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7-May-2009
Quarterly Report
• the cyclical nature of the property and casualty industry;
• changes in market prices of our significant equity investments and changes in value of our debt portfolio;
• the long-tail and potentially volatile nature of certain casualty lines of business written by our insurance operating units;
• the cost and availability of reinsurance;
• exposure to terrorist acts;
• the willingness and ability of our insurance operating units' reinsurers to pay reinsurance recoverables owed to our insurance operating units;
• changes in the ratings assigned to our insurance operating units;
• claims development and the process of estimating reserves;
• legal and regulatory changes;
• the uncertain nature of damage theories and loss amounts;
• increases in the levels of risk retention by our insurance operating units; and
• adverse loss development for events insured by our insurance operating units in either the current year or prior year.
Additional risks and uncertainties include general economic and political conditions, including the effects of a prolonged U.S. or global economic downturn or recession; changes in costs;
variations in political, economic or other factors; risks relating to conducting
operations in a competitive environment; effects of acquisition and disposition
activities, inflation rates or recessionary or expansive trends; changes in
interest rates; extended labor disruptions, civil unrest or other external
factors over which we have no control; and changes in our plans, strategies,
objectives, expectations or intentions, which may happen at any time at our
discretion. As a consequence, current plans, anticipated actions and future
financial condition and results may differ from those expressed in any
forward-looking statements made by us or on our behalf.
Critical Accounting Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in accordance with accounting
principles generally accepted in the United States of America, or "GAAP,"
requires us to make estimates and assumptions. These estimates and assumptions
affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of
contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements, as
well as the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting
period covered by the financial statements. Critical accounting estimates are
defined as those estimates that are important to the presentation of our
financial condition and results of operations and require us to exercise
significant judgment.
We review our critical accounting estimates and assumptions quarterly. These
reviews include evaluating the adequacy of reserves for unpaid losses and loss
adjustment expenses and the reinsurance allowance for doubtful accounts,
analyzing the recoverability of deferred tax assets, assessing goodwill for
impairment and evaluating the investment portfolio for other than temporary
declines in estimated fair value. Actual results may differ from the estimates
used in preparing the consolidated financial statements.
Readers are encouraged to review our Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2008, or the "2008 10-K," for a more complete description of our
critical accounting estimates.
Consolidated Results of Operations
The following discussion and analysis presents a review of our results for
the three months ended March 31, 2009 and 2008. You should read this review in
conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and other data presented
in this Form 10-Q as well as "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations" and "Risk Factors" contained in our 2008
10-K. Our results for the first three months of 2009 are not indicative of
operating results in future periods.
Overview
We are engaged, through AIHL and its subsidiaries, primarily in the property
and casualty and surety insurance business. In addition, AIHL Re, a captive
reinsurance subsidiary of AIHL, has in the past provided reinsurance to our
insurance operating units and affiliates. We also own and manage properties in
the Sacramento, California region through our subsidiary Alleghany Properties
and conduct corporate investment and other activities at the parent level,
including the holding of strategic equity investments. In addition, we own
approximately 33 percent of the outstanding shares of common stock of Homesite
Group Incorporated, or "Homesite," a national, full-service, mono-line provider
of homeowners insurance, and approximately 38 percent of the voting interests of
ORX Exploration, Inc., or "ORX," a regional gas and oil exploration and
production company. Our primary sources of revenues and earnings are our
insurance operations and investments.
The profitability of our insurance operating units, and as a result, our
profitability, is primarily impacted by the adequacy of premium rates, level of
catastrophe losses, investment returns, intensity of competition and the cost of
reinsurance. The ultimate adequacy of premium rates is not known with certainty
at the time property casualty insurance policies are issued because premiums are
determined before claims are reported. The adequacy of premium rates is affected
mainly by the severity and frequency of claims, which are influenced by many
factors, including natural disasters, regulatory measures and court decisions
that define and expand the extent of coverage and the effects of economic
inflation on the amount of compensation due for injuries or losses.
Catastrophe losses, or the absence thereof, can have a significant impact on
our results. For example, RSUI's pre-tax catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance,
were $97.9 million in 2008, primarily reflecting 2008 third quarter hurricane
net losses of $80.9 million from Hurricanes Ike, Gustav and Dolly, compared with
net catastrophe losses of $47.1 million in 2007 and $14.8 million in 2006. The
incidence and severity of catastrophes in any short period of time are
inherently unpredictable. Catastrophes can cause losses in a variety of our
property and casualty lines, and most of our past catastrophe-related claims
have resulted from severe hurricanes.
