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| NOV > SEC Filings for NOV > Form 10-Q on 4-Nov-2008 | All Recent SEC Filings |
4-Nov-2008
Quarterly Report
Revenue Recognition
The Company's products and services are sold based upon purchase orders or
contracts with the customer that include fixed or determinable prices and that
do not generally include right of return or other similar provisions or other
significant post delivery obligations. Except for certain construction contracts
and drill pipe sales described below, the Company records revenue at the time
its manufacturing process is complete, the customer has been provided with all
proper inspection and other required documentation, title and risk of loss have
passed to the customer, collectibility is reasonably assured and the product has
been delivered. Customer advances or deposits are deferred and recognized as
revenue when the Company has completed all of its performance obligations
related to the sale. The Company also recognizes revenue as services are
performed. The amounts billed for shipping and handling cost are included in
revenue and related costs are included in cost of revenue.
Revenue Recognition under Long-term Construction Contracts
The Company uses the percentage-of-completion method to account for certain
long-term construction contracts in the Rig Technology segment. These long-term
construction contracts include the following characteristics:
• the contracts include custom designs for customer specific applications;
• the structural design is unique and requires significant engineering efforts; and
• construction projects often have progress payments.
This method requires the Company to make estimates regarding the total costs of
the project, progress against the project schedule and the estimated completion
date, all of which impact the amount of revenue and gross margin the Company
recognizes in each reporting period. The Company prepares detailed cost
estimates at the beginning of each project. Significant projects and their
related costs and profit margins are updated and reviewed at least quarterly by
senior management. Factors that may affect future project costs and margins
include shipyard access, weather, production efficiencies, availability and
costs of labor, materials and subcomponents and other factors. These factors can
impact the accuracy of the Company's estimates and materially impact the
Company's current and future reported earnings.
The asset, "Costs in excess of billings," represents revenues recognized in
excess of amounts billed. The liability, "Billings in excess of costs,"
represents billings in excess of revenues recognized.
Drill Pipe Sales
For drill pipe sales, if requested in writing by the customer, delivery may be
satisfied through delivery to the Company's customer storage location or to a
third-party storage facility. For sales transactions where title and risk of
loss have transferred to the customer but the supporting documentation does not
meet the criteria for revenue recognition prior to the products being in the
physical possession of the customer, the recognition of the revenues and related
inventory costs from these transactions are deferred until the customer takes
physical possession.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
National Oilwell Varco generated earnings of $547.7 million or $1.31 per fully
diluted share in its third quarter ended September 30, 2008, on revenues of
$3.6 billion. Operating income was $790.3 million or 21.9 percent of sales for
the third quarter, including charges of $0.04 per share after-tax related to the
Company's second quarter acquisition of Grant Prideco, and including the impact
of Hurricane Ike estimated to be approximately $0.09 per share after-tax.
Compared to the third quarter of 2007, revenues improved 40 percent, and
operating profit improved 45 percent during the third quarter of 2008.
The Company's third quarter results were adversely impacted by the effects of
Hurricane Ike, which struck the Texas Gulf Coast on September 12, 2008. While we
were fortunate to avoid serious damage to our facilities, over forty Company
facilities and dozens of our Houston-area suppliers were without power for a few
weeks. Company-wide we estimate that approximately $114 million in revenues and
$55 million in operating income were lost or deferred as a result. A small
portion of this is expected to be recovered in the fourth quarter, which was
also affected, and most of the remainder is expected to be recovered in 2009.
Additionally, hurricane-related flooding affected certain of our operations in
Mexico during the quarter, but on a much smaller scale.
Grant Prideco Acquisition
On April 21, 2008 the Company completed its acquisition of Grant Prideco, Inc.
for a combination of approximately $3.0 billion in cash and the issuance of
56.9 million shares of National Oilwell Varco common stock. The Grant Prideco
merger further strengthened National Oilwell Varco's position as manufacturer to
the oilfield. Its drill bits and reamers are being integrated into the Company's
offering of drilling motors, non-magnetic drill collars, jars and shock tools,
to complement its comprehensive package of bottomhole assembly tools used to
drill complex wellpaths. Additionally, Grant Prideco's drill pipe products are
purchased and consumed by the Company's existing drilling contractor customer
base. The Company believes that consumption of drill pipe has been increasing
due to the rising complexity of wellpath designs. Overall, the acquisition
better positioned National Oilwell Varco to capitalize on continued application
of horizontal, directional and extended-reach drilling, through both drill pipe
and drill bit product sales.
