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HTS > SEC Filings for HTS > Form 10-Q on 4-Nov-2008All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for HATTERAS FINANCIAL CORP


4-Nov-2008

Quarterly Report


Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

In this quarterly report on Form 10-Q, we refer to Hatteras Financial Corp. as "we," "us," "our company," or "our," unless we specifically state otherwise or the context indicates otherwise. The following defines certain of the commonly used terms in this quarterly report on Form 10-Q: RMBS refers to residential mortgage-backed securities; agency RMBS and agency securities refer to our RMBS that are issued or guaranteed by a U.S. Government Sponsored entity, such as Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, or an agency of the U.S. Government, such as Ginnie Mae; hybrids and hybrid ARMs refer to hybrid mortgage loans that have interest rates that are fixed for a specified period of time and, thereafter, generally adjust annually to an increment over a specified interest rate index; and ARMs refers to hybrids after the fixed rate period expires and adjustable-rate mortgage loans which typically at all times have interest rates that adjust annually to an increment over a specified interest rate index.

The following discussion should be read in conjunction with our financial statements and accompanying notes included in Item 1 of this quarterly report on Form 10-Q as well as our registration statement on Form S-11 filed February 20, 2008 (File No. 133-149314), as amended (the "IPO Registration").

Forward Looking Statements

When used in this quarterly report on Form 10-Q, in future filings with the SEC or in press releases or other written or oral communications, statements which are not historical in nature, including those containing words such as "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "estimate," "plan," "continue," "intend," "should," "may" or similar expressions, are intended to identify "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and, as such, may involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions.

Forward-looking statements are based on our beliefs, assumptions and expectations of our future performance, taking into account all information currently available to us. These beliefs, assumptions and expectations are subject to risks and uncertainties and can change as a result of many possible events or factors, not all of which are known to us. If a change occurs, our business, financial condition, liquidity and results of operations may vary materially from those expressed in our forward-looking statements. The following factors could cause actual results to vary from our forward-looking statements:
changes in interest rates and the market value of our agency securities; changes in the prepayment rates on the mortgage loans securing our agency securities; our ability to borrow to finance our assets; changes in government regulations affecting our business; our ability to maintain our qualification as a REIT for federal income tax purposes; our ability to maintain our exemption from registration under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended ( the "Investment Company Act"); and risks associated with investing in real estate assets, including changes in business conditions and the general economy. These and other risks, uncertainties and factors, including those described in the IPO Registration or in the annual, quarterly and current reports that we file with the SEC, could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in any forward-looking statements we make. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made. New risks and uncertainties arise over time and it is not possible to predict those events or how they may affect us. Except as required by law, we are not obligated to, and do not intend to, update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Overview

We are an externally-managed mortgage REIT incorporated in Maryland in September 2007 to invest in adjustable-rate and hybrid adjustable-rate single-family residential mortgage pass-through securities guaranteed or issued by a U.S. Government agency (such as the Government National Mortgage Association, or Ginnie Mae), or by a U.S. Government-sponsored entity (such as the Federal National Mortgage Association, or Fannie Mae, and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, or Freddie Mac). Our principal goal is to generate net income for distribution to our shareholders through regular quarterly dividends and protect and grow our shareholders' equity (which we also refer to as our "book value") through prudent interest rate risk management. Our net income is determined primarily by the difference between the interest income we earn on our agency securities less premium amortization and the cost of our borrowings and hedging activities, which we also refer to as our net interest spread or net interest margin. We utilize substantial borrowings in financing our investment portfolio, which can enhance potential returns but exacerbate losses. In general, our book value is most affected by our issuance of shares of our common stock, our retained earnings or losses, and changes in the value of our investment portfolio or our hedging instruments.

