Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations
This report contains or incorporates by reference "forward-looking statements"
within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of Section 27A of the
Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
Forward-looking statements include statements about our future and statements
that are not historical facts. These forward-looking statements are usually
preceded by the words "believe," "intend," "may," "will," or similar
expressions. Forward-looking statements may contain expectations regarding
revenues, earnings, operations and other financial projections, and may include
statements of future performance, plans and objectives. Forward-looking
statements also include statements pertaining to our strategies for future
development of our business and products. Forward-looking statements represent
only our belief regarding future events, many of which by their nature are
inherently uncertain and outside of our control. It is possible that the actual
results may differ, possibly materially, from the anticipated results indicated
in these forward-looking statements. Information regarding important factors
that could cause actual results to differ, perhaps materially, from those in our
forward-looking statements is contained in this report and other documents we
file. You should read and interpret any forward-looking statement together with
these documents, including the following:
• the description of our business and risk factors contained in our annual
report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007 and filed
with the SEC on February 29, 2008;
• the discussion of our analysis of financial condition and results of
operations contained in this report under the caption "Management's
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations";
• the notes to the consolidated financial statements contained in this report;
and
• cautionary statements we make in our public documents, reports and
announcements.
Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which that statement
is made. We will not update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or
circumstances that occur after the date on which the statement is made.
Critical Accounting Policies
The consolidated financial statements are prepared in conformity with U.S.
generally accepted accounting principles, which require management to make
estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the consolidated
financial statements and related notes. Actual results can and will differ from
estimates. These differences could be material to the financial statements.
We believe our application of accounting policies and the estimates required
therein are reasonable. These accounting policies and estimates are constantly
re-evaluated, and adjustments are made when facts and circumstances dictate a
change. Historically, we have found our application of accounting policies to be
appropriate, and actual results have not differed materially from those
determined using necessary estimates.
Our management believes our critical accounting policies (policies that are both
material to the financial condition and results of operations and require
management's most subjective or complex judgments) are our valuation of
financial instruments and our use of estimates related to compensation and
benefits during the year. For further discussion of these and other significant
accounting policies, see Note 1, "Organization and Summary of Significant
Accounting Policies," in our consolidated financial statements.
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JEFFERIES GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Valuation of Financial Instruments
Financial instruments owned and financial instruments sold, not yet purchased
are recorded at fair value. The fair value of a financial instrument is the
amount that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability
in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date
(the exit price). Unrealized gains or losses are generally recognized in
principal transactions in our Consolidated Statements of Earnings.
The following is a summary of the fair value of major categories of financial
instruments owned and financial instruments sold, not yet purchased, as of
September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007 (in thousands of dollars):
September 30, 2008 December 31, 2007
Financial Financial
Instruments Instruments
Financial Sold, Financial Sold,
Instruments Not Yet Instruments Not Yet
Owned Purchased Owned Purchased
Corporate equity securities $ 1,721,068 $ 1,277,834 $ 2,266,679 $ 1,389,099
Corporate debt securities 2,184,513 1,562,253 2,162,893 1,407,387
U.S. Government, federal agency and
other sovereign obligations 289,086 320,400 730,921 206,090
Mortgage- and asset-backed securities 1,143,411 ¾ 26,895 ¾
Loans 43,504 ¾ ¾ ¾
Derivatives 456,872 398,359 338,779 327,076
Investments at fair value 91,745 ¾ 104,199 ¾
Other 328 221 2,889 314
$ 5,930,527 $ 3,559,067 $ 5,633,255 $ 3,329,966
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Fair Value Hierarchy - We adopted FASB 157, Fair Value Measurements ("FASB
157"), as of the beginning of 2007. FASB 157 defines fair value, establishes a
framework for measuring fair value, establishes a fair value hierarchy based on
the inputs used to measure fair value and enhances disclosure requirements for
fair value measurements. FASB 157 maximizes the use of observable inputs and
minimizes the use of unobservable inputs by requiring that the observable inputs
be used when available. Observable inputs are inputs that market participants
would use in pricing the asset or liability based on market data obtained from
independent sources. Unobservable inputs reflect our assumptions that market
participants would use in pricing the asset or liability developed based on the
best information available in the circumstances. The hierarchy is broken down
into three levels based on the transparency of inputs as follows:
Level 1: Quoted prices are available in active markets for identical assets or
liabilities as of the reported date.
Level 2: Pricing inputs are other than quoted prices in active markets, which are
either directly or indirectly observable as of the reported date. The
nature of these financial instruments include cash instruments for which
quoted prices are available but traded less frequently, derivative
instruments whose fair value have been derived using a model where
inputs to the model are directly observable in the market, or can be
derived principally from or corroborated by observable market data, and
instruments that are fair valued using other financial instruments, the
parameters of which can be directly observed.
