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INTC > SEC Filings for INTC > Form 10-Q on 31-Oct-2008All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for INTEL CORP


31-Oct-2008

Quarterly Report


ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Our Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (MD&A) is provided in addition to the accompanying consolidated condensed financial statements and notes to assist readers in understanding our results of operations, financial condition, and cash flows. MD&A is organized as follows:
• Overview. Discussion of our business and overall analysis of financial and other highlights affecting the company in order to provide context for the remainder of MD&A.

• Strategy. Overall strategy and the strategy for our operating segments.

• Critical Accounting Estimates. Accounting estimates that we believe are most important to understanding the assumptions and judgments incorporated in our reported financial results and forecasts.

• Results of Operations. An analysis of our financial results for the three and nine months ended September 27, 2008 compared to the three and nine months ended September 29, 2007.

• Liquidity and Capital Resources. An analysis of changes in our balance sheets and cash flows, and discussion of our financial condition.

• Business Outlook. Our forecasts for selected data points for the fourth quarter of 2008 and the 2008 fiscal year.

The various sections of this MD&A contain a number of forward-looking statements. Words such as "expects," "goals," "plans," "believes," "continues," "may," and variations of such words and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. In addition, any statements that refer to projections of our future financial performance, our anticipated growth and trends in our businesses, and other characterizations of future events or circumstances are forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on our current expectations and could be affected by the uncertainties and risk factors described throughout this filing and particularly in the "Business Outlook" section (see also "Risk Factors" in Part II, Item 1A of this Form 10-Q). Our actual results may differ materially, and these forward-looking statements do not reflect the potential impact of any divestitures, mergers, acquisitions, or other business combinations that had not been completed as of October 27, 2008. Overview
Our goal is to be the preeminent provider of semiconductor chips and platforms for the worldwide digital economy. Our primary component-level products include microprocessors, chipsets, and flash memory.
Net revenue, gross margin, operating income, and net income for the second and third quarters of 2008 and the third quarter of 2007 were as follows:

                  (In Millions)      Q3 2008      Q2 2008      Q3 2007
                  Net revenue        $ 10,217     $  9,470     $ 10,090
                  Gross margin       $  6,019     $  5,249     $  5,171
                  Operating income   $  3,098     $  2,255     $  2,144
                  Net income         $  2,014     $  1,601     $  1,791

The third quarter of 2008 showed strong financial results. While the economic outlook is uncertain, our competitive position, manufacturing process technologies, cash flow from operations, and balance sheet remain strong. Additionally, over the last two years we have focused on improving efficiency and reducing spending as a percentage of revenue.
Revenue for the third quarter of 2008 was up 8% from the second quarter as we saw continued growth in our microprocessor and chipset unit sales, particularly in the mobile market segment. Compared to the third quarter of 2007, revenue was approximately flat, as higher revenue from microprocessors and chipsets was mostly offset by the impacts of divestitures.
Our overall gross margin dollars for the third quarter of 2008 increased 15% compared to the second quarter of 2008, and increased 16% compared to the third quarter of 2007. Our overall gross margin percentage for the third quarter of 2008 was 58.9%, compared to 55.4% in the second quarter of 2008 and 51.2% in the third quarter of 2007. Lower microprocessor unit costs and increases in microprocessor revenue contributed to the gross margin percentage increase compared to the second quarter of 2008. Compared to the third quarter of 2007, our gross margin percentage increased due to lower microprocessor and chipset unit costs, higher microprocessor unit sales, and the impact of the divestitures of lower gross margin products lines. These increases were partially offset by lower microprocessor average selling prices. Operating income for the third quarter of 2008 increased 37% compared to the second quarter of 2008 and 44% compared to the third quarter of 2007.
We continue to strengthen our competitive position by entering new market segments. Our Intelฎ AtomTM processors are designed to enable new mobile internet form factors at attractive system price points with healthy product margins. Additionally, our product offerings continue to strengthen, and we expect to formally launch our new microarchitecture, code-named "Nehalem," in the fourth quarter of 2008.


MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF
OPERATIONS (Continued)
Historically, our sales of microprocessors have been higher in the second half of the year than in the first half of the year. Consumer purchases of PCs have been higher in the second half of the year, primarily due to back-to-school and holiday demand. In addition, purchases from businesses have also tended to be higher in the second half of the year. While our microprocessor sales generally have followed this seasonal trend, there can be no assurance that this trend will continue. Our revenue outlook for the fourth quarter of 2008 includes a wider than typical range due to the uncertainty of how the current economic environment will impact our business. The low end of the range would result in revenue being slightly lower than the third quarter of 2008 and the high end of the range would result in an increase that is at the lower end of our seasonal trends.
While we currently believe our inventory levels are appropriate, the economic uncertainty may result in lower than expected demand. This in turn may require us to write off excess inventory and would negatively impact our gross margin if we fail to reduce manufacturing output accordingly. Additionally, demand is impacted by possible changes in our customers' desired inventory levels as they manage their business through the current economic uncertainty. We continue to monitor the inventory levels of our customers and are seeing some customers build microprocessor and chipset inventory. The higher chipset revenue we experienced in the third quarter would normally be a sign that customers are building ahead of a strong fourth quarter. However, with the current macroeconomic environment, it is hard to discern what demand will be for the fourth quarter of 2008.
In the third quarter of 2008 we recorded a $250 million impairment on our investment in Numonyx due to a decline in the NOR flash memory market segment. In the NAND flash memory market segment, we are expecting to record restructuring charges in the fourth quarter of 2008 of approximately $200 million relating to our joint decision with Micron to discontinue the supply of NAND flash memory from a facility within the IMFT manufacturing network. Additionally, the IMFS planned fabrication facility in Singapore has been placed on hold as we continue to take actions to reduce supply in light of current market conditions. The majority of our non-marketable equity investment portfolio balance is concentrated in companies in the flash memory market segment. Therefore, continued declines in this market segment or changes in management's plans with respect to our investments in this market segment could result in charges.
From a financial condition perspective, we ended the third quarter of 2008 with an investment portfolio valued at $15.6 billion, consisting of cash and cash equivalents, fixed-income trading assets, and short- and long-term investments. In addition, we generated $8.3 billion from cash from operations in the first nine months of the year. The credit quality of our investment portfolio remains high during this difficult credit environment, with other-than-temporary impairments on our available-for-sale investments in debt instruments limited to $32 million during the first nine months of 2008. Our ability to access funds through the credit markets, including through the issuance of commercial paper, remains unchanged. In addition, we have not seen any change in our ability to invest in high quality debt instruments, and earn a return on those investments. With the exception of a limited amount of investments for which we have recognized other-than-temporary impairments, as well as our investment in the Reserve Primary Fund of $250 million, we have not seen liquidation delays and we have received the full par value of our original debt investments when they matured. See "Liquidity and Capital Resources" for additional details on our investment portfolio.
During the first nine months of 2008, we repurchased $7.1 billion of stock through our stock repurchase program and paid $2.3 billion to stockholders as dividends.
Strategy
Our goal is to be the preeminent provider of semiconductor chips and platforms for the worldwide digital economy. As part of our overall strategy to compete in each relevant market segment, we use our core competencies in the design and manufacture of integrated circuits, as well as our financial resources, global presence, and brand recognition. We believe that we have the scale, capacity, and global reach to establish new technologies and respond to customers' needs quickly.
Some of our key focus areas are listed below:
• Customer Orientation. Our strategy focuses on developing our next generation of products based on the needs and expectations of our customers. In turn, our products help enable the design and development of new form factors and usage models for businesses and consumers. We offer platforms with ingredients designed and configured to work together to provide an optimized user computing solution compared to ingredients that are used separately.

• Energy-Efficient Performance. We believe that users of computing and communications systems and devices want improved overall and energy-efficient performance. Improved overall performance can include faster processing performance and other capabilities such as multithreading and multitasking. Performance can also be improved through enhanced connectivity, security, manageability, reliability, ease of use, and interoperability among devices. Improved energy-efficient performance involves balancing the addition of these and other types of improved performance factors with lower power consumption. We continue to develop multi-core microprocessors with an increasing number of cores, which enable improved multitasking and energy efficiency.


MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF
OPERATIONS (Continued)
• Design and Manufacturing Technology Leadership. Our strategy for developing microprocessors with improved performance is to synchronize the introduction of a new microarchitecture with improvements in silicon process technology. We plan to introduce a new microarchitecture approximately every two years and ramp the next generation of silicon process technology in the intervening years. This coordinated schedule allows us to develop and introduce new products based on a common microarchitecture quickly, without waiting for the next generation of silicon process technology. We refer to this as our "tick-tock" technology development cadence.

• Strategic Investments. We make equity investments in companies around the world that we believe will generate returns, further our strategic objectives, and support our key business initiatives. Our investments, including investments through our Intel Capital program, generally focus on investing in companies and initiatives to stimulate growth in the digital economy, create new business opportunities for Intel, and expand global markets for our products. Our current investments are focused in the following areas: those that we believe will advance flash memory products, help to enable mobile wireless devices, advance the digital home, enhance the digital enterprise, advance high-performance communications infrastructures, and develop the next generation of silicon process technologies. Our focus areas tend to develop and change over time due to rapid advancements in technology.

• Business Environment and Software. We plan to continue to cultivate new businesses and work to encourage the industry to offer products that take advantage of the latest market trends and usage models. We also provide development tools and support to help software developers create software applications and operating systems that take advantage of our platforms. We frequently participate in industry initiatives designed to discuss and agree upon technical specifications and other aspects of technologies that could be adopted as standards by standards-setting organizations. In addition, we work collaboratively with other companies to protect digital content and the consumer. Lastly, through our Software and Services Group (SSG), we help enable and advance the computing ecosystem by developing value-added software products and services.

We believe that the proliferation of the Internet, including user demand for premium content and rich media, is the primary driver of the need for greater performance in PCs and servers. A growing number of older PCs are increasingly incapable of handling the tasks that users are demanding, such as streaming video, uploading photos, and online gaming. As these tasks become even more demanding and require more computing power, we believe that users will need and want to buy new PCs to perform everyday tasks on the Internet. We also believe that increased Internet traffic is creating a need for greater server infrastructure, including server products optimized for energy-efficient performance.
The trend of mobile microprocessor unit growth outpacing the growth in desktop microprocessor units has continued, and shipments of our mobile microprocessors exceeded our desktop microprocessors for the first time in the second quarter of 2008. We believe that the demand for mobile microprocessors will result in the increased development of products with form factors and uses that require low-power microprocessors.
With our research and development (R&D) expenditures, we are investing in areas in which we believe the application of highly integrated Intelฎ architecture provides growth opportunities, such as scalable, high-performance visual computing solutions that integrate vivid graphics and supercomputing performance for scientific, financial services, and other compute-intensive applications. In addition, our design and manufacturing technology leadership, including the introduction of our 45nm process technology, allows us to develop low-power microprocessors for new uses and form factors. In the first quarter of 2008, we introduced the Intel Atom brand as a new family of low-power 45nm based microprocessors. We believe that these new microprocessors will give us the ability to extend Intel architecture and drive growth in new market segments, including a growing number of products that require processors specifically designed for embedded solutions; MIDs, a new category of small, mobile consumer devices enabling a PC-like Internet experience; consumer electronics devices, which will deliver media and services to set-top boxes and TVs over broadband Internet connections; and a new category of affordable Internet-focused notebooks (netbooks) and desktops (nettops). We believe that the common elements for products in these new market segments are low power and the ability to access the Internet. These new microprocessors will generally be offered at lower price points than our other microprocessors. In addition, we are developing system-on-a-chip products that integrate core processing functionality with specific components, such as graphics, audio, and video, onto a single chip to form a purpose-built solution. This integration reduces cost, power consumption, and size.


MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF
OPERATIONS (Continued)
Strategy by Operating Segment
We completed a reorganization in the second quarter of 2008 that transferred the revenue and costs associated with a portion of the Digital Home Group's consumer PC components business to the Digital Enterprise Group. The Digital Home Group now focuses on the consumer electronics components business. The strategy by operating segment presented below is based on the new organizational structure. Our Digital Enterprise Group (DEG) offers computing and communications products for businesses, service providers, and consumers. DEG products are incorporated into desktop and nettop computers, enterprise computer servers and workstations, and products that make up the infrastructure for the Internet. We also offer products for embedded designs, such as industrial equipment, point-of-sale systems, telecommunications, panel PCs, in-vehicle information/entertainment systems, and medical equipment. Our strategy for the desktop computing market segment is to offer products that provide increased manageability, security, and energy-efficient performance while at the same time lowering total cost of ownership for businesses. For consumers in the desktop computing market segment, we also focus on the design of components for high-end enthusiast PC's and mainstream PC's with rich audio and video capabilities. Our strategy for the enterprise computing market segment is to offer products that provide energy-efficient performance and virtualization technology for server, workstation, and storage platforms. We are also increasing our focus on products designed for high performance computing, data centers, and blade server systems. Our strategy for the embedded computing market segment is to drive Intel architecture as an embedded solution by delivering long life cycle support, architectural scalability, and platform integration.
The strategy for our Mobility Group is to offer notebook PC products designed to improve performance, battery life, and wireless connectivity, as well as to allow for the design of smaller, lighter, and thinner form factors. We are also increasing our focus on products designed for the business and consumer environments by offering technologies that provide increased manageability and security, and we continue to invest in the build-out of WiMAX. We also offer and are continuing to develop products that enable mobile devices to deliver digital content and the Internet to users in new ways, including products for MIDs and netbooks.
The strategy for our NAND Products Group is to offer advanced NAND flash memory products, focusing on system-level solutions for Intel architecture platforms such as solid-state drives. Additionally, we offer NAND products used in digital audio players and memory cards. In support of our strategy to provide advanced flash memory products, we continue to focus on the development of innovative products designed to address the needs of customers for reliable, non-volatile, low-cost, high-density memory.
The Flash Memory Group provides products, services and support to Numonyx B.V. as part of the supply and transition service agreements. See "Note 16: Equity Investments" in the Notes to Consolidated Condensed Financial Statements of this Form 10-Q.
The strategy for our Digital Home Group is to offer products and solutions, including system-on-a-chip designs, for use in consumer electronics devices designed to access and share Internet, broadcast, optical media, and personal content through a variety of linked digital devices within the home. We are focusing on the design of components for consumer electronic devices such as digital TVs, high-definition media players, and set-top boxes, which receive, decode, and convert incoming data signals.
The strategy for our Digital Health Group is to design and deliver technology-enabled products and explore global business opportunities in healthcare information technology and healthcare research, as well as personal healthcare. In support of this strategy, we are focusing on the design of technology solutions and platforms for the digital hospital and consumer/home health products.
The strategy for our Software and Services Group is to promote Intel architecture as the platform of choice for software and services. SSG works with the worldwide software and services ecosystem by providing software products, engaging with developers, and driving strategic software investments. Critical Accounting Estimates
The methods, estimates, and judgments that we use in applying our accounting policies have a significant impact on the results that we report in our financial statements. Some of our accounting policies require us to make difficult and subjective judgments, often as a result of the need to make estimates regarding matters that are inherently uncertain. Our most critical accounting estimates include:
• the valuation and recognition of non-marketable equity investments, which impacts net gains (losses) on equity investments when we record impairments;

• the valuation and recognition of investments in debt instruments, which impacts our investment portfolio balance when we assess fair value, and interest and other, net when we record impairments;

• the assessment of recoverability of long-lived assets, which primarily impacts gross margin or operating expenses when we record asset impairments or accelerate their depreciation;


MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF
OPERATIONS (Continued)
• the recognition and measurement of current and deferred income taxes (including the measurement of uncertain tax positions), which impact our provision for taxes;

• the valuation of inventory, which impacts gross margin; and

• the valuation and recognition of share-based compensation, which impact gross margin; R&D expenses; and marketing, general and administrative expenses.