Integration of the business is proceeding well. The Company is introducing new
drill pipe tracking products, and expanding OEM drill pipe repair and
maintenance offerings through its worldwide network of pipe service operations.
The Company is also consolidating a number of bit and downhole tool sales
facilities worldwide, and leveraging combined manufacturing capabilities to
improve lead times and reduce costs. The Company achieved savings of
approximately $10 million pre-tax during the third quarter, mostly on overhead
cost reductions, and expects this amount to increase to approximately
$11 million per quarter beginning in 2009. This is expected to result in an
annual savings rate slightly higher than the $40 million per year rate in
forecasted synergies at the time of the announcement of the transaction. During
the third quarter of 2008, National Oilwell Varco recognized purchase accounting
related charges totaling $28.0 million pre-tax or $0.04 per share after tax. The
$28.0 million in charges were related to charges to "Cost of revenue" for
inventory sold during the quarter that had a fair value step up under the Grant
Prideco purchase accounting.
Oil & Gas Equipment and Services Market
Worldwide developed economies turned down sharply late in the third quarter as
looming housing-related asset write-downs at major financial institutions
paralyzed credit markets and sparked a serious global banking crisis. Major
central banks are responding vigorously, but credit and financial markets have
not recovered through the first few weeks of October. Most economists foresee a
slow and uncertain recovery of credit markets, and a credit-driven worldwide
economic recession developing. Asset and commodity prices, including oil and gas
prices, have declined sharply as a result. After rising steadily for six years
to peak at around $140 per barrel earlier in the year, oil prices retreated to
the $60 to $70 per barrel range recently, roughly in-line with mid 2007 prices.
Higher oil and gas prices over the past several years have led to high levels of
exploration and development drilling in many oil and gas basins around the
globe. The count of rigs actively drilling during the third quarter of 2008 as
measured by Baker Hughes (a good measure of the level of oilfield activity and
spending) increased 11 percent from the third quarter of 2007, but the impact of
the credit market crisis has not yet been fully felt in the rig count. The
Company expects that oil and gas operators reliant on external financing to fund
their drilling programs are likely to curtail some of their drilling activity in
view of tighter credit markets and lower commodity prices. This is expected to
have the greatest impact on gas drilling across North America, despite the fact
that gas prices have remained relatively strong compared to historical prices.
Most international activity is driven by oil exploration and
production by national oil companies, which has historically been less
susceptible to short-term commodity price swings. Therefore we expect
international drilling activity to be less impacted by the credit crisis.
The high level of drilling activity underway in the last few years has fueled
strong demand for oilfield services. Much of the new incremental drilling
activity is occurring in harsh environments, and employs increasingly
sophisticated technology to find and produce reserves. Higher utilization of
drilling rigs has tested the capability of the world's fleet of rigs, much of
which is old and of limited capability. Technology has advanced significantly
since most of the existing rig fleet was built. The industry invested little
during the late 1980's and 1990's on new drilling equipment, but drilling
technology progressed steadily nonetheless, as the Company and its competitors
continued to invest in new and better ways of drilling. As a consequence, the
safety, reliability, and efficiency of new, modern rigs surpass the performance
of most of the older rigs at work today. Drilling rigs are now being pushed to
drill deeper wells, more complex wells, highly deviated wells and horizontal
wells, tasks which require larger rigs with more capabilities. The drilling
process effectively consumes the mechanical components of a rig, which wear out
and need periodic repair or replacement. This process has been accelerated by
very high rig utilization and wellbore complexity. Drilling consumes rigs; more
complex and challenging drilling consumes rigs faster.
The industry responded by launching many new rig construction projects since
2005, to retool the existing fleet of jackup rigs (350 of the existing 432
jackup rigs are more than 20 years old); to replace older mechanical and DC
electric land rigs with improved AC power, electronic controls, automatic pipe
handling and rapid rigup and rigdown technology; and to build out additional
ultradeep floating drilling rigs, including semisubmersibles and drillships,
employing recent advancements in deepwater drilling to exploit unexplored
deepwater basins. We believe that the newer rigs offer considerably higher
efficiency, safety, and capability, and that many will effectively replace a
portion of the existing fleet. As a result of these trends the Company's Rig
Technology segment has seen steady growth in its backlog of capital equipment
orders from $0.9 billion at March 31, 2005, to $11.8 billion at September 30,
2008. The Company won a record level of new orders of $2.4 billion during the
third quarter of 2008, and believes that the drilling industry will continue to
build and upgrade drilling rigs; however, the credit crisis is likely to have a
negative impact on new orders in the near term. Many customers rely on external
financing to execute these projects, and several new order discussions have been
delayed due to the challenges of securing financing. Nevertheless, the Company
believes that export banks around the world will continue to supplement private
financing in an effort to boost economic activity in the countries where these
rigs are fabricated.