Level 3: Instruments that have little to no pricing observability as of the
reported date. These financial instruments do not have two-way markets
and are measured using management's best estimate of fair value, where
the inputs into the determination of fair value require significant
management judgment or estimation.
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JEFFERIES GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
The availability of observable inputs can vary for different products. Fair
value is a market-based measure; therefore, when market observable inputs are
not available, our judgment is applied to reflect those judgments that a market
participant would use in valuing the same asset or liability. We use prices and
inputs that are current as of the measurement date even in periods of market
disruption or illiquidity. Greater judgment in valuation is required when inputs
are less observable or unobservable in the marketplace and judgment must be
applied in determining the appropriateness of available prices, particularly in
assessing whether available data reflects current prices and/or reflects the
results of recent market transactions. The valuation of financial instruments
classified in Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy involves the greatest amount
of management judgment.
Level 3 assets were $379.5 million and $352.6 million as of September 30, 2008
and December 31, 2007, respectively, and represented approximately 6.4% and
6.1%, respectively, of total assets measured at fair value. At September 30,
2008, Level 3 assets consisted primarily of investments in hedge funds and
private equity funds, unsecured bank loans and corporate bonds. Level 3
liabilities were $18.8 million and $21.6 million as of September 30, 2008 and
December 31, 2007, respectively, and represented approximately 0.5% and 0.6%,
respectively, of total liabilities measured at fair value.
During the quarter ended September 30, 2008, we had net transfers of assets of
$43.4 million from Level 3 to Level 2. These reclassifications were primarily
related to high yield corporate bonds as valuation inputs for these instruments
became more observable with transparency from recently executed transactions and
actionable quotes. During the quarter ended September 30, 2008, we had net
transfers of liabilities of $1.2 million from Level 3 to Level 2. Net unrealized
losses on Level 3 assets of $33.7 million for the quarter ended September 30,
2008 are attributed primarily to equity warrants due to declining underlying
equity prices and increased market volatility, collateralized loan obligations
due to widening corporate credit spreads during the quarter and certain trade
claims due to increasing default probabilities, partially offset by somewhat
improved prices for certain corporate bonds. Net unrealized gains on Level 3
liabilities of $15.2 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2008 are
attributed to gains on short equity options due to decreases in underlying
equity prices.
See Note 3, "Financial Instruments," to the consolidated financial statements
for information regarding the classification of our assets and liabilities
measured at fair value.
Valuation Process for Financial Instruments - Financial instruments are valued
at quoted market prices, if available. For financial instruments that do not
have readily determinable fair values through quoted market prices, the
determination of fair value is based upon consideration of available
information, including types of financial instruments, current financial
information, restrictions on dispositions, fair values of underlying financial
instruments and quotations for similar instruments. Certain financial
instruments have bid and ask prices that can be observed in the marketplace. For
financial instruments whose inputs are based on bid-ask prices, mid-market
pricing is applied and adjusted to the point within the bid-ask range that meets
our best estimate of fair value. For offsetting positions in the same financial
instrument, the same price within the bid-ask spread is used to measure both the
long and short positions.
The valuation process for financial instruments may include the use of valuation
models and other techniques. Adjustments to valuations (such as counterparty,
credit, concentration or liquidity) derived from valuation models may be made
when, in management's judgment, either the size of the position in the financial
instrument in a nonactive market or other features of the financial instrument
such as its complexity, or the market in which the financial instrument is
traded require that an adjustment be made to the value derived from the models.
An adjustment may be made if a financial instrument is subject to sales
restrictions that would result in a price less than the quoted market price.
Adjustments from the price derived from a valuation model reflect management's
judgment that other participants in the market for the financial instrument
being measured at fair value would also consider in valuing that same financial
instrument and are adjusted for assumptions about risk uncertainties and market
conditions. Results from valuation models and valuation techniques in one period
may not be indicative of future period fair value measurements.
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Cash products - Where quoted prices are available in an active market, cash
products are classified in Level 1 of the fair value hierarchy and valued based
on the quoted price, primarily quoted exchange prices. Level 1 cash products are
highly liquid instruments and include listed equity and money market securities
and G-7 government and agency securities. Cash products classified within Level
2 of the fair value hierarchy are based primarily on broker quotations, pricing
service data from external providers and prices for actual executed market
transactions. If quoted market prices are not available for the specific
security then fair values are estimated by using pricing models, quoted prices
of cash products with similar characteristics or discounted cash flow models.
