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NLS > SEC Filings for NLS > Form 10-K on 16-Mar-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-K for NAUTILUS, INC.


16-Mar-2009

Annual Report


Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operation

Our Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operation (the "MD&A") should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements and related notes located at Item 8 of this Form 10-K.

EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW

Nautilus is a global fitness products company providing innovative, quality solutions to help people achieve a fit and healthy lifestyle. We are a leading designer, developer, manufacturer and marketer of fitness products sold around the world. We believe our brands are some of the strongest in the industry.

We market our products through three business segments: direct, retail and commercial. The direct segment offers products directly to consumers through direct advertising, catalogs and the internet. Our retail segment offers our products through a network of over 5,000 retail locations. Our commercial segment offers products to health clubs, schools, hospitals and other organizations, which typically require unique strength and cardio products designed for higher usage. We believe that a segment approach to our business allows us to hold each business unit manager accountable for the operations and results of their respective areas. Each business segment is focused on improving shareholder returns with a particular emphasis on profitability and capital productivity.


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We adopted the business segment model as part of a reorganization program implemented in the second quarter of 2008. Although our reorganization plan has not been entirely implemented, and in spite of the present challenging economic environment, we are seeing benefits from our efforts, particularly in terms of reduced operating expenses.

During 2008, we made a number of strategic decisions which impacted our operating results:

• We restructured our workforce to better match the requirements of the newly formed business segment organization;

• We closed our Tulsa commercial manufacturing facility and transferred operations to third party manufacturers in Asia and our owned manufacturing facility in Independence, Virginia;

• We consolidated our U.S. distribution centers and aligned the products by segment to allow for more efficient product handling;

• We ceased direct business sales through our Australian subsidiary and closed those operations;

• We sold our apparel division, Dash America, Inc. d/b/a Pearl iZumi;

• We closed our Canadian call center and consolidated our call center operations in Vancouver, Washington to achieve better economies of scale;

• We terminated a number of marketing arrangements to better align our spending with our revised operating plans;

• We reduced our revolving line of credit to a level better suited for our anticipated borrowing; and

• We exercised our right to terminate agreements to purchase the Land America manufacturing facility located in China.

Global market and economic conditions have been, and continue to be, disruptive and volatile, and in recent months the volatility has reached unprecedented levels. Concerns about the systemic impact of geopolitical issues, the availability and cost of credit, currency volatility, slowing global economies, the United States mortgage market and a decline in the real estate market in the U.S. and elsewhere have contributed to diminished expectations for the U.S. and world economies. These conditions, including declining business and consumer confidence and increased unemployment, have contributed to reductions in consumer spending, particularly on discretionary products such as ours. During 2008, we implemented cost reduction efforts to adjust for the decline in revenue; however, our restructuring and cost reduction efforts could only partially offset the financial impact of the aforementioned factors on our revenue. We will continue to move forward with our restructuring and cost reduction strategies. It is uncertain as to when the economy will recover, and it is not clear that our restructuring activities and cost reduction initiatives will sufficiently offset the impact of the poor economic environment on our net sales.

Current economic conditions have led to greater than anticipated losses from operations, which have caused us to encounter difficulty in maintaining the covenants under our revolving credit facility. Although we have been able to obtain waivers in the past, which have allowed us to exclude certain items from the covenant calculations, we can provide no assurance that we will be able to obtain waivers in the future.

As a result of these challenges, we sustained significant operating losses during 2008 and 2007, contributing to a decrease in cash and net working capital, and have had to rely on financing to fund our operations. If we continue to experience significant operating losses and reductions in net working capital, we will need to obtain additional debt or equity financing to continue operating. If we are not able to raise needed capital, we would be forced to sharply curtail our operations, including efforts to develop, manufacture and promote the sale of products.


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OVERVIEW

Substantially all of our revenues are generated from product sales. Our net sales for the year ended December 31, 2008, totaled $411.2 million, a decline of 18.0% compared to the $501.5 million reported for the year ended December 31, 2007. The decline in net sales is primarily due to a weak consumer environment and tight credit market.

