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| ALL > SEC Filings for ALL > Form 10-K on 26-Feb-2009 | All Recent SEC Filings |
26-Feb-2009
Annual Report
of Operations
Page
Overview 27
2008 Highlights 27
Consolidated Net (Loss) Income 28
Application of Critical Accounting Estimates 28
Property-Liability 2008 Highlights 42
Property-Liability Operations 43
Allstate Protection Segment 45
Discontinued Lines and Coverages Segment 58
Property-Liability Investment Results 59
Property-Liability Claims and Claims Expense Reserves 60
Allstate Financial 2008 Highlights 71
Allstate Financial Segment 72
Investments 82
Fair Value of Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities 119
Market Risk 122
Pension Plans 125
Deferred Taxes 127
Capital Resources and Liquidity 128
Enterprise Risk and Return Management 137
Regulation and Legal Proceedings 138
Pending Accounting Standards 138
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The following discussion highlights significant factors influencing the consolidated financial position and results of operations of The Allstate Corporation (referred to in this document as "we", "our", "us", the "Company" or "Allstate"). It should be read in conjunction with the 5-year summary of selected financial data, consolidated financial statements and related notes found under Part II, Item 6 and Item 8 contained herein. Further analysis of our insurance segments is provided in the Property-Liability Operations (which includes the Allstate Protection and the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segments) and in the Allstate Financial Segment sections of Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A"). The segments are consistent with the way in which we use financial information to evaluate business performance and to determine the allocation of resources.
Allstate is focused on three priorities in 2009: protecting Allstate's financial strength, building customer loyalty, and continue reinventing protection and retirement for the consumer. In addition, we will continue to monitor market conditions and will consider business start-ups, acquisitions and alliances that would forward our business objectives and represent prudent uses of corporate capital.
The most important factors we monitor to evaluate the financial condition and performance of our company include:
º •
º For Allstate Protection: premium written, the number of policies in
force ("PIF"), retention, price changes, claim frequency (rate of
claim occurrence per policy in force) and severity (average cost per
claim), catastrophes, loss ratio, expenses, underwriting results and
sales of all products and services;
º •
º For Allstate Financial: premiums and deposits, benefit and investment
spread, amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs, expenses,
operating income, net income, invested assets, and new business
returns;
º •
º For Investments: credit quality/experience, realized capital gains and
losses, investment income, unrealized capital gains and losses,
stability of long-term returns, total returns, cash flows, and asset
and liability duration; and
º •
º For financial condition: liquidity, parent company deployable invested
assets, financial strength ratings, operating leverage, debt leverage,
book value per share, and return on equity.
2008 HIGHLIGHTS
º •
º Consolidated net loss was $1.68 billion in 2008 compared to net income
of $4.64 billion in 2007. Net loss per diluted share was $3.07 in 2008
compared to net income per diluted share of $7.77 in 2007.
º •
º Property-Liability net income was $228 million in 2008 compared to
$4.26 billion in 2007.
º •
º The Property-Liability combined ratio was 99.4 in 2008 compared to
89.8 in 2007.
º •
º Catastrophe losses in 2008 totaled $3.34 billion compared to
$1.41 billion in 2007. The effect of catastrophe losses on the
combined ratio was 12.4 points and 5.2 points in 2008 and 2007,
respectively.
º •
º Allstate Financial had a net loss of $1.72 billion in 2008 compared to
net income of $465 million in 2007.
º •
º Total revenues were $29.39 billion in 2008 compared to $36.77 billion
in 2007.
º •
º Property-Liability premiums earned in 2008 totaled $26.97 billion, a
decrease of 1.0% from $27.23 billion in 2007.
º •
º Net realized capital losses were $5.09 billion in 2008 compared to net
realized capital gains of $1.24 billion in 2007.
º •
º Investments as of December 31, 2008 totaled $96.00 billion, a decrease
of 19.3% from $118.98 billion as of December 31, 2007. Net investment
income in 2008 was $5.62 billion, a decrease of 12.6% from
$6.44 billion in 2007.
º •
º Book value per diluted share was $23.51 as of December 31, 2008, a
decrease of 39.1% from $38.58 as of December 31, 2007.
º •
º For the twelve months ended December 31, 2008, return on the average
of beginning and ending period shareholders' equity was (9.7)%, a
decrease of 30.9 points from 21.2% for the twelve months ended
December 31, 2007.
º •
º To further enhance our liquidity and capital levels, we suspended our
$2.00 billion share repurchase program and do not plan to complete it
by our original target date of March 2009. The number of shares
repurchased under the program was 22.7 million shares for
$1.07 billion during the twelve months ended December 31, 2008.