During the third quarter the Company secured contracts for six major packages of
drilling equipment for deepwater floating rigs, including four for the Brazilian
market, along with a handful of jackup rig packages. Land rig sales over the
past six months have been strong, particularly for the Company's Ideal Rigs,
Rapid Rigs, and new Drake Rig design for North America. Many of these projects
are backed by term contracts from oil and gas operators who appear to be
increasingly convinced of the safety and efficiency benefits of modern,
AC-powered, electronically controlled rigs. The land rig backlog improved
49 percent sequentially and 14 percent year-over-year, to $1.8 billion or
15 percent of the total backlog. Equipment destined for international markets
totaled 90 percent of the September 30 backlog. The Company believes that its
existing contracts for rig equipment are very strong in that they carry
significant down payment and progress billing terms favorable to the ultimate
completion of these projects, and generally do not allow customers to cancel
projects for convenience. For this reason we do not expect the credit crisis or
softer market conditions to result in cancellation of contracts or abandonment
of projects that would have a material adverse effect on the Company's financial
results.
While the increasingly efficient equipment provided by us has mitigated the
effect, high activity levels have increased demand for personnel in the
oilfield. Consequently, the Company, its customers and its suppliers have
experienced wage inflation in certain markets. Hiring experienced drilling crews
has been challenging for the drilling industry; however, we believe crews
generally prefer working on newer, more modern rigs. Our products which save
labor and increase efficiency (such as its automatic slips and pipe handling
equipment) also make the rig crew's jobs easier, and make the rig a safer and
more desirable place to work.
Segment Performance
Rig Technology generated $1,926.4 million in revenue and $500.5 million in
operating profit in the third quarter, yielding an operating margin of
26 percent. The group generated 31 percent operating leverage or flowthrough
(the increase in operating profit divided by the increase in revenue) on
27 percent revenue growth from the third quarter of 2007 to the third quarter of
2008. Compared to the second quarter of 2008 revenue improved modestly and
operating profit declined slightly, due in part to the impact of Hurricane Ike
on Texas operations which deferred approximately $79.0 million in sales to later
periods. Revenue out of backlog increased two percent sequentially to
$1,363.4 million, but record orders lifted backlog nevertheless to
$11,793.8 million, up nine percent sequentially. As of September 30, 2008 the
scheduled outflow of revenue from backlog is expected to be in the range of
$1.5 billion during the fourth quarter of 2008, approximately $5.7 billion in
2009, and approximately $4.6 billion thereafter.
The Petroleum Services & Supplies segment generated revenue of $1,310.5 million
in the third quarter, up five percent from the second quarter of 2008 and up one
percent from the third quarter of last year (adjusted for a full quarter of
continuing Grant Prideco results in both prior periods, but not adjusted for
$105.1 million in sales of products transferred to other segments since last
year). Operating profit was $329.6 million (excluding $28 million of cost of
revenue charges related to the fair value step up of inventory under purchase
accounting) or 25.2 percent of sales, and operating profit flow through was
50 percent sequentially, and 151 percent year-over-year. Strong operating
activity increases in the domestic market, where the rig count improved six
percent sequentially and 11 percent year-over-year, fueled much of the revenue
and margin gains. Unconventional shale gas basin drilling was particularly
strong in the quarter. The U.S. accounted for approximately 54 percent of
Petroleum Services & Supplies segment revenues during the quarter. Hurricane Ike
impacted third quarter Petroleum Services & Supplies segment revenues by
approximately $35 million, about 60 percent of which is expected to be recovered
in the fourth quarter. Revenues from oilfield service products in Canada
improved following the resumption of activity in the third quarter following the
seasonal breakup decline in the second quarter. This seasonal event drove a
sequential increase in the rig count in Canada from 169 rigs in the second
quarter to 432 rigs during the third quarter. Canadian revenues were
approximately eight percent of the segment's total during the third quarter.
International activity remained strong, with notable sequential and
year-over-year improvements in sales to Latin American markets during the third
quarter. Solids control, composite pipe, bits and downhole tool products posted
significant increases sequentially. Drill pipe backlog and revenue improved
sequentially as well, but margins declined due to higher steel costs and an
unfavorable mix.