Gross profit margins increased, to 36.6% in 2008, compared to 35.8% in 2007. We have implemented a number of cost savings initiatives during 2008 and implemented sales price increases in all segments. The impact of these efforts were substantially offset by an 18.0% decline in total sales and a change in sales mix resulting in a 25.4% decline in direct segment revenue. Gross profit for 2008 was reduced by charges of $6.8 million for discontinued inventory, $1.4 million for severance and $2.7 million for costs incurred with closing the Tulsa manufacturing facility. Gross profit for 2007 was reduced by the impact of $16.9 million in discontinued inventory and warranty costs related to specialized cardio product sold in the commercial segment that was not meeting durability requirements and led to curtailment of shipments in most countries. The direct segment is generally our highest margin business.

Our operating expenses have declined due to our aforementioned restructuring efforts and profitability initiatives implemented in late 2007 and early 2008. Such initiatives included reorganizing and reducing our workforce, combining our U.S. and Canadian call center, closing the direct business in Australia, and the termination of a number of marketing arrangements. Operating expenses for 2008 totaled $234.1 million, compared to $248.0 million reported in 2007. Operating expenses for 2008 included; $29.8 million in goodwill impairment charges and $1.1 million in other intangibles impairment charges; $14.0 million in restructuring charges; $2.8 million in write-downs associated with assets owned by a subsidiary in China; $2.5 million in bad debt expense; $1.1 million write down of previously deferred financing costs as a result of amending our loan agreement; $2.0 million in legal and contract settlement costs; $0.6 million in reimbursement obligations for costs incurred by Sherborne Investors in a shareholder action to obtain representation on our Board of Directors. Operating expenses for 2007 included an $18.3 million benefit associated with a favorable legal settlement with ICON Health and Fitness; $26.8 million in restructuring charges; a $4.8 million bad debt expense due to the bankruptcy of a customer; and $2.7 million in costs incurred by the Company in countering the action of Sherborne Investors. The reduction in operating expenses, compared to the prior year, is a result of management's efforts to better align operating expenses with current and anticipated revenue levels through significant reductions in media expenses, personnel costs and other discretionary expenses. We will continue to focus on reducing our operating expenses in the coming months as we move forward with our turnaround strategy.

In addition, we anticipate recognizing additional restructuring expenses of approximately $12.5 million through the second quarter of 2009 related primarily to severance costs, real estate lease terminations and write-off of leasehold improvements.

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

The preparation of financial statements in conformity with generally accepted accounting principles requires estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, revenues and expenses, and related disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities in the consolidated financial statements. An accounting estimate is considered to be critical if it meets both of the following criteria: (i) the estimate requires assumptions about matters that are highly uncertain at the time the accounting estimate is made, and
(ii) different estimates reasonably could have been used, or changes in the estimate that are reasonably likely to occur from period to period may have a material impact on the presentation of our financial condition, changes in financial condition or results of operations. Our critical accounting policies and estimates are discussed below.


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Management and our independent auditors regularly discuss with the Audit Committee of our Board of Directors, each of our critical accounting policies and estimates, including the underlying assumptions and related disclosure in the notes to our consolidated financial statements, located at Item 8 of this Form 10-K.

