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| XL > SEC Filings for XL > Form 10-K on 2-Mar-2009 | All Recent SEC Filings |
2-Mar-2009
Annual Report
This "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" contains forward-looking statements which involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about the Company's beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements. These statements are based upon current plans, estimates and expectations. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements, and therefore undue reliance should not be placed on them. See "Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements," for a list of additional factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement.
This discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with the audited Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes thereto presented under Item 8.
Certain aspects of the Company's business have loss experience characterized as low frequency and high severity. This may result in volatility in both the Company's results of operations and financial condition.
Index Executive Overview 59 Financial Measures 63 Results of Operations 65 Other Key Focuses of Management 73 Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates 76 Segments 93 Income Statement Analysis 93 Insurance 93 Reinsurance 96 Life Operations 99 Other Financial Lines 101 Syncora 101 Investment Activities 102 Investment Performance 102 Net realized gains and losses on investments and other than temporary declines in the value of investments 103 Net realized and unrealized gains and losses on derivative instruments 104 Other Revenues and Expenses 105 Balances Sheet Analysis 107 Investments 107 Net unrealized gains and losses on investments 108 Unpaid Losses and Loss Expenses 112 Unpaid Losses and Loss Expenses Recoverable and Reinsurance Balances Receivable 113 Liquidity and Capital Resources 117 Cross-Default and Other Provisions in Debt Instruments 126 Long-Term Contractual Obligations 127 Variable Interest Entities and Other Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements 128 Recent Accounting Pronouncements 128 Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements 128 |
Background
The Company operates on a global basis and is a leading provider of insurance and reinsurance coverages to industrial, commercial and professional service firms, insurance companies and other enterprises, typically the global equivalent of the Fortune 2000. The Company operates in markets where it believes its underwriting expertise and financial strength represent a relative advantage.
The Company has grown through acquisitions and development of new business opportunities. Acquisitions included Global Capital Re in 1997, Mid Ocean Limited in 1998, ECS, Inc. and NAC Re Corp. in 1999, Winterthur International in 2001 and Le Mans Re in 2002. All acquisitions were entered into in order to further support the Company's strategic plan to develop a global platform in insurance and reinsurance. The Company competes as an integrated global business and at December 31, 2008 employed approximately 4,000 employees in 28 countries. Subsequent to December 31, 2008, the Company announced a restructuring initiative which will result in the Company's workforce decreasing by approximately 10% during 2009.
Underwriting Environment
The Company earns its revenue primarily from net premiums written and earned. The property and casualty insurance as reinsurance markets have historically been cyclical, meaning that based on market conditions, there have been periods where premium rates are high and policy terms and conditions are more favorable to the Company (a "hard market") and there have been periods where premium rates decline and policy terms and conditions are less favorable to the Company (a "soft market"). Market conditions are driven primarily by competition in the marketplace, the supply of capital in the industry, investment yields and the frequency and severity of loss events. Management's goal is to build long-term shareholder value by capitalizing on current opportunities and managing through any cyclical downturns by reducing its property and casualty book of business and exposures if and when rates deteriorate to unprofitable levels.
Insurance
Throughout 2008, the Company's Insurance segment continued to experience soft property and casualty market conditions as premium rates across most lines of business as compared to the prior year, decreased by approximately 6% in the aggregate and competitive pressures continued. Throughout 2008, property renewals reflected decreases in premium rates of approximately 12% on average, while certain casualty lines experienced premium rate reductions averaging approximately 9%. In addition, premium rates within certain specialty lines of business decreased by up to 5%. Offsetting these premium rate decreases was strong pricing in the U.S. professional Directors and Officers ("Directors and Officers") book of business, specifically with regards to financial institutions, and more recently on the offshore energy book as a result of market losses from Hurricanes Gustav and Ike.
