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TROW > SEC Filings for TROW > Form 10-Q on 22-Apr-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for PRICE T ROWE GROUP INC


22-Apr-2009

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
GENERAL.
Our revenues and net income are derived primarily from investment advisory services provided to individual and institutional investors in our sponsored mutual funds and other managed investment portfolios. Investment advisory clients outside the United States account for 10% of our assets under management at March 31, 2009.
We manage a broad range of U.S. and international stock, bond, and money market mutual funds and other investment portfolios, which meet the varied needs and objectives of individual and institutional investors. Investment advisory revenues depend largely on the total value and composition of assets under our management. Accordingly, fluctuations in financial markets and in the composition of assets under management affect our revenues and results of operations.
The severe downturn in global financial markets during 2008, and through the early part of 2009, has had a dramatic effect on investor returns and our financial results. Although we have not experienced a fundamental change in our business model like many other financial services companies, the collateral damage from the global economic woes has significantly reduced our assets under management, related advisory revenues, the value of our corporate mutual fund investments, and our net income. In response, we have been vigilant about our expense levels and initiated a series of expense reduction measures that have been accelerated since the equity market's steep fourth quarter 2008 decline. These efforts included the April 21, 2009 decision to reduce our workforce by 288 associates, or 5.5%. The short-term cost resulting from severance and related expenses will lower our operating earnings by about $2.5 million in the second quarter of 2009. We expect to realize net savings of approximately $17 million over the following four quarters, including a roughly $6 million reduction of our administrative fee revenues that in turn saves a similar amount of annual expenses for our sponsored mutual funds. Through year-to-date attrition, retirements and the workforce reduction, our number of associates is now down 8.6% from the 5,385 employed at the beginning of the year. Overall, we expect that our cost savings efforts could reduce our 2009 operating expenses by as much as $120 million from our 2007 level of spending.
We remain debt-free with substantial liquidity and resources that are available to help us ride through the current market crises while prudently managing the firm for the long-term. Our financial stability allows us to take advantage of attractive growth opportunities, invest in key capabilities including investment professionals and technologies and, most importantly, provide our clients with strong investment management expertise and service both now and in the future. While we believe 2009 will be a tough year for consumers and companies alike around the world, we think the investment environment will improve as we move into the latter half of the year and efforts to get the global economy back on track gain traction.
BACKGROUND.
Credit markets loosened modestly in early 2009 though rate spreads remain high by historical standards. Equity markets were down for the sixth consecutive quarter, despite a significant March rally. Fears of a lingering recession and an uncertain timeframe for economic recovery are weighing on investors. The Federal Reserve's target funds rate remains in a range of 0% to .25%, the lowest in history. Businesses are in a cost cutting mode, and households are reducing spending and increasing savings.
U.S. stock indexes fell in the first quarter of 2009. The broad S&P 500 Index of large-cap companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy registered an 11.0% loss while the NASDAQ Composite Index, which is heavily weighted with technology companies, was down 3.1% (excluding dividends). Performance of stocks outside the United States was mixed in dollar terms as the MSCI EAFE Index, which measures the performance of mostly large-cap stocks in Europe, Australasia and the Far East, experienced a 13.9% loss, while the MSCI Emerging Markets Index returned 1.0% for the quarter.
U.S. Treasury yields rose during the first quarter as supply forecasts grew dramatically. The yield curve steepened with yields increasing more for bonds with longer maturities. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries was 2.71% at March 31, 2009, up 46 basis points from the end of 2008. On the shortest side of the yield curve, the one-month yield was only .17%, up from .11% at year-end 2008.
Returns for other fixed income securities were mixed in the first quarter with gains from the most oversold sectors recouping a portion of their steep 2008 losses. Municipal bonds, high-yield issues, and dollar-denominated emerging markets bonds saw gains. The Barclays Capital Municipal Bond Index gained 4.2% while the Credit Suisse High Yield Index gained 5.8%. Longer-term investment-grade corporate issues produced weak to poor results as the Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate Index gained .1% and the Barclays Capital Global Aggregate Ex-U.S. Dollar Bond Index lost 5.4%.
In this unsettled financial environment, investors entrusted net inflows of $4.5 billion to our management during the first quarter of 2009. Total assets under our management ended March 31, 2009 at $268.8 billion, down 2.7% from the beginning of the year. The change (in billions) during the first quarter occurred as follows.