Revenue Recognition

We recognize revenue when persuasive evidence of an arrangement exists, the price to the buyer is fixed or determinable, collectibility is reasonably assured, title and risk of loss have passed and there are no significant remaining performance obligations. Title generally passes upon shipment or upon receipt by the customer, depending on the country of the sale and the specific terms of the sales arrangement. Revenues for products sold to our direct and retail customers are recognized at the time of shipment. Revenue is recognized for commercial product sales based on the specific terms of the arrangement. If the arrangement requires us to deliver and install the commercial products, we record revenue upon delivery and installation, which generally occur in tandem. If the arrangement calls for a third-party to deliver and install the products, revenue is recognized upon delivery of the product to a common carrier, as title and risk of loss has passed to the buyer. Installation revenue and expenses are not material to our results of operations. We record taxes collected from customers and remitted to governmental authorities on a net basis, excluded from revenue. Shipping and handling fees billed to customers are recorded gross, meaning they are included in both revenue and cost of sales. Many of our direct segment customers finance their purchases through a third party entity, and we pay a commission, or customer financing fee, to the financing entity pursuant to our merchant contract with the entity. We record sales for these transactions based on the sales prices charged to our customers and record the commission or financing fee as a component of selling and marketing expense.

Revenue is recognized net of applicable sales incentives, such as promotional discounts, rebates and return allowances. We estimate the revenue impact of our incentive programs based on the planned duration of the program and historical experience. If the amount of our sales incentives can be reasonably estimated, we record the impact of such incentives at the later of, the time we notify our customer of the sales incentive, or the time of the sale. If the amount of our sales incentives can not be reasonably estimated, due to lack of historical data or other factors, we defer revenue recognition until the earlier of (i) receipt of payment under the contract or (ii) such time as we are able to arrive at a reasonable estimate of the amount of the incentive.

We estimate our liability for product returns based on historical experience and record the expected obligation as a reduction in revenue. If actual return costs differ from our estimates, the recorded amount of the liability and corresponding revenue are adjusted.

Goodwill and Intangible Asset Valuation

We evaluate our indefinite-lived intangible assets and goodwill for potential impairment annually or when events or circumstances indicate their carrying value may be impaired. Our judgments regarding potential impairment are based on a number of factors including: the timing and amount of anticipated cash flows; market conditions; relative levels of risk; the cost of capital; terminal values; royalty rates; and the allocation of revenues, expenses and assets and liabilities to business segments. Each of these factors can significantly affect the value of our goodwill and indefinite-lived intangible assets and, thereby, could have a material adverse affect on our financial position and results of operations.

Events could cause us to conclude that goodwill or other intangible assets are impaired. Due to a challenging economy and reductions in 2007 and 2008 revenues, in the fourth quarter of 2008 we recognized a $29.8 million impairment loss on goodwill associated with our retail business and a $1.1 million impairment in other intangibles charges related to our StairMaster trade name. Additionally, in the fourth quarter of 2007, we recognized an impairment loss of $3.0 million related to the rights to certain intangible assets acquired in a legal settlement with ICON Health and Fitness. The goodwill impairment is reported in a separate line in our consolidated statement of operations, and the other intangibles impairments are recorded as components of general and administrative and restructuring expenses.


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Accounts Receivable Valuation

We evaluate the collectibility of our accounts receivable based on a combination of factors including: an aging of receivable balances, historical collection experience, our understanding of the current financial status of key customers and overall economic conditions. We periodically review the credit worthiness of our customers to help gauge collectibility and increase our allowance for doubtful accounts when collection is at risk. We believe that by analyzing historical trends and monitoring potential collection problems, we have sufficient information to establish a reasonable estimate of the portion of our receivable balances that will not be collected. However, since we cannot predict, with certainty, future changes in the financial stability of our customers or in the general economy, our actual future losses from uncollectible accounts may differ from our estimates. Our ability to collect the amounts due from our customers could be impacted by various factors including: a deterioration in the financial condition of a key customer, inability of customers to obtain bank credit lines, a significant slow-down in the economy, our efforts to pursue collections, product quality matters or other customer disputes. Even though portions of our accounts receivable are protected by a security interest in products held by customers, any of the factors noted above may affect our ability to collect all, or a portion of, our receivable balances and could have a material impact on our financial position, results of operations and cash flows.

