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Quotes & Info
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| UFPI > SEC Filings for UFPI > Form 10-Q on 31-Oct-2008 | All Recent SEC Filings |
31-Oct-2008
Quarterly Report
• We experienced sales decreases in our site-built, manufactured housing, and DIY/retail markets, while we continued to grow sales to the industrial market. We believe we have gained additional share in each of the markets we serve except manufactured housing. We have been able to maintain our significant market share of manufactured housing business.
• Single-family housing starts decreased approximately 39% in the third quarter of 2008 compared to 2007 as a result of an excess supply of homes, tighter credit conditions, and an increase in foreclosures. In addition, tight credit conditions have recently resulted in a decline in multi-family and light commercial construction activity.
• Consumer spending for large repair/remodel projects has decreased as many homeowners have lost equity in devalued homes and have less disposable income as a result of higher costs for necessities such as food, fuel and utilities. The Consumer Confidence Index has fallen from 87.3 at the beginning of the year to 38.0 at the end of October.
• Shipments of HUD code manufactured homes were down 17% in July and August and industry sales of modular homes have also continued to decline due, in part, to an excess supply of site-built homes and tight credit conditions.
• The industrial market is declining due to the general weakening of the U.S. economy. We gained additional share and increased sales to this market due, in part, to acquisitions and adding new concrete forming business.
• We recorded a $6.2 million expense for asset impairments and other exit costs associated with facilities and equipment we made a decision to idle in the third quarter of 2008. The plants we closed had annual sales of approximately $45 million and annual incremental operating losses of over $6 million.
• Since the beginning of this difficult economic cycle, we have focused on cash flow and working capital management. We are pleased to have reduced our debt by approximately $39 million and our sale of receivables program by almost $27 million for the first nine months of 2008.
Outlook
Due to unprecedented and prevailing uncertainties throughout the capital
markets, which have a direct and material impact on the markets Universal
serves, we do not believe our previous sales and net earnings targets for 2008,
disclosed in our second quarter 10-Q, are achievable. In addition, we believe
that current economic conditions limit our ability to provide meaningful
guidance for the ranges of likely financial performance; therefore, we will not
provide guidance for the foreseeable future.
Growth & Opportunity 2010 Goals
Since we announced our Growth & Opportunity 2010 Goals in our annual report on
form 10-K for the period ended December 30, 2006, industry and general economic
conditions have significantly deteriorated. We experience significant
fluctuations in the cost of commodity lumber products from primary producers
("Lumber Market"). The Lumber Market has declined from an average of $388/mbf in
2005 to an average of $262/mbf in 2008; a 32% decline from when we first
announced our goals, which has adversely impacted our sales. We are currently
reviewing these long-term goals and expect to modify them when market conditions
stabilize so new targets can be set using more current data and assumptions.
UNIVERSAL FOREST PRODUCTS, INC.
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
HISTORICAL LUMBER PRICES
The following table presents the Random Lengths framing lumber composite price
for the nine months ended September 27, 2008 and September 29, 2007:
Random Lengths Composite
Average $/MBF
2008 2007
January $ 249 $ 292
February 244 289
March 240 280
April 255 286
May 281 288
June 268 306
July 267 299
August 282 290
September 272 276
Third quarter average $ 274 $ 288
Year-to-date average $ 262 $ 290
Third quarter percentage change from 2007 (4.9 %)
Year-to-date percentage change from 2007 (9.7 %)
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In addition, a Southern Yellow Pine ("SYP") composite price, which we prepare and use, is presented below. Sales of products produced using this species, which primarily consists of our preservative-treated products, may comprise up to 50% of our sales volume.
Random Lengths SYP
Average $/MBF
2008 2007
January $ 337 $ 414
February 330 405
March 331 396
April 345 397
May 421 390
June 427 410
July 406 412
August 401 374
September 388 347
Third quarter average $ 398 $ 378
Year-to-date average $ 376 $ 394
Third quarter percentage change from 2007 5.3 %
Year-to-date percentage change from 2007 (4.6 %)
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• Products with selling prices indexed to the reported Lumber Market with a fixed dollar "adder" to cover conversion costs and profits.These products primarily include treated lumber, remanufactured lumber, and trusses sold to the manufactured housing industry. For these products, we estimate the customers' needs and carry anticipated levels of inventory. Because lumber costs are incurred in advance of final sale prices, subsequent increases or decreases in the market price of lumber impact our gross margins. For these products, our margins are exposed to changes in the trend of lumber prices.
