MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
FIRST QUARTER 2009 vs. FIRST QUARTER 2008
OVERVIEW
Discussion of the results of operations is focused on Southern Company's primary
business of electricity sales in the Southeast by the traditional operating
companies - Alabama Power, Georgia Power, Gulf Power, and Mississippi Power -
and Southern Power. The traditional operating companies are vertically
integrated utilities providing electric service in four Southeastern states.
Southern Power constructs, acquires, owns, and manages generation assets and
sells electricity at market-based rates in the wholesale market. Southern
Company's other business activities include investments in leveraged lease
projects, telecommunications, and energy-related services. For additional
information on these businesses, see BUSINESS - The Southern Company System -
"Traditional Operating Companies," "Southern Power," and "Other Businesses" in
Item 1 of the Form 10-K.
Southern Company continues to focus on several key performance indicators. These
indicators include customer satisfaction, plant availability, system
reliability, and earnings per share. For additional information on these
indicators, see MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS - OVERVIEW - "Key
Performance Indicators" of Southern Company in Item 7 of the Form 10-K.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Net Income
First Quarter 2009 vs. First Quarter 2008
(change in millions) (% change)
$(233.5) (65.0)
Southern Company's first quarter 2009 net income after dividends on preferred
and preference stock of subsidiaries was $125.7 million ($0.16 per share)
compared to $359.2 million ($0.47 per share) for the first quarter 2008. The
decrease for the first quarter 2009 when compared to the same period in 2008 was
primarily the result of a litigation settlement agreement with MC Asset
Recovery, LLC (MC Asset Recovery); a decrease in contributions from
market-response rates to large commercial and industrial customers; and higher
depreciation and amortization. The decrease for the first quarter 2009 was
partially offset by an increase in customer charges at Alabama Power, increased
environmental compliance cost recovery revenues at Georgia Power, and lower
other operations and maintenance expenses.
Retail Revenues
First Quarter 2009 vs. First Quarter 2008
(change in millions) (% change)
$59.0 2.0
In the first quarter 2009, retail revenues were $3.06 billion compared to
$3.01 billion for the same period in 2008. Details of the change to retail
revenues follow:
First Quarter
2009
(in millions) (% change)
Retail - prior year $ 3,005.6
Estimated change in -
Rates and pricing 78.4 2.6
Sales growth (decline) (56.8 ) (1.9 )
Weather (4.0 ) (0.1 )
Fuel and other cost recovery 41.5 1.4
Retail - current year $ 3,064.7 2.0 %
|
Table of Contents
THE SOUTHERN COMPANY AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Revenues associated with changes in rates and pricing increased in the first
quarter 2009 when compared to the same period in 2008 primarily as a result of
an increase in customer charges at Alabama Power and increased environmental
compliance cost recovery revenues at Georgia Power in accordance with its 2007
Retail Rate Plan, partially offset by a decrease in contributions from
market-response rates to large commercial and industrial customers.
Revenues attributable to changes in sales growth declined in the first quarter
2009 when compared to the same period in 2008 due to a 6.3% decrease in
weather-adjusted retail KWH sales mainly due to recessionary economic
conditions. For the first quarter 2009, weather-adjusted residential KWH sales
decreased 0.4%, weather-adjusted commercial KWH sales decreased 1.3%, and
weather-adjusted industrial KWH sales decreased 16.9%. Reduced demand in the
primary and fabricated metal sectors, as well as in the chemicals, textiles, and
transportation sectors, contributed to the decrease in weather-adjusted
industrial KWH sales in the first quarter 2009 when compared to the same period
in 2008.
Revenues resulting from changes in weather were not material in the first
quarter 2009 when compared to the same period in 2008 due to near normal weather
in both periods.
Fuel and other cost recovery revenues increased $41.5 million in the first
quarter 2009 when compared to the same period in 2008. Electric rates for the
traditional operating companies include provisions to adjust billings for
fluctuations in fuel costs, including the energy component of purchased power
costs. Under these provisions, fuel revenues generally equal fuel expenses,
including the fuel component of purchased power costs, and do not affect net
income.
