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PFG > SEC Filings for PFG > Form 10-K on 18-Feb-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-K for PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC


18-Feb-2009

Annual Report


Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The following analysis discusses our financial condition as of December 31, 2008, compared with December 31, 2007, and our consolidated results of operations for the years ended December 31, 2008, 2007 and 2006, and, where appropriate, factors that may affect our future financial performance. The discussion should be read in conjunction with our audited consolidated financial statements and the related notes to the financial statements and the other financial information included elsewhere in this Form 10-K.

Forward-Looking Information

Our narrative analysis below contains forward-looking statements intended to enhance the reader's ability to assess our future financial performance. Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements that represent our beliefs concerning future operations, strategies, financial results or other developments, and contain words and phrases such as "anticipate," "believe," "plan," "estimate," "expect," "intend," and similar expressions. Forward-looking statements are made based upon management's current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects on us. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance.

Actual results may differ materially from those included in the forward-looking statements as a result of risks and uncertainties. Those risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to the risk factors listed in Item 1A. "Risk Factors."

Overview

We provide financial products and services through the following reportable segments:

º •
º U.S. Asset Accumulation, which consists of our asset accumulation operations that provide retirement savings and related investment products and services. We provide a comprehensive portfolio of asset accumulation products and services to businesses and individuals in the U.S., with a concentration on small and medium-sized businesses. We offer to businesses products and services for defined contribution pension plans, including 401(k) and 403(b) plans, defined benefit pension plans, nonqualified executive benefit plans and employee stock ownership plan consulting services. We also offer annuities, mutual funds and bank products and services to the employees of our business customers and other individuals.

º •
º Global Asset Management, which consists of our asset management operations conducted through Principal Global Investors and its affiliates. Global Asset Management offers an extensive range of equity, fixed income and real estate investments as well as specialized overlay and advisory services to institutional investors.

º •
º International Asset Management and Accumulation, which consists of Principal International, offers retirement products and services, annuities, mutual funds, institutional asset management and life insurance accumulation products through operations in Brazil, Chile, China, Hong Kong SAR, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico and Singapore.

º •
º Life and Health Insurance, which provides individual life insurance, group health insurance as well as specialty benefits in the U.S. Our individual life insurance products include universal and variable universal life insurance and traditional life insurance. Our health insurance products include group medical insurance and fee-for-service claims administration and wellness services. Our specialty benefit products include group dental and vision insurance, individual and group disability insurance and group life insurance.

º •
º Corporate, which manages the assets representing capital that has not been allocated to any other segment. Financial results of the Corporate segment primarily reflect our financing activities (including interest expense), income on capital not allocated to other segments, inter-segment eliminations, income tax risks and certain income, expenses and other after-tax adjustments not allocated to the segments based on the nature of such items.

Economic Factors and Trends

The significant decline in the equity markets during 2008, which was partially offset by positive net cash flows, has led to decreases in our U.S. Asset Accumulation segment's account values and our Global Asset Management segment's AUM. Since account values and AUM are the base by which these businesses generate profits, the decline in account values and AUM has put pressure on our profits. In addition, the credit market disruptions in 2008 resulted in an increase in our realized capital losses, which are reflected in net income, and unrealized capital losses, which are reflected in accumulated other comprehensive income.

In our International Asset Management and Accumulation segment, we continued to grow our business through organic growth in our existing subsidiaries and through new joint ventures and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, the global credit market disruptions, market illiquidity, and foreign currency depreciation during the second half of 2008 resulted in a decrease in our International Asset Management and Accumulation segment's AUM and an increase in our unrealized capital losses, which are reflected in accumulated other comprehensive income.


In our Life and Health segment, we continue to shift the marketing emphasis of our individual life insurance business to universal life insurance products from traditional life insurance products. In our health insurance and fee-for-service businesses we continue to experience membership declines due to lower sales and higher lapses. Our specialty benefits insurance business is experiencing a slowdown in growth relative to prior years due to a combination of lower sales and higher lapses, as well as reduced growth in salaries and the number of covered lives of our existing customers. This slowdown is a direct reflection of the increasingly competitive marketplace and economic pressures facing our customers.

