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HUM > SEC Filings for HUM > Form 10-Q on 4-Aug-2008All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for HUMANA INC


4-Aug-2008

Quarterly Report


MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF

FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The condensed consolidated financial statements of Humana Inc. in this document present the Company's financial position, results of operations and cash flows, and should be read in conjunction with the following discussion and analysis. References to "we," "us," "our," "Company," and "Humana" mean Humana Inc. and its subsidiaries. This discussion includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. When used in filings with the SEC, in our press releases, investor presentations, and in oral statements made by or with the approval of one of our executive officers, the words or phrases like "expects," "anticipates," "intends," "likely will result," "estimates," "projects" or variations of such words and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including, among other things, information set forth in Item 1A. - Risk Factors in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 that was filed with the SEC on February 25, 2008. In making these statements, we are not undertaking to address or update these factors in future filings or communications regarding our business or results. In light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the forward-looking events discussed in this document might not occur. There may also be other risks that we are unable to predict at this time. Any of these risks and uncertainties may cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward-looking statements.

Overview

Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, Humana Inc. is one of the nation's largest publicly traded health and supplemental benefits companies, based on our 2007 revenues of $25.3 billion. We are a full-service benefits solutions company, offering a wide array of health and supplemental benefit products for employer groups, government benefit programs, and individuals. As of June 30, 2008, we had approximately 11.5 million members in our medical benefit plans, as well as approximately 6.7 million members in our specialty products.

We manage our business with two segments: Government and Commercial. The Government segment consists of beneficiaries of government benefit programs, and includes three lines of business: Medicare, Military, and Medicaid. The Commercial segment consists of members enrolled in our medical and specialty products marketed to employer groups and individuals. We identified our segments in accordance with the aggregation provisions of SFAS 131, which aggregates products with similar economic characteristics. These characteristics include the nature of customer groups as well as pricing, benefits, and underwriting requirements. These segment groupings are consistent with information used by our Chief Executive Officer.

The results of each segment are measured by income before income taxes. We allocate all selling, general and administrative expenses, investment and other revenue, interest expense, and goodwill, but no other assets or liabilities, to our segments. Members served by our two segments often utilize the same medical provider networks, enabling us to obtain more favorable contract terms with providers. Our segments also share indirect overhead costs and assets. As a result, the profitability of each segment is interdependent.

Our results are impacted by many factors, but most notably are influenced by our ability to establish and maintain a competitive and efficient cost structure and to accurately and consistently establish competitive premium, ASO fee, and plan benefit levels that are commensurate with our benefit and administrative costs. Benefit costs are subject to a high rate of inflation due to many forces, including new higher priced technologies and medical procedures, new prescription drugs and therapies, an aging population, lifestyle challenges including obesity and smoking, the tort liability system, and government regulation.

Our industry relies on two key statistics to measure performance. The benefits ratio, which is computed by taking total benefit expenses as a percentage of premium revenues, represents a statistic used to measure underwriting profitability. The selling, general, and administrative expense ratio, or SG&A expense ratio, which is computed by taking total selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of premium revenues, administrative services fees and other revenues, represents a statistic used to measure administrative spending efficiency.


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Government Segment

Our strategy and commitment to the expanded Medicare programs, including new product choices and pharmacy benefits for seniors, has led to significant growth. Medicare Advantage membership increased to 1,345,000 members at June 30, 2008, up 202,000 members, or 17.7%, from 1,143,000 members at December 31, 2007, and up 211,300 members, or 18.6%, from 1,133,700 at June 30, 2007, primarily due to sales of Preferred Provider Organization, or PPO, and Private Fee-For-Service, or PFFS, products. In addition, recently the mix of sales has shifted increasingly to our network based PPO offerings. Likewise, Medicare Advantage premium revenues have increased 25% to $3.5 billion for the second quarter of 2008 from $2.8 billion in the second quarter of 2007.

