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| RWT > SEC Filings for RWT > Form 10-Q on 5-May-2009 | All Recent SEC Filings |
5-May-2009
Quarterly Report
Redwood Trust, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, is a financial institution focused on investing in, financing, and managing residential and commercial real estate loans and securities. We seek to invest in assets that have the potential to provide attractive cash flows over a long period of time and support our goal of distributing attractive levels of dividends to our stockholders. For tax purposes, we are structured as a real estate investment trust, or REIT. We are able to pass through substantially all of our earnings generated at our REIT to our stockholders without paying income tax at the corporate level. We pay income tax on the REIT taxable income we retain and on the income we earn at our taxable subsidiaries. Redwood was incorporated in the State of Maryland on April 11, 1994, and commenced operations on August 19, 1994. Our executive offices are located at One Belvedere Place, Suite 300, Mill Valley, California 94941.
References herein to "Redwood," the "company," "we," "us," and "our" include Redwood Trust, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries, unless the context otherwise requires. Financial information concerning our business is set forth in "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations," the consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto, and the supplemental financial information, which is included in Part I, Items 1 and 2 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
Our website can be found at www.redwoodtrust.com. We make available, free of charge through the investor information section of our website, access to our annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K and amendments to those reports filed or furnished pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as well as proxy statements, as soon as reasonably practicable after we electronically file such material with, or furnish it to, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). We also make available, free of charge, access to our Corporate Governance Standards, charters for our Audit Committee, Compensation Committee, and Corporate Governance and Nominating Committee, our Corporate Governance Standards, and our Code of Ethics governing our directors, officers, and employees. Within the time period required by the SEC and the New York Stock Exchange, we will post on our web site any amendment to the Code of Ethics and any waiver applicable to any executive officer, director, or senior officer (as defined in the Code). In addition, our web site includes information concerning purchases and sales of our equity securities by our executive officers and directors, as well as disclosure relating to certain non generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) financial measures (as defined in the SEC's Regulation G) that we may make public orally, telephonically, by webcast, by broadcast, or by similar means from time to time. The information on our website is not part of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
Our Investor Relations Department can be contacted at One Belvedere Place, Suite 300, Mill Valley, CA 94941, Attn: Investor Relations, telephone (866) 269-4976.
Cautionary Statement
This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and the documents incorporated by reference herein contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve numerous risks and uncertainties. Our actual results may differ from our beliefs, expectations, estimates, and projections and, consequently, you should not rely on these forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Forward-looking statements are not historical in nature and can be identified by words such as "anticipate," "estimate," "will," "should," "expect," "believe," "intend," "seek," "plan" and similar expressions or their negative forms, or by references to strategy, plans, or intentions. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, including, among other things, those described in our 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K under the caption "Risk Factors." Other risks, uncertainties, and factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected are described below and may be described from time to time in reports we file with the SEC, including reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
Statements regarding the following subjects, among others, are forward-looking by their nature: (i) credit protection we expect to be able to rely on, the effect of prepayment speeds, potential returns on investments we make, and our expectation of future cash flows from investments; (ii) the potential effect of government initiatives and programs and whether or not we would participate in such programs; (iii) our expected rate of capital deployment and our future capital needs and sources; (iv) our views on the potential effects of changes in accounting standards; (v) our belief that some of the securities we own have the potential to produce earnings in excess of our current expectations; (vi) the types of investments we may make, including that we may acquire commercial real estate mortgage assets; (vii) the intention of our board of directors to pay a regular dividend of $0.25 per share per quarter in 2009 and our expectations that: dividends paid in 2009 will constitute a return of capital, and we will report a taxable loss for 2009; (viii) our view of trends in the housing market, mortgage delinquencies, and credit losses; and (ix) our expectation that a deconsolidation event in the second quarter with respect to one of our Sequoia entities may occur and that we would, as a result, reverse a related allowance for loan losses.