Wholesale Revenues
First Quarter 2009 vs. First Quarter 2008
(change in millions) (% change)
$(62.3) (12.1)
In the first quarter 2009, wholesale revenues were $451.4 million compared to
$513.7 million for the same period in 2008. Wholesale fuel revenues, which are
generally offset by wholesale fuel expenses and do not affect net income,
decreased $81.7 million in the first quarter 2009 when compared to the same
period in 2008. Excluding wholesale fuel revenues, wholesale revenues increased
$19.4 million in the first quarter 2009 when compared to the same period in
2008. The increase for the first quarter 2009 was primarily the result of
additional revenues associated with Plant Franklin Unit 3 at Southern Power,
renegotiated wholesale contracts, and changes in mark-to-market positions on
sales of uncontracted generating capacity. Decreases in energy revenues and
fewer short-term opportunity sales due to lower energy prices partially offset
the first quarter 2009 increase. Short-term opportunity sales are made at
market-based rates that generally provide a margin above Southern Company's
variable cost to produce the energy.
Other Electric Revenues
First Quarter 2009 vs. First Quarter 2008
(change in millions) (% change)
$(7.4) (5.7)
In the first quarter 2009, other electric revenues were $122.8 million compared
to $130.2 million for the same period in 2008. The decrease for the first
quarter 2009 when compared to the same period in 2008 was primarily the result
of a $9.5 million decrease in co-generation revenues due to lower natural gas
prices and a $6.5 million decrease in transmission revenues. The decrease for
the first quarter 2009 was partially offset by an increase in revenues from
other energy services of $3.3 million, an increase in customer fees of
$2.5 million,
Table of Contents
THE SOUTHERN COMPANY AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
and an increase in outdoor lighting revenues of $1.3 million. Revenues from
co-generation and other energy services are generally offset by related expenses
and do not affect net income.
Other Revenues
First Quarter 2009 vs. First Quarter 2008
(change in millions) (% change)
$(6.0) (18.0)
In the first quarter 2009, other revenues were $27.4 million compared to
$33.4 million for the same period in 2008. The decrease for the first quarter
2009 when compared to the same period in 2008 was primarily the result of a
$5.7 million decrease in revenues at SouthernLINC Wireless related to lower
average revenue per subscriber and fewer subscribers due to increased
competition in the industry.
Fuel and Purchased Power Expenses
First Quarter 2009
vs.
First Quarter 2008
(change in millions) (% change)
Fuel $ (45.7 ) (3.1 )
Purchased power 14.7 15.9
Total fuel and purchased power expenses $ (31.0 )
|
Fuel and purchased power expenses for the first quarter 2009 were $1.51 billion
compared to $1.54 billion for the same period in 2008. The decrease for the
first quarter 2009 when compared to the same period in 2008 was primarily the
result of a $139.0 million net decrease related to total KWHs generated and
purchased, partially offset by a $108.0 million net increase in the average cost
of fuel and purchased power, primarily related to a 27.9% increase in the cost
of coal per net KWH generated.
Fuel expenses at the traditional operating companies are generally offset by
fuel revenues and do not affect net income. See FUTURE EARNINGS POTENTIAL -
"FERC and State PSC Matters - Retail Fuel Cost Recovery" herein for additional
information. Fuel expenses incurred under Southern Power's PPAs are generally
the responsibility of the counterparties and do not significantly affect net
income.
Details of Southern Company's cost of generation and purchased power are as
follows:
First Quarter First Quarter Percent
Average Cost 2009 2008 Change
(cents per net KWH)
Fuel 3.40 3.07 10.8
Purchased power 5.09 6.35 (19.8)
|
Energy purchases will vary depending on demand for energy within the Southern
Company service area, the market cost of available energy as compared to the
cost of Southern Company system-generated energy, and the availability of
Southern Company system generation.
