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COL > SEC Filings for COL > Form 10-K on 25-Nov-2008All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-K for ROCKWELL COLLINS INC


25-Nov-2008

Annual Report


Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.

The following discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements and notes thereto. The following discussion and analysis contains forward-looking statements and estimates that involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from these estimates. Factors that could cause or contribute to differences from estimates include those discussed under "Cautionary Statement" and "Risk Factors" contained in Item 1 above.

We operate on a 52/53 week fiscal year ending on the Friday closest to September 30. For ease of presentation, September 30 is utilized consistently throughout Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations to represent the fiscal year end date. 2008 was a 53 week fiscal year, while 2007 and 2006 were 52 week fiscal years. All date references contained herein relate to our fiscal year unless otherwise stated.

OVERVIEW AND OUTLOOK

In 2008 we generated financial results that once again reflect the continuing strength and balance of our Commercial Systems and Government Systems businesses as we continued to improve enterprise-wide operating performance, highlighted by:

º •
º An 8 percent increase in total revenues to $4.77 billion

º •
º A 21 percent increase in diluted earnings per share to $4.16

º •
º A 16 percent increase in net income to $678 million

These results were generated while our businesses invested a total of almost $900 million, or 19 percent of sales, in research and development (R&D) programs for new product development that are expected to benefit our company over the next several years. The increase in our net income significantly outpaced our increase in revenues and speaks to the ability of our management team to effectively manage costs and deploy resources to create shareowner value.

The strength of our management team and business is evidenced by four key aspects of our company: our focus on R&D efforts, our ability to grow in excess of our end markets, our unique shared service business model, and the focus from all of our employees on delivering to stakeholder expectations.

Research and Development Efforts: With R&D focused on both key product introductions to be realized in the near term, as well as key technology opportunities to be realized in the distant future, we seek to bring a continuing stream of unique, customer-focused solutions to the marketplace. Much of our company-funded R&D is related to new avionics and new cabin systems for aircraft introductions, the schedule for which is dependent upon the plans of our OEM customers. We are also focused on developing future technologies to solve our customers' needs and provide continuing growth opportunities for our business.

Sales Growth In Excess of Our End Markets: Through organic sales and acquisition related sales, we are focused on expanding our portfolio of products and systems that translates into profitable growth and delivers positive long-term shareowner investment returns. We have captured key market share wins in our addressed markets. Through our positions on existing platforms and platforms


expected to be introduced, we believe we are well positioned to grow sales in excess of both the overall commercial aerospace and defense markets. Acquisitions continue to be an area where we look for strategically oriented opportunities to enhance our capabilities and contribute to our organic growth.

Shared Service Business Model: Through our shared service business model we have been able to deliver consistently improving financial results in varying market conditions. With the organization of our shared service functions, specifically including manufacturing, engineering, human resources, information technology, and finance, we have great insight into our cost structure. Our shared service business model is one of the key factors we utilize to convert higher year-over-year revenues into even higher earnings growth.

Deliver to Stakeholder Expectations: We seek to differentiate ourselves by understanding and meeting the expectations of all our key stakeholders. We seek to understand our customers' needs and provide solutions that enable our customers to meet their commitments. With employees and suppliers, we maintain open channels of communication and develop partnerships that are structured to be competitive and last through varying market conditions. Most importantly, with shareowners we believe our transparency provides investors with a clear picture of how we operate and how we view the factors that drive our markets so we can provide meaningful insight into our business.

We expect to continue delivering growth in our businesses as we head into 2009, highlighted by the following projected results:

º •
º Total revenues in the range of approximately $4.9 billion to $4.95 billion

º •
º Diluted earnings per share in the range of $4.25 to $4.45

º •
º Cash flow from operations in the range of $725 million to $775 million

º •
º R&D expenditures in the range of $925 million to $975 million, or about 19 percent of sales

See the following operating segment sections for further discussion of 2008 and anticipated 2009 segment results. For additional disclosure on segment operating earnings see Note 22 in the consolidated financial statements.

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The following management discussion and analysis of results of operations is based on reported financial results for 2006 through 2008 and should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto in Item 8 below.