Important factors, among others, that may affect our actual results include:
changes in interest rates; changes in mortgage prepayment rates; the timing of
credit losses within our portfolio; our exposure to adjustable-rate and negative
amortization mortgage loans; the state of the credit markets and other general
economic conditions, particularly as they affect the price of earning assets and
the credit status of borrowers; the concentration of the credit risks we are
exposed to; the ability of counterparties to satisfy their obligations to us;
legislative and regulatory actions affecting the mortgage industry or our
business; the availability of high quality assets for purchase at attractive
prices; declines in home prices and commercial real estate prices; increases in
mortgage payment delinquencies; changes in the level of liquidity in the capital
markets which may adversely affect our ability to finance our real estate asset
portfolio; changes in liquidity in the market for real estate securities, the
re-pricing of credit risk in the capital markets, inaccurate ratings of
securities by rating agencies, rating agency downgrades of securities, and
increases in the supply of real estate securities available-for-sale, each of
which may adversely affect the values of securities we own; the extent of
changes in the values of securities we own and the impact of adjustments
reflecting those changes on our income statement and balance sheet, including
our equity; our ability to maintain the positive stockholders' equity necessary
to enable us to pay the dividends required to maintain our status as a real
estate investment trust for tax purposes; our ability to generate the amount of
cash flow we expect from our investment portfolio; changes in our investment,
financing, and hedging strategies and the new risks that those changes may
expose us to; changes in the competitive landscape within our industry,
including changes that may affect our ability to retain or attract personnel;
our failure to manage various operational risks associated with our business;
our failure to maintain appropriate internal controls over financial reporting;
our failure to properly administer and manage our securitization entities; risks
we may be exposed to if we expand our business activities, such as risks
relating to significantly increasing our direct holdings of loans; limitations
imposed on our business due to our REIT status and our status as exempt from
registration under the Investment Company Act of 1940; our ability to
successfully deploy the proceeds from our recent common equity offering and
raise additional capital to fund our investing activity; and other factors not
presently identified. Fair values for our securities and asset-backed securities
(ABS) issued are dependent upon a number of market-based assumptions including
future interest rates, prepayment rates, discount rates, credit loss rates, and
the timing of credit losses. We use these assumptions to generate cash flow
estimates and internal values for each individual security.
This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q may contain statistics and other data that in some cases have been obtained from or compiled from information made available by servicers and other third-party service providers.
Our Business
Redwood Trust, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, is a financial institution focused on investing in, financing, and managing residential and commercial real estate loans and securities. We seek to invest in assets that have the potential to provide attractive cash flows over a long period of time and support our goal of distributing attractive levels of dividends to our stockholders. For tax purposes, we are structured as a real estate investment trust, or REIT. We are able to pass through substantially all of our earnings generated at our REIT to our stockholders without paying income tax at the corporate level. We pay income tax on the REIT taxable income we retain and on the income we earn at our taxable subsidiaries.
Our primary source of income is net interest income, which consists of the interest income we earn from our investments in loans and securities less the interest expenses we incur on our borrowed funds and other liabilities. We assume a range of risks in our investments and the level of risk is influenced by the manner in which we finance our purchase and derive income from our investments. Our primary real estate investments include investments in real estate loans and securities, an investment in a private fund that we sponsor - Redwood Opportunity Fund, LP (the Fund) - and investments in the securitization entities that we sponsor - Sequoia and Acacia.
Our direct investments in residential, commercial, and collateralized debt obligations (CDO) securities are currently financed with equity and long-term debt, although we may use short-term debt financing to acquire securities and loans from time to time. These investments are primarily senior and subordinate mortgage-backed securities backed by high-quality residential and commercial real estate loans. "High-quality" real estate loans are loans that typically have low loan-to-value ratios, borrowers with strong credit histories, and other indications of quality relative to the range of loans within U.S. real estate markets as a whole. The long term focus of our operations is to invest in subordinate securities (often below investment grade) that have concentrated structural credit risk. More recently, we have been investing in senior securities (often investment-grade), which have the first right to cash flows in a securitization and therefore less concentrated credit risk than subordinate securities.
The entities that we sponsor - the Fund, Sequoia, and Acacia - invest in real estate assets. Assets held at the Fund include senior securities backed by non-prime residential and CDO collateral, which were funded through the sale of limited partnership interests to us and to third party investors. The offer and sale of these interests were privately placed and were not registered under the federal securities laws in reliance on an exemption from registration. Assets held at the Sequoia entities include residential real estate loans, which are funded through the issuance of ABS to us and to third party investors. Assets held at the Acacia entities include real estate securities, and some loans and other mortgage related investments, which are funded through the issuance of ABS and equity to us and to third party investors.
Our investments in each of these entities are currently financed with equity and long-term debt. Our capital at risk is limited to these investments as each entity is independent of Redwood and of each other and the assets and liabilities are not owned by and are not obligations of Redwood. For financial reporting purposes, we are generally required to consolidate these entities' assets, liabilities, and noncontrolling interests.
Recent Developments
During the first quarter of 2009, our investment cash flows remained strong, we took advantage of attractive investment opportunities, and housing and credit fundamentals remained in line with our modeling expectations.