Examples of cash products classified within Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy
are corporate, convertible and municipal bonds and agency and non-agency
mortgage-backed securities. Approximately 90% of our Level 2 cash products are
valued based on broker quotations and pricing service data. If there is limited
transaction activity or less transparency to observe market-based inputs to
valuation models, cash products presented at fair value are classified in Level
3 of the fair value hierarchy. Fair values of cash products classified in Level
3 are generally based on an assessment of each underlying investment, cash flow
models, market data of any recent comparable company transactions and trading
multiples of companies considered comparable to the instrument being valued and
incorporate assumptions regarding market outlook, among other factors. Cash
products in this category include illiquid equity securities, equity interests
in private companies, auction rate securities, commercial loans, private equity
and hedge fund investments, distressed debt instruments and Alt-A and subprime
non-agency mortgage-backed securities as little external price information is
currently available for these products. For distressed debt instruments,
commercial loans and loan commitments, loss assumptions must be made based on
default scenarios and market liquidity and prepayment assumptions must be made
for mortgage-backed securities.
Derivative products - Exchange-traded derivatives are valued using quoted market
prices and are classified within Level 1 of the fair value hierarchy.
Over-the-counter ("OTC") derivative products are generally valued using models,
whose inputs reflect assumptions that we believe market participants would use
in valuing the derivative in a current period transaction. Inputs to valuation
models are appropriately calibrated to market data, including but not limited to
yield curves, interest rates, volatilities, equity, debt and commodity prices
and credit curves. Fair value can be modeled using a series of techniques,
including the Black-Scholes option pricing model and simulation models. For
certain OTC derivative contracts, inputs to valuation models do not involve a
high degree of subjectivity as the valuation model inputs are readily observable
or can be derived from actively quoted markets. OTC derivative contracts thus
classified in Level 2 include certain credit default swaps, interest rate swaps,
commodity swaps, debt and equity option contracts and to-be-announced ("TBA")
securities. Derivative products that are valued based on models with significant
unobservable market inputs are classified within Level 3 of the fair value
hierarchy. Level 3 derivative products include equity warrant and option
contracts where the volatility of the underlying equity securities are not
observable due to the terms of the contracts and correlation sensitivity to
market indices is not transparent for the term of the derivatives.
Controls Over Valuation of Financial Instruments - Our Risk Management
Department, independent of the trading function, plays an important role in
asserting that our financial instruments are appropriately valued and that fair
value measurements are reliable. This is particularly important where prices or
valuations that require inputs are less observable. In the event that observable
inputs are not available, the control processes are designed to assure that the
valuation approach utilized is appropriate and consistently applied and that the
assumptions are reasonable. These control processes include reviews of the
pricing model's theoretical soundness and appropriateness by risk management
personnel with relevant expertise who are independent from the trading desks.
Where a pricing model is used to determine fair value, recently executed
comparable transactions and other observable market data are considered for
purposes of validating assumptions underlying the model. An independent price
verification process, separate from the trading process, is in place to ensure
that observable market prices and market-based inputs are applied in valuation
where possible.
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Compensation and Benefits
The use of estimates is important in determining compensation and benefits
expenses for interim and year end periods. A substantial portion of our
compensation and benefits represents discretionary bonuses, which are finalized
at year end. In addition to the level of net revenues, our overall compensation
expense in any given year is influenced by prevailing labor markets, revenue mix
and our use of share-based compensation programs. We believe the most
appropriate way to allocate estimated annual discretionary bonuses among interim
periods is in proportion to projected net revenues earned. Consequently, we have
generally accrued interim compensation and benefits based on annual targeted
compensation ratios, taking into account the guidance contained in FASB 123R
regarding the timing of expense recognition for non-retirement-eligible and
retirement-eligible employees.
Business Environment
During the third quarter of 2008, the U.S. markets experienced unprecedented
challenges as credit contracted and economic growth slowed, and a number of
major financial institutions faced serious problems. Concerns regarding future
economic growth and corporate earnings, as well as illiquidity in the credit
markets created challenging conditions for the equity markets which experienced
significant broad-based declines over the quarter, with equity indices lower at
the end of both the quarter and nine month periods of 2008 as compared to 2007.
Subsequent to quarter end, difficult conditions have persisted within the equity
markets with certain equity indices reaching their lowest levels in five years.
The financial landscape has also been altered dramatically over the course of
the quarter and subsequently with the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers Holdings
Inc., acquisitions and consolidations of major financial institutions, the
Federal Government assuming a conservatorship role of both the Federal Home Loan
Mortgage Corporation and the Federal National Mortgage Association and the
conversion of Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. and Morgan Stanley into bank holding
companies. In early October 2008, the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of
2008 was enacted, which, among other matters, enables the U.S. Treasury to
purchase mortgage-related and other trouble assets from U.S. financial
institutions.