We offer three Medicare stand-alone prescription drug plans, or PDPs, a Standard, Enhanced, and Complete product, with varying degrees of coverage. During the six months ended June 30, 2008, we experienced prescription drug claim expenses for our Medicare stand-alone PDPs that were higher than we had originally assumed in our bids. These higher claim levels for our Medicare stand-alone PDPs are reflective of a combination of several variances between our actuarial bid assumptions versus our year-to-date experience. These variances result from differences in utilization assumptions by drug tier for our Enhanced plans, as well as an increase in the percentage of higher cost members in both our Standard and Enhanced plans. Due to the lower than expected stand-alone PDP operating results, we are expecting a decrease in consolidated earnings for full year 2008 as compared to 2007. We believe we have addressed these issues for 2009, based on our enhancements made to our bid development and review processes. Our PDP bids for 2009 were submitted on June 2, 2008.

The enactment of the Medicare Improvements for Patients and Providers Act of 2008, or the Act, in July 2008 could affect our Medicare operations. Principally, beginning in 2011 sponsors of MA PFFS plans will be required to contract with providers to establish adequate networks, except in geographic areas that CMS determines have fewer than two network-based MA plans. Additionally, the Act prohibits several different kinds of marketing activities by Medicare plan sponsors and their brokers beginning in 2009, and will phase out indirect medical education (IME) costs beginning in 2010. We have in place various operational and strategic initiatives that are intended to answer the challenges presented by the Act. We believe that neither the marketing restrictions nor the IME reductions will have a material effect on our operations. In addition, most of our PFFS enrollees reside in geographies where we have developed a PPO network and offer a PPO plan. We will continue to develop our PPO network and build network-based plan offerings to address the network restriction. Nonetheless, there can be no assurance that we will be able to successfully implement those initiatives. Failure to implement this strategy may result in a material adverse effect on our financial position, results of operations and cash flows.

Our quarterly Government segment earnings and operating cash flows are particularly impacted by the Medicare Part D benefit design and changes in the composition of our membership. The Medicare Part D benefit design results in coverage that varies as a member's cumulative out-of-pocket costs pass through successive stages of a member's plan period which begins January 1 for renewals. These plan designs generally result in us sharing a greater portion of the responsibility for total pharmacy costs in the early stages and less in the latter stages. As a result the Government segment's benefits ratio generally improves as the year progresses. In addition, the number of low-income senior members as well as year over year changes in the mix of membership in our stand-alone PDP products, Standard, Enhanced, and Complete, affect the quarterly benefits ratio pattern.

Commercial Segment

We continue to increase the diversification of our Commercial segment membership base and continue to exercise pricing discipline relative to our fully-insured accounts. Commercial segment medical membership increased 279,800 members from June 30, 2007 to 3,558,500 members at June 30, 2008, primarily as a result of the acquisitions of OSF Health Plans, Inc., or OSF, and KMG America Corporation, or KMG, discussed more fully below, which together added approximately 159,000 members, primarily ASO. The remaining increase primarily was due to enrollment gains in strategic areas of commercial growth. Individual membership increased 45%, Smart plans and other consumer offerings membership grew 23%, and small group membership was up 4% for the first half of 2008 compared to the first half of 2007. Membership changes from sales focused on strategic growth areas, exercising pricing discipline, and the acquisition of CompBenefits and KMG resulted in a decline in the benefits ratio to 79.0% for the six months ended June 30, 2008 compared to 80.1% for the six months ended June 30, 2007 and 80.5% for the year ended December 31, 2007.

In addition, we are diversifying our Commercial segment revenues through expanded and new specialty product offerings with the acquisitions of CompBenefits Corporation, or CompBenefits, and KMG in the fourth quarter of 2007. These acquisitions significantly increased our dental membership and added new product offerings including vision and other voluntary employee benefits including supplemental health products such as cancer, critical illness,


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and accident policies. Along with our 2005 acquisition of Corphealth, Inc., a behavioral health care management company, these specialty acquisitions are anticipated to enhance our Commercial segment margins and our ability to appeal to more customers seeking benefit providers who offer full-service solutions.

Other Highlights

• We completed our bids for our 2009 Medicare plan and the new five-year South region TRICARE contract.

• Our operating cash flow comparisons to the prior year periods were significantly impacted by the early Medicare premium receipt for July 2007 of $1,175.3 million in June 2007 because the payment date of July 1, 2007 fell on a weekend.

• We completed two acquisitions and announced our intent to acquire two more companies more fully described below.

