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23-Apr-2009
Quarterly Report
Commercial, Regional, Business and General Aviation Airplane Aftermarket
The commercial, regional, business and general aviation airplane aftermarket
channel includes sales of products and services for existing commercial and
general aviation airplanes, primarily to airlines and package carriers around
the world.
The key growth drivers in this channel include worldwide passenger capacity
growth measured by Available Seat Miles (ASM) and the size, type and activity
levels of the worldwide airplane fleet. Other important factors affecting growth
in this market channel are the age and types of the airplanes in the fleet, fuel
prices, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) trends in countries and regions around the
world and domestic and international air freight activity.
Capacity in the global airline system, as measured by ASMs, is expected to
decrease 5% to 8% in 2009. ASM growth could deteriorate further if airlines
choose to fly their in-service airplanes less frequently due to high fuel
prices, decreased demand and other factors including the downturn of the global
economy.
While we have significant product content on most of the airplane models that
are currently in service, we enjoy the benefit of having excellent positions on
the newer, more fuel-efficient airplanes currently in service. Even though many
airlines have announced that they will remove some of their older airplanes from
their fleets, we do not expect these removals to have a significant impact on
our results in 2009.
Defense and Space
Worldwide defense and space sales include sales to prime contractors such as
Boeing, Northrop Grumman, Lockheed Martin, the U.S. Government and foreign
companies and governments.
The key growth drivers in this channel include the level of defense spending by
the U.S. and foreign governments, the number of new platform starts, the level
of military flight operations and the level of upgrade, overhaul and maintenance
activities associated with existing platforms.
The market for our defense and space products is global, and is not dependent on
any single program, platform or customer. We anticipate fewer new fighter and
transport aircraft platform starts over the next several years. We also
anticipate that the introduction of the F-35 Lightning II and new helicopter
platforms, along with upgrades on existing defense and space platforms, will
provide long-term growth opportunities in this market channel. Additionally, we
are participating in, and developing new products for, the rapidly expanding
homeland security and intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance sectors,
which should further strengthen our position in this market channel.
Long-term Sustainable Growth
We believe that we are well positioned to continue to grow overall sales due to:
Awards for key products on important new and expected programs, including
the Airbus A380 and A350 XWB, the Boeing 787 and 747-8, the Embraer 190, the
Pratt & Whitney PurePowerδ PW1000G, the Dassault Falcon 7X and the Lockheed
Martin F-35 Lightning II;
The large installed base of commercial airplanes and our strong positions on newer, more fuel-efficient airplanes, which should fuel sustained aftermarket strength;
Balance in the large commercial airplane market, with strong sales to both Airbus and Boeing;
Aging of the existing large commercial and regional airplane fleets, which should result in increased aftermarket support;
Increased number of long-term agreements for product sales on new and existing commercial airplanes;
Increased opportunities for aftermarket growth due to airline outsourcing;
Growth in global maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) opportunities for our systems and components, particularly in Europe, Asia and the Middle East, where we have expanded our capacity; and
Expansion of our product offerings in support of high growth areas in the defense and space market channel, such as helicopter products and systems and intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance products.
First Quarter 2009 Sales Content by Market Channel During the first quarter 2009, approximately 94% of our sales were from our three primary market channels described above. Following is a summary of the percentage of sales by market channel:
Airbus Commercial OE 17 % Boeing Commercial OE 8 % Regional, Business and General Aviation Airplane OE 8 % Total Commercial, Regional, Business and General Aviation Airplane OE 33 % Large Commercial Airplane Aftermarket 28 % Regional, Business and General Aviation Airplane Aftermarket 6 % Total Commercial, Regional, Business and General Aviation Airplane Aftermarket 34 % Total Defense and Space 27 % Other 6 % Total 100 % |
Results of Operations - First Quarter 2009 as Compared to First Quarter 2008
First Quarter $ %
2009 2008 Change Change
(Dollars in millions, except diluted EPS)
Sales $ 1,695.9 $ 1,745.0 $ (49.1 ) 2.8
Segment operating income (1) $ 291.9 $ 301.8 $ (9.9 ) 3.3
Corporate general and administrative
costs (24.1 ) (27.3 ) 3.2 11.7
Total operating income 267.8 274.5 (6.7 ) 2.4
Net interest expense (28.2 ) (27.7 ) (0.5 ) 1.8
Other income (expense) - net (4.4 ) (9.8 ) 5.4 55.1
Income from continuing operations before
income taxes 235.2 237.0 (1.8 ) 0.8
Income tax expense (61.9 ) (78.9 ) 17.0 21.5
Income from continuing operations 173.3 158.1 15.2 9.6
Income from discontinued operations 0.5 4.3 (3.8 ) 88.4
Consolidated net income 173.8 162.4 11.4 7.0
Net income attributable to
noncontrolling interests (2) (4.0 ) (4.5 ) 0.5 11.1
Net income attributable to Goodrich $ 169.8 $ 157.9 $ 11.9 7.5
Effective tax rate 26.3 % 33.3 %
Diluted EPS: (3)
Continuing operations $ 1.35 $ 1.20 $ 0.15 12.5
Net income attributable to Goodrich $ 1.35 $ 1.23 $ 0.12 9.8
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(1) We measure each reporting segment's profit based upon operating income. Accordingly, we do not allocate net interest expense, other income (expense) - net and income taxes to our reporting segments. The company-wide Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) implementation costs that were not directly associated with a specific business were not allocated to the segments. For a reconciliation of total segment operating income to total operating income, see Note 3, "Business Segment Information" to our condensed consolidated financial statements.
