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| NSC > SEC Filings for NSC > Form 10-K on 18-Feb-2009 | All Recent SEC Filings |
18-Feb-2009
Annual Report
The following discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with the Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes and the Selected Financial Data.
OVERVIEW
NS' 2008 net income rose 17% largely on the strength of a 19% increase in income from railway operations. Operating results reflected higher average revenue per unit (including fuel surcharge revenue) that more than offset the effects of increased operating expenses and lower traffic volume. Operating revenues increased 13% and operating expenses rose 11% compared to 2007, resulting in a lower operating ratio (a measure of the amount of revenues consumed by expenses) of 71.1%, as compared with 72.6% in 2007.
Cash provided by operating activities was $2.7 billion, exceeding $2 billion for the fourth consecutive year. Coupled with net borrowings of $280 million, this provided funding for increased capital expenditures, share repurchases, and higher dividends.
During 2008, NS purchased and retired 19.4 million shares of NS common stock at a total cost of $1.1 billion under the share repurchase program which the Board of Directors approved in November 2005 and subsequently amended in March 2007 to authorize the repurchase of up to 75 million shares of NS common stock through December 31, 2010. In total, NS has purchased and retired 64.7 million shares under this program at a cost of $3.3 billion.
Looking ahead, NS expects revenues to decline in 2009, reflecting lower traffic volume due to the weak economy and decreased fuel surcharge revenue resulting from lower fuel prices. NS plans to continue to improve service, maintain a market-based approach to pricing, and reduce volume-related costs.
SUMMARIZED RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
2008 Compared with 2007
Net income in 2008 was $1.7 billion, up $252 million, or 17%, compared with 2007. Diluted earnings per share were $4.52, up 84¢, or 23%. The greater percentage increase in per share earnings was due to fewer shares outstanding as a result of NS' share repurchase program (see Note 13). The increase in net income was primarily due to higher income from railway operations that was offset in part by higher income taxes (see Note 3). Railway operating revenues increased $1.2 billion, as higher average revenue per unit (including fuel surcharges) outweighed lower traffic volumes. Railway operating expenses increased $730 million, principally due to higher fuel costs and increased compensation and benefits expenses.
Oil prices affect NS' results of operations in a variety of ways and can have an overall favorable or unfavorable impact in any particular quarter or year. In addition to the impact of oil prices on general economic conditions and traffic volume, oil prices directly affect NS' revenues through market-based fuel surcharges and contract escalators (see "Railway Operating Revenues") and also affect fuel costs (see "Railway Operating Expenses"). For 2008, oil prices had an overall favorable impact on income from railway operations. Future changes in oil prices may cause volatility in operating results that could be material to a particular quarter or year.
2007 Compared with 2006
Net income in 2007 was $1.5 billion, down $17 million, or 1%, compared with 2006. Diluted earnings per share were $3.68, up 11¢, or 3%, reflecting fewer shares outstanding as a result of NS' share repurchase program (see Note 13). The decrease in net income was primarily due to higher income taxes and lower non?operating items that offset higher income from railway operations. Railway operating revenues increased $25 million, as higher average revenue per unit overshadowed lower traffic volumes. Railway operating expenses decreased $3 million, principally due to lower volume-related expenses that offset higher fuel expense.
DETAILED RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Railway Operating Revenues
Railway operating revenues were $10.7 billion in 2008 and $9.4 billion in 2007
and 2006. The following table presents a three-year comparison of revenues,
volume, and average revenue per unit by market group.
Revenues Units Revenue per Unit
2008 2007 2006 2008 2007 2006 2008 2007 2006
($ in millions) (in thousands) ($ per unit)
Coal $ 3,111 $ 2,315 $ 2,330 1,765.7 1,699.4 1,760.0 $ 1,762 $ 1,363 $ 1,324
General merchandise:
Agr./cons. prod./govt. 1,282 1,047 994 612.4 601.5 594.1 2,093 1,740 1,673
Metals/construction 1,251 1,149 1,168 742.4 783.6 835.3 1,686 1,467 1,398
Chemicals 1,238 1,166 1,079 393.7 426.7 426.4 3,144 2,732 2,530
Paper/clay/forest 898 860 891 394.1 428.1 466.7 2,280 2,010 1,909
Automotive 823 974 974 412.2 533.0 561.9 1,997 1,827 1,734
General merchandise 5,492 5,196 5,106 2,554.8 2,772.9 2,884.4 2,150 1,874 1,770
Intermodal 2,058 1,921 1,971 3,029.0 3,120.7 3,256.5 679 615 605
Total $ 10,661 $ 9,432 $ 9,407 7,349.5 7,593.0 7,900.9 $ 1,451 $ 1,242 $ 1,191
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Revenues increased $1.2 billion in 2008 and $25 million in 2007. As shown in
the table below, both revenue improvements were the result of increased average
revenue per unit, including fuel surcharge revenue, which more than offset
decreased traffic volumes. Fuel surcharge revenue amounted to $1.6 billion in
2008 (up $830 million) compared to $792 million in 2007 and $1 billion in 2006.
