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| NOV > SEC Filings for NOV > Form 10-Q on 6-May-2009 | All Recent SEC Filings |
6-May-2009
Quarterly Report
Critical Accounting Estimates
In our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, we
identified our most critical accounting policies. In preparing the financial
statements, we make assumptions, estimates and judgments that affect the amounts
reported. We periodically evaluate our estimates and judgments that are most
critical in nature which are related to revenue recognition under long-term
construction contracts; allowance for doubtful accounts; inventory reserves;
impairments of long-lived assets (excluding goodwill and other indefinite-lived
intangible assets); goodwill and other indefinite-lived intangible assets and
income taxes. Our estimates are based on historical experience and on our future
expectations that we believe are reasonable. The combination of these factors
forms the basis for making judgments about the carrying values of assets and
liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results are
likely to differ from our current estimates and those differences may be
material.
Goodwill and Other Indefinite - Lived Intangible Assets
The Company has approximately $5.3 billion of goodwill and $0.8 billion of other
intangible assets with indefinite lives on its consolidated balance sheet as of
March 31, 2009. The Company tests goodwill and other indefinite-lived intangible
assets for impairment at least annually or more frequently whenever events or
circumstances occur indicating that goodwill or other indefinite-lived
intangible assets might be impaired. The annual impairment test is performed
during the fourth quarter of each year. The Company performed its annual
impairment analysis in the fourth quarter of 2008 and due to significant drops
in both commodity prices and rig activity in the fourth quarter of 2008; the
Company updated its impairment analysis as of December 31, 2008. Based on its
analysis, the Company did not report any impairment of goodwill and other
indefinite-lived intangible assets for the year ended December 31, 2008.
The level of drilling activity during the first quarter of 2009 averaged 2,681
rigs, a decline of 21 percent compared to the average of 3,395 rigs working
during the fourth quarter of 2008. However, the price of crude oil has improved
in recent weeks, rising from $35-$40 per barrel through much of the first
quarter to $50-$55 per barrel presently. Prices for future oil deliveries are
higher ($63.77 per barrel for December 2010 deliveries, for example), and,
likewise, future gas prices are considerably higher than current spot pricing
($6.74/mmbtu for December 2010 deliveries versus $3.55/mmbtu currently),
indicating an expectation of recovery of commodity prices within the next
several quarters. Based on these factors, the Company has not identified any
impairment indicators since December 31, 2008.
The Company will continue to closely monitor indicators of impairment which
could include, but are not limited to, further declines in worldwide rig
activity, further declines in commodity prices or futures, or further
significant economic declines. If such further deterioration of indicators
occurs, and the Company believes that these negative trends are likely to
persist for a prolonged period of time, then the Company's expected future
earnings and cash flows from operations would be adversely impacted. This may
result in impairment to either or both goodwill and indefinite-lived intangible
assets, and such impairment may be material.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
National Oilwell Varco generated earnings of $470 million or $1.13 per fully
diluted share in its first quarter ended March 31, 2009, on revenues of
$3,481 million. Revenue increased 30 percent and net income attributable to the
Company increased 18 percent from the first quarter of 2008, due in part to our
acquisition of Grant Prideco, Inc., discussed below. Revenue declined nine
percent and net income attributable to the Company declined 20 percent from the
fourth quarter of 2008, due to a downturn in economic activity during the first
quarter of 2009. Operating income was $720 million or 20.7 percent of sales for
the first quarter, compared to $857 million or 22.5 percent of sales in the
fourth quarter of 2008, and $569 million or 21.2 percent of sales in the first
quarter of 2008.
