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KEY > SEC Filings for KEY > Form 10-Q on 7-Nov-2008All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for KEYCORP /NEW/


7-Nov-2008

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations
Introduction
This section generally reviews the financial condition and results of operations of KeyCorp and its subsidiaries for the quarterly and year-to-date periods ended September 30, 2008 and 2007. Some tables may include additional periods to comply with disclosure requirements or to illustrate trends in greater depth. When you read this discussion, you should also refer to the consolidated financial statements and related notes that appear on pages 3 through 38. A description of Key's business is included under the heading "Description of Business" on page 14 of Key's 2007 Annual Report to Shareholders. This description does not reflect the reorganization within some of Key's lines of business that took effect on January 1, 2008. For a current description of Key's lines of business, see Note 4 ("Line of Business Results"), which begins on page 14.
Terminology
This report contains some shortened names and industry-specific terms. We want to explain some of these terms at the outset so you can better understand the discussion that follows.
¨ KeyCorp refers solely to the parent holding company.

¨ KeyBank refers to KeyCorp's subsidiary bank, KeyBank National Association.

¨ Key refers to the consolidated entity consisting of KeyCorp and its subsidiaries.

¨ In November 2006, Key sold the subprime mortgage loan portfolio held by the Champion Mortgage finance business and announced a separate agreement to sell Champion's origination platform. As a result of these actions, Key has accounted for this business as a discontinued operation. We use the phrase continuing operations in this document to mean all of Key's business other than Champion. Key completed the sale of Champion's origination platform in February 2007.

¨ Key engages in capital markets activities primarily through business conducted by the National Banking group. These activities encompass a variety of products and services. Among other things, Key trades securities as a dealer, enters into derivative contracts (both to accommodate clients' financing needs and for proprietary trading purposes), and conducts transactions in foreign currencies (both to accommodate clients' needs and to benefit from fluctuations in exchange rates).

¨ For regulatory purposes, capital is divided into two classes. Federal regulations prescribe that at least one-half of a bank or bank holding company's total risk-based capital must qualify as Tier 1. Both total and Tier 1 capital serve as bases for several measures of capital adequacy, which is an important indicator of financial stability and condition. You will find a more detailed explanation of total and Tier 1 capital and how they are calculated in the section entitled "Capital," which begins on page 74.


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Forward-looking statements
This report and other reports filed by Key under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or registration statements filed by Key under the Securities Act of 1933 contain statements that are considered "forward looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements about Key's long-term goals, financial condition, results of operations, earnings, levels of net loan charge-offs and nonperforming assets, interest rate exposure and profitability. These statements usually can be identified by the use of forward-looking language such as "our goal," "our objective," "our plan," "will likely result," "expects," "plans," "anticipates," "intends," "projects," "believes," "estimates" or other similar words, expressions or conditional verbs such as "will," "would," "could" and "should." Forward-looking statements express management's current expectations, forecasts of future events or long-term goals and, by their nature, are subject to assumptions, risks and uncertainties. Although management believes that the expectations, forecasts and goals reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, actual results could differ materially for a variety of reasons, including the following factors:
¨ Interest rates could change more quickly or more significantly than management expects, which may have an adverse effect on Key's financial results.

¨ Trade, monetary and fiscal policies of various governmental bodies may affect the economic environment in which Key operates, as well as its financial condition and results of operations.

¨ Unprecedented volatility in the stock markets, public debt markets and other capital markets, including continued disruption in the fixed income markets, could adversely affect Key's ability to raise capital or other funding for liquidity and business purposes, as well as its revenues from client-based underwriting, investment banking and other capital markets-driven businesses.

¨ There can be no assurance as to the actual impact that the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 ("EESA") or other initiatives undertaken by the U.S. government through the federal regulatory agencies will have on the financial markets, including the extreme levels of volatility and limited credit availability currently being experienced. The failure of the EESA to help stabilize the financial markets and a continuation or worsening of current financial market conditions could materially and adversely affect Key's business, financial condition, results of operations, access to credit or the trading price of Key's common stock.

¨ Key's ability to engage in routine funding transactions could be adversely affected by the actions and commercial soundness of other financial institutions.