Consolidated Financial Results

Sales

                  (dollars in millions)    2008      2007      2006
                  Domestic                $ 3,164   $ 2,987   $ 2,616
                  International             1,605     1,428     1,247

                  Total                   $ 4,769   $ 4,415   $ 3,863

                  Percent increase              8 %      14 %

Total sales in 2008 increased 8 percent to $4,769 million compared to 2007. Incremental sales from the August 2007 acquisition of Information Technology & Applications Corporation (ITAC) and the April 2008 acquisition of Athena Technologies (Athena) contributed a total of $22 million, or less than 1 percentage point of the overall revenue growth. The remainder of the sales increase resulted from 10 percent organic revenue growth in our Commercial Systems business and 5 percent organic revenue


growth in our Government Systems business. Domestic sales growth continues to be driven by strong demand for commercial products and systems to original equipment manufacturers and airlines and continued demand from the U.S. government for our Government Systems' communication and electronic systems, products and services. International sales were impacted by strong demand from commercial aerospace customers.

Total sales in 2007 increased 14 percent to $4,415 million compared to 2006. Sales from acquired businesses, primarily Evans & Sutherland Computer Corporation's military and commercial simulation business (the E&S Simulation Business), contributed $60 million, or 2 percentage points of the sales growth. The remainder of the sales increase resulted from 19 percent organic revenue growth in our Commercial Systems business and 7 percent organic revenue growth in our Government Systems business. Domestic sales growth was driven by strong demand for commercial products and systems to original equipment manufacturers and airlines. In addition, Government Systems experienced strong demand from the U.S. government. International sales were impacted by strong demand from the commercial aerospace market, favorable foreign currency exchange rates as a result of the weakened U.S. dollar, as well as incremental sales from the E&S Simulation Business, partially offset by certain European defense-related programs that have completed.

Cost of Sales

    Total cost of sales is summarized as follows:

                  (dollars in millions)     2008      2007      2006
                  Total cost of sales      $ 3,334   $ 3,092   $ 2,752
                  Percent of total sales      69.9 %    70.0 %    71.2 %

Cost of sales consists of all costs incurred to design and manufacture our products and includes research and development, raw material, labor, facility, product warranty and other related expenses.

Cost of sales as a percentage of total sales in 2008 in comparison to 2007 is relatively flat as increased sales volume, productivity improvements, lower employee incentive compensation costs, and lower retirement benefit costs were offset by the absence of certain net favorable contract related adjustments benefiting 2007 and a $5 million favorable adjustment to the restructuring reserve included in cost of sales in 2007.

The improvement in cost of sales as a percentage of total sales in 2007 in comparison to 2006 was primarily due to a combination of increased sales volume, productivity improvements, lower retirement benefit costs, and the benefit of a $5 million favorable adjustment to the restructuring reserve included in cost of sales in 2007 compared to an $11 million restructuring charge included in cost of sales in 2006. These improvements in 2007 were partially offset by higher employee incentive compensation costs and research and development costs.

Research and development (R&D) expense is included as a component of cost of sales and is summarized as follows:

                     (dollars in millions)    2008    2007    2006
                     Customer-funded          $ 501   $ 480   $ 443
                     Company-funded             395     347     279

                     Total                    $ 896   $ 827   $ 722

                     Percent of total sales      19 %    19 %    19 %

R&D expense consists primarily of payroll-related expenses of employees engaged in research and development activities, engineering related product materials and equipment, and subcontracting costs.


Total R&D expense increased $69 million, or 8 percent, from 2007 to 2008. The customer-funded portion of R&D expense increased primarily due to several defense-related programs that are in their development phases, including the E-6 mission systems upgrade program, the CH-53G helicopter program, and the Modernized User Equipment (MUE) program. The company-funded portion of R&D expense increased primarily due to spending on certain new business and regional jet platforms, the development of our next generation flight deck and cabin systems for the business aircraft market, and the enhancement of capabilities of other products and systems.