Grant Prideco Acquisition
On April 21, 2008 the Company completed its acquisition of Grant Prideco, Inc.
for a combination of approximately $3.0 billion in cash and the issuance of
56.9 million shares of National Oilwell Varco common stock. The Grant Prideco
merger further strengthened National Oilwell Varco's position as manufacturer to
the oilfield. Its drill bits and reamers are being integrated into the Company's
offering of drilling motors, non-magnetic drill collars, jars and shock tools,
to complement its comprehensive package of bottomhole assembly tools used to
drill complex wellpaths. Additionally, Grant Prideco's drill pipe products are
purchased and consumed by the Company's existing drilling contractor customer
base. The Company believes that consumption of drill pipe per foot of hole
drilled, or per rig running, has been increasing due to the rising complexity of
wellpath designs. Overall the acquisition better positioned National Oilwell
Varco to capitalize on continued application of horizontal, directional and
extended-reach drilling, through both drill pipe and drill bit product sales.
Integration of the business has proceeded well. The Company is introducing new
drill pipe tracking products, and expanding OEM drill pipe repair and
maintenance offerings through its worldwide network of pipe service operations.
The Company is also consolidating a number of bit and downhole tool sales
facilities worldwide, and leveraging combined manufacturing and marketing
capabilities.
Oil & Gas Equipment and Services Market
Worldwide developed economies turned down sharply late in 2008 as looming
housing-related asset write-downs at major financial institutions paralyzed
credit markets and sparked a serious global banking crisis. Major central banks
are responding vigorously, but credit and financial markets have not yet
recovered, and a credit-driven worldwide economic recession deepened during the
first quarter. Asset and commodity prices, including oil and gas prices, have
declined sharply. After rising steadily for six years to peak at around $140 per
barrel earlier in 2008, oil prices collapsed back to an average of $42.91 per
barrel range during the first quarter. Higher oil and gas prices over the past
several years have led to high levels of exploration and development drilling in
many oil and gas basins around the globe, but this is slowing, at least in the
near term. The count of rigs actively drilling in the U.S. as measured by Baker
Hughes (a good measure of the level of oilfield activity and spending) peaked at
2,031 rigs in September 2008, but has decreased to 955 rigs as of April 2009, as
a result of the lower commodity prices and tight credit. Many oil and gas
operators reliant on external financing to fund their drilling programs are
curtailing some of their drilling activity in view of tighter credit markets and
lower commodity prices. So far this appears to be having the greatest impact on
gas drilling across North America. Most international activity is driven by oil
exploration and production by national oil companies, which has historically
been less susceptible to short-term commodity price swings. Therefore we expect
international drilling activity to be less impacted by the credit crisis, but
the international rig count is showing some declines nonetheless, falling from
its September 2008 peak of 1,108 to 1,012 in March 2009. During the first
quarter of 2009 the Company saw its Petroleum Services & Supplies segment and
its Distribution Services segment affected most acutely by a drilling downturn
(revenues down 27 percent and down 16 percent, respectively, from the fourth
quarter of 2008) while the Company's Rig Technology segment was less impacted in
the short term owing to its high level of backlog (revenues improved five
percent from the fourth quarter of 2008).
Recent downturns follow an extended period of high drilling activity which
fueled strong demand for oilfield services since 2003. Incremental drilling
activity through the upswing shifted toward harsh environments, employing
increasingly sophisticated technology to find and produce reserves. Higher
utilization of drilling rigs has tested the capability of the world's fleet of
rigs, much of which is old and of limited capability. Technology has advanced
significantly since most of the existing rig fleet was built. The industry
invested little during the late 1980's and 1990's on new drilling equipment, but
drilling technology progressed steadily nonetheless, as the Company and its
competitors continued to invest in new and better ways of drilling. As a
consequence, the safety, reliability, and efficiency of new, modern rigs surpass
the performance of most of the older rigs at work today. Drilling rigs are now
being pushed to drill deeper wells, more complex wells, highly deviated wells
and horizontal wells, tasks which require larger rigs with more capabilities.
The drilling process effectively consumes the mechanical components of a rig,
which wear out and need periodic repair or replacement. This process has been
accelerated by
very high rig utilization and wellbore complexity. Drilling consumes rigs; more
complex and challenging drilling consumes rigs faster.
