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FOR > SEC Filings for FOR > Form 10-Q on 6-Nov-2008All Recent SEC Filings

Show all filings for FORESTAR REAL ESTATE GROUP INC. | Request a Trial to NEW EDGAR Online Pro

Form 10-Q for FORESTAR REAL ESTATE GROUP INC.


6-Nov-2008

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results
of Operations
Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K. Forward-Looking Statements
This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and other materials we have filed or may file with the Securities and Exchange Commission contain "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as "believe," "anticipate," "could," "estimate," "likely," "intend," "may," "plan," "expect," and similar expressions, including references to assumptions. These statements reflect our current views with respect to future events and are subject to risk and uncertainties. We note that a variety of factors and uncertainties could cause our actual results to differ significantly from the results discussed in the forward-looking statements. Factors and uncertainties that might cause such differences include, but are not limited to:
• general economic, market or business conditions;

• the opportunities (or lack thereof) that may be presented to us and that we may pursue;

• future residential or commercial entitlements;

• expected development timetables and projected timing for sales of lots or other parcels of land;

• development approvals and the ability to obtain such approvals;

• the anticipated price ranges of lots in our developments;

• the number, price and timing of land sales or acquisitions;

• absorption rates and expected gains on land and lot sales;

• the levels of resale inventory in our development projects and the regions in which they are located;

• the development of relationships with strategic partners;

• fluctuations in costs and expenses;

• demand for new housing, which can be affected by the availability of mortgage credit;

• government energy policies;

• demand for oil and gas;

• fluctuations in oil and gas prices;

• competitive actions by other companies;

• changes in laws or regulations and actions or restrictions of regulatory agencies;

• the results of financing efforts, including our ability to obtain financing with favorable terms;


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• the ability to complete merger, acquisition or divestiture plans; regulatory or other limitations imposed as a result of a merger, acquisition or divestiture; and the success of the business following a merger, acquisition or divestiture; and

• the final resolutions or outcomes with respect to our contingent and other corporate liabilities related to our business.

• our customers may be unwilling or unable to meet lot takedown commitments due to liquidity limitations or slowing market conditions.

Other factors, including the risk factors described in Part II, Item 1A of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and in Item 1A of our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K, may also cause actual results to differ materially from those projected by our forward-looking statements. New factors emerge from time to time and it is not possible for us to predict all such factors, nor can we assess the impact of any such factor on our business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement.
Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and, except as required by law, we expressly disclaim any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which such statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Introduction
In first quarter 2008, we changed our reportable segments to reflect our post-spin management of the operations transferred to us from Temple-Inland. All prior period segment information has been reclassified to conform to the current presentation. We manage our operations through three business segments:
• Real estate,

• Mineral resources, and

• Fiber resources.

Our strategy is to maximize and grow long-term stockholder value through:
• entitlement and development of real estate;

• realization of value from natural resources; and

• growth through strategic and disciplined investment in real estate.

Unless otherwise indicated, information is presented as of September 30, 2008, and references to acreage owned include all acres owned by ventures regardless of our ownership interest in a venture.
Our operations are affected to varying degrees by supply and demand factors and economic conditions including availability of mortgage credit; changes in interest rates; new housing starts; real estate values; employment levels; market prices for oil, gas and timber; and the overall strength of the U.S. economy.
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates There have been no significant changes in our critical accounting policies or estimates in first nine months 2008 from those disclosed in our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Recent Accounting Standards
Please read Note 3 to the Consolidated Financial Statements contained in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.


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Results of Operations
Net income was $872,000, or $0.02 per diluted share, in third quarter 2008, compared with $9,596,000, or $0.27 per diluted share, for third quarter 2007. Net income for first nine months 2008 was $10,230,000, or $0.28 per diluted share, compared with $24,689,000, or $0.70 per diluted share, for first nine months 2007.
Current conditions in the residential development industry are difficult due to the oversupply of housing, declining sales volume for existing and new homes, flat to declining sales prices and a significant tightening of mortgage credit. A decline in consumer confidence is also evident. Some home builders are experiencing liquidity shortfalls and are unwilling or unable to close committed lot purchases. All geographic markets and products have not been affected to the same extent or with equal severity, but most have experienced declines. It is likely these conditions will continue throughout 2008 and into 2009.
Market conditions in the oil and gas industry have declined as oil and gas prices have decreased. Exploration and production companies have reduced capital expenditures for lease acquisition and production due to reduced oil and gas pricing and tightened credit markets. These conditions may impact the demand for new mineral leases.
Fiber demand from the pulp and paper industry is stable. Pulpwood prices in our market areas have increased modestly due to balanced demand for containerboard. Sawtimber prices have declined due to the decrease in demand for lumber products consistent with the decline in the housing industry.
A summary of our consolidated results follows:

                                             Third Quarter            First Nine Months
                                           2008         2007         2008          2007
                                                          (In thousands)
    Revenues:
    Real estate                          $ 20,930     $ 40,384     $  73,491     $ 115,267
    Mineral resources                       9,539        7,217        40,193        16,257
    Fiber resources                         3,474        4,031         9,079        10,849


    Total revenues                       $ 33,943     $ 51,632     $ 122,763     $ 142,373


    Segment earnings:
    Real estate                          $  1,656     $ 12,954     $   6,073     $  39,730
    Mineral resources                       8,182        6,801        37,934        14,873
    Fiber resources                         1,938        1,479         6,189         4,177


    Total segment earnings                 11,776       21,234        50,196        58,780

    Items not allocated to segments:
    General and administrative expense     (4,454 )     (4,204 )     (14,808 )     (12,255 )
    Share-based compensation expense       (1,130 )       (336 )      (4,658 )      (1,878 )
    Interest expense                       (5,079 )     (2,220 )     (15,747 )      (6,461 )
    Other non-operating income                 79          342           233           454


    Income before taxes                     1,192       14,816        15,216        38,640
    Income tax expense                       (320 )     (5,220 )      (4,986 )     (13,951 )


    Net income                           $    872     $  9,596     $  10,230     $  24,689


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Significant aspects of our results of operations follow:
Third Quarter and First Nine Months 2008 and 2007
• Mineral resources segment earnings increased in first nine months 2008 as a result of bonus payments received for leasing about 55,900 net mineral acres. This leasing activity was located principally in East Texas and was driven by our proximity to the Cotton Valley, James Lime and Haynesville natural gas formations. Mineral resources earnings also benefited from increased production volumes and higher oil and gas prices in first nine months 2008.

• Real estate segment earnings declined principally due to decreased commercial sales activity, a continued decrease in the sales of residential real estate and increased costs associated with environmental remediation activities. First nine months 2007 includes two sales aggregating 73 acres of undeveloped commercial real estate on which we recognized gains of $14,039,000.

• Fiber resources segment earnings for first nine months 2008 increased primarily as a result of gain from partial termination of a timber lease.

• Interest expense increased as a result of higher debt levels and higher borrowing costs.

• Share-based compensation expense increased primarily due to accelerated expense recognition in conjunction with awards granted to retirement-eligible employees, and an increase in the number of participants in our plan.

• General and administrative expenses increased as a result of costs associated with the continued development of corporate functions necessary as a stand alone public company.

Real Estate
We own directly or through ventures over 368,000 acres of real estate located in ten states and 13 markets. Our real estate segment secures entitlements and develops infrastructure on our lands, primarily for single-family residential and mixed-use communities. We own approximately 300,000 acres in a broad area around Atlanta, Georgia, with the balance located primarily in Texas. We invest in new projects principally in our strategic growth corridors, regions of accelerated growth across the southern half of the United States that possess key demographic and growth characteristics that we believe make them attractive for long-term real estate investment.
A summary of our real estate results follows:

                                                    Third Quarter                   First Nine Months
                                                2008             2007             2008             2007
                                                                     (In thousands)
Revenues                                      $  20,930        $  40,384        $  73,491        $ 115,267
Costs and expenses                              (19,738 )        (27,753 )        (69,369 )        (74,808 )


                                                  1,192           12,631            4,122           40,459
Equity in earnings of unconsolidated
ventures                                          1,309            1,333            3,826            4,310
Minority interest expense in
consolidated ventures                              (845 )         (1,010 )         (1,875 )         (5,039 )


Segment earnings                              $   1,656        $  12,954        $   6,073        $  39,730

In first nine months 2008, costs and expenses include a $3,500,000 charge principally related to environmental remediation activities.


