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| AVB > SEC Filings for AVB > Form 10-K on 2-Mar-2009 | All Recent SEC Filings |
2-Mar-2009
Annual Report
Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations ("MD&A") is intended to help provide an understanding of our business
and results of operations. This MD&A should be read in conjunction with our
Consolidated Financial Statements and the accompanying Notes to Consolidated
Financial Statements included elsewhere in this report. This report, including
the following MD&A, contains forward-looking statements regarding future events
or trends as described more fully under "Forward-Looking Statements" included in
this report. Actual results or developments could differ materially from those
projected in such statements as a result of the risk factors described in
Item 1a, "Risk Factors," of this report.
Executive Overview
Business Description
We are primarily engaged in developing, acquiring, owning and operating
apartment communities in high barrier-to-entry markets of the United States. We
believe that apartment communities are an attractive long-term investment
opportunity compared to other real estate investments because a broad potential
resident base should help reduce demand volatility over a real estate cycle.
However, throughout the real estate cycle, apartment market fundamentals, and
therefore operating cash flows, are affected by overall economic conditions. We
seek to create long-term shareholder value by accessing capital on cost
effective terms; deploying that capital to develop, redevelop and acquire
apartment communities in high barrier-to-entry markets; operating apartment
communities; and selling communities when they no longer meet our long-term
investment strategy or when pricing is attractive. Barriers-to-entry in our
markets generally include a difficult and lengthy entitlement process with local
jurisdictions and dense urban or suburban areas where zoned and entitled land is
in limited supply.
We regularly evaluate the allocation of our investments by the amount of
invested capital and by product type within our individual markets, which are
located in New England, the New York/New Jersey metro area, the Mid-Atlantic,
the Midwest, the Pacific Northwest, and the Northern and Southern California
regions of the United States. Our strategy is to penetrate these markets with a
broad range of products and services and an intense focus on our customer. Our
communities are predominately upscale, which generally command among the highest
rents in their markets. However, we also pursue the ownership and operation of
apartment communities that target a variety of customer segments and price
points, consistent with our goal of offering a broad range of products and
services.
Financial Highlights and Outlook
For the year ended December 31, 2008, net income available to common
stockholders was $401,033,000 compared to $349,460,000 for 2007, an increase of
14.8%. The annual year-over-year increase is primarily attributable to an
increase in gains from the sale of communities and joint venture real estate
investments in 2008 as compared to 2007 and growth in income from existing and
newly developed communities in 2008, partially offset by non-cash charges for
land impairments, abandoned pursuit costs and other charges related to our
reduction in our planned development activity and other items listed in the
table below.
Net Income and EPS/FFO Decrease (Increase)
Full Year 2008
Amount Per Share (1)
Land impairments $ 57,899,000 $ 0.75
Severance and related costs 3,400,000 0.04
Federal excise tax 3,200,000 0.04
Fund II organizational costs 1,209,000 0.02
Gain on medium term notes repurchase (1,839,000 ) (0.02 )
Preferred stock deferred offering expenses 3,566,000 0.05
Increase in abandoned pursuit costs 5,537,000 0.07
$ 72,972,000 $ 0.94
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(1) Per share amounts are computed using the weighted average common shares-diluted at December 31, 2008.
Apartment fundamentals, while in line with expectations, were challenged in the
second half of 2008 as the recent economic downturn accelerated. We were able to
achieve full year-over-year rental revenue growth of 3.1% for our Established
Community portfolio, comprised entirely of an increase in rental rates of 3.1%,
with no change in occupancy. This revenue growth, combined with constrained
expense growth, contributed to our Established Community portfolio achieving
year-over-year growth in net operating income ("NOI") of 3.6% in 2008. However,
due to the decline in market fundamentals during the fourth quarter of 2008,
rental revenue from Established Communities increased 1.7% and NOI increased
2.4% over the prior year period.