Below, we discuss these policies further, as well as the estimates and judgments involved. We also have other policies that we consider key accounting policies, such as those for revenue recognition, including the deferral of revenue on sales to distributors; however, these policies typically do not require us to make estimates or judgments that are difficult or subjective. Non-Marketable Equity Investments
We regularly invest in the non-marketable equity instruments of private companies, which range from early-stage companies that are often still defining their strategic direction to more mature companies with established revenue streams and business models. The carrying value of our non-marketable equity investment portfolio, excluding equity derivatives, totaled $4.2 billion as of September 27, 2008 ($3.4 billion as of December 29, 2007). The majority of the balance as of September 27, 2008 was concentrated in companies in the flash memory market segment, including our investments in IM Flash Technologies, LLC (IMFT) of $2.0 billion ($2.2 billion as of December 29, 2007), our investment in IM Flash Singapore, LLP (IMFS) of $346 million ($146 million as of December 29, 2007), and our investment in Numonyx of $503 million (see "Note 16: Equity Investments" in the Notes to Consolidated Condensed Financial Statements of this Form 10-Q). Our non-marketable equity investments are classified in other long-term assets on the consolidated condensed balance sheets. For further information about investment portfolio risks, including those specific to our investments in the flash memory market segment, see "Risk Factors" in Part II, Item 1A of this Form 10-Q.
Non-marketable equity investments are inherently risky, and a number of these companies are likely to fail. Their success is dependent on product development, market acceptance, operational efficiency, and other factors. In addition, depending on their future prospects and on market conditions, they may not be able to raise additional funds when needed or they may receive lower valuations, with less favorable investment terms than in previous financings, and our investments would likely become impaired.
We review our investments quarterly for indicators of impairment; however, for non-marketable equity investments, the impairment analysis requires significant judgment to identify events or circumstances that would significantly harm the fair value of the investment. The indicators that we use to identify those events or circumstances primarily include:
• the investee's revenue and earnings trends relative to predefined milestones and overall business prospects;

• the technological feasibility of the investee's products and technologies;

• the general market conditions in the investee's industry or geographic area, including adverse regulatory or economic changes;

• factors related to the investee's ability to remain in business, such as the investee's liquidity, debt ratios, and the rate at which the investee is using its cash; and

• the investee's receipt of additional funding at a lower valuation.

Investments that we identify as having an indicator of impairment are subject to further analysis to determine if the investment is other than temporarily impaired, in which case we write down the investment to its estimated fair value. Beginning in the first quarter of 2008, the assessment of fair value for non-marketable investments is based on the provisions of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 157, "Fair Value Measurements" (SFAS No. 157). Non-marketable investments that are considered impaired are classified as Level 3 instruments (see "Note 3: Fair Value" in the Notes to Consolidated Condensed Financial Statements of this Form 10-Q), as we use unobservable inputs to value these investments that are significant to the fair value measurement and the valuation requires management judgment due to the absence of quoted market prices, inherent lack of liquidity, and the long-term nature of such investments. We measure fair value using financial metrics and ratios of comparable public companies and/or a discounted cash flow approach. The selection of comparable companies requires management judgment and is based on a number of factors including comparable companies' sizes, growth rates, products and service lines, development stage, and other relevant factors. The discounted cash flow approach includes the following significant estimates for the investee: revenue, based on assumed market segment growth rates and assumed market segment share; estimated costs; and appropriate discount rates based on the investee's weighted average cost of capital, as determined by considering the observable weighted average cost of capital of comparable companies. Estimates of market segment growth, market segment share, and costs are developed by the investee and/or Intel in consideration of historical data and available market data. The valuation of our non-marketable investments also takes into account movements of the equity and venture capital markets, recent financing activities by the investees, changes in the interest rate environment, the investee's capital structure, liquidation preferences for the investee's capital, and other economic variables. See "Note 3: Fair Value" in the Notes to Consolidated Condensed Financial Statements of this Form 10-Q for further discussion on the adoption of SFAS No. 157.


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