(2) On January 1, 2009, we adopted Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 160. See Note 2, "New Accounting Standards" to our condensed consolidated financial statements.
(3) On January 1, 2009, we adopted Financial Accounting Standards Board Staff Position No. EITF 03-6-1. See Note 2, "New Accounting Standards" to our condensed consolidated financial statements.
Sales
The sales decrease in the first quarter 2009 as compared to the first quarter
2008 was driven by changes in each of our major market channels as follows:
Large commercial airplane original equipment sales decreased by
approximately 7%;
Regional, business and general aviation airplane original equipment sales decreased by approximately 2%; and
Large commercial, regional, business and general aviation airplane aftermarket sales decreased by approximately 8%; partially offset by
Defense and space sales of both original equipment and aftermarket products and services increased by approximately 11%.
Segment operating income
See discussion in the "Business Segment Performance" section.
Corporate general and administrative costs
Corporate general and administrative costs decreased primarily due to reductions
in discretionary spending and favorable foreign exchange partially offset by
higher share-based compensation.
Other income (expense) - net
Other income (expense) - net decreased for the first quarter 2009 as compared to
the first quarter 2008, primarily as a result of lower expenses for retiree
health expenses for previously owned businesses of approximately $4 million.
Income from continuing operations
In addition to the items described above, income from continuing operations
during the first quarter 2009 as compared to the first quarter 2008 was also
impacted by the following items:
Increase (Decrease)
Before After Diluted
Tax Tax EPS
(Dollars in millions, except diluted EPS)
Lower effective tax rate $ - $ 16.5 $ 0.13
Higher pension expense $ (28.4 ) $ (18.0 ) $ (0.15 )
Changes in estimates on long-term contracts $ (34.9 ) $ (21.3 ) $ (0.16 )
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Lower effective tax rate
For the first quarter of 2009 we reported an effective tax rate of 26.3% as
compared to 33.3% in the first quarter of 2008. The decrease in the effective
tax rate was primarily due to a favorable adjustment to state tax reserves (see
"Contingencies" section).
Higher pension expense
The increase in pension expense was primarily due to the investment losses of
our plan assets in 2008 partially offset by a higher discount rate.
Changes in estimates on long-term contracts
During the first quarter 2009 and 2008, we revised estimates on certain of our
long-term contracts, primarily in our aerostructures and aircraft wheels and
brakes business units. These changes in estimates resulted in lower income of
approximately $35 million in the first quarter of 2009 compared to the first
quarter of 2008.
Income from discontinued operations
On March 3, 2008, we sold a previously discontinued business for a gain of
$6.1 million.
2009 OUTLOOK
We expect the following approximate results for the years ending December 31,
2009:
2009 Outlook
Sales $6.9 billion
Diluted EPS - Net Income $4.50 to $4.75 per share
Capital Expenditures $220 to $240 million
Operating Cash Flow minus Capital Expenditures Exceed 75% of net income
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Full year 2009 sales expectations are approximately $6.9 billion, compared with
prior expectations of $7.1 to $7.2 billion reported in our 2008 Annual Report on
Form 10-K. Net income per diluted share is expected to be in a range of $4.50 to
$4.75, compared with prior expectations of $4.50 to $4.90. These expectations
reflect our updated sales expectations, improved performance from cost
containment initiatives, a lower effective tax rate and the expected resolution
of certain non-operating items.