Total R&D expense increased $105 million, or 15 percent, from 2006 to 2007. The customer-funded portion of R&D expense increased primarily due to several defense-related programs that were in their development phases, including Joint Tactical Radio System (JTRS) and Future Combat Systems (FCS), as well as other networked communications programs and rotary wing and fixed wing flight deck and mission electronic system development programs. In addition, customer-funded development for the Boeing 787 and 747-8 programs contributed to the increase in customer-funded R&D expense. The company-funded portion of R&D expense increased primarily due to spending on certain new business jet platforms, the development of our next generation flight deck and cabin systems for the business aircraft market, and the enhancement of capabilities of other products and systems.

Looking forward to 2009, total R&D expenses are expected to increase by approximately 3 to 9 percent over 2008 and be in the range of $925 million to $975 million, or about 19 percent of total company sales. The forecast for 2009 includes anticipated increases in company-funded initiatives in both Commercial and Government Systems, with a lower rate of increase in customer-funded programs. The higher company-funded R&D, which is expected to represent about 43 percent of total R&D expenditures in 2009, is principally due to higher investments related to new air transport, business and regional jet platforms, as well as investments aimed at enhancing the capabilities of our core Commercial and Government Systems products and systems offerings. These increases will be partially offset by decreases in company-funded investments related to the Boeing 787 program. The forecasted increase in 2009 customer-funded R&D is principally related to recently awarded and anticipated Government Systems development programs including the Common Range Integrated Instrumentation (CRIIS) program, the Joint Precision Approach and Landing System (JPALS) program, and the MUE program.

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

        (dollars in millions)                           2008     2007     2006
        Selling, general and administrative expenses   $  485   $  482   $  441
        Percent of total sales                           10.2 %   10.9 %   11.4 %

Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses consist primarily of personnel, facility, and other expenses related to employees not directly engaged in manufacturing, research or development activities. These activities include marketing and business development, finance, legal, information technology, and other administrative and management functions.

SG&A expenses increased $3 million to $485 million, or 10.2 percent of sales, in 2008 compared to SG&A expenses of $482 million, or 10.9 percent of sales, in 2007. The improvement in SG&A expenses as a percentage of sales is attributed primarily to productivity improvements, lower employee incentive compensation costs, and lower retirement benefit costs, partially offset by higher charitable contributions.


SG&A expenses increased $41 million in 2007 compared to 2006, primarily due to higher sales volume and higher employee incentive compensation costs, partially offset by productivity improvements, lower retirement benefit costs and the absence of $3 million of restructuring charges included in SG&A in 2006.

Interest Expense

(in millions) 2008 2007 2006
Interest expense $ 21 $ 13 $ 13

Interest expense increased by $8 million in 2008 compared to 2007 due primarily to increases in short-term borrowings.

Interest expense remained flat at $13 million in both 2007 and 2006 primarily due to an increase in interest rates offset by a lower level of debt outstanding.

Other Income, Net

(in millions) 2008 2007 2006
Other income, net $ (24 ) $ (15 ) $ (32 )

For information regarding the fluctuations in other income, net, see Note 15 in the consolidated financial statements.

Income Tax Expense

                  (dollars in millions)        2008     2007     2006
                  Income tax expense          $  275   $  258   $  212
                  Effective income tax rate     28.9 %   30.6 %   30.8 %

The effective income tax rate differed from the United States statutory tax rate for the reasons set forth below:

                                                   2008     2007     2006
              Statutory tax rate                    35.0 %   35.0 %   35.0 %
              Research and development credit       (2.6 )   (4.0 )   (0.8 )
              Extraterritorial income exclusion        -     (0.5 )   (3.0 )
              Domestic manufacturing deduction      (1.5 )   (0.7 )   (0.4 )
              State and local income taxes           0.6      1.1      0.5
              Tax settlements                       (2.3 )      -        -
              Other                                 (0.3 )   (0.3 )   (0.5 )

              Effective income tax rate             28.9 %   30.6 %   30.8 %

The difference between our effective tax rate and the statutory tax rate is primarily due to the benefit from the settlement of certain tax matters, the tax benefits derived from the Research and Development Tax Credit (R&D Tax Credit), which provides a tax benefit on certain incremental R&D expenditures, and the Domestic Manufacturing Deduction under Section 199 (DMD), which provides a tax benefit on U.S. based manufacturing.