Other Operations and Maintenance Expenses
First Quarter 2009 vs. First Quarter 2008
(change in millions) (% change)
$(25.7) (2.9)
Table of Contents
THE SOUTHERN COMPANY AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
In the first quarter 2009, other operations and maintenance expenses were
$871.1 million compared to $896.8 million for the same period in 2008. The
decrease for the first quarter 2009 when compared to the same period in 2008 was
primarily the result of a $25.3 million decrease in fossil and hydro expenses
mainly due to fewer scheduled and unplanned outages; a $13.3 million decrease in
transmission and distribution expenses mainly due to lower maintenance expenses;
a $7.1 million decrease in expenses primarily related to lower advertising,
litigation, and property insurance costs; and a $4.5 million decrease in
expenses primarily related to lower sales volume at SouthernLINC Wireless. The
decrease for the first quarter 2009 was partially offset by a $27.1 million
increase in administration and general expenses largely related to the voluntary
attrition program at Georgia Power under which 579 employees elected to resign
their positions effective March 31, 2009. The related charge will be largely
offset by lower salary costs for the remainder of the year and is not expected
to have a material impact on Southern Company's financial statements for the
year ending December 31, 2009.
MC Asset Recovery Litigation Settlement
First Quarter 2009 vs. First Quarter 2008
(change in millions) (% change)
$202.0 N/M
N/M - Not Meaningful
In the first quarter 2009, Southern Company entered into a litigation settlement
agreement with MC Asset Recovery which resulted in a charge of $202.0 million.
See Note (B) to the Condensed Financial Statements under "Mirant Matters - MC
Asset Recovery Litigation" herein for additional information.
Depreciation and Amortization
First Quarter 2009 vs. First Quarter 2008
(change in millions) (% change)
$45.9 13.3
In the first quarter 2009, depreciation and amortization was $389.8 million
compared to $343.9 million for the same period in 2008. The increase for the
first quarter 2009 when compared to the same period in 2008 was primarily the
result of an increase in plant in service related to environmental and
transmission projects at Alabama Power and environmental, transmission, and
distribution projects at Georgia Power. An increase in depreciation rates at
Southern Power also contributed to the first quarter 2009 increase, as well as
the completion of Southern Power's Plant Franklin Unit 3 in June 2008.
Taxes Other Than Income Taxes
First Quarter 2009 vs. First Quarter 2008
(change in millions) (% change)
$10.6 5.6
In the first quarter 2009, taxes other than income taxes were $199.9 million
compared to $189.3 million for the same period in 2008. The increase for the
first quarter 2009 when compared to the same period in 2008 was primarily the
result of increases in franchise fees and municipal gross receipt taxes
associated with increases in revenues from retail energy sales. Higher ad
valorem taxes at Georgia Power also contributed to the first quarter 2009
increase.
Other Income (Expense), Net
First Quarter 2009 vs. First Quarter 2008
(change in millions) (% change)
$(13.8) N/M
N/M - Not Meaningful
Table of Contents
THE SOUTHERN COMPANY AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
In the first quarter 2009, other income (expense), net was $(12.9) million
compared to $0.9 million for the same period in 2008. The decrease for the first
quarter 2009 when compared to the same period in 2008 was primarily the result
of the 2008 recognition of a $6.4 million fee received for participating in an
asset auction and a $6.0 million gain on the sale of an undeveloped tract of
land to the Orlando Utilities Commission.
Income Taxes
First Quarter 2009 vs. First Quarter 2008
(change in millions) (% change)
$(10.9) (6.2)
In the first quarter 2009, income taxes were $167.2 million compared to
$178.1 million for the same period in 2008. The decrease for the first quarter
2009 when compared to the same period in 2008 was primarily the result of lower
pre-tax earnings, partially offset by a decrease in the IRC Section 199
production activities deduction. See Note (H) to the Condensed Financial
Statements under "Effective Tax Rate" herein for details regarding the impact of
the MC Asset Recovery litigation settlement on the effective tax rate.
FUTURE EARNINGS POTENTIAL
The results of operations discussed above are not necessarily indicative of
Southern Company's future earnings potential. The level of Southern Company's
future earnings depends on numerous factors that affect the opportunities,
challenges, and risks of Southern Company's primary business of selling
electricity. These factors include the traditional operating companies' ability
to maintain a constructive regulatory environment that continues to allow for
the recovery of all prudently incurred costs during a time of increasing costs.