We expect a decrease in Earnings per share - diluted ("EPS") in 2009 from the
prior year of approximately 50%, driven primarily by the decrease in expected
dispositions for 2009. Contributing to these results will be an expected decline
in the revenue and net operating income from our Established Communities in
2009. The recession, coupled with the short term nature of apartment leases, has
adversely impacted current operating fundamentals. While certain apartment
markets continue to exhibit positive trends, the negative impact on renter
demand from net job losses is expected to result in year-over-year declines in
NOI. We believe that the adverse impact of the recession will be somewhat offset
by (i) the expected continued weakness in the for-sale housing market during
2009 and (ii) growth in those age groups that have historically demonstrated a
higher propensity to rent. In addition, the level of new rental completions in
the Company's markets is anticipated to decline during 2009 from 2008 levels.
Our current financial outlook for 2009 provides for a decline in rental revenue
of between 1.5% and 3.5% in our Established Community portfolio and a projected
NOI decline of 4.25% to 6.25%.
While current capital market conditions continue to adversely affect access to
liquidity, we were able to demonstrate the benefits of the financial flexibility
that comes with a largely unencumbered capital structure. During the year ended
December 31, 2008, we raised in excess of $1,900,000,000 of capital through the
issuance of secured and unsecured debt, sales of assets, and joint venture
partner capital commitments. During 2008 we sourced approximately $1,200,000,000
in debt at attractive prices from a variety of sources, including the Government
Sponsored Enterprises, tax-exempt debt, money center banks and even a local bank
for long term secured debt. In addition, we achieved a record level of
dispositions during 2008, selling eleven communities (including one held by the
Fund) for an aggregate gross sales price of $646,200,000. We anticipate our
level of disposition activity to be in the range of gross sales of $100,000,000
to $200,000,000 in 2009. However, our actual disposition activity may differ
significantly and will depend on various factors including market and economic
conditions in 2009.
We used the proceeds from both the debt financing activity and community
dispositions to fund our development and redevelopment activities, reduce
amounts drawn under our unsecured line of credit, repay secured and unsecured
debt, prepay certain secured debt with higher interest costs and repurchase
common stock. Capital needs result primarily from development expenditures,
maturing debt and dividend requirements. Our committed capital is sufficient to
complete the development underway and meet other liquidity uses. See the
discussion under Liquidity and Capital Resources.
While we believe that our development activity will continue to create long-term
value, we reduced our expected level of development in response to the general
deterioration in real estate and capital market conditions, the general
recessionary environment. As previously disclosed, we do not anticipate starting
any new development during the first half of 2009. Development starts in the
second half of 2009, if any, will be evaluated based on our assessment of
economic and capital market conditions at that time. We do expect to increase
redevelopment activity in 2009 for both wholly owned and Fund (as defined below)
related assets. As a result of the reduction in our development activities, we
incurred certain non-cash and other charges as discussed in the table above.
During 2008 we completed 13 communities for an aggregate total capitalized cost
of $1,044,300,000, while only starting six communities, which are expected to be
completed for an estimated total capitalized cost of $491,000,000. During 2009,
the Company expects to disburse approximately $650,000,000 related to the 14
communities under development at December 31, 2008 and expected acquisitions of
land for future development. We expect approximately $100,000,000 of the
projected 2009 disbursements will be funded from cash in escrow related to
previously sourced tax-exempt debt.
Our 2009 financial plan anticipates a continuation of poor credit markets and
constrained liquidity. However, we believe that our current level of
indebtedness, our current ability to service interest and other fixed charges
and our current limited use of financial encumbrances (such as secured
financing) will provide adequate access to the capital necessary to fund our
current development and redevelopment activities. We expect to meet our
liquidity needs from the issuance of corporate securities (which could include
unsecured debt and/or common and preferred equity) and secured debt, as well as
from disposition proceeds, joint ventures or from retained cash. We believe that
the current market provides for an opportunity to perform certain deferred
maintenance and repositioning activities at attractive costs due to the
continued decline in costs for construction materials and labor. During 2009, we
expect to start 16 redevelopments of wholly owned communities, as well as five
redevelopments of communities on behalf of the Fund, as defined below.
AvalonBay Value Added Fund, L.P. (the "Fund") is a discretionary investment fund
with nine institutional investors, including us. One of our wholly owned
subsidiaries is the general partner of the Fund and has invested approximately
$48,000,000 in the Fund, representing a 15.2% combined general partner and
limited partner equity interest. The Fund was our principal vehicle for
acquiring apartment communities through the close of its investment period in
March 2008.