Our 2009 outlook assumes, among other factors:
A full-year effective tax rate of 30% to 31%; and
Higher pre-tax pension expense of $103 million compared to 2008, or $0.52 per diluted share. The higher pension expense incorporates our return on U.S. plan assets of approximately negative 19% in 2008 and the lowering of the long-term U.S. rate of return on assets to 8.75% for 2009 partially offset by a 2009 U.S. discount rate of approximately 6.5% compared to a rate of 6.3% for 2008.
Sales
Our current market assumptions, for each of our major market channels, for the
full year 2009 outlook, compared with the full year 2008, include the following:
Large commercial airplane OE sales are expected to be approximately flat,
based on the latest 2009 delivery estimates by Boeing and Airbus and
including any impact of the recent 2010 production rate adjustments
announced by Boeing;
Regional, business and general aviation airplane OE sales are expected to decrease by slightly more than 20%;
Large commercial, regional, business and general aviation airplane aftermarket sales are expected to decrease by 5% to 8%. This outlook includes double-digit decreases in sales in support of freighters and regional, business and general aviation airplanes. This outlook also assumes that worldwide ASMs will decrease by approximately 5% to 8%; and
Defense and space sales of both OE and aftermarket products and services are expected to increase by approximately 8%.
Cash Flow
We continue to expect net cash provided by operating activities, minus capital
expenditures to exceed 75% of net income. Our outlook reflects a continuation of
investments to support the current schedule for the Boeing 787 Dreamliner and
Airbus A350 XWB airplane programs, and low cost country manufacturing and
productivity initiatives that are expected to enhance margins over the near and
long-term. We now expect capital expenditures for 2009 to be in a range of
$220 million to $240 million, compared to the prior outlook of $230 million to
$270 million.
BUSINESS SEGMENT PERFORMANCE
Our three business segments are as follows:
The Actuation and Landing Systems segment provides systems, components and
related services pertaining to aircraft taxi, take-off, flight control,
landing and stopping, and engine components, including fuel delivery systems
and rotating assemblies.
The Nacelles and Interior Systems segment produces products and provides maintenance, repair and overhaul services associated with aircraft engines, including thrust reversers, cowlings, nozzles and their components, and aircraft interior products, including slides, seats, cargo and lighting systems.
The Electronic Systems segment produces a broad array of systems and components that provide flight performance measurements, flight management information, engine controls, fuel controls, electrical power systems, safety data, and reconnaissance and surveillance systems.
We measure each reporting segment's profit based upon operating income.
Accordingly, we do not allocate net interest expense, other income (expense) -
net and income taxes to the reporting segments. The company-wide ERP
implementation costs that were not directly associated with a specific business
were not allocated to the segments. The accounting policies of the reportable
segments are the same as those for our condensed consolidated financial
statements. For a reconciliation of total segment operating income to total
operating income, see Note 3, "Business Segment Information" to our condensed
consolidated financial statements.
First Quarter 2009 Compared with First Quarter 2008
First Quarter % of Sales
Increase/ %
2009 2008 (Decrease) Change 2009 2008
(Dollars in millions)
NET CUSTOMER SALES
Actuation and Landing
Systems $ 612.7 $ 682.1 $ (69.4 ) 10.2
Nacelles and Interior
Systems 632.2 620.5 11.7 1.9
Electronic Systems 451.0 442.4 8.6 1.9
$ 1,695.9 $ 1,745.0 $ (49.1 ) 2.8
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SEGMENT OPERATING
INCOME
Actuation and Landing
Systems $ 76.1 $ 74.1 $ 2.0 2.7 12.4 10.9
Nacelles and Interior
Systems 148.7 178.8 (30.1 ) 16.8 23.5 28.8
Electronic Systems 67.1 48.9 18.2 37.2 14.9 11.1
$ 291.9 $ 301.8 $ (9.9 ) 3.3 17.2 17.3
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Actuation and Landing Systems: Actuation and Landing Systems segment sales for
the first quarter 2009 decreased from the first quarter 2008 primarily due to
the following:
Lower large commercial airplane OE sales of approximately $42 million,
primarily due to the residual impact of the Boeing machinists' strike in
late 2008 on our landing gear business;
Lower regional, business and general aviation airplane aftermarket sales of approximately $21 million, primarily due to changes in estimates on certain long-term contracts in our aircraft wheels and brakes business that were more favorable in 2008; and
Lower defense and space OE and aftermarket sales of approximately $5 million, primarily in our aircraft wheels and brakes business.