Given the aforementioned market conditions, and our expectation that these very challenging financial and operating conditions, which have continued into 2009, will not improve significantly in the short term, we have built additional liquidity by increasing cash and cash equivalent holdings. Currently, new cash inflows are primarily being invested in cash, short-term government-backed securities and other liquid investments. As a result of increased cash holdings, current yields will be lower than historically experienced. This trend is expected to continue as long as market conditions remain strained and we continue to invest new cash inflows in cash and liquid investments.

Profitability

Our profitability depends in large part upon our:

º •
º amount of AUM;

º •
º spreads we earn on our policyholders' general account asset accumulation business that result from the difference between what we earn and what we credit;

º •
º ability to generate fee revenues by providing administrative and investment management services;

º •
º ability to price our life and health insurance products at a level that enables us to earn a margin over the cost of providing benefits and the related expenses;

º •
º ability to manage our investment portfolio to maximize investment returns and minimize risks such as interest rate changes or defaults or impairments of invested assets;

º •
º ability to effectively hedge fluctuations in foreign currency to U.S. dollar exchange rates on certain transactions and

º •
º ability to manage our operating expenses.

Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

The increasing complexity of the business environment and applicable authoritative accounting guidance requires us to closely monitor our accounting policies. Our significant accounting policies are described in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, Note 1, Nature of Operations and Significant Accounting Policies." We have identified seven critical accounting policies that are complex and require significant judgment and estimates about matters that are inherently uncertain. A summary of our critical accounting policies is intended to enhance the reader's ability to assess our financial condition and results of operations and the potential volatility due to changes in estimates and changes in guidance. The identification, selection and disclosure of critical accounting estimates and policies have been discussed with the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors.

Valuation and Impairment of Fixed Income Investments

Fixed Maturities, Available-for-Sale. Fixed maturity securities include bonds, mortgage-backed securities and redeemable preferred stock. We classify our fixed maturity securities as either available-for-sale or trading and, accordingly, carry them at fair value in the consolidated statements of financial position. The fair values of our public fixed maturity securities are primarily based on market prices from independent pricing services. In addition, 21% of our invested asset portfolio is invested in fixed maturity securities that are private market assets, where there are no readily available market quotes to determine the fair market value. The majority of these assets are valued using a spread pricing matrix that utilizes observable market inputs. Securities are grouped into pricing categories that vary by asset class, sector, rating and average life. Each pricing category is assigned a risk spread based on studies of observable public market data or market clearing data from the investment professionals assigned to specific security classes. The expected cash flows of the security are then discounted back at the current Treasury curve plus the appropriate risk spread. Certain market events that could impact the valuation of securities include issuer credit ratings, business climate, management changes, litigation and government actions among others.

Over the past several months, we have seen credit market disruption as the result of widening spreads and illiquid markets. Structured investment transactions where we rely on broker quotes have been particularly impacted given the thinly traded markets (approximately 1% of the fixed maturity securities portfolio). We have received broker quotes that are outside a normal range for historical spreads and, in our view, are generally conservative given the quality of the


underlying cash flows. Analysis has been performed to reconcile these external values to our view of the transaction. In certain circumstances, we have used our internal models in lieu of external values, as we have determined the internal value better reflects fair value.

A rate increase based on the combined movement of interest rates and credit spreads of 100 basis points would produce a total value of approximately $33.7 billion, as compared to the recorded amount of $35.1 billion related to our fixed maturity, available-for-sale assets held by the Principal Life general account as of December 31, 2008. Given the recent unprecedented market disruption, a 100 basis point movement in the combined portfolio rate is reasonably likely.