In addition, during 2008, new business writings were impacted by market conditions as competitors continued to focus on retaining business in all lines and markets. However, during this period, the Company wrote approximately $900 million in new business (excluding program business and long-term agreements). This was largely a result of successes in the Company's organic growth strategies which include E&S, private D&O as well as construction and upper middle market. Renewal ratios for core property, casualty and professional lines were approximately 83%. However, following the rating agency actions taken in December 2008 (see "Ratings", above), the Company experienced a slight decline in renewal activity and new business opportunities in certain lines of business. For further information on recent rate and renewal activity, see "2009 Underwriting Outlook" below for further information.
2008 2007 (3) 2006 (3)
Gross Net Net Gross Net Net Gross Net Net
Premiums Premiums Premiums Premiums Premiums Premiums Premiums Premiums Premiums
(U.S. dollars in thousands) Written Written Earned Written Written Earned Written Written Earned
Casualty - professional lines 1,472,874 1,351,237 1,369,668 $ 1,516,412 $ 1,376,819 $ 1,404,567 $ 1,558,746 $ 1,490,896 $ 1,483,518
Casualty - other lines 1,273,016 793,512 822,252 1,342,817 848,919 819,687 1,304,245 799,957 847,834
Property catastrophe (65 ) (2,177 ) 270 15,312 (7,460 ) 52,541 149,436 68,847 56,714
Other property 886,483 505,564 471,013 871,009 599,668 535,322 830,367 490,858 500,956
Marine, energy, aviation, and satellite 747,311 604,786 621,774 809,073 623,085 638,162 942,974 695,391 676,009
Other specialty lines (1) 850,404 712,307 660,322 786,074 666,208 582,565 785,340 594,247 500,159
Other (2) 22,736 (22,908 ) (11,055 ) 36,698 27,439 33,416 10,167 5,776 60,784
Structured indemnity 56,155 42,505 62,801 56,871 52,177 50,328 46,018 39,400 33,349
Total 5,308,914 3,984,826 3,997,045 $ 5,434,266 $ 4,186,855 $ 4,116,588 $ 5,627,293 $ 4,185,372 $ 4,159,323
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(1) Other specialty lines within the Insurance segment includes: environmental, programs, equine, warranty, specie, middle markets and excess and surplus lines.
(2) Other includes credit and surety and other lines.
(3) Certain reclassifications have been made to conform to current year presentation.
Reinsurance
In the Reinsurance segment, the year ended December 31, 2008 reflected a decline in premium rates across most major lines of business, as market conditions continued to soften and the reinsurance industry continued to experience pricing erosion, increased competitive pressures and increased retentions by cedants. Renewals and new business in 2008 continued to be assessed against internal hurdle rates with a continued focus on underwriting discipline. U.S. and non-U.S. catastrophe exposed property lines experienced rate declines of approximately 10% while other property lines of business saw rates decrease by 10% to 15%. Ocean marine pricing rates remained flat to down 5%, while rates within the aviation market decreased by up to 10%. Casualty pricing trends in the reinsurance market experienced deterioration in rates of up to 15%, however, rate changes on business actually bound in this line of business decreased between 10 to 15%. However, with increased hurricane and other loss activity during the latter half of 2008, taken together with the distressed state of the financial markets, rate declines across all lines of business began to slow in the latter half of 2008.
The following table provides an analysis of gross premiums written, net premiums written and net premiums earned for the Reinsurance segment for the last three years ended December 31:
2008 2007 2006
Gross Net Net Gross Net Net Gross Net Net
Premiums Premiums Premiums Premiums Premiums Premiums Premiums Premiums Premiums
(U.S. dollars in thousands) Written Written Earned Written Written Earned Written Written Earned
Casualty - professional lines $ 213,519 $ 213,498 $ 247,979 $ 256,280 $ 256,327 $ 273,494 $ 297,962 $ 296,221 $ 346,870
Casualty - other lines 356,723 347,849 425,541 543,251 527,860 602,452 660,455 613,056 723,854
Property catastrophe. 401,740 290,443 305,690 475,540 286,866 264,666 449,347 234,724 234,965
Other property 947,899 602,423 678,504 970,196 677,764 753,278 1,044,316 730,445 749,714
Marine, energy, aviation, and satellite 119,593 104,346 126,761 150,548 128,942 141,619 176,928 139,748 154,313
Other (1) 220,332 194,237 205,433 239,418 204,845 240,049 365,844 298,860 294,532
Structured indemnity 671 671 3,298 28,261 28,261 26,481 71,286 71,286 66,711
Total $ 2,260,477 $ 1,753,467 $ 1,993,206 $ 2,663,494 $ 2,110,865 $ 2,302,039 $ 3,066,138 $ 2,384,340 $ 2,570,959
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(1) Other includes credit and surety, whole account contracts and other lines.