¨ Recent problems in the housing markets, including issues related to the Federal National Mortgage Association and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, and related conditions in the financial markets, or other issues, such as the price of oil or other commodities, could cause further deterioration in general economic conditions, or in the condition of the local economies or industries in which Key has significant operations or assets, and, among other things, materially impact credit quality in existing portfolios and/or Key's ability to generate loans in the future.

¨ Increasing interest rates or further weakening economic conditions could constrain borrowers' ability to repay outstanding loans or diminish the value of the collateral securing those loans. Additionally, the allowance for loan losses may be insufficient if the estimates and judgments management used to establish that allowance prove to be inaccurate.

¨ Increased competitive pressure among financial services companies due to the recent consolidation of certain competing financial institutions and the conversion of certain investment banks to bank holding companies may adversely affect Key's ability to market its products and services.


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¨ Key may become subject to new or heightened legal standards and regulatory requirements, practices or expectations which may impede its profitability or affect its financial condition, including new regulations imposed in connection with the Troubled Asset Relief Program ("TARP") provisions of the EESA being implemented and administered by the U.S. Treasury Department ("U.S. Treasury") in coordination with other federal regulatory agencies, further laws enacted by the U.S. Congress in an effort to strengthen the fundamentals of the U.S. economy, or other regulations promulgated by federal regulators to mitigate the systemic risk presented by the current financial crisis.

¨ It could take Key longer than anticipated to implement strategic initiatives, including those designed to grow revenue or manage expenses; Key may be unable to implement certain initiatives; or the initiatives may be unsuccessful.

¨ Increases in deposit insurance premiums imposed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation ("FDIC") on KeyBank due to the FDIC's restoration plan for the Deposit Insurance Fund announced on October 7, 2008, and continued difficulties experienced by other financial institutions may have an adverse effect on Key's results of operations.

¨ Acquisitions and dispositions of assets, business units or affiliates could adversely affect Key in ways that management has not anticipated.

¨ Key may experience operational or risk management failures due to technological or other factors.

¨ Changes in accounting principles or in tax laws, rules and regulations could have an adverse effect on Key's financial results or its capital.

¨ Key may become subject to new legal obligations or liabilities, or the unfavorable resolution of pending litigation may have an adverse effect on its financial results or its capital.

¨ Terrorist activities or military actions could disrupt the economy and the general business climate, which may have an adverse effect on Key's financial results or condition and that of its borrowers.

Forward-looking statements are not historical facts but instead represent only management's current expectations and forecasts regarding future events, many of which, by their nature, are inherently uncertain and outside of Key's control. The factors discussed above and in the section entitled "Item 1A. Risk Factors," which begins on page 95, are not intended to be a complete summary of all risks and uncertainties that may affect Key's business, the financial services industry and financial markets. Though management strives to monitor and mitigate risk, management cannot anticipate all potential economic, operational and financial developments that may have an adverse impact on Key's operations and financial results. Forward-looking statements speak only as to the date the statement is made, and Key does not undertake any obligation to revise any forward-looking statement to reflect subsequent events.
Before making an investment decision, you should carefully consider all risks and uncertainties disclosed in Key's SEC filings, including this and Key's other reports on Forms 8-K, 10-K and 10-Q and our registration statements under the Securities Act of 1933, all of which are accessible on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov.
Long-term goals
Key's long-term financial goals are to grow its earnings per common share and achieve a return on average equity, each at or above the respective median of its peer group. The strategy for achieving these goals is described under the heading "Corporate Strategy" on page 16 of Key's 2007 Annual Report to Shareholders.
Economic overview
During the third quarter of 2008, financial markets were severely strained as the fallout from the housing market and the recognition of losses by financial institutions continued. Home sales remained weak even in the face of improved housing affordability and falling home values. The median price of existing homes fell by more than 9.0% from the respective price levels reported for the same month last year. Lower prices