• We issued $500 million of 7.20% senior notes due June 15, 2018 and $250 million of 8.15% senior notes due June 15, 2038. We used the net proceeds from the offering for the repayment of the outstanding balance under our credit agreement. These transactions are more fully described in Note 10 to the condensed consolidated financial statements.

We intend for the discussion of our financial condition and results of operations that follows to assist in the understanding of our financial statements and related changes in certain key items in those financial statements from year to year, including the primary factors that accounted for those changes, as well as how certain critical accounting principles and estimates impact our financial statements.

Recent Acquisitions

We signed definitive agreements to purchase PHP Companies, Inc. (d/b/a Cariten Healthcare), or Cariten, on August 1, 2008 and Metcare Health Plans, Inc., or Metcare, on June 27, 2008 for cash consideration of approximately $245 million and $14 million, respectively. The Cariten acquisition will increase our presence in Tennessee adding approximately 34,000 and 30,000 fully-insured and ASO commercial members, respectively, and approximately 46,000 Medicare Advantage members, primarily in an HMO product. The Metcare acquisition will add approximately 7,000 Medicare HMO members in Florida. These transactions, which are subject to regulatory approval, are expected to close prior to December 31, 2008.

On May 22, 2008, we acquired OSF Health Plans, Inc., or OSF, a managed care company serving both Medicare and commercial members in central Illinois, for cash consideration of approximately $82.0 million. This acquisition, which expanded our presence in Illinois, broadening our ability to serve multi-location employers with a wider range of products including our specialty offerings, added approximately 33,400 and 29,700 fully-insured and ASO commercial members, respectively, as well as, approximately 14,000 Medicare PPO members.

On April 30, 2008, we acquired UnitedHealth Group's Las Vegas, Nevada individual SecureHorizons Medicare Advantage HMO business, or SecureHorizons, for cash consideration of approximately $185.3 million, plus subsidiary capital and surplus requirements of $40 million. The SecureHorizons acquisition expanded our presence into the rapidly growing Las Vegas market, adding approximately 26,700 Medicare HMO members.

We acquired KMG on November 1, 2007, and CompBenefits on October 1, 2007. We paid cash consideration of $369.6 million for CompBenefits, and cash consideration of $155.2 million, plus the assumption of $36.1 million of long-term debt for KMG. CompBenefits provides dental and vision insurance benefits and KMG provides long-duration insurance benefits including supplemental health and life products both supplementing our Commercial segment's product offering.

On March 1, 2007, we acquired DefenseWeb Technologies, Inc., or DefenseWeb, a company responsible for delivering customized software solutions for the Department of Defense, for cash consideration of $27.5 million.

Recently Issued Accounting Pronouncements

In December 2007, the Financial Accounting Standards Board, or FASB, issued FASB Statement No. 141 (Revised 2007), Business Combination, or SFAS 141R. SFAS 141R will significantly change the accounting for business combinations. Under SFAS 141R, an acquiring entity will be required to recognize all the assets acquired


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and liabilities assumed in a transaction at the acquisition-date fair value with limited exceptions. SFAS 141R will change the accounting treatment for certain specific items including expensing transaction and restructuring costs and adjusting earnings in periods subsequent to the acquisition for changes in deferred tax asset valuation allowances and income tax uncertainties as well as changes in the fair value of acquired contingent liabilities. SFAS 141R also includes a substantial number of new disclosure requirements. SFAS 141R applies prospectively to business combinations for which the acquisition date is on or after January 1, 2009 with early adoption prohibited. Accordingly, we are required to record and disclose business combinations in accordance with existing GAAP until January 1, 2009. The effect of these new requirements on our financial position and results of operations will depend on the volume and terms of acquisitions in 2009 and beyond, but will likely increase the amount and change the timing of recognizing expenses related to acquisition activities.