2009 Underwriting Outlook
Given the changing economic environment that has been experienced throughout 2008 and early 2009 due to the global economic and financial crises and following the significant impacts to the Company during 2008, including the downgrade of the financial strength ratings of the Company's core insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries by leading rating agencies, the Company plans to focus on those lines of business within its insurance and reinsurance operations that provide the best return on capital over the pricing cycle. As such, the Company will be highly selective on new business, emphasize short-tail lines, where applicable, in the Company's reinsurance operations, exit other businesses (e.g., Casualty facultative business), non-renew certain insurance programs, as well as continue to reduce long-term agreements (within the insurance operations) in order to capture the benefit of improving pricing. While certain of these decisions as well as any lost business as a result of rating agency downgrades will result in a reduction to both gross and net premiums written in 2009, the Company expects such negative impacts to be partially offset by the positive impact of hardening rates across most lines of business as described below.
Throughout 2007 and the majority of 2008, the property and casualty insurance and reinsurance markets experienced soft market conditions across most, if not all lines of business, as evidenced by decreases in market pricing and a weakening of policy terms and conditions. However, following catastrophe activity throughout 2008, most notably, losses resulting from Hurricanes Ike and Gustav, and more importantly, following severe economic conditions and the impacts of the financial crisis, which reduced the available capital of many property and casualty (re)insurers, market capacity decreased and in conjunction, market pricing across most insurance and reinsurance lines of business began to improve and is expected to continue improving throughout 2009. The following is a summary of the January 2009 rate indications and recent renewal activity for each of the Insurance and Reinsurance segments of the Company:
Insurance
With regards to market conditions within the core lines of business within the Insurance segment, fourth quarter 2008 renewals reflected modest improvement in market conditions as premium rates improved across all line of business and certain lines experienced rate increases. Overall, December 2008 renewals reflected an aggregate price increase of 1% for the entire book. More specifically, December premium rates increased approximately 5% in professional lines, 10% in offshore energy and well over 10% in the Company's specie book. Rates in both property and casualty were down in the low single digits. Initial indications based on January 2009 renewals reflect continued rate improvement with positive rate movement in property, professional and some specialty lines. Rates within the Company's casualty lines were down slightly by approximately 3%, which represents a significant improvement as compared to rate declines experienced in 2008.
While the Insurance segment's gross and net premiums written will be impacted by its decision to focus on those lines of business that provide the best return on capital as described above, as well as from a certain level of lost renewals or business opportunities as a result of rating agency actions taken throughout 2008, indications from recent underwriting activity highlight that retention rates remain strong and broadly in line with management's expectations.
Reinsurance
Across the Reinsurance segment, initial indications, based on January 1, 2009 renewals, point to a moderate rise in premium rates across most major lines of business. Market conditions continue to harden as a result of the reduction in available reinsurer capital, due in part to the credit and liquidity crisis, causing a firming in market pricing across most lines of business. U.S. and non-U.S. catastrophe exposed property lines experienced rate increases of approximately 15% and 5% respectively, while other property lines in the U.S. were generally flat. While U.S. casualty rates, excluding D&O, were down slightly, casualty motor rates in Europe saw increases of up to 10% with rates in other casualty lines remaining flat. In addition, aviation and marine lines of business experienced rate increases of between 5 to 10%.
Investment Environment
The Company seeks to generate revenue from investment activities through returns on its investment portfolio. The Company's current investment strategy seeks to support the liabilities arising from the operations of the Company, generate investment income and build book value over the longer term.