Other major factors include profitability of the competitive wholesale supply
business and federal regulatory policy, which may impact Southern Company's
level of participation in this market. Future earnings for the electricity
business in the near term will depend, in part, upon maintaining energy sales
which is subject to a number of factors. These factors include weather,
competition, new energy contracts with neighboring utilities and other wholesale
customers, energy conservation practiced by customers, the price of electricity,
the price elasticity of demand, and the rate of economic growth or decline in
the service area. In addition, the level of future earnings for the wholesale
supply business also depends on numerous factors including creditworthiness of
customers, total generating capacity available in the Southeast, and the
successful remarketing of capacity as current contracts expire. Recent
recessionary conditions have negatively impacted sales growth for the
traditional operating companies and have negatively impacted wholesale capacity
revenues at Southern Power. The current economic recession is expected to
continue to have a negative impact on energy sales, particularly to industrial
customers. The timing and extent of the economic recovery will impact future
earnings. For additional information relating to these issues, see RISK FACTORS
in Item 1A and MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS - FUTURE EARNINGS POTENTIAL
of Southern Company in Item 7 of the Form 10-K.
Environmental Matters
Compliance costs related to the Clean Air Act and other environmental statutes
and regulations could affect earnings if such costs cannot continue to be fully
recovered in rates on a timely basis. See MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS -
FUTURE EARNINGS POTENTIAL - "Environmental Matters" of Southern Company in
Item 7 and Note 3 to the financial statements of Southern Company under
"Environmental Matters" in Item 8 of the Form 10-K for additional information.
Table of Contents
THE SOUTHERN COMPANY AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Water Quality
See MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS - FUTURE EARNINGS POTENTIAL -
"Environmental Matters - Environmental Statutes and Regulations - Water Quality"
of Southern Company in Item 7 of the Form 10-K for additional information
regarding the EPA's regulation of cooling water intake structures. On April 1,
2009, the U.S. Supreme Court reversed the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second
Circuit's decision with respect to the rule's use of cost-benefit analysis and
held that the EPA could consider costs in arriving at its standards and in
providing variances from those standards for existing power plant cooling water
intake structures. Other aspects of the court's decision were not appealed and
remain unaffected by the U.S. Supreme Court's ruling. While the U.S. Supreme
Court's decision may ultimately result in greater flexibility for demonstrating
compliance with the standards, the full scope of the regulations will depend on
subsequent legal proceedings, further rulemaking by the EPA, the results of
studies and analyses performed as part of the rules' implementation, and the
actual requirements established by state regulatory agencies and, therefore,
cannot be determined at this time.
Global Climate Issues
See MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS - FUTURE EARNINGS POTENTIAL -
"Environmental Matters - Global Climate Issues" of Southern Company in Item 7 of
the Form 10-K for information regarding the potential for legislation and
regulation addressing greenhouse gas emissions. On April 17, 2009, the EPA
released a proposed finding that certain greenhouse gas emissions from new motor
vehicles endanger public health and welfare due to climate change. The ultimate
outcome of the proposed endangerment finding cannot be determined at this time
and will depend on additional regulatory action and potential legal challenges.
However, regulatory decisions that may follow from such a finding could have
implications for both new and existing stationary sources, such as power plants.
In addition, federal legislative proposals that would impose mandatory
requirements related to greenhouse gas emissions, renewable energy standards,
and energy efficiency standards continue to be actively considered in Congress,
and the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions has been identified as a high
priority by the current Administration. The ultimate outcome of these matters
cannot be determined at this time; however, mandatory restrictions on Southern
Company's greenhouse gas emissions, or requirements relating to renewable energy
or energy efficiency, could result in significant additional compliance costs
that could affect future unit retirement and replacement decisions and results
of operations, cash flows, and financial condition if such costs are not
recovered through regulated rates.
FERC and State PSC Matters
Market-Based Rate Authority
See MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS - FUTURE EARNINGS POTENTIAL - "FERC
Matters - Market-Based Rate Authority" of Southern Company in Item 7 and Note 3
to the financial statements of Southern Company under "FERC Matters -
Market-Based Rate Authority" in Item 8 of the Form 10-K for information
regarding market-based rate authority. In October 2008, Southern Company filed
with the FERC a revised market-based rate (MBR) tariff and a new cost-based rate
(CBR) tariff. The revised MBR tariff provides for a "must offer" energy auction
whereby Southern Company offers all of its available energy for sale in a
day-ahead auction and an hour-ahead auction with reserve prices not to exceed
the CBR tariff price, after considering Southern Company's native load
requirements, reliability obligations, and sales commitments to third parties.