º •
º At December 31, 2008, we held $12.64 billion in capital. This total
included $3.64 billion in deployable invested assets at the parent
holding company level.
º •
º On February 25, 2009, we announced that our shareholder dividend was
being revised to $.20.
CONSOLIDATED NET (LOSS) INCOME
For the years ended December 31,
($ in millions) 2008 2007 2006
Revenues
Property-liability insurance premiums $ 26,967 $ 27,233 $ 27,369
earned
Life and annuity premiums and contract 1,895 1,866 1,964
charges
Net investment income 5,622 6,435 6,177
Realized capital gains and losses (5,090 ) 1,235 286
Total revenues 29,394 36,769 35,796
Costs and expenses
Property-liability insurance claims and (20,064 ) (17,667 ) (16,017 )
claims expense
Life and annuity contract benefits (1,612 ) (1,589 ) (1,570 )
Interest credited to contractholder funds (2,411 ) (2,681 ) (2,609 )
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition (4,679 ) (4,704 ) (4,757 )
costs
Operating costs and expenses (3,273 ) (3,103 ) (3,033 )
Restructuring and related charges (23 ) (29 ) (182 )
Interest expense (351 ) (333 ) (357 )
Total costs and expenses (32,413 ) (30,106 ) (28,525 )
Loss on disposition of operations (6 ) (10 ) (93 )
Income tax benefit (expense) 1,346 (2,017 ) (2,185 )
Net (loss) income $ (1,679 ) $ 4,636 $ 4,993
Property-Liability $ 228 $ 4,258 $ 4,614
Allstate Financial (1,721 ) 465 464
Corporate and Other (186 ) (87 ) (85 )
Net (loss) income $ (1,679 ) $ 4,636 $ 4,993
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APPLICATION OF CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP") requires management to adopt accounting policies and make estimates and assumptions that affect amounts reported in the consolidated financial statements. The most critical estimates include those used in determining:
º •
º Fair Value of Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities
º •
º Impairment of Fixed Income and Equity Securities
º •
º Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs ("DAC") Amortization
º •
º Reserve for Property-Liability Insurance Claims and Claims Expense
Estimation
º •
º Reserve for Life-Contingent Contract Benefits Estimation
In applying these policies, management makes subjective and complex judgments that frequently require estimates about matters that are inherently uncertain. Many of these policies, estimates and related judgments are common in the insurance and financial services industries; others are specific to our businesses and operations. It is reasonably likely that changes in these estimates could occur from period to period and result in a material impact on our consolidated financial statements.
A brief summary of each of these critical accounting estimates follows. For a more detailed discussion of the effect of these estimates on our consolidated financial statements, and the judgments and assumptions related to these estimates, see the referenced sections of this document. For a complete summary of our significant accounting policies, see Note 2 of the consolidated financial statements.
º •
º Defines fair value as the price that would be received to sell an
asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction
between market participants at the measurement date, and establishes a
framework for measuring fair value;
º •
º Establishes a three-level hierarchy for fair value measurements based
upon the transparency of inputs to the valuation as of the measurement
date;
º •
º Expands disclosures about financial instruments measured at fair
value.
We categorize our financial assets and financial liabilities measured at fair value based on the observability of inputs to the valuation techniques, into a three-level fair value hierarchy as follows:
º Level
º 1: Financial assets and financial liabilities whose values are based on
unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities in an active
market that we can access.
º Level
º 2: Financial assets and financial liabilities whose values are based on
the following:
º (a)
º Quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities in active
markets;
º (b)
º Quoted prices for identical or similar assets or liabilities in
non-active markets; or
º (c)
º Valuation models whose inputs are observable, directly or
indirectly, for substantially the full term of the asset or
liability.
º Level
º 3: Financial assets and financial liabilities whose values are based on
prices or valuation techniques that require inputs that are both
unobservable and significant to the overall fair value measurement. These
inputs may reflect our estimates of the assumptions that market
participants would use in valuing the financial assets and financial
liabilities.
Observable inputs are those used by market participants in valuing financial instruments that are developed based on market data obtained from independent sources. In the absence of sufficient observable inputs, unobservable inputs reflect our estimates of the assumptions market participants would use in valuing financial assets and financial liabilities and are developed based on the best information available in the circumstances. The degree of management judgment involved in determining fair values is inversely related to the availability of market observable information.
To distinguish among the categories, we consider the frequency of completed transactions such as daily trading for equity securities. If inputs used to measure a financial instrument fall within different levels of the fair value hierarchy, the categorization is based on the lowest level input that is significant to the fair value measurement of the entire instrument. Certain financial assets are not carried at fair value on a recurring basis, including investments such as mortgage loans, limited partnership interests, bank loans and policy loans. Accordingly, such investments are only included in the fair value hierarchy disclosure when the investment is subject to remeasurement at fair value after initial recognition and the resulting measurement is reflected in the consolidated financial statements. In addition, equity options embedded in fixed income securities are not disclosed in the hierarchy with free-standing derivatives, as the embedded derivatives are presented as combined instruments in fixed income securities.