• Products with fixed selling prices sold under long-term supply arrangements, particularly those involving multi-family construction projects. We attempt to mitigate this risk through our purchasing practices by locking in costs.
In addition to the impact of the Lumber Market trends on gross margins, changes in the level of the market cause fluctuations in gross margins when comparing operating results from period to period. This is explained in the following example, which assumes the price of lumber has increased from period one to period two, with no changes in the trend within each period.
Period 1 Period 2
Lumber cost $ 300 $ 400
Conversion cost 50 50
= Product cost 350 450
Adder 50 50
= Sell price $ 400 $ 500
Gross margin 12.5 % 10.0 %
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As is apparent from the preceding example, the level of lumber prices does not
impact our overall profits, but does impact our margins. Gross margins are
negatively impacted during periods of high lumber prices; conversely, we
experience margin improvement when lumber prices are relatively low.
BUSINESS COMBINATIONS
See Notes to Consolidated Condensed Financial Statements, Note I, "Business
Combinations."
UNIVERSAL FOREST PRODUCTS, INC.
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following table presents, for the periods indicated, the components of our
Consolidated Condensed Statements of Earnings as a percentage of net sales.
For the Three Months Ended For the Nine Months Ended
September 27, September 29, September 27, September 29,
2008 2007 2008 2007
Net sales 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %
Cost of goods sold 89.3 87.9 88.7 87.1
Gross profit 10.7 12.1 11.3 12.9
Selling, general, and administrative
expenses 9.5 8.7 9.9 9.6
Net loss on disposition of assets
and other impairment and exit
charges 1.0 0.4
Earnings from operations 0.2 3.4 1.0 3.3
Interest, net 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6
Earnings (loss) before income taxes
and minority interest (0.2 ) 2.9 0.6 2.7
Income taxes 0.1 1.1 0.3 1.0
Earnings before minority interest (0.3 ) 1.8 0.3 1.7
Minority interest (0.0 ) (0.1 ) (0.0 ) (0.1 )
Net earnings (loss) (0.3 )% 1.7 % 0.3 % 1.6 %
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GROSS SALES
We engineer, manufacture, treat, distribute and install lumber, composite wood,
plastic, and other building products for the DIY/retail, site-built
construction, industrial, and manufactured housing markets. Our strategic
long-term sales objectives include:
• Diversifying our end market sales mix by increasing sales of specialty wood
packaging to industrial users, penetrating the concrete forms market, and
increasing our sales of engineered wood components for custom homes, multi-
family and light commercial construction.
• Expanding geographically in our core businesses.
• Increasing sales of "value-added" products and framing services. Value-added product sales primarily consist of fencing, decking, lattice, and other specialty products sold to the DIY/retail market, specialty wood packaging, engineered wood components, and "wood alternative" products. Engineered wood components include roof trusses, wall panels, and floor systems. Wood alternative products consist primarily of composite wood and plastics. Although we consider the treatment of dimensional lumber with certain chemical preservatives a value-added process, treated lumber is not presently included in the value-added sales totals.
• Maximizing unit sales growth while achieving return on investment goals.
UNIVERSAL FOREST PRODUCTS, INC.
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following table presents, for the periods indicated, our gross sales (in
thousands) and percentage change in gross sales by market classification.
For the Three Months Ended For the Nine Months Ended
Sept. 27, % Sept. 29, Sept. 27, % Sept. 29,
Market Classification 2008 Change 2007 2008 Change 2007
DIY/Retail $ 251,559 (5.9 ) $ 267,291 $ 758,898 (7.8 ) $ 823,173
Site-Built Construction 119,772 (24.2 ) 158,035 361,430 (21.0 ) 457,663
Industrial 166,327 5. 4 157,836 480,947 5.7 455,129
Manufactured Housing 85,215 (22.5 ) 110,006 245,713 (19.3 ) 304,426
Total Gross Sales 622,873 (10.1 ) 693,168 1,846,988 (9.5 ) 2,040,391
Sales Allowances (12,129 ) (14,770 ) (38,247 ) (39,850 )
Total Net Sales $ 610,744 (10.0 ) $ 678,398 $ 1,808,741 (9.6 ) $ 2,000,541
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Note: In the first quarter of 2008, we reviewed the classification of our customers and made certain reclassifications. Prior year information has been restated to reflect these reclassifications.