If fuel prices remain at or near year-end 2008 levels, fuel surcharge revenues
in 2009 will be substantially lower, with a corresponding effect on revenue per
unit.
Many of Norfolk Southern's negotiated fuel surcharges for coal and general merchandise traffic are based on the monthly average price of West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil (WTI Average Price). These surcharges are reset the first day of each calendar month based on the WTI Average Price for the second preceding calendar month. This two-month lag in computing WTI Average Price coupled with the sharp drop in fuel prices late in the year increased fuel surcharge revenue by approximately $100 million for the year.
Revenue Variance Analysis
Increases (Decreases)
2008 vs. 2007 2007 vs. 2006
($ in millions)
Revenue per unit/mix $ 1,531 $ 392
Traffic volume (units) (302) (367)
Total $ 1,229 $ 25
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Both comparisons reflect large increases in average revenue per unit, a result of higher rates and increased fuel surcharges. Traffic volumes in both years declined. For 2008, traffic volumes for all commodity groups except coal and agriculture/consumer products/government decreased. In 2007, traffic volumes for all commodity groups except agriculture/consumer products/government and chemicals decreased.
On January 26, 2007, the Surface Transportation Board (STB) issued a decision that the type of fuel surcharge imposed by NS and most other large railroads - a fuel surcharge based on a percentage of line haul revenue - would no longer be permitted for regulated traffic that moves under public (tariff) rates. The STB gave the railroads a 90?day transition period to adjust their fuel surcharge programs. During the second quarter of 2007, NS discontinued assessing fuel surcharges on its published (non-intermodal) public rates. Adjustments to public prices now reflect ongoing market conditions. The traffic moving under these tariffs and public quotes comprises about 10% of Norfolk Southern's total revenue base.
COAL revenues increased $796 million, or 34%, compared with 2007, reflecting higher rates, including fuel surcharges, and a 4% increase in traffic volume. Coal average revenue per unit was up 29% compared with 2007, reflecting higher rates (which were comprised of pricing increases, contract escalators and the effect of increased longer-haul export coal traffic) and increased fuel surcharges. For 2009, average revenue per unit is expected to decline reflecting the effects of lower fuel surcharges and contract escalators.
Coal represented 29% of NS' revenues in 2008 and 79% of shipments handled originated on NS' lines. As shown in the following table, increased shipments of export, utility, and domestic metallurgical coal more than offset lower industrial shipments.
Total Coal, Coke, and Iron Ore Tonnage
2008 2007 2006
(Tons in thousands)
Utility 144,451 142,734 148,078
Export 23,069 15,564 12,409
Domestic metallurgical 18,155 17,873 20,878
Industrial 8,553 9,794 9,202
Total 194,228 185,965 190,567
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Coal r evenues in 2007 decreased $15 million, or 1%, compared with 2006, as a 2% reduction in tonnage handled more than offset a 3% increase in average revenue per unit. Carloads declined 3%, a higher percentage than the change in tonnage handled because of increased average tonnage per car. Coal represented 25% of NS' revenues in 2007, and 78% of shipments handled originated on NS' lines.
NS is currently involved in litigation with Virginia Electric and Power Company/Old Dominion Electric Cooperative (Virginia Power) regarding rate adjustment provisions in a transportation contract between them. In 2007, the Virginia Supreme Court issued a decision that remanded the case to the trial court on the grounds that neither of its prior decisions constituted a final order. In April 2008, the trial court entered a final order granting NS monetary damages, including interest, and prescribing the methodology for determining future rates. Virginia Power filed a notice of appeal and the Virginia Supreme Court has agreed to hear the appeal. Future developments and the ultimate resolution of this matter could result in NS recognizing additional revenues related to this dispute, which could have a favorable impact on results of operations in a particular year or quarter.
Utility coal tonnage increased 1%, compared with 2007, a result of modest stockpile growth in the Northeast.
In 2007, utility coal tonnage decreased 4% compared with 2006, reflecting high stockpile levels (particularly in the Southeast) that led to reduced shipments, despite fairly strong electric generation (up 4%) in the NS service region. In addition, the temporary closure of a major coal mine as well as the loss of business to barge transportation contributed to the decline.
