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UPS > SEC Filings for UPS > Form 10-Q on 7-May-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC


7-May-2009

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Revenue, Volume and Revenue Per Piece

The following tables set forth information showing the change in revenue,
average daily package volume, and average revenue per piece, both in dollars or
amounts and in percentage terms:



                                                      Three Months Ended
                                                           March 31,                 Change
                                                       2009          2008         $            %
Revenue (in millions):
U.S. Domestic Package:
Next Day Air                                        $     1,381    $  1,638    $   (257 )    (15.7 )%
Deferred                                                    693         805        (112 )    (13.9 )
Ground                                                    4,875       5,292        (417 )     (7.9 )

Total U.S. Domestic Package                               6,949       7,735        (786 )    (10.2 )
International Package:
Domestic                                                    464         583        (119 )    (20.4 )
Export                                                    1,686       2,022        (336 )    (16.6 )
Cargo                                                        90         154         (64 )    (41.6 )

Total International Package                               2,240       2,759        (519 )    (18.8 )
Supply Chain & Freight:
Forwarding and Logistics                                  1,197       1,563        (366 )    (23.4 )
Freight                                                     454         513         (59 )    (11.5 )
Other                                                        98         105          (7 )     (6.7 )

Total Supply Chain & Freight                              1,749       2,181        (432 )    (19.8 )

Consolidated                                        $    10,938    $ 12,675    $ (1,737 )    (13.7 )%


                                                                                  #

Average Daily Package Volume (in thousands):

U.S. Domestic Package:
Next Day Air                                              1,191       1,199          (8 )     (0.7 )%
Deferred                                                    900         909          (9 )     (1.0 )
Ground                                                   10,585      11,139        (554 )     (5.0 )

Total U.S. Domestic Package                              12,676      13,247        (571 )     (4.3 )
International Package:
Domestic                                                  1,097       1,101          (4 )     (0.4 )
Export                                                      764         778         (14 )     (1.8 )

Total International Package                               1,861       1,879         (18 )     (1.0 )

Consolidated                                             14,537      15,126        (589 )     (3.9 )%

Operating days in period                                     63          64

                                                                                  $
Average Revenue Per Piece:
U.S. Domestic Package:
Next Day Air                                        $     18.41    $  21.35    $  (2.94 )    (13.8 )%
Deferred                                                  12.22       13.84       (1.62 )    (11.7 )
Ground                                                     7.31        7.42       (0.11 )     (1.5 )
Total U.S. Domestic Package                                8.70        9.12       (0.42 )     (4.6 )
International Package:
Domestic                                                   6.71        8.27       (1.56 )    (18.9 )
Export                                                    35.03       40.61       (5.58 )    (13.7 )
Total International Package                               18.34       21.66       (3.32 )    (15.3 )
Consolidated                                        $      9.94    $  10.68    $  (0.74 )     (6.9 )%


Table of Contents

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The following table sets forth information showing the change in UPS Freight's less-than-truckload revenue, shipments, and weight hauled, both in dollars or amounts and in percentage terms:

                                                     Three Months Ended
                                                          March 31,                 Change
                                                      2009         2008          $           %
LTL revenue (in millions)                          $      423    $     484    $   (61 )    (12.6 )%
LTL revenue per LTL hundredweight                  $    17.29    $   18.38    $ (1.09 )     (5.9 )%
LTL shipments (in thousands)                            2,344        2,397        (53 )     (2.2 )%
LTL shipments per day (in thousands)                     37.2         37.4       (0.2 )     (0.5 )%
LTL gross weight hauled (in millions of pounds)         2,448        2,634       (186 )     (7.1 )%
LTL weight per shipment                                 1,045        1,099        (54 )     (4.9 )%
Operating days in period                                   63           64

Operating Profit and Operating Margin

The following tables set forth information showing the change in operating
profit, both in dollars (in millions) and in percentage terms, as well as the
operating margin for each reporting segment:



                                          Three Months Ended
                                              March 31,                   Change
                                        2009             2008          $          %
      Reporting Segment
      U.S. Domestic Package           $     384       $      959     $ (575 )   (60.0 )%
      International Package                 294              421       (127 )   (30.2 )%
      Supply Chain & Freight                 40              113        (73 )   (64.6 )%