Gross sales in the third quarter of 2008 decreased 10% compared to the third
quarter of 2007. We estimate that our unit sales decreased by 8% and overall
selling prices decreased by 2% comparing the two periods. We estimate that our
unit sales increased 3% as a result of business acquisitions, while unit sales
from existing and closed facilities decreased 11%. Our overall selling prices
fluctuate as a result of the Lumber Market (see "Historical Lumber Prices") and
were negatively impacted by pricing pressure primarily in the site-built market.
Gross sales in the first nine months of 2008 decreased 9% compared to the first
nine months of 2007 resulting from an estimated decrease in units shipped of
approximately 7%, while overall selling prices decreased by 2%. We estimate that
our unit sales increased 3% as a result of business acquisitions and new plants,
while our unit sales from existing and closed facilities decreased by 10%.
Changes in our sales by market are discussed below.
DIY/Retail:
Gross sales to the DIY/retail market decreased 6% in the third quarter of 2008
compared to 2007 primarily due to an estimated 4% decrease in overall unit sales
and an estimated 2% decrease in overall selling prices. We estimate that our
unit sales increased 2% as a result of acquisitions, while unit sales from
existing and closed facilities decreased 6%. Unit sales declined due to the
impact of the housing market on our retail customers whose business is closely
correlated with single-family housing starts and a decline in consumer spending
as evidenced by a decline in same store sales of our "big box" customers.
Gross sales to the DIY/retail market decreased 8% in the first nine months of
2008 compared to 2007 primarily due to an estimated 7% decrease in overall units
shipped and an estimated 1% decrease in overall selling prices. We estimate that
our unit sales increased 2% as a result of acquisitions, while unit sales from
existing and closed facilities decreased 9%. The decrease in unit sales is
primarily due to the same factors mentioned in the paragraph above.
UNIVERSAL FOREST PRODUCTS, INC.
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Value-Added and Commodity-Based Sales:
The following table presents, for the periods indicated, our percentage of
value-added and commodity-based sales to total sales.
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended
Sept. 27, Sept. 29, Sept. 27, Sept. 29,
2008 2007 2008 2007
Value-Added 59.6 % 59.4 % 60.7 % 60.8 %
Commodity-Based 40.4 % 40.6 % 39.3 % 39.2 %
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Note: In the third quarter of 2007, we reviewed the classification of our product codes and made certain reclassifications. Prior year information has been restated to reflect these reclassifications.
Value-added sales decreased 10% in the third quarter of 2008 compared to 2007,
primarily due to decreased sales of trusses, engineered wood products, and wall
panels, offset partially by increases in industrial packaging and related
components. Commodity-based sales decreased 11% comparing the third quarter of
2008 with the same period of 2007, primarily due to decreased sales of
non-manufactured brite and other lumber and non-manufactured treated lumber.
Value-added sales decreased 10% in the first nine months of 2008 compared to
2007, primarily due to decreased sales of trusses, wall panels, engineered wood
products and fencing, offset partially by increases in industrial packaging and
related components and turn-key framing and installed sales to site-built
customers. Commodity-based sales decreased 9% comparing the first nine months of
2008 with the same period of 2007, primarily due to decreased sales of
non-manufactured brite and other lumber and non-manufactured treated lumber.
COST OF GOODS SOLD AND GROSS PROFIT
Our gross profit percentage decreased to 10.7% from 12.1% and gross profit
dollars decreased more than 20% comparing the third quarter of 2008 with the
same period of 2007. The decline in our profitability was primarily due to a
combination of:
• Price pressure in all of our markets but particularly in our site-built
market, which reported a significant decline in gross margin.
• A significant increase in fuel and other transportation costs.
• Missed buying opportunities as a result of stocking lower levels of lumber inventory.
• Lower volumes combined with fixed manufacturing costs.
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