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AYE > SEC Filings for AYE > Form 10-Q on 6-Nov-2008All Recent SEC Filings

Show all filings for ALLEGHENY ENERGY, INC | Request a Trial to NEW EDGAR Online Pro

Form 10-Q for ALLEGHENY ENERGY, INC


6-Nov-2008

Quarterly Report


ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following discussion and analysis should be read in conjunction with the Financial Statements and Notes to Financial Statements included in this report, as well as the Financial Statements and Supplementary Data and Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in Allegheny's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 (the "2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K"). Forward-Looking Statements
In addition to historical information, this report contains a number of forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as anticipate, expect, project, intend, plan, believe and words and terms of similar substance used in connection with any discussion of future plans, actions or events identify forward-looking statements. These include statements with respect to:
• regulatory matters, including but not limited to environmental regulation, state rate regulation, and the status of retail generation service supply competition in states served by the Distribution Companies;

• financing plans;

• market demand and prices for energy and capacity;

• the cost and availability of raw materials, including coal, and Allegheny's ability to enter into and enforce long-term fuel purchase agreements;

• provider-of-last-resort ("PLR") and power supply contracts;

• results of litigation;

• results of operations;

• internal controls and procedures;

• capital expenditures;

• status and condition of plants and equipment;

• changes in technology and their effects on the competitiveness of Allegheny's generation facilities;

• work stoppages by Allegheny's unionized employees; and

• capacity purchase commitments.

Forward-looking statements involve estimates, expectations and projections and, as a result, are subject to risks and uncertainties. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations. Actual results have varied materially and unpredictably from past expectations. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include, among others, the following:
• the results of regulatory proceedings, including proceedings related to rates;

• plant performance and unplanned outages;

• volatility and changes in the price and demand for energy and capacity and changes in the value of FTRs;


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• volatility and changes in the price of coal, natural gas and other energy-related commodities and Allegheny's ability to enter into and enforce supplier performance under long term fuel purchase agreements;

• changes in the weather and other natural phenomena;

• changes in industry capacity, development and other activities by Allegheny's competitors;

• changes in market rules, including changes to PJM's participant rules and tariffs;

• the loss of any significant customers or suppliers;

• changes in customer switching behavior and their resulting effects on existing and future PLR load requirements;

• dependence on other electric transmission and gas transportation systems and their constraints on availability;

• environmental regulations;

• changes in other laws and regulations applicable to Allegheny, its markets or its activities;

• changes in the underlying inputs and assumptions, including market conditions, used to estimate the fair values of commodity contracts;

• complications or other factors that make it difficult or impossible to obtain necessary lender consents or regulatory authorizations on a timely basis;

• changes in access to capital markets, the availability of credit and actions of rating agencies;

• inflationary and interest rate trends;

• the effect of accounting pronouncements issued periodically by accounting standard-setting bodies and accounting issues facing Allegheny;

• general economic and business conditions; and

• other risks, including the effects of global instability, terrorism and war.

A detailed discussion of certain factors affecting Allegheny's risk profile is provided under the caption Item 1A, "Risk Factors," in the 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K. Additionally, certain risk factors with respect to which material changes have occurred since their disclosure in the 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K are discussed under Item 1A, "Risk Factors," below. Overview
Allegheny is an integrated energy business that owns and operates electric generation facilities and delivers electric services to customers in Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, and Virginia. Allegheny operates its business primarily through AE's various directly and indirectly owned subsidiaries. These operations are aligned in two operating segments, the Delivery and Services segment and the Generation and Marketing segment. Additional information regarding the composition and activities of these segments is included in the 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K.


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Key Indicators and Performance Factors
The Delivery and Services Segment
Allegheny monitors the financial and operating performance of its Delivery and Services segment using a number of indicators and performance statistics, including the following:
Revenue per megawatt-hour ("MWh") sold. This measure is calculated by dividing total revenues from retail sales of electricity by total MWhs sold to retail customers. Revenue per MWh sold during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 was as follows:

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30, September 30, 2008 2007 2008 2007 Revenue per MWh sold $ 60.09 $ 59.56 $ 60.60 $ 59.80

Operations and maintenance costs ("O&M"). Management closely monitors and manages O&M in absolute terms, as well as in relation to total MWhs sold. O&M per MWh sold during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 was as follows:

Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30, September 30, 2008 2007 2008 2007 O&M per MWh sold $ 7.78 $ 7.68 $ 8.10 $ 7.65

Capital expenditures. Management prioritizes and manages capital expenditures to meet operational needs and regulatory requirements within available cash flow constraints.
Retail electricity sales. The following table provides retail electricity sales information.