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Revenues in our owned and consolidated ventures consist of:

                                            Third Quarter           First Nine Months
                                          2008         2007         2008         2007
                                                         (In thousands)
      Residential real estate           $  5,467     $ 13,064     $ 30,398     $  47,575
      Commercial real estate               3,551       15,236        9,243        34,587
      Undeveloped land                     5,513        5,700       14,741        13,408
      Commercial operating properties      5,118        5,066       16,491        15,502
      Other                                1,281        1,318        2,618         4,195


      Total revenues                    $ 20,930     $ 40,384     $ 73,491     $ 115,267

Units sold in our owned and consolidated ventures consist of:

                                        Third Quarter             First Nine Months
                                     2008          2007          2008          2007
        Residential real estate:
        Lots sold                         97           215           596           865
        Revenue per lot sold       $  60,229     $  56,811     $  50,716     $  53,538

        Commercial real estate:
        Acres sold                        16            83            53           145
        Revenue per acre sold      $ 223,140     $ 182,705     $ 174,180     $ 238,159

        Undeveloped land:
        Acres sold                     1,287           770         3,140         1,924
        Revenue per acre sold      $   4,284     $   7,400     $   4,695     $   6,968

Residential real estate revenues principally consist of the sale of single-family lots to national, regional and local homebuilders. In third quarter and first nine months 2008, residential real estate revenues declined as a result of decreased demand for single-family lots due to the overall decline in the housing industry and significant tightening of mortgage credit availability. We expect this trend to continue throughout the remainder of 2008 and into 2009.
In first nine months 2007, commercial real estate revenue includes $22,992,000 from two sales aggregating 73 acres on which we recognized gains of $14,039,000.
In first nine months 2008, the Ironstob venture, in which we own a 58 percent interest, sold about 409 acres of undeveloped land for about $6,100 per acre.


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Information about our real estate projects and our real estate ventures follows:

                                                                           Third Quarter-End
                                                                        2008               2007
Owned and consolidated ventures:
Entitled, developed and under development land
Number of projects                                                          56                 53
Residential lots remaining                                              20,623             20,358
Commercial acres remaining                                               1,589              1,170
Undeveloped land and land in the entitlement process
Number of projects                                                          24                 22
Acres in entitlement process                                            32,680             25,890
Acres sold (for first nine months)                                       3,140              1,924
Acres undeveloped                                                      311,597            324,449
Ventures accounted for using the equity method:
Ventures' lot sales (for first nine months)
Lots sold                                                                  205                533
Revenue per lot sold                                                 $  55,942          $  55,755
Ventures' entitled, developed and under development land
Number of projects                                                          21                 22
Residential lots remaining                                               9,346              9,558
Commercial acres remaining                                                 666                720
Ventures' undeveloped land and land in the entitlement process
Number of projects                                                           2                  2
Acres in entitlement process                                             1,080                860
Acres sold (for first nine months)                                         486                  -
Acres undeveloped                                                        5,641              6,258

In our owned and consolidated ventures, the increase in acres in the entitlement process at third quarter-end 2008 is primarily due to the movement of about 9,800 acres into the entitlement process from undeveloped land which was partially offset by the movement of about 3,200 acres into entitled, developed and under development land.
Mineral Resources
We own directly or through ventures about 622,000 net acres of oil and gas mineral interests. Our mineral resources segment is focused on maximizing the value from royalties and other lease revenues from our oil and gas mineral interests located in Texas, Louisiana, Alabama and Georgia. At third quarter-end 2008, we have about 117,000 net acres under lease and about 27,000 net acres held by production.
A summary of our mineral resources results follows:

                                                        Third Quarter                 First Nine Months
                                                     2008           2007            2008             2007
                                                                        (In thousands)
Revenues                                           $  9,539        $ 7,217        $  40,193        $ 16,257
Operating expenses                                   (1,484 )         (416 )         (3,421 )        (1,384 )


                                                      8,055          6,801           36,772          14,873
Equity in earnings of unconsolidated ventures           127              -            1,162               -


Segment earnings                                   $  8,182        $ 6,801        $  37,934        $ 14,873

In first nine months 2008, equity in earnings of unconsolidated ventures includes our share of a lease bonus payment as a result of leasing 241 net mineral acres for $1,568,000. In first nine months 2008, costs and expenses include $1,282,000 related to oil and gas production severance taxes. In first nine months 2007, oil and gas production severance taxes were reflected as a reduction of revenues.


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Revenues consist of:

                                      Third Quarter          First Nine Months
                                    2008        2007         2008          2007
                                                  (In thousands)
            Royalties              $ 7,790     $ 2,860     $  16,230     $  8,834
            Other lease revenues     1,749       4,357        23,963        7,423


            Total revenues         $ 9,539     $ 7,217     $  40,193     $ 16,257

In third quarter 2008, other lease revenues include $1,084,000 in lease bonus payments as result of leasing over 3,200 net mineral acres. In first nine months 2008, other lease revenues include $21,650,000 in lease bonus payments as result of leasing about 55,900 net mineral acres. This leasing activity was located principally in East Texas and was driven by our proximity to the Cotton Valley, James Lime and Haynesville natural gas formations.
In third quarter 2008, royalty revenue includes our share of over 23,000 barrels of oil and approximately 437 million cubic feet (mmcf) of natural gas production related to our royalty interests. In first nine months 2008, royalty revenue includes our share of about 66,500 barrels of oil and approximately 970 mmcf of natural gas production related to our royalty interests. In third quarter and first nine months 2008, royalty revenues benefited from increased production volume, higher oil and natural gas prices and new production activity.
A summary of our oil and gas mineral interests unleased, leased and held by production at third quarter-end 2008 follows:

                                                         Held By
            State       Unleased      Leased(a)       Production(b)      Total(c)
                                               (Net acres)
            Texas         120,000        104,000              20,000       244,000
            Louisiana     110,000          4,000               7,000       121,000
            Alabama        48,000          9,000                   -        57,000
            Georgia       200,000              -                   -       200,000


                          478,000        117,000              27,000       622,000

(a) Includes leases in primary lease term only.

(b) Acres being held by production are producing oil or gas in paying quantities.

(c) Texas and Louisiana net acres are calculated as the gross number of surface acres multiplied by our percentage ownership of the mineral interest. Alabama and
Georgia net
acres are
calculated
as the gross
number of
surface
acres
multiplied
by our
estimated
percentage
ownership of
the mineral
interest
based on
county
sampling.


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Fiber Resources
   Our fiber resources segment focuses principally on the management of our
timber holdings. We have about 343,000 acres of timber on our undeveloped land
and over 18,000 acres of timber under lease. We sell wood fiber from our land,
primarily in Georgia, and lease land for hunting and other recreational uses.
   A summary of our fiber resources results follows:

                                       Third Quarter           First Nine Months
                                     2008         2007         2008          2007
                                                    (In thousands)
          Revenues                 $  3,474     $  4,031     $   9,079     $ 10,849
          Costs and expenses         (1,581 )     (2,552 )      (4,311 )     (6,672 )


                                      1,893        1,479         4,768        4,177

          Other operating income         45            -         1,421            -


          Segment earnings         $  1,938     $  1,479     $   6,189     $  4,177

In first nine months 2008, cost and expenses decreased as result of establishing our post-spin operating structure. In first nine months 2007, costs and expenses were allocated to us from Temple-Inland. In first nine months 2008, other operating income principally reflects a gain from partial termination of a timber lease related to 409 acres of land sold from the Ironstob venture.
Revenues consist of:

                                           Third Quarter          First Nine Months
                                         2008        2007         2008          2007
                                                        (In thousands)
        Fiber                           $ 2,885     $ 3,616     $   7,495     $ 10,329
        Recreational leases and other       589         415         1,584          520


        Total revenues                  $ 3,474     $ 4,031     $   9,079     $ 10,849

Fiber sold consists of:

                                      Third Quarter             First Nine Months
                                   2008          2007          2008          2007
          Tons sold                296,530       292,142       767,983       898,374
          Revenue per ton sold   $    9.73     $   12.38     $    9.76     $   11.50

In third quarter and first nine months 2008, revenue per ton decreased compared with 2007. In 2008, we harvested and sold higher levels of pulpwood than sawtimber due to the stable demand for containerboard. The majority of our sales were to Temple-Inland at market prices.
In first nine months 2007, Temple-Inland retained a greater portion of recreational lease revenues. In 2008, we anticipate our recreational lease revenues will be about $2,000,000.
Items Not Allocated to Segments
The increase in interest expense was due to a higher average debt balance and higher borrowing costs.
The increase in share-based compensation expense was a result of recognizing accelerated expense for retirement eligible employees and fully vested awards to members of our board, and from an increase in the number of participants in our plan.
The increase in general and administrative expenses in third quarter 2008 and first nine months 2008 was due to increased costs associated with our corporate functions now that we are a stand alone public company. Income Taxes
Our effective tax rate was 27 percent in third quarter 2008 and 33 percent in first nine months 2008. Our effective tax rate was 35 percent in third quarter 2007 and 36 percent for first nine months 2007. We anticipate that our effective tax rate in 2008 will be about 33 percent.
The 2008 rate reflects a one-time tax benefit for the adjustment of deferred taxes resulting from a federal income tax rate change for qualified timber gains due to the Food, Conservation and Energy Act of 2008 which was enacted in June 2008.


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Capital Resources and Liquidity
Sources and Uses of Cash
Our principal operating cash requirements are for the acquisition and development of real estate, either directly or indirectly through ventures, and taxes, interest and compensation. Our principal sources of cash are proceeds from the sale of real estate and timber, the cash flow from minerals and commercial operating properties and borrowings. Operating cash flows are also affected by the timing of the payment of real estate development and acquisition . . .

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