All sales under the energy auction would be at market clearing prices
established under the auction rules. The new CBR tariff provides for a
cost-based price for wholesale sales of less than a year. On March 5, 2009, the
FERC accepted Southern Company's CBR tariff for filing. On March 25, 2009, the
FERC accepted Southern Company's compliance filing related to the MBR tariff and
directed Southern Company to commence the energy auction in 30 days. Southern
Company commenced the energy auction on April 23, 2009. Implementation of the
energy auction in accordance with the MBR tariff order is expected to adequately
mitigate going forward any presumption of market power that Southern Company may
have in the Southern
Table of Contents
THE SOUTHERN COMPANY AND SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Company retail service territory. The original generation dominance proceeding
initiated by the FERC in December 2004 remains pending before the FERC. The
ultimate outcome of this matter cannot be determined at this time.
Retail Fuel Cost Recovery
The traditional operating companies each have established fuel cost recovery
rates approved by their respective state PSCs. Over the past several years, the
traditional operating companies have experienced higher than expected fuel costs
for coal, natural gas, and uranium. These higher fuel costs have resulted in
under recovered fuel costs included in the balance sheets of approximately
$1.0 billion at March 31, 2009 as compared to $1.2 billion at December 31, 2008.
Operating revenues are adjusted for differences in actual recoverable fuel costs
and amounts billed in current regulated rates. Accordingly, changes to the
billing factors will have no significant effect on Southern Company's revenues
or net income but will affect cash flow. The traditional operating companies
continuously monitor the under recovered fuel cost balance in light of these
higher fuel costs. See MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS - FUTURE EARNINGS
POTENTIAL - "PSC Matters - Fuel Cost Recovery" of Southern Company in Item 7 and
Note 3 to the financial statements of Southern Company under "Alabama Power
Retail Regulatory Matters," "Georgia Power Retail Regulatory Matters," and "Gulf
Power Retail Regulatory Matters" in Item 8 of the Form 10-K for additional
information.
On March 10, 2009, the Georgia PSC granted Georgia Power's request to delay its
fuel case filing until September 4, 2009. The extension was requested as a
result of difficulty in establishing a forward-looking fuel rate due to volatile
coal and gas prices, uncertain sales forecasts, and a continuing decline in the
State of Georgia's economy. New fuel rates are expected to become effective
January 1, 2010. The ultimate outcome of this matter cannot now be determined.
Income Tax Matters
Legislation
On February 17, 2009, President Obama signed into law the American Recovery and
Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA). Major tax incentives in the ARRA include an
extension of bonus depreciation and multiple renewable energy incentives, which
could have a significant impact on the future cash flow and net income of
Southern Company. Southern Company estimates the cash flow reduction to 2009 tax
payments as a result of the bonus depreciation provisions of the ARRA to be
between approximately $225 million and $275 million. Southern Company is
currently assessing the other financial implications of the ARRA. The ultimate
impact cannot be determined at this time.
Construction Projects
Integrated Coal Gasification Combined Cycle
See MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS - FUTURE EARNINGS POTENTIAL -
"Construction Projects - Integrated Coal Gasification Combined Cycle" of
Southern Company in Item 7 and Note 3 to the financial statements of Southern
Company under "Integrated Coal Gasification Combined Cycle" in Item 8 of the
Form 10-K for information regarding the Kemper IGCC.
On April 6, 2009, the Governor of the State of Mississippi signed into law a
bill that will provide an ad valorem tax exemption for a portion of the assessed
value of all property utilized in certain electric generating facilities with
integrated gasification process facilities. This tax exemption, which may not
exceed 50% of the total value of the project, is for projects with a capital
investment from private sources of $1 billion or more.
On April 6, 2009, Mississippi Power received an accounting order from the
Mississippi PSC directing Mississippi Power to continue to charge all Kemper
IGCC generation resources planning, evaluation, and
. . .