      Consolidated Operating Profit   $     718       $    1,493     $ (775 )   (51.9 )%


                                          Three Months Ended
                                              March 31,
                                        2009             2008
      Reporting Segment
      U.S. Domestic Package                 5.5 %           12.4 %
      International Package                13.1 %           15.3 %
      Supply Chain & Freight                2.3 %            5.2 %
      Consolidated Operating Margin         6.6 %           11.8 %

U.S. Domestic Package Operations

U.S. domestic package revenue decreased $786 million, or 10.2%, for the quarter, due to a 4.3% decrease in average daily package volume and a 4.6% decrease in revenue per piece.

Next Day Air volume, deferred air volume and ground volume declined 0.7%, 1.0%, and 5.0%, respectively during the quarter, primarily as a result of weakness in the U.S. economy. Continued declines in industrial production and retail sales have reduced overall demand in the U.S. small package market, resulting in decreased package volume in our domestic package operations. The decline in air volume was partially mitigated by market share gains, as a result of the recent departure of a competitor in the U.S. market.


Table of Contents

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The decrease in overall revenue per piece of 4.6% resulted primarily from lower fuel surcharge rates, lower package weights, and unfavorable shifts in product
mix. Next Day Air and Deferred revenue per piece decreased 13.8% and 11.7%, respectively, and were negatively affected by an approximate fifteen percentage point decline in the fuel surcharge rate for air products (discussed further below). Additionally, the revenue per piece decline for our air products was also impacted by lower average package weights and a mix shift toward lower yielding products, reflecting the economic recession in the United States. Ground revenue per piece decreased 1.5%, primarily due to a lower fuel surcharge rate. The factors decreasing revenue per piece for our ground and air products were partially offset by an increase in base rates that took effect during the quarter.

In October 2008, we announced a base rate increase and a change in the fuel surcharge that took effect on January 5, 2009. We increased the base rates 6.9% on UPS Next Day Air, UPS 2nd Day Air, and UPS 3 Day Select, and 5.9% on UPS Ground. Other pricing changes included a $0.10 increase in the residential surcharge, and an increase of $0.10 in the delivery area surcharge on both residential and commercial services to certain ZIP codes. These rate changes are customary, and are consistent with previous years' rate increases.

We also modified the fuel surcharge on domestic air services by reducing the index used to determine the fuel surcharge by 2%. This fuel surcharge continues to be based on the U.S. Energy Department's Gulf Coast spot price for a gallon of kerosene-type jet fuel. Based on published rates, the average fuel surcharge on domestic air products was 3.69% in the first quarter of 2009, a decrease from the 18.84% in the first quarter of 2008, due to the significant decrease in jet fuel prices, in addition to the 2% reduction in the index. The ground fuel surcharge rate continues to fluctuate based on the U.S. Energy Department's On-Highway Diesel Fuel Price. Based on published rates, the average fuel surcharge on domestic ground products decreased to 3.58% in the first quarter of 2009 from 6.17% in the first quarter of 2008, due to significantly lower diesel fuel prices. Total domestic fuel surcharge revenue, net of the impact of hedging, decreased by $263 million in the first quarter of 2009 compared with the same period of 2008, primarily due to the lower fuel surcharge rates discussed above, as well as the decline in volume for our air and ground products.

U.S. Domestic Package operating profit decreased $575 million, or 60.0%, in the first quarter of 2009 compared with the same period in 2008. Operating profit in 2009 was adversely impacted by the U.S. economic recession, lower asset utilization due to the decline in volume, and a shift in product mix away from our premium services. Additionally, operating profit was adversely impacted by a $181 million impairment charge on our McDonnell-Douglas DC-8-71 and DC-8-73 aircraft fleets in the first quarter of 2009 (discussed further in the "Operating Expenses" section).

International Package Operations

International Package revenue declined $519 million, or 18.8%, for the quarter, primarily as a result of a 1.0% decline in package volume and a 15.3% decrease in total revenue per piece.