Since the beginning of the year, we have invested $240 million in residential mortgage-backed securities that we believe have the potential to generate attractive unlevered returns. We invested $98 million during the first quarter of 2009 and $142 million in the second quarter through May 1, 2009. The vast majority of these investments were in senior residential securities backed by pre-2006 prime or near prime loans that are well protected from a credit standpoint and well positioned to benefit from any uptick in prepayments. We have not acquired any commercial real estate assets since early 2007, but we have been actively monitoring developments and may identify investments that are adequately protected from loss and have the potential to provide stable, long-term cash flows, at attractive yields.
From the middle of 2007 through November 2008, trading activity between willing buyers and sellers of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) was light, and prices for virtually all mortgage-backed assets headed in one direction - down. This steady, steep decline was fueled by rapidly deteriorating credit fundamentals and was exacerbated by the extraordinary deleveraging that took place in the financial markets. The chart below illustrates the prices that investors were paying to compensate for the perceived credit risk of RMBS and CMBS over the last two years.
Source: Credit Suisse, JPMorgan Chase, Redwood Trust
Since November 2008, prices for senior residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities have been on a roller coaster ride, as buyers' and sellers' sentiment has shifted back and forth from focusing on negative credit fundamentals (causing prices to move lower and trading activity to decline) to focusing on the potential positive technical benefits from government programs (causing prices to move higher and trading activity to increase). In contrast to price movements in senior securities, prices for subordinate residential and commercial securities have only moved lower, as the focus has been solely on the fundamentals. We believe residential subordinate securities are likely to be negatively impacted by the government's loan modification initiatives.
From November 2008 through the end of January 2009, prices for senior mortgage-backed securities increased based on a positive market reaction to the initial high-level outline of government initiatives for legacy assets. By February 2009, in the absence of actionable details on these initiatives and with a pall looming over the health of banks, fear re-gripped the financial markets. As a consequence, trading activity fell dramatically and investor focus turned back to the negative credit fundamentals. Prices for senior securities dropped to a point where prices dipped below the November lows.
In mid-March, the government announced the outline of its Public-Private Investment Program (PPIP), designed to spur the purchase of up to $1 trillion of legacy residential assets (loans and securities), and signaled that it would expand the existing $1 trillion Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) to provide financing for the purchase of senior legacy residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities. In response to these announcements, prices for senior residential and commercial securities began to rise, although, by quarter-end, prices generally remained below year-end levels. As a result, we were required under GAAP to reflect additional negative market valuation adjustments in our first quarter financial statements. Since March 31, 2009, trading activity has been robust and prices for senior securities have continued to rise. In the near term it is difficult to anticipate the direction of prices since we believe they will depend largely on the success of PPIP, TALF, and other government programs.
In an attempt to stabilize or increase asset values, the government has indicated that it is considering offering what appears on the surface to be very attractive, non-recourse financing under TALF to potential acquirers of banks' legacy securitized assets. Some of our competitors, including hedge funds and other market participants, have been actively buying senior securities in anticipation of leveraging these investments through financing provided under TALF, and hopefully increasing investment returns. So far, the details on TALF are limited, however, and key terms and potential regulatory restrictions imposed on program participants have not yet been disclosed by the government.
We would consider using TALF as a source of leverage if we became comfortable with the resulting liquidity risk and any operating restrictions that may be imposed by the government. It has long been our policy to avoid liquidity risk and that policy has enabled us to withstand this current crisis. Leverage does not improve the performance of the underlying collateral. As a matter of fact, the extensive use of leverage
contributed to the current crisis. Furthermore, one of our competitive advantages has been our ability to operate in an entrepreneurial manner without government-imposed constraints; we are reluctant to compromise that ability. Until enough of the details on TALF are disclosed to allow us to make an informed judgment on the impact of the program on our balance sheet and operations, we will continue to acquire assets based upon unlevered return expectations.
Another program that deserves comment is PPIP. Here again, the details of the program have yet to be fully disclosed. Conceptually, the U.S. Treasury will select private-sector firms to manage new investment funds to be formed to acquire legacy loans and securities. The government will provide equity funding to be invested alongside the private investors in these funds, as well as non-recourse financing up to certain limits. We have thought long and hard about whether Redwood Asset Management (a Redwood subsidiary) should become a manager under the PPIP program. Redwood is well positioned to be a manager given our successful 15-year track record of managing residential credit risk, and we have the people, systems, and resources to proceed. There are positives, negatives, and unknowns associated with participation. Although it could significantly increase assets under management, the actual economics of such a mandate currently do not appear compelling. Moreover, there are questions relating to the Treasury's share of the economics and potential limitations that could prevent us from capitalizing on attractive investment opportunities for Redwood shareholders. For now, the balance tips on the side of not participating, but we continue to monitor the situation and will re-evaluate our decision if warranted. Regardless of whether Redwood Asset Management participates in PPIP, we remain firmly committed to our third-party asset management initiative and are moving forward to grow the business, as it represents an important source of capital for us to acquire and manage additional assets.