In November 2007, we completed our initial private offering of 8,203,937 shares of our common stock for $20.00 per share and commenced operations. We received approximately $157.1 million in net proceeds from our initial private offering after offering expenses. In February 2008, we completed a second private offering in which we sold an aggregate of 6,900,000 shares of our common stock for $24.00 per share. We received approximately $158.7 million in net proceeds from our second


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private offering after offering expenses. In April 2008, we completed our initial public offering in which we sold an aggregate of 11,500,000 shares of our common stock at $24 per share for net proceeds of approximately $255.7 million after offering expenses. We have invested the net proceeds of our offerings and related repurchase borrowings in agency securities in accordance with our investment policy.

As of September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, our portfolio consisted of approximately $5.0 billion and $1.6 billion, respectively, in market value, of agency RMBS with initial fixed-interest rate periods of three years, five years or seven years.

The following table represents key data regarding our company since the beginning of operations on November 5, 2007: (in thousands except per share amounts)

                                                                                                       Weighted
                                              Repurchase               Shares       Book Value     Average Earnings
As of                           Agency RMBS   Agreements   Equity    Outstanding    Per Share         Per Share
September 30, 2008                4,974,648    4,569,262   527,220        26,777   $      19.69   $             1.11

June 30, 2008                     5,097,189    4,387,739   561,176        26,777   $      20.96   $             0.88

March 31, 2008                    3,036,826    2,739,631   329,400        15,268   $      21.57   $             0.71

December 31, 2007                 1,619,290    1,475,512   165,356         8,368   $      19.76   $             0.15

Factors that Affect our Results of Operations and Financial Condition

Our results of operations and financial condition are affected by various factors, many of which are beyond our control, including, among other things, our net interest income, the market value of our assets and the supply of and demand for such assets. We invest in financial assets and markets, and recent events, such as discussed below, can affect our business in ways that are difficult to predict, and produce results outside of typical operating variances. Our net interest income varies primarily as a result of changes in interest rates, borrowing costs and prepayment speeds, the behavior of which involves various risks and uncertainties. Prepayment rates, as reflected by the rate of principal paydown, and interest rates vary according to the type of investment, conditions in financial markets, competition and other factors, none of which can be predicted with any certainty. In general, as prepayment rates on our agency securities purchased at a premium increase, related purchase premium amortization increases, thereby reducing the net yield on such assets. Because changes in interest rates may significantly affect our activities, our operating results depend, in large part, upon our ability to manage interest rate risks and prepayment risks effectively while maintaining our status as a REIT.

We anticipate that, for any period during which changes in the interest rates earned on our assets do not coincide with interest rate changes on our borrowings, such assets will reprice more slowly than the corresponding liabilities. Consequently, changes in interest rates, particularly short-term interest rates, may significantly influence our net interest income. With the maturities of our assets generally of longer term than those of our liabilities, interest rate increases will tend to decrease our net interest income and the market value of our assets (and therefore our book value). Such rate increases could possibly result in operating losses or adversely affect our ability to make distributions to our shareholders.

Prepayments on agency securities and the underlying mortgage loans may be influenced by changes in market interest rates and a variety of economic, geographic and other factors beyond our control; and consequently such prepayment rates cannot be predicted with certainty. To the extent we have acquired agency securities at a premium or discount to par, or face value, changes in prepayment rates may impact our anticipated yield. In periods of declining interest rates, prepayments on our agency securities will likely increase. If we are unable to reinvest the proceeds of such prepayments at comparable yields, our net interest income may suffer.

While we intend to use hedging to mitigate some of our interest rate risk, we do not intend to hedge all of our exposure to changes in interest rates and prepayment rates, as there are practical limitations on our ability to insulate our portfolio from all potential negative consequences associated with changes in short-term interest rates in a manner that will allow us to seek attractive net spreads on our portfolio.

In addition, a variety of other factors relating to our business may also impact our financial condition and operating performance. These factors include:

• our degree of leverage;

• our access to funding and borrowing capacity;

• our hedging activities; and

• the REIT requirements, the requirements to qualify for an exemption under the Investment Company Act and other regulatory and accounting policies related to our business.


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Our manager is entitled to receive a management fee that is based on our equity (as defined in our management agreement), regardless of the performance of our portfolio. Accordingly, the payment of our management fee may not decline in the event of a decline in our profitability and may cause us to incur losses.