                             Three Months Ended September 30,                                 Nine Months Ended September 30,
                        Normal            2008              2007          Change          Normal            2008            2007          Change
Delivery and
Services:
Retail electricity
sales (million
kWhs)                      N/A             10,749          11,164           (3.7 )%           N/A          33,023          33,540           (1.5 )%
HDD (a)                     95                 37              60          (38.3 )%         3,570           3,292           3,397           (3.1 )%
CDD (a)                    585                537             686          (21.7 )%           798             767             968          (20.8 )%

(a) Heating degree-days ("HDD") and cooling degree-days ("CDD"). The operations of the Distribution Companies are weather sensitive. Weather conditions directly influence the volume of electricity delivered by the Distribution Companies, representing one of several factors that impact the volume of electricity delivered. Accordingly, deviations in weather from normal levels can affect Allegheny's financial performance. Degree-day data is used to estimate amounts of energy required to maintain comfortable indoor temperature levels based on each day's average temperature. HDD is the measure of the variation in the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature falls below 65° Fahrenheit, and CDD is the measure of the variation in the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature rises above 65° Fahrenheit. Each degree of temperature above 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one cooling degree-day, and each degree of temperature below 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one heating degree-day. HDD and CDD are most likely to impact the usage of Allegheny's residential and commercial customers. Industrial customers are less weather sensitive.


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The Generation and Marketing Segment
Allegheny monitors the financial and operating performance of its Generation and Marketing segment using a number of indicators and performance statistics, including the following:
kWhs generated. This is a measure of the total physical quantity of electricity generated and is monitored at the individual generating unit level, as well as by various unit groupings.
Equivalent Availability Factor ("EAF"). The EAF measures the percentage of time that a given amount of MWs from a generation unit is available to generate electricity if called upon in the marketplace. A unit's availability is commonly less than 100%, primarily as a result of scheduled outages for planned maintenance or unplanned outages and derates. The EAF is calculated based upon availability data reported to NERC and PJM. Allegheny monitors the EAF by individual unit, as well as by various unit groupings. One such grouping is all "supercritical" units. A supercritical unit utilizes steam pressure in excess of 3,200 pounds per square inch, which enables these units to be larger and more efficient than other generation units. Fort Martin, Harrison, Hatfield's Ferry and Pleasants are supercritical generation facilities that have supercritical units. These units generally operate at high capacity for extended periods of time.
Station operations and maintenance costs ("Station O&M"). Station O&M includes base, operations and special maintenance costs. Base and operations costs consist of normal recurring expenses related to the on-going operation of the generation facility. Special maintenance costs include costs associated with outage-related maintenance and projects that relate to all of the generation facilities.
kWhs generated and Station O&M. The following table shows kWhs generated, excluding kWhs consumed by pumping at the Bath County, Virginia hydroelectric station, EAFs and Station O&M related to the Generation and Marketing segment:

                               Three Months Ended                                Nine Months Ended
                               September 30, 2008                                September 30, 2008
                              2008             2007          Change             2008             2007          Change
Supercritical Units:
kWhs generated (in
millions)                      10,115          10,226           (1.1 )%          29,303          30,285           (3.2 )%
EAF                              90.2 %          87.5 %          2.7 %             86.1 %          85.5 %          0.6 %
Station O&M (in
millions):
Base and operations        $     26.3        $   23.5           11.9 %       $     81.0        $   78.1            3.7 %
Special maintenance               8.4            14.9          (43.6 )%            43.6            57.0          (23.5 )%

Total Station O&M          $     34.7        $   38.4           (9.6 )%      $    124.6        $  135.1           (7.8 )%


All Generation Units:
kWhs generated (in
millions)                      11,904          12,640           (5.8 )%          35,049          37,491           (6.5 )%
EAF                              90.7 %          86.5 %          4.2 %             86.5 %          85.9 %          0.6 %
Station O&M (in
millions):
Base and operations        $     40.2        $   36.7            9.5 %       $    123.8        $  120.1            3.1 %
Special maintenance               9.8            16.5          (40.6 )%            57.1            65.8          (13.2 )%

Total Station O&M          $     50.0        $   53.2           (6.0 )%      $    180.9        $  185.9           (2.7 )%


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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Income Summary

                                                 Three Months Ended                                                     Three Months Ended
                                                 September 30, 2008                                                     September 30, 2007
                           Delivery         Generation                                            Delivery         Generation
                             and               and                                                  and               and
(In millions)              Services         Marketing          Eliminations         Total         Services         Marketing          Eliminations         Total
Operating revenues        $    692.7       $      589.3       $       (432.4 )     $ 849.6       $    692.4       $      581.1       $       (426.9 )     $ 846.6