Investments classified as available-for-sale are subject to impairment reviews. When evaluating a fixed maturity security for impairment, we consider relevant facts and circumstances in evaluating whether a credit or interest-related impairment is other than temporary. Relevant facts and circumstances considered include: (1) the extent and length of time the fair value has been below cost; (2) the reasons for the decline in value; (3) the financial position and access to capital of the issuer, including the current and future impact of any specific events and (4) our ability and intent to hold the security for a period of time that allows for the recovery of value which, in some cases, may extend to maturity. When it is determined that the decline in value is other than temporary the carrying value of the security is reduced to its fair value, with a corresponding charge to net income.

There are a number of significant risks and uncertainties inherent in the process of monitoring impairments and determining if an impairment is other than temporary. These risks and uncertainties include: (1) the risk that our assessment of an issuer's ability to meet all of its contractual obligations will change based on changes in the credit characteristics of that issuer;
(2) the risk that the economic outlook will be worse than expected or have more of an impact on the issuer than anticipated; (3) the risk that our investment professionals are making decisions based on fraudulent or misstated information in the financial statements provided by issuers and (4) the risk that new information obtained by us or changes in other facts and circumstances lead us to change our intent to hold the security until it recovers in value. Any of these situations could result in a charge to net income in a future period. At December 31, 2008, we had $31,428.4 million in available-for-sale fixed maturity securities with gross unrealized losses totaling $8,317.3 million. Included in the gross unrealized losses are losses attributable to both movements in market interest rates as well as movement in credit spreads. Net income would be reduced by approximately $8,317.3 million, on a pre-tax basis, if all the securities in an unrealized loss position were deemed to be other than temporarily impaired.

Mortgage Loans. Mortgage loans consist primarily of commercial mortgage loans on real estate. At December 31, 2008, commercial mortgage loans aggregated to $11,279.3 million. Commercial mortgage loans are generally reported at cost adjusted for amortization of premiums and accrual of discounts, computed using the interest method and net of valuation allowances. Commercial mortgage loans held for sale are carried at the lower of cost or fair value, less cost to sell, and reported as mortgage loans in the statements of financial position.

Commercial mortgage loans on real estate are considered impaired when, based on current information and events, it is probable that we will be unable to collect all amounts due according to contractual terms of the loan agreement. When we determine that a loan is impaired, a loss is recognized for the difference between the carrying amount of the mortgage loan and the estimated value. Estimated value is based on either the present value of the expected future cash flows discounted at the loan's effective interest rate, the loan's observable market price or fair value of the collateral.

The determination of the calculation and the adequacy of the mortgage loan valuation allowance and mortgage impairments are subjective. Our periodic evaluation and assessment of the adequacy of the mortgage loan valuation allowance and the need for mortgage impairments is based on known and inherent risks in the portfolio, adverse situations that may affect the borrower's ability to repay, the estimated value of the underlying collateral, composition of the loan portfolio, current economic conditions, loss experience and other relevant factors. The calculation for determining mortgage impairment amounts includes additional subjectivity, as it requires estimating the amounts and timing of future cash flows expected to be received on specific impaired loans. Thus, our financial position is sensitive to changes in estimated cash flows from mortgages, the value of the collateral and changes in the economic environment in general. The total valuation allowance can be expected to increase when economic conditions worsen and decrease when economic conditions improve.

We have a large experienced commercial real estate staff centrally located in Des Moines, which includes commercial mortgage underwriters, loan closers, loan servicers, engineers, appraisers, credit analysts, research staff, legal staff, information technology personnel and portfolio managers. Experienced commercial real estate senior management adheres to a disciplined process in reviewing all transactions for approval on a consistent basis. The typical commercial mortgage loan for us averages in the upper 50 percent loan-to-value range at origination with a net operating income coverage ratio of 1.7 times the annual debt service and is internally rated A on a bond equivalent basis. Based on the most recent analysis, our commercial mortgage portfolio has an overall loan-to-value ratio of 62% with a 1.8 times debt service coverage. The large equity cushion and strong debt service coverage in our commercial mortgage investments will help insulate us from stress during times of weak commercial real estate fundamentals.