Export volume declined 1.8%, primarily due to weakness in the Asia and U.S. export lanes, as the worldwide economic recession and slowdown in world trade more than offset market share gains. Transborder export volume growth was relatively stronger within the European Union and North American trade areas. Non-U.S. domestic volume decreased 0.4% for the quarter, and was impacted by volume declines in the United Kingdom.

Overall revenue per piece decreased 15.3% for the quarter, primarily as a result of foreign currency exchange rate movements, decreased fuel surcharge rates, and shifts in product mix. Export revenue per piece


Table of Contents

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

decreased 13.7% for the quarter, largely due to the adverse impact of currency exchange rates, lower fuel surcharge rates, and the relatively higher growth in lower revenue per piece transborder products, but was partially offset by base rate increases that took effect in the first quarter of 2009. Domestic revenue per piece decreased 18.9% for the quarter, and was primarily caused by adverse currency exchange rate fluctuations (currency-adjusted domestic revenue per piece only declined 1.8%), as well as the impact of lower fuel surcharge rates. Total average revenue per piece decreased 9.3% on a currency-adjusted basis, and the overall change in segment revenue was negatively affected by $172 million due to currency fluctuations, net of hedging activity.

On January 5, 2009, we increased the base rates 6.9% for international shipments originating in the United States (Worldwide Express, Worldwide Express Plus, UPS Worldwide Expedited and UPS International Standard service). Rate changes for shipments originating outside the U.S. are made throughout the year and vary by geographic market.

Additionally, we modified the fuel surcharge on certain U.S.-related international air services by reducing the index used to determine the fuel surcharge by 2%. The fuel surcharge for products originating outside the United States continues to be indexed to fuel prices in our different international regions, depending upon where the shipment takes place. Total international fuel surcharge revenue decreased by $140 million in the first quarter, due to lower fuel surcharge rates caused by decreased fuel prices, as well as a decrease in international air volume.

International Package operating profit decreased $127 million, or 30.2%, in the first quarter of 2009 compared with the same period of 2008. The decline in operating profit was affected by reduced asset utilization resulting from volume declines, as well as a shift in product mix away from our premium services. The change in operating profit was positively affected by $12 million during the quarter due to currency exchange rate fluctuations, net of hedging activity.

Supply Chain & Freight Operations

Supply Chain & Freight revenue decreased $432 million, or 19.8%, for the quarter. Forwarding and logistics revenue decreased $366 million, or 23.4%, for the quarter, and was impacted by weakness in demand for freight forwarding due to global economic conditions and declines in international trade. Forwarding revenue declined in all major transportation modes, including domestic and international air freight, and ocean freight, and was impacted by lower volumes, lower fuel surcharges, and lower security and other accessorial charges. Additionally, the overall change in forwarding and logistics revenue was negatively affected by $73 million during the quarter due to the strengthening of the U.S. Dollar against foreign currencies.

UPS Freight revenue declined $59 million, or 11.5%, for the quarter, primarily due to lower fuel surcharge rates and a decline in average daily LTL shipments. Total LTL weight per shipment declined 4.9%, reflecting the weak LTL market and the ongoing economic recession in the United States in 2009. Average LTL shipments per day also declined 0.5%, as market share gains were more than offset by the impact of the weak economy. Average LTL shipments per day and weight per shipment improved sequentially throughout the first quarter of 2009, however.

LTL revenue per hundredweight decreased 5.9% for the quarter, primarily as a result of the lower fuel surcharge rates, as total fuel surcharge revenue declined $43 million largely due to lower diesel fuel prices. However, this decline was partially offset by an increase in base prices that took effect in the first quarter of


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UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

2009. On January 5, 2009, UPS Freight increased minimum charge, LTL, and TL rates an average of 5.9%, covering non-contractual shipments in the United States and Canada.

The other businesses within Supply Chain & Freight, which include our retail franchising business and our financial business, experienced a decline in revenue of 6.7% during the quarter. This decline in revenue was primarily in our financial business, and was impacted by lower interest rates and decreased loan volume.