During 2008, the IRS and the Congressional Joint Committee on Taxation completed their examination of our U.S. tax returns for the taxable years ended September 30, 2004 and 2005 as well as


our amended returns for the years ended September 30, 2002 and 2003 (the tax settlements), resulting in a benefit to our effective income tax rate for fiscal year 2008 of 2.3 percentage points.

On the last day of fiscal 2008, the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 was enacted, which retroactively reinstated and extended the Federal R&D Tax Credit from January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2009. Our effective tax rate for fiscal year 2008 reflects a full year of benefit from the Federal R&D tax credit.

Our effective tax rate for fiscal year 2007 reflects the retroactive reinstatement of the Federal R&D Tax Credit which had previously expired December 31, 2005. On December 20, 2006, the Tax Relief and Health Care Act of 2006 was enacted, which retroactively reinstated and extended the Federal R&D Tax Credit from January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2007. The retroactive benefit for the previously expired period from January 1, 2006 to September 30, 2006 lowered our effective tax rate by about 1.5 percentage points for fiscal year 2007.

In October 2004, the American Jobs Creation Act of 2004 (the Act) was signed into law. The Act repeals and replaces the federal Extraterritorial Income Exclusion (ETI) with a new deduction for income generated from qualified production activities by U.S. manufacturers. The ETI export tax benefit completely phased out December 31, 2006 and the DMD benefit will be phased in through fiscal 2010. For 2007, the available DMD tax benefit was one-third of the full benefit that will be available in 2011. For 2008, the available DMD tax benefit was two-thirds of the full benefit that will be available in 2011. In comparison to the benefit we would have received under the ETI, the Act had an adverse impact on our effective tax rate in 2007 and 2008 and is expected to have an adverse impact on our effective tax rate for 2009 and 2010.

For 2009, our effective income tax rate is expected to be in the range of 31.5 percent to 32.5 percent in comparison to our 2008 effective income tax rate of 28.9 percent. The higher forecasted effective income tax rate for 2009 is principally due to higher projected taxable income and the absence of any tax settlements.

Net Income and Diluted Earnings Per Share

             (dollars and shares in millions,
             except per share amounts)           2008      2007      2006
             Net income                         $   678   $   585   $   477
             Net income as a percent of sales      14.2 %    13.3 %    12.3 %
             Diluted earnings per share         $  4.16   $  3.45   $  2.73
             Weighted average diluted common      162.9     169.7     174.5
             shares

Net income in 2008 increased 16 percent to $678 million, or 14.2 percent of sales, from net income in 2007 of $585 million, or 13.3 percent of sales. Diluted earnings per share increased 21 percent in 2008 to $4.16, compared to $3.45 in 2007. Earnings per share growth exceeded the growth rate in net income due to the favorable effect of our share repurchase program. These increases were primarily due to higher sales volume coupled with productivity improvements.

Net income in 2007 increased 23 percent to $585 million, or 13.3 percent of sales, from net income in 2006 of $477 million, or 12.3 percent of sales. Diluted earnings per share increased 26 percent in 2007 to $3.45, compared to $2.73 in 2006. Earnings per share growth exceeded the growth rate in net income due to the favorable effect of our share repurchase program. These increases were primarily due to higher sales volume coupled with productivity improvements.


Segment Financial Results

Commercial Systems

Overview and Outlook:

Our Commercial Systems business supplies aviation electronics systems, products, and services to customers located throughout the world. The customer base is comprised of original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) of commercial air transport, business and regional aircraft, commercial airlines and fractional and other business aircraft operators. The near and long-term performance of our Commercial Systems business is impacted by general worldwide economic health, commercial airline flight hours, the financial condition of airlines worldwide, as well as corporate profits.

Calendar year 2008 is expected to be the third consecutive year in which Airbus and Boeing, the major air transport aircraft OEMs, book aggregate new aircraft orders at a higher rate than their annual production, once again adding to their backlog. The market for new business jets was also strong in 2008 as order books of business aviation OEMs continued to improve and business aviation OEMs updated their product offerings and continued to increase production rates. The market for regional aircraft in 2008 was also up as a result of a resurgence in the market for turboprop aircraft. Conditions for aftermarket service and support and equipment upgrade activities were relatively modest throughout 2008, as airlines implemented solutions to help reduce their operating costs while business jet owners and operators reduced their aircraft utilization and deferred discretionary spending to offset higher fuel costs.