Inventory Valuation

Our inventory is reported at the lower of cost or market, with cost determined based on the first-in, first-out method. Any abnormal amounts of idle facility expense, freight, handling costs and spoilage are recognized as current period charges. Further, any unallocated overhead remaining after the allocation of fixed production overhead to inventory, based on the normal capacity of the production facilities, are expensed in the period in which they are incurred. We establish provisions for excess, slow moving and obsolete inventory based on inventory levels, expected product life and forecasted sales demand. In assessing the ultimate realization of inventory values, we are required to make judgments regarding the salability of our products, including an assessment of future demand compared with existing inventory levels, competitive factors, and changes in technology and product life cycles. A significant change in any of the aforementioned factors could have a material impact on our financial position, results of operation and cash flows. It is also possible that an increase in our inventory provisions may be required in the future if there is a significant decline in demand for our products and we do not adjust our production activities or our purchases from third-party contract manufacturers accordingly.

Product Warranties

The Company's products carry limited defined warranties for defects in materials or workmanship. Our warranties generally obligate us to pay for the costs to manufacture or purchase warranty parts, ship the parts to our customers, and, in certain instances, service costs to replace the warranty part. We record a liability, at the time of sale, for the estimated costs of responding to future warranty claims. The liability is recorded as a component of cost of sales and is estimated based on historical warranty claim experience and available product quality data. If necessary, the Company adjusts its liability for specific warranty matters when they become known and are reasonably estimable. Warranty expenses are affected by the performance of new products, significant manufacturing or design defects not discovered until after the product is delivered to the customer, product failure rates, and higher or lower than expected repair costs. If estimated costs differ from actual warranty costs incurred, or if circumstances change such that the assumptions inherent in our previous estimates are no longer valid, we adjust our warranty reserve accordingly. Our estimates of warranty expenses are based on significant judgment, and the amount and value of warranty claims are subject to variation for the reasons noted above. Changes in the aforementioned factors or other warranty-related assumptions could have a significant impact on our results of operations, financial position and cash flows.

Stock-Based Compensation

We recognize stock-based compensation on a straight-line basis, over the applicable vesting period, based on the grant-date fair value of our awards. We estimate the fair value of our stock options using the Black-Scholes-Merton option valuation model and determine the fair value of our restricted stock awards based on the closing market price on the day preceding the grant.


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Estimating the fair value of our stock-based awards involves inherent uncertainties and the application of management judgment. The valuation of our stock options requires us to make assumptions regarding the expected term of our options, expected future volatility in the market price of our common stock, future risk-free interest rates and future dividends, if any, expected to be approved by our Board of Directors.

We estimate future forfeitures, at the time of grant and in subsequent periods, based on historical experience, and recognize compensation expense for only those awards that are expected to vest. We reevaluate our estimate of forfeitures each quarter and, if applicable, recognize a cumulative effect adjustment in the period of the change if the revised estimate of forfeitures differs significantly from the previous estimate.

To the extent a stock-based award is subject to performance conditions, the amount of expense we record in a given period, if any, may fluctuate depending upon our assessment of the probability of achieving the performance targets.

Our stock-based compensation expense may also change, over time, as we review and adjust our compensation practices.

If factors, such as those discussed above, were to change, and we used different assumptions, our stock-based compensation expense in the future could be materially different from that reported in previous periods.

Litigation and Loss Contingencies

From time to time, we may be involved in claims, lawsuits and other proceedings. Such matters involve uncertainty as to the eventual outcomes and any losses we may ultimately realize when one or more future events occur or fail to occur. We record expenses for litigation and loss contingencies when it is probable that a liability has been incurred and the amount of the loss can be reasonably estimated. The Company estimates the probability of such losses based on the advice of internal and external counsel, the outcomes from similar litigation, the status of the lawsuits (including settlement initiatives), legislative developments and other factors. Due to the numerous variables associated with these judgments and assumptions, both the precision and reliability of the resulting estimates of the related loss contingencies are subject to substantial uncertainties. We regularly monitor our estimated exposure to these contingencies and, as additional information becomes known, may change our estimates accordingly. A significant change in our estimates, or an outcome that differs from the assumptions incorporated in our estimates, may have a material impact on our financial position, results of operations and cash flows.