Derivatives

We primarily use derivatives to hedge or reduce exposure to market risks. The fair values of derivative instruments are determined using either pricing valuation models that utilize market observable inputs or broker quotes. The valuation models consider projected discounted cash flows, relevant swap curves and appropriate implied volatilities. Additionally, we issue certain annuity contracts and other insurance contracts and have certain other obligations that include embedded derivatives that have been bifurcated from the host contract. The fair value of embedded derivatives in annuity contracts and other insurance contracts is calculated based on actuarial and capital market assumptions, including non-performance risk, reflecting the projected cash flows over the life of the contract, and incorporating expected policyholder behavior.

The accounting for derivatives is complex and interpretations of the applicable accounting standards continue to evolve. Judgment is applied in determining the availability and application of hedge accounting designations and the appropriate accounting treatment. Judgment and estimates are used to determine the fair value of some of our derivatives. Volatility in net income can result from changes in fair value of derivatives that do not qualify or are not designated for hedge accounting and changes in fair value of embedded derivatives.

Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs and Other Actuarial Balances

Commissions and other costs (underwriting, issuance and agency expenses) that vary with and are primarily related to the acquisition of new and renewal insurance policies and investment contract business are capitalized to the extent recoverable. Maintenance costs and acquisition costs that are not deferrable are charged to net income as incurred.

Amortization Based on Estimated Gross Profits. DPAC for universal life-type insurance contracts, participating life insurance policies and certain investment contracts are amortized over the expected lifetime of the policies in relation to estimated gross profits. In addition to DPAC, the following actuarial balances are also amortized in relation to estimated gross profits or contract assessments.

º •
º Sales inducement asset - Sales inducements are amounts that are credited to the contractholder's account balance as an inducement to purchase the contract. Like DPAC, the cost of the sales inducement is capitalized and amortized over the expected life of the contract, in proportion to estimated gross profits.

º •
º Unearned revenue liability - An unearned revenue liability is established when we collect fees or other policyholder assessments that represent compensation for services to be provided in future periods. These revenues are deferred and then amortized over the expected life of the contract, in proportion to estimated gross profits.

º •
º Reinsurance asset or liability - For universal-life type products that are reinsured, a reinsurance asset or liability is established to spread the net reinsurance costs or profits in proportion to the estimated gross profits on the underlying business.

º •
º Present value of future profits ("PVFP") - This is an intangible asset that arises in connection with the acquisition of a life insurance company or a block of insurance business. PVFP is amortized over the expected life of the contracts acquired, in proportion to estimated gross profits.

º •
º Additional benefit reserves - These are additional liabilities that are established for annuity or universal life-type contracts that provide benefit guarantees, or for contracts that are expected to produce profits followed by losses. The liabilities are accrued in relation to estimated contract assessments.

At issue and each valuation date, we develop an estimate of the expected future gross profits. These estimated gross profits contain assumptions relating to mortality, morbidity, lapses, investment yield and expenses. As actual experience emerges, the gross profits may vary from those expected either in magnitude or timing, in which case a true-up to actual occurs as a charge or credit to current net income. In addition, we are required to revise our assumptions regarding future experience as soon as the current assumptions are no longer actuarially credible. Both actions, reflecting actual experience and changing future estimates, can change both the current amount and the future amortization pattern of the DPAC asset and related actuarial balances.

For individual variable life insurance, individual variable annuities and group annuities which have separate account U.S. equity investment options, we utilize a mean reversion methodology (reversion to the mean assumption), a common industry practice, to determine the future domestic equity market growth rate assumption used for the calculation of estimated gross profits. If actual annualized U.S. equity market performance varies from our 8% long-term assumption, we assume different performance levels over the next 30 quarters such that the mean return is equal to the long-term assumption over the mean reversion period. However, our mean reversion process generally limits assumed returns to a range of 4-12% during the mean reversion period. The 12% cap was reached during the third quarter of 2008. Therefore, we will not adjust the equity return assumption by the amount needed to result in a mean return equal to the long-term assumption.


Internal Replacements. We review polices for modifications that result in the exchange of an existing contract for a new contract. If the new contract is determined to be an internal replacement that is substantially changed from the replaced contract, any unamortized DPAC and related actuarial balances are written off and acquisition costs related to the new contract are capitalized as appropriate. If the new contract is substantially unchanged, we continue to amortize the existing DPAC and related actuarial balances.