Operating profit for the Supply Chain & Freight segment decreased by $73 million, or 64.6%, for the quarter, primarily due to lower operating profit in the forwarding and logistics business and operating losses incurred in our UPS Freight unit. The lower operating profit in the forwarding and logistics business was impacted by the weak demand for forwarding services as previously noted. However, the operating margin in this business experienced only a small decline as costs were reduced commensurate with the decline in revenues. The change in operating profit was also negatively affected by $8 million in the quarter due to the strengthening of the U.S. Dollar against foreign currencies.

Operating Expenses

Consolidated operating expenses decreased by $962 million, or 8.6%, for the quarter, of which approximately $249 million was due to currency fluctuations in our International Package and Supply Chain & Freight segments.

Compensation and benefits expense decreased by $168 million, or 2.6%, for the quarter, and was impacted by several items. A large component of this decrease was related to employee payroll costs, as union labor hours declined approximately 5% as a result of lower package volume, and management payroll declined as a result of a reduction in the total number of management employees through attrition. Benefits expense increased slightly due to higher employee health and welfare program costs, which were impacted by medical cost inflation, and increased pension expense, which resulted from higher interest costs, a decrease in our expected return on plan assets and the amortization of actuarial losses (see Note 6). The increase in interest costs was impacted by changes in discount rates, while the decrease in expected return on plan assets and the actuarial losses were primarily due to the negative asset returns experienced in 2008.

The expense associated with our self-insurance accruals for workers' compensation claims was $24 million less than the first quarter of 2008. Insurance reserves are established for estimates of the loss that we will ultimately incur on reported claims, as well as estimates of claims that have been incurred but not yet reported. Recorded balances are based on reserve levels, which incorporate historical loss experience and judgments about the present and expected levels of cost per claim. The lower expense reflects favorable claims experience resulting from a strong internal safety program, which includes initiatives to decrease accident frequencies and also improved oversight and management of claims.

The $22 million, or 7.4%, quarterly decrease in repairs and maintenance was largely due to reduced vehicle maintenance expense. The $22 million, or 4.9%, quarterly decrease in depreciation and amortization was influenced by several factors, including lower depreciation expense on equipment and facilities, as certain assets became fully depreciated, as well as lower software amortization resulting from fewer new capitalized software projects. This was partially offset by higher depreciation expense on aircraft and vehicles resulting from new deliveries. The $383 million, or 24.0%, quarterly decrease in purchased transportation was driven by a combination of lower volume in our international package and forwarding businesses, the impact of currency exchange rates, and decreased fuel surcharge rates charged to us by third-party carriers. The $454 million, or


Table of Contents

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

47.8%, quarterly decrease in fuel expense was impacted by significantly lower prices for jet-A fuel, diesel, and unleaded gasoline, as well as lower usage of these products in our operations. The $8 million, or 2.9%, quarterly decrease in other occupancy expense was influenced by lower electricity and natural gas costs, as well as lower rent expense.

Other expenses increased $95 million, or 8.6%, for the quarter, due primarily to a $181 million impairment charge on certain of our aircraft. We continually monitor our aircraft fleet utilization in light of current and projected volume levels, aircraft fuel prices, and other factors. In 2008, we had announced that we were in negotiations with DHL to provide air transportation services for all of DHL's express, deferred and international package volume within the United States, as well as air transportation services between the United States, Canada and Mexico. During the first quarter of 2009, discussions on an agreement with DHL deteriorated as a result of the decreased scale of the air transportation services involved, and in early April 2009, UPS and DHL mutually agreed to terminate further discussions. Additionally, our U.S. Domestic Package air delivery volume has declined since the first quarter of 2008 as a result of persistent economic weakness and shifts in product mix from our premium air services to our lower cost ground services. As a result of these factors, the utilization of certain aircraft fleet types has declined and is expected to be lower in the future.