Income Tax Provisions

We account for income taxes based on the asset and liability method, whereby deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the future tax consequences attributable to differences between the financial statement carrying amounts and the tax bases of existing assets and liabilities. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are measured using the enacted tax rates that are expected to be in effect when the temporary differences are expected to be included, as income or expense, in the applicable tax return. The effect of a change in tax rates on our deferred tax assets and liabilities is recognized, in the period of the enactment.

We adopted the provisions of FIN 48 - Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes
- an interpretation of FASB Statement No. 109, on January 1, 2007. FIN 48 provides that a tax benefit from an uncertain tax position may be recognized when it is more likely than not that the position will be sustained upon examination, including resolutions of any related appeals or litigation processes, based on the technical merits of the position.

Significant judgments are required in determining tax provisions, evaluating tax positions and, when necessary, establishing or making adjustments to our valuation allowance. Such judgments require us to interpret existing tax law and other published guidance as applied to our circumstances. To the extent that it is more likely than not


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that all or some portion of deferred tax assets will not be realized, a valuation allowance must be established for that amount. If the Company's financial results or other relevant facts change, thereby impacting the likelihood of realizing the tax benefit of an uncertain tax position, significant judgment would be applied in determining the effect of the change on our valuation allowance.

General

Our results of operations may vary significantly from period-to-period. Our revenues will fluctuate due to the seasonality of our industry; customer buying patterns; product innovation; the nature and level of competition for health and fitness products; our ability to manufacture or procure products to meet customer demand; and the level of spending on, and effectiveness of, our media and advertising programs. In addition, our revenues are highly susceptible to economic factors, including, among other things: the overall condition of the U.S. economy and economies of other countries where we market our products; and the availability of credit, both in the U.S. and abroad. Our profit margins may vary, in response to the aforementioned factors and our ability to manage product costs and effectively utilize our manufacturing capacity. Profit margins may also be affected by fluctuations in the costs or availability of materials used to manufacture our products, higher or lower fuel prices, and changes in the cost of other distribution or manufacturing-related services. Our operating profit or losses may also be affected by the relative success of strategies we employ to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of our organization. Historically our operating expenses have been influenced by media costs to produce and air advertisements, facility costs, operating costs of our information and communications systems, costs to develop and maintain our internet sites, bad debts costs and personnel related costs to attract and retain key personnel. In addition, our operating expenses have been impacted by asset impairment losses, restructuring charges and other significant unusual or infrequent expenses.

As a result of the above and other factors, our period-to-period operating results may not be indicative of future performance. You should not place undue reliance on our operating results and should consider our prospects in light of the risks, expenses and difficulties typically encountered by us and other companies, both within and outside our industry, in the current economic environment. We may not be able to successfully address these risks and difficulties and, consequently, we cannot assure you of any future growth or profitability. For more information, see our discussion of Risk Factors located at Part I, Item IA of this Form 10-K.


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COMPARISON OF THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2008 AND DECEMBER 31, 2007

The table below sets forth selected financial information derived from our
consolidated financial statements. The discussion that follows should be read in
conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and the related notes.



                                              Year Ended December 31,
(In thousands)                              2008                  2007            $ Change        % Change
Net sales:
Direct channel                          $     185,704        $      249,057       $ (63,353 )        -25.4 %
Retail channel                                106,715               114,697          (7,982 )         -7.0 %
Commercial channel                            115,251               134,592         (19,341 )        -14.4 %
Royalty income                                  3,508                 3,125             383           12.3 %

Total net sales                               411,178               501,471         (90,293 )        -18.0 %
Cost of sales                                 260,541               322,108         (61,567 )        -19.1 %

Gross profit                                  150,637               179,363         (28,726 )        -16.0 %

Gross profit as a percent of sales               36.6 %                35.8 %
Operating expenses:
Selling and marketing                         135,342               179,826         (44,484 )        -24.7 %
. . .
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