The industry responded by launching many new rig construction projects since
2005, to retool the existing fleet of jackup rigs (more than 75 percent of the
existing 440 jackup rigs are more than 20 years old); to replace older
mechanical and DC electric land rigs with improved AC power, electronic
controls, automatic pipe handling and rapid rigup and rigdown technology; and to
build out additional ultradeep floating drilling rigs, including
semisubmersibles and drillships, to employ recent advancements in deepwater
drilling to exploit unexplored deepwater basins. We believe that the newer rigs
offer considerably higher efficiency, safety, and capability, and that many will
effectively replace a portion of the existing fleet, and that declining dayrates
may accelerate the retirement of older rigs. As a result of these trends the
Company's Rig Technology segment grew its backlog of capital equipment orders
from $0.9 billion at March 31, 2005, to $11.8 billion at September 30, 2008.
However, as a result of the credit crisis and slowing drilling activity, orders
have declined below amounts flowing out of backlog as revenue, causing the
backlog to decline to $9.6 billion by March 31, 2009. These are the first
backlog declines posted since National Oilwell and Varco merged in 2005. The
Company expects the backlog to continue to decline during 2009 as revenue out of
backlog is likely to exceed inbound new orders.
The land rig backlog comprised 12 percent and equipment destined for offshore
operations comprised 88 percent of the total backlog as of March 31, 2009.
Equipment destined for international markets totaled 91 percent of the backlog.
The Company believes that its existing contracts for rig equipment are very
strong in that they carry significant down payment and progress billing terms
favorable to the ultimate completion of these projects, and generally do not
allow customers to cancel projects for convenience. For this reason we do not
expect the credit crisis or softer market conditions to result in material
cancelation of contracts or abandonment of major projects; however, there can be
no assurance that such discontinuance of projects will not occur, particularly
if the credit crisis or economic downturn deepens significantly. The Company had
approximately $380 million of projects in its March 31, 2009 backlog that it
considers at risk.
Segment Performance
Rig Technology generated $2,199 million in revenue and $606 million in operating
profit in the first quarter of 2009, yielding a record operating margin for the
segment of 27.6 percent. The segment generated 44 percent operating leverage or
flowthrough (the increase in operating profit divided by the increase in
revenue) on five percent revenue growth from the fourth quarter of 2008, and
34 percent operating leverage on 37 percent revenue growth from the first
quarter of 2008. The revenue growth from the fourth quarter was due to higher
revenue out of backlog, which improved 15 percent sequentially to
$1,688 million. As of March 31, 2009 the scheduled outflow of revenue from
backlog is expected to be in the range of $3.8 billion for the remainder of
2009, $4.7 billion in 2010, and $1.1 billion for 2011. From 2005 through the
current quarter, the segment has delivered a total of 54 newly built offshore
rigs. Aftermarket spare parts and services revenue, and sales of smaller capital
items which do not qualify for booking into the backlog, declined 18 percent
from the fourth quarter. This was due mostly to lower purchases by North
American land customers who are curtailing expenditures and cannibalizing spares
and equipment from idle rigs to deploy onto working rigs.
The Petroleum Services & Supplies segment generated revenues of $1,014 million
and operating profit of $164 million or 16.2 percent of sales in the first
quarter of 2009. Revenues declined 27 percent from the fourth quarter of 2008,
and decremental operating leverage was 48 percent on the sequential decline,
leading to a sharp sequential decline in operating margins for the segment. On a
combined adjusted basis for a full first quarter 2008 contribution from Grant
Prideco, Inc. (including estimated fixed asset and intangible asset stepup
impact but excluding transaction charges and inventory stepup amortization), the
segment's revenues declined 23 percent from the prior year first quarter.