In addition to the significant government actions taken during the first quarter of 2009, mark-to-market accounting standards will change in the second quarter based upon two new financial statement positions (FSPs) issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) in April 2009. These new FSPs will affect our future GAAP earnings; however, they will not affect our future cash flow, book value, or economic returns. The first FSP clarifies how to measure fair value in an inactive market. We do not expect this first FSP to have much of an impact on our pricing process or future earnings. The second FSP revises previous FASB guidance for measuring new impairments and eliminates the "recapture" of previously taken impairment charges that subsequently proved to be unnecessary. This second FSP will have positive and negative impacts on our future GAAP earnings. On the positive side, the guidance will likely reduce the amount of new future impairment charges against earnings. On the negative side, it will limit some of the future recapture of prior impairment charges, which under existing guidance, would have flowed through our income statement. Instead, previously recorded impairment charges that prove to have been unnecessary will be recorded as a positive equity adjustment. In the end, the benefit will still be reflected in book value, but it will not flow through earnings. We will adopt this standard in the second quarter; it is too early to estimate the impact.
Outlook
We remain focused on cash flows, capitalizing on investment opportunities, staying abreast of government initiatives and determining if and when to participate in those initiatives. We enter the second quarter with strong cash flow from our investment portfolio, increased prepayment activity, firming prices for senior securities and increased trading volume in the market, and ample to cash to invest.
At our current rate of capital deployment, we would expect to invest our excess capital over the course of the next few months. In deciding whether to raise additional capital, we must consider both our future capital needs and alternative sources of capital. The "needs side" of the capital equation involves an analysis of both the near-term - how much capital we need to capitalize on secondary investment opportunities, and the long-term - how much capital we need for investment in our core business in the years ahead. Alternative methods of raising capital include generating capital internally through asset sales or re-securitizations, raising third-party funds through private placements to expand our asset management business, or accessing the equity markets through the sale of common stock. We may reduce our capital needs if we are able to leverage some of our investments through TALF, although, as we noted above, it is too early to determine whether it makes sense for us to participate in that program.
Decisions around capital require speculation on future market conditions and investment opportunities. As markets continue to remain fluid, it is difficult to predict the actions we will take. Our highest near-term priority is to get our arms around the level and attractiveness of secondary market investment opportunities. We will remain true to our core values and consider raising additional common equity only if we believe there are attractive investment opportunities that with the potential to lead us to higher levels of earnings and dividends per share over the long-term.
We expect that GAAP earnings will remain volatile in the near term due to mark-to-market (MTM) adjustments. We may recognize additional GAAP impairment losses on residential, commercial, and CDO securities held at Redwood and the Fund. Negative MTM balance sheet write-downs that have not yet been realized through our income statement totaled $75 million at March 31, 2009. Future income statement impairment charges related to these unrealized losses will be ameliorated by the recently announced FSP discussed above and, in any event, will not affect GAAP book value since these MTM losses were already deducted from equity at March 31, 2009. The fair value accounting principles we follow for the assets and liabilities at Acacia may also contribute to future MTM volatility.
Actual REIT taxable income in 2009 will depend on the timing of credit losses and the level of taxable income generated by our new and existing investments. We currently expect that taxable income will continue to be pressured by the realization of credit losses in 2009 and it is highly probable that taxable income for 2009 will be negative. In November 2008, our Board of Directors announced its intention to distribute a regular dividend of $0.25 per share per quarter during 2009.
Summary of Results of Operations and Financial Condition
Our reported GAAP net loss was $35 million ($0.65 per share) for the first quarter of 2009 as compared to a GAAP net loss of $172 million ($5.28 per share) for the first quarter of 2008. Our GAAP book value per common share was $8.40 at March 31, 2009, a decrease from $9.02 at December 31, 2008. We declared a regular dividend of $0.25 per share for the first quarter of 2009 and $0.75 per share for the first quarter of 2008.
The following table presents the components of our GAAP net loss for the first quarter of 2009 and 2008.
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