For a discussion of additional risks relating to our business see "Risk Factors" in our IPO Registration.

Market and Interest Rate Trends and the Effect on our Portfolio

Credit Market Disruption

During the past year, the residential housing and mortgage markets in the United States have experienced a variety of difficulties and changed economic conditions including loan defaults, credit losses and decreased liquidity. These conditions have resulted in volatility in the value of the agency securities in our portfolio and an increase in the average collateral requirements under our repurchase agreements. Liquidating sales by several large institutions have increased the volatility of many financial assets, including agency securities and other high-quality RMBS. As a result, values for RMBS, including some agency securities, have been negatively impacted. Further increased volatility and deterioration in the broader residential mortgage and RMBS markets may adversely affect the performance and market value of the agency securities in which we invest. In addition, we rely on the availability of financing to acquire agency securities on a leveraged basis. As values for certain types of agency securities declined many lenders in the agency securities market tightened their lending standards, and in some cases, withdrew financing of residential mortgage assets and agency securities. Our lenders may have owned or financed RMBS that have declined in value and caused them to incur losses. If these market conditions persist, our lenders may be forced to exit the repurchase market, become insolvent or further tighten lending standards or increase the amount of equity capital or haircut required to obtain financing, any of which could make it more difficult or costly for us to obtain financing.

Developments at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

Payments on the agency securities in which we invest are guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Because of the guarantee and the underwriting standards associated with mortgages underlying agency securities, agency securities historically have had high stability in value and been considered to present low credit risk. The recent turmoil in the residential mortgage sector, however, and concerns over the financial condition of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have increased credit spreads and decreased price stability of agency securities. Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have reported substantial losses and a need for substantial amounts of additional capital.

In response to the credit market disruption and the deteriorating financial condition of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Congress and the U.S. Treasury undertook a series of actions. The Regulatory Reform Act was signed into law on July 30, 2008, and established a new regulator for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac called the Federal Housing Finance Authority, or FHFA, with enhanced regulatory authority over, among other things, the business activities of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, including over the size of their portfolio holdings. The act also expanded the circumstances under which Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could be placed into conservatorship and authorized FHFA to place Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac into receivership under certain circumstances.

On September 7, 2008, FHFA placed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac into conservatorship, which is a statutory process by which FHMA will operate Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as a conservator in an effort to stabilize the entities. In connection with the convervatorship, FHMA announced, among other things, that
(i) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would currently be permitted to continue to guarantee agency securities, (ii) FHFA had assumed the power of the board of directors and management of the entities, (iii) the chief executive officers of the entities had been replaced, (iv) the dividend on the outstanding common and preferred equity of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac had been eliminated and (v) a financing and investing relationship between Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac had been established. FHFA also noted that during the conservatorship, FHFA would work on additional regulation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, some of which would include minimum capital standards and portfolio limits.

The newly-established financing and investing relationship between Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the U.S. Treasury includes the following components:

• A program by which the U.S. Treasury purchases Fannie Mae-guaranteed and Freddie Mac-guaranteed agency securities in the open market pursuant to an authority that expires December 31, 2009. The size and timing of the purchases are in the discretion of the U.S. Treasury Secretary and will be based on developments in the capital markets and housing markets. The U.S. Treasury may hold purchase agency securities to maturity and, based on market conditions, may make adjustments to the portfolio.

• A secured credit facility to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Funding under the credit facility will be provided directly by the U.S. Treasury from its general fund held at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in exchange for eligible collateral from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Loans under the credit facility are expected to be short-term, generally between one week and one month in duration. No loans will be made with a maturity date beyond December 31, 2009.

• Preferred stock purchase agreements, which are arrangements for the U.S. Treasury to make purchases of senior preferred equity in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac designed to allow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to maintain a positive net worth and avoid mandatory triggering of their receivership. Initially, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have each issued $1.0 billion of senior preferred stock to the U.S. Treasury and warrants to purchase 79.9% of the fully-diluted common stock outstanding of such entity at a nominal price. Each preferred stock purchase agreement has a capacity of $100 billion. Pursuant to the agreements, each of Fannie Mae's and Freddie Mac's mortgage and MBS portfolio will not exceed $850 billion as of December 31, 2009, and will decline by 10% each year until such portfolio reaches $250 billion.