Distribution Services segment revenue was $497.6 million in the third quarter,
up 17 percent from the second quarter of 2008 and up 38 percent from the third
quarter of 2007. Operating profit was $43.7 million or 8.8 percent of sales, a
record margin. Operating profit flowthrough was 26 percent sequentially and
14 percent year-over-year. Strong U.S. activity, particularly in the
mid-continent and Rocky Mountain regions, drove high levels of domestic sales,
and cost reductions in prior periods contributed to improving margins and
leverage. Sales into new rig construction and refurbishment of older rigs in the
domestic market also contributed to domestic results. The U.S. accounted for
about 48 percent of the segment's third quarter revenues overall. Canada sales,
about 18 percent of the third quarter mix, increased sharply coming out of the
second quarter seasonal breakup, which contributed to strong operating profit
flowthrough as well. Saskatchewan and Eastern Canada were particularly strong in
the quarter. International revenues were down slightly and accounted for
34 percent of the sales mix, but margins for international sales increased
slightly sequentially.
Outlook
The recent emergence of a serious banking crisis, prospects for an emerging
global recession, and lower commodity prices are likely to present near-term
challenges to our business. Consequently, we are more cautious in our outlook
for 2009, and believe we are likely to see orders for new rigs slow, and
drilling activity, particularly by independent gas producers reliant on external
financing, decline as we enter the new year. The Company is, nevertheless, well
positioned to manage through this uncertain period, and should benefit from its
strong balance sheet and capitalization, access to credit, and record high level
of contracted orders which are expected to continue to generate good earnings
well into the downturn. The Company has a long history of cost-control and
downsizing in response to depressed market conditions. Such a period may present
opportunities to the Company to effect new organic growth and acquisition
initiatives, and we are hopeful that a downturn will generate new opportunities.
The supply of offshore rigs remains tight in many markets, and certain
developments point to improving economics of rig building; namely, rising
dayrates for ultradeepwater floaters, falling steel costs, and a strengthening
U.S. dollar. The offshore rig dayrate market is generally denominated in U.S.
dollars, but rig fabrication is mostly denominated in foreign currencies.
Foreign shipyards source steel from foreign mills, and pay local wages in
foreign currency. Likewise, the Company manufactures many of its products
overseas in foreign currencies as well. Steel prices began to decline 10 to
20 percent in the third quarter 2008. The impact of improvements in all three
areas should lift returns on projects. Nevertheless, many ongoing discussions of
potential newbuild rig projects in our Rig Technology segment have slowed or
stalled, pending better visibility into the credit crisis.
Our outlook for the Company's Petroleum Services & Supplies segment remains good
into the fourth quarter of 2008, given continuation of high levels of drilling
across North America and international markets, but is likely to see lower
levels of sales in 2009 as drilling programs wind down. Certain inflationary
pressures, particularly steel and fuel, appear to be abating, but labor costs
continue to trend up. We would expect lower levels of drilling activity would
negatively affect both volumes and pricing for the group, and offset recent
modest price increases. We continue to focus heavily on manufacturing and
service efficiency.
The Company's cautious outlook for the Distribution Services segment also
reflects a likely downturn in North American activity, which accounts for a
majority of the segment's revenues. Specifically, mature regions such as West
Texas, South Texas, the mid-continent and Rocky Mountain regions may be at risk
for oil and gas company reductions in drilling expenditures. Both pricing and
volumes would be adversely affected by such a downturn. Our outlook for
international markets, which are more driven by national oil company activity,
are historically less volatile and expected to see better market conditions.
Operating Environment Overview
The Company's results are dependent on, among other things, the level of
worldwide oil and gas drilling, well remediation activity, the prices of crude
oil and natural gas, capital spending by other oilfield service companies and
drilling contractors, pipeline maintenance activity, and worldwide oil and gas
inventory levels. Key industry indicators for the third quarter of 2008 and
2007, and the second quarter of 2008 include the following:
% %
3Q08 v 3Q08 v
3Q08* 3Q07* 2Q08* 3Q07 2Q08
Active Drilling Rigs:
U.S. 1,978 1,788 1,864 10.6 % 6.1 %
Canada 432 348 169 24.1 % 155.6 %
International 1,095 1,020 1,084 7.4 % 1.0 %
Worldwide 3,505 3,156 3,117 11.1 % 12.4 %
West Texas Intermediate Crude
Prices (per barrel) $ 118.60 $ 75.32 $ 124.05 57.5 % (4.4 %)
Natural Gas Prices ($/mmbtu) $ 9.03 $ 6.17 $ 11.38 46.4 % (20.7 %)
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* Averages for the quarters indicated. See sources below.
The following table details the U.S., Canadian, and international rig activity
and West Texas Intermediate Oil prices for the past nine quarters ended
September 30, 2008 on a quarterly basis:
. . .
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