On September 2, 2008, we announced the formation of AvalonBay Value Added Fund
II, L.P. ("Fund II"), a private, discretionary investment vehicle with
commitments from four institutional investors including us totaling
$333,000,000. We have committed $150,000,000 to Fund II, representing a 45%
equity interest. At final closing, the aggregate investor commitments to Fund II
and our commitment and percentage interest in Fund II may change. Fund II can
employ leverage of up to 65%, allowing for a total investment capacity of
approximately $950,000,000 and has a term of ten years plus two one-year
extension options. Fund II will acquire and operate multifamily apartment
communities primarily in our current markets with the objective of creating
value through redevelopment, enhanced operations and/or improving market
fundamentals. Fund II will serve as the exclusive vehicle through which we will
acquire investments in apartment communities for a period of three years from
the closing date or until 90% of its committed capital is invested, subject to
limited exceptions. Fund II will not include or involve our development
activities. We will receive, in addition to any returns on its invested equity,
asset management fees, property management fees and redevelopment fees. We will
also receive a promoted interest if certain return thresholds are met. As of
December 31, 2008, there has been no capital contributed to Fund II and Fund II
has made no investments. In the fourth quarter of 2008, Fund II entered into a
$75,000,000 unsecured credit facility, with an option to increase the facility
up to $200,000,000, subject to certain lender requirements. The credit facility
bears interest at LIBOR plus 2.50% per annum, and matures in December 2011,
assuming the exercise of a one-year extension option. At December 31, 2008,
there was $760,000 outstanding under the Fund II credit facility.
Communities Overview
Our real estate investments consist primarily of current operating apartment
communities, communities in various stages of development ("Development
Communities") and Development Rights (i.e., land or options to purchase land
held for development), as further described in Item 2 of this report. Our
current operating communities are further distinguished as Established
Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, Lease-Up Communities and
Redevelopment Communities. Established Communities are generally operating
communities that are consolidated for financial reporting purposes and were
owned and had stabilized occupancy and operating expenses as of the
beginning of the prior year, which allows the performance of these communities
and the markets in which they are located to be compared and monitored between
years. Other Stabilized Communities are generally all other consolidated
operating communities that have stabilized occupancy and operating expenses
during the current year, but had not achieved stabilization as of the beginning
of the prior year. Lease-Up Communities consist of communities where
construction is complete but stabilization has not been achieved. Redevelopment
Communities consist of communities where substantial redevelopment is in
progress or is planned to begin during the current year. A more detailed
description of our reportable segments and other related operating information
can be found in Note 9, "Segment Reporting," of our Consolidated Financial
Statements.
Although each of these categories is important to our business, we generally
evaluate overall operating, industry and market trends based on the operating
results of Established Communities, for which a detailed discussion can be found
in "Results of Operations" as part of our discussion of overall operating
results. We evaluate our current and future cash needs and future operating
potential based on acquisition, disposition, development, redevelopment and
financing activities within Other Stabilized, Redevelopment and Development
Communities. Discussions related to these segments of our business can be found
in "Liquidity and Capital Resources."
NOI of our current operating communities, is one of the financial measures that
we use to evaluate community performance. NOI is affected by the demand and
supply dynamics within our markets, our rental rates and occupancy levels and
our ability to control operating costs. Our overall financial performance is
also impacted by the general availability and cost of capital and the
performance of newly developed and acquired apartment communities.
As of December 31, 2008, we owned or held a direct or indirect ownership
interest in 178 apartment communities containing 50,292 apartment homes in ten
states and the District of Columbia, of which 14 communities were under
construction and nine communities were under reconstruction. Of these
communities, 23 were owned by entities that were not consolidated for financial
reporting purposes, including 19 owned by the Fund. In addition, we owned a
direct or indirect ownership interest in Development Rights to develop an
additional 27 communities that, if developed in the manner expected, will
contain an estimated 7,304 apartment homes.