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were partly a consequence of the elevated levels of foreclosures, which rose by 21% from the number of foreclosures experienced in September 2007. September new home sales were down 33% from one year ago and existing home sales were relatively flat for the same period. In response, homebuilder activity declined as housing starts hit a 17-year low, falling more than 30% from September 2007. Further write-downs caused by distressed real estate values and increasing loan losses continued to pressure capital levels at financial institutions, forcing many to raise additional capital, often at substantially higher costs than in recent years. Some financial institutions were forced into liquidation or mergers as losses mounted, and the availability of funding and capital remained restricted. As concern over the strength of their peers' balance sheets increased, banks curbed lending to each other, and short-term unsecured lending rates rose. Short-term interbank lending rates increased by 127 basis points during the quarter, while the yield on short-term Treasury bills declined by 83 basis points. For regional banking institutions such as Key, there were no cost-effective means of accessing capital markets for unsecured term debt. Early in the third quarter, inflationary pressures intensified before showing signs of subsiding. Most of the reduction came from lower oil prices, which declined to $101 per barrel at September 30, 2008, after reaching an all time high of $145 per barrel in early July 2008. Consumer prices in September 2008 rose 4.9% from September 2007, down slightly from a 5.0% annual increase in June 2008. Employment continued to weaken in the third quarter as the economy lost 299,000 jobs, which brought the number of jobs lost since December 2007 to 760,000. The average unemployment rate for the quarter rose to 6.0%, compared to the second quarter average of 5.3% and the 2007 average of 4.6%. The positive impact from the second quarter 2008 tax rebate checks dissipated in the third quarter. Consumer spending during the third quarter declined at an average monthly rate of .1%, compared to an average monthly rate increase of .5% in the second quarter of 2008.
While the downside risks to the economy increased during the third quarter of 2008, the Federal Reserve held the federal funds target rate at 2.00%, mainly due to elevated inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, as investors looked for safe-haven as the financial crisis continued, the benchmark two-year Treasury yield decreased to 1.96% at September 30, 2008, from 2.62% at June 30, 2008, and the ten-year Treasury yield, which began the third quarter at 3.97%, closed the quarter at 3.83%. In an effort to alleviate strains in the financial markets and increase liquidity available to U.S. financial institutions, the Federal Reserve expanded many of its liquidity programs, and together with the U.S. Treasury and the FDIC, took a variety of unprecedented actions. In September, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, with the support of the U.S. Treasury, placed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, two government-sponsored enterprises that play a critical role in the U.S. home mortgage market, in conservatorship, taking full management control. The Federal Reserve seized control of insurance giant American International Group Inc. in September, and provided traditional investment banks the authority to become bank holding companies and to access the discount window of the Federal Reserve. On October 3, 2008, President Bush signed into law the EESA, which is intended to restore liquidity and stability to the U.S. financial system through the purchase of up to $700 billion of certain mortgages, mortgage-backed securities and other financial instruments (including preferred equity). On October 8, 2008, as falling oil prices tempered inflationary concerns and liquidity concerns remained, the Federal Reserve, as part of a coordinated effort with six other central banks to stabilize world markets, lowered the federal funds target rate to 1.50%. On October 14, 2008, the FDIC announced its Temporary Liquidity Guarantee Program, including its debt guarantee program for qualifying newly issued senior unsecured debt of insured depository institutions, their holding companies and certain other affiliates of insured depository institutions designated by the FDIC (the "Debt Guarantee"), and a transaction account guarantee for funds held at FDIC-insured depository institutions in noninterest-bearing transaction accounts in excess of the current standard maximum deposit insurance amount of $250,000 (the "Transaction Account Guarantee"). Finally, on October 29, 2008, the Federal Reserve further lowered the federal funds target rate to 1.00%.
Demographics. The extent to which Key's business has been affected by continued volatility and weakness in the housing market is directly related to the state of the economy in the regions in which its two major business groups, Community Banking and National Banking, operate.