For 2009, utility coal tonnage is expected to weaken, with lower electric demand as a result of a weak economy.
Export coal tonnage increased 48% compared to 2007, reflecting increased global demand coupled with weather-related supply constraints in Australia, reduced export volume from China, and the weak U.S. dollar. Norfolk volume increased about 51,000 carloads, or 39%, and Baltimore volume was up about 28,000 carloads, or 102%.
Export coal tonnage in 2007 increased 25% compared to 2006, primarily due to increased demand reflecting a lower valued U.S. dollar as well as loading delays at Australian ports. Norfolk volume increased by approximately 26,000 cars, or 25%, and Baltimore volume was up approximately 4,500 cars, or 19%.
For 2009, export coal tonnage is expected to decrease, reflecting a significant reduction in worldwide steel production, increasing competition into Europe due to changes in ocean freight rates, and the strengthening of the U.S. dollar against other currencies.
Domestic metallurgical coal, coke, and iron ore tonnage increased 2% compared with 2007, reflecting the start up of a new coke plant.
In 2007, domestic metallurgical coal, coke, and iron ore tonnage decreased 14% compared with 2006. The decrease was primarily due to coke furnace outages, mine production outages, and reduced spot iron ore traffic.
For 2009, domestic metallurgical coal, coke, and iron ore tonnage is expected to be down due to lower domestic steel demand.
Other coal tonnage (principally steam coal shipped to industrial plants) decreased 13% in 2008 compared to 2007 principally due to coal supply constraints. In 2007, other coal tonnage increased 6% versus 2006, primarily due to new business and stronger demand.
For 2009, other coal tonnage is expected to be flat compared to 2008.
GENERAL MERCHANDISE revenues in 2008 increased $296 million, or 6%, compared with 2007, as a 15% increase in average revenue per unit, reflecting continued market-based pricing and higher fuel surcharges, more than offset an 8% decline in traffic volume.
In 2007, general merchandise revenues increased $90 million, or 2%, compared with 2006, as a 6% increase in average revenue per unit, more than offset a 4% decline in traffic volume. Revenue in 2007 included $26 million related to a volume-related contract settlement with an automotive customer.
Agriculture, consumer products, and government revenue increased 22% in 2008 compared with 2007. The revenue improvement resulted from higher average revenue per unit, which reflected increased rates and higher fuel surcharge revenues. Traffic volume increased 2% as more ethanol, military, feed, soybeans, and food oils shipments offset declines in fertilizers, corn, beverages, and consumer products.
Agriculture, consumer products, and government revenue increased 5% in 2007 compared with 2006. The revenue improvement resulted from higher average revenue per unit, which reflected higher rates. Traffic volume rose modestly as more corn, fertilizer, and ethanol shipments were mitigated by less government and consumer product volume.
For 2009, agriculture revenue is expected to post modest growth, benefiting from increasing demand for biofuel products including ethanol, biodiesel, and feed ingredients from their production, and slightly higher average revenue per unit (including fuel surcharges). However, lower volumes in corn, soybeans, and fertilizer shipments due to softer demand along with declines in consumer products markets are expected to partially offset this growth.
Metals and construction revenue increased 9% in 2008 as a 15% increase in average revenue per unit that resulted from increased rates and higher fuel surcharge more than offset the effects of a 5% decrease in traffic volume. The decline in volume was due to reduced demand for construction materials and lower coil, iron, and steel shipments, reflecting the weak housing and automotive sectors.
Metals and construction revenue decreased 2% in 2007 as a 5% increase in average revenue per unit that resulted from higher rates was more than offset by the effects of a 6% decrease in traffic volume. The decline in volume was principally due to lower iron, steel, and coil shipments and reduced demand for construction materials, both reflecting the soft automotive and housing sectors.
For 2009, metals and construction revenues are expected to decline as a result of decreased traffic volumes due to lower steel production in North America coupled with continued weakness in the housing and automotive sectors and lower average revenue per unit (including fuel surcharges).
Chemicals revenue in 2008 increased 6%, compared with 2007, a result of increased rates and higher fuel surcharge revenue. Traffic volume declined 8%, reflecting continued weakness in both industrial intermediates and plastics (linked to housing construction declines) in addition to miscellaneous chemicals and petroleum-based products.
In 2007, chemicals revenue increased 8% compared with 2006, reflecting higher rates in all groups. Traffic volume rose modestly as more shipments of industrial intermediates offset fewer shipments in the petroleum, miscellaneous chemicals, and plastics markets, which continued to reflect weakness in housing-related demand.