We are responsible for the determination of the value of the financial assets and financial liabilities carried at fair value and the supporting assumptions and methodologies. We gain assurance on the overall reasonableness and consistent application of valuation input assumptions, valuation methodologies and compliance with accounting standards for fair value determination through the execution of various processes and controls designed to ensure that our financial assets and financial liabilities are appropriately valued. We monitor fair values received from third parties and those derived internally on an ongoing basis.
In certain situations, we employ independent third-party valuation service providers to gather, analyze, and interpret market information and derive fair values based upon relevant assumptions and methodologies for individual instruments. In situations where our valuation service providers are unable to obtain sufficient market observable information upon which to estimate the fair value for a particular security, fair value is determined either by requesting brokers who are knowledgeable about these securities to provide a single quote or by employing internal valuation models that are widely accepted in the financial services industry. Changing market conditions are incorporated into valuation assumptions and reflected in the fair values, which are validated by calibration and other analytical techniques to available market observable data.
Valuation service providers typically obtain data about market transactions and other key valuation model inputs from multiple sources and, through the use of proprietary algorithms, produce valuation information in the
form of a single fair value for individual securities for which a fair value has been requested under the terms of our agreements. For certain equity securities, valuation service providers provide market quotations for completed transactions on the measurement date. For other security types, fair values are derived from the valuation service providers' proprietary valuation models. The inputs used by the valuation service providers include, but are not limited to, market prices from recently completed transactions and transactions of comparable securities, interest rate yield curves, credit spreads, liquidity spread, currency rates, and other market-observable information, as applicable. Credit and liquidity spreads are typically implied from completed transactions and transactions of comparable securities. Valuation service providers also use proprietary discounted cash flow models that are widely accepted in the financial services industry and similar to those used by other market participants to value the same financial instruments. The valuation models take into account, among other things, market observable information as of the measurement date, as described above, as well as the specific attributes of the security being valued including its term, interest rate, credit rating, industry sector, and where applicable, collateral quality and other issue or issuer specific information. Executing valuation models effectively requires seasoned professional judgment and experience. In cases where market transactions or other market observable data is limited, the extent to which judgment is applied varies inversely with the availability of market observable information.
For certain of our financial assets carried at fair value, where our valuation service providers cannot provide fair value determinations, we obtain non-binding price quotes from brokers familiar with the security who, similar to our valuation service providers, may consider transactions or activity in similar securities, as applicable, among other information. The brokers providing price quotes are generally from the brokerage divisions of leading financial institutions with market making, underwriting and distribution expertise.
The fair value of financial assets and financial liabilities, including privately-placed securities, certain free-standing derivatives and certain derivatives embedded in certain contractholder liabilities, where our valuation service providers or brokers do not provide fair value determinations, is determined using valuation methods and models widely accepted in the financial services industry. Internally developed valuation models, which include inputs that may not be market observable and as such involve some degree of judgment, are considered appropriate for each class of security to which they are applied.
Our internal pricing methods are primarily based on models using discounted
cash flow methodologies that determine a single best estimate of fair value for
individual financial instruments. In addition, our models use internally
assigned credit ratings as inputs (which are generally consistent with any
external ratings and those we use to report our holdings by credit rating) and
stochastically determined cash flows for certain derivatives embedded in certain
contractholder liabilities, both of which are difficult to independently observe
and verify. Instrument specific inputs used in our internal fair value
determinations include: coupon rate, coupon type, weighted average life, sector
of the issuer, call provisions, and the contractual elements of derivatives
embedded in certain contractholder liabilities. Market related inputs used in
these fair values, which we believe are representative of inputs other market
participants would use to determine fair value of the same instruments include:
interest rate yield curves, quoted market prices of comparable securities,
credit spreads, estimated liquidity premiums, and other applicable market data
including lapse and anticipated market return estimates for derivatives embedded
in certain contractholder liabilities. Credit spreads are determined using those
published by a commonly used industry specialist for comparable public
securities. A liquidity premium is also added to certain securities to reflect
spreads commonly required for the types of securities being valued and are
calibrated based on actual trades or other market data. As a result of the
significance of non-market observable inputs, including internally assigned
credit ratings and stochastic cash flow estimates as described above, judgment
is required in developing these fair values. The fair value of these financial
assets and financial liabilities may differ from the amount actually received to
sell an asset or the amount paid to transfer a liability in an orderly
transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Moreover, the
use of different valuation assumptions may have a material effect on the
financial assets' and financial liabilities' fair values.