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Key's Community Banking group serves consumers and small to mid-sized businesses by offering a variety of deposit, investment, lending and wealth management products and services. These products and services are provided through a 14-state branch network organized into four geographic regions as defined by management: Northwest, Rocky Mountains, Great Lakes and Northeast. Figure 1 shows the geographic diversity of the Community Banking group's average core deposits, commercial loans and home equity loans. As of September 30, 2008, approximately two-thirds of the loans and deposits held by Community Banking were outside of the Great Lakes region, which has been particularly hard hit by the weakening economy. The Community Banking group continues to benefit from its geographic diversity. Compared to the third quarter of 2007, this business experienced growth in both revenue and deposits, with revenue increases coming from each of the group's 23 districts.
Figure 1. Community Banking Geographic Diversity

                                                              Geographic Region
Three months ended September 30, 2008                         Rocky
dollars in millions                       Northwest       Mountains       Great Lakes       Northeast       Nonregion  a      Total

Average core deposits                   $     9,824     $     3,506     $      14,219     $    13,243     $     1,524      $ 42,316
Percent of total                               23.2 %           8.3 %            33.6 %          31.3 %           3.6 %       100.0 %

Average commercial loans                $     4,420     $     2,032     $       4,920     $     3,281     $     1,358      $ 16,011
Percent of total                               27.6 %          12.7 %            30.7 %          20.5 %           8.5 %       100.0 %

Average home equity loans               $     2,855     $     1,379     $       2,905     $     2,621     $       127      $  9,887
Percent of total                               28.9 %          13.9 %            29.4 %          26.5 %           1.3 %       100.0 %

(a) Represents core deposit, commercial loan and home equity loan products centrally managed outside of the four Community Banking regions.

Key's National Banking group includes those corporate and consumer business units that operate nationally, within and beyond the 14-state branch network, as well as internationally. The specific products and services offered by the National Banking group are described in Note 4 ("Line of Business Results"), which begins on page 14.
The diversity of Key's commercial real estate lending business based on industry type and location is shown in Figure 18 on page 67. The homebuilder loan portfolio within the National Banking group has been adversely affected by the downturn in the U.S. housing market. As a result of deteriorating market conditions in the residential properties segment of Key's commercial real estate construction portfolio, principally in Florida and southern California, Key has experienced a significant increase in the level of its nonperforming assets since mid-2007 and has taken aggressive steps to reduce its exposure in this segment of its loan portfolio. As previously reported, during the fourth quarter of 2007, Key announced its decision to cease conducting business with nonrelationship homebuilders outside of its 14-state Community Banking footprint and, during the second quarter of 2008, initiated a process to further reduce its exposure through the planned sale of certain loans. As a result of these actions, Key has reduced the outstanding balances in the residential properties segment of its commercial real estate loan portfolio by $1.3 billion, or 34%, over the past twelve months, with the majority of the reduction coming from the weakest part of the portfolio. Additional information about the planned loan sales is included in the "Credit risk management" section, which begins on page 86.
In recent quarters, results for the National Banking group have also been affected adversely by volatility in the capital markets, leading to declines in the market values at which certain assets (primarily commercial real estate loans and securities held for sale or trading) are recorded. Results for the third quarter of 2008 include $33 million of after-tax derivative-related charges recorded as a result of market disruption caused by the failure of Lehman Brothers, and $19 million of realized and unrealized after-tax losses from the residential properties segment of the construction loan portfolio. During the third quarter of 2008, the banking industry, including Key, continued to experience commercial and industrial loan growth, due in part to increased reliance by borrowers on commercial lines of credit in response to the challenging economic environment.