For 2009, chemicals revenue is expected to decline as a result of reduced volumes, reflecting a weak economic outlook with fewer housing starts and construction-related weaknesses, and lower average revenue per unit (including fuel surcharges).
Paper, clay, and forest products revenue increased 4% in 2008 compared with 2007 due to a 13% increase in average revenue per unit which more than offset an 8% decrease in traffic volume. The volume decline reflected the continued housing slowdown and increased trucking capacity available to paper customers.
Paper, clay, and forest products revenue decreased 3% in 2007 compared with 2006 as the effects of higher average revenue per unit were more than offset by an 8% decrease in traffic volume reflecting the housing slowdown and decline in conventional paper markets.
For 2009, paper, clay, and forest products revenues are expected to decline due to economy-related volume declines, including the effects of increased trucking capacity, and lower average revenue per unit (including fuel surcharges).
Automotive revenues decreased 16% in 2008 compared to 2007 as lower traffic volumes offset higher average revenue per unit. Volumes decreased 23%, reflecting reduced North American sales and production. Automotive manufacturers, especially the domestic producers, continued to experience significant sales declines during the year. Three assembly plants closed during the year and six implemented shift reductions. In addition, one manufacturer temporarily closed an assembly plant to retool for a new product in 2010. As of year end, Ford, General Motors, and Chrysler combined operated 14 of 24 assembly plants served by NS. NS continues to monitor the state of the automotive industry and the collectability of the associated receivables.
Automotive revenues were flat in 2007 compared with 2006 as lower traffic volumes offset higher average revenue per unit. Revenue in 2007 included a $26 million volume-related contract settlement. Volume decreased 5%, reflecting softness in demand for vehicles as well as parts, and the closure in June 2007 of an NS-served plant.
For 2009, automotive revenues are expected to decrease reflecting continued production cutbacks and lower average revenue per unit (including fuel surcharges).
INTERMODAL revenues increased $137 million, or 7%, compared with 2007, as a 10% increase in average revenue per unit (including fuel surcharges) offset a 3% reduction in traffic volumes. Domestic volume (which includes truckload and intermodal marketing companies' [IMC] volumes) increased 8% compared with 2007, reflecting the relative fuel efficiency of intermodal versus over-the-road transportation and service improvements. International traffic volume declined 9%, primarily driven by the weak economy and less inland rail movement of West Coast port traffic that was partially offset by East Coast port volume growth. The Premium business, which includes parcel and less-than-truckload (LTL) carriers, decreased 6%, as reduced private empty movements and soft parcel business offset LTL conversions. Triple Crown Services Company (Triple Crown), a service with rail-to-highway trailers, experienced a 3% drop in volume primarily driven by reduced auto parts shipments.
Intermodal revenues in 2007 decreased $50 million, or 3%, compared with 2006, as a 4% reduction in traffic volumes offset a 2% increase in average revenue per unit. Truckload volume decreased 10% compared with 2006 and domestic IMC volume declined 4%. Traffic volume for Triple Crown dropped 3%. The declines for truckload, IMC, and Triple Crown were primarily due to lower national demand for dry van shipments resulting from continued weakness in the housing and automotive markets and increased over-the-road competition. International traffic volume decreased 4% reflecting reduced shipments of empty containers and less inland rail transportation of West Coast port traffic, which offset volume growth from East Coast port traffic. Premium business was up 2% reflecting gains in parcel shipments that offset modest declines in LTL shipper traffic.
For 2009, intermodal revenue is expected to decrease from 2008 primarily due to weak economic conditions, pressures from the drayage market and lower average revenue per unit (including fuel surcharges).
Railway Operating Expenses
Railway operating expenses in 2008 were $7.6 billion, up $730 million, or 11%, compared to 2007. Expenses in 2007 were about even with expenses in 2006. The increase in 2008 was primarily due to higher fuel costs and increased compensation and benefits expenses. The 2007 comparison reflected volume-related decreases offset by higher fuel expense.
The railway operating ratio, which measures the percentage of operating revenues consumed by operating expenses, improved to 71.1% in 2008, compared with 72.6% in 2007 and 72.8% in 2006.
The following table shows the changes in railway operating expenses summarized by major classifications.