Results of Operations
Our year-over-year operating performance is primarily affected by both overall
and individual geographic market conditions and apartment fundamentals and
reflected in changes in NOI of our Established Communities; NOI derived from
acquisitions and development completions; the loss of NOI related to disposed
communities; and capital market and financing activity. A comparison of our
operating results for 2008, 2007 and 2006 follows (dollars in thousands):
2008 2007 $ Change % Change 2007 2006 $ Change % Change
Revenue:
Rental and other income $ 847,640 $ 760,521 $ 87,119 11.5 % $ 760,521 $ 671,382 $ 89,139 13.3 %
Management, development
and other fees 6,568 6,142 426 6.9 % 6,142 6,259 (117 ) (1.9 %)
Total revenue 854,208 766,663 87,545 11.4 % 766,663 677,641 89,022 13.1 %
Expenses:
Direct property operating
expenses, excluding
property taxes 200,990 181,324 19,666 10.8 % 181,324 164,852 16,472 10.0 %
Property taxes 77,267 70,562 6,705 9.5 % 70,562 62,651 7,911 12.6 %
Total community operating
expenses 278,257 251,886 26,371 10.5 % 251,886 227,503 24,383 10.7 %
Corporate-level property
management and other
indirect operating
expenses 39,874 38,627 1,247 3.2 % 38,627 34,177 4,450 13.0 %
Investments and investment
management 17,298 11,737 5,561 47.4 % 11,737 7,030 4,707 67.0 %
Interest expense, net 114,878 94,540 20,338 21.5 % 94,540 106,271 (11,731 ) (11.0 %)
Depreciation expense 194,150 168,324 25,826 15.3 % 168,324 149,352 18,972 12.7 %
General and administrative
expense 42,781 28,494 14,287 50.1 % 28,494 24,767 3,727 15.0 %
Impairment loss 57,899 - 57,899 N/A - - - -
Total other expenses 466,880 341,722 125,158 36.6 % 341,722 321,597 20,125 6.3 %
Equity in income of
unconsolidated entities 4,566 59,169 (54,603 ) (92.3 %) 59,169 7,455 51,714 693.7 %
Minority interest income
(expense) in consolidated
partnerships 741 (1,585 ) 2,326 146.8 % (1,585 ) (573 ) (1,012 ) (176.6 %)
Gain on sale of land - 545 (545 ) N/A 545 13,519 (12,974 ) (96.0 %)
Income from continuing
operations 114,378 231,184 (116,806 ) (50.5 %) 231,184 148,942 82,242 55.2 %
Discontinued operations:
Income from discontinued
operations 12,208 20,489 (8,281 ) (40.4 %) 20,489 20,193 296 1.5 %
Gain on sale of
communities 284,901 106,487 178,414 167.5 % 106,487 97,411 9,076 9.3 %
Total discontinued
operations 297,109 126,976 170,133 134.0 % 126,976 117,604 9,372 8.0 %
Net income 411,487 358,160 53,327 14.9 % 358,160 266,546 91,614 34.4 %
Dividends attributable to
preferred stock (10,454 ) (8,700 ) (1,754 ) 20.2 % (8,700 ) (8,700 ) - -
Net income available to
common stockholders $ 401,033 $ 349,460 $ 51,573 14.8 % $ 349,460 $ 257,846 $ 91,614 35.5 %
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Net income available to common stockholders increased $51,573,000 or 14.8%, to
$401,033,000 in 2008 due primarily to gains from the sale of communities and
year-over-year increases in community operating performance, partially offset by
charges associated with land impairments and abandoned pursuits as well as
increased costs for interest and depreciation. Net income available to common
stockholders increased $91,614,000 or 35.5% in 2007 over the prior year period
due primarily to sales of consolidated operating communities and investments in
unconsolidated entities and related gains combined with growth in NOI from
Established Communities and contributions to net operating income from newly
developed communities.
NOI is considered by management to be an important and appropriate supplemental
performance measure to net income because it helps both investors and management
to understand the core operations of a community or communities prior to the
allocation of any corporate-level or financing-related costs. NOI reflects the
operating performance of a community and allows for an easy comparison of the
operating performance of individual assets or groups of assets. In addition,
because prospective buyers of real estate have different financing and overhead
structures, with varying marginal impacts to overhead by acquiring real estate,
NOI is considered by many in the real estate industry to be a useful measure for
determining the value of a real estate asset or group of assets. We define NOI
as total property revenue less direct property operating expenses, including
property taxes.