Negative comparisons for both periods were due mostly to lower sales of drill
pipe both year-over-year and sequentially, although the segment posted lower
sales for substantially all of its products during the first quarter of 2009 as
compared to both the first quarter of 2008 and the fourth quarter of 2008. Lower
drill pipe sales were the result of many contractors redeploying drill pipe from
idle rigs to active rigs, in lieu of purchasing new drill pipe. Lower drilling
activity negatively impacted revenue and pricing for this group in most major
oilfield markets around the world, with North America, the North Sea, and China
posting some of the steepest declines. Approximately 54 percent of first quarter
2009 sales for the segment were in North America.
Distribution Services segment revenues were $408 million during the first
quarter of 2009, a decrease of 16 percent from the fourth quarter of 2008.
Sequential decremental operating leverage was 24 percent on the revenue
declines, higher than the segment has typically experienced due to pricing
pressure accompanying the volume declines. Compared to the first quarter of
2008, revenues increased 11 percent, at 14 percent operating leverage, during
the first quarter of 2009. Sales in the U.S. and Canada declined in both the
sequential and year-over-year-comparisons, but these were partly offset by
higher international sales in the first quarter of 2009. Sales of Mono
artificial lift products, particularly into Latin America, helped improve
margins for these products. Approximately 69 percent of the segment's first
quarter 2009 sales were in North America.
Outlook
The recent emergence of a serious banking crisis, a global recession, and lower
commodity prices are presenting challenging prospects to our business.
Consequently we are cautious in our outlook for the remainder of 2009, and
believe we will see orders for new rigs fall in 2009 (although we are
nevertheless optimistic that drilling contractors will place orders for new
build floating rigs during the year for the Brazilian deepwater market).
Drilling activity, particularly by independent gas producers reliant on external
financing, has fallen sharply and we do not know when it will recover.
As a result of the much lower rig count our outlook for the Company's Petroleum
Services & Supplies segment and Distribution Services segment remains very
guarded. We expect revenues for both groups to continue to decline in the second
quarter. Decremental leverage for both groups is expected to be above our long
term estimated levels (30 percent for Petroleum Services & Supplies; 10 percent
for Distribution Services) due to rising pricing pressure we are experiencing,
particularly in North America, which can be only partly offset by cost reduction
measures we have taken. During the second quarter of 2009 we announced a
voluntary retirement program and expect to report a $45 million to $60 million
charge associated with enhanced retirement benefits we are offering to some of
our long-tenured employees in the U.S. Our outlook for international markets,
which are more driven by national oil company activity, are historically less
volatile and expected to see better market conditions. The Rig Technology
segment is expected to be less affected by the downturn due to the strength of
its backlog.
The Company believes it is nevertheless well positioned to manage through this
uncertain period, and should benefit from its strong balance sheet and
capitalization, access to credit, and a high level of contracted orders which
are expected to continue to generate earnings well into the downturn. The
Company has a long history of cost-control and downsizing in response to
depressed market conditions, and of executing strategic acquisitions during
difficult periods. The Company completed four acquisitions, ASEP, Anson, Spirit
Fluids, and Spirit Minerals since March 31, 2009 for an aggregate cash amount of
approximately $375 million, and continues to pursue others. Steel prices have
begun to decline in many areas, and the Company is reducing outsourcing,
overtime, and discretionary expenditures in view of the market. Such a period
may present opportunities to the Company to effect new organic growth and
acquisition initiatives, and we remain hopeful that a downturn will generate new
opportunities.