Operating Expense Variances
Increases (Decreases)
2008 vs. 2007 2007 vs. 2006
($ in millions)
Compensation and benefits $ 132 $ (85)
Purchased services and rents 48 (27)
Fuel 469 74
Depreciation 29 37
Materials and other 52 (2)
Total $ 730 $ (3)
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Compensation and benefits , which represents 35% of total railway operating expenses, increased $132 million, or 5%, compared with 2007, primarily due to higher incentive compensation (up $66 million); increased wage rates (up $54 million); costs associated with lump-sum payments due under a new Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen (BLET) agreement ($31 million); higher payroll taxes (up $15 million); and, the absence of the 2007 employment tax refund ($9 million). These were partially offset by lower costs associated with trainees (down $19 million), lower health and welfare benefits resulting from higher employee contributions (down $19 million), and lower stock-based compensation (down $7 million). In 2008, compensation and benefits expense benefited from a net pension credit of $39 million; however, primarily due to the market decline in pension assets (see Note 10), NS does not expect a similar benefit in 2009.
In 2007, compensation and benefits decreased $85 million, or 3%, compared with 2006, primarily due to lower incentive compensation (down $48 million), lower volume-related payroll (down $37 million), the absence of the prior year retirement and waiver agreements with former executives as well as the cost of the regular stock-based grant to the former Chief Executive Officer ($24 million), lower stock-based compensation (down $13 million), and lower payroll taxes (down $12 million). These were partially offset by increased wage rates (up $27 million) and higher medical costs (up $27 million).
NS employment averaged 30,709 in 2008 compared with 30,806 in 2007 and 30,541 in 2006. The increase in 2007 in the number of employees was almost exclusively in operating department personnel to improve service needs, as well as to prepare for expected retirements. NS continues to monitor forecasted volumes in light of current economic conditions to ensure appropriate employment levels for service needs.
Purchased services and rents includes the costs of services purchased from outside contractors, including the net costs of operating joint (or leased) facilities with other railroads and the net cost of equipment rentals. This category of expenses increased $48 million, or 3%, in 2008 compared to 2007, but decreased $27 million, or 2%, in 2007 compared to 2006.
Purchased services costs were $1,242 million in 2008, $1,172 million in 2007 and $1,165 million in 2006. The increase in 2008 reflected higher intermodal operations costs, transportation operating costs, and professional and legal services. In 2007, higher expenses for maintenance activities were largely offset by volume-related declines.
Equipment rents, which includes the cost to NS of using equipment (mostly freight cars) owned by other railroads or private owners less the rent paid to NS for the use of its equipment, amounted to $357 million, $379 million and $413 million for 2008, 2007 and 2006, respectively. The decreases in 2008 and 2007 were principally due to lower shipment volumes and improved fleet utilization.
Fuel expense, which includes the cost of locomotive fuel as well as other fuel used in railway operations, increased $469 million, or 40%, in 2008 compared with 2007, and increased $74 million, or 7%, in 2007 compared with 2006. Fuel expense is recorded net of hedge benefits, although there have been no such benefits since May 2006 when the program wound down (see "Market Risks and Hedging Activities," below and Note 16). The increase in 2008 reflected a 45% increase in the price per gallon of locomotive fuel offset in part by a 3% decline in consumption. The increase in 2007 reflected a 9% increase in the price per gallon of locomotive fuel as well as the absence of hedge benefits offset in part by a 4% decline in consumption.
Legislation enacted in the first quarter of 2005 repealed the 4.3¢ per gallon excise tax on railroad diesel fuel for 2007, with the following phased reductions in 2005 and 2006: 1¢ per gallon from January 1, 2005 through June 30, 2005; 2¢ per gallon from July 1, 2005 through December 31, 2006; and by the full 4.3¢ thereafter. NS consumes about 500 million gallons of locomotive diesel fuel per year.
Depreciation expense increased $29 million, or 4%, in 2008 compared to 2007, and $37 million, or 5%, in 2007 compared to 2006. In both years, substantial capital investments and improvements resulted in higher depreciation expense.
Materials and other expenses (including the estimates of costs related to personal injury, property damage, and environmental matters) increased $52 million, or 7%, in 2008 compared with 2007, but decreased $2 million in 2007 compared with 2006, as shown in the following table.
2008 2007 2006
($ in millions)
Materials $ 380 $ 359 $ 346
Casualties and other claims 180 171 220
Other 292 270 236
$ 852 $ 800 $ 802
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The increase in 2008 was primarily due to costs associated with the Avondale Mills settlement related to the Graniteville accident (see below), as well as higher loss and damage claims and increased material costs for equipment and roadway repairs. These increases were partially offset by favorable personal injury claims development.
In April 2008, NS settled the lawsuit brought by Avondale Mills for claims associated with the January 6, 2005, derailment in Graniteville, SC. A portion of the settlement will not be reimbursed by insurance and was included in 2008 expenses. The total liability related to the derailment represents NS' best estimate based on current facts and circumstances. The estimate includes amounts related to business property damage and other economic losses, personal . . .
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