Markets outside of the U.S. have recently experienced similar conditions with
foreign governments taking similar actions within their border to provide
liquidity to financial institutions and also, in some cases, assuming
conservatorship roles over certain financial institutions.
The results of our operations for the three months and nine months ended
September 30, 2008 reflect these challenging market factors, which contributed
to declining inventory valuations and reduced levels of capital markets
activity. Competitor consolidation and the destabilization of the financial
markets during these periods have conversely had a positive impact on business
prospects as we have seen new customer activity across many of our businesses.
A continuation of the volatile markets and unfavorable economic conditions of
the third quarter could have a material adverse impact on our business and
results of operations for the fourth quarter of 2008. In addition, the effects
of the changes to the financial landscape that occurred during the third quarter
and early into the fourth quarter could also have a material adverse impact on
our business and results of operations for the fourth quarter of 2008.
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Consolidated Results of Operations
We recorded a net loss of $31.3 million for the quarter ended September 30,
2008, compared to net income of $38.8 million for the comparable third quarter
of 2007. Net revenues (total revenues, net of interest expense) declined 18% to
$274.6 million as challenging market conditions negatively affected certain of
our businesses this quarter. Non-interest expenses of $352.4 million increased
26% from the third quarter of last year primarily due to increased compensation
and benefit costs, increased technology and communications costs and losses
incurred in connection with unwinding securities lending positions with Lehman
Brothers as our counterparty. Diluted (loss) per share was $(0.18) for the
quarter ended September 30, 2008 as compared to diluted earnings per share of
$0.26 for the third quarter of 2007.
For the nine month period ended September 30, 2008, a net loss of $96.2 million
was recorded, as compared to net income of $168.9 million for the nine months
ended September 30, 2007. Net revenues decreased 29% to $867.9 million and
non-interest expenses increased by 16% to $1,084.5 million for the comparable
prior nine months. Diluted (loss) per share was $(0.60) compared with diluted
earnings per share of $1.12 a year ago.
The effective tax rate was 7.8% for the third quarter of 2008, a decline in
comparison to an effective tax rate of 39.1% for the third quarter of 2007, and
was 27.7% and 37.4% for the nine month period ended September 30, 2008 and
September 30, 2007, respectively. The decrease in our effective tax rate for the
third quarter of 2008 was driven by an overall decrease in our expected tax rate
for the full 2008 year, which in turn is driven by a decrease in forecasted
profit before tax as a result of the net loss for the third quarter of 2008.
In April 2008, we sold 26,585,310 shares of our common stock to Leucadia
National Corporation ("Leucadia") (see Note 1, "Organization and Summary of
Significant Accounting Policies," to the consolidated financial statements for
additional discussion).
At September 30, 2008, we had 2,465 employees globally compared to 2,529
employees at the end of the third quarter of 2007 and 2,568 at December 31,
2007.
Revenues by Source
The Capital Markets reportable segment includes our traditional securities
trading activities, including the results of our high yield secondary market
trading activities as of the second quarter of 2007, and our investment banking
activities. The Capital Markets reportable segment is managed as a single
operating segment that provides the sales, trading and origination effort for
various fixed income, equity and advisory products and services. The Capital
Markets segment comprises many divisions, with interactions among each. In
addition, we choose to voluntarily disclose the Asset Management segment even
though it is currently an "immaterial non-reportable" segment as defined by FASB
131, Disclosures about Segments of an Enterprise and Related Information.
For presentation purposes, the remainder of "Results of Operations" is presented
on a detailed product and expense basis rather than on a business segment basis
because the Asset Management segment is immaterial as compared to the
consolidated Results of Operations.
Our earnings are subject to fluctuation since many economic factors and market
events over which we have little or no control, particularly the overall volume
of trading, the volatility and general level of market prices, and the number
and size of investment banking transactions, may significantly affect our
operations.
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The following provides a breakdown of total revenues by source for the three
month and nine month periods ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 (in thousands of
dollars):
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
September 30, September 30, September 30, September 30,
2008 2007 2008 2007
Equity $ 122,465 140,296 $ 409,800 457,916
Fixed income and commodities:
Fixed income (excluding high yield) and commodities (1) 56,213 16,502 159,380 103,073
High yield (2) (61,304 ) (7,387 ) (80,987 ) 37,073
Total (5,091 ) 9,115 78,393 140,146
Investment banking 130,125 189,780 338,704 582,988
Asset management fees and investment (loss) income from managed funds (3):
Asset management fees 3,804 5,369 14,847 22,114
Investment (loss) income from managed funds (7,235 ) (11,652 ) (32,595 ) 7,472
. . .
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