In December 2007, the FASB issued FASB Statement No. 160, Noncontrolling Interests in Consolidated Financial Statements-An Amendment of ARB No. 5, or SFAS 160. SFAS 160 establishes new accounting and reporting standards for the noncontrolling interest in a subsidiary and for the deconsolidation of a subsidiary. Specifically, SFAS 160 requires the recognition of a noncontrolling interest (minority interest) as equity and separate from the parent's equity. The amount of net income attributable to the noncontrolling interest will be included in consolidated net income on the face of the income statement. SFAS 160 is effective for fiscal years, and interim periods within those fiscal years, beginning January 1, 2009. Like SFAS 141R discussed above, earlier adoption is prohibited. We do not expect the adoption of SFAS 160 to have a material impact on our financial position or results of operations.

In March 2008, the FASB issued FASB Statement No. 161, Disclosures about Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities, or SFAS 161. SFAS 161 requires expanded disclosures regarding the location and amounts of derivative instruments in an entity's financial statements, how derivative instruments and related hedged items are accounted for under SFAS 133, Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities, and how derivative instruments and related hedged items affect an entity's financial position, operating results and cash flows. SFAS 161 is effective on January 1, 2009. Since SFAS 161 affects only disclosures, it will not impact our financial position or results of operations upon adoption.

In June 2008, the FASB issued FASB Staff Position EITF 03-6-1, Determining Whether Instruments Granted in Share-Based Payment Transactions Are Participating Securities, or FSP EITF 03-6-1. FSP EITF 03-6-1 clarifies that share-based payment awards that entitle their holders to receive nonforfeitable dividends before vesting should be considered participating securities. As participating securities, these instruments should be included in the calculation of basic EPS. We currently are evaluating the provisions of FSP EITF 03-6-1 which will be effective beginning January 1, 2009.


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Comparison of Results of Operations for 2008 and 2007

The following discussion primarily deals with our results of operations for the three months ended June 30, 2008, or the 2008 quarter, the three months ended June 30, 2007, or the 2007 quarter, the six months ended June 30, 2008, or the 2008 period, and the six months ended June 30, 2007, or the 2007 period.

The following table presents certain financial data for our two segments:

                                              For the three months ended
                                                       June 30,                          Change
                                                 2008              2007          Dollars       Percentage
                                                            (in thousands, except ratios)
Premium revenues:
Medicare Advantage                          $    3,491,824      $ 2,804,438     $  687,386           24.5 %
Medicare stand-alone PDP                           905,071        1,051,259       (146,188 )        (13.9 )%

Total Medicare                                   4,396,895        3,855,697        541,198           14.0 %
Military services                                  806,976          725,040         81,936           11.3 %
Medicaid                                           141,976          132,486          9,490            7.2 %

Total Government                                 5,345,847        4,713,223        632,624           13.4 %

Fully-insured                                    1,526,026        1,402,082        123,944            8.8 %
Specialty                                          234,879          107,945        126,934          117.6 %

Total Commercial                                 1,760,905        1,510,027        250,878           16.6 %

Total                                       $    7,106,752      $ 6,223,250     $  883,502           14.2 %

Administrative services fees:
Government                                  $       19,456      $    17,671     $    1,785           10.1 %
Commercial                                          93,508           79,422         14,086           17.7 %

Total                                       $      112,964      $    97,093     $   15,871           16.3 %

Income before income taxes:
Government                                  $      249,449      $   288,790     $  (39,341 )        (13.6 )%
Commercial                                          75,565           50,800         24,765           48.8 %

Total                                       $      325,014      $   339,590     $  (14,576 )         (4.3 )%

Benefit ratios (a):
Government                                            86.3 %           84.3 %                         2.0 %
Commercial                                            81.0 %           80.7 %                         0.3 %

Total                                                 85.0 %           83.4 %                         1.6 %

SG&A expense ratios (b):
Government                                             9.5 %           10.0 %                        (0.5 )%
Commercial                                            21.5 %           21.8 %                        (0.3 )%

Total                                                 12.6 %           13.0 %                        (0.4 )%


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                                            For the six months ended
                                                    June 30,                          Change
                                              2008             2007           Dollars       Percentage
                                                         (in thousands, except ratios)
Premium revenues:
Medicare Advantage                        $  6,659,541     $  5,547,149     $ 1,112,392           20.1 %
Medicare stand-alone PDP                     1,780,070        1,957,685        (177,615 )         (9.1 )%