NOI does not represent cash generated from operating activities in accordance
with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP"). Therefore, NOI
should not be considered an alternative to net income as an indication of our
performance. NOI should also not be considered an alternative to net cash flow
from operating activities, as determined by GAAP, as a measure of liquidity, nor
is NOI necessarily indicative of cash available to fund cash needs.
Reconciliations of NOI for the years ended December 31, 2008, 2007 and 2006 to
net income for each year, are as follows (dollars in thousands):
For the year ended
12-31-08 12-31-07 12-31-06
Net income $ 411,487 $ 358,160 $ 266,546
Indirect operating expenses, net of corporate income 33,045 31,285 28,811
Investments and investment management 17,298 11,737 7,030
Interest expense, net 114,878 94,540 106,271
General and administrative expense 42,781 28,494 24,767
Equity in income of unconsolidated entities (4,566 ) (59,169 ) (7,455 )
Minority interest in consolidated partnerships (741 ) 1,585 573
Depreciation expense 194,150 168,324 149,352
Impairment loss 57,899 - -
Gain on sale of real estate assets (284,901 ) (107,032 ) (110,930 )
Income from discontinued operations (12,208 ) (20,489 ) (20,193 )
Net operating income $ 569,122 $ 507,435 $ 444,772
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The NOI increases for both 2008 and 2007, as compared to the prior year period, consist of changes in the following categories (dollars in thousands):
2008 2007
Increase Increase
Established Communities $ 14,257 $ 27,665
Other Stabilized Communities 14,982 10,186
Development and Redevelopment Communities 32,448 24,812
Total $ 61,687 $ 62,663
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The NOI increases in Established Communities in 2008 were largely due to
continued favorable but moderating apartment market fundamentals. During 2008,
we continued to focus on rental rate growth, while maintaining occupancy of at
least 95% in all regions.
We anticipate that rental rates and occupancy levels will decline in 2009 such
that overall rental revenue will decline between 1.5% and 3.5% as compared to
the 3.1% growth achieved in 2008. The expected revenue decline is due to the
general decline in overall economic conditions and related employment levels.
Expense growth also impacts growth in NOI and we continue to monitor and manage
operating expenses to constrain expense growth. We expect operating expenses to
increase between 3.0% and 4.0% in 2009 from prior year levels, attributable
primarily to increases in property taxes, utilities, insurance and office
operations. As a result, we expect NOI for our Established Communities to
decline between 4.25% and 6.25%. These projections are based on our outlook for
economic conditions in 2009, both nationally and in the markets where we
operate. There can be no assurance that our outlook for economic conditions
and/or their impact on our operating results will be accurate, and actual
results could differ materially. Please see "Risk Factors," "Forward Looking
Statements" and other discussions in this report on Form 10-K for a discussion
of factors which could affect our results of operations.
Net operating income ("NOI") is considered by management to be an important and
appropriate supplemental performance measure to net income because it helps both
investors and management to understand the core operations of a community or
communities prior to the allocation of any corporate-level or financing-related
costs. NOI reflects the operating performance of a community and allows for an
easy comparison of the operating performance of individual assets or groups of
assets. In addition, because prospective buyers of real estate have different
financing and overhead structures, with varying marginal impacts to overhead by
acquiring real estate, NOI is considered by many in the real estate industry to
be a useful measure for determining the value of a real estate asset or group of
assets. We define NOI as total property revenue less direct property operating
expenses, including property taxes.
Rental and other income increased in 2008 as compared to the prior year due to
increased rental rates and occupancy for our Established Communities, coupled
with additional rental income generated from newly developed communities.
Overall Portfolio - The weighted average number of occupied apartment homes
decreased to 37,886 apartment homes for 2008 as compared to 38,436 homes for
2007 and 37,716 homes for 2006. This change is primarily the result of
communities sold during 2008 containing 3,459 apartment homes, as well as
declining occupancy levels due to the economic slow down, partially offset by
increased homes available from newly developed communities,. The weighted
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