gains (losses) for the period               17,250              (40,250 )
                                                 $       23,683       $      (42,310 )

The net unrealized gain for first quarter 2009 of $17.3 million was primarily due to a $33 million net unrealized gain from our commodity derivatives offset in part by a decrease in fair value of our CIG basis protection swaps of $15.7 million. The net unrealized gain from commodity derivatives resulted from the continued decline in commodity prices during the first quarter. The unrealized loss from our CIG basis protection swaps resulted from a more significant decline in NYMEX pricing compared to CIG pricing. The realized gains from commodity derivatives resulted from the current realized prices being below our swaps and floor contract prices.

Oil and gas price risk management, net includes realized gains and losses and unrealized changes in the fair value of derivative instruments related to our oil and natural gas production. Oil and gas price risk management, net does not include derivative transactions related to natural gas marketing activities, which are included in sales from and cost of natural gas marketing activities. See Note 3, Fair Value Measurements, and Note 4, Derivative Financial Instruments, to the accompanying condensed consolidated financial statements for additional details of our derivative financial instruments.

Oil and Gas Derivative Activities. We use various derivative instruments to manage fluctuations in oil and natural gas prices. We have in place a series of collars, fixed price swaps and basis swaps on a portion of our oil and natural gas production. Under the collar arrangements, if the applicable index rises above the ceiling price or swap, we pay the counterparty; however, if the index drops below the floor or swap, the counterparty pays us.


Index

The following table identifies our derivative positions (excluding the derivative positions allocated to our affiliated partnerships) related to oil and gas sales activities in effect as of March 31, 2009, on our production by area. Our production volumes for first quarter 2009 were 343,884 Bbls of oil and
9.1 Bcf of natural gas. No new positions have been entered into subsequent to March 31, 2009, through the date of this filing.

                                             Floors                          Ceilings                    Swaps (Fixed Prices)               Basis Protection Contracts              Fair Value
                                                    Weighted                         Weighted                           Weighted                                 Weighted               At
Commodity/                         Quantity         Average         Quantity         Average          Quantity          Average            Quantity               Average            March 31,
Index/                            (Gas-MMbtu        Contract       (Gas-MMbtu        Contract        (Gas-MMbtu         Contract          (Gas-MMbtu             Contract              2009
Operating Area                     Oil-Bbls)         Price          Oil-Bbls)         Price           Oil-Bbls)          Price             Oil-Bbls)               Price          (in thousands)

Natural Gas
Rocky Mountain Region
CIG
2Q 2009                             3,641,103     $       5.75       3,641,103     $       8.90                 -     $          -                     -       $           -     $          11,931
3Q 2009                             3,641,103             5.75       3,641,103             8.90                 -                -                     -                   -                10,461
4Q 2009                             2,656,180             6.70       2,656,180            10.26         1,008,939             9.20                     -                   -                14,292
2010                                2,845,497             6.84       2,845,497            10.93         1,513,408             9.20             6,957,835                1.88                 9,664
2011                                1,022,667             4.75       1,022,667             9.45                 -                -             7,651,364                1.88                (4,769 )
2012                                        -                -               -                -                 -                -             7,687,672                1.88                (5,623 )
2013                                        -                -               -                -                 -                -             6,888,618                1.88                (4,358 )

PEPL
2Q 2009                               720,000             6.14         720,000            10.81                 -                -                     -                   -                 2,426
3Q 2009                               720,000             6.14         720,000            10.81                 -                -                     -                   -                 1,957
4Q 2009                               580,000             7.81         580,000            12.68           240,000            10.91                     -                   -                 3,909
2010                                1,470,000             6.52       1,470,000            10.79         1,060,000             7.99                     -                   -                 5,858
2011                                  390,000             5.76         390,000             9.56                 -                -                     -                   -                   218

NYMEX
2010                                  417,447             5.75         417,447             8.30         6,016,290             5.60                     -                   -                (1,123 )
2011                                  551,618             5.75         551,618             8.30                 -                -                     -                   -                   (84 )

Appalachian and Michigan Basins
NYMEX
2Q 2009                               903,434             7.13         903,434            12.85           429,430             9.09                     -                   -                 5,309
3Q 2009                               903,434             7.13         903,434            12.85           429,430             9.09                     -                   -                 4,842
4Q 2009                               866,452             9.00         866,452            15.66           429,138             9.09                     -                   -                 5,343
2010                                1,543,551             8.22       1,543,551            14.19         1,879,614             8.78                     -                   -                 9,503
2011                                  264,504             6.62         264,504            11.64           797,515             9.60                     -                   -                 2,411
2012                                        -                -               -                -           154,379             9.89                     -                   -                   378
Total Natural Gas                                                                                                                                                                           72,545

Oil
Rocky Mountain Region
NYMEX
. . .
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