              Assets under management at beginning of year   $ 276.3

              Net cash inflows
              Sponsored mutual funds in the U.S.                 1.8
              Other portfolios                                   2.7

                                                                 4.5
              Market valuation changes and income              (12.0 )

              Change during the period                          (7.5 )


              Assets under management at end of period       $ 268.8

Assets under management at March 31, 2009, include $187.1 billion in stock and blended asset investment portfolios and $81.7 billion in fixed income investment portfolios. The investment portfolios that we manage consist of $158.8 billion in the T. Rowe Price mutual funds distributed in the United States and $110.0 billion in other investment portfolios, including separately managed accounts, sub-advised funds, and other sponsored investment portfolios including common trust funds and mutual funds offered to investors outside the U.S. and through variable annuity life insurance plans.

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Our $488.3 million corporate-owned portfolio of investments in sponsored mutual funds at March 31, 2009, includes a net unrealized loss of $3.5 million, including fund holdings with aggregate unrealized gains of $18.4 million and aggregate unrealized losses of $21.9 million. The aggregate unrealized losses are considered temporary and, accordingly are recognized in accumulated other comprehensive losses in stockholders' equity. Unrealized losses totaling $12.6 million on investments valued at $56.8 million at March 31, 2009, have been temporarily impaired on a continuous basis from December 31, 2008. The remaining unrealized losses totaling $9.3 million were incurred in the first quarter of 2009 on fund investments valued at $111.5 million. See Item 3, Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk, in this report for further discussion about the possible recognition of impairments to our investments in sponsored mutual funds.
We incur significant expenditures to attract new investment advisory clients and additional investments from our existing clients. These efforts involve costs that generally precede any future revenues that we might recognize from additions to our assets under management.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS - First quarter 2009 versus first quarter 2008. Investment advisory revenues decreased about 35%, or $163.3 million, to $306.8 million in the first quarter of 2009 as average assets under our management decreased $114.1 billion to $264.8 billion. The average annualized fee rate earned on our assets under management was 47.0 basis points during the first quarter of 2009, down from the 49.2 basis points earned in the year 2008, as lower equity market valuations resulted in a greater percentage of our assets under management being attributable to lower fee fixed income portfolios. Extended stress on the financial markets and resulting lower equity valuations in following quarters will result in lower average assets under our management and lower investment advisory fees as compared to prior periods. Net revenues decreased 31%, or $174.6 million, to $384.5 million. Operating expenses fell $55.1 million to $273.9 million in the first quarter of 2009, down nearly 17% from the comparable 2008 quarter. Overall, net operating income for the first quarter of 2009 decreased $119.5 million, or 51.9%, to $110.6 million. The results of our cost saving efforts dampened the impact of lower assets under management and advisory revenues on our operating margin in the first quarter of 2009, which at 28.8% was virtually unchanged from the 29.1% margin in the fourth quarter of 2008. Net income fell 68.2% or $103.3 million in the first quarter of 2009 versus the comparable 2008 quarter. Diluted earnings per share also decreased to $.19, down $.36 or 65.5% from the first quarter last year. Investment advisory revenues earned from the T. Rowe Price mutual funds distributed in the United States decreased 36.5%, or $121.9 million, to $211.7 million. First quarter average mutual fund assets were $157.3 billion, down 32% from the average for the comparable 2008 quarter. Mutual fund assets at March 31, 2009 were $158.8 billion, down $5.6 billion from December 31, 2008, but $1.5 billion higher than the first quarter 2009 average.
Overall, net inflows to the mutual funds were $1.8 billion during the first quarter of 2009. The stock funds saw net inflows of $1.2 billion, including $.7 billion to the Equity Index 500 fund and $.4 billion to the Value fund. Bond and money funds had $.6 billion of net inflows. During the first quarter of 2009, our net fund inflows originated largely in our target-date Retirement Funds, which in turn invest in the other T. Rowe Price funds. Decreases in market valuations, net of income, lowered our mutual fund assets under management by $7.4 billion during the 2009 quarter. Investment advisory revenues earned on the other investment portfolios that we manage decreased $41.4 million, or 30.3%, to $95.1 million. Average assets in these portfolios were $107.5 billion during the first quarter of 2009, down $40.2 billion or 27.2% from the comparable 2008 quarter. Lower market valuations, net of income, reduced our assets under management in these portfolios by $4.6 billion during the 2009 quarter. Net inflows of $2.7 billion, primarily from U.S. and international institutional investors, only partially offset these market losses.
Administrative fees decreased $11.4 million to $77.4 million. The change in these revenues includes a $2.4 million reduction of 12b-1 distribution fees recognized on lower assets under management in the Advisor and R classes of our sponsored mutual funds. The balance of the change is attributable to a decrease in our servicing activities to the mutual funds and their related investors that is generally offset by a similar decrease in related operating expenses that are incurred to provide these services.
Our largest expense, compensation and related costs, decreased $32.0 million, or more than 15% compared to the first quarter of 2008. This decrease includes a reduction in our annual bonus pool of $28.3 million from the 2008 quarter in response to the recent and ongoing unfavorable financial market conditions that have negatively impacted our operating results. At March 31, 2009, we employed 5,230 associates, down 2.9% from the end of 2008 and up slightly from the number at the end of the first quarter of 2008. As discussed above, year-to-date attrition, retirements and our workforce reduction have reduced our staffing 8.6% from the beginning of 2009.
Advertising and promotion expenditures decreased 38%, or $13.8 million, compared to the first quarter of 2008, and are down $8.0 million from the fourth quarter of 2008. We reduced advertising and promotion expense in response to the change of investor sentiment in this uncertain and volatile market environment. We currently estimate that our advertising and promotion expenditures for the second quarter of 2009 will be about 30% lower than the preceding quarter and that our full-year 2009 costs will be about 25% lower than 2008. We vary our level of spending based on market conditions and investor demand as well as our efforts to expand our investor base in the United States and abroad. Occupancy and facility costs together with depreciation expense increased $2 million versus the 2008 quarter. We have recently been expanding and renovating our facilities to accommodate business demands, though these initiatives have been moderated in 2009.
Other operating expenses were down $11.3 million, or 25% from the first quarter of 2008, including $2.4 million of lower distribution expenses recognized on lower assets under management sourced from financial intermediaries that distribute our Advisor and R classes of mutual fund shares. These distribution costs are offset by an equal decrease in our administrative revenues recognized from the 12b-1 fees discussed above. Our cost control efforts also resulted in $7.2 million of reductions in travel and related costs, professional fees and other third party services.

