Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations.
Results for the third quarter of 2008, as well as the current year to date,
continued to be negatively impacted by the decline in domestic automotive
production compared to the year earlier periods, as well as worsening overall
economic conditions. Net revenues in the third quarter of 2008 were $6,662,021,
a decline of 26.3% compared to 2007, when revenues were $9,043,603. Year to date
revenues total $23,123,359, a decline of 20.6% compared to the $29,121,499
recorded for the first three quarters of 2007. Although we have reduced
expenses, cost reductions were not sufficient to offset the effects of the
decline in sales. The net result was a net loss of $195,409, or $0.20 per share,
in the third quarter of 2008 compared to net income of $372,101, or $0.39 per
share, in 2007. The year to date net loss is $187,158, or $0.19 per share,
compared to net income of $1,205,772, or $1.25 per share, for 2007.
Within the fastener segment, third quarter revenues declined by $2,175,478,
or 27.5%, from $7,905,111 in 2007, to $5,729,633 in 2008. On a year to date
basis, 2008 fastener segment revenues have declined by $5,395,947, or 21.2%,
from $25,491,263 in 2007 to $20,095,316 in 2008. Demand among automotive sector
customers, which has been down since late last year due to slumping U.S. auto
sales, weakened further during the quarter as U.S. auto sales near a two-decade
low. The spreading economic crisis further negatively impacted most other
markets we serve. Along with the drop in demand, we have seen a dramatic
increase in the cost of certain items we purchase, most notably steel and
natural gas. While the price of steel has risen dramatically this year, our
overall raw material costs are down due to the reduction in production activity.
The increase in material prices results in raw materials accounting for a larger
percentage of cost of sales compared to last year. In addition to natural gas,
which increased by $14,000 during the third quarter and $49,000 year to date,
the only significant increase in overhead during 2008 was tooling expense, which
increased $65,000 through three quarters of 2008, down from $105,000 for the
first half of the year, as certain design work was performed in an attempt to
improve production efficiency. The closing of the Jefferson, Iowa plant in 2007
has resulted in approximately $106,000 in overhead cost reductions during 2008
compared to 2007. The net result of these factors was a $927,000 reduction in
fastener segment gross margin during the third quarter and a $2,237,000
reduction in the year to date amount.
Assembly equipment segment revenues totaled $932,388 in the third quarter of
2008, a decline of $206,104, or 18.1%, compared to the third quarter of 2007,
when revenues were $1,138,492. Demand for our products in this segment continues
to be weak and the lower level of production activity, brought on by reduced
demand, resulted in a $41,000 decline in gross margin compared to the third
quarter of 2007. For the first nine months of 2008, revenues in this segment
amounted to $3,028,043, a $602,193 decline, or 16.6%, compared to the first nine
months of 2007 when net revenues totaled $3,630,236. In response to the lower
level of sales activity in 2008, we have implemented steps to reduce and control
expenses, including reductions in both staffing levels and work schedules. The
cumulative effect of these actions, however, has not been sufficient to fully
offset the effects of reduced volume and, as a result, gross margins declined to
$917,000 from $1,186,000 last year.
Selling and administrative expenses for the third quarter of 2008 were
$122,766 lower than during the third quarter of 2007. The lower sales in the
quarter resulted in a $43,000 reduction in commission expense. Profit sharing
expense declined $29,000 in the third quarter compared with last year due to the
reduction in earnings, while office supplies and sales promotion expenses were
reduced $15,000 and $11,000, respectively. Lastly, salaries and related benefits
account for approximately $10,000 of the net decline due to reduced headcount.
The remaining net decrease in the quarter relates to various items with smaller
changes. On a year to date basis, selling and administrative expenses have
declined $377,558 in 2008 compared with the first nine months of 2007. The
largest components of the year to date decline are sales commissions, profit
sharing and salaries and related benefits, which have declined by $134,000,
$115,000 and $104,000, respectively for the reasons stated above.
Working capital at September 30, 2008 was approximately $16 million, a
reduction of $.5 million from the beginning of the year. While accounts
receivable have declined $.8 million since the beginning of the year, primarily
due to the lower sales in the third quarter of 2008 compared to the fourth
quarter of last year, inventories have increased $.6 million, due to higher raw
material prices compared to last year as well as larger quantities of raw
material on hand due to reduced customer demand. The net result of these changes
and other cash flow items on cash, cash equivalents and certificates of deposit
was a decrease of $.2 million, to $7.4 million, as of September 30, 2008.
The Company has a $1.0 million line of credit, which expires May 31, 2009.
This line of credit remains unused. Management believes that current cash, cash
equivalents, operating cash flow and the available line of credit will provide
adequate working capital for the foreseeable future.
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The decline in revenues in the third quarter and year to date reflects the
continued drop in production activity in our primary markets. The fastener
segment, which is primarily dependent on sales to companies in the automotive
industry, has experienced five straight quarters of declining sales. What began
late last year as weakness in the automotive market has now spread to other
markets due to the weak economy. The assembly equipment segment, while not as
reliant on the automotive sector for revenues, has been hurt by the overall
decline in domestic manufacturing activity. Predicting future demand in our
markets is difficult and that uncertainty will keep us cautious in the
near-term. In response to these challenging market conditions, we will continue
to make adjustments to our activities where possible without sacrificing the
unsurpassed quality and excellent customer service that is the basis for our
success.
This discussion contains certain "forward-looking statements" which are
inherently subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual events to
differ materially from those discussed herein. Factors which may cause such
differences in events include, those disclosed under "Risk Factors" in our
Annual Report on Form 10-K and in the other filings we make with the United
States Securities and Exchange Commission. These factors, include among other
things: conditions in the domestic automotive industry, upon which we rely for
sales revenue, the intense competition in our markets, the concentration of our
sales to two major customers, the price and availability of raw materials, labor
relations issues, losses related to product liability, warranty and recall
claims, costs relating to environmental laws and regulations, the loss of the
services of our key employees and difficulties in achieving expected cost
savings. Many of these factors are beyond our ability to control or predict.
Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking
statements. We undertake no obligation to publish revised forward-looking
statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to
reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
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CHICAGO RIVET & MACHINE CO.