Fuel                               -              299.2                    -         299.2                -              245.5                    -         245.5
Purchased power and
transmission                   512.9               25.7               (430.5 )       108.1            493.0               25.6               (424.7 )        93.9
Deferred energy
costs, net                       1.5              (20.2 )                  -         (18.7 )            2.3                1.3                    -           3.6
Operations and
maintenance                     83.6               70.6                 (1.9 )       152.3             85.7               71.3                 (2.2 )       154.8
Depreciation and
amortization                    39.2               28.2                    -          67.4             40.4               26.3                    -          66.7
Taxes other than
income taxes                    35.0               19.4                    -          54.4             33.9               19.7                    -          53.6

Total operating
expenses                       672.2              422.9               (432.4 )       662.7            655.3              389.7               (426.9 )       618.1

Operating income                20.5              166.4                    -         186.9             37.1              191.4                    -         228.5
Other income
(expense), net                   3.1                1.6                 (0.2 )         4.5              3.0               13.6                 (1.8 )        14.8
Interest expense and
preferred dividends
of subsidiary                   24.8               33.3                 (0.2 )        57.9             18.2               43.3                 (1.8 )        59.7

Income (loss) before
income taxes and
minority interest               (1.2 )            134.7                    -         133.5             21.9              161.7                    -         183.6
Income tax expense
(benefit)                       (5.7 )             50.0                    -          44.3              9.1               58.1                    -          67.2
Minority interest                0.2                  -                    -           0.2                -                1.4                    -           1.4

Net income                $      4.3       $       84.7       $            -       $  89.0       $     12.8       $      102.2       $            -       $ 115.0




                                                  Nine Months Ended                                                       Nine Months Ended
                                                 September 30, 2008                                                      September 30, 2007
                          Delivery         Generation                                             Delivery         Generation
                             and              and                                                    and              and
(In millions)             Services         Marketing          Eliminations          Total         Services         Marketing          Eliminations          Total
Operating revenues        $ 2,139.6       $    1,842.0       $     (1,303.5 )     $ 2,678.1       $ 2,128.8       $    1,630.9       $     (1,239.0 )     $ 2,520.7

Fuel                              -              794.2                    -           794.2               -              709.1                    -           709.1
Purchased power and
transmission                1,522.5               77.7             (1,297.5 )         302.7         1,447.9               77.2             (1,231.5 )         293.6
Deferred energy
costs, net                      7.8              (35.9 )                  -           (28.1 )          (0.5 )             (5.6 )                  -            (6.1 )
Operations and
maintenance                   267.4              249.6                 (6.0 )         511.0           256.6              256.8                 (7.5 )         505.9
Depreciation and
amortization                  122.6               83.9                    -           206.5           121.7               87.7                    -           209.4
Taxes other than
income taxes                  105.5               54.2                    -           159.7            99.5               58.8                    -           158.3

Total operating
expenses                    2,025.8            1,223.7             (1,303.5 )       1,946.0         1,925.2            1,184.0             (1,239.0 )       1,870.2

Operating income              113.8              618.3                    -           732.1           203.6              446.9                    -           650.5
Other income
(expense), net                 10.1                7.6                 (2.4 )          15.3            10.4               21.8                 (4.6 )          27.6
Interest expense and
preferred dividends
of subsidiary                  70.7              106.7                 (2.4 )         175.0            55.4              131.6                 (4.6 )         182.4

Income before income
taxes and minority
interest                       53.2              519.2                    -           572.4           158.6              337.1                    -           495.7
Income tax expense             10.0              182.5                    -           192.5            66.9              124.6                    -           191.5
Minority interest               0.7                  -                    -             0.7               -                2.4                    -             2.4

Net income                $    42.5       $      336.7       $            -       $   379.2       $    91.7       $      210.1       $            -       $   301.8


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CONSOLIDATED RESULTS
   This section is an overview of AE's consolidated results of operations, which
are discussed in greater detail by segment under the heading "Allegheny Energy,
Inc.-Discussion of Segment Results of Operations" below.
   The following tables reconcile "Income before income taxes and minority
interest" for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007 to the three
and nine months ended September 30, 2008.