While the U.S. Treasury has stated that its actions are intended to provide stability to the financial markets and support availability of mortgage finance and now has committed significant resources to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, agency securities guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are not backed by the full faith and credit of the United States Government. Moreover, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, in announcing the actions, noted that the guaranty structure of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac required examination and that changes in the structures of the entities were necessary to reduce risk to the financial system. Such changes may involve an explicit U.S. Government backing of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac agency securities or the express elimination of any implied U.S. Government guaranty and, therefore, the creation of credit risk with respect to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac agency securities. Accordingly, the effect of the actions taken by the U.S. Treasury and FHFA remains uncertain. In addition, while specific steps within the conservatorships were announced, the scope and nature of the actions that the U.S. Treasury, FHFA or Congress will ultimately undertake are unknown and will continue to evolve.

The Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, or EESA, was recently enacted. The EESA provides the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury with the authority to establish a Troubled Asset Relief Program, or TARP, to purchase from financial institutions up to $700 billion of residential or commercial mortgages and any securities, obligations, or other instruments that are based on or related to such mortgages, that in each case was originated or issued on or before March 14, 2008, as well as any other financial instrument that the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, after consultation with the Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, determines the purchase of which is necessary to promote financial market stability, upon transmittal of such determination, in writing, to the appropriate committees of the U.S. Congress. The EESA also provides for a program that would allow companies to insure their troubled assets. Despite the passage of EESA, credit markets continued to deteriorate in the worldwide. In October 2008 the Treasury announced that it would invest $250 billion in preferred equity in the nation's nine largest banks and offer the program to other banks as well. Other foreign banks also have agreed to provide similar support to their banking systems. We cannot predict whether or when such actions may occur, or what impact if any, such actions could have on our business, results of operations and financial condition.


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Interest Rates

The overall credit market deterioration since August 2007 has also affected prevailing interest rates. For example, interest rates have been unusually volatile since the third quarter of 2007. Since September 18, 2007, the U.S. Federal Reserve has lowered the target for the Federal Funds Rate nine times from 5.25% to 1.0% in October 2008. The Company's funding costs, which traditionally have tracked 30 day LIBOR have generally benefited by this easing of monetary policy, but to a lesser extent. Because of continued uncertainty in the credit markets and U.S. economic conditions, we expect that interest rates are likely to experience continued volatility, which will likely affect our financial results since our cost of funds is largely dependent on short-term rates.

Historically, the 30-day London Interbank Offered Rate, or LIBOR, has closely tracked movements in the Federal Funds Rate. Our borrowings in the repurchase market have also historically closely tracked LIBOR. So traditionally, a lower Federal Funds rate has indicated a time of increased net interest margin and higher asset values. However, since July 2007 (prior to our commencement of operations) LIBOR and repurchase market rates have been significantly higher than the target Federal Funds Rate. The difference between 30 day LIBOR and the Federal Funds rate has been quite volatile, with the spread alternately returning to more normal levels and then widening out again. Towards the end of the third quarter of 2008 this difference increased to historically high levels. The volatility in these rates and divergence from the historical relationship among these rates could negatively impact our ability to manage our portfolio and our net interest margin and the value of our portfolio might suffer as a result. The following table shows the 30-day LIBOR as compared to the Federal Funds rate at each period end:

                                           30-Day     Federal
                                           LIBOR       Funds
                      September 30, 2008     3.93 %      2.00 %