Our profitability is also affected by net realized capital gains or losses
and investment income. Our invested assets, which are derived primarily from our
own capital and cash flow from our insurance operating units, are invested
principally in debt securities, although we also invest in equity securities.
The return on debt securities is primarily impacted by general interest rates
and the credit quality and duration of the securities. Net realized capital
gains include gains or losses realized upon sale of invested assets, as well as
impairment charges related to unrealized losses that were deemed to be other
than temporary and, as such, are required to be charged against earnings as
realized losses regardless of whether we continue to hold the applicable
security. In the 2009 first quarter, our net realized capital losses of
$5.6 million included $66.1 million of impairment charges. Of the $66.1 million
of impairment charges, $45.9 million related to energy sector equity holdings,
$9.2 million related to holdings in various other equity sectors and
$11.0 million related to debt security holdings. The determination that
unrealized losses on such securities were other than temporary was primarily
based on the severity of the declines in fair value of such securities relative
to their cost as of the balance sheet date. Such severe declines are primarily
related to a significant deterioration of U.S. equity market conditions during
the latter part of 2008 and extending through the first quarter of 2009. If U.S.
equity market conditions persist or deteriorate further during 2009, we may be
required to record additional impairment charges later in 2009, which could have
a material adverse impact on our results of operations.
The profitability of our insurance operating units is also impacted by
competition generally, and price competition in particular. Historically, the
financial performance of the property and casualty insurance industry has tended
to fluctuate in cyclical periods of price competition and excess underwriting
capacity, known as a soft market, followed by periods of high premium rates and
shortages of underwriting capacity. Although an individual insurance company's
financial performance is dependent on its own specific business characteristics,
the profitability of most property and casualty insurance companies tends to
follow this cyclical market pattern. Our insurance operating units began to
experience increased competition in certain of their lines of business during
2006. This competitive environment continued during
2007, 2008 and during the 2009 first quarter, resulting in fewer opportunities
to write business and/or a decrease in pricing over that time.
As part of their overall risk and capacity management strategy, our insurance
operating units purchase reinsurance for certain amounts of risk underwritten by
them, especially catastrophe risks. The reinsurance programs purchased by our
insurance operating units are generally subject to annual renewal. Market
conditions beyond their control determine the availability and cost of the
reinsurance protection they purchase, which may affect the level of business
written and thus their profitability.
The following table summarizes our consolidated revenues, costs and expenses
and earnings for the three months ended March 31, 2009 and 2008.
Three months ended March 31,
(in millions) 2009 2008
Revenues
Net premiums earned $ 218.0 $ 245.5
Net investment income 27.9 35.3
Net realized capital (losses) gains (5.6 ) 74.7
Other income 0.5 0.1
Total revenues 240.8 355.6
Costs and expenses
Loss and loss adjustment expenses 112.8 135.2
Commissions, brokerage and other underwriting expenses 67.4 70.4
Other operating expenses 9.2 11.7
Corporate administration 0.8 10.0
Interest expense 0.2 0.2
Total costs and expenses 190.4 227.5
Earnings from continuing operations, before income taxes 50.4 128.1
Income taxes 5.8 37.5
Earnings from continuing operations 44.6 90.6
Earnings from discontinued operations, net of tax* - 5.3
Net earnings $ 44.6 $ 95.9
Revenues:
AIHL $ 186.9 $ 273.8
Corporate activities** 53.9 81.8
(Losses) earnings from continuing operations, before income
taxes:
AIHL ($2.2 ) $ 57.0
Corporate activities** 52.6 71.1
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* Discontinued operations consist of the operations of Darwin Professional Underwriters, Inc., or "Darwin," net of minority interest expense and the gain on disposition in 2008. Additional information regarding the results of discontinued operations can be found in Note 2 to the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements set forth in Item 8 of our 2008 10-K.
** Corporate
activities
consist of
Alleghany
Properties,
Homesite, ORX
and corporate
activities at
the parent
level.
Operating Results
Our earnings from continuing operations before income taxes in the first
three months of 2009 decreased from the corresponding 2008 period, primarily
reflecting net realized capital losses in the 2009 period, compared with
substantial net realized capital gains in the 2008 period. The 2009 net realized
capital losses reflect significant impairment charges related to unrealized
losses that were deemed to be other than temporary and, as such, are required to
be charged against earnings, partially offset by sales at the parent level of
common stock of Burlington
Northern Santa Fe Corporation, or "Burlington Northern." The 2008 first quarter
net realized capital gains primarily reflect sales at the parent level of common
stock of Burlington Northern, partially offset by impairment charges for
unrealized losses that were deemed to be other than temporary. Additional
information regarding our investments can be found on pages 26 through 28
herein.