We believe the current commercial aerospace production rates will see pressure, but be sustained, in calendar year 2009 due to a number of factors supporting aircraft delivery rates, including: the need for airlines to manage fuel costs with more efficient commercial aircraft types; the deep backlog of air transport, business and regional jet aircraft orders from global customers; and a more significant return of U.S. legacy airlines to the market for new fuel-efficient aircraft. We believe the commercial aerospace aftermarket environment will experience declines as carriers further reduce their fleet capacity to offset reduced travel demand and as business jet operators reduce their aircraft utilization and defer spending on discretionary aviation electronics due to macro-economic concerns.

Risks to the commercial aerospace market include, among other things:

º •
º The turbulence in global economic and financial markets could have a significant impact on demand for air travel, airline demand for new aircraft, and the availability of financing for new aircraft

º •
º The occurrence of an unexpected geopolitical event that could have a significant impact on demand for air travel and airline demand for new aircraft

º •
º The potential ramifications of the negative impact that fuel prices could have on the profitability of our airline and other aircraft operator customers

º •
º The continued poor financial condition of certain major U.S. airlines

Risks related to our ability to attain our stated enterprise long-term growth targets include, among other things:

º •
º Our ability to develop products and execute on programs pursuant to contractual requirements, such as the development of systems and products for the Airbus A350XWB and business and regional jets

º •
º The development and market acceptance of our Information Management products and systems

We expect Commercial Systems' sales to be approximately flat in 2009 compared to 2008. This includes the impact of an expected reduction of about $60 million, or nearly 42 percent, in wide-body


aircraft in-flight entertainment (IFE) products and systems revenues. Excluding the wide-body aircraft IFE products and systems, growth in Commercial Systems is expected to be approximately 3 percent. These projections are based on a number of assumptions including: 2009 growth in aircraft OEM deliveries in the mid single digits, after taking into account the impact of the strike at Boeing; an 8 percent reduction in worldwide commercial airline fleet capacity (excluding new aircraft deliveries and planned retirements); and no growth in global passenger miles. We project Commercial Systems' 2009 operating margins will be incrementally higher than the 23.3 percent segment operating margins reported in 2008 due primarily to our efforts to cut costs and manage discretionary research and development spending.

For additional disclosure on Commercial Systems' segment operating earnings see Note 22 in the consolidated financial statements.

Commercial Systems' Sales:

    The following table represents Commercial Systems' sales by product
category:

       (dollars in millions)                           2008      2007      2006
       Wide-body in-flight entertainment products     $   142   $   168   $   132
       All other air transport aviation electronics     1,115     1,007       836

       Total air transport aviation electronics         1,257     1,175       968
       Business and regional aviation electronics       1,146     1,009       852

       Total                                          $ 2,403   $ 2,184   $ 1,820

       Percent increase                                    10 %      20 %

Wide-body in-flight entertainment products (Wide-body IFE) relate to sales of twin-aisle IFE products and systems to customers in the air transport aviation electronics market. All other air transport aviation electronics sales include all other air transport sales, including service and support sales for installed Wide-body IFE. In September 2005 we announced our strategic decision to shift research and development resources away from traditional IFE systems for next generation wide-body aircraft. We continue to execute on Wide-body IFE contracts and plan to support our existing customer base, which includes on-going service and support activities for Wide-body IFE. All years have been presented consistent with the above description of air transport aviation electronics revenues.

Total air transport aviation electronics sales increased $82 million, or 7 percent, in 2008 compared to 2007. Excluding the $26 million decrease in Wide-body IFE revenues, air transport aviation electronics sales increased $108 million, or 11 percent, in 2008 compared to 2007. This sales growth is primarily attributed to higher avionics sales to airlines and OEMs for new aircraft production as well as higher sales for service and support activities. This growth in sales was achieved despite the impact of labor strikes at Boeing and Hawker Beechcraft during portions of 2008. Business and regional aviation . . .

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