Actuation and Landing Systems segment operating income for the first quarter
2009 increased from the first quarter 2008 primarily as a result of the
following:
Reduced operating costs and higher pricing across all businesses, which
resulted in higher income of approximately $21 million; and
Favorable foreign exchange of approximately $4 million; partially offset by
Lower income of approximately $14 million related to changes in estimates for certain long-term contracts in our wheels and brakes business that were more favorable in 2008; and
Lower sales volume across most businesses resulting in lower income of approximately $9 million.
Nacelles and Interior Systems: Nacelles and Interior Systems segment sales for
the first quarter 2009 increased from the first quarter 2008 primarily due to
the following:
Higher large commercial airplane OE sales of approximately $21 million,
primarily in our aerostructures and interiors businesses;
Higher defense and space OE and aftermarket sales of approximately $8 million, primarily in our aerostructures business; and
Higher regional, business, and general aviation airplane OE sales of approximately $4 million, primarily in our interiors business; partially offset by
Lower large commercial airplane aftermarket sales of approximately $21 million, primarily in our aerostructures and interiors businesses.
Nacelles and Interior Systems segment operating income for the first quarter
2009 decreased from the first quarter 2008 primarily due to the following:
Lower income of approximately $22 million related to changes in estimates
for certain long-term contracts at our aerostructures business that were
more favorable in 2008; and
Lower sales volume and unfavorable product mix, primarily in our interiors and aerostructures businesses, which resulted in lower income of approximately $15 million; partially offset by
Favorable foreign exchange of approximately $5 million; and
Favorable pricing partially offset by higher operating costs, across all of our businesses, which resulted in higher income of approximately $2 million.
Electronic Systems: Electronic Systems segment sales for the first quarter 2009
increased from the first quarter 2008 primarily due to the following:
Higher defense and space OE and aftermarket sales of approximately
$45 million, across all of our businesses, including sales of approximately
$20 million associated with the 2008 acquisitions of TEAC Aerospace
Holdings, Inc. (TEAC) and Recon/Optical, Inc. (ROI), which occurred
subsequent to the first quarter of 2008; partially offset by
Lower engine controls sales of approximately $24 million which are no longer being reported by us. Sales in 2009 will be recorded by the engine controls joint venture (JV) with Rolls-Royce that was formed in the fourth quarter of 2008;
Lower regional, business and general aviation airplane aftermarket sales of approximately $8 million, primarily in our sensors and integrated systems and engine control and electrical power businesses; and
Lower regional, business and general aviation airplane OE sales of approximately $5 million, primarily in our engine control and electrical power business.
Electronic Systems segment operating income for the first quarter 2009 increased
from the first quarter 2008 primarily due to the following:
Higher sales volume and favorable product mix which resulted in higher
income of approximately $16 million, primarily in our sensors and integrated
systems and intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance businesses; and
Lower manufacturing, engineering and general and administrative costs of approximately $6 million, which are recorded by the JV in 2009. We will record our portion of the JV's 2009 results in other income (expense) - net; partially offset by
Higher operating costs of approximately $3 million, primarily in our intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance and sensors and integrated systems businesses.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
We currently expect to fund expenditures for capital requirements and other
liquidity needs from a combination of cash, internally generated funds and
financing arrangements. We believe that our internal liquidity, together with
access to external capital resources, will be sufficient to satisfy existing
plans and commitments, including our stock repurchase program, and also provide
adequate financial flexibility. The current economic conditions, including the
turmoil in the banking sector and credit markets, are expected to be manageable
due to our strong balance sheet, lack of any large near-term funding
requirements and a strong banking group with a multi-year committed credit
facility.
The following events have affected our liquidity and capital resources during
2009:
We paid quarterly dividends of $0.25 per share on January 2 and April 1; and
We issued $300 million in senior notes which mature on March 1, 2019.
Cash
At March 31, 2009, we had cash and cash equivalents of $665.1 million, as
compared to $370.3 million at December 31, 2008.
Credit Facilities
We have the following amounts available under our credit facilities:
. . .
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