During the year ended December 31, 2008, financial market conditions continued to be extremely challenging as the global credit crisis that began in July 2007, continued to adversely impact global markets. This unprecedented market volatility directly and materially affected the Company's results of operations and investment portfolio during the year ended December 31, 2008, resulting in decreased net investment income and increases in both realized and unrealized losses in the Company's investment portfolio. The fixed income markets experienced a period of extreme volatility during 2008, negatively impacting market liquidity conditions. As a result, the market for fixed-income instruments experienced decreased liquidity, increased price volatility, credit downgrade events, and increased probability of default. Domestic and international equity markets also experienced heightened volatility and turmoil during this period.
During 2008, the Company reported significant decreases in both its structured credit and corporate portfolios as a result of the negative conditions described above. Within the structured credit portfolio, the market conditions particularly impacted the Company's holdings in sub-prime non-agency securities, second liens, ABS CDOs with sub-prime collateral and Alt-A mortgages ("Topical Assets"), core collateralized debt obligations ("CDOs") and commercial mortgage-backed securities ("CMBS"). Within the corporate portfolio, the Company's financial sector holdings were particularly affected as credit spreads, which widened across the entire rating spectrum impacted all spread assets classes, particularly financials following the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. ("Lehman") in September 2008 and the subsequent failure or near failure of other financial institutions. The impact of the credit spread widening was partially offset by the increase in the fixed income portfolio which resulted from declining government interest rates.
Claims Environment
The Company's profitability in any given period is based upon its premium and investment revenues as noted above, less net losses incurred and expenses. Net losses incurred are based upon claims paid and changes to unpaid loss reserves. Unpaid loss reserves are estimated by the Company and include both reported loss reserves and reserves for losses incurred but not reported, or IBNR. The Company's lower underwriting results for 2008 as compared to 2007 were largely a reflection of the increase in catastrophe and property risk losses experienced in 2008. However, offsetting the current year incurred losses was $610.7 million of net favorable prior year reserve development in various lines of business within the Company's Insurance and Reinsurance segments. In contrast, the Company's positive underwriting results for 2007 and 2006 were partly a result of the lack of significant catastrophe events occurring throughout these years as well as net favorable development of prior year reserves. However, consistent with 2006 and 2007, net favorable development was partially offset in 2008 by the continuing increase in current period loss ratios during this period. The increase in 2008 reflects the impact of the softening rate environment as well as higher levels of catastrophe and attritional losses as noted above. In addition, in 2008, claims activity within the D&O and Errors and Omissions ("E&O") insurance markets overall, rose as a result of an increase in class action lawsuits filed against public companies due to market losses and related stock price depreciation associated with the sub-prime mortgage and credit crisis in the U.S. Management actively monitors its potential exposure to such events and gives due consideration to emerging claim trends in determining its loss reserve requirements at each quarter end. For further analysis of this exposure, see "- Results of Operations" below.
Financial Measures The following are some of the financial measures management considers important in evaluating the Company's operating performance in the Company's property and casualty operations: (U.S. dollars in thousands, except ratios and per share amounts) 2008 2007 2006 Underwriting profit - property and casualty operations $ 307,205 $ 737,449 $ 733,633 Combined ratio - property and casualty operations 95.7 % 88.8 % 89.5 % Net investment income - property and casualty operations (1) $ 1,174,856 $ 1,289,554 $ 1,090,785 Book value per ordinary share $ 15.46 $ 50.30 $ 53.12 Fully diluted book value per ordinary share (2) $ 15.46 $ 50.29 $ 53.01 Return on average ordinary shareholders' equity NM * 2.2 % 19.6 % |
(1) Net investment income relating to property and casualty operations does not include the net investment income related to the net results from structured products.
(2) Fully diluted book value per ordinary share represents book value per ordinary share combined with the impact from dilution of share based compensation including in-the-money stock options at any period end. The Company believes that fully diluted book value per ordinary share is a financial measure important to investors and other interested parties who benefit from having a consistent basis for comparison with other companies within the industry. However, this measure may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by companies either outside or inside of the insurance industry.
* NM - Not Meaningful
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