Operating Environment Overview
The Company's results are dependent on, among other things, the level of
worldwide oil and gas drilling, well remediation activity, the prices of crude
oil and natural gas, capital spending by other oilfield service companies and
drilling contractors, pipeline maintenance activity, and worldwide oil and gas
inventory levels. Key industry indicators for the first quarter of 2009 and
2008, and the fourth quarter of 2008 include the following:
% %
1Q09 v 1Q09 v
1Q09* 1Q08* 4Q08* 1Q08 4Q08
Active Drilling Rigs:
U.S. 1,326 1,771 1,898 (25.1 %) (30.1 %)
Canada 329 507 408 (35.1 %) (19.4 %)
International 1,026 1,046 1,089 (1.9 %) (5.8 %)
Worldwide 2,681 3,324 3,395 (19.3 %) (21.0 %)
West Texas Intermediate Crude
Prices (per barrel) $ 42.91 $ 97.87 $ 58.18 (56.2 %) (26.2 %)
Natural Gas Prices ($/mmbtu) $ 4.57 $ 8.64 $ 6.40 (47.1 %) (28.6 %)
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* Averages for the quarters indicated. See sources below.
The following table details the U.S., Canadian, and international rig activity
and West Texas Intermediate Oil prices for the past nine quarters ended
March 31, 2009 on a quarterly basis:
[[Image Removed: (INDUSTRY TRENDS GRAPH)]]
Source: Rig count: Baker Hughes, Inc. (www.bakerhughes.com); West Texas
Intermediate Crude and Natural Gas Prices: Department of Energy, Energy
Information Administration (www.eia.doe.gov).
The worldwide and U.S. quarterly average rig count decreased 19.3% (from 3,324
to 2,681) and 25.1% (from 1,771 to 1,326), respectively, in the first quarter of
2009 compared to the first quarter of 2008. The average per barrel price of West
Texas Intermediate Crude decreased 56.2% (from $97.87 per barrel to $42.91 per
barrel) and natural gas prices decreased 47.1% (from $8.64 per mmbtu to $4.57
per mmbtu) in the first quarter of 2009 compared to the first quarter of 2008.
U.S. rig activity at May 1, 2009 was 945 rigs compared to the first quarter
average of 1,326 rigs. The price for West Texas Intermediate Crude was at $53.20
per barrel as of May 1, 2009, increasing 24% from the first quarter 2009
average. The global financial credit crisis that began in 2008 has created a
worldwide economic slowdown.
Results of Operations
Operating results by segment are as follows (in millions):
Three Months Ended
March 31,
2009 2008
Revenue:
Rig Technology $ 2,199 $ 1,603
Petroleum Services & Supplies 1,014 830
Distribution Services 408 366
Elimination (140 ) (114 )
Total Revenue $ 3,481 $ 2,685
Operating Profit:
Rig Technology $ 606 $ 406
Petroleum Services & Supplies 164 195
Distribution Services 25 19
Unallocated expenses and eliminations (75 ) (51 )
Total Operating Profit $ 720 $ 569
Operating Profit %:
Rig Technology 27.6 % 25.3 %
Petroleum Services & Supplies 16.2 % 23.5 %
Distribution Services 6.1 % 5.1 %
Total Operating Profit % 20.7 % 21.2 %
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Rig Technology
Three Months Ended March 31, 2009 and 2008. Rig Technology revenue in the first
quarter of 2009 was $2,199 million, an increase of $596 million (37%) compared
to the same period in 2008. Backlog was $9.6 billion down 3% from the same
period last year. Revenue out of backlog increased 49% offset by an 8% decrease
in non-backlog revenue from the prior year period reflecting a decrease in
capital spending by North American land drillers and pressure pumpers.
Operating profit from Rig Technology was $606 million for the first quarter
ended March 31, 2009, an increase of $200 million (49%) over the same period of
2008. Operating profit percentage increased to 27.6%, up from 25.3% for the same
prior year period primarily driven by ongoing work on drillships and
construction contracts.
Petroleum Services & Supplies
Three Months Ended March 31, 2009 and 2008. Revenue from Petroleum Services &
Supplies was $1,014 million for the first quarter of 2009 compared to
$830 million for the first quarter of 2008, an increase of $184 million (22%).
The increase was primarily attributable to incremental revenues from the
acquisition of Grant Prideco.
Operating profit from Petroleum Services & Supplies was $164 million for the
first quarter of 2009 compared to $195 million for the same period in 2008, a
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