Net premiums earned in the 2009 first quarter decreased from the
corresponding 2008 period primarily reflecting the impact of continuing
competition at each of our insurance operating units. Loss and loss adjustment
expenses decreased in the 2009 first quarter from the corresponding 2008 period,
primarily reflecting the net effect of lower net premium volume at our insurance
operating units and lower property losses incurred by RSUI in the 2009 period.
The decrease in other operating expenses and corporate administration expense in
the 2009 period primarily reflects lower incentive compensation accruals at the
subsidiary and parent levels, respectively, due in part to less favorable
investment results and the resulting reduction in earnings.
The effective tax rate on earnings from continuing operations before income
taxes was 11.5 percent for the first three months of 2009, compared with
29.3 percent for the corresponding 2008 period. The lower effective tax rate
primarily reflects the greater impact of tax-exempt income on our reduced
earnings in the 2009 period.
AIHL Operating Unit Pre-Tax Results from Continuing Operations
(in millions, except ratios) RSUI AIHL Re CATA EDC AIHL
Three months ended March 31,
2009
Gross premiums written $ 250.1 - $ 42.1 $ 16.4 $ 308.6
Net premiums written 149.7 - 38.2 15.3 203.2
Net premiums earned (1) $ 160.7 $ 41.9 $ 15.4 $ 218.0
Loss and loss adjustment
expenses 77.5 - 20.9 14.4 112.8
Commission, brokerage and other
underwriting expenses (2) 41.0 - 18.8 7.6 67.4
Underwriting profit (loss) (3) $ 42.2 - $ 2.2 ($6.6 ) $ 37.8
Net investment income (1) 27.0
Net realized capital losses (1) (58.6 )
Other income (1) 0.5
Other expenses (2) (8.9 )
Losses from continuing
operations, before income taxes ($2.2 )
Loss ratio (4) 48.2 % - 50.0 % 93.5 % 51.7 %
Expense ratio (5) 25.5 % - 44.8 % 49.4 % 30.9 %
Combined ratio (6) 73.7 % - 94.8 % 142.9 % 82.6 %
Three months ended March 31,
2008
Gross premiums written $ 255.1 $ 0.2 $ 55.2 $ 23.3 $ 333.8
Net premiums written 152.4 0.2 46.0 21.1 219.7
Net premiums earned (1) $ 177.9 $ 0.2 $ 46.8 $ 20.6 $ 245.5
Loss and loss adjustment
expenses 94.5 - 23.5 17.2 135.2
Commission, brokerage and other
underwriting expenses (2) 44.8 - 19.1 6.5 70.4
Underwriting profit (loss) (3) $ 38.6 $ 0.2 $ 4.2 ($3.1 ) $ 39.9
Net investment income (1) 31.6
Net realized capital losses (1) (3.4 )
Other income (1) 0.1
Other expenses (2) (11.2 )
Earnings from continuing
operations, before income taxes $ 57.0
Loss ratio (4) 53.1 % - 50.2 % 83.8 % 55.1 %
Expense ratio (5) 25.2 % 18.3 % 40.9 % 31.4 % 28.7 %
Combined ratio (6) 78.3 % 18.3 % 91.1 % 115.2 % 83.8 %
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(1) Represent components of total revenues.
(2) Commission, brokerage and other underwriting expenses represent commission and brokerage expenses and that portion of salaries, administration and other operating expenses attributable to underwriting activities, whereas the remainder constitutes other expenses.
(3) Represents net premiums earned less loss and loss adjustment expenses and underwriting expenses, all as determined in accordance with GAAP, and does not include net investment income and other income or net realized capital gains. Underwriting profit does not replace net income determined in accordance with GAAP as a measure of profitability; rather, we believe that underwriting profit, which does not include net investment income and other income or net realized capital gains, enhances the understanding of AIHL's insurance operating units' operating results by highlighting net income attributable to their underwriting performance. With the addition of net investment income and other income and net realized capital gains, reported pre-tax net income (a GAAP measure) may show a profit despite an underlying underwriting loss. Where underwriting losses persist over extended periods, an insurance company's ability to continue as an ongoing concern may be at risk. Therefore, we view underwriting profit as an important measure in the overall evaluation of performance.