Fair value of our investments comprise an aggregation of numerous, single best estimates for each security in the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position. Because of this detailed approach, there is no single set of assumptions that determine our fair value estimates at a consolidated level. Moreover, management does not compile a range of estimates for items reported at fair value at the consolidated level because we do not believe that a range would provide meaningful information. In the last 10 years, our quarterly net unrealized capital gains and losses have ranged from a $7.55 billion net unrealized capital gain at June 30, 2003 to an $8.81 billion net unrealized capital loss at December 31, 2008. The change in net unrealized capital gains and losses by quarter over the 10 year period has averaged $1.10 billion and has ranged from a $4.71 billion decrease to a $2.29 billion increase.
Level 1 and Level 2 measurements represent valuations where all significant inputs are market observable. Level 3 measurements have one or more significant inputs that are not market observable and as a result these
fair value determinations have greater potential variability as it relates to their significant inputs. The Level 3 principal components are privately placed securities valued using internal models and broker quoted securities. Additionally, due to the reduced availability of actual market prices or relevant observable inputs as a result of the decrease in liquidity that has been experienced in the market, all asset-backed residential mortgage-backed securities ("ABS RMBS"), auction rate securities ("ARS") backed by student loans, Alt-A residential mortgage-backed securities ("Alt-A"), other collateralized debt obligations ("CDO"), certain asset-backed securities ("ABS") and certain commercial mortgage-backed securities ("CMBS") are categorized as Level 3. In general, the greater the reliance on significant inputs that are not market observable, the greater potential variability of the fair value determinations. For broker quoted securities' fair value determinations, which were all categorized as Level 3, we believe the brokers providing the quotes may consider market observable transactions or activity in similar securities, as applicable, and other information as calibration points. Privately placed securities' fair value determinations, which are based on internal ratings that are not market observable and categorized as Level 3, are calibrated to market observable information in the form of external National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC") ratings and credit spreads.
We believe our most significant exposure to changes in fair value is due to market risk. Our exposure to changes in market conditions is discussed fully in the Market Risk section of the MD&A.
We employ specific control processes to determine the reasonableness of the fair values of our financial assets and financial liabilities. Our processes are designed to ensure that the values received or internally estimated are accurately recorded and that the data inputs and the valuation techniques utilized are appropriate, consistently applied, and that the assumptions are reasonable and consistent with the objective of determining fair value. For example, on a continuing basis, we assess the reasonableness of individual security values received from valuation service providers that exceed certain thresholds as compared to previous values received from those valuation service providers. In addition, we may validate the reasonableness of fair values by comparing information obtained from our valuation service providers to other third party valuation sources for selected financial assets. When fair value determinations are expected to be more variable, we validate them through reviews by members of management who have relevant expertise and who are independent of those charged with executing investment transactions. We do not alter fair values provided by our valuation providers or brokers.
The following table identifies investments as of December 31, 2008 by source of value determination:
Investments
Fair Percent
($ in millions) value to total
Fair value based on internal sources $ 9,256 9.7 %
Fair value based on external sources(1) 71,063 74.0
Total fixed income, equity and short-term securities 80,319 83.7
Fair value of derivatives 301 0.3
Mortgage loans, policy loans, bank loans and certain
limited partnership and other investments,
valued at cost, amortized cost and the equity method 15,378 16.0
Total $ 95,998 100.0 %
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For more detailed information on our accounting policy for the fair value of financial assets and financial liabilities and information on the financial assets and financial liabilities included in the levels promulgated by SFAS No. 157, see Note 2 of the consolidated financial statements.
Impairment of Fixed Income and Equity Securities For investments classified as available for sale, the difference between fair value and amortized cost for fixed income securities and cost for equity securities, net of certain other items and deferred income taxes (as disclosed in Note 5), is reported as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position and is not reflected in the operating results of any period until reclassified to net income upon the consummation of a transaction with an unrelated third party or when the decline in fair value is deemed other than temporary. The assessment of whether the impairment of a security's fair value is other than temporary is performed using a portfolio review as well as a case-by-case review considering a wide range of factors.
There are a number of assumptions and estimates inherent in evaluating impairments and determining if they are other than temporary, including: 1) our ability and intent to hold the investment for a period of time sufficient to allow for an anticipated recovery in value; 2) the expected recoverability of principal and interest; 3) the length of time and extent to which the fair value has been less than amortized cost for fixed income securities or cost for equity securities; 4) the financial condition, near-term and long-term prospects of the issue or issuer, including
relevant industry conditions and trends, and implications of rating agency actions and offering prices; and 5) the specific reasons that a security is in a . . .
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