(In millions)
Income before income taxes and minority interest for the
three months ended September 30, 2007                                            $ 183.6
Increase in operating revenues                                                       3.0
Decreases (increases) in operating expenses:
Fuel                                                                (53.7 )
Purchased power and transmission                                    (14.2 )
Deferred energy costs, net                                           22.3
Other operating expenses                                              1.0

Operating expenses                                                                 (44.6 )
Decrease in other income (expense), net                                            (10.3 )
Decrease in interest expense and preferred dividends of
subsidiary                                                                           1.8

Income before income taxes and minority interest for the
three months ended September 30, 2008                                            $ 133.5




(In millions)
Income before income taxes and minority interest for the
nine months ended September 30, 2007                                             $ 495.7
Increase in operating revenues                                                     157.4
Decreases (increases) in operating expenses:
Fuel                                                                (85.1 )
Purchased power and transmission                                     (9.1 )
Deferred energy costs, net                                           22.0
Operations and maintenance                                           (5.1 )
Other operating expenses                                              1.5

Operating expenses                                                                 (75.8 )
Decrease in other income (expense), net                                            (12.3 )
Decrease in interest expense and preferred dividends of
subsidiary                                                                           7.4

Income before income taxes and minority interest for the
nine months ended September 30, 2008                                             $ 572.4

Operating Revenues
Operating revenues increased $3.0 million for the three months ended September 30, 2008 compared to the three months ended September 30, 2007, primarily due to:
• an $81.1 million increase resulting primarily from increased unrealized gains on economic power sale hedges that did not qualify for hedge accounting,

• a $21.5 million increase resulting from unrealized gains related to pipeline capacity economic hedges that did not qualify for hedge accounting,

• a $15.8 million increase due to higher generation rates charged to Pennsylvania customers,

• an $18.6 million increase, relating to higher market prices, including marketing, hedging and trading activities,


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• an $11.0 million increase due to increased sales of power to third parties and

• a $6.2 million increase due to increased recoverable expenses and return on investment that are related to transmission expansion.

These operating revenue increases were partially offset by:
• $106.6 million in unrealized losses relating to financial transmission rights ("FTRs"),

• a $19.4 million decrease due to a 5.8% decrease in total MWhs generated and

• an $18.1 million decrease due to the expiration of an earnings benefit related to stranded cost recovery.

Additionally, milder weather and reduced customer consumption negatively impacted operating revenues.
Operating revenues increased $157.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 compared to the nine months ended September 30, 2007, primarily due to:
• a $94.4 million increase in unrealized gains relating to FTRs,

• a $70.8 million increase, relating to higher market prices, including marketing, hedging and trading activities,

• a $48.1 million increase due to higher generation rates charged to Pennsylvania customers,

• a $21.5 million increase due to increased recoverable expenses and return on investment that are related to transmission expansion,

• an $18.0 million increase resulting primarily from increased unrealized gains on economic power sale hedges that did not qualify for hedge accounting and

• an $8.4 million increase resulting from unrealized gains related to pipeline capacity economic hedges that did not qualify for hedge accounting.

These operating revenue increases were partially offset by:
• a $92.6 million decrease due to a 6.5% decrease in total MWhs generated and

• a $26.1 million decrease due to the expiration of an earnings benefit related to stranded cost recovery.

Additionally, milder weather and reduced customer consumption negatively impacted operating revenues.
See Note 10, "Fair Value Measurements, Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities," for information regarding the recognition of unrealized gains and losses on FTRs and economic power sale hedges. The majority of the unrealized gains (losses) are associated with FTRs and power sale hedges entered into during the second half of 2007 and the first quarter of 2008. Operating Expenses
Fuel expense increased $53.7 million for the three months ended September 30, 2008 compared to the three months ended September 30, 2007, primarily due to a $42.6 million increase in coal expense, which is discussed in greater detail in "Discussion of Segment Results of Operations - Generation and Marketing Segment Results" below.


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Fuel expense increased $85.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 compared to the nine months ended September 30, 2007, primarily due to a $91.6 million increase in coal expense and a $7.6 million increase in emission allowance expense, partially offset by a $25.5 million decrease in natural gas expense, which are discussed in greater detail in "Discussion of Segment Results of Operations - Generation and Marketing Segment Results" below.
Purchased power and transmission expense increased $14.2 million for the three months ended September 30, 2008 compared to the three months ended September 30, 2007, primarily due to increased purchases from third parties.
Purchased power and transmission expense increased $9.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 compared to the nine months ended September 30, 2007, primarily due to increased purchases from third parties, partially offset by the expiration in May 2007 of a fixed price supply agreement to serve Monongahela's former Ohio service territory.
Deferred energy costs, net decreased $22.3 million and $22.0 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008, respectively, compared to the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, primarily due to the Expanded Net Energy Cost ("ENEC") method of recovering net power supply costs in West Virginia, which is discussed in greater detail in the Generation and Marketing segment results under "Regulated Results - Deferred Energy Costs, Net" below.
Operations and maintenance expense increased $5.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 compared to the nine months ended September 30, 2007, primarily due to increased maintenance activities. Other Income (Expense), net
Other income (expense), net decreased $10.3 million and $12.3 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008, respectively, compared to the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, primarily due to an $8.4 million . . .

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