Recoverability. DPAC and sales inducement assets are subject to recoverability testing at the time of policy issue and loss recognition testing on an annual basis, or when an event occurs that may warrant loss recognition. Likewise, PVFP is subject to impairment testing on an annual basis, or when an event occurs that may warrant impairment. If loss recognition or impairment is necessary, the asset balances are written off to the extent that it is determined that future policy premiums and investment income or gross profits are not adequate to cover related losses and expenses.

Sensitivities. As of December 31, 2008, the net balance of DPAC and related actuarial balances was a $3,164.2 million asset. We perform sensitivity analyses to assess the impact that certain assumptions have on our DPAC and related actuarial balances. The following table shows the estimated immediate impact of various assumption changes on our DPAC and related actuarial balances.

                                                               Estimated
                                                               impact to
                                                             net income (1)
                                                             (in millions)
       Reducing the future equity return assumption by 1%    $         (8.0 )
       Reducing the future general account net investment
       return assumption by 0.5% (2)                         $        (48.8 )
       Removing the mean reversion methodology from the
       estimated gross profit calculation                    $        (17.3 )
       A one-time, 10% drop in equity market values          $        (11.8 )
       Increasing all future lapse rate assumptions by 10%
       of the baseline assumption (3)                        $        (24.7 )


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   º (1)


º Reflects the net impact of changes to the DPAC asset, sales inducement asset, unearned revenue liability, reinsurance asset or liability, PVFP and additional benefit reserves.

º (2)
º Net investment return represents net investment income plus net realized capital gains (losses).

º (3)
º This calculation reflects an increase in lapse rates only for products where increasing the lapse rate leads to a write-down of the DPAC asset. Lapse rates were left unchanged for those products where an increase in lapse rates would lead to a write-up of the DPAC asset.

Amortization Based on Premium-Paying Period. DPAC of non-participating term life insurance and individual disability policies are amortized over the premium-paying period of the related policies using assumptions consistent with those used in computing policyholder liabilities. Once these assumptions are made for a given policy or group of policies, they will not be changed over the life of the policy unless a loss recognition event occurs. As of December 31, 2008, these policies accounted for less than 10% of our total DPAC balance.

Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets

Goodwill and other intangibles include the cost of acquired subsidiaries in excess of the fair value of the net tangible assets recorded in connection with acquisitions. Goodwill and intangible assets with indefinite lives are not amortized. Rather, they are tested for impairment on an annual basis during the fourth quarter each year or more frequently if events or changes in circumstances indicate that the asset might be impaired. The process of evaluating goodwill and other intangibles with indefinite lives for impairment requires several judgments and assumptions to be made to determine the fair value, including the method used to determine fair value, discount rates, expected levels of cash flows, revenues and earnings, and the selection of comparable companies used to develop market-based assumptions.

Intangible assets that do not have indefinite lives are amortized as related benefits emerge and are reviewed periodically for indicators of impairment in value. If facts and circumstances suggest possible impairment, the sum of the estimated undiscounted future cash flows expected to result from the use of the asset is compared to the current carrying value of the asset. If the undiscounted future cash flows are less than the carrying value, an impairment loss is recognized for the excess of the carrying amount of assets over their fair value. For those products amortized as related benefits emerge, the most significant assumptions involved in the estimation of future benefits include surrender/lapse rates, interest margins and mortality.

Despite the challenging economic environment, we did not recognize a material impairment in our 2008 consolidated statement of operations. Investment management contracts acquired in our 2006 purchase of WM Advisors, Inc. is the most material intangible asset included in our 2008 consolidated statement of financial position with a carrying value of $608.0 million. Higher than expected net cash flows and significantly lower than expected expenses more than offset lower than expected market returns on the underlying assets acquired. As a result, the fair value of this intangible asset as of December 31, 2008, was in excess of its carrying value. Although we did not recognize a material . . .

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