                      June 30, 2008          2.46 %      2.00 %

                      March 31, 2008         2.70 %      2.25 %

                      December 31, 2007      4.60 %      4.25 %

Investing the Proceeds of our Offerings

We began investing the proceeds of our initial private offering following closing on November 5, 2007. Although market conditions were volatile at the time, we believed that conditions were conducive to investing in agency securities backed by hybrid ARMs. Relative spreads between agency securities and U.S. Treasury securities were historically wide, and short-term interest rates had fallen faster than long-term rates. Accordingly, we undertook to build a portfolio of three-, five and seven-year hybrid ARMS and at December 31, 2007 we had a portfolio of approximately $1.619 billion with a portfolio average coupon of 5.74%, purchased at an average price of $101.14 per $100 of current face, adjusted for amortization of scheduled and unscheduled principal pay-downs. We financed approximately $1.376 billion of our December 31, 2007 portfolio with borrowings pursuant to 90-day or shorter repurchase agreements with eight counterparties. Based on our view of market conditions, we did not enter into any interest rate swaps prior to December 31, 2007 and limited borrowings with maturities greater than 90 days to $100.0 million. The limited hedging of interest rate risk prior to December 31, 2007 exposed us to the risk of a significant reduction in net interest margin and the value of our portfolio if interest rates had increased before re-pricing of our repurchase borrowings.

We began investing the proceeds of our second private offering following closing on February 5, 2008. Based on our view of the market for agency securities at that time, we believed that conditions were conducive to additional investment in agency securities. Agency securities were still attractive even though interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve had resulted in lower yields on these securities as compared to yields from late 2007. Accordingly, we continued to add to our portfolio by acquiring additional three-, five- and seven-year hybrid ARMS; and at March 31, 2008, we had a portfolio of approximately $3.037 billion with a portfolio average coupon of 5.39%, purchased at an average price of $101.29 per $100 of current face, adjusted for amortization of scheduled and unscheduled principal pay-downs. As of March 31, 2008, we had financed approximately $2.440 billion of our March 31, 2008 portfolio with borrowings pursuant to 90-day or shorter repurchase agreements with 10 counterparties. During the quarter ended March 31, 2008, we also entered into $300.0 million of longer term repurchase borrowings with a weighted average maturity of 21 months. We use long-term repurchase agreements, interest rate swaps and interest rate caps, as part of our plan to limit our exposure to changes in interest rates. As part of that plan, we entered into interest rate swaps with three different counterparties for a total notional amount of $300.0 million during the quarter ended March 31, 2008.


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We began investing the proceeds of our initial public offering following closing on April 30, 2008. Despite additional rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, agency securities remained attractively priced. Accordingly, we continued to add to our portfolio by acquiring additional three-, five- and seven-year hybrid ARMS. At September 30, 2008, we had a portfolio of approximately $5.0 billion with a portfolio average coupon of 5.29%, purchased at an average price of $101.23 per $100 of current face, adjusted for amortization of scheduled and unscheduled principal pay-downs. As of September 30, 2008, we had financed approximately $4.1 billion of our September 30, 2008 portfolio with borrowings pursuant to 90-day or shorter repurchase agreements with 10 counterparties. We also had financed $0.5 billion with longer dated repurchase agreements with an average term of 20 months. In addition, we have entered into a total of $1.4 billion of interest rate swaps.

Book Value per Share

As of September 30, 2008, our book value per common share (total shareholders' equity divided by shares outstanding) was $19.69, a decrease of $1.27 from June 30, 2008 and a decrease of $0.07 since December 31, 2007. Despite US government actions which further strengthened the credit of our assets, the turmoil in the financial markets kept our asset values depressed even as the values of U.S Treasury securities increased. This turmoil, and uncertainty about the strength of our economy, has also decreased the value of our interest rate hedges, which would normally tend to have an opposite correlation to our asset values. Critically, despite this deterioration in value, the swaps have served to assure historically attractive net interest margins in connection with the specific asset/liability pairings associated with these swap positions.

While nearly all of the our investments and all of its interest rate swap positions are reflected at fair value on the Company's balance sheet and therefore included in the calculation of book value per common share, unrealized gains or losses on longer-term committed borrowings supporting investments in longer-to-reset ARMs are not reflected in book value. As of September 30, 2008, these longer-term borrowings consisted of a series of repurchase arrangements with remaining terms of 8 to 34 months.

Investments

Agency Securities

. . .

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