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Our non-operating investment activity resulted in a net loss of $36.0 million in the first quarter of 2009 as compared to a net gain of $14.3 million for the comparable 2008 quarter. This change of $50.3 million is primarily attributable to $35.6 million of unrealized other than temporary impairments of our investments in sponsored mutual funds that were recognized in the 2009 quarter because their fair value had been below cost for an extended period. The significant declines in fair value that have occurred over the last three quarters are generally attributable to the ongoing adverse market conditions discussed in the Background section above. See also the market risk discussion below in Item 3. The following table details our related mutual fund investment gains and losses during the first quarter.

                                                      2008       2009       Change
      Other than temporary impairments recognized               $ (35.6 )   $ (35.6 )
      Capital gain distributions received             $  .9           -         (.9 )
      Net gain (loss) realized on fund dispositions      .9         (.6 )      (1.5 )

      Net gain (loss) recognized on fund holdings     $ 1.8     $ (36.2 )   $ (38.0 )

Lower income from our money market holdings due to the significantly lower interest rate environment, losses in our other investments, and the lack of any net foreign currency gains in the 2009 quarter account for the balance of the change.
The first quarter 2009 provision for income taxes as a percentage of pretax income is 35.4%, down from the 38.4% for the full year 2008, primarily to reflect certain adjustments made to our prior years' tax accruals. We currently estimate that our effective tax rate for the full year will be 38.0%.
CAPITAL RESOURCES AND LIQUIDITY.
Operating activities during the first quarter of 2009 provided cash flows of $139.4 million, down $119.2 million from the 2008 quarter, including a $103.3 million decrease in net income. Other than temporary impairments of our investments in sponsored mutual funds of $35.6 million were more than offset by timing differences of $55.3 million in the cash settlement of our assets and liabilities. Our interim operating cash outflows do not include bonus compensation that is accrued throughout the year before being substantially paid out in December.
Net cash used in investing activities totaled $47.3 million, up $13.2 million from the 2008 period, primarily from a net increase of $14.9 million in the investments held by our savings bank subsidiary that results from an increase in customer deposits.
Net cash used in financing activities was $89.4 million in the first quarter of 2009, down $310 million from the 2008 quarter. Compared to the 2008 quarter, we expended $244 million less to repurchase our common shares. Further, during the first quarter of 2008, we changed our policy regarding the timing of dividend payments such that our quarterly dividends are declared and paid in the same quarter. Therefore, our cash outflows for the first quarter of 2008 included the payout of dividends for the fourth quarter 2007 and the first quarter of 2008. This resulted in our dividends paid in 2009 decreasing $62.2 million from the 2008 period.
Our cash and mutual fund investments at March 31, 2009, were more than $1.1 billion, and we have no debt. Given the availability of these financial resources, we do not maintain an available external source of liquidity.
NEW ACCOUNTING STANDARDS.
On April 9, 2009, the Financial Accounting Standards Board issued three staff positions related to fair value measurements, other-than-temporary impairments, and interim disclosures of fair value. We will adopt this new guidance in the second quarter 2009. As we do each reporting period, we have also considered all other newly issued but not adopted standards applicable to our operations and the preparation of our consolidated statements. We do not believe that any issued standard yet to be adopted will have a material effect on our financial position or results of operation.
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION.
From time to time, information or statements provided by or on behalf of T. Rowe Price, including those within this report, may contain certain forward-looking information, including information or anticipated information relating to: our revenues, net income and earnings per share; changes in the amount and composition of our assets under management; our expense levels and possible expense savings; our estimated effective income tax rate; and our expectations regarding financial markets and other conditions. Readers are cautioned that any forward-looking information provided by or on behalf of T. Rowe Price is not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those in forward-looking information because of various factors including, but not limited to, those discussed below and in Item 1A, Risk Factors, of our Form 10-K Annual Report for 2008. Further, forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which it is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