(4) Loss and loss adjustment expenses divided by net premiums earned, all as determined in accordance with GAAP.
(5) Underwriting expenses divided by net premiums earned, all as determined in accordance with GAAP.
(6) The sum of the loss ratio and expense ratio, all as determined in accordance with GAAP, representing the percentage of each premium dollar an insurance company has to spend on losses (including loss adjustment expenses) and underwriting expenses.
Discussion of individual AIHL operating unit results follows, and AIHL
investment results are discussed below under "Investments."
RSUI
The decrease in gross premiums written by RSUI in the first three months of
2009 from the corresponding 2008 period primarily reflects continuing and
increasing competition, particularly in RSUI's general liability and
umbrella/excess lines of business. RSUI's net premiums earned decreased in the
first three months of 2009 from the corresponding 2008 period due primarily to
substantially lower premium volume in certain casualty lines of business,
partially offset by a modest growth of RSUI's property, binding authority and
director and officer, or "D&O," liability lines of business. The binding
authority line writes small, specialized coverages pursuant to underwriting
authority arrangements with managing general agents.
The decrease in loss and loss adjustment expenses in the first three months
of 2009 primarily reflects lower property losses in the 2009 first quarter
compared with the corresponding 2008 period, which included a single property
loss of approximately $10.0 million arising from a factory explosion. The
decrease in commissions, brokerage and other underwriting expenses in the 2009
first quarter primarily reflects the net effect of lower net premium volume,
compared with the corresponding 2008 period. All of these decreases were the
primary causes for the increase in RSUI's underwriting profit in the first three
months of 2009 from the corresponding 2008 period, partially offset by a decline
in net premiums earned.
Rates at RSUI in the first three months of 2009, compared with the
corresponding 2008 period, reflect overall industry trends of downward pricing
as a result of increased competition, although certain lines of business,
including property and general and professional liability lines, experienced
flattening rate trends in the first three months of 2009. RSUI continued to see
fewer qualified opportunities to write business in the first three months of
2009, as a more competitive market causes less business to flow into the
wholesale marketplace in which RSUI operates.
As discussed in the 2008 10-K, RSUI reinsures its property lines of business
through a program consisting of surplus share treaties, facultative placements,
per risk and catastrophe excess of loss treaties. RSUI's catastrophe reinsurance
program (which covers catastrophe risks including, among others, windstorms and
earthquakes) and per risk reinsurance program run on an annual basis from May 1
to the following April 30 and thus expired on April 30, 2009. RSUI has placed
substantially all of its catastrophe reinsurance program for the 2009-2010
period. Under the new program, RSUI's catastrophe reinsurance program provides
coverage in two layers for $400.0 million of losses in excess of a
$100.0 million net retention after application of the surplus share treaties,
facultative reinsurance and per risk covers. The first layer provides coverage
for $100.0 million of losses, before a 33.15 percent co-participation by RSUI,
in excess of the $100.0 million net retention, and the second layer provides
coverage for $300.0 million of losses, before a 5 percent co-participation by
RSUI, in excess of $200.0 million. The renewed program is substantially similar
to the expired program. In addition, RSUI's property per risk reinsurance
program for the 2009-2010 period provides RSUI with reinsurance for
$90.0 million of losses in excess of $10.0 million net retention per risk after
application of the surplus share treaties and facultative reinsurance, which is
substantially similar to the expired program.
CATA
CATA's net premiums earned in the first three months of 2009 decreased from
the corresponding 2008 period, primarily reflecting continuing and increasing
price competition in CATA's property and casualty (including in excess and
surplus markets) and commercial surety lines of business, partially offset by
net premiums earned in CATA's recently established specialty markets division.
The decrease in loss and loss adjustment expenses in the first three months of
2009 from the corresponding 2008 period primarily reflects a $2.9 million
release of prior accident year loss reserves during the 2009 period reflecting
favorable loss emergence, compared with a $1.5 million release of prior accident
year loss reserves during the corresponding 2008 period, as well as lower net
premiums earned in the 2009 period. The $2.9 reserve release was primarily
related to surety, including the discontinued contract surety line of business,
and casualty prior accident year reserves. The $1.5 million net reserve release
during the 2008 first quarter reflects a release of primarily casualty and
surety prior year loss reserves, partially offset by a strengthening of property
prior year loss reserves. CATA's 2009 reserving actions did not impact the
assumptions used in estimating CATA's loss and loss adjustment expense
. . .
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