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Critical accounting policies and estimates Key's business is dynamic and complex. Consequently, management must exercise judgment in choosing and applying accounting policies and methodologies in many areas. These choices are critical; not only are they necessary to comply with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP"), they also reflect management's view of the appropriate way to record and report Key's overall financial performance. All accounting policies are important, and all policies described in Note 1 ("Summary of Significant Accounting Policies"), which begins on page 65 of Key's 2007 Annual Report to Shareholders, should be reviewed for a greater understanding of how Key's financial performance is recorded and reported.
In management's opinion, some accounting policies are more likely than others to have a significant effect on Key's financial results and to expose those results to potentially greater volatility. These policies apply to areas of relatively greater business importance, or require management to exercise judgment and to make assumptions and estimates that affect amounts reported in the financial statements. Because these assumptions and estimates are based on current circumstances, they may change over time or prove to be inaccurate. Management relies heavily on the use of judgment, assumptions and estimates to make a number of core decisions, including accounting for the allowance for loan losses; loan securitizations; contingent liabilities, guarantees and income taxes; derivatives and related hedging activities; and assets and liabilities that involve valuation methodologies. A brief discussion of each of these areas appears on pages 17 through 19 of Key's 2007 Annual Report to Shareholders. Information about Key's goodwill impairment testing conducted as of June 30, 2008, and the review performed as of September 30, 2008, is included in Note 1 ("Basis of Presentation") under the heading "Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets" on page 7.
Effective January 1, 2008, Key adopted Statement of Financial Accounting Standards ("SFAS") No. 157, "Fair Value Measurements," which defines fair value, establishes a framework for measuring fair value and expands disclosures about fair value measurements. In the absence of quoted market prices, management determines the fair value of Key's assets and liabilities using internally-developed models which are based on management's judgment, assumptions and estimates regarding credit quality, liquidity, interest rates and other relevant inputs. Key's adoption of this accounting guidance and the process used in determining fair values are more fully described in Note 1 ("Basis of Presentation") under the heading "Fair Value Measurements" on page 8 and Note 15 ("Fair Value Measurements"), which begins on page 35. At September 30, 2008, $11.8 billion, or 12%, of Key's total assets were measured at fair value on a recurring basis. Approximately 97% of these assets were classified as Level 1 or Level 2 within the fair value hierarchy. At September 30, 2008, $777 million, or 1%, of Key's total liabilities were measured at fair value on a recurring basis. Substantially all of these liabilities were classified as Level 1 or Level 2.
At September 30, 2008, $622 million, or 1%, of Key's total assets were measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis. Approximately 1% of these assets were classified as Level 1 or Level 2. At September 30, 2008, there were no liabilities measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis. Highlights of Key's Performance
Financial performance
For the third quarter of 2008, Key recorded a loss from continuing operations of $36 million, or $.10 per common share. This compares to income from continuing operations of $224 million, or $.57 per diluted common share, for the third quarter of 2007, and a loss from continuing operations of $1.126 billion, or $2.70 per common share, for the second quarter of 2008.
Key's results for 2008 include additional charges associated with certain leveraged lease financing transactions being challenged by the Internal Revenue Service ("IRS"). Third and second quarter results include after-tax charges of $30 million, or $.06 per common share, and $1.011 billion, or $2.43 per common share, respectively, resulting from a previously announced adverse federal court decision on the tax treatment of a Service Contract Lease transaction.


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During the first quarter of 2008, Key increased its tax reserves for certain lease in, lease out ("LILO") transactions and recalculated its lease income in accordance with prescribed accounting standards, resulting in after-tax charges of $38 million, or $.10 per common share.
For the first nine months of 2008, Key reported a loss from continuing operations of $944 million, or $2.19 per common share. Adjusting for the lease financing charges, Key had income from continuing operations of $135 million, or $.30 per diluted common share, compared to $919 million, or $2.31 per diluted common share, for the same period last year.
Key reported a net loss of $36 million, or $.10 per common share, for the third quarter of 2008, compared to net income of $210 million, or $.54 per diluted common share, for the third quarter of 2007, and a net loss of $1.126 billion, or $2.70 per common share, for the second quarter of 2008. For the first nine months of 2008, Key reported a net loss of $944 million, or $2.19 per common share, compared to net income of $894 million, or $2.25 per diluted common share, for the same period last year.
Figure 2 shows Key's continuing and discontinued operating results and related performance ratios for comparative quarters and the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2008 and 2007.

Figure 2. Results of Operations

                                                                   Three months ended                        Nine months ended
dollars in millions, except per share amounts           9-30-08          6-30-08          9-30-07          9-30-08          9-30-07

SUMMARY OF OPERATIONS
(Loss) income from continuing operations               $    (36 )       $ (1,126 )       $    224        $    (944 )       $    919
Loss from discontinued operations, net of taxes a             -                -              (14 )              -              (25 )

Net (loss) income                                      $    (36 )       $ (1,126 )       $    210        $    (944 )       $    894

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