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Our future revenues and results of operations will fluctuate primarily due to changes in the total value and composition of assets under our management. Such changes result from many factors including, among other things: cash inflows and outflows in the T. Rowe Price mutual funds and other managed investment portfolios; fluctuations in the financial markets around the world that result in appreciation or depreciation of the assets under our management; our introduction of new mutual funds and investment portfolios; and changes in retirement savings trends relative to participant-directed investments and defined contribution plans. The ability to attract and retain investors' assets under our management is dependent on investor sentiment and confidence; the relative investment performance of the Price mutual funds and other managed investment portfolios as compared to competing offerings and market indexes; the ability to maintain our investment management and administrative fees at appropriate levels; competitive conditions in the mutual fund, asset management, and broader financial services sectors; and our level of success in implementing our strategy to expand our business. Our revenues are substantially dependent on fees earned under contracts with the Price funds and could be adversely affected if the independent directors of one or more of the Price funds terminated or significantly altered the terms of the investment management or related administrative services agreements. Non-operating investment income (loss) will also fluctuate primarily due to the size of our investments and changes in their market valuations.
Our future results are also dependent upon the level of our expenses, which are subject to fluctuation for the following or other reasons: changes in the level of our advertising expenses in response to market conditions, including our efforts to expand our investment advisory business to investors outside the United States and to further penetrate our distribution channels within the United States; variations in the level of total compensation expense due to, among other things, bonuses, stock option grants, other incentive awards, changes in our employee count and mix, and competitive factors; our success in implementing and realizing upon existing and planned cost reduction efforts; any goodwill impairment that may arise; fluctuation in foreign currency exchange rates applicable to the costs of our international operations; expenses and capital costs, such as technology assets, depreciation, amortization, and research and development, incurred to maintain and enhance our administrative and operating services infrastructure; unanticipated costs that may be incurred to protect investor accounts and the goodwill of our clients; and disruptions of services, including those provided by third parties, such as facilities, communications, power, and the mutual fund transfer agent and accounting systems.
Our business is also subject to substantial governmental regulation, and changes in legal, regulatory, accounting, tax, and compliance requirements may have a substantial effect on our operations and results, including but not limited to effects on costs that we incur and effects on investor interest in mutual funds and investing in general, or in particular classes of mutual funds or other investments.
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
Our revenues and net income are based primarily on the value of assets under our management. Accordingly, declines in financial market values like those recently experienced directly and negatively impact our investment advisory revenues, as well as our investment income and net income.
Financial market conditions have been extremely volatile and financial security valuations have declined. Our $488.3 million portfolio of investments in sponsored mutual funds at March 31, 2009, includes a net unrealized loss of $3.5 million comprising fund holdings with aggregate unrealized gains of $18.4 million and aggregate unrealized losses of $21.9 million. The aggregate unrealized losses are considered temporary and, accordingly are recognized in accumulated other comprehensive losses in stockholders' equity. Unrealized losses totaling $12.6 million on investments valued at $56.8 million at March 31, 2009, have been temporarily impaired on a continuous basis from December 31, 2008, while the balance of $9.3 million of unrealized losses arose in the first quarter of 2009.
Because our fund holdings are considered available-for-sale securities, we recognize unrealized losses that are considered temporary in other comprehensive income. We review the carrying amount of each investment on a quarterly basis and recognize an impairment charge in non-operating investment income
(loss) whenever an unrealized loss is considered other than temporary. A mutual fund holding with an impairment that has persisted daily throughout the six months between quarter-ends is generally presumed to have an other than temporary impairment unless there is persuasive evidence, such as an increase in value subsequent to quarter-end, to overcome that presumption. It is possible that we will determine at June 30, 2009, or at a subsequent quarter end, that continuous unrealized losses in one or more of our mutual fund investments have become other-than-temporary impairments. We could also sell our fund positions before a subsequent quarter-end reporting date and recognize previously unrealized losses. The amount and timing of any subsequent charge will be dependent on future market performance. There has been no other material change in the information provided in Item 7A of our Form 10-K Annual Report for 2008.

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