Total Medicare                               8,439,611        7,504,834         934,777           12.5 %
Military services                            1,617,635        1,452,255         165,380           11.4 %
Medicaid                                       285,656          261,811          23,845            9.1 %

Total Government                            10,342,902        9,218,900       1,124,002           12.2 %

Fully-insured                                3,007,512        2,792,887         214,625            7.7 %
Specialty                                      468,939          216,026         252,913          117.1 %

Total Commercial                             3,476,451        3,008,913         467,538           15.5 %

Total                                     $ 13,819,353     $ 12,227,813     $ 1,591,540           13.0 %

Administrative services fees:
Government                                $     42,162     $     34,061     $     8,101           23.8 %
Commercial                                     182,781          158,896          23,885           15.0 %

Total                                     $    224,943     $    192,957     $    31,986           16.6 %

Income before income taxes:
Government                                $    246,212     $    306,655     $   (60,443 )        (19.7 )%
Commercial                                     202,730          145,156          57,574           39.7 %

Total                                     $    448,942     $    451,811     $    (2,869 )         (0.6 )%

Benefit ratios (a):
Government                                        88.1 %           86.7 %                          1.4 %
Commercial                                        79.0 %           80.1 %                         (1.1 )%

Total                                             85.8 %           85.1 %                          0.7 %

SG&A expense ratios (b):
Government                                        10.1 %           10.4 %                         (0.3 )%
Commercial                                        21.9 %           21.2 %                          0.7 %

Total                                             13.2 %           13.2 %                           -  %

(a) Represents total benefit expenses as a percentage of premium revenue. Also known as the benefits ratio.

(b) Represents total selling, general, and administrative expenses as a percentage of premium revenues, administrative services fees, and other revenues. Also known as the SG&A expense ratio.


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Ending medical membership was as follows at June 30, 2008 and 2007:

                                                      June 30,                   Change
                                                  2008         2007      Members      Percentage
Government segment medical members:
Medicare Advantage                              1,345,000    1,133,700    211,300           18.6 %
Medicare stand-alone PDP                        3,105,200    3,440,100   (334,900 )         (9.7 )%

Total Medicare                                  4,450,200    4,573,800   (123,600 )         (2.7 )%

Military services                               1,737,600    1,717,600     20,000            1.2 %
Military services ASO                           1,206,200    1,150,600     55,600            4.8 %

Total military services                         2,943,800    2,868,200     75,600            2.6 %

Medicaid                                          387,700      384,900      2,800            0.7 %
Medicaid ASO                                      173,800      182,700     (8,900 )         (4.9 )%

Total Medicaid                                    561,500      567,600     (6,100 )         (1.1 )%

Total Government                                7,955,500    8,009,600    (54,100 )         (0.7 )%

Commercial segment medical members:
Fully-insured                                   1,936,600    1,746,300    190,300           10.9 %
ASO                                             1,621,900    1,532,400     89,500            5.8 %

Total Commercial                                3,558,500    3,278,700    279,800            8.5 %

Total medical membership                       11,514,000   11,288,300    225,700            2.0 %

These tables of financial data should be reviewed in connection with the discussion that follows.

Summary

Net income was $209.9 million, or $1.24 per diluted common share, in the 2008 quarter compared to $216.8 million, or $1.28 per diluted common share, in the 2007 quarter. Net income was $290.1 million, or $1.71 per diluted common share, in the 2008 period compared to $288.1 million, or $1.70 per diluted common share, in the 2007 period. These results reflect higher operating earnings in our Commercial segment, partially offset by lower operating earnings in our Government Segment as a result of higher than expected expenses associated with our Medicare stand-alone PDP products.

Premium Revenues and Medical Membership

Premium revenues increased 14.2% to $7.1 billion for the 2008 quarter, compared to $6.2 billion for the 2007 quarter primarily due to higher premium revenues in both the Government and Commercial segments. For the 2008 period, premium revenues were $13.8 billion, an increase of $1.6 billion, or 13.0%, compared to $12.2 billion for the 2007 period. Premium revenues reflect changes in membership and increases in average per member premiums. Items impacting average per member premiums include changes in premium rates as well as changes in the geographic mix of membership, the mix of product offerings, and the mix of benefit plans selected by our membership.

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