Based on the factors noted above, as well as FAA aging aircraft directives that would require significant future maintenance expenditures, we determined that the anticipated termination of the proposed DHL agreement and the continuing deterioration in volume was a triggering event that required an impairment assessment of our McDonnell-Douglas DC-8-71 and DC-8-73 aircraft fleets. We conducted an impairment analysis as of March 31, 2009, and determined that the cost basis of these fleets was not recoverable due to the accelerated expected retirement dates of the aircraft. Based on anticipated residual values for the airframes, engines, and parts, we recognized an impairment charge of $181 million in the first quarter of 2009. This charge is included in the caption "Other expenses" in the Statement of Consolidated Income, and impacted our U.S. Domestic Package segment. We currently continue to utilize and operate all of our other aircraft fleets.

Outside of this aircraft impairment charge, other operating expenses declined $86 million, or 7.8% in the first quarter of 2009 compared with the same period of 2008. This decline was partially due to certain variable costs that declined as a result of lower package volume, such as the expense associated with customer claims for lost or damaged packages, rent expense for transportation equipment, and aircraft landing fees. Additionally, certain other costs declined primarily as a result of cost containment programs, such as employee expense reimbursements, office supplies, professional services, and advertising costs.

Investment Income and Interest Expense

In the first quarter of 2009, our investment income declined $44 million, or 77.2%, compared with the first quarter of 2008. This decrease was primarily due to a lower average balance of interest-earning investments as well as a significantly lower yield earned on our invested assets, as a result of declines in short-term interest rates in the United States.

The $52 million, or 38.8%, decrease in interest expense during the quarter was primarily due to a lower average debt balance, as well as a lower average interest rates incurred on our variable rate debt and interest rate swap agreements as a result of recent declines in short-term interest rates in the United States. Our average debt balance was elevated in the first quarter of 2008, primarily as a result of additional commercial paper borrowings used to fund our 2007 withdrawal from the Central States multiemployer pension plan, and these commercial paper balances were not significantly reduced until later in the year.


Table of Contents

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Income Tax Expense

Income tax expense declined by $262 million, or 51.4%, for the quarter, primarily due to lower pre-tax income. Our effective tax rate increased to 38.2% in the first quarter of 2009 compared with 36.0% in the first quarter of 2008. During the first quarter of 2009, we increased our income tax provision as a result of providing a valuation allowance of $14 million against certain deferred tax assets in our International Package business.

Net Income and Earnings Per Share

Net income for the first quarter of 2009 was $401 million, a 55.7% decrease from the $906 million achieved in the first quarter of 2008, resulting in a 54.0% decrease in diluted earnings per share to $0.40 in 2009 from $0.87 in the first quarter of 2008. The decline in net income for the quarter was primarily caused by the decline in operating profits in all three of our business segments, as previously discussed. Additionally, the aircraft impairment charge reduced net income by $116 million, and basic and diluted earnings per share by $0.12 each. Earnings per share was favorably impacted by a 3.9% reduction in weighted average shares outstanding in the first quarter of 2009 compared to the same period of 2008, as a result of our ongoing share repurchase program.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Net Cash From Operating Activities

Net cash provided by operating activities decreased to $2.196 billion in the first three months of 2009 from $3.305 billion during the same period of 2008. The decrease in operating cash flow was impacted by an $850 million U.S. Federal tax refund in 2008 resulting from a tax deduction for the payment made to withdraw from the Central States Pension Fund in 2007. Operating cash flow also decreased as a result of lower net income in 2009.

Partially offsetting these factors were changes in our working capital position, as the collection of accounts receivable had a larger impact in the first three months of 2009 compared with the same period in 2008. Accounts receivable normally declines in the first quarter each year, due to the collection of receivables generated in the seasonally strong fourth quarter, however the decline was larger in the first quarter of 2009 as a result of the decrease in revenue among our all three of our business segments. Cash flow also benefits in the first quarter of each year as a result of the lack of any required U.S. Federal estimated income tax payments.

The contributions to our company-sponsored pension plans are expected to increase significantly in 2009, compared with 2008, primarily as a result of required minimum pension fundings for the UPS-IBT Pension Plan. As discussed in Note 6 to the unaudited consolidated financial statements, we expect to contribute $811 million and $67 million over the remainder of the year to our company-sponsored pension and postretirement medical benefit plans, respectively.

Net Cash Used In Investing Activities

. . .

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